Statistical Pattern Recognition
|
|
- Annis Greene
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Statistical Patter Recogitio Classificatio: No-Parametric Modelig Hamid R. Rabiee Jafar Muhammadi Sprig
2 Ageda Parametric Modelig No-Parametric Modelig Desity Estimatio Parze Widow Parze Widow - Illustratio Parze Widow ad Classificatio K -Nearest Neighbor (K-NN) K-NN - Illustratio K-NN ad a-posteriori probabilities K-NN ad Classificatio Pros ad cos 2
3 Parametric Modelig Data availability i a Bayesia framework We could desig a optimal classifier if we kew P(w i ) ad P(x w i ) Ufortuately, we rarely have that much iformatio available! Assumptios A priori iformatio about the problem The form of uderlyig desity Example: Normality of P(x w i ): Characterized by 2 parameters Estimatio techiques (studied i stochastic processes course) Maximum-Likelihood (ML) ad the Bayesia estimatios (MAP: Maximum A Posteriori) Results are early idetical, but the approaches are differet! Other techiques (will be discussed later) Gaussia Mixture Model (GMM) ad Hidde Markov Model (HMM) 3
4 No-Parametric Modelig No-parametric modelig tries to model arbitrary distributios without assumig a certai parametric form. No-parametric models ca be used with arbitrary distributios ad without the assumptio that the forms of the uderlyig desities are kow. Moreover, They ca be used with multimodal distributios which are much more commo i practice tha uimodal distributios. There are two types of o-parametric methods: Estimatig P(x w j ) Parze widow Estimatig P(w j x) (Bypass probability ad go directly to a-posteriori probability estimatio ) K -Nearest Neighbor 4
5 Desity Estimatio Basic idea: Probability that a vector x will fall i regio R is: P P( x') dx ' P is a smoothed (or averaged) versio of the desity fuctio P(x). R If we have a sample of size ; therefore, the probability that k poits fall i R is the: k Pk P (1 P) k The expected value for k is E(k) = P ML estimatio of P is reached for ˆ ˆ k PML Therefore, the ratio k/ is a good estimate for the desity fuctio p. Assumig P(x) is cotiuous ad that the regio R is so small that P does ot vary sigificatly withi it, we ca write (V is the volume of R): Combiig above equatios, the desity estimate becomes: k/ Px ( ) V k P P( x') dx ' P( x) V R 5
6 Desity Estimatio The volume V eeds to approach zero if we wat to use this estimatio Practically, V caot be allowed to become small (sice the umber of samples is always limited). Theoretically, if a ulimited umber of samples is available, we ca circumvet this difficulty To estimate the desity of x regardig above limitatios, we do followig steps: I th step, cosider a total of data samples with the cetrality of x Form a regio R cotaiig x Let V be the volume of R, k the umber of samples fallig i R ad P (x) be the th estimate for P(x), the: P (x) = (k /)/V Three ecessary coditios for covergig P (x) to P(x) are: limv 0 lim1 k 0 lim k / 0 There are two differet ways of obtaiig sequeces of regios that satisfy these coditios: Parze-widow estimatio method: Shrik a iitial regio where V = 1/ ad show that P ( ) ( ) x P x k -earest eighbor estimatio method: Specify k as some fuctio of, such as k = ; the volume V is grow util it ecloses k eighbors of x. 6
7 Desity Estimatio Parze widow vs. k-earest eighbor 7
8 Parze Widow Parze-widow approach to estimate desities Assume the regio R is a d-dimesioal hypercube V (h : legth of the edge of R ) j (u) 2 ((x-x i )/h ) is equal to uity if x i falls withi the hypercube of volume V cetered at x ad equal to zero otherwise. The umber of samples i this hypercube is: h d Let (u) be the followig widow fuctio: 1 1 u j 1,..., d 0 otherwise k x x i i i1 h i 1 1 x x h i The, we obtai the followig estimate: P ( x) i1 V h h P (x) estimates p(x) as a average of fuctios of x ad the samples (x i ) (i = 1,,). These fuctios ca be geeral desity fuctio! h 8
9 Parze Widow Example: The behavior of the Parze-widow method for the case where both P(x) & (u)~n(0,1) Let 2 1 h u e h h kow parameter 2 u 2 1, ; ( 1, 1 : ) Thus: i 1 1 x x i P ( x) i1 h h P is a average of ormal desities cetered at the samples x. i Numerical results for =1 ad h 1 =1 1/2 2 P 1( x) ( x x1) 1 e ( x x1) N( x1,1) 2 For =10 ad h=0.1, the cotributios of the idividual samples are clearly observable! 9
10 Parze Widow - Illustratio Example illustratio Note that the = estimates are the same ad match the true desity fuctio regardless of widow width. 10
11 Parze Widow - Illustratio Example 2 Case where P(x) = 1 U(a,b) + 2 T(c,d) (ukow desity) mixture of a uiform ad a triagle desity The P as the same as previous example 11
