Ref.: MWR-D Monthly Weather Review Editor Decision. Dear Prof. Monteverdi,

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Ref.: MWR-D Monthly Weather Review Editor Decision. Dear Prof. Monteverdi,"

Transcription

1 Ref.: MWR-D Monthly Weather Review Editor Decision Dear Prof. Monteverdi, I have obtained reviews of your manuscript, "AN ANALYSIS OF THE 7 JULY 2004 ROCKWELL PASS, CA TORNADO: HIGHEST ELEVATION TORNADO DOCUMENTED IN THE U.S." This review is provided below, and is also available on the Editorial Manager website (see link at the end of this letter). The reviewer recommends major revisions, and notes that "In some respects, this paper shows substantial improvement." (I note that this reviewer previously recommended rejection.) Based on my reading of the article, I agree with the main points of the reviewer, especially for "Major Item" #2. The discussion in the latter half of the article seems needlessly long, speculative, and sometimes discusses processes that are impossible to assess with the available data. I ask that you follow the reviewer's 4 suggestions to modify this part of the article. The official editorial decision is Return for Minor Revisions. (Note: I do not think that the revisions needed to address the reviewer's concerns would rise to the level of "major" because it seems no new figures and analyses are needed; rather, revisions to existing figures/text should cover things.) However, I may ask this reviewer to take one last look at the revised manuscript to see if his/her concerns have been addressed. Please submit a revised paper by Oct 14, If you anticipate problems meeting this deadline, please contact me as soon as possible at gbryan@ucar.edu to discuss an extended due date. Along with your revision, please upload a point-by-point response that satisfactorily addresses the concerns and suggestions of each reviewer. Should you disagree with any of the proposed revisions, you will have the opportunity to explain your rationale in your response. No separate cover letter to me is needed unless it contains essential information that does not appear in your reply. Before submitting your revision, please carefully review the AMS Guidelines for Revisions found at to be sure you have complied with all instructions for quick processing of your revised manuscript. Please note that figure source files formatted for publication must be uploaded for

2 ALL revisions. Ensure that your figures adhere to the requirements for Journals authors: Please enter the figure number in the description field when uploading your figure files (or on the Attach Files page after upload). This is required even if the figure number is already in the file name. When you are ready to submit your revision, go to and log in as an Author. Click on the menu item labeled "Submissions Needing Revision" and follow the directions for submitting the file. Thank you for submitting your manuscript to MWR. I look forward to receiving your revision. With best regards, Dr. George H. Bryan Editor Monthly Weather Review *********************************************************** REVIEWER COMMENTS Reviewer #1: MWR-D Manuscript Title: An Analysis of the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, CA Tornado: Highest Elevation Tornado Documented in the U.S. Authors: J. P. Monteverdi, R. Edwards, and G. J. Stumpf Recommendation: Accept with Major Revisions This paper presents the case that the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, CA tornado is the highest elevation tornado documented in the U.S. The subject matter and rarity of high elevation events like this would certainly be of interest to many potential MWR readers. Most of the paper is devoted to examining the mesoscale environment around the Rockwell Pass region in hopes of gaining insight into the convective organizational mode during/near the time of the tornado. In some respects, this paper shows substantial improvement over its predecessor, as the authors have corrected numerous problems and added a key supporting figure (Fig. 5) that orientates the reader regarding the relative positions of the key observer, tornado and Rockwell Pass. They have improved

3 their estimated proximity sounding and hodograph and have eliminated more definitive claims about the storm mode that could not be substantiated with the available data. Still, a couple major problems remain. The first major problem has to do with the estimation of the tornado's elevation. The second major problem involves a needlessly long discussion of storm mode around/during the tornado period and speculation of tornado development from non-mesocyclone or mesocyclone processes. The paper comes off seemingly battling with itself with too much speculation. Major Items: 1. The authors have improved their discussion of the background on how the tornado elevation was determined and added a very nice graphic (Fig. 5) to help the reader. Since this paper makes the claim that this is the highest elevation tornado ever documented in the U.S., it is of great importance that the claimed elevation (and elevation range) is supported. Unfortunately, in this case, the tornado location is determined by a single observer with photographs from a single, line-of-sight, observation position. Tornado range estimates are notoriously poor, even from experienced tornado observers, so the 1 km range estimate should be considered very unreliable, especially given that there is a ridge line in between the observer and tornado. The tornado could easily be double or triple the estimated distance from the observer. I would recommend the authors use a realistic potential distance range of the tornado from the observer to figure out the proper range of elevations the tornado could have been at. This potential distance range should be clearly stated in the text (and shown on Fig. 5). 2. Storm organizational mode at time of tornado: The paper comes across like it is in conflict with itself on the question of storm mode, and sometimes wanders into uncertain territory on how tornadoes form in supercells by non-mesocyclone processes. This discussion in sections 3 and 4 is needlessly drawn out for a case where all one can really conclude (based on the available data) is that the storm may have briefly taken on supercell character around/during the time of the tornado. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the tornado developed in association with a low-level mesocyclone in a traditional sense, or for that matter, develop from a non-mesocyclone process. In light of this, the authors need to re-examine this discussion and revise the applicable portions to: 1) make this discussion much more concise, 2) remove the more speculative parts, 3) reevaluate assertions that seem to be in conflict with what they just presented, and 3) eliminate arguments related to tornadogenesis/maintenance processes that are beyond the scope of the paper. In terms of trimming/revising, here are a few examples: * Last paragraph of P11 (L234-L241): Highly speculative

