Polar Prediction Workshop 2017 & 2nd Sea Ice MlP Meeting
|
|
- Bernice Price
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Polar Prediction Workshop 2017 & 2nd Sea Ice MlP Meeting March 2017 Deutsches Schiffahrtsmuseum, Bremerhaven, Germany SIMIP Monday 27 March 09:30-13:00 Registration & poster setup Alfred Wegener Lecture :30-11:00 Coffee and Tea 11:00-12:00 Alfred Wegener Lecture A Decade of Sea Ice Prediction 12:00-13:00 Reception and lunch break Cecilia Bitz Welcome & Introductory Session (chair: TBD) 13:00-13:15 Welcome from PCPI, PPP, SIPN, CliC/SIMIP Workshop Organizers 13:15-13:20 Local arrangements Kirstin Werner 13:20-13:40 Preparing for the Sea Ice Outlook Season 2017 Julienne Stroeve 13:40-14:00 The Year of Polar Prediction Thomas Jung Session I - Observations (chair: TBD) 14:00-14:30 Recent developments in satellite data sets for model initialisation 14:30-14:45 Health break 14:45-16:00 5 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each Leif Toudal Pedersen How to make the best use of L-band satellite radiometry for sea ice prediction Lars Kaleschke Using CryoSat-2 sea ice thickness distribution to constrain the CICE sea ice model David Schroeder
2 An East Antarctic observatory for marine cryosphere and near-surface atmosphere The Oliktok Point Observatory: Providing New Perspectives on the Arctic Atmosphere Quantification of the biases and error in the Polar Pathfinder dataset: towards a new optimally interpolated sea ice drift dataset Petra Heil/Jan Lieser Gijs de Boer Bruno Tremblay 16:00-16:30 Coffee break (& posters) Session II Forecasting (chair: TBD) 16:30-17:30 4 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each The Sea Ice Drift Forecast Experiment Short Term Sea Ice Forecasts Improvements in probablistic seasonal forecasts of Arctic sea ice Skillful regional prediction of Arctic sea ice on seasonal timescales Helge Goessling Axel Schweiger Arlan Dirkson Mitch Bushuk 17:30-18:00 Health break (& posters) 18:00-19:00 Guided Tour German Shipping Museum (Deutsches Schiffahrtsmuseum, ca 1 /participant) Tuesday 28 March Session III Statistical Forecasting (chair: TBD) 09:00-09:30 2 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each Skillful seasonal sea ice forecasts using satellite derived ice-ocean observations: Results for September Arctic sea ice and beyond Data-adaptive Harmonic Decomposition and Realtime Prediction of Arctic Sea Ice Extent Session IV Data Assimilation (chair: TBD) Alek Petty Dmitri Kondrashov 09:30-10:00 Assimilation of sea ice within the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model Madlen Kimmritz 10:00-10:15 1 talk 15 (10 +5 ) Simultaneous assimilation of CryoSat-2 and SMOS sea ice thickness data with a local SEIK filter into a regional ice-ocean coupled model improves overall model performance Qinghua Yang/Longjiang Mu 10:15-10:25 Group photo 10:25-11:00 Coffee break (& posters) 11:00-11:30 2 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each Improving Arctic Sea Ice Prediction in the NCEP Climate Forecast System by Assimilating Satellitederived Sea Ice Concentration and Thickness Impact of initialising sea ice using CryoSat2 thickness within the Met Office's coupled seasonal prediction system. Jiping Liu Ed Blockley
3 Session V New Models (chair: TBD) 11:30-12:00 2 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each Towards sea ice forecasting in the Kara Sea: A regional setup for NEMO-LIM3 A coupled ROMS-CICE model for the Arctic Andrea Gierisch Keguang Wang 12:00-13:15 Lunch break 13:15-13:45 2 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each New Lagrangian sea-ice model nextsim as a forecast model Atmospheric dynamics and predictability of sea ice Session VI Reanalyses and Atmospheric Dynamics Einar Olason Steven Cavallo 13:45-14:15 Sea ice reanalyses: how useful are they and can we trust them? François Massonnet 14:15-14:45 2 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each Polar lows in high-resolution atmospheric reanalyses Medium-range predictability of an extreme Arctic cyclone in August :45-15:15 Coffee break (& posters) Helene Bresson Akio Yamagami Session VII Predictability Limits (chair: TBD) 15:15-15:45 2 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each Evaluating Antarctic sea ice predictability at seasonal to interannual timescales in global climate models Towards seasonal Arctic sea route predictions Sylvain Marchi Jonny Day Session VIII Services (chair: TBD) 15:45-16:00 1 talk 15 (10 +5 ) On the strategy of sea-ice service delivery - An Australian Antarctic perspective Jan Lieser Session IX Long-term Variability and Change (chair: TBD) 16:00-16:30 2 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each Poster Session Sea-Ice Predictability in the MiKlip prediction system Quantifying drivers of internal sea-ice variability using feedback locking Daniel Senftleben Dirk Olonscheck 16:30-17:00 1 slide / 1 poster teaser presentations 17:00-19:00 Poster session (with drinks & light food, sponsored by AWI)
