Scientific Productivity of SOFIA
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1 Scientific Productivity of SOFIA William T. Reach SOFIA Users Group #9 November 2015
2 Measuring Productivity 1. Status of GI Projects Allows interaction with GIs, assessment of needs, ability to determine corrections to policies 2. Publications Measures rate of production of scientific results and their impact. 3. Production split by SI Allows assessment of scientific production by instrument to inform decisions related to the instrument suite. 2
3 1. Status of Guest Investigator Projects Each project dispositioned into one of these categories: Published: refereed journal article using data Ongoing: will be combined with upcoming observations In preparation: GI working on draft/plans to write Not reduced: calibrated data not yet available Incomplete: less than half of proposed observations complete, or GI indicates cannot publish subset Unpublishable: GI or SMO believe scientific results will never be obtainable with the acquired data 3
4 (accepted projects that got some data) no status unpublishable incomplete published in preparation ongoing 4
5 Cycle 1 no status published no data unpublishable incomplete in preparation 5
6 Cycle 2 no status no data published unpublishable incomplete FIFI LS not reduced in preparation 6
7 Implications of Project Status Study Incomplete projects squandered SOFIA time 12% of BS-Cycle2 proposals incomplete Observatory reliability: 89% dispatch rate If we plan for 100% of time, many programs will be incomplete Mitigations are now in place for incompletions For Cycle 4, we scheduled contingency flights, to be used when a flight is cancelled. Including 1 contingency for 10 flights should account for isolated missed flights. Contingencies already exercised in OC4A, OC4B, OC4D (tonight) For Cycles 3 and 4 we also carry over the highest-ranked observations to following Cycles Top 5% are considered guaranteed 7
8 EXAMPLE: actual usage of contingency flight Baseline 14 Jan 2016 Cycle 4 Start Contingency exercised OC#4 A FORCAST OC#4 B FIFI-LS SI Install LO 8 Flights SI Rem SI Install SI Install LO S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S H T W T F S S M T W T F S February OC#4 B FIFI-LS OC#4 C EXES HAWC+ Comm Pt 1 9 Flights SI Rem SI Install SI Install 4 Flights SI Rem SI Install / EMI LO Feb 25: electrical bus and UPS problems S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S March HAWC+ Comm Pt 1 that could not be fixed in time for flight. Exercised option to fly Mar 3. MCCS Maintenance / Upgrades #10 LO PI - SI Work 3 Commissioning Flights SI Rem./Install MD Safety Day FLT (TBD) Rem MD S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S April May OC#4 D upgreat OC#4 E upgreat NZ SI Install 10 Flights warm Aircraft Prep Ferry - 2 flts Time Media Prep 8 Flights S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S H T W T F S S M T W T F S May June OC#4 E upgreat GREAT OC#4 F FIFI-LS OC#4 G FORCAST May 26: contingency exercised due to problems last week Post Down/Swap SI Rem. Down SI Install 8 Flights Post Down Prep SI Rem. Down SI Install 8 Flights Post Down Prep S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S June July OC#4 G FORCAST HAWC+ Comm Pt 2 Post Down Prep Ferry SI Rem. Crew Rest Crew Rest SI Install LO Prep LO 3 Commissioning Flights S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S July August Key Observing cycle: 4 Planned science flights: 101 RHs*: 808 * Max available research hours S Weekend day H US or German Holiday F Instr. Commissioning Flight F Observing Flight F Ferry/Maint./Non-Sci Flight F Educator on Flight F Return to Base (RTB) Flight 7 (black text with no fill) 4 (day of week box H or GH w/ red fill) 6 (bold white text, purple fill, bold border) 6 (bold white text, blue fill, bold border) 6 (bold white text, green fill, bold border) 6 (white star on day of week) 6 (single slash through day and date) F Work day F Line Operations F Contingency Instr. Comm. Flight F Contingency Obser. Flight F Contingency Ferry/Maint./Non-Sci Flt F Media/VIP on Flight F Canceled Flight 6 (black text w/ day box grey fill) 6 (bold border) 6 (day box with purple fill) 6 (day box with blue fill) 6 (day box with green fill) 6 (yellow star on date) 6 (x through day and date) F AFRC Regular Day Off F Possible Maint/Up. Check Flt F Deployment Observing Flights S Short Flight S Half Sci. & Half Ferry/Maint./Non-Sci Restored Flight U Notional Unfunded Flight 6 (day and date shown in red) 6 (day and date box filled with lt. green) 6 (bold white text, light blue fill, bold border) 28 (colored fill only lower half, bold bdr.) 13 (two colored fill) (check mark below day) (yellow fill with U below day) Distributed: 3 March 2016 Slide Revision: 3 March 2016
9 2. Publications Publication tracking is on our website; new database Allows tracking and linkage to features of Data Cycle System Target publications per hour Metric in the SOFIA Outreach Plan: 20 hrs/paper Count all science flights with 8 hrs/flight Through end of 2015: Already at 18.9 hrs/paper Maintaining rate, with 808 RH expect 43 papers from Cycle 4
10 Publication rate 80 Cumulative Publications 60 projection Prediction for 2016 scales to 12 months from actual publications as of 5/1/16 Using publications/hour method, predict 10 more papers in CY16 10
11
12 Papers by Scientific Category Other Extragal StellEvol ISM Planetary StarForm 12
13 3. Productivity by Science Instrument GREAT and FORCAST dominate time and publications EXES and FIFI-LS relatively new SI #Papers Flights Hours/ Paper FORCAST GREAT HIPO FLITECAM FIFI-LS 0 19 EXES
14 Papers by Scientific Instrument FLITECAM HIPO EXES FORCAST GREAT FIFI-LS: 0
15 Summary: Measuring Productivity 1. Status of GI Projects Implemented mitigations to improve GI project completion. Beginning to collect status for Cycle Publications Slow by steady increase in SOFIA publications. 3. Production split by SI Publications arise predominantly from FORCAST and GREAT, which have established communities. 15
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