4 * First sentence of P14: What parameters indicated the potential development of low-level rotation? The ones stated in the previous paragraph argued just the opposite. * Last sentence of P14 (L ): This sentence is in conflict with itself because on the one hand it is supporting a non-mesocyclone process in tornado development, but on the other, it is addressing the favorable addition of a lowlevel shear source (topographic channeling) that would seemingly be constructive for low-level mesocyclone development, and potentially, associated tornado development. * L : This paragraph seems to be arguing against itself since it presents evidence for supercell structure and potential mesocyclone-associated tornado occurrence, but is quickly followed by evidence for non-mesocyclone associated tornadogenesis. Then on L390, the paper discusses non-mesocyclone tornado development associated with updraft stretching that amplifies the "low-level shear vorticity". What exactly is the "low-level shear vorticity?" Is it pre-existing vertical vorticity or horizontal vorticity that gets tilted and stretched. In most cases of tornadoes occurring outside the mesocyclone proper in a supercell thunderstorm, the tornado occurs as a roll-up of a vertical vortex sheet that undergoes stretching. By addressing tornadogenesis processes, this paper seems to be delving into a subject beyond its scope. I would recommend, eliminating all text after Kern River Canyon on L390 in this particular paragraph. As a side comment, the terminology of non-mesocyclone related tornadogenesis in supercells is really a poor description, because the mesocyclone is organizing the key boundaries for which these tornadoes form along. * Last two paragraphs of section 4: The discussion of the storm's evolution and demise after the tornado time could probably be summarized in just a sentence or two for a "Picture of the Month" type paper. * Last two paragraphs of section 5: Needlessly long concluding discussion of a topic that could be summarized in just a sentence or two. Minor Items: 1. L34: Suggest changing "? no evidence?" to "? insufficient evidence?" 2. Suggest eliminating the last sentence of the abstract. It comes across as placing sole reasoning for exclusion of a mesocyclone tornadogenesis association on the high LCL environment, when in fact, the vertical shear profile

5 is also poor. Additionally, the authors undermine their own position by stating later in the paper that they do not have confidence in the LCL from their sounding due to the visual cloud base appearance. 3. L173: Eliminate second "location" in this sentence. 4. L198: Could eliminate "above". 5. L272: Suggest deleting "unimpressive and". 6. L339: 2.4º tilt should be 2.5º tilt. 7. L354: "By 2330 UTC, the storm had an overshooting top and had grown to over five times the area of the original development?" Recommend the addition of "the anvil" to this sentence (i.e., "By 2330 UTC, the storm had an overshooting top and the anvil had grown to over five times the area of the original development?". 8. L : "The radar evidence does suggest a possibility that the Rockwell Pass storm was a supercell during the UTC time period?" Due to the prior discussion that included most environmental parameters not being favorable for supercells, how about "The radar evidence does suggest a possibility that the Rockwell Pass storm had some supercell characteristics during the UTC time period?" 9. L : "These were used to modify the objectively obtained estimated sounding and hodograph to an estimated proximity sounding and hodograph, as explained in Section 3." Readers may not quite remember the difference between your estimated sounding and your estimated proximity sounding. May want to reword to clarify. 10. L : "The evidence for low level mesocyclogenesis based upon the proximity sounding and hodograph was not robust." The "was not robust" part of this sentence is misleading (someone that did not read the convective environmental parameters section very closely (or not at all) could gather that perhaps the evidence was moderately favorable (but not robust). Suggest changing the wording to accurately convey that the evidence for low-level mesocyclone formation was quite weak....

6 If reviewer comments have been added in the form of attachments they are found attached to this . They can also be accessed by logging into the Editorial Manager as an Author, or by clicking the following link:

Department of Geosciences San Francisco State University Spring Metr 201 Monteverdi Quiz #5 Key (100 points)

Department of Geosciences San Francisco State University Spring Metr 201 Monteverdi Quiz #5 Key (100 points) Department of Geosciences Name San Francisco State University Spring 2012 Metr 201 Monteverdi Quiz #5 Key (100 points) 1. Fill in the Blank or short definition. (3 points each for a total of 15 points)

More information

Tornadogenesis in Supercells: The Three Main Ingredients. Ted Funk

Tornadogenesis in Supercells: The Three Main Ingredients. Ted Funk Tornadogenesis in Supercells: The Three Main Ingredients Ted Funk NWS Louisville, KY Spring 2002 Environmental Parameters Supercells occur within environments exhibiting several wellknown characteristics

More information

Solutions to Comprehensive Final Examination Given on Thursday, 13 December 2001

Solutions to Comprehensive Final Examination Given on Thursday, 13 December 2001 Name & Signature Dr. Droegemeier Student ID Meteorology 1004 Introduction to Meteorology Fall, 2001 Solutions to Comprehensive Final Examination Given on Thursday, 13 December 2001 BEFORE YOU BEGIN!! Please

More information

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Spring 2016 Meteorology 260

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Spring 2016 Meteorology 260 Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Spring 2016 Meteorology 260 Name Laboratory #9: Joplin Tornado Day Subsynoptic, Thermodynamic, and Wind Shear Setting Part A: 1600 UTC Surface Chart Subsynoptic Analyses

More information

Advanced Spotter Training Lesson 4: The Nature of Thunderstorms

Advanced Spotter Training Lesson 4: The Nature of Thunderstorms Advanced Spotter Training 2009 Lesson 4: The Nature of Thunderstorms From Last Time We discussed the different ways to make air rise. We discussed convection, convergence, and the different kinds of fronts.