12 Parze Widow ad Classificatio I classifiers based o Parze-widow estimatio: We estimate the desities for each category ad classify a test poit by the label correspodig to the maximum posterior Usig the poits of oly category w i, P(x w i ) ca be estimated Kowig P(w i ), posterior probabilities ca be foud The decisio regio for a Parze-widow classifier depeds upo the choice of widow fuctio as illustrated i the followig figure. (See ext slide) 12
13 Parze Widow ad Classificatio The left oe: a small h (complicated boudaries) - The right oe: a larger h (simple boudaries) compare the upper ad lower regios of two cases small h is appropriate for the upper regio, large h for the lower regio No sigle widow width is ideal overall 13
14 Parze Widow 1D Example Suppose we have 7 samples D={2,3,4,8,10,11,12} Let widow width h=3, estimate desity at x=1 14
15 Parze Widow 1D Example Suppose we have 7 samples D={2,3,4,8,10,11,12}, h = 3 Plot probability desity fuctio usig Parze Widow, otice the resultig PDF is ot smooth. 15
16 K -Nearest Neighbor Goal: a solutio for the problem of the ukow best widow fuctio Let the cell volume be a fuctio of the traiig data Ceter a cell about x ad let it grows util it captures k samples (k = f()) k samples are called the k earest-eighbors of x Two possibilities ca occur: Desity is high ear x; therefore the cell will be small which provides a good resolutio Desity is low; therefore the cell will grow large ad stop util higher desity regios are reached We ca obtai a family of estimates by settig k =k 1 / ad choosig differet values for k 1 16
17 K-NN - Illustratio How do we classify a poit usig k-nn? K=1: belogs to square class K=3: belogs to triagle class K=7: belogs to square class 17
18 K-NN - Illustratio For k = ad for =1 the estimate becomes P (x)=k /, V = 1/V 1 =1/2 x-x 1 18
19 K-NN ad a-posteriori probabilities Goal: estimate P(w i x) from a set of labeled samples Let s place a cell of volume V aroud x ad capture k samples k i samples amogst k tured out to be labeled w i the A estimate for P (w i x) is: ki i ki P ( X, wi ) P ( X wi ) * P ( wi ) i P ( w x) i j c P ( x, wi ) ki k P ( x, w ) j1 j k i /k is the fractio of the samples withi the cell that are labeled w i For miimum error rate, the most frequetly represeted category withi the cell is selected If k is large ad the cell sufficietly small, the performace will approach the best possible 19
20 K-NN ad Classificatio The earest eighbor Rule (K=1) Let D = {x 1, x 2,, x } be a set of labeled prototypes Let x D be the closest prototype to a test poit x; the the earest-eighbor rule for classifyig x is to assig it the label associated with x The earest-eighbor rule leads to a error rate greater tha the miimum possible: the Bayes rate If the umber of prototype is large (ulimited), the error rate of the earest-eighbor classifier is ever worse tha twice the Bayes rate (it ca be demostrated!) Thik more about it. It meas that 50% of the iformatio eeded to optimally classify poit x is aggregated withi its earest labeled eighbor. If, it is always possible to fid x sufficietly close so that P(w i x ) P(w i x) If P(w m x) 1, the the earest eighbor selectio is almost always the same as the Bayes selectio 20
21 K-NN ad Classificatio The earest eighbor rule I 2D the earest eighbor leads to a partitioig of the iput space ito Vorooi cells I 3D the cells are 3D ad the decisio boudary resembles the surface of a crystal 21
22 Pros ad Cos No assumptios are eeded about the distributios ahead of time (geerality). With eough samples, covergece to a arbitrarily complicated target desity ca be obtaied. The umber of samples eeded may be very large (umber grows expoetially with the dimesioality of the feature space). These methods are very sesitive to the choice of widow size (if too small, most of the volume will be empty, if too large, importat variatios may be lost). There may be severe requiremets for computatio time ad storage. 22
23 Ay Questio Ed of Lecture 8 Thak you! Sprig
Pattern Classification, Ch4 (Part 1)
Patter Classificatio All materials i these slides were take from Patter Classificatio (2d ed) by R O Duda, P E Hart ad D G Stork, Joh Wiley & Sos, 2000 with the permissio of the authors ad the publisher
More informationJacob Hays Amit Pillay James DeFelice 4.1, 4.2, 4.3
No-Parametric Techiques Jacob Hays Amit Pillay James DeFelice 4.1, 4.2, 4.3 Parametric vs. No-Parametric Parametric Based o Fuctios (e.g Normal Distributio) Uimodal Oly oe peak Ulikely real data cofies
More informationCS434a/541a: Pattern Recognition Prof. Olga Veksler. Lecture 5
CS434a/54a: Patter Recogitio Prof. Olga Veksler Lecture 5 Today Itroductio to parameter estimatio Two methods for parameter estimatio Maimum Likelihood Estimatio Bayesia Estimatio Itroducto Bayesia Decisio
More informationPattern Classification
