Research Article The Impact of Typhoon Danas (2013) on the Torrential Rainfall Associated with Typhoon Fitow (2013) in East China

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Research Article The Impact of Typhoon Danas (2013) on the Torrential Rainfall Associated with Typhoon Fitow (2013) in East China"

Transcription

1 Advances in Meteorology Volume 5, Article ID 3837, pages Research Article The Impact of Typhoon Danas (3) on the Torrential Rainfall Associated with Typhoon Fitow (3) in East China Hongxiong Xu and Bo Du State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 8, China ChinaMeteorologicalAdministrationMeteorologicalObservationCenter,Beijing8,China Correspondence should be addressed to Hongxiong Xu; Received 3 September 4; Revised January 5; Accepted January 5 Academic Editor: Hann-Ming H. Juang Copyright 5 H. Xu and B. Du. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. When typhoon Danas (3) was located at northeast of Taiwan during 6 8 October 3, a torrential rainfall brought by typhoon Fitow (3) occurred over the east of China. Observations show that the rainband of Fitow, which may be impacted by Danas, caused the rainfall over north of Zhejiang. The Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecast (ARW-WRF) model was used to investigate the possible effects of typhoon Danas (3) on this rainfall event. Results show that the model captured reasonably well the spatial distribution and evolution of the rainband of Fitow. The results of a sensitivity experiment removing Danas vortex, which is conducted to determine its impact on the extreme rainfall, show that extra moist associated with Danas plays an important role in the maintenance and enhancement of the north rainband of Fitow, which resulted in torrential rainfall over the north of Zhejiang. This study may explain the unusual amount of rainfall over the north of Zhejiang province caused by interaction between the rainband of typhoon Fitow and extra moisture brought by typhoon Danas.. Introduction Extreme rainfall is responsible for a variety of societal impacts, including flash flooding that can lead to damage, injury, and fatalities []. Tropical cyclones (TCs) are often heavy rain producers []. Thus, it is of great interest to accurately predict extreme rainfall caused by TCs. However, heavy rainfall (including TCs rainfall) interweaves multiscale nonlinear interactions among different physical processes and weather systems [3 5]. Such interactions include environmental moisture transport and binary TC (BTC) interaction [6]. Binary tropical cyclones (BTCs) can interact with each other when they are close enough [7 ]. Their interaction depends on the distance of two TCs, the differences in TC size, intensity, and the variations in the currents []. Based on the results of numerical experiments, Shin et al. [] suggested that the critical separation distance of binary vortices is slightly less than twice the radius at which the relative vorticity of one vortex becomes zero. Concerning theobservationsofbinarytropicalcyclonesandrealistic flow patterns surrounding tropical cyclones, studies by Carr III et al. [] and Carr III and Elsberry [3] proposedfour conceptual models of track-altering binary tropical cyclones that occurred in the Pacific Ocean. If there is another typhoon near the area of disaster, the effects of binary tropical cyclone interaction make the process of precipitation become much more complicated. Studies [4, 5] showed that BTC processes may associate with torrential rainfall in favorable environment conditions. Wu et al. [4] found that tropical Storm Paul (999) plays an important role in impeding the movement of Rachel, thus becoming one of the key factors in enhancing the rainfall amount in southern Taiwan. Xu et al. [5] foundthatgoni (9, 8 W) transported a large amount of moisture and energy into Morakot (9, 9 W). The interaction between Goni and Morakot accounts for about 3% of precipitation over Taiwan. In this study, we discussed the role of the circulation associated with Danas (3) played in the extreme rainfall caused by Fitow (3). Specifically, the purpose of this paper is to quantify the distant effects of typhoon Danas on the extreme rainfall brought by rainband of Fitow in the east of China on 8 October 3. In Section, we described the

2 Advances in Meteorology N N N N N E E E 4 E 3 E N E E E 3 E 4 E (a) Z6CT N (b) Z6CT N N N 588 N E E E 4 E 3 E N E E E 4 E 3 E (c) Z7CT3 (d) Z7CT3 Figure : 5 hpa geopotential height (contour, unit: dagpm) and wind (vector) at (a) UTC 6 October 3, (b) UTC 6 October 3, (c) UTC 7 October 3, and (d) UTC 7 October N 6 N 4 E 6 E 8 E E E 4 E 6 E (mm) Figure : The observed 48 h accumulated rainfall (unit: mm) ending at UTC 8 October 3.

3 Advances in Meteorology 3 3 N 3 N 9 N 9 N 6 N 8 E E E 8 E 6 N (a) 6 UTC 6 E E (b) 9 UTC 6 3 N 3 N 9 N 9 N 6 N 8 E E 3 4 E (c) UTC 6 6 N 8 E E 3 4 E (d) UTC 7 Figure 3: Radar mosaic reflectivity at (a) 6 UTC 6, (b) 9 UTC 6, (c) UTC 6, and (d) UTC 7. model configuration and design of numerical experiments used in this study. We presented the results of numerical simulations in Section 3. Finally we summarize conclusions in Section 4.. Overview of 8 October 3 Torrential Rainfall Figure shows 5 hpa geopotential height and wind from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) FNL analysis. It shows a South Asian anticyclone over the Tibetan Plateau in southwestern China, and a west wind trough extended from north of China to Sichuan province (Figure (a)). In the mid-latitudes over the Japan Sea, there was a subtropical anticyclone. During the typhoon Fitow landfall over east of China (Figures (b), (c), and (d)), subtropical anticyclone moved to east. Warm and moisture of typhoon interacted with cold air after the westerly trough. This condition was favorable for the development of convection and result of rainfall.

4 4 Advances in Meteorology Typhoon Fitow hit north of Fujian province during 6 8 October 3 and produced extreme rainfall and brought about catastrophic flash flooding to Zhejiang province. The observed 48 h rainfall is shown in Figure. The extreme rainfall areas are mainly located in the coast and north of Zhejiang province. The exceptional rainfall with a record amount of 7 mm (northeast of Zhejiang) exceeded the 6- year recurrence. The southeast coast of mainland China experiences several hits of landfalling typhoons every year [5]. However, the amount of rainfall over Zhejiang (especially, north of Zhejiang) brought by Fitow is quite rare. Thus, it is of great interest to explore the possible mechanism responsible for the unusual heavy rainfall. Radar mosaic reflectivity (Figure3) shows a quasistationary rainband, which was nearly in east-west direction over the north of Zhejiang province. Along the band, there were several echo centers of dbz embedded in line, which corresponded to the north rainband of typhoon Fitow. Inside the north rainband, there was another rainband occurring over the south of Zhejiang province. The inner echo band wasalsocomposedofalotofechocenters.insidethetwo radar echo bands, there were a few echo blocks extending to the eyewall along the radial, which corresponded to the connecting spiral rainband. Studies have shown that rainbands of a TC moving slowly outward along the radial [6 8] may remain stationary with new cells forming on the upwind edge [9, ]. This process also occurred to the rainbands of typhoon Fitow (Figure 3). The north rainband remained stationary over Zhejiang province. However, the south rainband moved further to the south when typhoon Fitow was to the southwest. The two rainbands were maintained by a different source of moisture. The north rainband was sustained by the east flow for transporting warm and moisture water to the region, with new convective cells repeat initiated in the upwind of rainband. However, the south rainband of Fitow was maintained by both east flow and typhoon circulation associated with typhoon Danas. The north quasistationary rainbands began to decay, as typhoon Danas was moving further to the southwest. The rainfall brought by typhoon Fitow is similar to the case in typhoon Wipha (7, 3 W) [, ], but with larger amount and more severe disaster. Besides the favorable environments similar to Wipha, what other factor contributed to the extreme rainfall caused by Fitow? 3. Model Description and Experimental Design The WRF model version 3.4. [3] was utilized here at convection-permitting resolutions to simulate the extreme rainfall event. The model is initiated at 8 UTC 5 October 3,butthedomainD3isactivatedat6hlater.Figure4 shows the domain and topography for two experiments. The model horizontal spacing is 3 km, km, and 3.3 km for d, d, and d3. Sizes of model grids are , 38 6, and , respectively. 3 sigma levels were defined with the model top at hpa. 4 N 3 N N N 75 E 9 E 5 E E 35 E 5 E D 9 E E E E 3 E D D N 3 N N N Figure 4: Topography (color-shaded, m) for the model domain. The outer box is d (3 km). The inner boxes are d ( km) and d3 (3.3 km). The model physical options include the Thompson microphysics scheme [4], the YSU planetary boundary layer scheme [5], the Kain-Fritsch cumulus parameterization scheme [6, 7], the Noah land surface model [8, 9], the rapid radiative transfer model [3]longwave,andtheDudhia shortwave radiation scheme [3]. The cumulus parameterizationschemewasnotappliedtothefinest(3.3km)grid domain to explicitly resolve the convective rainfall. Control (CTRL) and sensitive experiments (No Danas) were performed to investigate the impact of Danas on the extreme rainfall. In the control experiment, the initialized condition was from NCEP-NCAR reanalysis data ( ) [3], while, in the sensitive experiment, the Danas vortex in the reanalysis data is removed. The method to remove a vortex in the analysis field is the tropical cyclone (TC) bogussing scheme in the ARW-WRF [3]. The scheme can remove an existing tropical storm and was used to remove typhoon Danas vortex in No Danas experiment. 4. Result and Discussion We first examine the structure of the rainband and its rainfall in CTRL experiment. Figure 5 presents the simulated radar reflectivity from CTRL experiment. In the CTRL experiment, there are two rainbands over the north and south of Zhejiang province, respectively, in good agreement with observation (Figure5(a)). The north rainband extended outward of typhoon. New convective cells repeat initiated at upwind and move along rainband (Figures 5(b) and 5(c)). However, the simulated north rainband develops west of the location and more intense in northwest of Zhejiang province of the observed rainband (Figures 5 and 4). The simulated 48 h accumulated rainfall of CTRL is shown in Figure 7(a). The distribution and intensity of