More information

Chapter 3 Convective Dynamics Part VI. Supercell Storms. Supercell Photos

Chapter 3 Convective Dynamics Part VI. Supercell Storms. Supercell Photos Chapter 3 Convective Dynamics Part VI. Supercell Storms Photographs Todd Lindley (This part contains materials taken from UCAR MCS training module) Supercell Photos 1 Introduction A supercel storm is defined

More information

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Spring 2016 Meteorology 260

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Spring 2016 Meteorology 260 Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Spring 2016 Meteorology 260 Name Laboratory #9 Key: Joplin Tornado Day Subsynoptic, Thermodynamic, and Wind Shear Setting Part A: 1600 UTC Surface Chart Subsynoptic

More information

Meteorology Lecture 19

Meteorology Lecture 19 Meteorology Lecture 19 Robert Fovell rfovell@albany.edu 1 Important notes These slides show some figures and videos prepared by Robert G. Fovell (RGF) for his Meteorology course, published by The Great

More information

We highly appreciate the reviewers insightful and helpful comments on our manuscript. (1) Many sentences of the manuscript have been carefully

We highly appreciate the reviewers insightful and helpful comments on our manuscript. (1) Many sentences of the manuscript have been carefully We highly appreciate the reviewers insightful and helpful comments on our manuscript. (1) Many sentences of the manuscript have been carefully rewritten or reorganized to enhance the logic flow and make

More information

Answer to Referee #2. MAJOR COMMENTS: (1) What SORCE are we talking about?

Answer to Referee #2. MAJOR COMMENTS: (1) What SORCE are we talking about? Answer to Referee #2 We thank the Referee for raising a number of important points. We have addressed all the points raised by him/her and have marked blue the relevant corrections in the current version

More information

P3.17 THE DEVELOPMENT OF MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES WITHIN A SUPERCELL. Joshua M. Boustead *1 NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Topeka, KS

P3.17 THE DEVELOPMENT OF MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES WITHIN A SUPERCELL. Joshua M. Boustead *1 NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Topeka, KS P3.17 THE DEVELOPMENT OF MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES WITHIN A SUPERCELL Joshua M. Boustead *1 NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Topeka, KS Philip N. Schumacher NOAA/NWS Weather Forecaster Office, Sioux

More information

Introduction to Uncertainty and Treatment of Data

Introduction to Uncertainty and Treatment of Data Introduction to Uncertainty and Treatment of Data Introduction The purpose of this experiment is to familiarize the student with some of the instruments used in making measurements in the physics laboratory,

More information

On Publishing in the AAS Journals (as an author)

On Publishing in the AAS Journals (as an author) On Publishing in the AAS Journals (as an author) Frank Timmes AAS Journals Lead Editor Corridor: High Energy Phenomena and Fundamental Physics School of Earth and Space Exploration Arizona State University

More information

Pennsylvania Severe Weather of September 2016

Pennsylvania Severe Weather of September 2016 Pennsylvania Severe Weather of September 2016 By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA 1. Overview September 2016 was a relatively quiet month for severe weather across most of the

More information

ATS 351, Spring 2010 Lab #11 Severe Weather 54 points

ATS 351, Spring 2010 Lab #11 Severe Weather 54 points ATS 351, Spring 2010 Lab #11 Severe Weather 54 points Question 1 (10 points): Thunderstorm development a) Sketch and describe the stages of development of a single cell thunderstorm. About how long does

More information

1 of 8 5/23/03 9:43 AM

1 of 8 5/23/03 9:43 AM 1 of 8 5/23/03 9:43 AM Interpreting Skew-Ts (Part One) Now that the basics of a Skew-T are understood, we can now talk about how to put all of it together, and learn how to interpret a Skew-T. It s important

More information

P6.18 THE IMPACTS OF THUNDERSTORM GEOMETRY AND WSR-88D BEAM CHARACTERISTICS ON DIAGNOSING SUPERCELL TORNADOES

P6.18 THE IMPACTS OF THUNDERSTORM GEOMETRY AND WSR-88D BEAM CHARACTERISTICS ON DIAGNOSING SUPERCELL TORNADOES P6.18 THE IMPACTS OF THUNDERSTORM GEOMETRY AND WSR-88D BEAM CHARACTERISTICS ON DIAGNOSING SUPERCELL TORNADOES Steven F. Piltz* National Weather Service, Tulsa, Oklahoma Donald W. Burgess Cooperative Institute

More information

Introduction to the College of DuPage NEXLAB Website

Introduction to the College of DuPage NEXLAB Website Introduction to the College of DuPage NEXLAB Website The purpose of this lab is to familiarize yourself with our website so that you will have an easier time following along in class and will be able to

More information

High-Resolution RUC CAPE Values and Their Relationship to Right Turning Supercells

High-Resolution RUC CAPE Values and Their Relationship to Right Turning Supercells High-Resolution RUC CAPE Values and Their Relationship to Right Turning Supercells ANDREW H. MAIR Meteorology Program, Iowa State University, Ames, IA Mentor: Dr. William A. Gallus Jr. Department of Geological

More information

Chapter 14 Thunderstorm Fundamentals

Chapter 14 Thunderstorm Fundamentals Chapter overview: Thunderstorm appearance Thunderstorm cells and evolution Thunderstorm types and organization o Single cell thunderstorms o Multicell thunderstorms o Orographic thunderstorms o Severe

More information

Thunderstorm Dynamics. Helicity and Hodographs and their effect on thunderstorm longevity. Bluestein Vol II. Page

Thunderstorm Dynamics. Helicity and Hodographs and their effect on thunderstorm longevity. Bluestein Vol II. Page Thunderstorm Dynamics Helicity and Hodographs and their effect on thunderstorm longevity Bluestein Vol II. Page471-476. Dowsell, 1991: A REVIEW FOR FORECASTERS ON THE APPLICATION OF HODOGRAPHS TO FORECASTING

More information

Your_manuscript LP9512 Yoshita

Your_manuscript LP9512 Yoshita 1/6 2005/07/21 16:55 Subject: Your_manuscript LP9512 Yoshita From: Physical Review Letters Date: Mon, 28 Feb 2005 22:32:45 UT To: yoshita@issp.u-tokyo.ac.jp Re: LP9512 Evolution of

