Statistical Pattern Recognition

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Statistical Pattern Recognition"

Transcription

1 Statistical Patter Recogitio Classificatio: No-Parametric Modelig Hamid R. Rabiee Jafar Muhammadi Sprig

2 Ageda Parametric Modelig No-Parametric Modelig Desity Estimatio Parze Widow Parze Widow - Illustratio Parze Widow ad Classificatio K -Nearest Neighbor (K-NN) K-NN - Illustratio K-NN ad a-posteriori probabilities K-NN ad Classificatio Pros ad cos 2

3 Parametric Modelig Data availability i a Bayesia framework We could desig a optimal classifier if we kew P(w i ) ad P(x w i ) Ufortuately, we rarely have that much iformatio available! Assumptios A priori iformatio about the problem The form of uderlyig desity Example: Normality of P(x w i ): Characterized by 2 parameters Estimatio techiques (studied i stochastic processes course) Maximum-Likelihood (ML) ad the Bayesia estimatios (MAP: Maximum A Posteriori) Results are early idetical, but the approaches are differet! Other techiques (will be discussed later) Gaussia Mixture Model (GMM) ad Hidde Markov Model (HMM) 3

4 No-Parametric Modelig No-parametric modelig tries to model arbitrary distributios without assumig a certai parametric form. No-parametric models ca be used with arbitrary distributios ad without the assumptio that the forms of the uderlyig desities are kow. Moreover, They ca be used with multimodal distributios which are much more commo i practice tha uimodal distributios. There are two types of o-parametric methods: Estimatig P(x w j ) Parze widow Estimatig P(w j x) (Bypass probability ad go directly to a-posteriori probability estimatio ) K -Nearest Neighbor 4

5 Desity Estimatio Basic idea: Probability that a vector x will fall i regio R is: P P( x') dx ' P is a smoothed (or averaged) versio of the desity fuctio P(x). R If we have a sample of size ; therefore, the probability that k poits fall i R is the: k Pk P (1 P) k The expected value for k is E(k) = P ML estimatio of P is reached for ˆ ˆ k PML Therefore, the ratio k/ is a good estimate for the desity fuctio p. Assumig P(x) is cotiuous ad that the regio R is so small that P does ot vary sigificatly withi it, we ca write (V is the volume of R): Combiig above equatios, the desity estimate becomes: k/ Px ( ) V k P P( x') dx ' P( x) V R 5

6 Desity Estimatio The volume V eeds to approach zero if we wat to use this estimatio Practically, V caot be allowed to become small (sice the umber of samples is always limited). Theoretically, if a ulimited umber of samples is available, we ca circumvet this difficulty To estimate the desity of x regardig above limitatios, we do followig steps: I th step, cosider a total of data samples with the cetrality of x Form a regio R cotaiig x Let V be the volume of R, k the umber of samples fallig i R ad P (x) be the th estimate for P(x), the: P (x) = (k /)/V Three ecessary coditios for covergig P (x) to P(x) are: limv 0 lim1 k 0 lim k / 0 There are two differet ways of obtaiig sequeces of regios that satisfy these coditios: Parze-widow estimatio method: Shrik a iitial regio where V = 1/ ad show that P ( ) ( ) x P x k -earest eighbor estimatio method: Specify k as some fuctio of, such as k = ; the volume V is grow util it ecloses k eighbors of x. 6

7 Desity Estimatio Parze widow vs. k-earest eighbor 7

8 Parze Widow Parze-widow approach to estimate desities Assume the regio R is a d-dimesioal hypercube V (h : legth of the edge of R ) j (u) 2 ((x-x i )/h ) is equal to uity if x i falls withi the hypercube of volume V cetered at x ad equal to zero otherwise. The umber of samples i this hypercube is: h d Let (u) be the followig widow fuctio: 1 1 u j 1,..., d 0 otherwise k x x i i i1 h i 1 1 x x h i The, we obtai the followig estimate: P ( x) i1 V h h P (x) estimates p(x) as a average of fuctios of x ad the samples (x i ) (i = 1,,). These fuctios ca be geeral desity fuctio! h 8

9 Parze Widow Example: The behavior of the Parze-widow method for the case where both P(x) & (u)~n(0,1) Let 2 1 h u e h h kow parameter 2 u 2 1, ; ( 1, 1 : ) Thus: i 1 1 x x i P ( x) i1 h h P is a average of ormal desities cetered at the samples x. i Numerical results for =1 ad h 1 =1 1/2 2 P 1( x) ( x x1) 1 e ( x x1) N( x1,1) 2 For =10 ad h=0.1, the cotributios of the idividual samples are clearly observable! 9

10 Parze Widow - Illustratio Example illustratio Note that the = estimates are the same ad match the true desity fuctio regardless of widow width. 10

11 Parze Widow - Illustratio Example 2 Case where P(x) = 1 U(a,b) + 2 T(c,d) (ukow desity) mixture of a uiform ad a triagle desity The P as the same as previous example 11

12 Parze Widow ad Classificatio I classifiers based o Parze-widow estimatio: We estimate the desities for each category ad classify a test poit by the label correspodig to the maximum posterior Usig the poits of oly category w i, P(x w i ) ca be estimated Kowig P(w i ), posterior probabilities ca be foud The decisio regio for a Parze-widow classifier depeds upo the choice of widow fuctio as illustrated i the followig figure. (See ext slide) 12

13 Parze Widow ad Classificatio The left oe: a small h (complicated boudaries) - The right oe: a larger h (simple boudaries) compare the upper ad lower regios of two cases small h is appropriate for the upper regio, large h for the lower regio No sigle widow width is ideal overall 13

14 Parze Widow 1D Example Suppose we have 7 samples D={2,3,4,8,10,11,12} Let widow width h=3, estimate desity at x=1 14

15 Parze Widow 1D Example Suppose we have 7 samples D={2,3,4,8,10,11,12}, h = 3 Plot probability desity fuctio usig Parze Widow, otice the resultig PDF is ot smooth. 15