4 Wednesday 29 March Oral Session IX Long-term Variability and Change (continued) (chair: TBD) 09:00-09:30 Keynote When is all the sea ice gone? Dirk Notz 09:30-10:30 4 talks 15 (10 +5 ) each Predictability of Arctic sea ice under different emission scenarios Sea ice evolution in the Pacific Arctic by selected CMIP5 models: the present and the future Drivers of past and future Arctic Ocean warming in CMIP5 models Faster Arctic Sea Ice Retreat in CMIP5 than in CMIP3 due to Volcanoes 10:30-11:00 Coffee break (& posters) Alexandra Jahn Muyin Wang Clara Burgard Erica Rosenblum Discussion and Wrap-up (chair: TBD) 11:00-11:30 Recommendations for SIO :30-12:15 Discussion (details to be determined) 12:15-12:30 Wrap-up and closing PPW2017 Workshop Organizers 12:30-13:30 Lunch break (Catered lunch, sponsored by CliC) Sea Ice MIP Session I: How to evaluate sea-ice models (challenges and new opportunities) 13:30-13:45 Welcome, overview of workshop goals Alexandra Jahn & Dirk Notz 13:45-15:00 Setting the scene (5 minute talks) internal variability (TBD) model tuning (TBD) inconsistent variable definitions (TDB) observational uncertainty (TBD) model selection/model weighting (TBD) recent model developments (TBD) recent observational developments - in situ recent observational developments remote sensing (TBD) (TBD) 15:00-15:30 Coffee Break 15:30-16:45 Breakout groups on challenges and opportunities 16:45-17:30 Plenum: summary of breakout groups 19:30-open No-host Villa Seebeck
5 Thursday 30 March Sea Ice MIP Session II: Concrete ways forward 09:00-10:30 Plenum: planned experiments and useful joint studies within SIMIP/ breakout groups 10:30-11:00 Coffee Break 11:00-12:00 Discussion of possible joint paper/workshop report, close List of Acronyms AWI CLIC PCPI PPP PPW SIMIP SIO SIPN WCRP WMO WWRP YOPP Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research Climate and Cryosphere Polar Climate Predictability Initiative Polar Prediction Project Polar Prediction Workshop Sea Ice Model Intercomparison Project Sea Ice Outlook Sea Ice Prediction Network World Climate Research Programme World Meteorological Organization World Weather Research Programme Year of Polar Prediction
Polar Prediction Workshop 2017 & 2nd Sea Ice MlP Meeting
Polar Prediction Workshop 2017 & 2nd Sea Ice MlP Meeting 27-30 March 2017 Deutsches Schiffahrtsmuseum, Bremerhaven, Germany SIMIP Monday 27 March 09:30-13:00 Registration Alfred Wegener Lecture 2017 10:30-11:00
More informationThe Global Integrated Polar Prediction System (GIPPS) and the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP)
The Global Integrated Polar Prediction System (GIPPS) and the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) Thomas Jung Alfred Wegener Institute, Bremerhaven, Germany PRCC Scoping Workshop, 17 November 2015, Geneva
More informationThe WWRP Polar Prediction Project ( )
The WWRP Polar Prediction Project (2013-2022) Thomas Jung Chair of the WWRP Polar Prediction Project Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research 29 September 2014 1 Arctic
More informationEC-PORS III Research. Sodankylä, February Developing a Polar Prediction System
EC-PORS III Research Sodankylä, February 2012 Developing a Polar Prediction System Polar Prediction System - Status 1. EC-PORS I (Oct. 2009) -> initial discussions 2. WWRP/THORPEX Polar Prediction Workshop,
More informationInternational workshop on polar-lower latitude linkages and their role in weather and climate prediction
International workshop on polar-lower latitude linkages and their role in weather and climate prediction Breakout group (BOG) Session Agenda Chair Rapporteur Ocean Michael Karcher Johann Jungclaus Atmosphere
More informationArctic sea ice prediction from days to centuries
21-26 January 2018 Arctic sea ice prediction from days to centuries Are we there yet? François Massonnet September 2007: the Arctic black swan Arctic sea ice prediction: an emerging area of research Number
More informationFAMOS for YOPP Forum for Arctic Modeling and Observational Synthesis (FAMOS) for Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP)