More information

NOAA S National Weather Service

NOAA S National Weather Service NOAA S National Weather Service Night Spotting Advanced Concepts of Severe Storm Spotting 2012 Rusty Kapela Milwaukee/Sullivan Weather.gov/milwaukee Problems Spotters Encounter Spotters can only see a

More information

Geology Wilson Computer lab Pitfalls II

Geology Wilson Computer lab Pitfalls II Geology 554 - Wilson Computer lab Pitfalls II Today we ll explore a subtle pitfall that can have significant influence on the interpretation of both simple and complex structures alike (see example 10

More information

WEATHER AND CLIMATE COMPLETING THE WEATHER OBSERVATION PROJECT CAMERON DOUGLAS CRAIG

WEATHER AND CLIMATE COMPLETING THE WEATHER OBSERVATION PROJECT CAMERON DOUGLAS CRAIG WEATHER AND CLIMATE COMPLETING THE WEATHER OBSERVATION PROJECT CAMERON DOUGLAS CRAIG Introduction The Weather Observation Project is an important component of this course that gets you to look at real

More information

NOAA S National Weather Service

NOAA S National Weather Service NOAA S National Weather Service Elite Concepts of Severe Storm Spotting 2011 Rusty Kapela Milwaukee/Sullivan www.weather.gov/mkx Elite Spotter Outline Review Types of T storms Tornadic Supercell Classic,

More information

Interactive comment on Relations of physical and biogenic reworking of sandy sediments in the southeastern North Sea by Knut Krämer et al.

Interactive comment on Relations of physical and biogenic reworking of sandy sediments in the southeastern North Sea by Knut Krämer et al. Ocean Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/os-2018-152-rc1, 2019 Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Interactive comment on Relations of physical

More information

Rising Algebra Students. Stone Middle School

Rising Algebra Students. Stone Middle School Algebra Summer Packet 017 Dear Future Algebra student, Rising Algebra Students Stone Middle School We hope that you enjoy your summer vacation to the fullest. We look forward to working with you next year.

More information

1st Tornado Photograph

1st Tornado Photograph Lecture 26 Part II Tornados Environment Storm Structure Life Cycle Source of Spin Forecasting Climatology Damage Marilee Thomas of Beaver City, NE took this photograph of her daughter Audra about two miles

More information

Words to avoid in proposals

Words to avoid in proposals Crutch words used when writers don t understand what to say We understand Leverage our experience Thank you for the opportunity We look forward to state-of-the-art the right choice Never use the word understand

More information

Meteorology Lecture 18

Meteorology Lecture 18 Meteorology Lecture 18 Robert Fovell rfovell@albany.edu 1 Important notes These slides show some figures and videos prepared by Robert G. Fovell (RGF) for his Meteorology course, published by The Great

More information

Test Form: A Key Final Exam: Spring 2011

Test Form: A Key Final Exam: Spring 2011 Test Form: A Key Final Exam: Spring 2011 Instructions: Write your name (last name and first name) on your bubble sheet. Write your student identification number on the bubble sheet, and carefully and completely

More information

EEE 480 LAB EXPERIMENTS. K. Tsakalis. November 25, 2002

EEE 480 LAB EXPERIMENTS. K. Tsakalis. November 25, 2002 EEE 480 LAB EXPERIMENTS K. Tsakalis November 25, 2002 1. Introduction The following set of experiments aims to supplement the EEE 480 classroom instruction by providing a more detailed and hands-on experience

More information

Examination #3 Wednesday, 28 November 2001

Examination #3 Wednesday, 28 November 2001 Name & Signature Dr. Droegemeier Student ID Meteorology 1004 Introduction to Meteorology Fall, 2001 Examination #3 Wednesday, 28 November 2001 BEFORE YOU BEGIN!! Please be sure to read each question CAREFULLY

More information

BU Professional Development Seminar. Research Journals and the Publishing Process in the area of Dynamical Systems. March 3, 2014

BU Professional Development Seminar. Research Journals and the Publishing Process in the area of Dynamical Systems. March 3, 2014 BU Professional Development Seminar Research Journals and the Publishing Process in the area of Dynamical Systems March 3, 2014 (Partial) Journal List Dynamical Systems Journals: Advances in Differential

More information

Mobile, phased-array, X-band Doppler radar observations of tornadogenesis in the central U. S.

Mobile, phased-array, X-band Doppler radar observations of tornadogenesis in the central U. S. Mobile, phased-array, X-band Doppler radar observations of tornadogenesis in the central U. S. Howard B. Bluestein 1, Michael M. French 2, Ivan PopStefanija 3 and Robert T. Bluth 4 Howard (Howie Cb ) B.

More information

Weather Extremes in Canada: Understanding the Sources and Dangers of Weather

Weather Extremes in Canada: Understanding the Sources and Dangers of Weather Weather Extremes in Canada: Understanding the Sources and Dangers of Weather Lesson Overview This lesson will focus on the extremes of weather and how they affect Canada. Important meteorological factors

More information

Supercells. Base lecture and Graphics created by The COMET Program May University Corporation for Atmospheric Research

Supercells. Base lecture and Graphics created by The COMET Program May University Corporation for Atmospheric Research Supercells Base lecture and Graphics created by The COMET Program May 2002 University Corporation for Atmospheric Research Objective To be able to forecast and better recognize supercell storms in all

More information

MET Lecture 26 Tornadoes I

MET Lecture 26 Tornadoes I MET 4300 Lecture 26 Tornadoes I A Large Tornado approaches Lyndon, Kansas, on May 8, 2003 Outline Definition, life cycle Tornado formation within supercells Tornado formation within nonsupercell thunderstorms