5 Advances in Meteorology 5 3 N 8 N 8 N 6 N 6 N 8 E 3 N E 8 E E E (a) 6 UTC 6 (b) 9 UTC 6 3 N 8 N 8 N 8 E N E 3 3 N 6 N E 8 E E (c) UTC 6 E E (d) UTC 7 Figure 5: Simulated radar reflectivity from CTRL experiment at (a) 6 UTC 6, (b) 9 UTC 6, (c) UTC 6, and (d) UTC 7 October 3. simulated rainfall is nearly the same as what was observed (Figures 7(a) and ). The maximum rainfall in CTRL experiment is 55 mm, compared with 57 mm that was observed. There are broad regions of the north and coast of Zhejiang exceeding 3 mm. The horizontal distribution of simulated 48 h accumulated precipitation is also similar to that of the observation, but the location is incorrect to the southwest. In good agreement with the simulated distribution of the rainbands, there is a westward and southward displacement of the simulated precipitation and overestimate over northwest of Zhejiang province. Figure presents time series of hourly area averaged rainfall, from the CMORPH-Gauge merged data and the CTRL and No Danas experiments. Compared with observation, the CTRL experiment underpredicted the total rainfall in the north Zhejiang province; the underprediction occurred mainly during 5 UTC 6 October UTC 8 October 3, namely, the time of the heaviest rainfall. In spite of the underestimation of the peak rainfall

6 6 Advances in Meteorology 34 N 8 N 6 N 6 N 4 E 4 N 6 E 8 E E E 4 E 6 E (mm) N (a) CTRL 6 E 8 E E E 34 N 4 E CMA CTRL (a) Track of Fitow 99 6 N 4 E SLP (hpa) 98 6 E 8 E E E 4 E 6 E (mm) (b) No Danas 94 Figure 7: The simulated 48 h accumulated rainfall (unit: mm) ending at UTC 8 October 3 from (a) CTRL and (b) No Danas Fcst (h) CMA CTRL (b) SLP of Fitow Figure 6: (a) Minimum SLP (central sea level pressure (hpa)) and (b) the track of typhoon Fitow from CMA best track data and the WRF model simulation in control experiment. intensity of Fitow, the simulated in CTRL experiment show the reasonable evolution and distribution of rainfall. Figure 6 shows the simulated track of CTRL, during UTC 6 October- UTC 7 October 3, China Meteorological Administration-Shanghai Typhoon Institute (CMA-SH). The model simulated the intensity of typhoon Fitow reasonably well at the first h of integration but considerably underpredicted the weakening rate of typhoon Fitow (Figure 6(a)). On the other hand, the simulated track of Saomai is nearly the same as the observed track over the ocean. After Fitow landfall, there is a westward and southward displacement of the simulated precipitation (Figure 6(b)). Figure 8 compares CTRL and No Danas simulated moisture flux (vector) and specific humidity (shaded, unit: g/kg) at UTC 7 October 3. In the two experiments, high values of moisture over east of China are brought westward by the strong southeast flow (Figure 8). In the CTRL experiment, the Danas-related moisture exhibited spiral band-shaped bridge Fitow and Danas, which result in more moisture brought to north of Zhejiang (Figure 8(a)). On the other hand, the No Danas experiment shows only two narrow moisture bands connecting to typhoon Fitow in the south of Zhejiang province (Figure 8(b)), and the high values (>4 g/kg) of moisture over Zhejiang province are confined mainly around typhoon Fitow, and there is not a band of high moisture (>4 g/kg) over the north of Zhejiang. The results indicate that one of the significant differences between the two experiments was the moisture transported by typhoon

7 Advances in Meteorology 7 34 N 34 N 3 N 3 N 6 N 6 N N N 8 N 5 E E 5 E 3 E 35 E 3 8 N 5 E E 5 E 3 E 35 E 3 3 (a) CTRL (b) No Danas Figure 8: Moisture flux (vector) and specific humidity (shaded, unit: g/kg) at UTC 7 October 3 from (a) CTRL and (b) No Danas. Danas. Previous research has shown that low-level moisture from the ocean can produce more rainfall [7, 33]. Prior to interaction between binary typhoon Danas and Fitow, the rainbands distribution in the two experiments was nearly identical(figures 5(a) and 9(a)). This agreement suggests that removal of typhoon Danas had little impact on formation of north-rainband farther west previous to the arrival of the typhoon Danas-related moisture [34]. As in the CTRL experiment, two rainbands appear over the north and south of Zhejiang province about 9 UTC 6 October. However, the north rainband disappeared and is displaced with little scattered convective cells, and its convection has little area of stratiform rainfall brought with it. During 9 UTC 6 to UTC 7, the differences between the two simulations became even better defined, as convective cells repeatedinitiationonupwindandmovealonetherainband in the CTRL experiment, but this process did not happen in No Danas. Accordingly, by UTC 7 (Figures 5(d) and 9(d)), there is still a rainband over the north of Zhejiang province in the CTRL simulation, while it disappeared in No Danas. As a result, the extreme rainfall of the north of Zhejiang occurs in the CTRL experiment, but not in No Danas. Much of the reason for these differences in the maintenance of the north rainband can be attributed to the eastward transport of moisture associated with Danas. Figure shows cross sections along A-A (Figures (a) and (c)) and B- B (Figures (b) and (d))at UTC 7 October 3.As canbeseen,thereareconvectivecellsliningfromnorthwest to southeast along the north rainband. The radar reflectivity greater than 35 DBZ extended from surface to 8Km. On the contrary, in the No Danas simulation, the development of convective cells ceases. This suggests that typhoon Danas provided extra moisture for rainband and allowed it to persist for a longer period. The importance of the moisture becomes clear. In the CTRL simulation, there is a seemingly unlimited supply of moisture to the north rainband of Fitow, whereas the No Danas experiment has a less source of moisture. Consequently, new convection continues to initiate on the western side of rainband in the CTRL, as more moist air is transported into the area. As a result of the rainband moving slowly over the north of Zhejiang province, this allows more rainfall to accumulate at the north of Zhejiang province. On the other hand, once the instability from nearby sources is released in the No Danas experiment, the development of rainband ceases and weakens. These results indicate that the moist air fromeastcoastofchinaplayedanimportantroleinmoisture convergence and the formation of north rainband regardless of whether Danas existed and that the Danas-related moisture provided an additional source of fuel for this rainband and allowed the convection along the rainband to persist for a longer period. In summary, the No Danas experiment shows that the extra moisture associated with typhoon Danas caused about times of the maximum precipitation from the outer rainbands of typhoon Fitow over the north of Zhejiang province the maximum 48 h total in the No Danas run was mm compared with more than 5 mm in the CTRL experiment and observation (Figures, 3, and ). This indicates about 55% reduction in total precipitation from the CTRL to No Danas. Namely, extra moisture from the typhoon Danas led to more than 55% enhancement of the total rainfall over the north of Zhejiang province. Thus, the interaction between typhoon Fitow and Danas during 9 UTC 6 and 4 UTC 7 October (Figure )

8 8 Advances in Meteorology 3 N 8 N 8 N 6 N 6 N E 8 E 3 N 8 E E E (a) 6 UTC 6 (b) 9 UTC 6 3 N 8 N 8 N 8 E E (c) UTC 6 3 N 6 N E 6 N E E E E (d) UTC 7 Figure 9: Simulated radar reflectivity from No Danas at (a) 6 UTC 6, (b) 9 UTC 6, (c) UTC 6, and (d) UTC 7 October 3.

