Characteristics of a NIDIS Pilot Project Colorado Basin
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- Garey Matthews
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1 Characteristics of a NIDIS Pilot Project Colorado Basin NIDIS Implementation Meeting Longmont, Colorado September 21-22, 2006 Dave Brandon Manager/Director Hydrology & Climate Services Division NOAA- Western Region Headquarters
2 Characteristics of a Pilot Project Focus on Providing Key Benefits You can t do everything at once Link into short-term opportunities Demonstrate a Quick pay-off to Congress/Nation Best way to keep things rolling Scalable and Customizable to the variety of Stakeholders Detection is Important Forecasts are Vital to support an Early warning system
3 Characteristics of a Pilot Project Leverage Existing Resources So much has already been done Don t reinvent the wheel Clear Project & Strategic Plan Define short, medium and long-term deliverables Demonstrate Across Sectors Water, Ag, Health, economy, etc. Demonstrate a Range of Climate Services Data, Forecasts, Analysis, Context Info
4 Characteristics of a Pilot Project Quantify the Value Involve the Research Community Medium and Long Term Deliverables Coordination is Needed Government Agencies, Research Community, Stakeholders. NIDIS Program Office. Acquire Early Stakeholder Feedback and Buy-In
5 NIDIS Early Beginnings Pilot Project NOAA--Western Region 3/8/2006 Meeting-SLC,Utah NOAA-NCTP NOAA-NCDC NOAA-OAR NOAA-/OHD NOAA-/CPC NOAA-/CSD NOAA-/WR Chet Koblinsky Tom Karl Randy Dole Gary Carter Jim Laver Bob Livezey Vickie Nadolski Birth of Baby (AZ) NIDIS A Pilot Project This Baby is Growing Fast.and Changing. and expand to the Colorado Basin!
6 Strengths for the Colorado Basin Federal Interagency Committee Well Established Colorado River Forecast Services Committee USGS, USCE, USDA (NRCS),NOAA () USBR (Lower & Upper Colorado), WAPA Very Active and Well Established State Drought Programs and Infrastructure Well Established Water Supply & River Forecast Program in NOAA- River Forecast Centers, NRCS Water supply forecasts are available for over 50 years!
7 Strengths for the Colorado Basin Very Proactive RISAs Focused In Drought/Climate (Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments ) Very Important for interfacing Stakeholders CLIMAS (Climate Assessment for the Southwest) Tucson, Arizona WWA (Western Water Assessment) Boulder, Colorado Long History, Understanding, Cooperation among groups for Interstate/Interbasin Activities
8 Strengths for the Colorado Basin Strong Awareness of the Importance of Water-Drought Water is the Life-blood of the Colorado Basin Skill in Climate Forecasting Useful for Early Warning NOAA-Climate Diagnostic Center in Boulder Well Established Rain/River Gage Network and Database (AFWS, -CBRFC) Various Institutes - Arizona Water Institute Arizona Flood Warning System Interagency Committee ( 23 Fed, State, Locals )
9 Strengths for the Colorado Basin River Forecast Center CBRFC Utilizes Climate Forecasts in Water Supply Forecasts Innovative Ensemble Streamflow Prediction Distributed model in Arizona and expanding to the entire Colorado Basin-potential for many products (e.g. Soil Moisture Modeling) Leverage off Existing NOAA Programs Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services Water Resources Initiative Leveraging off Current Work e.g., South Carolina Interactive GIS Displays
10 One Example of a Focus Area Soil Moisture Grids Observed & Forecast Multisensor- Precipitation Estimator Hourly Precipitation Grids Uses all Observed Precipitation Gages Combined with NEXRAD & Satellite Estimates Used as Input to Distributed Model Hourly Precipitation Large Scale Display Soil Moisture Hourly Precipitation Blow Up/Salt-Verde Input to Soil Moisture Model Calibrated with Observed Soil Moisture Distributed Soil Moisture Hourly Time Step Calibrated With with NERON Soil Moisture -Soil Moisture Observations Sites
11 Another Example of a Focus Area Enhanced Water Supply Forecasts
12 Leveraging Off Water Resources Initiative Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services River Services (600 miles per forecast point) River channel Developed Shrubs/Grass Agriculture Wetlands Forecast Point Forecast Basin Water Resource Services (6 square mile forecast basins) Lztwm No Data Soil Conditions
13 Next Steps Draft Plan Has Been Prepared Revised Based on Recent NIDIS Meetings Meet With Principals and Augment With Next Level of Detail
14 Summary Water Management is Hugh in the Colorado Basin Rapid NIDIS Prototype Opportunity for Early Feedback and Learning New Products for Drought Assessment/Decision Making Builds on Existing High Value Product Suite Leverages Off Existing Resources/Programs Increase Organization Collaboration
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