Patter Classificatio All materials i these slides were tae from Patter Classificatio (d ed) by R. O. Duda, P. E. Hart ad D. G. Stor, Joh Wiley & Sos, 000 with the permissio of the authors ad the publisher
More informationECE 8527: Introduction to Machine Learning and Pattern Recognition Midterm # 1. Vaishali Amin Fall, 2015
ECE 8527: Itroductio to Machie Learig ad Patter Recogitio Midterm # 1 Vaishali Ami Fall, 2015 tue39624@temple.edu Problem No. 1: Cosider a two-class discrete distributio problem: ω 1 :{[0,0], [2,0], [2,2],
More informationMixtures of Gaussians and the EM Algorithm
Mixtures of Gaussias ad the EM Algorithm CSE 6363 Machie Learig Vassilis Athitsos Computer Sciece ad Egieerig Departmet Uiversity of Texas at Arligto 1 Gaussias A popular way to estimate probability desity
More informationEECS564 Estimation, Filtering, and Detection Hwk 2 Solns. Winter p θ (z) = (2θz + 1 θ), 0 z 1
EECS564 Estimatio, Filterig, ad Detectio Hwk 2 Sols. Witer 25 4. Let Z be a sigle observatio havig desity fuctio where. p (z) = (2z + ), z (a) Assumig that is a oradom parameter, fid ad plot the maximum
More informationVector Quantization: a Limiting Case of EM
. Itroductio & defiitios Assume that you are give a data set X = { x j }, j { 2,,, }, of d -dimesioal vectors. The vector quatizatio (VQ) problem requires that we fid a set of prototype vectors Z = { z
More information10-701/ Machine Learning Mid-term Exam Solution
0-70/5-78 Machie Learig Mid-term Exam Solutio Your Name: Your Adrew ID: True or False (Give oe setece explaatio) (20%). (F) For a cotiuous radom variable x ad its probability distributio fuctio p(x), it
More informationClustering. CM226: Machine Learning for Bioinformatics. Fall Sriram Sankararaman Acknowledgments: Fei Sha, Ameet Talwalkar.
Clusterig CM226: Machie Learig for Bioiformatics. Fall 216 Sriram Sakararama Ackowledgmets: Fei Sha, Ameet Talwalkar Clusterig 1 / 42 Admiistratio HW 1 due o Moday. Email/post o CCLE if you have questios.
More informationPattern Classification
Patter Classificatio All materials i these slides were tae from Patter Classificatio (d ed) by R. O. Duda, P. E. Hart ad D. G. Stor, Joh Wiley & Sos, 000 with the permissio of the authors ad the publisher
More informationExpectation-Maximization Algorithm.
Expectatio-Maximizatio Algorithm. Petr Pošík Czech Techical Uiversity i Prague Faculty of Electrical Egieerig Dept. of Cyberetics MLE 2 Likelihood.........................................................................................................
More informationChapter 6 Principles of Data Reduction
Chapter 6 for BST 695: Special Topics i Statistical Theory. Kui Zhag, 0 Chapter 6 Priciples of Data Reductio Sectio 6. Itroductio Goal: To summarize or reduce the data X, X,, X to get iformatio about a
More informationLecture 2: Monte Carlo Simulation
STAT/Q SCI 43: Itroductio to Resamplig ethods Sprig 27 Istructor: Ye-Chi Che Lecture 2: ote Carlo Simulatio 2 ote Carlo Itegratio Assume we wat to evaluate the followig itegratio: e x3 dx What ca we do?
More informationECONOMETRIC THEORY. MODULE XIII Lecture - 34 Asymptotic Theory and Stochastic Regressors
ECONOMETRIC THEORY MODULE XIII Lecture - 34 Asymptotic Theory ad Stochastic Regressors Dr. Shalabh Departmet of Mathematics ad Statistics Idia Istitute of Techology Kapur Asymptotic theory The asymptotic
More informationDiscrete Mathematics for CS Spring 2008 David Wagner Note 22
CS 70 Discrete Mathematics for CS Sprig 2008 David Wager Note 22 I.I.D. Radom Variables Estimatig the bias of a coi Questio: We wat to estimate the proportio p of Democrats i the US populatio, by takig
More informationLecture 6 Chi Square Distribution (χ 2 ) and Least Squares Fitting
Lecture 6 Chi Square Distributio (χ ) ad Least Squares Fittig Chi Square Distributio (χ ) Suppose: We have a set of measuremets {x 1, x, x }. We kow the true value of each x i (x t1, x t, x t ). We would
More informationAnalytic Continuation
Aalytic Cotiuatio The stadard example of this is give by Example Let h (z) = 1 + z + z 2 + z 3 +... kow to coverge oly for z < 1. I fact h (z) = 1/ (1 z) for such z. Yet H (z) = 1/ (1 z) is defied for
More informationCHAPTER 10 INFINITE SEQUENCES AND SERIES
CHAPTER 10 INFINITE SEQUENCES AND SERIES 10.1 Sequeces 10.2 Ifiite Series 10.3 The Itegral Tests 10.4 Compariso Tests 10.5 The Ratio ad Root Tests 10.6 Alteratig Series: Absolute ad Coditioal Covergece
More information1.010 Uncertainty in Engineering Fall 2008
MIT OpeCourseWare http://ocw.mit.edu.00 Ucertaity i Egieerig Fall 2008 For iformatio about citig these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw.mit.edu.terms. .00 - Brief Notes # 9 Poit ad Iterval
More informationStatistical Inference (Chapter 10) Statistical inference = learn about a population based on the information provided by a sample.