9 Advances in Meteorology 9 Height (km) N.3N.8N.4N.N 3 z-wind component contours:.5 to 6 by.5 (a) Height (km) N.3N.8N.4N.N z-wind component contours:.5 to.5 by.5 (b) Height (km) N.5N.7N.9N.N z-wind component contours:. to 4.8 by.4 Height (km) N.5N.7N.9N.N z-wind component contours:.3 to.35 by Reflectivity (c) Reflectivity (d) Figure : Cross sections along A-A of vertical motion (contour, m s ) and radar reflectivity (shaded, DBZ) at UTC 7 October 3 from (a) CTRL and (b) No Danas; (c) and (d) are the same as (a) and (b) but for cross section along B-B. transported extra moisture to the north of Zhejiang province and resulted in the maintenance of north rainband of typhoon Fitow. Consequently, this process made the greatest differenceintheprecipitationhappenatthenorthofzhejiang province. 5. Conclusion The ARW-WRF model is used to investigate the impact of typhoon Danas (3) over the western North Pacific on torrential rainfall produced by typhoon Fitow (3) over east of China. In this case, when typhoon Danas was located in northeast of Taiwan, torrential precipitation occurred far to thewestoverzhejiangprovinceofeastchinaanditscoastal area. In CTRL simulation, the model reasonably reproduced the major features of typhoon Fitow rainband and the torrential rainfall over Zhejiang province. To investigate the contribution of typhoon Danas to the rainfall in Zhejiang province, a sensitive experiment (No Danas) was performed in which the typhoon Danas vortex was removed. As a result of absence of typhoon Danas, rainfall over the north of Zhejiang associated with north rainband of typhoon Fitow rapidly disappeared, indicating that typhoon Danas played an important role in the rainfall produced by typhoon Fitow for the case studied. The major process involved in the effects of typhoon Danas is through the enhanced westward moisture transport into the north rainband of typhoon Fitow. As a result, typhoon Danas played an important role in the torrential rainfall in the north of Zhejiang province, although the typhoondanaswasmorethankmtotheeastover northeast of Taiwan.

10 Advances in Meteorology Precipitation (mm) /6 /7 /8 Time OBS CTRL No Danas Figure : Time series of hourly area averaged rainfall, calculated over the box in Figure. Conflict of Interests The authors declare that there is no conflict of interests regarding the publication of this paper. References [] R. S. Schumacher and R. H. Johnson, Mesoscale processes contributing to extreme rainfall in a midlatitude warm-season flash flood, Monthly Weather Review,vol.36,no.,pp , 8. [] Y. Wang and H. Fudeyasu, The role of Typhoon Songda (4) in producing distantly located heavy rainfall in Japan, Monthly Weather Review,vol.37,no.,pp ,9. [3] F.D.Marks,L.K.Shay,G.Barnesetal., Landfallingtropical cyclones: forecast problems and associated research opportunities, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,vol.79,no., pp , 998. [4] B.-W.Shen,W.-K.Tao,W.K.Lau,andR.Atlas, Predictingtropical cyclogenesis with a global mesoscale model: hierarchical multiscale interactions during the formation of tropical cyclone Nargis (8), Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres, vol.5,no.4,articleidd4,. [5] M. Zhang and D.-L. Zhang, Subkilometer simulation of a torrential-rain-producing mesoscale convective system in East China. Part I: model verification and convective organization, Monthly Weather Review,vol.4,no.,pp.84,. [6] H. Xu, X. Zhang, and X. Xu, Impact of tropical storm bopha on the intensity change of super typhoon Saomai in the 6 typhoon season, Advances in Meteorology,vol.3,ArticleID 487,3pages,3. [7] S. Fujiwhara, The mutual tendency towards symmetry of motion and its application as a principle in meteorology, Quarterly The Royal Meteorological Society, vol.47, pp , 9. [8] S. Fujiwhara, The mutual tendency towards symmetry of motion and its application as a principle in meteorology, Quarterly the Royal Meteorological Society,vol.49,pp , 93. [9] S. Fujiwhara, On the growth and decay of vortical systems, Quarterly the Royal Meteorological Society,vol.49,pp. 75 4, 93. [] S.-E. Shin, J.-Y. Han, and J.-J. Baik, On the critical separation distance of binary vortices in a nondivergent barotropic atmosphere, JournaloftheMeteorologicalSocietyofJapan,SeriesII, vol. 84, no. 5, pp , 6. [] S. Brand, Interaction of binary tropical cyclones of the western North Pacific Ocean, Applied Meteorology,vol.9,no. 3, pp , 97. [] L. E. Carr III, M. A. Boothe, and R. L. Elsberry, Observational evidence for alternate modes of track-altering binary tropical cyclone scenarios, Monthly Weather Review, vol. 5, no. 9, pp. 94, 997. [3] L. E. Carr III and R. L. Elsberry, Objective diagnosis of binary tropical cyclone interactions for the western north pacific basin, Monthly Weather Review, vol.6,no.6,pp , 998. [4] C.-C. Wu, K. K. W. Cheung, J.-H. Chen, and C.-C. Chang, The impact of tropical storm paul (999) on the motion andrainfallassociatedwithtropicalstormrachel(999)near Taiwan, Monthly Weather Review,vol.38,no.5,pp ,. [5]X.Xu,C.Lu,H.Xu,andL.Chen, Apossiblemechanism responsible for exceptional rainfall over Taiwan from Typhoon Morakot, Atmospheric Science Letters, vol., no. 3, pp ,. [6] H. V. Senn and H. W. Hiser, On the origin of hurricane spiral rain bands, Meteorology, vol. 6, no. 4, pp , 959. [7] H. E. Willoughby, A possible mechanism for the formation of hurricane rainbands, the Atmospheric Sciences, vol. 35,no.5,pp ,978. [8] P. T. May, The organization of convection in the rainbands of Tropical Cyclone Laurence, Monthly Weather Review,vol.4, no.5,pp.87 85,996. [9] L. Zhou, G. Zhai, and B. He, Numerical study of the mesoscale systems in the spiral rainband of 59 Typhoon Matsa, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,vol.8,no.,pp.8 8,. [] D. Atlas, K. Hardy, R. Wexler, and R. Boucher, On the origin of hurricane spiral bands, Geofísica Internacional,vol.3,no.4, pp.3 3,963. [] H. Zhou, Mesoscle spiral rainband structure of super typhoon wipha(73) observed by dual-doppler radar, Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences,vol.33,no.3,pp.7 84,(Chinese). []L.Zhou,G.Zhai,andD.Wang, Mesoscalenumericalstudy of the rainstorm and asymmetric structure of 73 typhoon wipha, Chinese Atmospheric Sciences, vol.35,no.6, pp.46 56,(Chinese). [3] W. C. Skamarock, J. B. Klemp, J. Dudhia et al., A description of the advanced research WRF version 3, NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-475+STR, 8.