16 K -Nearest Neighbor Goal: a solutio for the problem of the ukow best widow fuctio Let the cell volume be a fuctio of the traiig data Ceter a cell about x ad let it grows util it captures k samples (k = f()) k samples are called the k earest-eighbors of x Two possibilities ca occur: Desity is high ear x; therefore the cell will be small which provides a good resolutio Desity is low; therefore the cell will grow large ad stop util higher desity regios are reached We ca obtai a family of estimates by settig k =k 1 / ad choosig differet values for k 1 16

17 K-NN - Illustratio How do we classify a poit usig k-nn? K=1: belogs to square class K=3: belogs to triagle class K=7: belogs to square class 17

18 K-NN - Illustratio For k = ad for =1 the estimate becomes P (x)=k /, V = 1/V 1 =1/2 x-x 1 18

19 K-NN ad a-posteriori probabilities Goal: estimate P(w i x) from a set of labeled samples Let s place a cell of volume V aroud x ad capture k samples k i samples amogst k tured out to be labeled w i the A estimate for P (w i x) is: ki i ki P ( X, wi ) P ( X wi ) * P ( wi ) i P ( w x) i j c P ( x, wi ) ki k P ( x, w ) j1 j k i /k is the fractio of the samples withi the cell that are labeled w i For miimum error rate, the most frequetly represeted category withi the cell is selected If k is large ad the cell sufficietly small, the performace will approach the best possible 19

20 K-NN ad Classificatio The earest eighbor Rule (K=1) Let D = {x 1, x 2,, x } be a set of labeled prototypes Let x D be the closest prototype to a test poit x; the the earest-eighbor rule for classifyig x is to assig it the label associated with x The earest-eighbor rule leads to a error rate greater tha the miimum possible: the Bayes rate If the umber of prototype is large (ulimited), the error rate of the earest-eighbor classifier is ever worse tha twice the Bayes rate (it ca be demostrated!) Thik more about it. It meas that 50% of the iformatio eeded to optimally classify poit x is aggregated withi its earest labeled eighbor. If, it is always possible to fid x sufficietly close so that P(w i x ) P(w i x) If P(w m x) 1, the the earest eighbor selectio is almost always the same as the Bayes selectio 20

21 K-NN ad Classificatio The earest eighbor rule I 2D the earest eighbor leads to a partitioig of the iput space ito Vorooi cells I 3D the cells are 3D ad the decisio boudary resembles the surface of a crystal 21

22 Pros ad Cos No assumptios are eeded about the distributios ahead of time (geerality). With eough samples, covergece to a arbitrarily complicated target desity ca be obtaied. The umber of samples eeded may be very large (umber grows expoetially with the dimesioality of the feature space). These methods are very sesitive to the choice of widow size (if too small, most of the volume will be empty, if too large, importat variatios may be lost). There may be severe requiremets for computatio time ad storage. 22

23 Ay Questio Ed of Lecture 8 Thak you! Sprig

Pattern Classification, Ch4 (Part 1)

Pattern Classification, Ch4 (Part 1) Patter Classificatio All materials i these slides were take from Patter Classificatio (2d ed) by R O Duda, P E Hart ad D G Stork, Joh Wiley & Sos, 2000 with the permissio of the authors ad the publisher

More information

Jacob Hays Amit Pillay James DeFelice 4.1, 4.2, 4.3

Jacob Hays Amit Pillay James DeFelice 4.1, 4.2, 4.3 No-Parametric Techiques Jacob Hays Amit Pillay James DeFelice 4.1, 4.2, 4.3 Parametric vs. No-Parametric Parametric Based o Fuctios (e.g Normal Distributio) Uimodal Oly oe peak Ulikely real data cofies

More information

CS434a/541a: Pattern Recognition Prof. Olga Veksler. Lecture 5

CS434a/541a: Pattern Recognition Prof. Olga Veksler. Lecture 5 CS434a/54a: Patter Recogitio Prof. Olga Veksler Lecture 5 Today Itroductio to parameter estimatio Two methods for parameter estimatio Maimum Likelihood Estimatio Bayesia Estimatio Itroducto Bayesia Decisio

More information

Pattern Classification

Pattern Classification Patter Classificatio All materials i these slides were tae from Patter Classificatio (d ed) by R. O. Duda, P. E. Hart ad D. G. Stor, Joh Wiley & Sos, 000 with the permissio of the authors ad the publisher

More information

ECE 8527: Introduction to Machine Learning and Pattern Recognition Midterm # 1. Vaishali Amin Fall, 2015

ECE 8527: Introduction to Machine Learning and Pattern Recognition Midterm # 1. Vaishali Amin Fall, 2015 ECE 8527: Itroductio to Machie Learig ad Patter Recogitio Midterm # 1 Vaishali Ami Fall, 2015 tue39624@temple.edu Problem No. 1: Cosider a two-class discrete distributio problem: ω 1 :{[0,0], [2,0], [2,2],

More information

Mixtures of Gaussians and the EM Algorithm

Mixtures of Gaussians and the EM Algorithm Mixtures of Gaussias ad the EM Algorithm CSE 6363 Machie Learig Vassilis Athitsos Computer Sciece ad Egieerig Departmet Uiversity of Texas at Arligto 1 Gaussias A popular way to estimate probability desity

More information

EECS564 Estimation, Filtering, and Detection Hwk 2 Solns. Winter p θ (z) = (2θz + 1 θ), 0 z 1

EECS564 Estimation, Filtering, and Detection Hwk 2 Solns. Winter p θ (z) = (2θz + 1 θ), 0 z 1 EECS564 Estimatio, Filterig, ad Detectio Hwk 2 Sols. Witer 25 4. Let Z be a sigle observatio havig desity fuctio where. p (z) = (2z + ), z (a) Assumig that is a oradom parameter, fid ad plot the maximum

More information

Vector Quantization: a Limiting Case of EM

Vector Quantization: a Limiting Case of EM . Itroductio & defiitios Assume that you are give a data set X = { x j }, j { 2,,, }, of d -dimesioal vectors. The vector quatizatio (VQ) problem requires that we fid a set of prototype vectors Z = { z

More information

10-701/ Machine Learning Mid-term Exam Solution

10-701/ Machine Learning Mid-term Exam Solution 0-70/5-78 Machie Learig Mid-term Exam Solutio Your Name: Your Adrew ID: True or False (Give oe setece explaatio) (20%). (F) For a cotiuous radom variable x ad its probability distributio fuctio p(x), it

More information

Clustering. CM226: Machine Learning for Bioinformatics. Fall Sriram Sankararaman Acknowledgments: Fei Sha, Ameet Talwalkar.