Statistical Iferece (Chapter 10) Statistical iferece = lear about a populatio based o the iformatio provided by a sample. Populatio: The set of all values of a radom variable X of iterest. Characterized
More informationLecture 6 Chi Square Distribution (χ 2 ) and Least Squares Fitting
Lecture 6 Chi Square Distributio (χ ) ad Least Squares Fittig Chi Square Distributio (χ ) Suppose: We have a set of measuremets {x 1, x, x }. We kow the true value of each x i (x t1, x t, x t ). We would
More informationExponential Families and Bayesian Inference
Computer Visio Expoetial Families ad Bayesia Iferece Lecture Expoetial Families A expoetial family of distributios is a d-parameter family f(x; havig the followig form: f(x; = h(xe g(t T (x B(, (. where
More informationSequences and Series of Functions
Chapter 6 Sequeces ad Series of Fuctios 6.1. Covergece of a Sequece of Fuctios Poitwise Covergece. Defiitio 6.1. Let, for each N, fuctio f : A R be defied. If, for each x A, the sequece (f (x)) coverges
More informationCSE 527, Additional notes on MLE & EM
CSE 57 Lecture Notes: MLE & EM CSE 57, Additioal otes o MLE & EM Based o earlier otes by C. Grat & M. Narasimha Itroductio Last lecture we bega a examiatio of model based clusterig. This lecture will be
More informationCS284A: Representations and Algorithms in Molecular Biology
CS284A: Represetatios ad Algorithms i Molecular Biology Scribe Notes o Lectures 3 & 4: Motif Discovery via Eumeratio & Motif Represetatio Usig Positio Weight Matrix Joshua Gervi Based o presetatios by
More informationProbability and MLE.
10-701 Probability ad MLE http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~pradeepr/701 (brief) itro to probability Basic otatios Radom variable - referrig to a elemet / evet whose status is ukow: A = it will rai tomorrow Domai
More informationEcon 325/327 Notes on Sample Mean, Sample Proportion, Central Limit Theorem, Chi-square Distribution, Student s t distribution 1.
Eco 325/327 Notes o Sample Mea, Sample Proportio, Cetral Limit Theorem, Chi-square Distributio, Studet s t distributio 1 Sample Mea By Hiro Kasahara We cosider a radom sample from a populatio. Defiitio
More informationStatistics 511 Additional Materials
Cofidece Itervals o mu Statistics 511 Additioal Materials This topic officially moves us from probability to statistics. We begi to discuss makig ifereces about the populatio. Oe way to differetiate probability
More informationINF Introduction to classifiction Anne Solberg Based on Chapter 2 ( ) in Duda and Hart: Pattern Classification
INF 4300 90 Itroductio to classifictio Ae Solberg ae@ifiuioo Based o Chapter -6 i Duda ad Hart: atter Classificatio 90 INF 4300 Madator proect Mai task: classificatio You must implemet a classificatio
More informationIntroduction to Artificial Intelligence CAP 4601 Summer 2013 Midterm Exam
Itroductio to Artificial Itelligece CAP 601 Summer 013 Midterm Exam 1. Termiology (7 Poits). Give the followig task eviromets, eter their properties/characteristics. The properties/characteristics of the
More informationInformation-based Feature Selection
Iformatio-based Feature Selectio Farza Faria, Abbas Kazeroui, Afshi Babveyh Email: {faria,abbask,afshib}@staford.edu 1 Itroductio Feature selectio is a topic of great iterest i applicatios dealig with
More informationAxis Aligned Ellipsoid
Machie Learig for Data Sciece CS 4786) Lecture 6,7 & 8: Ellipsoidal Clusterig, Gaussia Mixture Models ad Geeral Mixture Models The text i black outlies high level ideas. The text i blue provides simple
More information6.867 Machine learning
6.867 Machie learig Mid-term exam October, ( poits) Your ame ad MIT ID: Problem We are iterested here i a particular -dimesioal liear regressio problem. The dataset correspodig to this problem has examples
More informationChapter 11 Output Analysis for a Single Model. Banks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol Discrete-Event System Simulation
Chapter Output Aalysis for a Sigle Model Baks, Carso, Nelso & Nicol Discrete-Evet System Simulatio Error Estimatio If {,, } are ot statistically idepedet, the S / is a biased estimator of the true variace.
