Final Agenda. Third Capacity Building Workshop of the WMO/IOC Data Buoy Cooperation Panel

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1 Final Agenda Third Capacity Building Workshop of the WMO/IOC Data Buoy Cooperation Panel (DBCP) for the North Pacific Ocean and Its Marginal Seas (NPOMS-3) Application of Regional Ocean Observations for Increasing Society s Understanding and Forecasting of Typhoons 6-8 October 2014 Kyoto Japan Venue: Uji Campus of Kyoto University Workshop Hotel Daiwa Roynet Hosted by Disaster Prevention Research Institute (DPRI) and Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability (GSAIS) Kyoto University, Japan 1

2 NPOMS-3 is One in a Series of IOC/WMO JCOMM PANGEA Capacity Building Workshops 1 st Western Indian Ocean Capacity Building Workshop 2 nd Western Indian Ocean Capacity Building Workshop 3 rd Western Indian Ocean Capacity Building Workshop 4 th Western Indian Ocean Capacity Building Workshop 5 th Western Indian Ocean Capacity Building Workshop Second Typhoon Workshop for the North Pacific Ocean and Marginal Seas (NPOMS-2) 1 st In-Region Capacity Building Workshop for Asian Countries Remote Access via GoToMeeting (ctrl+click) Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP). Or, call in using your telephone. Dial +1 (571) Access Code: Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID:

3 NPOMS-3 Organizing Committee 1. Tetsuya Takemi (Co-Chair) - Associate Professor - Disaster Prevention Research Institute (DPRI), Kyoto University 2. Yosuke Yamashiki (Co-Chair) - Professor, Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability (GSAIS), Kyoto University 3. Al Wallace Chair, Data Buoy Cooperation Panel (DBCP) 4. Byung Gul Lee - Chair NPOMS-1, Director Jeju South Korea Sea Grant 5. Dake Chen Chair NPOMS-2, Director of the State Key Lab of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics (SOED), Second Institute of Oceanography, SOA 6. Joe Cione - NOAA Hurricane Research 7. David Meldrum, Scottish Association of Marine Sciences (SAMS) 8. I. I. Lin - National Taiwan University 9. Scott Glenn - Rutgers COOL 10. Etienne Charpentier - WMO Secretariat 11. Tom Gross - IOC Secretariat 12. Sidney Thurston - DBCP Task Team for Capacity Building 3

4 NPOMS-3 Terms of Reference The Following Goals and Actions reflect the needs of this NPOMS-3 Workshop and of the Regional long-term Ocean-Climate Monitoring Capacity for Cyclogenesis Research and Forecasting: 1. Review recent, on-going and planned regional programs on typhoon and its interaction with the ocean, 2. Discuss new advances in our understanding of the processes and mechanisms of typhoonocean interaction, 3. Explore the possibility of regional collaboration to improve typhoon observation and prediction, 4. Design an Optimal and cost-effective Observing System for NPOMS Cyclogenesis Research and Forecasting, 5. Demonstrate the crucial role of Western Pacific (WESTPAC) ocean observations, such as for understanding and predicting regional cyclogenesis, 6. Build Regional and National Human, Institutional and Infrastructure Capacity Needed to Acquire, Process and Deliver Socio-Economic Benefits From Ocean Observations, 7. Continue to Learn Practical Implementation Skills for the Deployment of Operational Data Buoys at Sea, the Collection of Buoy Data, and Related Data Management, 8. Continue to Align with Objectives of the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) to Deliver Ocean Data to the End-User, 9. Enhance Coordination and Cooperation between the DBCP Task Team for Capacity Building (TT-CB), WMO Regional Associations (RA-II/V) and the IOC Regional Office for WESTPAC. 4

5 Final Workshop Agenda (Note: Each Presentation Includes 10 Minutes for Q&A) TIME SUBJECT LEAD Day 1: Monday 6 October Opening Day Remarks, Reviews of Relevant Research Programs and Regional Studies Chair: Sidney Thurston Rapporteur: Yoshi Miyamoto 09:30-10:00 10:00-10:30 10:30-11:00 Opening Ceremony VIP addresses Representation of the Evolution and Intensity of Typhoon Haiyan (2013) in Numerical Simulations at O(1 km) Resolutions for the Assessment of Typhoon Hazards Continental Oceanic Mutual Interaction - Material Circulation from Land to Ocean During Typhoon Hirohiko Ishikawa - DPRI Shuichi Kawai - GSAIS David Meldrum JCOMM Sidney Thurston - DBCP Tetsuya Takemi (DPRI) Yosuke Yamashiki (GSAIS) 11:00-11:30 Tea Break & Group Photography All Workshop Participants 11:30-12:00 12:00-12:30 12:30-13:00 Uncertainty of Worst Case Storm Surge Considering Climate Change - Case Study of Ise Bay Assessment of Heavy Rainfall-induced Disaster Potential Based on an Ensemble Simulation of Typhoon Talas (2011) Category-6 typhoon Haiyan, Ocean Subsurface Warming, and Ocean Coupling Potential Intensity Index 13:00-14:00 Lunch 14:00-14:30 14:30-15:00 15:00-15:30 Optimizing Observing Systems and Sampling Strategies to Better Evaluate and Improve Model Physical Processes Intensity Hindcasts on the 2004 Pacific Typhoons Using a High-Resolution Tropical Cyclone Model Flood and Inundation Estimation Caused by the Largest Class Typhoon 15:30-16:00 Afternoon Tea Break 16:00-16:15 Pacific Island GOOS Report Tomohiro Yasuda (DPRI, SOUSEI D) Yuichiro Oku (Osaka City Institute of Public Health and Environmental Sciences, SOUSEI D) I.I. Lin (National Taiwan University) Joe Cione (NOAA Hurricane Research) Jun Yoshino (Graduate School of Engineering, Gifu University, SOUSEI D) Sunmin Kim (Graduate School of Engineering, Kyoto Univ, SOUSEI D) Tommy Moore (PI GOOS Officer) 5