11 Advances in Meteorology [4] G. Thompson, P. R. Field, R. M. Rasmussen, and W. D. Hall, Explicit forecasts of winter precipitation using an improved bulk microphysics scheme. Part II. Implementation of a new snow parameterization, Monthly Weather Review, vol.36,no., pp , 8. [5] S.-Y. Hong and H.-L. Pan, Nonlocal boundary layer vertical diffusion in a medium-range forecast model, Monthly Weather Review,vol.4,no.,pp.3 339,996. [6] J. S. Kain, The Kain Fritsch convective parameterization: an update, Applied Meteorology, vol. 43, no., pp. 7 8, 4. [7] M. Lonfat, R. Rogers, T. Marchok, and F. D. Marks, A parametric model for predicting hurricane rainfall, Monthly Weather Review,vol.35,no.9,pp ,7. [8] F. Chen and J. Dudhia, Coupling an advanced land surface hydrology model with the Penn State NCAR MM5 modeling system. Part II: preliminary model validation, Monthly Weather Review,vol.9,no.4,pp ,. [9] F. Chen and J. Dudhia, Coupling an advanced land surfacehydrology model with the Penn State-NCAR MM5 modeling system. Part I: model implementation and sensitivity, Monthly Weather Review,vol.9,no.4,pp ,. [3] E.J.Mlawer,S.J.Taubman,P.D.Brown,M.J.Iacono,andS.A. Clough, Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave, Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres,vol.,no.4, pp , 997. [3] J. Dudhia, Numerical study of convection observed during the winter monsoon experiment using a mesoscale twodimensional model, the Atmospheric Sciences, vol. 46, no., pp , 989. [3] National Weather Service/NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce/NCEP, CEP FNL Operational Model Global Tropospheric Analyses, Continuing from July 999, Research Data Archive at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Computational and Information Systems Laboratory, Boulder, Colo, USA,. [33] J.M.Medlin,S.K.Kimball,andK.G.Blackwell, Radarandrain gauge analysis of the extreme rainfall during hurricane Danny s (997) landfall, Monthly Weather Review, vol.35,no.5,pp , 7. [34] R. S. Schumacher, T. J. Galarneau Jr., and L. F. Bosart, Distant effects of a recurving tropical cyclone on rainfall in a midlatitude convective system: a high-impact predecessor rain event, Monthly Weather Review,vol.39,no.,pp ,.

12 International Ecology Geochemistry Mining The Scientific World Journal Scientifica Volume 4 Volume 4 Volume 4 Volume 4 Earthquakes Volume 4 Paleontology Journal Volume 4 Volume 4 Petroleum Engineering Submit your manuscripts at Geophysics International Advances in Volume 4 Volume 4 Mineralogy Geological Research Volume 4 Advances in Geology Climatology International Advances in Meteorology Volume 4 Volume 4 International Atmospheric Sciences International Oceanography Volume 4 Volume 4 Oceanography Volume 4 Applied & Environmental Soil Science Volume 4 Volume 4 Computational Environmental Sciences Volume 4 Volume 4

Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective

Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective Ming-Jen Yang Institute of Hydrological Sciences, National Central University 1. Introduction Typhoon Nari (2001) struck

More information

Research Article A Numerical Study of the Beijing Extreme Rainfall of 21 July 2012 and the Impact of Topography

Research Article A Numerical Study of the Beijing Extreme Rainfall of 21 July 2012 and the Impact of Topography Advances in Meteorology Volume 015, Article ID 980747, 1 pages http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/015/980747 Research Article A Numerical Study of the Beijing Extreme Rainfall of 1 July 01 and the Impact of Topography

More information

Impact of GPS RO Data on the Prediction of Tropical Cyclones

Impact of GPS RO Data on the Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Impact of GPS RO Data on the Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Ying-Hwa Kuo, Hui Liu, UCAR Ching-Yuang Huang, Shu-Ya Chen, NCU Ling-Feng Hsiao, Ming-En Shieh, Yu-Chun Chen, TTFRI Outline Tropical cyclone

More information

Typhoon Relocation in CWB WRF

Typhoon Relocation in CWB WRF Typhoon Relocation in CWB WRF L.-F. Hsiao 1, C.-S. Liou 2, Y.-R. Guo 3, D.-S. Chen 1, T.-C. Yeh 1, K.-N. Huang 1, and C. -T. Terng 1 1 Central Weather Bureau, Taiwan 2 Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey,

More information

School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University. Dong-Kyou Lee. Contribution: Dr. Yonhan Choi (UNIST/NCAR) IWTF/ACTS

School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University. Dong-Kyou Lee. Contribution: Dr. Yonhan Choi (UNIST/NCAR) IWTF/ACTS School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University Dong-Kyou Lee Contribution: Dr. Yonhan Choi (UNIST/NCAR) IWTF/ACTS CONTENTS Introduction Heavy Rainfall Cases Data Assimilation Summary

More information

High Resolution Modeling of Multi-scale Cloud and Precipitation Systems Using a Cloud-Resolving Model

High Resolution Modeling of Multi-scale Cloud and Precipitation Systems Using a Cloud-Resolving Model Chapter 1 Atmospheric and Oceanic Simulation High Resolution Modeling of Multi-scale Cloud and Precipitation Systems Using a Cloud-Resolving Model Project Representative Kazuhisa Tsuboki Author Kazuhisa

More information

Sensitivity of precipitation forecasts to cumulus parameterizations in Catalonia (NE Spain)

Sensitivity of precipitation forecasts to cumulus parameterizations in Catalonia (NE Spain) Sensitivity of precipitation forecasts to cumulus parameterizations in Catalonia (NE Spain) Jordi Mercader (1), Bernat Codina (1), Abdelmalik Sairouni (2), Jordi Cunillera (2) (1) Dept. of Astronomy and

More information

Application and Verification of Multi-Model Products in Medium Range Forecast

Application and Verification of Multi-Model Products in Medium Range Forecast Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection, 2018, 6, 178-193 http://www.scirp.org/journal/gep ISSN Online: 2327-4344 ISSN Print: 2327-4336 Application and Verification of Multi-Model Products in

More information

The Interdecadal Variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as Measured by 500 hpa Eddy Geopotential Height

The Interdecadal Variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as Measured by 500 hpa Eddy Geopotential Height ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2015, VOL. 8, NO. 6, 371 375 The Interdecadal Variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as Measured by 500 hpa Eddy Geopotential Height HUANG Yan-Yan and

More information

Multiscale Analyses of Inland Tropical Cyclone Midlatitude Jet Interactions: Camille (1969) and Danny (1997)

Multiscale Analyses of Inland Tropical Cyclone Midlatitude Jet Interactions: Camille (1969) and Danny (1997) Multiscale Analyses of Inland Tropical Cyclone Midlatitude Jet Interactions: Camille (1969) and Danny (1997) Matthew Potter, Lance Bosart, and Daniel Keyser Department of Atmospheric and Environmental

More information

The Role of Typhoon Songda (2004) in Producing Distantly Located Heavy Rainfall in Japan*

The Role of Typhoon Songda (2004) in Producing Distantly Located Heavy Rainfall in Japan* NOVEMBER 2009 W A N G E T A L. 3699 The Role of Typhoon Songda (2004) in Producing Distantly Located Heavy Rainfall in Japan* YONGQING WANG Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of

More information

An improvement of the SBU-YLIN microphysics scheme in squall line simulation

An improvement of the SBU-YLIN microphysics scheme in squall line simulation 1 An improvement of the SBU-YLIN microphysics scheme in squall line simulation Qifeng QIAN* 1, and Yanluan Lin 1 ABSTRACT The default SBU-YLIN scheme in Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) is

More information

SIMULATION OF ATMOSPHERIC STATES FOR THE CASE OF YEONG-GWANG STORM SURGE ON 31 MARCH 2007 : MODEL COMPARISON BETWEEN MM5, WRF AND COAMPS

SIMULATION OF ATMOSPHERIC STATES FOR THE CASE OF YEONG-GWANG STORM SURGE ON 31 MARCH 2007 : MODEL COMPARISON BETWEEN MM5, WRF AND COAMPS SIMULATION OF ATMOSPHERIC STATES FOR THE CASE OF YEONG-GWANG STORM SURGE ON 31 MARCH 2007 : MODEL COMPARISON BETWEEN MM5, WRF AND COAMPS JEONG-WOOK LEE 1 ; KYUNG-JA HA 1* ; KI-YOUNG HEO 1 ; KWANG-SOON

More information

Predecessor Rain Events: A Literature Review. By: Tony Viramontez

Predecessor Rain Events: A Literature Review. By: Tony Viramontez Predecessor Rain Events: A Literature Review By: Tony Viramontez Introduction Predecessor Rain Event (PRE): meso- and subsynopticscale regions of high-impact heavy rainfall that occur well in advance of