FAMOS for YOPP Forum for Arctic Modeling and Observational Synthesis (FAMOS) for Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) Andrey Proshutinsky (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution) and research FAMOS team YOPP-Summit
More information1. Objectives (1/2 page, review the main objectives of the WG/Project/etc)
Polar Prediction Project 1. Objectives (1/2 page, review the main objectives of the WG/Project/etc) The Polar Prediction Project has been initiated following the WMO's Executive Council meeting (EC-64)
More informationGOTHAM Summer School Program
GOTHAM Summer School Program MONDAY, 18 September: Welcome Introduction to all topics (ENSO, midlatitude flow, stratospheric teleconnections, monsoons) and to practical sessions 9:00 AM 9:20 AM Welcome
More informationAGENDA. Tuesday, November 3, School for young scientist. Cape Codder Resort and Spa, 1225 Iyannough Rd, Hyannis, MA02601
4 nd FAMOS School and Meeting AGENDA Tuesday, November 3, 2015 2015 School for young scientist Cape Codder Resort and Spa, 1225 Iyannough Rd, Hyannis, MA02601 8:15 8:30 Coffee 8:30 9:00 Introductions from
More information(1) Arctic Sea Ice Predictability,
(1) Arctic Sea Ice Predictability, (2) It s Long-term Loss and Implications for Ocean Conditions Marika Holland, NCAR With contributions from: David Bailey, Alex Jahn, Jennifer Kay, Laura Landrum, Steve
More informationClimate and Cryosphere Contributions for the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP)
Climate and Cryosphere Contributions for the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) 11 June 2015 Authors: Alice Bradley, University of Colorado, Boulder, USA (alice.bradley@colorado.edu) François Massonnet, Université
More informationOverview of Ongoing and Planned Coordination Activities for the Year of Polar Prediction
An Update from the International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction (ICO) WWRP Kirstin Werner, Thomas Jung, Helge Goessling, Stefanie Klebe, Winfried Hoke Alfred Wegener Institute, Bremerhaven, Germany
More information216 UCB. Earth system. variability. Sharon Cecilia 7:30 AM
Polar Research Board & Ocean Studies Board ANTARCTIC SEA ICE VARIABILITY AND TRENDS IN THE SOUTHERN OCEAN CLIMATE SYSTEM January 11 12, 2016 University of Colorado Boulder CIRES Auditorium Roomm 338 216
More informationYear of Polar Prediction (YOPP): Arcticmidlatitude linkages considered from a prediction perspective
Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP): Arcticmidlatitude linkages considered from a prediction perspective Thomas Jung, Tido Semmler, Soumia Serrar, Marta Kasper & PPP steering group Alfred Wegener Institute
More informationTowards Seamless Sea Ice Drift Forecasting The Sea-Ice Drift Forecast Experiment SIDFEx
Towards Seamless Sea Ice Drift Forecasting The Sea-Ice Drift Forecast Experiment SIDFEx Axel Schweiger, Helge Goessling Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Thomas Krumpen, Marcel Nicolaus, Ruediger Gerdes Ignatius
More informationUpdate from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
JSC-34 Brasilia, May 2013 Update from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Adrian Simmons Consultant, ECMWF First main message ECMWF has a continuing focus on a more seamless approach
More informationAGENDA. NOTE # 1: Oral presentation time = 12 minutes + 3 minutes for questions (AGU style)
7 th FAMOS School and Meeting AGENDA Important information for meeting participants NOTE # 1: Oral presentation time = 12 minutes + 3 minutes for questions (AGU style) NOTE #2: All Posters will be displayed
More informationThe WWRP Polar Prediction Project
The WWRP Polar Prediction Project Thomas Jung Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research June 2012 1 Outline Background and mission statement Research goals Year of Polar Prediction Strategies
More informationThe 3 rd Chinese- Finnish bilateral workshop on Polar Meteorology, Climate and Sea Ice: Towards Better Operational Services for the Society
The 3 rd Chinese- Finnish bilateral workshop on Polar Meteorology, Climate and Sea Ice: Towards Better Operational Services for the Society Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, 5-7 June, 2017
More informationWMO Consultation Workshop on the Provision of Meteorological, Hydrological and Climate Information Products and Services to United Nations and other
Session 1: Setting the scene WMO Consultation Workshop on the Provision of Meteorological, Hydrological and Climate Information Products and Services to United Nations and other Humanitarian Agencies 3