6 16:15-16:30 Thailand National Report 16:30-16:45 Marshall Islands National Report 16:45-17:00 Palau National Report Chakkrit Reamruk/Viriya Laung- Aram (Thai Navy) Lee Jacklick (NOAA Marshall Islands) Sania El Kadi (Palau UNESCO Delegate) Sidney Thurston (DBCP) 17:00-17:30 Discussion of Today's Hot Topics Tetsuya Takemi (DPRI) 18:00~ Social Hosted by Japan Disaster Prevention Research Institute (DPRI) TIME SUBJECT LEAD Day 2: Tuesday 7 October Technology of Ocean Data Buoys, Applying Ocean Observation to Typhoon Research and Forecast Chair: Scott Glenn Rapporteur: Joe Cione 9:00 Daily Planning Objectives: Review from Yesterday 9:00-9:30 9:30-10:00 The Barometer Drifter, A Cost Effective Technology For Providing Sea Level Pressure Observations, and Addressing Multiple Requirements U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) Responds to Hurricanes Irene and Sandy Response of Ocean-mixed Layer Current to Typhoons 10:00-10:30 of Different Intensities in the Northwestern Pacific from Drifter Data 10:30-11:00 Morning Tea Break Submarine Communications Cables for Climate Change 11:00-11:30 Monitoring and Disaster Warning: a Joint ITU/WMO/IOC Initiative Regional Ocean Modeling with JCOPE System: Simulation of Ocean Response on Typhoons 11:30-12:00 and Other Extreme Atmospheric Events and Role of Ocean Buoys Information Features of Wind Waves and Swell Derived from the Deep- 12:00-12:30 Water Buoy Deployed at the Western North Pacific Ocean During Typhoon Season 12:30-13:30 Lunch Sidney Thurston (DBCP) Etienne Charpentier WMO Scott Glenn (Rutgers COOL) Ruo-Shan Tseng (National SunYat-sen University) David Meldrum (SAMS) Dr. Varlamov Sergey (APL/JCOPE) Terng Chuen Teyr (Taiwan Central Weather Bureau) 6

7 13:30-14:00 14:00-14:30 Targeted in-situ Tropical Cyclone Observations from Air-deployed Drifters Update: China 973 Project on Ocean-Typhoon Interaction Luca Centurioni (Scripps Institution of Oceanography) Dake Chen (SOA/SIO, Via Internet) 14:30-14:45 Discussion of Today's Hot Topics Sidney Thurston (DBCP) Yosuke Yamashiki (GSAIS) 14:45 Afternoon Tea Break & Kyoto Excursion TIME SUBJECT LEAD Day 3: Wednesday 8 October Understanding the Processes and Mechanisms of Typhoon-Ocean Interaction, Concluding Remarks Chair: Sania El Kadi Rapporteur: Etienne Charpentier 9:30 Daily Planning Objectives: Review from Yesterday 9:30-10:00 WIGOS Implementation 10:00-10:30 WMO/IOC Partnerships for New GEOSS Applications (PANGEA) 10:30-11:00 Cyclones Modulated by Monsoon Over Bay of Bengal 11:00-11:30 Morning Tea Break 11:30-12:00 Role of an Ocean State Estimation in Better Understanding the Processes and Mechanisms of Typhoon-Ocean Interaction Developing an Analytical Model for the Maximum 12:00-12:30 Potential Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Incorporating the Effects of Ocean Mixing 12:30-14:00 Lunch 14:00-14:30 Parameterization of Coupled Atmospheric-Ocean-Wave Model for Typhoon Simulation Round Table Discussion: Designing the Optimal Ocean Observing System for NPOMS Cyclogenesis 14:30-15:30 Forecasting- Continuation from NPOMS-2 15:30-16:00 Afternoon Tea Break Sidney Thurston (DBCP) Etienne Charpentier (WMO) Sidney Thurston (NOAA Office of Climate Observation) Weidong Yu (SOA/FIO, Via Internet) Shuhei Masuda (RIGC) Yoshi Miyamoto (RIKEN) Nobuhito Mori (DPRI, SOUSEI D) Lead: Joe Cione All Workshop Participants 7

8 16:00-16:30 Workshop Recommendations and Future DBCP NPOMS Capacity Building Planning Sidney Thurston (DBCP) Etienne Charpentier 16:30-16:45 Closing Remarks (WMO) 16:45 Conclude the Third DBCP NPOMS-3 8

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