More information

What a Hurricane Needs to Develop

What a Hurricane Needs to Develop Massive Storms! Hurricanes What a Hurricane Needs to Develop Warm tropical water - at least 80 F High Humidity Light wind Low Pressure Area Form between 5 and 20 latitude Hurricane Ingredients Hurricane

More information

Numerical Simulation of Torrential Rainfall and Vortical Hot Towers in a Midlatitude Mesoscale Convective System

Numerical Simulation of Torrential Rainfall and Vortical Hot Towers in a Midlatitude Mesoscale Convective System ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2009, VOL. 2, NO. 4, 189 193 Numerical Simulation of Torrential Rainfall and Vortical Hot Towers in a Midlatitude Mesoscale Convective System ZHANG Man 1,2,3, Da-Lin

More information

Key Laboratory of Mesoscale Severe Weather, Ministry of Education, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University

Key Laboratory of Mesoscale Severe Weather, Ministry of Education, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University Modeling Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Saomai (2006) with the Weather Research and Forecasting Model and Sensitivity to Cloud Microphysical Parameterizations Jie Ming and Yuan Wang Key Laboratory of

More information

Cloud-Resolving Simulations of West Pacific Tropical Cyclones

Cloud-Resolving Simulations of West Pacific Tropical Cyclones Cloud-Resolving Simulations of West Pacific Tropical Cyclones Da-Lin Zhang Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland College Park, MD 20742-2425 Phone: (301) 405-2018; Fax:

More information

Observation and numerical prediction of torrential rainfall over Korea caused by Typhoon Rusa (2002)

Observation and numerical prediction of torrential rainfall over Korea caused by Typhoon Rusa (2002) Click Here for Full Article JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 115,, doi:10.1029/2009jd012581, 2010 Observation and numerical prediction of torrential rainfall over Korea caused by Typhoon Rusa (2002)

More information

Impact of different cumulus parameterizations on the numerical simulation of rain over southern China

Impact of different cumulus parameterizations on the numerical simulation of rain over southern China Impact of different cumulus parameterizations on the numerical simulation of rain over southern China P.W. Chan * Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China 1. INTRODUCTION Convective rain occurs over southern

More information

Early May Cut-off low and Mid-Atlantic rains

Early May Cut-off low and Mid-Atlantic rains Abstract: Early May Cut-off low and Mid-Atlantic rains By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA A deep 500 hpa cutoff developed in the southern Plains on 3 May 2013. It produced a

More information

Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan

Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 10A.4 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATIONS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA CHENG-SHANG LEE 1 AND YUNG-LAN LIN* 1, 2 1 Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 2 Taipei Aeronautic Meteorological

More information

Victor Homar * and David J. Stensrud NOAA/NSSL, Norman, Oklahoma

Victor Homar * and David J. Stensrud NOAA/NSSL, Norman, Oklahoma 3.5 SENSITIVITIES OF AN INTENSE CYCLONE OVER THE WESTERN MEDITERRANEAN Victor Homar * and David J. Stensrud NOAA/NSSL, Norman, Oklahoma 1. INTRODUCTION The Mediterranean region is a very active cyclogenetic

More information

ESCI 241 Meteorology Lesson 19 Tropical Cyclones Dr. DeCaria

ESCI 241 Meteorology Lesson 19 Tropical Cyclones Dr. DeCaria ESCI 241 Meteorology Lesson 19 Tropical Cyclones Dr. DeCaria READING: Chapter 16 GENERAL A tropical cyclone is a large, low-pressure system that forms over the tropical oceans. Tropical cyclones are classified

More information

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR In this chapter, comparisons between the model-produced and analyzed streamlines,

More information

11B.1 INFLUENCE OF DIABATIC POTENTIAL VORTICITY ANOMALIES UPON WARM CONVEYOR BELT FLOW. PART I: FEBRUARY 2003

11B.1 INFLUENCE OF DIABATIC POTENTIAL VORTICITY ANOMALIES UPON WARM CONVEYOR BELT FLOW. PART I: FEBRUARY 2003 INFLUENCE OF DIABATIC POTENTIAL VORTICITY ANOMALIES UPON WARM CONVEYOR BELT FLOW. PART I: 14-15 FEBRUARY 2003 Philip N. Schumacher, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD Joshua M. Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Valley, NE Martin

More information

A New Ocean Mixed-Layer Model Coupled into WRF

A New Ocean Mixed-Layer Model Coupled into WRF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2012, VOL. 5, NO. 3, 170 175 A New Ocean Mixed-Layer Model Coupled into WRF WANG Zi-Qian 1,2 and DUAN An-Min 1 1 The State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling

More information

Numerical Experiments of Tropical Cyclone Seasonality over the Western North Pacific

Numerical Experiments of Tropical Cyclone Seasonality over the Western North Pacific Numerical Experiments of Tropical Cyclone Seasonality over the Western North Pacific Dong-Kyou Lee School of Earth and Environmental Sciences Seoul National University, Korea Contributors: Suk-Jin Choi,

More information

The Impacts of GPSRO Data Assimilation and Four Ices Microphysics Scheme on Simulation of heavy rainfall Events over Taiwan during June 2012

The Impacts of GPSRO Data Assimilation and Four Ices Microphysics Scheme on Simulation of heavy rainfall Events over Taiwan during June 2012 The Impacts of GPSRO Data Assimilation and Four Ices Microphysics Scheme on Simulation of heavy rainfall Events over Taiwan during 10-12 June 2012 Pay-Liam LIN, Y.-J. Chen, B.-Y. Lu, C.-K. WANG, C.-S.

More information

1. INTRODUCTION: 2. DATA AND METHODOLOGY:

1. INTRODUCTION: 2. DATA AND METHODOLOGY: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 24-28 April 2006, Monterey, CA 3A.4 SUPERTYPHOON DALE (1996): A REMARKABLE STORM FROM BIRTH THROUGH EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO EXPLOSIVE REINTENSIFICATION

More information

Joshua M. Boustead *1 NOAA/NWS WFO Omaha/Valley, NE. Philip N. Schumacher NOAA/NWS WFO Sioux Falls, SD

Joshua M. Boustead *1 NOAA/NWS WFO Omaha/Valley, NE. Philip N. Schumacher NOAA/NWS WFO Sioux Falls, SD 11B.2 Influence of Diabatic Potential Vorticity Anomalies upon Warm Conveyor Belt Flow. Part II: 3-5 January 2005 Joshua M. Boustead *1 NOAA/NWS WFO Omaha/Valley, NE Philip N. Schumacher NOAA/NWS WFO Sioux

More information

Comparison of Typhoon Track Forecast using Dynamical Initialization Schemeinstalled

Comparison of Typhoon Track Forecast using Dynamical Initialization Schemeinstalled IWTC-LP 9 Dec 2014, Jeju, Korea Comparison of Typhoon Track Forecast using Dynamical Initialization Schemeinstalled WRF Hyeonjin Shin, WooJeong Lee, KiRyong Kang, 1) Dong-Hyun Cha and Won-Tae Yun National

More information

Myung-Sook Park, Russell L. Elsberry and Michael M. Bell. Department of Meteorology, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, USA

Myung-Sook Park, Russell L. Elsberry and Michael M. Bell. Department of Meteorology, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, USA Latent heating rate profiles at different tropical cyclone stages during 2008 Tropical Cyclone Structure experiment: Comparison of ELDORA and TRMM PR retrievals Myung-Sook Park, Russell L. Elsberry and

More information

High Resolution Ensemble Prediction of Typhoon Morakot (2009) May 11, 2011

High Resolution Ensemble Prediction of Typhoon Morakot (2009) May 11, 2011 High Resolution Ensemble Prediction of Typhoon Morakot (2009) Ying-Hwa Kuo 1,* and Xingqin Fang 1,2 1 National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA 2 Department of Atmospheric Sciences,

More information

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Shingo Yamada Tokyo Climate Center Japan Meteorological Agency 2006/11/02 7 th Joint Meeting on EAWM Contents 1. Verification of the Seasonal

More information

Northeastern United States Snowstorm of 9 February 2017

Northeastern United States Snowstorm of 9 February 2017 Northeastern United States Snowstorm of 9 February 2017 By Richard H. Grumm and Charles Ross National Weather Service State College, PA 1. Overview A strong shortwave produced a stripe of precipitation