More informationWP 4 Testing Arctic sea ice predictability in NorESM
WP 4 Testing Arctic sea ice predictability in NorESM Jens Boldingh Debernard SSPARSE Kick-off meeting 08.11.2016 Norwegian Meteorological Institute Background Inherent coupled problem Time-frame relevant
More informationUpdate on Climate Science. Professor Richard Betts, Met Office
Update on Climate Science Professor Richard Betts, Met Office The science of climate change Crown copyright Met Office Prof Richard Betts Head of Climate Impacts Research Crown copyright Met Office Observing
More informationAustralian Considerations for the Year of Polar Prediction
Australian Considerations for the Year of Polar Prediction 2017-2018 Mawson (1954) Davis (1957) Macquarie Is. (1948) Casey (1969) Photos by Christopher Wilkins (AAD) Observations Surface Observations upper
More informationCurrent status and plans for developing sea ice forecast services and products for the WMO Arctic Regional Climate Centre Sea Ice Outlook
Current status and plans for developing sea ice forecast services and products for the WMO Arctic Regional Climate Centre 2018 Sea Ice Outlook 13 WMO Global Producing Centres providing seasonal forecasts
More informationWMO/WWRP/THORPEX World Weather Open Science Conference Sunday 17 Thursday 21 August 2014, Montréal, Canada Scientific Program
WMO/WWRP/THORPEX World Weather Open Science Conference Sunday 17 Thursday 21 August 2014, Montréal, Canada Scientific Program The overarching theme of the OSC is Seamless Prediction of the Earth System:
More informationData assimilation with sea ice models
SIPN workshop NCAR, Boulder 1-2 April 2014 Data assimilation with sea ice models François Massonnet brine content mixed layer heat content heat content concentration thickness brine content mixed layer
More informationDates: 15 th -26 th August Venue: ICPAC, Nairobi, Kenya
Dagoreti Corner, P O Box 10304, 00100 Nairobi, Kenya; Tel: 254-20-3514426 E-mail: director@icpac.net Website: www.icpac.net PRECOFF44 Capacity Building &Training Workshops on Dynamical and Statistical
More informationChallenges and Observational Requirements for Advancement of Process-Oriented Regional Arctic Climate Modeling and Prediction
Challenges and Observational Requirements for Advancement of Process-Oriented Regional Arctic Climate Modeling and Prediction Wieslaw Maslowski 2 and Annette Rinke 1 1 Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI), 2
More informationY6 GMPV5.8/AS4.18/CL3.9
CL Climate: Past, Present, Future (#EGU15CL) Orals Monday, 13 April MO1, 08:30 10:00 MO2, 10:30 12:00 MO3, 13:30 15:00 MO4, 15:30 17:00 TU1, 08:30 10:00 TU2, 10:30 12:00 CL3.6/AS1.25, Extreme Events and
More informationAn introduction to SPARSE. Keguang Wang Norwegian Meteorological Institute
An introduction to SPARSE Keguang Wang Norwegian Meteorological Institute SPARSE project information Developing and Advancing Seasonal Predictability of Arctic Sea Ice RCN s KLIMAFORSK project 01.10.2016-31.03.2020
More informationThe Norwegian Climate Predic4on Model (NorCPM)
WGSIP mee4ng - Modelling Centers: Norway The Norwegian Climate Predic4on Model (NorCPM) Noel Keenlyside, Francois Counillon, Ingo Bethke, Yiguo Wang, Mao-Lin Shen, Madlen Kimmritz, Marius Årthun, Tor Eldevik,
More informationSMOSIce L-Band Radiometry for Sea Ice Applications
Institute of Environmental Physics University of Bremen SMOSIce L-Band Radiometry for Sea Ice Applications Georg Heygster 1), Christian Haas 2), Lars Kaleschke 3), Helge Rebhan 5), Detlef Stammer 3), Rasmus
More informationCL Climate: Past, Present, Future Orals and PICOs Monday, 08 April. Tuesday, 09 April. EGU General Assembly 2013
CL Climate: Past, Present, Future Orals and PICOs Monday, 08 April MO1, 08:30 10:00 MO2, 10:30 12:00 MO3, 13:30 15:00 MO4, 15:30 17:00 MO5, 17:30 19:00 TU1, 08:30 10:00 CL0, Open Session on Climate: Past,
More informationMACSSIMIZE. Measurements of Arctic Clouds, Snow, and Sea Ice nearby the Marginal Ice ZonE. Principal investigator. Chawn Harlow
MACSSIMIZE Measurements of Arctic Clouds, Snow, and Sea Ice nearby the Marginal Ice ZonE Principal investigator Chawn Harlow chawn.harlow@metoffice.gov.uk Met Office Areas of contribution Polar atmospheric
More informationChallenges for Climate Science in the Arctic. Ralf Döscher Rossby Centre, SMHI, Sweden
Challenges for Climate Science in the Arctic Ralf Döscher Rossby Centre, SMHI, Sweden The Arctic is changing 1) Why is Arctic sea ice disappearing so rapidly? 2) What are the local and remote consequences?