Clustering. CM226: Machine Learning for Bioinformatics. Fall Sriram Sankararaman Acknowledgments: Fei Sha, Ameet Talwalkar. Clusterig CM226: Machie Learig for Bioiformatics. Fall 216 Sriram Sakararama Ackowledgmets: Fei Sha, Ameet Talwalkar Clusterig 1 / 42 Admiistratio HW 1 due o Moday. Email/post o CCLE if you have questios.

More information

Pattern Classification

Pattern Classification Patter Classificatio All materials i these slides were tae from Patter Classificatio (d ed) by R. O. Duda, P. E. Hart ad D. G. Stor, Joh Wiley & Sos, 000 with the permissio of the authors ad the publisher

More information

Expectation-Maximization Algorithm.

Expectation-Maximization Algorithm. Expectatio-Maximizatio Algorithm. Petr Pošík Czech Techical Uiversity i Prague Faculty of Electrical Egieerig Dept. of Cyberetics MLE 2 Likelihood.........................................................................................................

More information

Chapter 6 Principles of Data Reduction

Chapter 6 Principles of Data Reduction Chapter 6 for BST 695: Special Topics i Statistical Theory. Kui Zhag, 0 Chapter 6 Priciples of Data Reductio Sectio 6. Itroductio Goal: To summarize or reduce the data X, X,, X to get iformatio about a

More information

Lecture 2: Monte Carlo Simulation

Lecture 2: Monte Carlo Simulation STAT/Q SCI 43: Itroductio to Resamplig ethods Sprig 27 Istructor: Ye-Chi Che Lecture 2: ote Carlo Simulatio 2 ote Carlo Itegratio Assume we wat to evaluate the followig itegratio: e x3 dx What ca we do?

More information

ECONOMETRIC THEORY. MODULE XIII Lecture - 34 Asymptotic Theory and Stochastic Regressors

ECONOMETRIC THEORY. MODULE XIII Lecture - 34 Asymptotic Theory and Stochastic Regressors ECONOMETRIC THEORY MODULE XIII Lecture - 34 Asymptotic Theory ad Stochastic Regressors Dr. Shalabh Departmet of Mathematics ad Statistics Idia Istitute of Techology Kapur Asymptotic theory The asymptotic

More information

Discrete Mathematics for CS Spring 2008 David Wagner Note 22

Discrete Mathematics for CS Spring 2008 David Wagner Note 22 CS 70 Discrete Mathematics for CS Sprig 2008 David Wager Note 22 I.I.D. Radom Variables Estimatig the bias of a coi Questio: We wat to estimate the proportio p of Democrats i the US populatio, by takig

More information

Lecture 6 Chi Square Distribution (χ 2 ) and Least Squares Fitting

Lecture 6 Chi Square Distribution (χ 2 ) and Least Squares Fitting Lecture 6 Chi Square Distributio (χ ) ad Least Squares Fittig Chi Square Distributio (χ ) Suppose: We have a set of measuremets {x 1, x, x }. We kow the true value of each x i (x t1, x t, x t ). We would

More information

Analytic Continuation

Analytic Continuation Aalytic Cotiuatio The stadard example of this is give by Example Let h (z) = 1 + z + z 2 + z 3 +... kow to coverge oly for z < 1. I fact h (z) = 1/ (1 z) for such z. Yet H (z) = 1/ (1 z) is defied for

More information

CHAPTER 10 INFINITE SEQUENCES AND SERIES

CHAPTER 10 INFINITE SEQUENCES AND SERIES CHAPTER 10 INFINITE SEQUENCES AND SERIES 10.1 Sequeces 10.2 Ifiite Series 10.3 The Itegral Tests 10.4 Compariso Tests 10.5 The Ratio ad Root Tests 10.6 Alteratig Series: Absolute ad Coditioal Covergece

More information

1.010 Uncertainty in Engineering Fall 2008

1.010 Uncertainty in Engineering Fall 2008 MIT OpeCourseWare http://ocw.mit.edu.00 Ucertaity i Egieerig Fall 2008 For iformatio about citig these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw.mit.edu.terms. .00 - Brief Notes # 9 Poit ad Iterval

More information

Statistical Inference (Chapter 10) Statistical inference = learn about a population based on the information provided by a sample.