More information

Chapter 24. Tropical Cyclones. Tropical Cyclone Classification 4/19/17

Chapter 24. Tropical Cyclones. Tropical Cyclone Classification 4/19/17 Chapter 24 Tropical Cyclones Tropical Cyclones Most destructive storms on the planet Originate over tropical waters, but their paths often take them over land and into midlatitudes Names Hurricane (Atlantic

More information

Hurricane Harvey the Name says it all. by Richard H. Grumm and Charles Ross National Weather Service office State College, PA

Hurricane Harvey the Name says it all. by Richard H. Grumm and Charles Ross National Weather Service office State College, PA Hurricane Harvey the Name says it all by Richard H. Grumm and Charles Ross National Weather Service office State College, PA 16803. 1. Overview Hurricane Harvey crossed the Texas coast (Fig. 1) as a category

More information

High resolution rainfall projections for the Greater Sydney Region

High resolution rainfall projections for the Greater Sydney Region 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Adelaide, Australia, 1 6 December 2013 www.mssanz.org.au/modsim2013 High resolution rainfall projections for the Greater Sydney Region F. Ji a,

More information

Evaluation of High-Resolution WRF Model Simulations of Surface Wind over the West Coast of India

Evaluation of High-Resolution WRF Model Simulations of Surface Wind over the West Coast of India ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2014, VOL. 7, NO. 5, 458 463 Evaluation of High-Resolution WRF Model Simulations of Surface Wind over the West Coast of India S. VISHNU and P. A. FRANCIS Indian

More information

Recent studies on tropical cyclone landfalling in China

Recent studies on tropical cyclone landfalling in China Recent studies on tropical cyclone landfalling in China Lei Xiaotu Shanghai Typhoon Institute CMA, Shanghai, China email: xtlei@21cn.com 1. Losses caused by tropical cyclones in China China is one of the

More information

A simulation study on the rapid intensification of Typhoon Megi (2010) in vertical wind shear

A simulation study on the rapid intensification of Typhoon Megi (2010) in vertical wind shear ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS Atmos. Sci. Let. 17: 630 638 (2016) Published online 11 November 2016 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI:.02/asl.713 A simulation study on the rapid intensification

More information

A New Typhoon Bogus Data Assimilation and its Sampling Method: A Case Study

A New Typhoon Bogus Data Assimilation and its Sampling Method: A Case Study ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2011, VOL. 4, NO. 5, 276 280 A New Typhoon Bogus Data Assimilation and its Sampling Method: A Case Study WANG Shu-Dong 1,2, LIU Juan-Juan 2, and WANG Bin 2 1 Meteorological

More information

STORM SURGE SIMULATION IN NAGASAKI DURING THE PASSAGE OF 2012 TYPHOON SANBA

STORM SURGE SIMULATION IN NAGASAKI DURING THE PASSAGE OF 2012 TYPHOON SANBA STORM SURGE SIMULATION IN NAGASAKI DURING THE PASSAGE OF 2012 TYPHOON SANBA D. P. C. Laknath 1, Kazunori Ito 1, Takahide Honda 1 and Tomoyuki Takabatake 1 As a result of global warming effect, storm surges

More information

Unseasonable weather conditions in Japan in August 2014

Unseasonable weather conditions in Japan in August 2014 Unseasonable weather conditions in Japan in August 2014 Summary of analysis by the TCC Advisory Panel on Extreme Climatic Events In an extraordinary session held at the Japan Meteorological Agency on 3

More information

Water Balance in the Murray-Darling Basin and the recent drought as modelled with WRF

Water Balance in the Murray-Darling Basin and the recent drought as modelled with WRF 18 th World IMACS / MODSIM Congress, Cairns, Australia 13-17 July 2009 http://mssanz.org.au/modsim09 Water Balance in the Murray-Darling Basin and the recent drought as modelled with WRF Evans, J.P. Climate

More information

608 SENSITIVITY OF TYPHOON PARMA TO VARIOUS WRF MODEL CONFIGURATIONS

608 SENSITIVITY OF TYPHOON PARMA TO VARIOUS WRF MODEL CONFIGURATIONS 608 SENSITIVITY OF TYPHOON PARMA TO VARIOUS WRF MODEL CONFIGURATIONS Phillip L. Spencer * and Brent L. Shaw Weather Decision Technologies, Norman, OK, USA Bonifacio G. Pajuelas Philippine Atmospheric,

More information

7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency

7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency Summary of the 2016 Asian Summer Monsoon 7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency This report summarizes the characteristics of the surface climate and atmospheric/oceanographic

More information

Severe storms over the Mediterranean Sea: A satellite and model analysis

Severe storms over the Mediterranean Sea: A satellite and model analysis National Research Council of Italy Severe storms over the Mediterranean Sea: A satellite and model analysis V. Levizzani, S. Laviola, A. Malvaldi, M. M. Miglietta, and E. Cattani 6 th International Precipitation

More information

ABSTRACT 3 RADIAL VELOCITY ASSIMILATION IN BJRUC 3.1 ASSIMILATION STRATEGY OF RADIAL

ABSTRACT 3 RADIAL VELOCITY ASSIMILATION IN BJRUC 3.1 ASSIMILATION STRATEGY OF RADIAL REAL-TIME RADAR RADIAL VELOCITY ASSIMILATION EXPERIMENTS IN A PRE-OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK IN NORTH CHINA Min Chen 1 Ming-xuan Chen 1 Shui-yong Fan 1 Hong-li Wang 2 Jenny Sun 2 1 Institute of Urban Meteorology,

More information

1. Introduction. In following sections, a more detailed description of the methodology is provided, along with an overview of initial results.

1. Introduction. In following sections, a more detailed description of the methodology is provided, along with an overview of initial results. 7B.2 MODEL SIMULATED CHANGES IN TC INTENSITY DUE TO GLOBAL WARMING Kevin A. Hill*, Gary M. Lackmann, and A. Aiyyer North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 1. Introduction The impact of

More information

Four- dimensional climate data sets of the AMMA Special Observing Period #3

Four- dimensional climate data sets of the AMMA Special Observing Period #3 Four- dimensional climate data sets of the AMMA Special Observing Period #3 Leonard M. Druyan 1, Matthew Fulakeza 1, Patrick Lonergan 1 and Erik Noble 2 NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies, NYC and

More information

P1.1 BAROCLINICITY INFLUENCES ON STORM DIVERGENCE IN THE SUBTROPICS

P1.1 BAROCLINICITY INFLUENCES ON STORM DIVERGENCE IN THE SUBTROPICS P1.1 BAROCLINICITY INFLUENCES ON STORM DIVERGENCE IN THE SUBTROPICS Larry J. Hopper, Jr.*, and Courtney Schumacher Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 1. INTRODUCTION Many studies have investigated

More information

What a Hurricane Needs to Develop

What a Hurricane Needs to Develop Weather Weather is the current atmospheric conditions, such as air temperature, wind speed, wind direction, cloud cover, precipitation, relative humidity, air pressure, etc. 8.10B: global patterns of atmospheric

More information

INVESTIGATION FOR A POSSIBLE INFLUENCE OF IOANNINA AND METSOVO LAKES (EPIRUS, NW GREECE), ON PRECIPITATION, DURING THE WARM PERIOD OF THE YEAR

INVESTIGATION FOR A POSSIBLE INFLUENCE OF IOANNINA AND METSOVO LAKES (EPIRUS, NW GREECE), ON PRECIPITATION, DURING THE WARM PERIOD OF THE YEAR Proceedings of the 13 th International Conference of Environmental Science and Technology Athens, Greece, 5-7 September 2013 INVESTIGATION FOR A POSSIBLE INFLUENCE OF IOANNINA AND METSOVO LAKES (EPIRUS,

More information

10B.2 THE ROLE OF THE OCCLUSION PROCESS IN THE EXTRATROPICAL-TO-TROPICAL TRANSITION OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE KAREN

10B.2 THE ROLE OF THE OCCLUSION PROCESS IN THE EXTRATROPICAL-TO-TROPICAL TRANSITION OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE KAREN 10B.2 THE ROLE OF THE OCCLUSION PROCESS IN THE EXTRATROPICAL-TO-TROPICAL TRANSITION OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE KAREN Andrew L. Hulme* and Jonathan E. Martin University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin

More information

A diagnostic study on heavy rainfall induced by landfalling Typhoon Utor (2013) in South China: 2. Postlandfall rainfall

A diagnostic study on heavy rainfall induced by landfalling Typhoon Utor (2013) in South China: 2. Postlandfall rainfall PUBLICATIONS RESEARCH ARTICLE This article is a companion to Meng and Wang [2016] doi:10.1002/2015jd024646. Key Points: ISOs played important roles in reviving Typhoon Utor inland Monsoonal surges contribute

More information

Ensemble Trajectories and Moisture Quantification for the Hurricane Joaquin (2015) Event

Ensemble Trajectories and Moisture Quantification for the Hurricane Joaquin (2015) Event Ensemble Trajectories and Moisture Quantification for the Hurricane Joaquin (2015) Event Chasity Henson and Patrick Market Atmospheric Sciences, School of Natural Resources University of Missouri 19 September

More information

5 Atmospheric Disturbances 7 1.Cyclones- tropical and temperate and associated weather conditions. 2.Anticyclones and associated weather conditions.