More informationClimate model evaluation using GPS-RO data
Climate model evaluation using GPS-RO data Mark Ringer, Met Office Hadley Centre ROM-SAF workshop, ECMWF, 16-18 June 2014 Outline Intro using satellite data for model evaluation Evaluation of the new Hadley
More information30 May - 1 June 2018, Barcelona, Spain PROVISIONAL AGENDA
30 May - 1 June 2018, Barcelona, Spain PROVISIONAL AGENDA Day 1, 30 May (Wednesday) 08:30-09:00 Registration of participants 09:00-10:30 Session 1: Setting the scene Chair: F.Doblas-Reyes Rapporteur 1
More informationSea-Ice Prediction in the GFDL model framework
Sea-Ice Prediction in the GFDL model framework NGGPS Sea Ice Model Workshop February 3, 2016 Mitch Bushuk Princeton University and GFDL With contributions from: Michael Winton, Robert Hallberg, Rym Msadek,
More informationOVERALL PROGRAMME. Sunday 16 October 2016:
Sunday 16 October 2016: OVERALL PROGRAMME - Arrival in Morocco (landing either in Casablanca, with transfers to hotel to be organized by EGS, or Rabat) - Hosted dinner for the European Geological Surveys,
More informationEvaluation of the sea ice forecast at DMI
DMI Evaluation of the sea ice forecast at DMI Till A. S. Rasmussen 1 Kristine S. Madsen 1, Mads H. Ribergaard 1, Leif T.Pedersen 1, Jacob L Høyer 1, Gorm Dybkjær 1, Mads Bruun Poulsen 2 and Sofie Abildgaard
More informationMulti-Model Calibrated Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasts of Regional Arctic Sea Ice Coverage
Multi-Model Calibrated Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasts of Regional Arctic Sea Ice Coverage 2018 Polar Prediction Workshop Arlan Dirkson, William Merryfield, Bertrand Denis Thanks to Woosung Lee and Adam
More informationArctic sea ice seasonal-to-decadal variability and long-term change
Arctic sea ice seasonal-to-decadal variability and long-term change Dirk Notz Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany doi: 10.22498/pages.25.1.14 Introduction The large-scale loss of Arctic
More informationSub-seasonal predictions at ECMWF and links with international programmes
Sub-seasonal predictions at ECMWF and links with international programmes Frederic Vitart and Franco Molteni ECMWF, Reading, U.K. Using ECMWF forecasts, 4-6 June 2014 1 Outline Recent progress and plans
More informationThe Year of Polar Prediction
The Year of Polar Prediction White Paper submitted to the Arctic Observing Summit 2016 Authors: Helge Goessling*, Thomas Jung, Stefanie Klebe, Neil Gordon, Peter Bauer, Alice Bradley, David Bromwich, Barbara
More informationSPARC Data Assimilation (DA) and SPARC - Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP) Workshops
SPARC Data Assimilation (DA) and SPARC - Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP) Workshops September 8-12, 2014 NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (NCWCP) 5830 University Research Court,
More informationSea Ice Forecast Verification in the Canadian Global Ice Ocean Prediction System
Sea Ice Forecast Verification in the Canadian Global Ice Ocean Prediction System G Smith 1, F Roy 2, M Reszka 2, D Surcel Colan, Z He 1, J-M Belanger 1, S Skachko 3, Y Liu 3, F Dupont 2, J-F Lemieux 1,
More informationArctic climate simulations by coupled models - an overview -
Arctic climate simulations by coupled models - an overview - Annette Rinke and Klaus Dethloff Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Research Department Potsdam, Germany Surface temperature
More informationAn Assessment of the Navy's Sea Ice Outlook Predictions for 2014
An Assessment of the Navy's Sea Ice Outlook Predictions for 2014 Pam Posey 1, Rick Allard 1, David Hebert 1, Joe Metzger 1, Ruth Preller 1, Alan Wallcraft 1, Ole Martin Smedstad 2, Michael Phelps 3 and
More informationWorld Weather Research Programme Strategic plan Estelle de Coning, Paolo Ruti, Julia Keller World Weather Research Division
World Weather Research Programme Strategic plan 2016-2023 Estelle de Coning, Paolo Ruti, Julia Keller World Weather Research Division The World Weather Research Programme MISSION: The WMO World Weather
More informationOverview of data assimilation in oceanography or how best to initialize the ocean?