More informationLecture 10 October Minimaxity and least favorable prior sequences
STATS 300A: Theory of Statistics Fall 205 Lecture 0 October 22 Lecturer: Lester Mackey Scribe: Brya He, Rahul Makhijai Warig: These otes may cotai factual ad/or typographic errors. 0. Miimaxity ad least
More informationThe Expectation-Maximization (EM) Algorithm
The Expectatio-Maximizatio (EM) Algorithm Readig Assigmets T. Mitchell, Machie Learig, McGraw-Hill, 997 (sectio 6.2, hard copy). S. Gog et al. Dyamic Visio: From Images to Face Recogitio, Imperial College
More informationLecture 19: Convergence
Lecture 19: Covergece Asymptotic approach I statistical aalysis or iferece, a key to the success of fidig a good procedure is beig able to fid some momets ad/or distributios of various statistics. I may
More informationLet us give one more example of MLE. Example 3. The uniform distribution U[0, θ] on the interval [0, θ] has p.d.f.
Lecture 5 Let us give oe more example of MLE. Example 3. The uiform distributio U[0, ] o the iterval [0, ] has p.d.f. { 1 f(x =, 0 x, 0, otherwise The likelihood fuctio ϕ( = f(x i = 1 I(X 1,..., X [0,
More information62. Power series Definition 16. (Power series) Given a sequence {c n }, the series. c n x n = c 0 + c 1 x + c 2 x 2 + c 3 x 3 +
62. Power series Defiitio 16. (Power series) Give a sequece {c }, the series c x = c 0 + c 1 x + c 2 x 2 + c 3 x 3 + is called a power series i the variable x. The umbers c are called the coefficiets of
More information7-1. Chapter 4. Part I. Sampling Distributions and Confidence Intervals
7-1 Chapter 4 Part I. Samplig Distributios ad Cofidece Itervals 1 7- Sectio 1. Samplig Distributio 7-3 Usig Statistics Statistical Iferece: Predict ad forecast values of populatio parameters... Test hypotheses
More informationMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/15.070J Fall 2013 Lecture 3 9/11/2013. Large deviations Theory. Cramér s Theorem
MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/5.070J Fall 203 Lecture 3 9//203 Large deviatios Theory. Cramér s Theorem Cotet.. Cramér s Theorem. 2. Rate fuctio ad properties. 3. Chage of measure techique.
More informationThe picture in figure 1.1 helps us to see that the area represents the distance traveled. Figure 1: Area represents distance travelled
1 Lecture : Area Area ad distace traveled Approximatig area by rectagles Summatio The area uder a parabola 1.1 Area ad distace Suppose we have the followig iformatio about the velocity of a particle, how
More informationInfinite Sequences and Series
Chapter 6 Ifiite Sequeces ad Series 6.1 Ifiite Sequeces 6.1.1 Elemetary Cocepts Simply speakig, a sequece is a ordered list of umbers writte: {a 1, a 2, a 3,...a, a +1,...} where the elemets a i represet
More informationWHAT IS THE PROBABILITY FUNCTION FOR LARGE TSUNAMI WAVES? ABSTRACT
WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY FUNCTION FOR LARGE TSUNAMI WAVES? Harold G. Loomis Hoolulu, HI ABSTRACT Most coastal locatios have few if ay records of tsuami wave heights obtaied over various time periods. Still
More informationOutline. CSCI-567: Machine Learning (Spring 2019) Outline. Prof. Victor Adamchik. Mar. 26, 2019
Outlie CSCI-567: Machie Learig Sprig 209 Gaussia mixture models Prof. Victor Adamchik 2 Desity estimatio U of Souther Califoria Mar. 26, 209 3 Naive Bayes Revisited March 26, 209 / 57 March 26, 209 2 /
More informationECE 901 Lecture 13: Maximum Likelihood Estimation
ECE 90 Lecture 3: Maximum Likelihood Estimatio R. Nowak 5/7/009 The focus of this lecture is to cosider aother approach to learig based o maximum likelihood estimatio. Ulike earlier approaches cosidered
More informationTable 12.1: Contingency table. Feature b. 1 N 11 N 12 N 1b 2 N 21 N 22 N 2b. ... a N a1 N a2 N ab
Sectio 12 Tests of idepedece ad homogeeity I this lecture we will cosider a situatio whe our observatios are classified by two differet features ad we would like to test if these features are idepedet
More informationGrouping 2: Spectral and Agglomerative Clustering. CS 510 Lecture #16 April 2 nd, 2014
Groupig 2: Spectral ad Agglomerative Clusterig CS 510 Lecture #16 April 2 d, 2014 Groupig (review) Goal: Detect local image features (SIFT) Describe image patches aroud features SIFT, SURF, HoG, LBP, Group
More informationEmpirical Process Theory and Oracle Inequalities
Stat 928: Statistical Learig Theory Lecture: 10 Empirical Process Theory ad Oracle Iequalities Istructor: Sham Kakade 1 Risk vs Risk See Lecture 0 for a discussio o termiology. 2 The Uio Boud / Boferoi
More informationMATH 320: Probability and Statistics 9. Estimation and Testing of Parameters. Readings: Pruim, Chapter 4
MATH 30: Probability ad Statistics 9. Estimatio ad Testig of Parameters Estimatio ad Testig of Parameters We have bee dealig situatios i which we have full kowledge of the distributio of a radom variable.
