BHP Billiton. Outlook for the Oil and Gas Industry in the Deepwater Gulf of Mexico. Scotia Capital Basic Materials Conference February 2003
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1 BHP Billiton Outlook for the Oil and Gas Industry in the Deepwater Gulf of Mexico Scotia Capital Basic Materials Conference
2 BHP Billiton World s largest metals & mining company Newmont CVRD Alcan Barrick Amplats Anglogold Gold Fields Placer Dome Norilsk Impala Inco Harmony Alumina Pechiney Phelps Dodge WMC Resources Anglo Alcoa Rio Tinto BHPB Market Cap. on 31/12/2 (US$B) 5 Source: Datastream
3 BHP Billiton A medium sized player in the energy industry Market Capitalization of the Top 5 Energy Companies (PFC Energy 5) (US$ Billion) th 1th in in terms terms of of Market Market Cap Cap Electricity & Gas Gas Oil Service Electricity Diversified Oil & Gas 5 EXXON/MOBIL BP RD/SHELL TOTALFINAELF CHEV-TEXACO ENI PETROCHINA E.ON CONOCO BHP BILLITON ENEL TOKYO ELEC SCHLUMBERGER SOUTHERN YUKOS STATOIL RWE GAZPROM SUEZ DUKE EXELON REPSOL YPF ENCANA DOMINION BG GROUP SURGUTNEFTEG KANSAI ELEC SINOPEC LUKOIL ELECTRABEL NATIONAL GRID CHUBU ELEC IBERDROLA TXU CNOOC CENTRICA ANADARKO PETROBRAS KOREA ELEC OCCIDENTAL OIL&NAT GAS SCOTTISH NORSK HYDRO CLP HOLDINGS FPL GROUP BAKER HUGHES AEP ENDESA LATTICE GROUP SIBNEFT Source: The Petroleum Finance Company
4 Our current operations and exploration UK / AFR / ME AMERICAS North Sea Liverpool Bay London AUSTRALIA/ASIA Hague Houston Tokyo Pakistan Gulf of Mexico Trinidad Bolivia Algeria Gabon Brazil South Africa Brunei Laminaria Singapore North West Shelf Griffin/Cossack Melbourne Minerva Bass Strait Main Offices Marketing Offices Production High margin oil exploration & production Gas Commercialization Access to Discovered Resources
5 Gulf of Mexico ( GoM ) - Location Fort Worth Dallas Louisiana River Mississippi Mississippi Jackson Alabama Georgia Texas Houston Beaumont Lafayette Baton Rouge New Orleans Tallahassee Jacksonville Tampa Eastern Gulf Planning Area Florida Western Gulf Planning Area Central Gulf Planning Area Miami Gulf of Mexico Straits of Florida CUBA Yucatan Channel 2, metres MEXICO Km 1, metres 4 metres 2 metres Yucatan Peninsula Caribbean Sea Grand Cayman
6 Deepwater Gulf of Mexico Shelf Mississippi Canyon Deepwater Atwater Foldbelt Ultra-Deepwater
7 Gulf of Mexico Multi Play and Multi Trap Shelf -6 Water Deepwater 6-5, Water Ultra Deepwater 5, -1, + Water Pleistocene Pliocene Pleistocene Pliocene U Miocene U Miocene L Miocene Oligocene Eocene/Paleocene Cretaceous L Miocene Oligocene S S S Eocene/Paleocene Cretaceous
8 Competitors decreasing increasing land costs GoM Lease Sale Statistics Water Depths > 15 ft. 7 1,75, 6 1,5, Number of Bidders Decrease in part due to 17 Mergers since 97 1,25, 1,, 75, 5, 25, Avg. High Bid / Block (US$) YTD
9 Amerada Hess Anadarko Gulf of Mexico deepwater leasehold ranking Number of Leases BP ChevronTexaco ExxonMobil Shell Kerr McGee ConocoPhillips Ocean Energy BHPB ENI Unocal
