Digital Atlas of Direct Normal Irradiation (DNI) for Kingdom Saudi Arabia. Dr. Christoph Schillings
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1 Digital Atlas of Direct Normal Irradiation (DNI) for Kingdom Saudi Arabia Dr. Christoph Schillings
2 Why a Digital Solar Atlas? Information on solar radiation (e.g. Direct Normal Irradiation for Concentrating Solar Thermal Power Plants) are needed for following issues: Potential assessment Site Selection Power Plant Layout Financing Issues (solar atlas/map) (solar atlas/map) (time series) (time series) DLR, commissioned by KAUST and Saudi-Aramco, is developing a digital atlas of the Direct Normal Irradiation (DNI) for Kingdom Saudi Arabia. Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 2
3 Background: Attenuation / extinction of irradiation by the atmosphere Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 3
4 KSA Digital Solar Atlas: What is it about, what s behind? Specification: averaged annual and monthly sums of DNI [kwh/m²] spatial resolution of ~1km² (= one pixel). covered time period 10 years ( ) Used data: METEOSAT data for cloud detection (2.5km x 2.5km) AEROCOM data for averaged monthly aerosol optical thickness (1 x 1 ) NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data for daily water vapour (1.25 x 1.25 ) TOMS satellite-measured data for monthly ozone (1.25 x 1.25 ) GLOBE digital elevation model (1km x 1km) DLR-SOLEMI algorithm (v38) for DNI calculation Measured DNI data from 11 KACST ground sites for comparison/validation Work is still in progress! Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 4
5 Accuracy assessment Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 5
6 Overall accuracy (preliminary) all sites MBE [%] RMSE [%] hourly daily monthly yearly * *no representative value as some years still have missing months! Comparison based on 11 ground sites (KACST). Time period ( ) varies from site to site depending on quality check of ground data (NREL). Preliminary accuracy assessment as there are remaining months / years to be processes for the satellite modeling. Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 6
7 Potential Assessment / Site Selection Source: DLR/KAUST/SAUDI- ARAMCO, 2010: internal study Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 7
8 Application Digital Solar Atlas for using with Geographic Information System (GIS): site selections / identification detailed potential analysis further analysis by combination with other data (e.g. infrastructure, economy etc.) Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 8
9 Application example: Site identification / query Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 9
10 Application example: Site query / identification Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 10
11 Application example: potential assessment, spatial analysis Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 11
12 Electricity Potential [TWh/y] Electricity Potential [TWh/y] Application example: CSP potential assessment, detailed spatial analysis Technical Potential - Saudi Arabia > 2800 DNI [kwh/m²a] Coast Potential - Saudi Arabia (20 m a. s. l.) > 2800 DNI [kwh/m²a] CSP Economic Potential: Power Demand 2000: Power Demand 2050: Tentative CSP 2050: CSP Coastal Potential: Water Demand 2050: TWh/y (DNI > 2000 kwh/m²/y) 119 TWh/y 305 TWh/y (Scenario CG/HE) 135 TWh/y (Scenario CG/HE) 2055 TWh/y (< 20 m a. s. l.) 99 TWh/y (Power for Desalination) Source: DLR (2005): Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region MED-CSP study ( Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 12
![Conclusion Digital Atlas for Direct Normal Irradiation (work in progress): averaged monthly and annual sum [kwh/m²] 1 pixel = ~1km² 10 years (1996-2005) Based on this solar atlas following issues can](/docs-images/93/112757488/images/13-1.jpg "be addressed: potential assessment site selection detailed spatial analysis (in combination with further relevant data) Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran 2010-10-10, DNI Atlas,")
13 Conclusion Digital Atlas for Direct Normal Irradiation (work in progress): averaged monthly and annual sum [kwh/m²] 1 pixel = ~1km² 10 years ( ) Based on this solar atlas following issues can be addressed: potential assessment site selection detailed spatial analysis (in combination with further relevant data) Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 13
14 Thank you very much for your attention! Contact: Dr. Christoph Schillings DLR-Institute of Technical Thermodynamics Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment ++49/(0) Saudi Solar Energy Forum, Saudi-Aramco, Dhahran , DNI Atlas, Schillings, Slide 14
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