5 Atmospheric Disturbances 7 1.Cyclones- tropical and temperate and associated weather conditions. 2.Anticyclones and associated weather conditions. 5 Atmospheric Disturbances 7 1.Cyclones- tropical and temperate and associated weather conditions. 2.Anticyclones and associated weather conditions. atmospheric disturbances (weather systems) that are

More information

Massive Storms! 8.10C Identify the role of the oceans in the formation of weather systems such as hurricanes

Massive Storms! 8.10C Identify the role of the oceans in the formation of weather systems such as hurricanes Massive Storms! 8.10C Identify the role of the oceans in the formation of weather systems such as hurricanes Instructional page: Each person in group will take on one portion or set of questions: Each

More information

P Hurricane Danielle Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Study Using the NCAR Advanced Research WRF Model

P Hurricane Danielle Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Study Using the NCAR Advanced Research WRF Model P1.2 2004 Hurricane Danielle Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Study Using the NCAR Advanced Research WRF Model Nelsie A. Ramos* and Gregory Jenkins Howard University, Washington, DC 1. INTRODUCTION Presently,

More information

Projected change in the East Asian summer monsoon from dynamical downscaling

Projected change in the East Asian summer monsoon from dynamical downscaling Copyright KIOST, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Projected change in the East Asian summer monsoon from dynamical downscaling : Moisture budget analysis Chun-Yong Jung 1,2, Chan Joo Jang 1*, Ho-Jeong Shin 1 and Hyung-Jin

More information

Indiana County Flash Flood of 22 June 2017

Indiana County Flash Flood of 22 June 2017 Indiana County Flash Flood of 22 June 2017 By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA 1. Overview Slow moving thunderstorms brought 3 to 4 inches of rainfall to Indiana County, PA during

More information

2 July 2013 Flash Flood Event

2 July 2013 Flash Flood Event 2 July 2013 Flash Flood Event By Richard H. Grumm and Charles Ross National Weather Service State College, PA 1. Overview A retrograding 500 hpa cyclone and anticyclone (Fig. 1) set up deep southerly flow

More information

On the extreme rainfall of Typhoon Morakot (2009)

On the extreme rainfall of Typhoon Morakot (2009) JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 116,, doi:10.1029/2010jd015092, 2011 On the extreme rainfall of Typhoon Morakot (2009) Fang Ching Chien 1 and Hung Chi Kuo 2 Received 21 September 2010; revised 17

More information

The increase of snowfall in Northeast China after the mid 1980s

The increase of snowfall in Northeast China after the mid 1980s Article Atmospheric Science doi: 10.1007/s11434-012-5508-1 The increase of snowfall in Northeast China after the mid 1980s WANG HuiJun 1,2* & HE ShengPing 1,2,3 1 Nansen-Zhu International Research Center,

More information

Features of the wind fields associated with Typhoon 0418 (Songda) compared with those of Typhoon 9119 (Mireille)

Features of the wind fields associated with Typhoon 0418 (Songda) compared with those of Typhoon 9119 (Mireille) Features of the wind fields associated with Typhoon 0418 (Songda) compared with those of Typhoon 9119 (Mireille) by Fumiaki Fujibe 1, Naoko Kitabatake 2, Kotaro Bessho 2 and Shunsuke Hoshino 3 ABSTRACT

More information

ABSTRACT 2 DATA 1 INTRODUCTION

ABSTRACT 2 DATA 1 INTRODUCTION 16B.7 MODEL STUDY OF INTERMEDIATE-SCALE TROPICAL INERTIA GRAVITY WAVES AND COMPARISON TO TWP-ICE CAM- PAIGN OBSERVATIONS. S. Evan 1, M. J. Alexander 2 and J. Dudhia 3. 1 University of Colorado, Boulder,

More information

A Snow-Ratio Equation and Its Application to Numerical Snowfall Prediction

A Snow-Ratio Equation and Its Application to Numerical Snowfall Prediction 644 W E A T H E R A N D F O R E C A S T I N G VOLUME 23 A Snow-Ratio Equation and Its Application to Numerical Snowfall Prediction KUN-YOUNG BYUN, JUN YANG,* AND TAE-YOUNG LEE Laboratory for Atmospheric

More information

General Circulation. Nili Harnik DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory

General Circulation. Nili Harnik DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory General Circulation Nili Harnik DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory nili@ldeo.columbia.edu Latitudinal Radiation Imbalance The annual mean, averaged around latitude circles, of the balance between the

More information

EVALUATION OF THE WRF METEOROLOGICAL MODEL RESULTS FOR HIGH OZONE EPISODE IN SW POLAND THE ROLE OF MODEL INITIAL CONDITIONS Wrocław, Poland

EVALUATION OF THE WRF METEOROLOGICAL MODEL RESULTS FOR HIGH OZONE EPISODE IN SW POLAND THE ROLE OF MODEL INITIAL CONDITIONS Wrocław, Poland EVALUATION OF THE WRF METEOROLOGICAL MODEL RESULTS FOR HIGH OZONE EPISODE IN SW POLAND THE ROLE OF MODEL INITIAL CONDITIONS Kinga Wałaszek 1, Maciej Kryza 1, Małgorzata Werner 1 1 Department of Climatology

More information

Analysis of Fall Transition Season (Sept-Early Dec) Why has the weather been so violent?

Analysis of Fall Transition Season (Sept-Early Dec) Why has the weather been so violent? WEATHER TOPICS Analysis of Fall Transition Season (Sept-Early Dec) 2009 Why has the weather been so violent? As can be seen by the following forecast map, the Fall Transition and early Winter Season of

More information

THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OF TYPHOON WINNIE (1997): SELF-AMPLIFICATION AFTER LANDFALL

THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OF TYPHOON WINNIE (1997): SELF-AMPLIFICATION AFTER LANDFALL THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OF TYPHOON WINNIE (1997): SELF-AMPLIFICATION AFTER LANDFALL Chih-Shin Liu *1,2 and George Tai-Jen Chen 2 1 Weather Forecast Center, Central Weather Bureau, 2 Department of

More information

Notes and Correspondence Impact of land-surface roughness on surface winds during hurricane landfall

Notes and Correspondence Impact of land-surface roughness on surface winds during hurricane landfall QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 134: 151 157 (28) Published online 4 June 28 in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 1.12/qj.265 Notes and

More information

Chapter 24 Tropical Cyclones

Chapter 24 Tropical Cyclones Chapter 24 Tropical Cyclones Tropical Weather Systems Tropical disturbance a cluster of thunderstorms about 250 to 600 km in diameter, originating in the tropics or sub-tropics Tropical depression a cluster

More information

DISTRIBUTION AND DIURNAL VARIATION OF WARM-SEASON SHORT-DURATION HEAVY RAINFALL IN RELATION TO THE MCSS IN CHINA

DISTRIBUTION AND DIURNAL VARIATION OF WARM-SEASON SHORT-DURATION HEAVY RAINFALL IN RELATION TO THE MCSS IN CHINA 3 DISTRIBUTION AND DIURNAL VARIATION OF WARM-SEASON SHORT-DURATION HEAVY RAINFALL IN RELATION TO THE MCSS IN CHINA Jiong Chen 1, Yongguang Zheng 1*, Xiaoling Zhang 1, Peijun Zhu 2 1 National Meteorological

More information

CPTEC and NCEP Model Forecast Drift and South America during the Southern Hemisphere Summer

