Probabilistic Cardinal Direction Queries On Spatio-Temporal Data
|
|
- Paula Webster
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Probabilistic Cardinal Direction Queries On Spatio-Temporal Data Ganesh Viswanathan Midterm Project Report CIS 6930 Data Science: Large-Scale Advanced Data Analytics University of Florida September 3 rd, 2011
2 Outline Introduction Uncertainty in spatio-temporal data Advanced queries on spatio-temporal data Cardinal direction relations (CDR) Probabilistic CDR Project Goals Methodology and analysis what has been done timeline for the future Conclusions
3 Uncertainty in Spatio-Temporal Data Systems for continuous monitoring or tracking of mobile objects receive updated locations of objects as they move in space Limitations of the bandwidth and battery power of mobile devices, make it infeasible for tracking the movement of objects with 100% certainty Example: If there is a time delay between capture of location and its insertion in the database, location values received by object may be different from actual locations In GIS, the root-mean-square-error (RMSE) is one approach to report this positional (in)accuracy
4 Advanced Queries on Spatio-Temporal Data Spatial relations can be Topological, Distance or Direction based disjoint contains inside equal meet covers coveredby overlap 1 Km A B B lies to the East of A Nearest-neighbor (NN), distance-range and direction-relation queries are important query types in spatial databases Probabilistic version of these advanced queries can speed up similarity joins among spatial relations
5 Applications Applications in GIS, Cognitive Sciences, AI, Robotics, Qualitative spatial reasoning In weather event analysis, probabilistic approaches can be used to improve the performance of join processing over large relations that contain moving object trajectories, to model the positional uncertainty of the moving eye of the hurricane
6 Project Goals 1. Query the trajectory of a hurricane to determine the direction taken by it at any instant t during its lifetime 2. Incorporate uncertainty: Enable probabilistic direction-relation queries among the spatio-temporal objects 3. Provide a visualization for the results based on tropical weather event data d NW, N, NE, W, O, E, SW, S, SE Example: Given objects O 1 and O 2 evaluate dir( ) and return a set of tuples of the form (O 1, O 2, d, p d ) such that p d is the probability of occurrence of the cardinal direction d between O 1 and O 2
7 Cardinal Direction Relations Cardinal directions is an important qualitative spatial concept Direction relations Absolute (North, South, East, West, etc. Relative (front, behind, left, right, etc.) Besides its application in wayfinding, direction relationships are used in spatial databases and GIS as selection and join criteria in queries. Given two objects A and B, a function dir t (A,B) yields the direction relation of A w.r.t B at time t.
8 Cardinal Direction Relations Objects interaction grid (OIG) for direction finding A B
9 Cardinal Direction Relations Objects interaction grid (OIG) for direction finding A OIG(A,B) = B
10 Cardinal Direction Relations Interpretation A B Determine the location of each component of object A & object B 2. Determine cardinal directions between the components loc( A, OIM ( A, B)) = {(1,1),(1, 2),(2,1)} loc( B, OIM ( A, B)) = {(2,3),(3, 2),(3,3)} ψ ((1,1),(2,3)) = NW ψ ((1, 2),(3, 2)) = N
11 Probabilistic Cardinal Direction Relations Useful in performing similarity join queries Useful for positionally uncertain moving objects Probability of the direction between the tropical cyclone event at current location(s) and the location(s) at the next subsequent time instant Allows to leverage predictive models for forecasting the trajectory of newer storms and hurricanes based on previous patterns
12 Methodology and Analysis Steps involved Study of Related Work Data Collection Extensions to OIM for Probabilistic Direction Querying (PDQ) Predictive analysis of weather events using the probabilities, based on topk or thresholding Visualization for PDQ results Experiments
13 Data Collection Best-track tropical weather information is obtained from three sources: National Hurricane Center (NHC) the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) These datasets contain over 120k rows accounting for the spatio-temporal variation of tropical storm and hurricane events over the continental United States from 1990 to Spatial data for map boundaries of Continents, Counties, States, Counties and City locations obtained from data.gov All data has been downloaded, files parsed and converted into normalized database tables DONE!
