11 TH ANNUAL ENERGY FORECASTING MEETING
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1 11 TH ANNUAL ENERGY FORECASTING MEETING Las Vegas, Nevada
2 AGENDA Wednesday 7:45-8:45 Breakfast 8:45-9:00 Opening, Welcome - Eric Fox, Itron 9:00-10:00 Economic Review and Outlook - Stephen P. A. Brown, PhD, UNLV 10:00-11:00 Introductions / Issue Facing Forecasters - Mark Quan, Itron 11: Break 11:15-12:00 Preliminary Forecasting Accuracy Survey & Energy Trends - Mark Quan & Stuart McMenamin, Itron 12:00-1:30 Lunch 1:30 2:30 AEO Residential and Commercial Updates - Erin Boedecker, U.S. Energy Information Administration 2:30 3:15 SAE Model Updates - Oleg Moskatov & Eric Fox, Itron 3:15-3:30 Break 3:30-4:00 Appliance Standards: Recent, Current, and Future Status Building Codes: Opportunities to Claim Savings from Increased Code Compliance - John Cymbalsky, U.S. Dept. of Energy 5:00-7:00 Cocktail Reception
3 AGENDA Thursday 7:30-8:30 Breakfast 8:30-9:00 Integrating the Impacts of DSM through the SAE Model Framework - Terry Baxter, NV Energy 9:00 10:30 Peak Forecasting Panel Peak Forecasting - Tom Haymaker, Clark Public Utilities LADWP Peak Demand Forecast Methodology - Mike Cockayne, LADWP Peak Forecasting with End Use information - Steve Wills, Ameren Round Table Discussion - Mark Quan, Itron 10:30-11:00 Break 11:00-12:00 Industry Updates Weather Response with Nonparametric Regression Methods -Bo Xing, Salt River PV Penetration Forecast: Moving Beyond Compliance Targeting - Matt Croucher, APS 12:00-1:30 Lunch 1:30-2:00 The Daily Tracker: Keeping Management Informed -Dena Norton, DTE 2:00-3:00 Showcasing your Forecast Real Life Examples and Lessons Learned Vitalika Quenville, PowerStream Sunny Grigorova, CEPCI Round Table Discussion -Andy Sukenik, Itron 3:00-3:15 Break 3:15-3:45 The Magic of Elasticity Stat Corner - Stuart McMenamin, Itron 3:45 4:00 Software Update - Stuart McMenamin, Itron 4:00-4: Meeting Discussion
4 Itron s 11 th Annual Energy Forecasting Conference Las Vegas Nevada Sarah Ahr Load Forecasting and Research Analyst Xcel Energy sarah.k.bahl@xcelenergy.com Al Bass Senior Energy Forecast Analyst Kansas City Power & Light albert.bass@kcpl.com Terry Baxter Manager of Load Forecasting Nevada Power Company terrybaxter@nvenergy.com Erin Boedecker Buildings Analysis Team Lead EIA Erin.Boedecker@eia.gov Stephen Brown Professor of Economics and Director University of Nevada, Las Vegas SPA.Brown@UNLV.EDU Arthur Butcher Manager, Generation Research & Planning CPS Energy ajbutcher@cpsenergy.com Tatiana Chicu Energy Acquisition Analyst Exelon Tatiana.Chicu@exeloncorp.com Michael Cockayne Load Forecast Supervisor Los Angeles Department of Water & Power michael.cockayne@ladwp.com Michael Colby Senior Business/Economic Advisor San Diego Gas & Electric MColby@semprautilities.com Matthew Croucher Chief Economist APS matthew.croucher@aps.com Joanna Cucchi Senior Electric Business Analyst Roseville Electric JCucchi@roseville.ca.us John Cymbalsky Program Manager, Appliance Standards and Building Codes US Department of Energy John.Cymbalsky@EE.Doe.Gov Zoe Dadap Regulatory Planner Utility Austin Energy zoe.dadap@austinenergy.com Matthew Dirksen Sr. Sales and Revenue Forecaster Integrys Energy Solutions MMDirksen@integrysgroup.com Presented by Itron