Statistical Inference (Chapter 10) Statistical inference = learn about a population based on the information provided by a sample. Statistical Iferece (Chapter 10) Statistical iferece = lear about a populatio based o the iformatio provided by a sample. Populatio: The set of all values of a radom variable X of iterest. Characterized

More information

Lecture 6 Chi Square Distribution (χ 2 ) and Least Squares Fitting

Lecture 6 Chi Square Distribution (χ 2 ) and Least Squares Fitting Lecture 6 Chi Square Distributio (χ ) ad Least Squares Fittig Chi Square Distributio (χ ) Suppose: We have a set of measuremets {x 1, x, x }. We kow the true value of each x i (x t1, x t, x t ). We would

More information

Exponential Families and Bayesian Inference

Exponential Families and Bayesian Inference Computer Visio Expoetial Families ad Bayesia Iferece Lecture Expoetial Families A expoetial family of distributios is a d-parameter family f(x; havig the followig form: f(x; = h(xe g(t T (x B(, (. where

More information

Sequences and Series of Functions

Sequences and Series of Functions Chapter 6 Sequeces ad Series of Fuctios 6.1. Covergece of a Sequece of Fuctios Poitwise Covergece. Defiitio 6.1. Let, for each N, fuctio f : A R be defied. If, for each x A, the sequece (f (x)) coverges

More information

CSE 527, Additional notes on MLE & EM

CSE 527, Additional notes on MLE & EM CSE 57 Lecture Notes: MLE & EM CSE 57, Additioal otes o MLE & EM Based o earlier otes by C. Grat & M. Narasimha Itroductio Last lecture we bega a examiatio of model based clusterig. This lecture will be

More information

CS284A: Representations and Algorithms in Molecular Biology

CS284A: Representations and Algorithms in Molecular Biology CS284A: Represetatios ad Algorithms i Molecular Biology Scribe Notes o Lectures 3 & 4: Motif Discovery via Eumeratio & Motif Represetatio Usig Positio Weight Matrix Joshua Gervi Based o presetatios by

More information

Probability and MLE.

Probability and MLE. 10-701 Probability ad MLE http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~pradeepr/701 (brief) itro to probability Basic otatios Radom variable - referrig to a elemet / evet whose status is ukow: A = it will rai tomorrow Domai

More information

Econ 325/327 Notes on Sample Mean, Sample Proportion, Central Limit Theorem, Chi-square Distribution, Student s t distribution 1.

Econ 325/327 Notes on Sample Mean, Sample Proportion, Central Limit Theorem, Chi-square Distribution, Student s t distribution 1. Eco 325/327 Notes o Sample Mea, Sample Proportio, Cetral Limit Theorem, Chi-square Distributio, Studet s t distributio 1 Sample Mea By Hiro Kasahara We cosider a radom sample from a populatio. Defiitio

More information

Statistics 511 Additional Materials

Statistics 511 Additional Materials Cofidece Itervals o mu Statistics 511 Additioal Materials This topic officially moves us from probability to statistics. We begi to discuss makig ifereces about the populatio. Oe way to differetiate probability

More information

INF Introduction to classifiction Anne Solberg Based on Chapter 2 ( ) in Duda and Hart: Pattern Classification

INF Introduction to classifiction Anne Solberg Based on Chapter 2 ( ) in Duda and Hart: Pattern Classification INF 4300 90 Itroductio to classifictio Ae Solberg ae@ifiuioo Based o Chapter -6 i Duda ad Hart: atter Classificatio 90 INF 4300 Madator proect Mai task: classificatio You must implemet a classificatio

More information

Introduction to Artificial Intelligence CAP 4601 Summer 2013 Midterm Exam

Introduction to Artificial Intelligence CAP 4601 Summer 2013 Midterm Exam Itroductio to Artificial Itelligece CAP 601 Summer 013 Midterm Exam 1. Termiology (7 Poits). Give the followig task eviromets, eter their properties/characteristics. The properties/characteristics of the

More information

Information-based Feature Selection

Information-based Feature Selection Iformatio-based Feature Selectio Farza Faria, Abbas Kazeroui, Afshi Babveyh Email: {faria,abbask,afshib}@staford.edu 1 Itroductio Feature selectio is a topic of great iterest i applicatios dealig with

More information

Axis Aligned Ellipsoid

Axis Aligned Ellipsoid Machie Learig for Data Sciece CS 4786) Lecture 6,7 & 8: Ellipsoidal Clusterig, Gaussia Mixture Models ad Geeral Mixture Models The text i black outlies high level ideas. The text i blue provides simple

More information

6.867 Machine learning

6.867 Machine learning 6.867 Machie learig Mid-term exam October, ( poits) Your ame ad MIT ID: Problem We are iterested here i a particular -dimesioal liear regressio problem. The dataset correspodig to this problem has examples

More information

Chapter 11 Output Analysis for a Single Model. Banks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol Discrete-Event System Simulation

Chapter 11 Output Analysis for a Single Model. Banks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol Discrete-Event System Simulation Chapter Output Aalysis for a Sigle Model Baks, Carso, Nelso & Nicol Discrete-Evet System Simulatio Error Estimatio If {,, } are ot statistically idepedet, the S / is a biased estimator of the true variace.

More information

Lecture 10 October Minimaxity and least favorable prior sequences

Lecture 10 October Minimaxity and least favorable prior sequences STATS 300A: Theory of Statistics Fall 205 Lecture 0 October 22 Lecturer: Lester Mackey Scribe: Brya He, Rahul Makhijai Warig: These otes may cotai factual ad/or typographic errors. 0. Miimaxity ad least

More information

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) Algorithm

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) Algorithm The Expectatio-Maximizatio (EM) Algorithm Readig Assigmets T. Mitchell, Machie Learig, McGraw-Hill, 997 (sectio 6.2, hard copy). S. Gog et al. Dyamic Visio: From Images to Face Recogitio, Imperial College

More information

Lecture 19: Convergence

Lecture 19: Convergence Lecture 19: Covergece Asymptotic approach I statistical aalysis or iferece, a key to the success of fidig a good procedure is beig able to fid some momets ad/or distributios of various statistics. I may

More information

Let us give one more example of MLE. Example 3. The uniform distribution U[0, θ] on the interval [0, θ] has p.d.f.