More informationLesson 10: Limits and Continuity
www.scimsacademy.com Lesso 10: Limits ad Cotiuity SCIMS Academy 1 Limit of a fuctio The cocept of limit of a fuctio is cetral to all other cocepts i calculus (like cotiuity, derivative, defiite itegrals
More informationLecture 9: September 19
36-700: Probability ad Mathematical Statistics I Fall 206 Lecturer: Siva Balakrisha Lecture 9: September 9 9. Review ad Outlie Last class we discussed: Statistical estimatio broadly Pot estimatio Bias-Variace
More information6.867 Machine learning, lecture 7 (Jaakkola) 1
6.867 Machie learig, lecture 7 (Jaakkola) 1 Lecture topics: Kerel form of liear regressio Kerels, examples, costructio, properties Liear regressio ad kerels Cosider a slightly simpler model where we omit
More informationTHE SYSTEMATIC AND THE RANDOM. ERRORS - DUE TO ELEMENT TOLERANCES OF ELECTRICAL NETWORKS
R775 Philips Res. Repts 26,414-423, 1971' THE SYSTEMATIC AND THE RANDOM. ERRORS - DUE TO ELEMENT TOLERANCES OF ELECTRICAL NETWORKS by H. W. HANNEMAN Abstract Usig the law of propagatio of errors, approximated
More informationLECTURE NOTES 9. 1 Point Estimation. 1.1 The Method of Moments
LECTURE NOTES 9 Poit Estimatio Uder the hypothesis that the sample was geerated from some parametric statistical model, a atural way to uderstad the uderlyig populatio is by estimatig the parameters of
More informationAdvanced Stochastic Processes.
Advaced Stochastic Processes. David Gamarik LECTURE 2 Radom variables ad measurable fuctios. Strog Law of Large Numbers (SLLN). Scary stuff cotiued... Outlie of Lecture Radom variables ad measurable fuctios.
More informationRandom Variables, Sampling and Estimation
Chapter 1 Radom Variables, Samplig ad Estimatio 1.1 Itroductio This chapter will cover the most importat basic statistical theory you eed i order to uderstad the ecoometric material that will be comig
More information11 Hidden Markov Models
Hidde Markov Models Hidde Markov Models are a popular machie learig approach i bioiformatics. Machie learig algorithms are preseted with traiig data, which are used to derive importat isights about the
More informationSieve Estimators: Consistency and Rates of Convergence
EECS 598: Statistical Learig Theory, Witer 2014 Topic 6 Sieve Estimators: Cosistecy ad Rates of Covergece Lecturer: Clayto Scott Scribe: Julia Katz-Samuels, Brado Oselio, Pi-Yu Che Disclaimer: These otes
More informationDistribution of Random Samples & Limit theorems
STAT/MATH 395 A - PROBABILITY II UW Witer Quarter 2017 Néhémy Lim Distributio of Radom Samples & Limit theorems 1 Distributio of i.i.d. Samples Motivatig example. Assume that the goal of a study is to
More informationCastiel, Supernatural, Season 6, Episode 18
13 Differetial Equatios the aswer to your questio ca best be epressed as a series of partial differetial equatios... Castiel, Superatural, Seaso 6, Episode 18 A differetial equatio is a mathematical equatio
More informationAnalysis of Experimental Data
Aalysis of Experimetal Data 6544597.0479 ± 0.000005 g Quatitative Ucertaity Accuracy vs. Precisio Whe we make a measuremet i the laboratory, we eed to kow how good it is. We wat our measuremets to be both
More informationCEE 522 Autumn Uncertainty Concepts for Geotechnical Engineering
CEE 5 Autum 005 Ucertaity Cocepts for Geotechical Egieerig Basic Termiology Set A set is a collectio of (mutually exclusive) objects or evets. The sample space is the (collectively exhaustive) collectio
More informationNUMERICAL METHODS FOR SOLVING EQUATIONS
Mathematics Revisio Guides Numerical Methods for Solvig Equatios Page 1 of 11 M.K. HOME TUITION Mathematics Revisio Guides Level: GCSE Higher Tier NUMERICAL METHODS FOR SOLVING EQUATIONS Versio:. Date:
More informationLecture 7: Density Estimation: k-nearest Neighbor and Basis Approach
STAT 425: Itroductio to Noparametric Statistics Witer 28 Lecture 7: Desity Estimatio: k-nearest Neighbor ad Basis Approach Istructor: Ye-Chi Che Referece: Sectio 8.4 of All of Noparametric Statistics.
More informationProblem Set 4 Due Oct, 12
EE226: Radom Processes i Systems Lecturer: Jea C. Walrad Problem Set 4 Due Oct, 12 Fall 06 GSI: Assae Gueye This problem set essetially reviews detectio theory ad hypothesis testig ad some basic otios
More informationApproximations and more PMFs and PDFs
Approximatios ad more PMFs ad PDFs Saad Meimeh 1 Approximatio of biomial with Poisso Cosider the biomial distributio ( b(k,,p = p k (1 p k, k λ: k Assume that is large, ad p is small, but p λ at the limit.