Overview of data assimilation in oceanography or how best to initialize the ocean? T. Janjic Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Germany Outline Ocean observing system Ocean
More informationIPCC Workshop on Sea Level Rise and Ice Sheet Instabilities
IPCC Workshop on Sea Level Rise and Ice Sheet Instabilities Hilton Hotel, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 21-24 June 2010 PROGRAMME Sunday, 20 June 2010 18:00 19:30 Early Registration and Welcome Reception (Sponsored
More informationThe WWRP Polar Prediction Project
The Polar Prediction Project Thomas Jung, Steering Group Chair Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research June 2012 1 Outline Background and mission statement Research goals Year of Polar Prediction
More informationClimate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research Volume 1: Regional Overview
Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research Volume 1: Regional Overview Australian Bureau of Meteorology and Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
More informationSea ice thickness. Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth University of Washington
Sea ice thickness Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth University of Washington Sea ice thickness Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth University of Washington Part II: variability Sea ice thickness Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth
More informationAGENDA Version 4 (08 May 2018)
AGENDA Version 4 (08 May 2018) Advancing MOSAiC Science 28 May 1 June, 2018 Alfred Wegener Institute Potsdam, Germany Meeting Objectives: To strengthen the links between MOSAiC science objectives and the
More informationNOAA Arctic Priorities and Potential Contributions to PPP/YOPP. Randall Dole NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Physical Sciences Division
NOAA Arctic Priorities and Potential Contributions to PPP/YOPP Randall Dole NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Physical Sciences Division 1 NOAA s Arctic Goals Forecast Sea Ice Strengthen Foundational
More informationDeveloping Operational MME Forecasts for Subseasonal Timescales
Developing Operational MME Forecasts for Subseasonal Timescales Dan C. Collins NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Acknowledgements: Stephen Baxter and Augustin Vintzileos (CPC and UMD) 1 Outline I. Operational
More informationIntercomparison of the Arctic sea ice cover in global ocean-sea ice reanalyses
Intercomparison of the Arctic sea ice cover in global ocean-sea ice reanalyses Matthieu Chevallier (CNRM, Météo France/CNRS) Greg Smith, Frédéric Dupont, Jean-François Lemieux (ECC Canada), Gilles Garric
More informationImportance of physics, resolution and forcing in hindcast simulations of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice variability and trends
WCRP Workshop on Seasonal to Multi-Decadal Predictability of Polar Climate Bergen, 25-29 October 2010 Importance of physics, resolution and forcing in hindcast simulations of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice
More informationSouth Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-6)
Sixth Session of South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-6) Dhaka, Bangladesh, 19-22 April 2015 Consensus Statement Summary Below normal rainfall is most likely during the 2015 southwest monsoon season
More informationEarth System Modeling & Prediction Processes & Observations
Earth System Modeling & Prediction Processes & Observations The ESMP/P&O programmes in the Deep South National Science Challenge Olaf Morgenstern 1 & Adrian McDonald 2 1 NIWA, Wellington 2 U. Canterbury,
More informationWMO Space Programme: anticipated evolution and a Picture of Development of a Vision of WIGOS Space-based Component in 2040
WMO Space Programme: anticipated evolution and a Picture of 2040 --Development of a Vision of WIGOS Space-based Component in 2040 Wenjian Zhang Director, Observing and Information Systems Department &
More informationArctic Regional Ocean Observing System Arctic ROOS Report from 2012
Arctic Regional Ocean Observing System Arctic ROOS Report from 2012 By Stein Sandven Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (www.arctic-roos.org) Focus in 2012 1. Arctic Marine Forecasting Center
More informationWorld Weather Research Programme (WWRP)
World Weather Research Programme () Gilbert Brunet /JSC Chair GIFS WCRP TIGGE JSC Committee WG Meeting, 34 th Met Session, Office, Brasilia, Exeter, 13 th June, 2013 Brazil, 27-31 May 2013 Long-term objectives
More informationNKS-B ICP User Seminar Program Overview
Program Overview Monday, 25th September Tuesday, 26th September Wednesday, 27th Sept. H. H. Koch, building 112 H. H. Koch, building 112 Buildings 202 and 204 8:00 Registration Radioanalytical method development
More informationPredicting climate extreme events in a user-driven context