More information

Tornado Occurrences. Tornadoes. Tornado Life Cycle 4/12/17

Tornado Occurrences. Tornadoes. Tornado Life Cycle 4/12/17 Chapter 19 Tornadoes Tornado Violently rotating column of air that extends from the base of a thunderstorm to the ground Tornado Statistics Over (100, 1000, 10000) tornadoes reported in the U.S. every

More information

Boundary-layer Decoupling Affects on Tornadoes

Boundary-layer Decoupling Affects on Tornadoes Boundary-layer Decoupling Affects on Tornadoes Chris Karstens ABSTRACT The North American low-level jet is known to have substantial impacts on the climatology of central and eastern regions of the United

More information

9 Torque. Experiment objectives: Experiment introduction:

9 Torque. Experiment objectives: Experiment introduction: 9 Torque Experiment objectives: 1. Achieve an understanding of how to calculate torque 2. Achieve an understanding of how to determine moment arm when calculating the torque of a force 3. Achieve an understanding

More information

11A.2 Forecasting Short Term Convective Mode And Evolution For Severe Storms Initiated Along Synoptic Boundaries

11A.2 Forecasting Short Term Convective Mode And Evolution For Severe Storms Initiated Along Synoptic Boundaries 11A.2 Forecasting Short Term Convective Mode And Evolution For Severe Storms Initiated Along Synoptic Boundaries Greg L. Dial and Jonathan P. Racy Storm Prediction Center, Norman, Oklahoma 1. Introduction

More information

Simple Harmonic Motion

Simple Harmonic Motion Physics Topics Simple Harmonic Motion If necessary, review the following topics and relevant textbook sections from Serway / Jewett Physics for Scientists and Engineers, 9th Ed. Hooke s Law (Serway, Sec.

More information

5.0 WHAT IS THE FUTURE ( ) WEATHER EXPECTED TO BE?

5.0 WHAT IS THE FUTURE ( ) WEATHER EXPECTED TO BE? 5.0 WHAT IS THE FUTURE (2040-2049) WEATHER EXPECTED TO BE? This chapter presents some illustrative results for one station, Pearson Airport, extracted from the hour-by-hour simulations of the future period

More information

ALGEBRA 2 HONORS SUMMER WORK. June Dear Algebra 2 Students,

ALGEBRA 2 HONORS SUMMER WORK. June Dear Algebra 2 Students, ALGEBRA HONORS SUMMER WORK June 0 Dear Algebra Students, Attached you will find the Summer Math Packet for Algebra. The purpose of this packet is to review and sharpen your Algebra skills so that when

More information

The Severe Weather Event of 7 August 2013 By Richard H. Grumm and Bruce Budd National Weather Service State College, PA 1. INTRODUCTION and Overview

The Severe Weather Event of 7 August 2013 By Richard H. Grumm and Bruce Budd National Weather Service State College, PA 1. INTRODUCTION and Overview The Severe Weather Event of 7 August 2013 By Richard H. Grumm and Bruce Budd National Weather Service State College, PA 1. INTRODUCTION and Overview A fast moving short-wave (Fig. 1) with -1σ 500 hpa height

More information

Storm-Relative Flow and its Relationship to Low-Level Vorticity in Simulated Storms

Storm-Relative Flow and its Relationship to Low-Level Vorticity in Simulated Storms TH CONF. ON SEVERE LOCAL STORMS, 15. 1 Storm-Relative Flow and its Relationship to Low-Level Vorticity in Simulated Storms Cody Kirkpatrick University of Alabama in Huntsville Eugene W. McCaul, Jr. Universities

More information

P12.7 THE ROLE OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY AND MULTIPLE CELL-MERGERS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE 21 APRIL 2003 TORNADO IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA

P12.7 THE ROLE OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY AND MULTIPLE CELL-MERGERS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE 21 APRIL 2003 TORNADO IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA P12.7 THE ROLE OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY AND MULTIPLE CELL-MERGERS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE 21 APRIL 2003 TORNADO IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA 1. INTRODUCTION Bryan McAvoy NOAA/National Weather Service Greer,

More information

Abstract & Applied Linear Algebra (Chapters 1-2) James A. Bernhard University of Puget Sound

Abstract & Applied Linear Algebra (Chapters 1-2) James A. Bernhard University of Puget Sound Abstract & Applied Linear Algebra (Chapters 1-2) James A. Bernhard University of Puget Sound Copyright 2018 by James A. Bernhard Contents 1 Vector spaces 3 1.1 Definitions and basic properties.................

More information

Problem Solving. Kurt Bryan. Here s an amusing little problem I came across one day last summer.

Problem Solving. Kurt Bryan. Here s an amusing little problem I came across one day last summer. Introduction Problem Solving Kurt Bryan Here s an amusing little problem I came across one day last summer. Problem: Find three distinct positive integers whose reciprocals add up to one. Prove that the

More information

Measurements of a Table

Measurements of a Table Measurements of a Table OBJECTIVES to practice the concepts of significant figures, the mean value, the standard deviation of the mean and the normal distribution by making multiple measurements of length

More information

Using the Golden Ratio as a Model for Tornadogenesis. George McGivern Brad Walton Dr. Mikhail Shvartsman

Using the Golden Ratio as a Model for Tornadogenesis. George McGivern Brad Walton Dr. Mikhail Shvartsman Using the Golden Ratio as a Model for Tornadogenesis George McGivern Brad Walton Dr. Mikhail Shvartsman 1. Introduction: Intro to tornadoes and tornado forecasting. Problem and Goals: The main problems

More information

Week 8 Cookbook: Review and Reflection

Week 8 Cookbook: Review and Reflection : Review and Reflection Week 8 Overview 8.1) Review and Reflection 8.2) Making Intelligent Maps: The map sheet as a blank canvas 8.3) Making Intelligent Maps: Base layers and analysis layers 8.4) ArcGIS