10 Gulf of Mexico Deepwater Discoveries MMBoe Deepwater Field Distribution Estimated Recoverable Oil & Gas Source: Wood Mackenzie BHP B Fields GC 29 Manta Ray (EW 16) Rocky (GC 11) Black Widow (EW 966) Diamond (MC 41 & MC 445) Cooper (GB 388) Southeast Tahoe (VK 784) Mississippi Canyon 441 (MC 441) Pluto (MC 718) Einset (VK 873) North Marlin (VK 827) Nile (VK 914) Northwestern (GB 2) Arnold (EW 963) Camden Hills (MC 348) Madison (AC 24)/Marshall (EB King Kong (GC 472) Oregano (GB 559) Serrano (GB 516) Gemini (MC 292) Allegheny (GC 254) King's Peak (DC 133) King (MC 764) Prince (EW 958) Macaroni (GB 62) Aconcagua (MC 35) Conger (GB 215) Tahoe (VK 783) Glider (GC 248) Jolliet (GC 184)/Marquette (GC Typhoon (GC 236) Morpeth (EW 921) Neptune (VK 825) Popeye (GC 116) Angus (GC 113) Boomvang King (MC 84) Mensa (MC 731) Neptune (AT575) Mica (MC 211) Alabaster (MC 397)/Zinc (MC 354) Petronius (VK 786) Marlin (VK 915) Horn Mountain (MC 127) Baldpate (GB 26) Nansen (EB 62) Bullwinkle (GC 65) Genesis (GC 25) Europa (MC 935) Pompano (VK 99) Troika (GC 244) Brutus (GC 158) Princess (MC 765) Ram-Powell (VK 956) Holstein (GC 644) Hoover (AC 25)/Diana (EB 945) Mad Dog (GC 826) Na Kika Auger (GB 426) Ursa (MC 81) Atlantis (GC 699) Mars (MC 87) Thunder Horse (MC 778)
11 U. S. Natural Gas Supply / Demand Tcf / year Demand Imports Rest of U.S Gulf of Mexico Source: Energy Information Administration
12 U. S. Oil Supply / Demand Billion Bbls/ year Demand Imports Rest of U.S. Gulf of Mexico Source: Energy Information Administration
13 Indicative Margin Analysis $US/bbl Nominal WD 6,5 ft, Field Reserve 5 MMboe $18.5/bbl $14.5/bbl $25./bbl Profit Quality & Gas Content Government Take OPEX & Transportation Appraisal & Development Exploration Price Case
14 Competitive positions in the Gulf of Mexico Full Cycle IRR Post 1995 % Occidental Nexen Murphy Spinnaker Dominion 2 Marathon Mariner Ocean ENI 15 TotalFinaElf Conoco 1 Anadarko ChevronTexaco Devon Enterprise Amerada Hess 5 Unocal Deepwater Performance Post 1995 Pioneer High Return Lacking Scale Successful Independents Kerr-McGee /Oryx BHPB ExxonMobil Shell BP $1B, 24% Burlington Phillips Full Cycle NPV Post 1995 US$MM Source: Wood Mackenzie Gulf of Mexico 21 Deepwater Study Excludes G&G, Overheads
15 Deepwater production systems Progression Platform Compliant Tower Mini-TLP FPS SPAR TLP SUBSEA Water Depth (ft) 1 Bullwinkle 138 ft Baldpate 17 ft Petronius 175 ft Morpeth 17 ft Allegheney 33 ft Typhoon ft GB ft Genesis 25 ft Neptune-Oryx 17 ft Diana ft Jolliet 176 ft Auger 29 ft Mars 3 ft Ram-Powell 32 ft Ursa 39 ft Marlin 325 ft Popeye 2 ft Mars Subsea 3 ft Mensa ft 2 3 (~1 m) (~2 m) (~3 m)
16 Transportation Infrastructure Houston Texas Beaumont Louisiana Lafayette Erath Baton Rouge St.James Norco Gibson New Orleans Mississippi Mobile VK Galveston Cameron Highway Pipeline 3 Houma Clovelly LOOP Pilottown Odyssey MPOG Freeport HIPS EC Bonito Auger EIPS Poseidon Amberjack Fourchon POMPANO PETRONIUS 1, metres ENCHILADA Auger COOPER AUGER Boxer Poseidon Cougar BRUTUS ALLEGHENY MC HOLSTEINMORPETH Manta Ray Ursa Mars HOOPS Poseidon Morpeth MARS URSA ATLANTIS MADDOG EB HOOVER/ DIANA GB GC Caesar Pipeline Caesar Pipeline AT 15km AC KC WR LU
17 GoM Deepwater Potential Source: BP,BHPB 4 Cumulative Resource (BBOE) Shelf Deepwater (WD >25ft) Number of Fields
18 Questions
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