14 Uncertainty Model and Probabilistic Queries Uncertainty of an object can be characterized as: Definition 1. An uncertainty region of an object Oi at time t, denoted by Ui(t), is a closed region such that Oi can be found only inside this region. Definition 2. The uncertainty probability density function of an object Oi, denoted by fi(x, y, t), is a probability density function of Oi s location (x, y) at time t, that has a value of 0 outside Ui(t) Let p be a point in 2D space whose position is uncertain. If σ is the uncertainty parameter associated with p, then the probability that p is located within a circle of radius r centered at p is given by the Circular Normal distribution Pr p r = 1 e r2 /2σ 2 Probabilistic Directions: For a set of n object instances O 1,O 2,...,O n with uncertainty regions and probability density functions at time t 0 to t n, a PDQ returns a set of tuples in the form of (O i, O j, d, p i ), where p i is the nonzero probability that O j at t 2 is located at a cardinal direction d w.r.t O i at time t 0.
15 Evaluation Idea Enabling probabilistic direction relation queries on spatio-temporal data: t 1 t 2
16 Evaluation Idea Enabling probabilistic direction relation queries on spatio-temporal data: t 1 t 2
17 Evaluation Idea Enabling probabilistic direction relation queries on spatio-temporal data: Closed objects-interaction grid U B U A Tiling & OIM generation Generate probabilities for each <U i, U i+1 > & update database for all t pooo(u A, U B) Interpretation dir B, A = { NE, p>0 }
18 Timeline 1. Data collection NHC, NOAA and JTWC hurricane data obtained and loaded into Oracle database (done) 2. Performing cardinal direction queries on spatio-temporal data (done) 3. Generation of direction pdfs for NHC, NOAA and JTWC datasets 4. Implementation of Probabilistic Direction Query (PDQ) algorithm 5. Testing and experiment analysis 6. Visualization using Google Maps API (partly done) Data Collection (Tropical weather event information) Generation of direction pdfs for NHC, NOAA and JTWC datasets Implementation of poim Visualization and Experiments
19 CONCLUSIONS The work studies probabilistic queries on spatio-temporal data and defines a novel query type: probabilistic cardinal direction query on them Illustrates a large-scale data science application for using probabilistic cardinal direction querying to improve weather event analysis Future work can include: Extensions of probabilistic Nearest Neighbor queries using both distance and direction, testing of similarity joins with PDQ and exploration of probabilistic topological querying operations on uncertain data. Questions?
Verification of Tropical Storm Track Prediction in Southeast Asia Using GFS Model
1 Verification of Tropical Storm Track Prediction in Southeast Asia Using GFS Model Honors Thesis Presented to the College of Agriculture and Life Sciences Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
More informationHomework 9: Hurricane Forecasts (adapted from Pipkin et al.)
November 2010 MAR 110 HW9 Hurricane Forecasts 1 Homework 9: Hurricane Forecasts (adapted from Pipkin et al.) Movement of Hurricanes The advance of a tropical storm or hurricane is controlled by the prevailing
More informationUsing satellite-based remotely-sensed data to determine tropical cyclone size and structure characteristics
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. Using satellite-based remotely-sensed data to determine tropical cyclone size and structure characteristics PI: Elizabeth
More informationRadius of reliability: A distance metric for interpreting and verifying spatial probability forecasts
Radius of reliability: A distance metric for interpreting and verifying spatial probability forecasts Beth Ebert CAWCR, Bureau of Meteorology Melbourne, Australia Introduction Wish to warn for high impact
More information11A.1 PREDICTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECAST ERROR FOR HURRICANES KATRINA, RITA, AND WILMA
11A.1 PREDICTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECAST ERROR FOR HURRICANES KATRINA, RITA, AND WILMA James S. Goerss* Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, California 1. INTRODUCTION Consensus tropical cyclone
More informationA Preliminary Climatology of Extratropical Transitions in the Southwest Indian Ocean
A Preliminary Climatology of Extratropical Transitions in the Southwest Indian Ocean Kyle S. Griffin Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New
More informationCurrent Details from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Current Details from the Joint Warning Center COORDINATES: 19.6 north, 125.5 east (previous location: 17.9 north, 130.3 east) LOCATION: 737 kilometers (458 miles) southeast of Taipei, Taiwan MOVEMENT:
More informationThe 2009 Hurricane Season Overview
The 2009 Hurricane Season Overview Jae-Kyung Schemm Gerry Bell Climate Prediction Center NOAA/ NWS/ NCEP 1 Overview outline 1. Current status for the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific and Western Pacific basins
More informationSMAP Winds. Hurricane Irma Sep 5, AMS 33rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology Ponte Vedra, Florida, 4/16 4/20, 2018
Intensity and Size of Strong Tropical Cyclones in 2017 from NASA's SMAP L-Band Radiometer Thomas Meissner, Lucrezia Ricciardulli, Frank Wentz, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, USA Charles Sampson, Naval
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Tuesday, September 5, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Depression Thirteen
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Tuesday, September 5, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Depression Thirteen This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is
More informationVariations of Typhoon Activity in Asia - Global Warming and/or Natural Cycles?