Let us give one more example of MLE. Example 3. The uniform distribution U[0, θ] on the interval [0, θ] has p.d.f. Lecture 5 Let us give oe more example of MLE. Example 3. The uiform distributio U[0, ] o the iterval [0, ] has p.d.f. { 1 f(x =, 0 x, 0, otherwise The likelihood fuctio ϕ( = f(x i = 1 I(X 1,..., X [0,

More information

62. Power series Definition 16. (Power series) Given a sequence {c n }, the series. c n x n = c 0 + c 1 x + c 2 x 2 + c 3 x 3 +

62. Power series Definition 16. (Power series) Given a sequence {c n }, the series. c n x n = c 0 + c 1 x + c 2 x 2 + c 3 x 3 + 62. Power series Defiitio 16. (Power series) Give a sequece {c }, the series c x = c 0 + c 1 x + c 2 x 2 + c 3 x 3 + is called a power series i the variable x. The umbers c are called the coefficiets of

More information

7-1. Chapter 4. Part I. Sampling Distributions and Confidence Intervals

7-1. Chapter 4. Part I. Sampling Distributions and Confidence Intervals 7-1 Chapter 4 Part I. Samplig Distributios ad Cofidece Itervals 1 7- Sectio 1. Samplig Distributio 7-3 Usig Statistics Statistical Iferece: Predict ad forecast values of populatio parameters... Test hypotheses

More information

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/15.070J Fall 2013 Lecture 3 9/11/2013. Large deviations Theory. Cramér s Theorem

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/15.070J Fall 2013 Lecture 3 9/11/2013. Large deviations Theory. Cramér s Theorem MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/5.070J Fall 203 Lecture 3 9//203 Large deviatios Theory. Cramér s Theorem Cotet.. Cramér s Theorem. 2. Rate fuctio ad properties. 3. Chage of measure techique.

More information

The picture in figure 1.1 helps us to see that the area represents the distance traveled. Figure 1: Area represents distance travelled

The picture in figure 1.1 helps us to see that the area represents the distance traveled. Figure 1: Area represents distance travelled 1 Lecture : Area Area ad distace traveled Approximatig area by rectagles Summatio The area uder a parabola 1.1 Area ad distace Suppose we have the followig iformatio about the velocity of a particle, how

More information

Infinite Sequences and Series

Infinite Sequences and Series Chapter 6 Ifiite Sequeces ad Series 6.1 Ifiite Sequeces 6.1.1 Elemetary Cocepts Simply speakig, a sequece is a ordered list of umbers writte: {a 1, a 2, a 3,...a, a +1,...} where the elemets a i represet

More information

WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY FUNCTION FOR LARGE TSUNAMI WAVES? ABSTRACT

WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY FUNCTION FOR LARGE TSUNAMI WAVES? ABSTRACT WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY FUNCTION FOR LARGE TSUNAMI WAVES? Harold G. Loomis Hoolulu, HI ABSTRACT Most coastal locatios have few if ay records of tsuami wave heights obtaied over various time periods. Still

More information

Outline. CSCI-567: Machine Learning (Spring 2019) Outline. Prof. Victor Adamchik. Mar. 26, 2019

Outline. CSCI-567: Machine Learning (Spring 2019) Outline. Prof. Victor Adamchik. Mar. 26, 2019 Outlie CSCI-567: Machie Learig Sprig 209 Gaussia mixture models Prof. Victor Adamchik 2 Desity estimatio U of Souther Califoria Mar. 26, 209 3 Naive Bayes Revisited March 26, 209 / 57 March 26, 209 2 /

More information

ECE 901 Lecture 13: Maximum Likelihood Estimation

ECE 901 Lecture 13: Maximum Likelihood Estimation ECE 90 Lecture 3: Maximum Likelihood Estimatio R. Nowak 5/7/009 The focus of this lecture is to cosider aother approach to learig based o maximum likelihood estimatio. Ulike earlier approaches cosidered

More information

Table 12.1: Contingency table. Feature b. 1 N 11 N 12 N 1b 2 N 21 N 22 N 2b. ... a N a1 N a2 N ab

Table 12.1: Contingency table. Feature b. 1 N 11 N 12 N 1b 2 N 21 N 22 N 2b. ... a N a1 N a2 N ab Sectio 12 Tests of idepedece ad homogeeity I this lecture we will cosider a situatio whe our observatios are classified by two differet features ad we would like to test if these features are idepedet

More information

Grouping 2: Spectral and Agglomerative Clustering. CS 510 Lecture #16 April 2 nd, 2014

Grouping 2: Spectral and Agglomerative Clustering. CS 510 Lecture #16 April 2 nd, 2014 Groupig 2: Spectral ad Agglomerative Clusterig CS 510 Lecture #16 April 2 d, 2014 Groupig (review) Goal: Detect local image features (SIFT) Describe image patches aroud features SIFT, SURF, HoG, LBP, Group

More information

Empirical Process Theory and Oracle Inequalities

Empirical Process Theory and Oracle Inequalities Stat 928: Statistical Learig Theory Lecture: 10 Empirical Process Theory ad Oracle Iequalities Istructor: Sham Kakade 1 Risk vs Risk See Lecture 0 for a discussio o termiology. 2 The Uio Boud / Boferoi

More information

MATH 320: Probability and Statistics 9. Estimation and Testing of Parameters. Readings: Pruim, Chapter 4

MATH 320: Probability and Statistics 9. Estimation and Testing of Parameters. Readings: Pruim, Chapter 4 MATH 30: Probability ad Statistics 9. Estimatio ad Testig of Parameters Estimatio ad Testig of Parameters We have bee dealig situatios i which we have full kowledge of the distributio of a radom variable.