More information

Tornado Frequency and its Large-Scale Environments Over Ontario, Canada

Tornado Frequency and its Large-Scale Environments Over Ontario, Canada 256 The Open Atmospheric Science Journal, 2008, 2, 256-260 Open Access Tornado Frequency and its Large-Scale Environments Over Ontario, Canada Zuohao Cao *,1 and Huaqing Cai 2 1 Meteorological Service

More information

Storm-Relative Flow and its Relationship to Low-Level Vorticity in Simulated Storms

Storm-Relative Flow and its Relationship to Low-Level Vorticity in Simulated Storms TH CONF. ON SEVERE LOCAL STORMS, 15. 1 Storm-Relative Flow and its Relationship to Low-Level Vorticity in Simulated Storms Cody Kirkpatrick University of Alabama in Huntsville Eugene W. McCaul, Jr. Universities

More information

Discrete Structures Proofwriting Checklist

Discrete Structures Proofwriting Checklist CS103 Winter 2019 Discrete Structures Proofwriting Checklist Cynthia Lee Keith Schwarz Now that we re transitioning to writing proofs about discrete structures like binary relations, functions, and graphs,

More information

Word processing tools

Word processing tools Formal Report Length No longer than 1500 words (figures, tables and short captions do not count). The report should be based on the data you took in the lab and include all the major results obtained from

More information

ALGEBRA 2 SUMMER WORK. June Dear Algebra 2 Students,

ALGEBRA 2 SUMMER WORK. June Dear Algebra 2 Students, ALGEBRA SUMMER WORK June 016 Dear Algebra Students, Below you will find the Summer Math Packet for Algebra. The purpose of this packet is to review and sharpen your Algebra 1 skills so that when we return

More information

Epsilon Delta proofs

Epsilon Delta proofs Epsilon Delta proofs Before reading this guide, please go over inequalities (if needed). Eample Prove lim(4 3) = 5 2 First we have to know what the definition of a limit is: i.e rigorous way of saying

More information

Thunderstorm: a cumulonimbus cloud or collection of cumulonimbus clouds featuring vigorous updrafts, precipitation and lightning

Thunderstorm: a cumulonimbus cloud or collection of cumulonimbus clouds featuring vigorous updrafts, precipitation and lightning Thunderstorm: a cumulonimbus cloud or collection of cumulonimbus clouds featuring vigorous updrafts, precipitation and lightning Thunderstorms are responsible for most of what we refer to as severe weather,

More information

Point-to-point response to reviewers comments

Point-to-point response to reviewers comments Point-to-point response to reviewers comments Reviewer #1 1) The authors analyze only one millennial reconstruction (Jones, 1998) with the argument that it is the only one available. This is incorrect.

More information

Severe Weather and weather mapping Remediation Assignment. Once the page has been approved, Mrs. Blinka will sign here:

Severe Weather and weather mapping Remediation Assignment. Once the page has been approved, Mrs. Blinka will sign here: Severe Weather and weather mapping Remediation Assignment Part I: Complete the remediation page attached This will be a single page (front and back) that helps your organize the most important information

More information

Rapid Environmental Changes observed by Remote Sensing Systems in the local vicinity of an unusual Colorado Tornado

Rapid Environmental Changes observed by Remote Sensing Systems in the local vicinity of an unusual Colorado Tornado Rapid Environmental Changes observed by Remote Sensing Systems in the local vicinity of an unusual Colorado Tornado 27th Conference on Severe Local Storms 3 7 November 2014, Madison, Wisconsin Steven E.

More information

Investigating Factors that Influence Climate

Investigating Factors that Influence Climate Investigating Factors that Influence Climate Description In this lesson* students investigate the climate of a particular latitude and longitude in North America by collecting real data from My NASA Data

More information

REGIONAL VARIABILITY OF CAPE AND DEEP SHEAR FROM THE NCEP/NCAR REANALYSIS ABSTRACT

REGIONAL VARIABILITY OF CAPE AND DEEP SHEAR FROM THE NCEP/NCAR REANALYSIS ABSTRACT REGIONAL VARIABILITY OF CAPE AND DEEP SHEAR FROM THE NCEP/NCAR REANALYSIS VITTORIO A. GENSINI National Weather Center REU Program, Norman, Oklahoma Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, Illinois ABSTRACT

More information

Tornadoes. tornado: a violently rotating column of air

Tornadoes. tornado: a violently rotating column of air Tornadoes tornado: a violently rotating column of air Tornadoes What is the typical size of a tornado? What are typical wind speeds for a tornado? Five-stage life cycle of a tornado Dust Swirl Stage Tornado

More information

Jonathan M. Davies* Private Meteorologist, Wichita, Kansas

Jonathan M. Davies* Private Meteorologist, Wichita, Kansas 4.3 RUC Soundings with Cool Season Tornadoes in Small CAPE Settings and the 6 November 2005 Evansville, Indiana Tornado Jonathan M. Davies* Private Meteorologist, Wichita, Kansas 1. Introduction Several

More information

Thunderstorm: a cumulonimbus cloud or collection of cumulonimbus clouds featuring vigorous updrafts, precipitation and lightning

Thunderstorm: a cumulonimbus cloud or collection of cumulonimbus clouds featuring vigorous updrafts, precipitation and lightning Thunderstorm: a cumulonimbus cloud or collection of cumulonimbus clouds featuring vigorous updrafts, precipitation and lightning Thunderstorm: a cumulonimbus cloud or collection of cumulonimbus clouds

More information

GENERAL INSTRUCTIONS

GENERAL INSTRUCTIONS Read these before doing any work in laboratory Safety: GENERAL INSTRUCTIONS 1) Eye protection must be worn at all times in the laboratory. Minimum eye protection is eye glasses with side shields. Safety