Variations of Typhoon Activity in Asia - Global Warming and/or Natural Cycles? Johnny Chan Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre City University of Hong Kong Outline The common perception and
More informationOutlook 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Kevin Lipton, Ingrid Amberger National Weather Service Albany, New York
Outlook 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Kevin Lipton, Ingrid Amberger National Weather Service Albany, New York Summary 2007 Hurricane Season Two hurricanes made landfall in the Atlantic Basin at category-5
More informationComparative Analysis of Hurricane Vulnerability in New Orleans and Baton Rouge. Dr. Marc Levitan LSU Hurricane Center. April 2003
Comparative Analysis of Hurricane Vulnerability in New Orleans and Baton Rouge Dr. Marc Levitan LSU Hurricane Center April 2003 In order to compare hurricane vulnerability of facilities located in different
More informationESCI 1010 Lab 7 Hurricanes (AKA: Typhoons, Cyclones)
ESCI 1010 Lab 7 Hurricanes (AKA: Typhoons, Cyclones) Before Lab: Review pages 328-361 in your Weather and Climate textbook. Please pay special attention to the sections entitled: Hurricanes around the
More informationOverview of the Tropical Cyclone Guidance Project
Overview of the Tropical Cyclone Guidance Project Dr. Jonathan L. Vigh With thanks to Mahsa Mirzargar (Univ. of Miami) Shanghai Typhoon Institute 09 July 2018 NCAR is sponsored by the National Science
More informationVariations of Typhoon Activity in Asia - Global Warming and/or Natural Cycles?
Variations of Typhoon Activity in Asia - Global Warming and/or Natural Cycles? Johnny Chan Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre City University of Hong Kong Tropical Cyclones Affecting the
More informationNational Hurricane Center Products. Jack Beven National Hurricane Center
National Hurricane Center Products Jack Beven National Hurricane Center Florida Governor s Hurricane Conference 11 May 2014 NHC Tropical Cyclone Products NHC provides the big picture that complements and
More informationMaintaining Relational Consistency in a Graph-Based Place Database
Maintaining Relational Consistency in a Graph-Based Place Database Hao Chen Department of Infrastructure Engineering, Geomatics The University of Melbourne Email: hchen@student.unimelb.edu.au Introduction
More informationUnderstanding the Microphysical Properties of Developing Cloud Clusters during TCS-08
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A: Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. Understanding the Microphysical Properties of Developing Cloud Clusters during TCS-08 PI: Elizabeth A. Ritchie Department
More informationWhat is (certain) Spatio-Temporal Data?
What is (certain) Spatio-Temporal Data? A spatio-temporal database stores triples (oid, time, loc) In the best case, this allows to look up the location of an object at any time 2 What is (certain) Spatio-Temporal
More information11/19/14. Chapter 11: Hurricanes. The Atmosphere: An Introduction to Meteorology, 12 th. Lutgens Tarbuck
Chapter 11: Hurricanes The Atmosphere: An Introduction to Meteorology, 12 th Lutgens Tarbuck Lectures by: Heather Gallacher, Cleveland State University! Hurricanes: " Hurricanes are intense centers of
More informationExperimental Probabilistic Hurricane Inundation Surge Height (PHISH) Guidance
Experimental Probabilistic Hurricane Inundation Surge Height (PHISH) Guidance DRBC Flood Advisory Committee John Kuhn - NWS/OCWWS Anne Myckow (NWS/MDL), Arthur Taylor (NWS/MDL) SLOSH Sea, Lake and Overland
More informationAnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Issued: April 10, 2018 by Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Director (Ag), Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service (ABMS) The *AnuMS (Antigua Met
More informationDevelopment of JMA storm surge model
2 nd JCOMM Scientific and Technical Symposium on Storm Surges 8-13 November 2015, Key West, Florida, USA Development of JMA storm surge model Hiroshi HASEGAWA (h_hasegawa@met.kishou.go.jp) Office of Marine
More informationLab 20. Predicting Hurricane Strength: How Can Someone Predict Changes in Hurricane Wind Speed Over Time?