www.bsc.es Oslo, 6 October 2015 Predicting climate extreme events in a user-driven context Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes BSC Earth Sciences Department BSC Earth Sciences Department What Environmental forecasting
More informationSecond Session of the Pan-Arctic Regional Climate Outlook Forum (PARCOF-2), virtual forum, October 2018
Second Session of the Pan-Arctic Regional Climate Outlook Forum (PARCOF-2), virtual forum, October 2018 Consensus Statement for the Arctic Winter 2018-2019 Season Outlook Climate change in the Arctic is
More informationGPC Exeter forecast for winter Crown copyright Met Office
GPC Exeter forecast for winter 2015-2016 Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5 (GloSea5) ensemble prediction system the source for Met Office monthly and seasonal forecasts uses a coupled model (atmosphere
More informationUsing Arctic Ocean Color Data in ocean-sea ice-biogeochemistry seasonal forecasting systems
Using Arctic Ocean Color Data in ocean-sea ice-biogeochemistry seasonal forecasting systems Matthieu Chevallier 1 The POLARIS project David Salas y Mélia 1, Roland Séférian 1, Marion Gehlen 2, Gilles Garric
More informationThe exceptional Arctic winter 2005/06
SPARC data assimilation workshop, 2-4 October 2006 The exceptional Arctic winter 2005/06 An example to investigate polar processes using different assimilations systems 1, Gloria Manney 2,3, Steven Pawson
More informationESSReS-L4: 17 Aug 20 Aug, 2009 Introduction to the interdisciplinary field of Earth System Science Research, Part IV
ESSReS-L4: 17 Aug 20 Aug, 2009 Introduction to the interdisciplinary field of Earth System Science Research, Part IV Physics and Chemistry of the Atmosphere, Remote Sensing and Phytooptics 2 Editor in
More informationWorld Weather Research Programme
World Weather Research Programme Sarah Jones, Chair WWRP SSC Paolo M Ruti, Chief WWRD,WMO Christof Stache/AFP/Ge3y Images; Marina Shemesh /publicdomainpictures.net; Alexandros Vlachos/EPA; NOAA NWS; NOAA
More informationInterannual Variations of Arctic Cloud Types:
Interannual Variations of Arctic Cloud Types: Relationships with Sea Ice and Surface Temperature Ryan Eastman Stephen Warren University of Washington Department of Atmospheric Sciences Changes in Arctic
More informationSouth Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-12)
Twelfth Session of South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-12) Pune, India, 19-20 April 2018 Consensus Statement Summary Normal rainfall is most likely during the 2018 southwest monsoon season (June
More informationIABP Deployment Plans for 2004
IABP Buoy Positions IABP Deployment Plans for 2004 SPRING NPEO (Multiple buoys provided by NOAA/PMEL, JAMSTEC, & CRREL) EC/NIC- CES (80N 120W, & 80N 130W) SUMMER IARC/NABOS Cruise 2 NOAA-PSC IMB (North
More informationThe ENSEMBLES Project
The ENSEMBLES Project Providing ensemble-based predictions of climate changes and their impacts by Dr. Chris Hewitt Abstract The main objective of the ENSEMBLES project is to provide probabilistic estimates
More informationGlobal warming Summary evidence
Global warming Summary evidence Learning goals Observations of global temperature change How/why we can be confident in the results Difference between forcing and response Notion of an interaction The
More informationLower Stratospheric Cooling. and. Abrupt Change in Arctic Sea Ice
Lower Stratospheric Cooling and Abrupt Change in Arctic Sea Ice Carl Drews March 16, 2007 ATOC 7500-002 Human Influences on Weather and Climate University of Colorado at Boulder Dr. Roger Pielke Sr, Instructor
More informationThe CONCEPTS Global Ice-Ocean Prediction System Establishing an Environmental Prediction Capability in Canada
The CONCEPTS Global Ice-Ocean Prediction System Establishing an Environmental Prediction Capability in Canada WWOSC 2014 Montreal, Quebec, Canada Dorina Surcel Colan 1, Gregory C. Smith 2, Francois Roy
More informationPolar Weather Prediction
Polar Weather Prediction David H. Bromwich Session V YOPP Modelling Component Tuesday 14 July 2015 A special thanks to the following contributors: Kevin W. Manning, Jordan G. Powers, Keith M. Hines, Dan
More informationImpact of METOP ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds in the NCEP GDAS/GFS and NRL NAVDAS
Impact of METOP ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds in the NCEP GDAS/GFS and NRL NAVDAS COAMPS @ Li Bi 1,2 James Jung 3,4 Michael Morgan 5 John F. Le Marshall 6 Nancy Baker 2 Dave Santek 3 1 University Corporation
More informationMeteorological Cooperation in the Arctic. Perspectives from Finland
Meteorological Cooperation in the Arctic Perspectives from Finland Improving public safety, better data coverage, enhancing arctic climate science VAWS Webinar Series Fairbanks, Alaska May 10th 2017 Finland
More informationSpace Science Training Week data driven modeling and forecasting
Joint eheroes/charm 2013 summer school : Space Science Training Week data driven modeling and forecasting KU Leuven, Belgium 16 to 19 September 2013 eheroes: EC-FP7 funded project, will be introduced by