More information

The Earth System - Atmosphere III Convection

The Earth System - Atmosphere III Convection The Earth System - Atmosphere III Convection Thunderstorms 1. A thunderstorm is a storm that produces lightning (and therefore thunder) 2. Thunderstorms frequently produce gusty winds, heavy rain, and

More information

A Detailed Analysis of a Long-Tracked Supercell. Jason T. Martinelli and Andrew Elliott. Fred Glass

A Detailed Analysis of a Long-Tracked Supercell. Jason T. Martinelli and Andrew Elliott. Fred Glass A Detailed Analysis of a Long-Tracked Supercell Jason T. Martinelli and Andrew Elliott Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Creighton University, Omaha, Nebraska Fred Glass National Weather Service Forecast

More information

P10.4 EXAMINATION OF TORNADIC AND NON-TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA ON 28 APRIL 2002

P10.4 EXAMINATION OF TORNADIC AND NON-TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA ON 28 APRIL 2002 P10.4 EXAMINATION OF TORNADIC AND NON-TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA ON 28 APRIL 2002 Steve Keighton*, Kenneth Kostura, and Chris Liscinsky NOAA/National Weather Service Blacksburg, VA 1. INTRODUCTION

More information

Uncertainty and Graphical Analysis

Uncertainty and Graphical Analysis Uncertainty and Graphical Analysis Introduction Two measures of the quality of an experimental result are its accuracy and its precision. An accurate result is consistent with some ideal, true value, perhaps

More information

Review of Basic Severe Thunderstorm & Tornado Spotting Concepts. Jim Allsopp National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL

Review of Basic Severe Thunderstorm & Tornado Spotting Concepts. Jim Allsopp National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL Review of Basic Severe Thunderstorm & Tornado Spotting Concepts Jim Allsopp National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL Why Do We Need Spotters? Radar has limitations, only spotters can provide view

More information

Type of storm viewed by Spotter A Ordinary, multi-cell thunderstorm. Type of storm viewed by Spotter B Supecell thunderstorm

Type of storm viewed by Spotter A Ordinary, multi-cell thunderstorm. Type of storm viewed by Spotter B Supecell thunderstorm ANSWER KEY Part I: Locating Geographical Features 1. The National Weather Service s Storm Prediction Center (www.spc.noaa.gov) has issued a tornado watch on a warm spring day. The watch covers a large

More information

Writing Numbers. in Technical Documents. Celia M. Elliott Department of Physics University of Illinois

Writing Numbers. in Technical Documents. Celia M. Elliott Department of Physics University of Illinois Writing Numbers in Technical Documents Perhaps you think these comments are pedantic. Some may be. But scientific reports, written or spoken, should reflect the precision of the experiments. Numbers and

More information

Introduction to Forecasting Severe Thunderstorms

Introduction to Forecasting Severe Thunderstorms Introduction to Forecasting Severe Thunderstorms Ok, we've baked our cake (made a thunderstorm) using some instability and a trigger. Not only that, we know what some of the ingredients actually mean.

More information

You Might Also Like. I look forward helping you focus your instruction while saving tons of time. Kesler Science Station Lab Activities 40%+ Savings!

You Might Also Like. I look forward helping you focus your instruction while saving tons of time. Kesler Science Station Lab Activities 40%+ Savings! Thanks Connect Thank you for downloading my product. I truly appreciate your support and look forward to hearing your feedback. You can connect with me and find many free activities and strategies over

More information

Advanced Spotter Training Welcome! Lesson 1: Introduction and Why Spotters are Important

Advanced Spotter Training Welcome! Lesson 1: Introduction and Why Spotters are Important Advanced Spotter Training 2009 Welcome! Lesson 1: Introduction and Why Spotters are Important Introduction This course is intended to advance the basic training given by the National Weather Service (NWS).

More information

Conformational Analysis of n-butane

Conformational Analysis of n-butane Conformational Analysis of n-butane In this exercise you will calculate the Molecular Mechanics (MM) single point energy of butane in various conformations with respect to internal rotation around the

More information

P1.16 ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES IN TORNADIC ENVIRONMENTS

P1.16 ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES IN TORNADIC ENVIRONMENTS P1.16 ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES IN TORNADIC ENVIRONMENTS Matthew D. Parker Convective Storms Group, The Mesoscale Nexus in Atmospheric Sciences North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 1. INTRODUCTION

More information

16.4 SENSITIVITY OF TORNADOGENESIS IN VERY-HIGH RESOLUTION NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS TO VARIATIONS IN MODEL MICROPHYSICAL PARAMETERS

16.4 SENSITIVITY OF TORNADOGENESIS IN VERY-HIGH RESOLUTION NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS TO VARIATIONS IN MODEL MICROPHYSICAL PARAMETERS 1. SENSITIVITY OF TORNADOGENESIS IN VERY-HIGH RESOLUTION NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS TO VARIATIONS IN MODEL MICROPHYSICAL PARAMETERS Nathan A. Snook* and Ming Xue University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma 1.