Predicting Hurricane Strength How Can Someone Predict Changes in Hurricane Wind Speed Over Time? Lab Handout Lab 20. Predicting Hurricane Strength: How Can Someone Predict Changes in Hurricane Wind Speed
More informationATMOSPHERIC MODELLING. GEOG/ENST 3331 Lecture 9 Ahrens: Chapter 13; A&B: Chapters 12 and 13
ATMOSPHERIC MODELLING GEOG/ENST 3331 Lecture 9 Ahrens: Chapter 13; A&B: Chapters 12 and 13 Agenda for February 3 Assignment 3: Due on Friday Lecture Outline Numerical modelling Long-range forecasts Oscillations
More informationDevelopment of Tropical Storm Falcon (Meari) over the Philippines
Development of Tropical Storm Falcon (Meari) over the Philippines June 20-27, 2011 At the end of June, 2011, the Philippines were struck again by Tropical storm Falcon (Meari). After gaining strength over
More informationTropical Cyclone Megh
Tropical Cyclone Megh 4-10 November 2015 NE Somalia and S Yemen Desert Locust Information Service FAO, Rome www.fao.org/ag/locusts Keith Cressman (Senior Locust Forecasting Officer) 04/11/2015 Tropical
More informationNWS Operational Marine and Ocean Forecasting. Overview. Ming Ji. Ocean Prediction Center National Weather Service/NCEP. CIOSS/CoRP
NWS Operational Marine and Ocean Forecasting Overview Ming Ji Ocean Prediction Center National Weather Service/NCEP CIOSS/CoRP CoRP Symposium Corvallis, OR Aug. 12-13, 13, 2008 Titanic Telegram Marine
More informationFrank Revitte National Weather Service. Weather Forecast Office New Orleans/Baton Rouge
Frank Revitte National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office New Orleans/Baton Rouge Above normal activity 17 Total Named Storms 7 Tropical Storms 4 Hurricanes 6 Major Hurricanes Not the most active,
More informationGIS 2010: Coastal Erosion in Mississippi Delta
1) Introduction Problem overview To what extent do large storm events play in coastal erosion rates, and what is the rate at which coastal erosion is occurring in sediment starved portions of the Mississippi
More informationAnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Issued: May 10, 2018 by Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Director (Ag), Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service (ABMS) The *AnuMS (Antigua Met
More information1.2 DEVELOPMENT OF THE NWS PROBABILISTIC EXTRA-TROPICAL STORM SURGE MODEL AND POST PROCESSING METHODOLOGY
1.2 DEVELOPMENT OF THE NWS PROBABILISTIC EXTRA-TROPICAL STORM SURGE MODEL AND POST PROCESSING METHODOLOGY Huiqing Liu 1 and Arthur Taylor 2* 1. Ace Info Solutions, Reston, VA 2. NOAA / NWS / Science and
More informationYour web browser (Safari 7) is out of date. For more security, comfort and the best experience on this site: Update your browser Ignore
Your web browser (Safari 7) is out of date. For more security, comfort and the best experience on this site: Update your browser Ignore Educator Version 2005 HU RRICANE SEASO N Map traces a stormy season
More informationDYNAMIC POSITIONING CONFERENCE October 7-8, Operations. Using GIS to Understand Hurricane Windfields in the Gulf of Mexico
Return to Session Directory DYNAMIC POSITIONING CONFERENCE October 7-8, 2008 Operations Using GIS to Understand Hurricane Windfields in the Gulf of Mexico Jill F. Hasling and Maureen T. Maiuri Weather
More informationDerrick Herndon and Chris Velden University of Wisconsin - Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies
CIMSS SATellite CONsensus (SATCON) Derrick Herndon and Chris Velden University of Wisconsin - Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies Presented at International Workshop on Satellite
More informationP Hurricane Danielle Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Study Using the NCAR Advanced Research WRF Model