CPTEC and NCEP Model Forecast Drift and South America during the Southern Hemisphere Summer CPTEC and NCEP Model Forecast Drift and South America during the Southern Hemisphere Summer José Antonio Aravéquia 1 Pedro L. Silva Dias 2 (1) Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Research National

More information

A Quick Report on a Dynamical Downscaling Simulation over China Using the Nested Model

A Quick Report on a Dynamical Downscaling Simulation over China Using the Nested Model ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2010, VOL. 3, NO. 6, 325 329 A Quick Report on a Dynamical Downscaling Simulation over China Using the Nested Model YU En-Tao 1,2,3, WANG Hui-Jun 1,2, and SUN Jian-Qi

More information

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF A BAY OF BENGAL TROPICAL CYCLONE: A COMPARISON OF THE RESULTS FROM EXPERIMENTS WITH JRA-25 AND NCEP REANALYSIS FIELDS

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF A BAY OF BENGAL TROPICAL CYCLONE: A COMPARISON OF THE RESULTS FROM EXPERIMENTS WITH JRA-25 AND NCEP REANALYSIS FIELDS NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF A BAY OF BENGAL TROPICAL CYCLONE: A COMPARISON OF THE RESULTS FROM EXPERIMENTS WITH JRA-25 AND NCEP REANALYSIS FIELDS Dodla Venkata Bhaskar Rao Desamsetti Srinivas and Dasari Hari

More information

1. Introduction. 2. Verification of the 2010 forecasts. Research Brief 2011/ February 2011

1. Introduction. 2. Verification of the 2010 forecasts. Research Brief 2011/ February 2011 Research Brief 2011/01 Verification of Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific and Number of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall in South China and the Korea and Japan region

More information

Probabilistic Evaluation of Prediction and Dynamics of Super Typhoon MEGI (2010)

Probabilistic Evaluation of Prediction and Dynamics of Super Typhoon MEGI (2010) Probabilistic Evaluation of Prediction and Dynamics of Super Typhoon MEGI (2010) 6 November 2012 Chuanhai Qian 1, Fuqing Zhang 2, Yihong Duan 1 1 China Meteorological Administration 2 Pennsylvania State

More information

Chapter 1 Climate in 2016

Chapter 1 Climate in 2016 Chapter 1 Climate in 2016 1.1 Global climate summary Extremely high temperatures were frequently observed in many regions of the world, and in particular continued for most of the year in various places

More information

P4.10. Kenichi Kusunoki 1 * and Wataru Mashiko 1 1. Meteorological Research Institute, Japan

P4.10. Kenichi Kusunoki 1 * and Wataru Mashiko 1 1. Meteorological Research Institute, Japan P4. DOPPLER RADAR INVESTIGATIONS OF THE INNER CORE OF TYPHOON SONGDA (24) Polygonal / elliptical eyewalls, eye contraction, and small-scale spiral bands. Kenichi Kusunoki * and Wataru Mashiko Meteorological

More information

Kalimantan realistically (Figs. 8.23a-d). Also, the wind speeds of the westerly

Kalimantan realistically (Figs. 8.23a-d). Also, the wind speeds of the westerly suppressed rainfall rate (maximum vertical velocity) around 17 LST (Figs. 8.21a-b). These results are in agreement with previous studies (e. g., Emanuel and Raymond 1994). The diurnal variation of maximum

More information

Synoptic Meteorology

Synoptic Meteorology M.Sc. in Meteorology Synoptic Meteorology [MAPH P312] Prof Peter Lynch Second Semester, 2004 2005 Seminar Room Dept. of Maths. Physics, UCD, Belfield. Part 9 Extratropical Weather Systems These lectures

More information

KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT

KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT T KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT 2 ALAYSIAN METEOROLOGICAL http://www.met.gov.my DEPARTMENT MINISTRY OF SCIENCE. TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATIO Introduction Atmospheric and oceanic conditions over the tropical

More information

Foundations of Earth Science, 6e Lutgens, Tarbuck, & Tasa

Foundations of Earth Science, 6e Lutgens, Tarbuck, & Tasa Foundations of Earth Science, 6e Lutgens, Tarbuck, & Tasa Weather Patterns and Severe Weather Foundations, 6e - Chapter 14 Stan Hatfield Southwestern Illinois College Air masses Characteristics Large body

More information

Inner core dynamics: Eyewall Replacement and hot towers

Inner core dynamics: Eyewall Replacement and hot towers Inner core dynamics: Eyewall Replacement and hot towers FIU Undergraduate Hurricane Internship Lecture 4 8/13/2012 Why inner core dynamics is important? Current TC intensity and structure forecasts contain

More information

Lectures on Tropical Cyclones

Lectures on Tropical Cyclones Lectures on Tropical Cyclones Chapter 1 Observations of Tropical Cyclones Outline of course Introduction, Observed Structure Dynamics of Mature Tropical Cyclones Equations of motion Primary circulation

More information

Mélicie Desflots* RSMAS, University of Miami, Miami, Florida

Mélicie Desflots* RSMAS, University of Miami, Miami, Florida 15B.6 RAPID INTENSITY CHANGE IN HURRICANE LILI (2002) Mélicie Desflots* RSMAS, University of Miami, Miami, Florida 1. INTRODUCTION Rapid intensity change in tropical cyclones is one of the most difficult

More information

A Climatology of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific

A Climatology of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific A Climatology of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific Naoko KITABATAKE (Meteorological Research Institute / Japan Meteorological Agency) 1 Outline 1. Topic 1:

More information

Initialization of Tropical Cyclone Structure for Operational Application

Initialization of Tropical Cyclone Structure for Operational Application DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. Initialization of Tropical Cyclone Structure for Operational Application PI: Tim Li IPRC/SOEST, University of Hawaii at

More information

Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure Changes in relation to Tropical Cyclone Outflow

Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure Changes in relation to Tropical Cyclone Outflow DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure Changes in relation to Tropical Cyclone Outflow Patrick A. Harr Department of

More information

(April 7, 2010, Wednesday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 2

(April 7, 2010, Wednesday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 2 Lecture #17 (April 7, 2010, Wednesday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 2 Hurricane Katrina August 2005 All tropical cyclone tracks (1945-2006). Hurricane Formation While moving westward, tropical disturbances

More information

Chapter 1 Anatomy of a Cyclone

Chapter 1 Anatomy of a Cyclone Chapter 1 Anatomy of a Cyclone The Beast in the East 15-17 February 2003 Extra-tropical cyclone an area of low pressure outside of the tropics Other names for extra-tropical cyclones: Cyclone Mid-latitude

More information

Flooding and Severe weather of 27 June 2013

Flooding and Severe weather of 27 June 2013 Flooding and Severe weather of 27 June 2013 By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA 1. Overview Flooding and severe weather affected Pennsylvania on 27 June 2013 (Fig 1). The severe

More information

Cut-off lows in the Southern Hemisphere Climatology and two cases of study

Cut-off lows in the Southern Hemisphere Climatology and two cases of study Cut-off lows in the Southern Hemisphere Climatology and two cases of study René D. Garreaud Departament of Geophysics Universidad de Chile Santiago, Chile March 7, 2016 University at Albany - SUNY Outline

More information

The Formation of Precipitation Anomaly Patterns during the Developing and Decaying Phases of ENSO

The Formation of Precipitation Anomaly Patterns during the Developing and Decaying Phases of ENSO ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2010, VOL. 3, NO. 1, 25 30 The Formation of Precipitation Anomaly Patterns during the Developing and Decaying Phases of ENSO HU Kai-Ming and HUANG Gang State Key

More information

Why the Atlantic was surprisingly quiet in 2013

Why the Atlantic was surprisingly quiet in 2013 1 Why the Atlantic was surprisingly quiet in 2013 by William Gray and Phil Klotzbach Preliminary Draft - March 2014 (Final draft by early June) ABSTRACT This paper discusses the causes of the unusual dearth

More information

Seoul National University. Ji-Hyun Ha, Gyu-Ho Lim and Dong-Kyou Lee

Seoul National University. Ji-Hyun Ha, Gyu-Ho Lim and Dong-Kyou Lee Numerical simulation with radar data assimilation over the Korean Peninsula Seoul National University Ji-Hyun Ha, Gyu-Ho Lim and Dong-Kyou Lee Introduction The forecast skill associated with warm season

More information