More information

Lesson 10: Limits and Continuity

Lesson 10: Limits and Continuity www.scimsacademy.com Lesso 10: Limits ad Cotiuity SCIMS Academy 1 Limit of a fuctio The cocept of limit of a fuctio is cetral to all other cocepts i calculus (like cotiuity, derivative, defiite itegrals

More information

Lecture 9: September 19

Lecture 9: September 19 36-700: Probability ad Mathematical Statistics I Fall 206 Lecturer: Siva Balakrisha Lecture 9: September 9 9. Review ad Outlie Last class we discussed: Statistical estimatio broadly Pot estimatio Bias-Variace

More information

6.867 Machine learning, lecture 7 (Jaakkola) 1

6.867 Machine learning, lecture 7 (Jaakkola) 1 6.867 Machie learig, lecture 7 (Jaakkola) 1 Lecture topics: Kerel form of liear regressio Kerels, examples, costructio, properties Liear regressio ad kerels Cosider a slightly simpler model where we omit

More information

THE SYSTEMATIC AND THE RANDOM. ERRORS - DUE TO ELEMENT TOLERANCES OF ELECTRICAL NETWORKS

THE SYSTEMATIC AND THE RANDOM. ERRORS - DUE TO ELEMENT TOLERANCES OF ELECTRICAL NETWORKS R775 Philips Res. Repts 26,414-423, 1971' THE SYSTEMATIC AND THE RANDOM. ERRORS - DUE TO ELEMENT TOLERANCES OF ELECTRICAL NETWORKS by H. W. HANNEMAN Abstract Usig the law of propagatio of errors, approximated

More information

LECTURE NOTES 9. 1 Point Estimation. 1.1 The Method of Moments

LECTURE NOTES 9. 1 Point Estimation. 1.1 The Method of Moments LECTURE NOTES 9 Poit Estimatio Uder the hypothesis that the sample was geerated from some parametric statistical model, a atural way to uderstad the uderlyig populatio is by estimatig the parameters of

More information

Advanced Stochastic Processes.

Advanced Stochastic Processes. Advaced Stochastic Processes. David Gamarik LECTURE 2 Radom variables ad measurable fuctios. Strog Law of Large Numbers (SLLN). Scary stuff cotiued... Outlie of Lecture Radom variables ad measurable fuctios.

More information

Random Variables, Sampling and Estimation

Random Variables, Sampling and Estimation Chapter 1 Radom Variables, Samplig ad Estimatio 1.1 Itroductio This chapter will cover the most importat basic statistical theory you eed i order to uderstad the ecoometric material that will be comig

More information

11 Hidden Markov Models

11 Hidden Markov Models Hidde Markov Models Hidde Markov Models are a popular machie learig approach i bioiformatics. Machie learig algorithms are preseted with traiig data, which are used to derive importat isights about the

More information

Sieve Estimators: Consistency and Rates of Convergence

Sieve Estimators: Consistency and Rates of Convergence EECS 598: Statistical Learig Theory, Witer 2014 Topic 6 Sieve Estimators: Cosistecy ad Rates of Covergece Lecturer: Clayto Scott Scribe: Julia Katz-Samuels, Brado Oselio, Pi-Yu Che Disclaimer: These otes

More information

Distribution of Random Samples & Limit theorems

Distribution of Random Samples & Limit theorems STAT/MATH 395 A - PROBABILITY II UW Witer Quarter 2017 Néhémy Lim Distributio of Radom Samples & Limit theorems 1 Distributio of i.i.d. Samples Motivatig example. Assume that the goal of a study is to

More information

Castiel, Supernatural, Season 6, Episode 18

Castiel, Supernatural, Season 6, Episode 18 13 Differetial Equatios the aswer to your questio ca best be epressed as a series of partial differetial equatios... Castiel, Superatural, Seaso 6, Episode 18 A differetial equatio is a mathematical equatio

More information

Analysis of Experimental Data

Analysis of Experimental Data Aalysis of Experimetal Data 6544597.0479 ± 0.000005 g Quatitative Ucertaity Accuracy vs. Precisio Whe we make a measuremet i the laboratory, we eed to kow how good it is. We wat our measuremets to be both

More information

CEE 522 Autumn Uncertainty Concepts for Geotechnical Engineering

CEE 522 Autumn Uncertainty Concepts for Geotechnical Engineering CEE 5 Autum 005 Ucertaity Cocepts for Geotechical Egieerig Basic Termiology Set A set is a collectio of (mutually exclusive) objects or evets. The sample space is the (collectively exhaustive) collectio

More information

NUMERICAL METHODS FOR SOLVING EQUATIONS

NUMERICAL METHODS FOR SOLVING EQUATIONS Mathematics Revisio Guides Numerical Methods for Solvig Equatios Page 1 of 11 M.K. HOME TUITION Mathematics Revisio Guides Level: GCSE Higher Tier NUMERICAL METHODS FOR SOLVING EQUATIONS Versio:. Date:

More information

Lecture 7: Density Estimation: k-nearest Neighbor and Basis Approach

Lecture 7: Density Estimation: k-nearest Neighbor and Basis Approach STAT 425: Itroductio to Noparametric Statistics Witer 28 Lecture 7: Desity Estimatio: k-nearest Neighbor ad Basis Approach Istructor: Ye-Chi Che Referece: Sectio 8.4 of All of Noparametric Statistics.

More information

Problem Set 4 Due Oct, 12

Problem Set 4 Due Oct, 12 EE226: Radom Processes i Systems Lecturer: Jea C. Walrad Problem Set 4 Due Oct, 12 Fall 06 GSI: Assae Gueye This problem set essetially reviews detectio theory ad hypothesis testig ad some basic otios

More information

Approximations and more PMFs and PDFs

Approximations and more PMFs and PDFs Approximatios ad more PMFs ad PDFs Saad Meimeh 1 Approximatio of biomial with Poisso Cosider the biomial distributio ( b(k,,p = p k (1 p k, k λ: k Assume that is large, ad p is small, but p λ at the limit.