5 Itron s 11 th Annual Energy Forecasting Conference Las Vegas Nevada Nathan Donahoe Load and Revenue Specialist Tennessee Valley Authority nmdonahoe@tva.gov Matt Dudden Corporate Economist Colorado Springs Utilities mdudden@csu.org Brent Eldridge Analyst Entergy Services, Inc beldrid@entergy.com Jessica feng Analyst Central Electric Power Cooperative jfeng@cepci.org Jenni Fontaine Forecasting Analyst Alberta Electric System Operator jenni.fontaine@aeso.ca Grant Forsyth Chief Economist Avista Utilities Grant.Forsyth@avistacorp.com Svetla Grigorova Senior Economist Central Electric Power Cooperative SGrigorova@CEPCI.ORG James Habberfield Forecasting and Procurement Supervisor Duquesne Light Company jhabberfield@duqlight.com Tom Haymaker Slice Manager Clark Public Utilities thaymaker@clarkpud.com Chris Heiniger Energy Analyst I LG&E Energy Stephen.Heiniger@lge-ku.com David Houlihan Lead Analyst - Sales and Load Forecasting NYSEG and RGE dlhoulihan@nyseg.com Robert Kachmar Planning and Forecasting Analyst Peoples Natural Gas Robert.Kachmar@peoples-gas.com Debra Kanner Advisor FirstEnergy Corp dkanner@firstenergycorp.com Kerry Kaseman Load Forecaster Otter Tail Power Company kkaseman@otpco.com Presented by Itron
6 Itron s 11 th Annual Energy Forecasting Conference Las Vegas Nevada Nick Kessler Rate Analyst Vectren Corporation nkessler@vectren.com Emma Latino Forecast Analyst APS emma.latino@aps.com Ed Lynch Sr Financial Specialist Duke Energy edward.lynch@pgnmail.com Ian MacKillop Supervisor, Load and Revenue Nova Scotia Power inc Ian.MacKillop@nspower.ca Swetha Meenakshi Sundaram Associate research analyst IPL swetha.meenakshi@aes.com Hubert Miller Principal Analyst Consumers Energy HUBERT.MILLERIII@cmsenergy.com Norman Muraya Engineer C Austin Energy norman.muraya@austinenergy.com Dena Norton Energy Analyst DTE Energy nortond@dteenergy.com Ralph Pacheco Associate Forecast Analyst Xcel Energy Inc ralph.pacheco@xcelenergy.com Vitalika Quenville Rates & Regulatory Affairs PowerStream Inc vitalika.quenville@powerstream.ca Abdul Razack Analyst NV Energy arazack@nvenergy.com Kristopher Rowsell Market Analyst Ontario Power Generation kristopher.rowsell@opg.com Amita Rustagi Sr. Analyst - Financial Business Planning PPL Electric Utilities arustagi@pplweb.com Raymond Sand Economist & Forecasting Specialist Dairyland Power Cooperative rms@dairynet.com Presented by Itron
7 Itron s 11 th Annual Energy Forecasting Conference Las Vegas Nevada John Snyder Specialist III, Load Forecasting TVA jdsnyde0@tva.gov Robert Zacher Principal Financial Analyst ComEd robert.zacher@comed.com Hillary Stewart Business Analyst FirstEnergy Corp hstewart@firstenergycorp.com Aslam Tajim Forecasting Assistant Dairyland Power Cooperative aht@dairynet.com Dagnatchew (DAG) Tessema Economic and Electric and Gas Load Forecasting Analyst CPS Energy dwtessema@cpsenergy.com Steve Wills Managing Supervisor, Quantitative Analytics Ameren Corporation swills@ameren.com Mike Wu Sr. Loads and Resources Engineer CAISO mwu@caiso.com Bo Xing Sr. Planning Analyst SRP Bo.Xing@srpnet.com Presented by Itron
8 ITRON FORECASTING CONTACTS San Diego Office ( or ): J. Stuart McMenamin, Managing Director, Forecasting Frank Monforte, Director, Forecasting Christine Fordham, Principal Forecast Consultant Mark Quan, Principal Forecast Consultant Andy Sukenik, Senior Forecast Consultant Shannon Ashburn, Senior Forecast Analyst Paige Schaefer, Senior Forecast Analyst From the Boston Office ( ): Eric Fox, Director, Forecasting Rich Simons, Principal Forecast Consultant Oleg Moskatov, Forecast Analyst Energy Forecasting West El Camino Real San Diego, CA Phone: Toll Free: Fax: Energy Forecasting East 20 Park Plaza Boston, MA Phone: Fax:
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