, ; 21. , km km 2 [1 3 ] [4 ) ; 3 000, Vol. 27,No. 5 Sep.,2005 RESOURCES SCIENCE : (2005) ,2 1,2 ,,,

Size: px

Start display at page:

Download ", ; 21. , km km 2 [1 3 ] [4 ) ; 3 000, Vol. 27,No. 5 Sep.,2005 RESOURCES SCIENCE : (2005) ,2 1,2 ,,,"

Mary Patricia Green
5 years ago
Views:

27 5 2005 9 RESOURCES SCIENCE Vol. 27 No. 5 Sep.

1 RESOURCES SCIENCE Vol. 27 No. 5 Sep : (2005) ( ; 21 ) : GM (111) : ; ; ; km km 500m km km km 2 [1 3 ] [4 ] ; : ; ( ) ; 1 ; : ; : : ( : ) : (1971 ) E2mail ac. cn ; Tel :

2 27 5 : [3 ] km t m 3 [5 6 ] : 113 : ; ; ; 1 Table 1 The advantageous marine resources of coastal provinces of China ( ) m t ( ) m ( 2) ( 3) km 7Π Table 2 The component of output value of marine industries of China from 1994 to ( 10 8 ) ( %) ( %) ( %) ( %) ( %) ( %) ( %) ( %) :

3 %( Table 3 The gross output value of marine industries of China ) and comparison with other countries ( 10 8 ) GM( 111) 211 GM( 111) [7 8 ] GM(111) 5 GM(1 1) 1Π % 5815 % (0 1) (1) G(0 1) 2716 % X 0 X 1 X 0 ; X 6610 % 1 ; X 2 ; X 3 ; X 4 ; X % ; X 6 ; X % ; : G (0 1) = 0195 ; G ( 0 2) = 0169 ; G (0 3) = 0180 ; G (0 4) = 0186 ; G (0 5) = 0191 ; G (0 6) = 0189 ; G (0 7) = % : X 1 > X 7 > X 5 > X 6 > X 4 > X 3 > X 2 (2)

4 27 5 : 23 : G(0 1) = 0192 ; G(0 2) = 0183 ; G(0 4) = 0167 ; G(0 5) = 0188 ; G(0 6) = 0176 ; G(0 7) = 0188 : X 1 > X 7 > X 5 > X 2 > X 6 > X 4 : G(0 1) = 0184 ; G(0 4) = 0169 ; G(0 5) = 0166 ; G(0 6) = 0167 ; G(0 7) = 0167 : X 1 > X 4 > X 7 > X 6 > X 5 : G(0 1) = 0195 ; G(0 2) = 0193 ; G(0 3) = 0165 ; G(0 4) = 0194 ; G(0 5) = 0181 ; G(0 6) = 0195 ; G(0 7) = 0196 : X 7 > X 1 > X 6 > X 4 > X 2 > X 5 > X 3 : G(0 1) = 0196 ; G(0 2) = 0179 ; G(0 3) = 0166 ; G(0 4) = 0186 ; G(0 5) = 0190 ; G(0 6) = 0187 ; G(0 7) = 0189 : X 1 > X 5 > X 7 > X 6 > X 4 > X 2 > X 3 : G(0 1) = 0181 ; G(0 4) = 0182 ; G(0 5) = 0172 ; G(0 6) = 0148 ; G(0 7) = 0175 : X 4 > X 1 > X 7 > X 5 > X 6 : G(0 1) = 0171 ; G(0 4) = 0147 ; G(0 5) = 0175 ; G(0 6) = 0183 ; G(0 7) = 0186 : X 7 > X 6 > X 5 > X 1 > X 2 : G(0 1) = 0192 ; G(0 4) = 0169 ; G(0 5) = 0164 ; G(0 6) = 0190 ; G(0 7) = 0178 : X 1 > X 6 > X 7 > X 4 > X 5 : G(0 1) = 0199 ; G(0 3) = 0146 ; G(0 4) = 0176 ; G(0 5) = 0188 ; G(0 6) = 0196 ; G(0 7) = 0196 : X 1 > X 6 > X 7 > X 5 > X 4 > X 3 : G(0 1) = 0187 ; G(0 2) = 0178 ; G(0 3) = 0156 ; G(0 4) = 0168 ; G(0 5) = 0187 ; G(0 6) = 0182 ; G(0 7) = 0193 : X 7 > X 5 > X 1 > X 6 > X 2 > X 4 > X 3 : G(0 1) = 0195 ; G(0 3) = 0165 ; G(0 4) = 0185 ; G(0 6) = 0172 ; G(0 7) = 0168 : X 1 > X 4 > X 6 > X 7 > X 3 ) ; Y 2 ; Y 3 : G (0 1) = 0176 ; G (0 2) = 0158 ; G (0 3) = 0172 : Y 1 > Y 3 > Y 2 (4) Z 0 ; Z 1 ; Z 2 ; Z 3 ; Z 4 ; Z 5 ; Z 6 ; Z 7 : G (0 1) = 0194 ; G (0 2) = 0166 ; G (0 3) = 0159 ; G (0 4) = 0176 ; G (0 5) = 0180 ; G (0 6) = 0178 ; G (0 7) = 0170 : Z 1 > Z 5 > Z 6 > Z 4 > Z 7 > Z 2 > Z GM( 111) GM (111) ( 2000 ) 4 Table 4 The output prediction of China s marine industries ( 10 8 ) C = 0124 ; P = C = 0122 ; P = C = 0140 ; P = C = 0198 ; P = C = 0157 ; P = C = 0136 ; P = C = 0140 ; P = C = 0137 ; P = : C P : G(0 1) = 0193 ; G(0 2) = 0165 ; G(0 3) = 0174 ; G(0 4) = 0190 ; G(0 5) = 0171 ; G(0 6) = 0184 ; G(0 7) = 0193 : X 7 > X 1 > X 4 > X 6 > X 3 > X 5 > X 2 (3) 50 % Y 0 ; Y 1 (