More information

Responses for reviews of The Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2): Spectrometer performance evaluation using pre-launch direct sun measurements

Responses for reviews of The Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2): Spectrometer performance evaluation using pre-launch direct sun measurements Responses for reviews of The Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2): Spectrometer performance evaluation using pre-launch direct sun measurements Christian Frankenberg Reviewer comments in black italic, responses

More information

P4.8 PERFORMANCE OF A NEW VELOCITY DEALIASING ALGORITHM FOR THE WSR-88D. Arthur Witt* and Rodger A. Brown

P4.8 PERFORMANCE OF A NEW VELOCITY DEALIASING ALGORITHM FOR THE WSR-88D. Arthur Witt* and Rodger A. Brown P4.8 PERFORMANCE OF A NEW VELOCITY DEALIASING ALGORITHM FOR THE WSR-88D Arthur Witt* and Rodger A. Brown NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma Zhongqi Jing NOAA/National Weather Service

More information

MATH 1130 Exam 1 Review Sheet

MATH 1130 Exam 1 Review Sheet MATH 1130 Exam 1 Review Sheet The Cartesian Coordinate Plane The Cartesian Coordinate Plane is a visual representation of the collection of all ordered pairs (x, y) where x and y are real numbers. This

More information

2 Electric Field Mapping Rev1/05

2 Electric Field Mapping Rev1/05 2 Electric Field Mapping Rev1/05 Theory: An electric field is a vector field that is produced by an electric charge. The source of the field may be a single charge or many charges. To visualize an electric

More information

= 5 2 and = 13 2 and = (1) = 10 2 and = 15 2 and = 25 2

= 5 2 and = 13 2 and = (1) = 10 2 and = 15 2 and = 25 2 BEGINNING ALGEBRAIC NUMBER THEORY Fermat s Last Theorem is one of the most famous problems in mathematics. Its origin can be traced back to the work of the Greek mathematician Diophantus (third century

More information

Radar Meteorology AOS 444 October 28, 2002 Laboratory 6: WATADS study of Oakfield tornado from KGRB

Radar Meteorology AOS 444 October 28, 2002 Laboratory 6: WATADS study of Oakfield tornado from KGRB Radar Meteorology AOS 444 October 28, 2002 Laboratory 6: WATADS study of Oakfield tornado from KGRB YOUR NAME: YOUR PARTNER S NAME: On July 18, 1996 the town of Oakfield, Wisconsin was all but destroyed

More information

Elastic and Inelastic Collisions

Elastic and Inelastic Collisions Physics Topics Elastic and Inelastic Collisions If necessary, review the following topics and relevant textbook sections from Serway / Jewett Physics for Scientists and Engineers, 9th Ed. Kinetic Energy

More information

Simple Harmonic Motion

Simple Harmonic Motion Introduction Simple Harmonic Motion The simple harmonic oscillator (a mass oscillating on a spring) is the most important system in physics. There are several reasons behind this remarkable claim: Any

More information

Tornadoes forecasting, dynamics and genesis. Mteor 417 Iowa State University Week 12 Bill Gallus

Tornadoes forecasting, dynamics and genesis. Mteor 417 Iowa State University Week 12 Bill Gallus Tornadoes forecasting, dynamics and genesis Mteor 417 Iowa State University Week 12 Bill Gallus Tools to diagnose severe weather risks Definition of tornado: A vortex (rapidly rotating column of air) associated

More information

Hudson River Estuary Climate Change Lesson Project. Grades 5-8 Teacher s Packet. Lesson 3. Climate Change in My City

Hudson River Estuary Climate Change Lesson Project. Grades 5-8 Teacher s Packet. Lesson 3. Climate Change in My City Grades 5-8 Teacher s Packet Lesson 3 Climate Change in My City Teacher s Packet 2 Climate Change in My City NYS Intermediate Level Science Standard 1: Analysis, Inquiry and Design/Scientific Inquiry S1.3

More information

P5.3 THE UTILITY OF THREE-DIMENSIONAL RADAR DISPLAYS IN SEVERE WEATHER WARNING OPERATIONS. Daniel D. Nietfeld NOAA/National Weather Service Valley, NE

P5.3 THE UTILITY OF THREE-DIMENSIONAL RADAR DISPLAYS IN SEVERE WEATHER WARNING OPERATIONS. Daniel D. Nietfeld NOAA/National Weather Service Valley, NE P5.3 THE UTILITY OF THREE-DIMENSIONAL RADAR DISPLAYS IN SEVERE WEATHER WARNING OPERATIONS Daniel D. Nietfeld NOAA/National Weather Service Valley, NE 1. INTRODUCTION Traditional methods of interrogating

More information

Genesis mechanism and structure of a supercell tornado in a fine-resolution numerical simulation

Genesis mechanism and structure of a supercell tornado in a fine-resolution numerical simulation Genesis mechanism and structure of a supercell tornado in a fine-resolution numerical simulation Akira T. Noda a, Hiroshi Niino b a Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, 1-15-1 Minamidai,

More information

Introduction to Mesoscale Meteorology

Introduction to Mesoscale Meteorology Introduction to Mesoscale Meteorology Overview Scale Definitions Synoptic Synoptic derived from Greek synoptikos meaning general view of the whole. Also has grown to imply at the same time or simultaneous.

More information

Name: Date: Partners: LAB 2: ACCELERATED MOTION

Name: Date: Partners: LAB 2: ACCELERATED MOTION Name: Date: Partners: LAB 2: ACCELERATED MOTION OBJECTIVES After completing this lab you should be able to: Describe motion of an object from a velocitytime graph Draw the velocitytime graph of an object

More information

Thunderstorms and Severe Weather. (Chapt 15)

Thunderstorms and Severe Weather. (Chapt 15) Thunderstorms and Severe Weather (Chapt 15) The Big Picture We ve emphasized horizontal transport of energy to balance the planetary energy budget: Hadley Cell Subtropical divergence Midlatitude cyclones

More information

2 One-dimensional motion with constant acceleration

2 One-dimensional motion with constant acceleration 2 One-dimensional motion with constant acceleration Experiment objectives: 1. Achieve a better understanding of how to solve position, velocity and acceleration problems in one-dimensional motion with

More information

Chapter Seven Notes: Newton s Third Law of Motion Action and Reaction

Chapter Seven Notes: Newton s Third Law of Motion Action and Reaction Chapter Seven Notes: Newton s Third Law of Motion Action and Reaction A force is always part of a mutual action that involves another force. A mutual action is an interaction between one thing and another

More information