P1.2 2004 Hurricane Danielle Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Study Using the NCAR Advanced Research WRF Model Nelsie A. Ramos* and Gregory Jenkins Howard University, Washington, DC 1. INTRODUCTION Presently,
More informationAnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season : August 12, 2018 by Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Director (Ag), Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service (ABMS) The *AnuMS (Antigua Met Service) is
More informationWinter Weather. National Weather Service Buffalo, NY
Winter Weather National Weather Service Buffalo, NY Average Seasonal Snowfall SNOWFALL = BIG IMPACTS School / government / business closures Airport shutdowns/delays Traffic accidents with injuries/fatalities
More information(April 7, 2010, Wednesday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 2
Lecture #17 (April 7, 2010, Wednesday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 2 Hurricane Katrina August 2005 All tropical cyclone tracks (1945-2006). Hurricane Formation While moving westward, tropical disturbances
More informationEstimation of Temporally Evolving Typhoon Winds and Waves from Synthetic Aperture Radar
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. Estimation of Temporally Evolving Typhoon Winds and Waves from Synthetic Aperture Radar David Walker SRI International
More informationHVX-HURREVAC (Beta) Webinar Series
HVX-HURREVAC (Beta) Webinar Series Day 1 - An introduction to HURREVAC and the new web-based HVX platform 2018 HVX-HURREVAC Webinar Series 1. Intro to HURREVAC and General Overview of the Program (August
More information12 Review and Outlook
12 Review and Outlook 12.1 Review 12.2 Outlook http://www-kdd.isti.cnr.it/nwa Spatial Databases and GIS Karl Neumann, Sarah Tauscher Ifis TU Braunschweig 926 What are the basic functions of a geographic
More information3 Severe Weather. Critical Thinking
CHAPTER 2 3 Severe Weather SECTION Understanding Weather BEFORE YOU READ After you read this section, you should be able to answer these questions: What are some types of severe weather? How can you stay
More informationAnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast : June 11, 2018 by Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Director (Ag), Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service (ABMS) The *AnuMS (Antigua Met Service)
More informationUsing Flight Level Data to Improve Historical Tropical Cyclone Databases
Using Flight Level Data to Improve Historical Tropical Cyclone Databases Dr. Jonathan L. Vigh Shanghai Typhoon Institute 12 July 2018 NCAR is sponsored by the National Science Foundation On the Need for
More informationCanes on Canes: Keeping South Florida Prepared During the Calm Before the Storm. Matt Onderlinde and Pete Finocchio
Canes on Canes: Keeping South Florida Prepared During the Calm Before the Storm Matt Onderlinde and Pete Finocchio Outline The Science of Hurricanes Why and When South Floridians Must Be Weather-Ready
More informationTC STRUCTURE GUIDANCE UPDATES
TC STRUCTURE GUIDANCE UPDATES FROM NESDIS (CO)/CIRA Status and update for the multi-platform tropical cyclone wind analysis (MTCSWA) New microwave-sounder-based intensity and structure estimates New method
More informationEnhancing Weather Information with Probability Forecasts. An Information Statement of the American Meteorological Society
Enhancing Weather Information with Probability Forecasts An Information Statement of the American Meteorological Society (Adopted by AMS Council on 12 May 2008) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89 Summary This
More informationCareful, Cyclones Can Blow You Away!