More information

STAT Homework 1 - Solutions

STAT Homework 1 - Solutions STAT-36700 Homework 1 - Solutios Fall 018 September 11, 018 This cotais solutios for Homework 1. Please ote that we have icluded several additioal commets ad approaches to the problems to give you better

More information

Lecture 11: Decision Trees

Lecture 11: Decision Trees ECE9 Sprig 7 Statistical Learig Theory Istructor: R. Nowak Lecture : Decisio Trees Miimum Complexity Pealized Fuctio Recall the basic results of the last lectures: let X ad Y deote the iput ad output spaces

More information

Ada Boost, Risk Bounds, Concentration Inequalities. 1 AdaBoost and Estimates of Conditional Probabilities

Ada Boost, Risk Bounds, Concentration Inequalities. 1 AdaBoost and Estimates of Conditional Probabilities CS8B/Stat4B Sprig 008) Statistical Learig Theory Lecture: Ada Boost, Risk Bouds, Cocetratio Iequalities Lecturer: Peter Bartlett Scribe: Subhrasu Maji AdaBoost ad Estimates of Coditioal Probabilities We

More information

Statisticians use the word population to refer the total number of (potential) observations under consideration

Statisticians use the word population to refer the total number of (potential) observations under consideration 6 Samplig Distributios Statisticias use the word populatio to refer the total umber of (potetial) observatios uder cosideratio The populatio is just the set of all possible outcomes i our sample space

More information

Reliability and Queueing

Reliability and Queueing Copyright 999 Uiversity of Califoria Reliability ad Queueig by David G. Messerschmitt Supplemetary sectio for Uderstadig Networked Applicatios: A First Course, Morga Kaufma, 999. Copyright otice: Permissio

More information

(A sequence also can be thought of as the list of function values attained for a function f :ℵ X, where f (n) = x n for n 1.) x 1 x N +k x N +4 x 3

(A sequence also can be thought of as the list of function values attained for a function f :ℵ X, where f (n) = x n for n 1.) x 1 x N +k x N +4 x 3 MATH 337 Sequeces Dr. Neal, WKU Let X be a metric space with distace fuctio d. We shall defie the geeral cocept of sequece ad limit i a metric space, the apply the results i particular to some special

More information

MATH 112: HOMEWORK 6 SOLUTIONS. Problem 1: Rudin, Chapter 3, Problem s k < s k < 2 + s k+1

MATH 112: HOMEWORK 6 SOLUTIONS. Problem 1: Rudin, Chapter 3, Problem s k < s k < 2 + s k+1 MATH 2: HOMEWORK 6 SOLUTIONS CA PRO JIRADILOK Problem. If s = 2, ad Problem : Rudi, Chapter 3, Problem 3. s + = 2 + s ( =, 2, 3,... ), prove that {s } coverges, ad that s < 2 for =, 2, 3,.... Proof. The

More information

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 19 11/17/2008 LAWS OF LARGE NUMBERS II THE STRONG LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 19 11/17/2008 LAWS OF LARGE NUMBERS II THE STRONG LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS MASSACHUSTTS INSTITUT OF TCHNOLOGY 6.436J/5.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 9 /7/2008 LAWS OF LARG NUMBRS II Cotets. The strog law of large umbers 2. The Cheroff boud TH STRONG LAW OF LARG NUMBRS While the weak

More information

HOMEWORK #10 SOLUTIONS

HOMEWORK #10 SOLUTIONS Math 33 - Aalysis I Sprig 29 HOMEWORK # SOLUTIONS () Prove that the fuctio f(x) = x 3 is (Riema) itegrable o [, ] ad show that x 3 dx = 4. (Without usig formulae for itegratio that you leart i previous

More information

6. Sufficient, Complete, and Ancillary Statistics

6. Sufficient, Complete, and Ancillary Statistics Sufficiet, Complete ad Acillary Statistics http://www.math.uah.edu/stat/poit/sufficiet.xhtml 1 of 7 7/16/2009 6:13 AM Virtual Laboratories > 7. Poit Estimatio > 1 2 3 4 5 6 6. Sufficiet, Complete, ad Acillary

More information

Recursive Algorithms. Recurrences. Recursive Algorithms Analysis

Recursive Algorithms. Recurrences. Recursive Algorithms Analysis Recursive Algorithms Recurreces Computer Sciece & Egieerig 35: Discrete Mathematics Christopher M Bourke cbourke@cseuledu A recursive algorithm is oe i which objects are defied i terms of other objects

More information

1 Approximating Integrals using Taylor Polynomials

1 Approximating Integrals using Taylor Polynomials Seughee Ye Ma 8: Week 7 Nov Week 7 Summary This week, we will lear how we ca approximate itegrals usig Taylor series ad umerical methods. Topics Page Approximatig Itegrals usig Taylor Polyomials. Defiitios................................................

More information

TMA4205 Numerical Linear Algebra. The Poisson problem in R 2 : diagonalization methods

TMA4205 Numerical Linear Algebra. The Poisson problem in R 2 : diagonalization methods TMA4205 Numerical Liear Algebra The Poisso problem i R 2 : diagoalizatio methods September 3, 2007 c Eiar M Røquist Departmet of Mathematical Scieces NTNU, N-749 Trodheim, Norway All rights reserved A

More information

EE 6885 Statistical Pattern Recognition

EE 6885 Statistical Pattern Recognition EE 6885 Statistical Patter Recogitio Fall 5 Prof. Shih-Fu Chag http://www.ee.columbia.edu/~sfchag Lecture 6 (9/8/5 EE6887-Chag 6- Readig EM for Missig Features Textboo, DHS 3.9 Bayesia Parameter Estimatio

More information

Properties and Hypothesis Testing

Properties and Hypothesis Testing Chapter 3 Properties ad Hypothesis Testig 3.1 Types of data The regressio techiques developed i previous chapters ca be applied to three differet kids of data. 1. Cross-sectioal data. 2. Time series data.

