Volcanic risk and civil protection implications in Italy

Transcription

1 1st IAVCEI/GVM workshop From volcanic hazard to risk assessment Volcanic risk and civil protection implications in Italy Geneve, June 2018 Domenico Mangione and Chiara Cristiani National Civil Protection Department Volcanic Risk Unit

2 THE NATIONAL CIVIL PROTECTION SYSTEM The civil protection system is composed by a framework of authorities, operational structures (i.e. fire fighters, police, army...), scientific components and volunteers operating at different territorial levels in a coordinated way. The aim of the activities is to preserve and protect the human life, the settlements, and the environment from the hazards. (Main tasks (Coordination

3 D.Lgs. 1/2018 CHARACTERIZATION OF EVENTS A Natural or man made events that could be faced by single local administrations in an ordinary way. (MUNICIPALITY B Natural or man made events that could be managed locally in coordination by more than one local administration; MORE MUNICIPALITIES, PROVINCES, REGIONS C Natural or man made calamities that given the size and impact, must be managed rapidly with extraordinary efforts for a limited period of time. (GOVERNMENT

4 THE OPERATIONAL COMMITTEE Registro italiano dighe CNMCA ANAS Compagnie telefoniche Forze di Polizia Conferenza unificata Stato/Regioni/Citt à ed autonomie locali Croce Rossa italiana Corpo Nazionale del Soccorso Alpino e Speleologico Capo del Dipartimento della Protezione Civile ISPRA INGV ANAS Gruppo gestori elettricità Volontariato Ministero della Salute Corpo Nazionale dei Vigili del Fuoco Corpo Forestale dello Stato CNR Forze Armate Autostrade Gruppo Ferrovie dello Stato ENAC

5 VOLCANIC HAZARDS Explosive activity Blocks and bombs Lava Ash PDC Forest fires Landslides Tsunamis Lahars Gas emissions Earthquakes

6 POPULATION EXPOSED Stromboli Population Vulcano Ischia Etna Campi Flegrei Red zone Vesuvio Red zone Campi Flegrei Vesuvio Yellow zone Yellow zone Over 2 Million people are exposed to volcanic hazards

7 THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY Directive of the Prime Minister of 27 February 2004 Operational guidelines for the organization and functionality of the National Warning system CENTRI DI COMPETENZA Monitoring and surveillance, data, elaborations, technical and scientific support, hazard, vulnerability Links:

8 RISK ASSESSMENT WHAT WE NEED HAZARD Identify the hazards which might affect the system and assess their likelihood or probability. RISK EXPOSURE WHO and what is at risk? VULNERABILITY Estimate the vulnerability of the hazard to the entity exposed in order to calculate the physical or financial impact upon that entity (people, objects, systems) Estimate the potential financial or social consequences of different magnitudes

9 RISK ASSESSMENT WHO DOES WHAT? Hazard Vulnerability Exposure Applied research projects Agreements INGV Centro Studi Plinivs Istat (census data) Universities Research institutes Regions and Municipalities Other stakeholders Scientific Community RISK ASSESSMENT? CGR Civil Protection (national and local) Other stakeholders

10 RISK ASSESSMENT WHERE ARE WE? VESUVIO LONG TERM ASSESSMENT Identified the hazards Determined the exposure (in terms of population number) Estimated the vulnerability for ash fallout and seismic events PDC and ash fallout risk zones have been determined National emergency plan under construction SHORT TERM ASSESSMENT? CAMPI FLEGREI Identified the hazards Determined the exposure (in terms of population number) Estimated the vulnerability for ash fallout and seismic events PDC and ash fallout risk zones have been determined National emergency plan under construction? ISCHIA AND VULCANO Identified the hazards

11 RISK ASSESSMENT WHERE ARE WE? LONG TERM ASSESSMENT SHORT TERM ASSESSMENT STROMBOLI Identified the hazards (tsunami) hazard zones have been determined (Stromboli island) Identified the hazards (explosive activity) Hazard zone has been determined ETNA Identified the hazards (lava flows threatening cities) Identified the hazards (explosive activity) Hazard zone has been determined

12 RISK ASSESSMENT CIVIL PROTECTION PERSPECTIVE LONG TERM ASSESSMENT for national impact scenarios; useful for the development of the national emergency plans and connected procedures; it could be used for policy making in terms of risk reduction (landuse policies, no building zones); involves a large number of stakeholders (national civil protection, scientific community and the entire national civil protection system stakeholders); useful for the deployment of sector plans VOLCANIC RISK SHORT TERM ASSESSMENT active volcanoes (e.g. Stromboli and Etna); useful for the development of the regional and local emergency plans and connected procedures; better support to local authorities in order to develop effective policies for people who are exposed everyday to hazards in volcanic touristic areas; supports local civil protection authorities in decision making; H E V RISK