Title: Careful, Cyclones Can Blow You Away! (Meteorology) Grade(s): 6-8 Introduction: Most people associate twisters with tornadoes, but in fact tropical twisters come from hurricanes. Hurricanes are what
More informationSmart use of Geographic Information System (GIS) platform for delivering weather information and nowcasting services
Smart use of Geographic Information System (GIS) platform for delivering weather information and nowcasting services C. K. Pan Hong Kong Observatory Hong Kong, China It is a world of beauty Source: Image
More informationSubtropical and Hybrid Systems IWTC VII Topic 1.6
Subtropical and Hybrid Systems IWTC VII Topic 1.6 John R. Gyakum Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences McGill University, Montreal Canada Working group: John L. Beven II, Lance F. Bosart, Fermin
More informationA Preliminary Severe Winter Storms Climatology for Missouri from
A Preliminary Severe Winter Storms Climatology for Missouri from 1960-2010 K.L. Crandall and P.S Market University of Missouri Department of Soil, Environmental and Atmospheric Sciences Introduction The
More informationWind, Water, Weather and Seasons Test Review
Name: Wind, Water, Weather and Seasons Test Review Period: Please complete the following review to prepare for your exam over wind and ocean currents, weather, and the Earth- Moon- Sun systems. Your test
More informationSLOSH New Orleans Basin 2012 Update
SLOSH New Orleans Basin 2012 Update Michael Koziara Science and Operations Officer National Weather Service Slidell, LA The Basics What is storm surge? What is SLOSH? Details Assumptions Inundation = Storm
More informationRichard Butgereit Florida Division of Emergency Management
1 There s An App for That! Emergency Management Apps and Resources http://floridaevacuates.com/locator for You and the Public Richard Butgereit richard.butgereit@em.myflorida.com g @ y Florida Division
More informationGEOGRAPHY 350/550 Final Exam Fall 2005 NAME:
1) A GIS data model using an array of cells to store spatial data is termed: a) Topology b) Vector c) Object d) Raster 2) Metadata a) Usually includes map projection, scale, data types and origin, resolution
More informationWind Tower Deployments and Pressure Sensor Installation on Coastal Houses Preliminary Data Summary _ Sea Grant Project No.
Wind Tower Deployments and Pressure Sensor Installation on Coastal Houses Preliminary Data Summary _ Sea Grant Project No.:1020040317 Submitted to: South Carolina Sea Grant Consortium 287 Meeting Street
More informationWIND EFFECTS ON CHEMICAL SPILL IN ST ANDREW BAY SYSTEM
WIND EFFECTS ON CHEMICAL SPILL IN ST ANDREW BAY SYSTEM PETER C. CHU, PATRICE PAULY Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA93943 STEVEN D. HAEGER Naval Oceanographic Office, Stennis Space Center MATHEW
More informationWhat s s New for 2009
What s s New for 2009 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook becomes operational Special Tropical Disturbance Statement replaced with Special Tropical Weather Outlook Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Graphic becomes
More information5A.10 A GEOSPATIAL DATABASE AND CLIMATOLOGY OF SEVERE WEATHER DATA
5A.10 A GEOSPATIAL DATABASE AND CLIMATOLOGY OF SEVERE WEATHER DATA Steve Ansari * and Stephen Del Greco NOAA National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, North Carolina Mark Phillips University of North Carolina
More informationStochastic Modeling of Tropical Cyclone Track Data
Stochastic Modeling of Tropical Cyclone Track Data Universität Ulm, Abteilung Stochastik Söllerhaus-Workshop 2006 Contents I Approach to the Problem 1 Approach to the Problem 2 Finding Storm Classes Resulting
More informationCurrent Details from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Current Details from the Joint Warning Center COORDINATES: 10.2 north, 148.1 east (previous location: 10.1 north, 148.3 east) LOCATION: 520 kilometers (325 miles) southeast of Andersen Air Force Base,
More informationFootprinting Global Tropical Cyclones
Footprinting Global Tropical Cyclones James Done, Greg Holland and Ming Ge: NCAR, Willis Research Network Ioana Dima-West, Geoffrey Saville and Sam Phibbs: Willis Towers Watson Yuqing Wang: U. Hawaii WRN
More informationWind Speed Probability Products. Daniel Brown and Michael Brennan National Hurricane Center
Wind Speed Probability Products Daniel Brown and Michael Brennan National Hurricane Center 2017 WMO Course 7 March 2017 Wind Speed Probabilities A Tool to Deal with Uncertainty Hurricane Irene Advisory
More information152 STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF WATERSPOUT PROBABILITY FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
152 STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF WATERSPOUT PROBABILITY FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS Andrew Devanas 1, Lydia Stefanova 2, Kennard Kasper 1, Sean Daida 1 1 NOAA/National Wear Service, Key West, Florida, 2 COAPS/Florida
More informationWind Speed Probability Products
Wind Speed Probability Products Daniel Brown National Hurricane Center 2018 WMO Course 6 March 2018 Wind Speed Probabilities A Tool to Deal with Uncertainty Hurricane Irene Advisory Number 12 Issued 5:00
More informationThe Atlantic Hurricane Database Reanalysis Project
The Atlantic Hurricane Database Reanalysis Project 9 November, 2015 14 th International Workshop on Wave Hindcasting and Forecasting Chris Landsea, National Hurricane Center, Miami, USA Chris.Landsea@noaa.gov
More informationUse the terms from the following list to complete the sentences below. Each term may be used only once.