5 % GM(1 1) ( 2000 ) 40 % 90 : ; ; 4 ; ; 411 : ; Π3 ( ) 80 % : ( ) ( )

6 27 5 : ( ) [9 ] ( 1 115) : 30 % 70 % 80 % 20 ; ; % % ( References) : 631 [ ZHANG Yao2guang. China [1 ]. 21 [ M]. : [LU Da2dao Sustainable Development in Coastal Region of China in The 21st Century [M]. Wuhan : Hubei Science Technology Press ] [2 ]. ( ) [ M]. : Border) [M]. Beijing : Science Press ] [4 ] s Border Geography ( Marine [3 ]. [ M]. : [WANG Ying. China s Maine Geography [ M ]. Beijing : Science Press ]. [ M]. :

7 [LIU Cheng2wu YANG Zhi2rong FANG Zhong quan et al. On Natural Resources [ M ]. Beijing : Science Press ] [5 ]. [8 ] [J ]. [J ] (3 ) : [ ZHANG Yao2guang LIU Yan LI Chun2ping et al. The exploitation of marine oil and gas resources and the tactic measures of petroleum in China [J ]. Geographical Research 2003 (3) : ] [6 ]. [J ]. [J ] (3) :90 921[ ZHANG Yao2guang ( ) 2000 (3) : [ XU Jia2xin. Review and prospect of exploitation of oil and gas resources in offshore[j ]. China Offshore Oil and Gas ( Geology) 2003 (3) : ] [7 ]. [ M]. : [ DENG Ju2long. Grey Control System [ M]. Wuhan : Huazhong Science and Technology University Press ] (5) : [LI Zi2jun. Advance on grey system theory application research in China ( ) [J ]. System Engineering (5) : 8 121] [9 ]. HU Xin2hua GAO Xin2ping. The Bottleneck restriction and countermeasure of high new technology of marine economy in China [J ]. Human Geography 2002 (3) : ] Current Situation and Development Trend of Marine Industry in China LOU Dong 1 2 GU Shu2zhong 1 ZHONG Sai2xiang 1 2 (11 Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research CAS Beijing China ; 21 Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Bejing China) Abstract :China is rich in marine resources including plant species and covering square sea miles of fishing grounds. It is estimated that there are about 40 billion tons of oil resources and 14 trillion cubic meters of natural gas in China s sea areas. Several hundred kilometers coast with deep2water resources are surrounded by more than 160 bays. Many spots along the coastline are suitable for constructing harbors and developing marine transportation systems. There are more than scenic and recreational spots favorable for developing marine tourism. In addition China s offshore areas abound in seawater and marine energy resources. China has witnessed a fast growth in marine economy since Marine economy is the total of various industries involved in sea exploration and related economic activities. Major marine industries of China include marine fisheries ocean communication and transportation coastal shipbuilding ocean oil and gas seaside tourism seaside ore sand marine biomedicine seawater utilization and salt production etc. The paper analyzed industrial structure of the marine industries of the country and the sequence of output value of the major marine industries in coastal provinces municipalities and autonomous region of China using grey relational grade. The prediction via GM (111) model indicated the output value would be more than billion Yuan in 2010 in China. Existing problems and development trend of China s marine industries were discussed and the results show that marine industrial structure is unreasonable marine economy develops unevenly among different areas scientific and technological contribution rate is low and the marine calamity is of great impact. During the new period marine fisheries will continue to play an important role the coastal tourism and maritime transport will be the leading marine industries. Meanwhile the new marine industries such as marine medicine will have a good prospect in the future. Key words :Marine resources ; Marine industries ; Grey relational grade ; Prediction ; Development trend

2008, hm 2. ( Commodity Bundle) [ 6], 25 4 Vol. 25 No JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES Apr., , 2, 3, 1, 2 3*,

2008, hm 2. ( Commodity Bundle) [ 6], 25 4 Vol. 25 No JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES Apr., , 2, 3, 1, 2 3*, 25 4 Vol. 25 No. 4 2010 4 JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES Apr., 2010 1, 2, 3, 3*, 3, 3, 1, 2 ( 1., 100101; 2., 100049; 3., 100193) :,,,,, ;, 2005, 12 7 5, 2005 :,,, : ; ; ; ; : F301. 21 : A : 1000-3037( 2010)