More information

EE / EEE SAMPLE STUDY MATERIAL. GATE, IES & PSUs Signal System. Electrical Engineering. Postal Correspondence Course

EE / EEE SAMPLE STUDY MATERIAL. GATE, IES & PSUs Signal System. Electrical Engineering. Postal Correspondence Course Sigal-EE Postal Correspodece Course 1 SAMPLE STUDY MATERIAL Electrical Egieerig EE / EEE Postal Correspodece Course GATE, IES & PSUs Sigal System Sigal-EE Postal Correspodece Course CONTENTS 1. SIGNAL

More information

Understanding Samples

Understanding Samples 1 Will Moroe CS 109 Samplig ad Bootstrappig Lecture Notes #17 August 2, 2017 Based o a hadout by Chris Piech I this chapter we are goig to talk about statistics calculated o samples from a populatio. We

More information

ECE 901 Lecture 12: Complexity Regularization and the Squared Loss

ECE 901 Lecture 12: Complexity Regularization and the Squared Loss ECE 90 Lecture : Complexity Regularizatio ad the Squared Loss R. Nowak 5/7/009 I the previous lectures we made use of the Cheroff/Hoeffdig bouds for our aalysis of classifier errors. Hoeffdig s iequality

More information

Machine Learning Brett Bernstein

Machine Learning Brett Bernstein Machie Learig Brett Berstei Week 2 Lecture: Cocept Check Exercises Starred problems are optioal. Excess Risk Decompositio 1. Let X = Y = {1, 2,..., 10}, A = {1,..., 10, 11} ad suppose the data distributio

More information

1 Review of Probability & Statistics

1 Review of Probability & Statistics 1 Review of Probability & Statistics a. I a group of 000 people, it has bee reported that there are: 61 smokers 670 over 5 960 people who imbibe (drik alcohol) 86 smokers who imbibe 90 imbibers over 5

More information

This exam contains 19 pages (including this cover page) and 10 questions. A Formulae sheet is provided with the exam.

This exam contains 19 pages (including this cover page) and 10 questions. A Formulae sheet is provided with the exam. Probability ad Statistics FS 07 Secod Sessio Exam 09.0.08 Time Limit: 80 Miutes Name: Studet ID: This exam cotais 9 pages (icludig this cover page) ad 0 questios. A Formulae sheet is provided with the

More information

x a x a Lecture 2 Series (See Chapter 1 in Boas)

x a x a Lecture 2 Series (See Chapter 1 in Boas) Lecture Series (See Chapter i Boas) A basic ad very powerful (if pedestria, recall we are lazy AD smart) way to solve ay differetial (or itegral) equatio is via a series expasio of the correspodig solutio

More information

5 : Exponential Family and Generalized Linear Models

5 : Exponential Family and Generalized Linear Models 0-708: Probabilistic Graphical Models 0-708, Sprig 206 5 : Expoetial Family ad Geeralized Liear Models Lecturer: Matthew Gormley Scribes: Yua Li, Yichog Xu, Silu Wag Expoetial Family Probability desity

More information

FACULTY OF MATHEMATICAL STUDIES MATHEMATICS FOR PART I ENGINEERING. Lectures

FACULTY OF MATHEMATICAL STUDIES MATHEMATICS FOR PART I ENGINEERING. Lectures FACULTY OF MATHEMATICAL STUDIES MATHEMATICS FOR PART I ENGINEERING Lectures MODULE 5 STATISTICS II. Mea ad stadard error of sample data. Biomial distributio. Normal distributio 4. Samplig 5. Cofidece itervals

More information

5. Likelihood Ratio Tests

5. Likelihood Ratio Tests 1 of 5 7/29/2009 3:16 PM Virtual Laboratories > 9. Hy pothesis Testig > 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 5. Likelihood Ratio Tests Prelimiaries As usual, our startig poit is a radom experimet with a uderlyig sample space,

More information

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/15.070J Fall 2013 Lecture 2 9/9/2013. Large Deviations for i.i.d. Random Variables

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/15.070J Fall 2013 Lecture 2 9/9/2013. Large Deviations for i.i.d. Random Variables MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.265/15.070J Fall 2013 Lecture 2 9/9/2013 Large Deviatios for i.i.d. Radom Variables Cotet. Cheroff boud usig expoetial momet geeratig fuctios. Properties of a momet

More information

Mathematical Statistics - MS

Mathematical Statistics - MS Paper Specific Istructios. The examiatio is of hours duratio. There are a total of 60 questios carryig 00 marks. The etire paper is divided ito three sectios, A, B ad C. All sectios are compulsory. Questios

More information

Hypothesis Testing. Evaluation of Performance of Learned h. Issues. Trade-off Between Bias and Variance

Hypothesis Testing. Evaluation of Performance of Learned h. Issues. Trade-off Between Bias and Variance Hypothesis Testig Empirically evaluatig accuracy of hypotheses: importat activity i ML. Three questios: Give observed accuracy over a sample set, how well does this estimate apply over additioal samples?

More information

Chapter 6 Sampling Distributions

Chapter 6 Sampling Distributions Chapter 6 Samplig Distributios 1 I most experimets, we have more tha oe measuremet for ay give variable, each measuremet beig associated with oe radomly selected a member of a populatio. Hece we eed to

More information

Basis for simulation techniques

Basis for simulation techniques Basis for simulatio techiques M. Veeraraghava, March 7, 004 Estimatio is based o a collectio of experimetal outcomes, x, x,, x, where each experimetal outcome is a value of a radom variable. x i. Defiitios

More information

Title: Damage Identification of Structures Based on Pattern Classification Using Limited Number of Sensors

Title: Damage Identification of Structures Based on Pattern Classification Using Limited Number of Sensors Cover page Title: Damage Idetificatio of Structures Based o Patter Classificatio Usig Limited Number of Sesors Authors: Yuyi QIAN Akira MITA PAPER DEADLINE: **JULY, ** PAPER LENGTH: **8 PAGES MAXIMUM **

More information

A statistical method to determine sample size to estimate characteristic value of soil parameters

A statistical method to determine sample size to estimate characteristic value of soil parameters A statistical method to determie sample size to estimate characteristic value of soil parameters Y. Hojo, B. Setiawa 2 ad M. Suzuki 3 Abstract Sample size is a importat factor to be cosidered i determiig

More information