More informationSTAT Homework 1 - Solutions
STAT-36700 Homework 1 - Solutios Fall 018 September 11, 018 This cotais solutios for Homework 1. Please ote that we have icluded several additioal commets ad approaches to the problems to give you better
More informationLecture 11: Decision Trees
ECE9 Sprig 7 Statistical Learig Theory Istructor: R. Nowak Lecture : Decisio Trees Miimum Complexity Pealized Fuctio Recall the basic results of the last lectures: let X ad Y deote the iput ad output spaces
More informationAda Boost, Risk Bounds, Concentration Inequalities. 1 AdaBoost and Estimates of Conditional Probabilities
CS8B/Stat4B Sprig 008) Statistical Learig Theory Lecture: Ada Boost, Risk Bouds, Cocetratio Iequalities Lecturer: Peter Bartlett Scribe: Subhrasu Maji AdaBoost ad Estimates of Coditioal Probabilities We
More informationStatisticians use the word population to refer the total number of (potential) observations under consideration
6 Samplig Distributios Statisticias use the word populatio to refer the total umber of (potetial) observatios uder cosideratio The populatio is just the set of all possible outcomes i our sample space
More informationReliability and Queueing
Copyright 999 Uiversity of Califoria Reliability ad Queueig by David G. Messerschmitt Supplemetary sectio for Uderstadig Networked Applicatios: A First Course, Morga Kaufma, 999. Copyright otice: Permissio
More information(A sequence also can be thought of as the list of function values attained for a function f :ℵ X, where f (n) = x n for n 1.) x 1 x N +k x N +4 x 3
MATH 337 Sequeces Dr. Neal, WKU Let X be a metric space with distace fuctio d. We shall defie the geeral cocept of sequece ad limit i a metric space, the apply the results i particular to some special
More informationMATH 112: HOMEWORK 6 SOLUTIONS. Problem 1: Rudin, Chapter 3, Problem s k < s k < 2 + s k+1
MATH 2: HOMEWORK 6 SOLUTIONS CA PRO JIRADILOK Problem. If s = 2, ad Problem : Rudi, Chapter 3, Problem 3. s + = 2 + s ( =, 2, 3,... ), prove that {s } coverges, ad that s < 2 for =, 2, 3,.... Proof. The
More informationMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 19 11/17/2008 LAWS OF LARGE NUMBERS II THE STRONG LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS
MASSACHUSTTS INSTITUT OF TCHNOLOGY 6.436J/5.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 9 /7/2008 LAWS OF LARG NUMBRS II Cotets. The strog law of large umbers 2. The Cheroff boud TH STRONG LAW OF LARG NUMBRS While the weak
More informationHOMEWORK #10 SOLUTIONS
Math 33 - Aalysis I Sprig 29 HOMEWORK # SOLUTIONS () Prove that the fuctio f(x) = x 3 is (Riema) itegrable o [, ] ad show that x 3 dx = 4. (Without usig formulae for itegratio that you leart i previous
More information6. Sufficient, Complete, and Ancillary Statistics
Sufficiet, Complete ad Acillary Statistics http://www.math.uah.edu/stat/poit/sufficiet.xhtml 1 of 7 7/16/2009 6:13 AM Virtual Laboratories > 7. Poit Estimatio > 1 2 3 4 5 6 6. Sufficiet, Complete, ad Acillary
More informationRecursive Algorithms. Recurrences. Recursive Algorithms Analysis
Recursive Algorithms Recurreces Computer Sciece & Egieerig 35: Discrete Mathematics Christopher M Bourke cbourke@cseuledu A recursive algorithm is oe i which objects are defied i terms of other objects
More information1 Approximating Integrals using Taylor Polynomials
Seughee Ye Ma 8: Week 7 Nov Week 7 Summary This week, we will lear how we ca approximate itegrals usig Taylor series ad umerical methods. Topics Page Approximatig Itegrals usig Taylor Polyomials. Defiitios................................................
More informationTMA4205 Numerical Linear Algebra. The Poisson problem in R 2 : diagonalization methods
TMA4205 Numerical Liear Algebra The Poisso problem i R 2 : diagoalizatio methods September 3, 2007 c Eiar M Røquist Departmet of Mathematical Scieces NTNU, N-749 Trodheim, Norway All rights reserved A
More informationEE 6885 Statistical Pattern Recognition
EE 6885 Statistical Patter Recogitio Fall 5 Prof. Shih-Fu Chag http://www.ee.columbia.edu/~sfchag Lecture 6 (9/8/5 EE6887-Chag 6- Readig EM for Missig Features Textboo, DHS 3.9 Bayesia Parameter Estimatio
More informationProperties and Hypothesis Testing
Chapter 3 Properties ad Hypothesis Testig 3.1 Types of data The regressio techiques developed i previous chapters ca be applied to three differet kids of data. 1. Cross-sectioal data. 2. Time series data.