More informationHow to shape future met-services: a seamless perspective
How to shape future met-services: a seamless perspective Paolo Ruti, Chief World Weather Research Division Sarah Jones, Chair Scientific Steering Committee Improving the skill big resources ECMWF s forecast
More informationDevelopment of a high-resolution Earth System model and its application in CMIP6
Development of a high-resolution Earth System model and its application in CMIP6 Complex Earth system models, such as the model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI- ESM), have a reduced resolution
More informationAsian THORPEX Implementation Plan
Asian THORPEX Implementation Plan 1. Introduction This document is to describe the Implementation Plan of the Asian THORPEX, that the Asian THORPEX Regional Committee (ARC) approves. THORPEX was established
More informationClimate outlook, longer term assessment and regional implications. What s Ahead for Agriculture: How to Keep One of Our Key Industries Sustainable
Climate outlook, longer term assessment and regional implications What s Ahead for Agriculture: How to Keep One of Our Key Industries Sustainable Bureau of Meteorology presented by Dr Jeff Sabburg Business
More informationinterpreted by András Horányi Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Seasonal Forecasts Anca Brookshaw (anca.brookshaw.ecmwf.int)
interpreted by András Horányi (C3S) Seasonal Forecasts Anca Brookshaw (anca.brookshaw.ecmwf.int) Seasonal forecasts in C3S essential climate variables climate indicators reanalysis Climate Data Store (CDS)
More informationSub-seasonal predictions at ECMWF and links with international programmes
Sub-seasonal predictions at ECMWF and links with international programmes Frederic Vitart and Franco Molteni ECMWF, Reading, U.K. 1 Outline 30 years ago: the start of ensemble, extended-range predictions
More informationWWRP Polar Prediction Project YOPP Modelling Plan (1st edition)
WWRP/PPP No. 6-2017 WWRP Polar Prediction Project YOPP Modelling Plan (1st edition) WEATHER CLIMATE WATER WWRP/PPP No. 6-2017 WWRP POLAR PREDICTION PROJECT YOPP MODELLNG PLAN (1 st edition) By the YOPP
More informationActivities of the World Climate Research Programme Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction (WGSIP)
Activities of the World Climate Research Programme Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction (WGSIP) Bill Merryfield and Doug Smith WGSIP co-chairs WMO OCP-2, 30 May-1 June 2018, Barcelona
More informationRussian research highlights for the Arctic. Vladimir Kattsov
Russian research highlights for the Arctic Vladimir Kattsov State of the Arctic Conference, Miami, USA, 16 March 2010 2009 4 2007 2008 3 2070? 2 1 0 Adapted from J.Overland, 2007? 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
More informationClimate Models and Snow: Projections and Predictions, Decades to Days
Climate Models and Snow: Projections and Predictions, Decades to Days Outline Three Snow Lectures: 1. Why you should care about snow 2. How we measure snow 3. Snow and climate modeling The observational
More informationResearch Programme Polar, Marine and Coastal Systems. Current and future Arctic research priorities of Germany Nicole Biebow, AWI
Research Programme Polar, Marine and Coastal Systems Current and future Arctic research priorities of Germany Nicole Biebow, AWI Arctic Science and Technology (S&T) Collaboration and Engagement Workshop,
More informationWIGOS, the RRR, and the Vision for WIGOS in 2040
WIGOS, the RRR, and the Vision for WIGOS in 2040 Lars Peter Riishojgaard WIGOS Project Office, WMO Secretariat WMO; Observing and Information Systems Department) Overview 1. Brief introduction to WIGOS
More informationInvestigating Coastal Polynya Thin Sea Ice State in the Laptev Sea Using TerraSAR-X Dual-Pol Stripmap Data
Investigating Coastal Polynya Thin Sea Ice State in the Laptev Sea Using TerraSAR-X Dual-Pol Stripmap Data Thomas Busche (1), Irena Hajnsek (1), Thomas Krumpen (2), Lasse Rabenstein (2), Jens Hoelemann
More informationEarly Successes El Nino Southern Oscillation and seasonal forecasting. David Anderson, With thanks to Magdalena Balmaseda, Tim Stockdale.
Early Successes El Nino Southern Oscillation and seasonal forecasting David Anderson, With thanks to Magdalena Balmaseda, Tim Stockdale. Summary Pre TOGA, the 1982/3 El Nino was not well predicted. In
More informationProjections of future climate change
Projections of future climate change Matthew Collins 1,2 and Catherine A. Senior 2 1 Centre for Global Atmospheric Modelling, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading 2 Met Office Hadley Centre,
More informationValidation of satellite derived snow cover data records with surface networks and m ulti-dataset inter-comparisons
Validation of satellite derived snow cover data records with surface networks and m ulti-dataset inter-comparisons Chris Derksen Climate Research Division Environment Canada Thanks to our data providers:
More information