More informationEE / EEE SAMPLE STUDY MATERIAL. GATE, IES & PSUs Signal System. Electrical Engineering. Postal Correspondence Course
Sigal-EE Postal Correspodece Course 1 SAMPLE STUDY MATERIAL Electrical Egieerig EE / EEE Postal Correspodece Course GATE, IES & PSUs Sigal System Sigal-EE Postal Correspodece Course CONTENTS 1. SIGNAL
More informationUnderstanding Samples
1 Will Moroe CS 109 Samplig ad Bootstrappig Lecture Notes #17 August 2, 2017 Based o a hadout by Chris Piech I this chapter we are goig to talk about statistics calculated o samples from a populatio. We
More informationECE 901 Lecture 12: Complexity Regularization and the Squared Loss
ECE 90 Lecture : Complexity Regularizatio ad the Squared Loss R. Nowak 5/7/009 I the previous lectures we made use of the Cheroff/Hoeffdig bouds for our aalysis of classifier errors. Hoeffdig s iequality
More informationMachine Learning Brett Bernstein
Machie Learig Brett Berstei Week 2 Lecture: Cocept Check Exercises Starred problems are optioal. Excess Risk Decompositio 1. Let X = Y = {1, 2,..., 10}, A = {1,..., 10, 11} ad suppose the data distributio
More information1 Review of Probability & Statistics
1 Review of Probability & Statistics a. I a group of 000 people, it has bee reported that there are: 61 smokers 670 over 5 960 people who imbibe (drik alcohol) 86 smokers who imbibe 90 imbibers over 5
More informationThis exam contains 19 pages (including this cover page) and 10 questions. A Formulae sheet is provided with the exam.
Probability ad Statistics FS 07 Secod Sessio Exam 09.0.08 Time Limit: 80 Miutes Name: Studet ID: This exam cotais 9 pages (icludig this cover page) ad 0 questios. A Formulae sheet is provided with the
More informationx a x a Lecture 2 Series (See Chapter 1 in Boas)
Lecture Series (See Chapter i Boas) A basic ad very powerful (if pedestria, recall we are lazy AD smart) way to solve ay differetial (or itegral) equatio is via a series expasio of the correspodig solutio
More information5 : Exponential Family and Generalized Linear Models
0-708: Probabilistic Graphical Models 0-708, Sprig 206 5 : Expoetial Family ad Geeralized Liear Models Lecturer: Matthew Gormley Scribes: Yua Li, Yichog Xu, Silu Wag Expoetial Family Probability desity
More informationFACULTY OF MATHEMATICAL STUDIES MATHEMATICS FOR PART I ENGINEERING. Lectures
FACULTY OF MATHEMATICAL STUDIES MATHEMATICS FOR PART I ENGINEERING Lectures MODULE 5 STATISTICS II. Mea ad stadard error of sample data. Biomial distributio. Normal distributio 4. Samplig 5. Cofidece itervals
More information5. Likelihood Ratio Tests
1 of 5 7/29/2009 3:16 PM Virtual Laboratories > 9. Hy pothesis Testig > 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 5. Likelihood Ratio Tests Prelimiaries As usual, our startig poit is a radom experimet with a uderlyig sample space,
More informationMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/15.070J Fall 2013 Lecture 2 9/9/2013. Large Deviations for i.i.d. Random Variables
MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/15.070J Fall 2013 Lecture 2 9/9/2013 Large Deviatios for i.i.d. Radom Variables Cotet. Cheroff boud usig expoetial momet geeratig fuctios. Properties of a momet
More informationMathematical Statistics - MS
Paper Specific Istructios. The examiatio is of hours duratio. There are a total of 60 questios carryig 00 marks. The etire paper is divided ito three sectios, A, B ad C. All sectios are compulsory. Questios
More informationHypothesis Testing. Evaluation of Performance of Learned h. Issues. Trade-off Between Bias and Variance
Hypothesis Testig Empirically evaluatig accuracy of hypotheses: importat activity i ML. Three questios: Give observed accuracy over a sample set, how well does this estimate apply over additioal samples?
More informationChapter 6 Sampling Distributions
Chapter 6 Samplig Distributios 1 I most experimets, we have more tha oe measuremet for ay give variable, each measuremet beig associated with oe radomly selected a member of a populatio. Hece we eed to
More informationBasis for simulation techniques
Basis for simulatio techiques M. Veeraraghava, March 7, 004 Estimatio is based o a collectio of experimetal outcomes, x, x,, x, where each experimetal outcome is a value of a radom variable. x i. Defiitios
More informationTitle: Damage Identification of Structures Based on Pattern Classification Using Limited Number of Sensors
Cover page Title: Damage Idetificatio of Structures Based o Patter Classificatio Usig Limited Number of Sesors Authors: Yuyi QIAN Akira MITA PAPER DEADLINE: **JULY, ** PAPER LENGTH: **8 PAGES MAXIMUM **
More informationA statistical method to determine sample size to estimate characteristic value of soil parameters
A statistical method to determie sample size to estimate characteristic value of soil parameters Y. Hojo, B. Setiawa 2 ad M. Suzuki 3 Abstract Sample size is a importat factor to be cosidered i determiig
More information