Skills Worksheet Directed Reading Section: Air Masses Use the terms from the following list to complete the sentences below. Each term may be used only once. high pressure poles low pressure equator wind
More information2006 & 2007 Pre-Hurricane Scenario Analyses
2006 & 2007 Pre-Hurricane Scenario Analyses Executive Summary May 2007 Page 1 OF X FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 4 Public Availability to be Determined Under 5 U.S.C. 552 NOTE: Limited Distribution. Release of
More informationA Comparative Study of the National Water Model Forecast to Observed Streamflow Data
A Comparative Study of the National Water Model Forecast to Observed Streamflow Data CE394K GIS in Water Resources Term Project Report Fall 2018 Leah Huling Introduction As global temperatures increase,
More informationUSGS ATLAS. BACKGROUND
USGS ATLAS. BACKGROUND 1998. Asquith. DEPTH-DURATION FREQUENCY OF PRECIPITATION FOR TEXAS. USGS Water-Resources Investigations Report 98 4044. Defines the depth-duration frequency (DDF) of rainfall annual
More informationWater in the Atmosphere The Role of Water in Earth s Surface Processes. Hurricane Warning
Hurricane Warning 1 Earth, the lue Planet. What makes Earth blue? It has to do with all of the water on Earth. There is water in more places than the vast oceans. Water is also in the atmosphere. High
More informationPRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. June RMS Event Response
PRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK June 2014 - RMS Event Response 2014 SEASON OUTLOOK The 2013 North Atlantic hurricane season saw the fewest hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin
More informationA Multi-Model Ensemble for Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. A Multi-Model Ensemble for Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction Jonathan R. Moskaitis Naval Research
More informationRecent advances in Tropical Cyclone prediction using ensembles
Recent advances in Tropical Cyclone prediction using ensembles Richard Swinbank, with thanks to Many colleagues in Met Office, GIFS-TIGGE WG & others HC-35 meeting, Curacao, April 2013 Recent advances
More informationA High-Quality Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis Dataset Using 4DVAR Data Assimilation Technique
A High-Quality Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis Dataset Using 4DVAR Data Assimilation Technique Prof. Tim Li IPRC/University of Hawaii and Dr. Fuzhong Weng, Chief Sensor Physics Branch NOAA/NESDIS/Office of
More informationTropical Cyclone and Active Low Pressure Tracker. Maytee Mahayosananta Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) 2017 APEC Typhoon Symposium (APTS)
Tropical Cyclone and Active Low Pressure Tracker Maytee Mahayosananta Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) 2017 APEC Typhoon Symposium (APTS) Tropical Cyclone and Active Low Pressure Tracker - The tropical
More informationA MODEL IN SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL DOMAIN TO PREDICT RADAR RAINFALL DATA
A MODEL IN SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL DOMAIN TO PREDICT RADAR RAINFALL DATA Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, Luz Torres Molina, Joan M. Castro, Sandra Cruz-Pol, José G. Colom-Ustáriz and Nathan Hosanna PRYSIG 2014
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 4-17, 2015
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 4-17, 2015 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by below-average amounts (
More informationPredicting Tropical Cyclone Genesis
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. Predicting Tropical Cyclone Genesis PI: Melinda S. Peng Naval Research Laboratory Monterey CA 93943-5502 Phone: (831) 656-4704
More informationHURREVAC Webinar Series Day 1 Intro to HURREVAC and General Overview of the Program. National Hurricane Program Training Course
HURREVAC Webinar Series Day 1 Intro to HURREVAC and General Overview of the Program 2017 HURREVAC Webinar Series 1. Intro to HURREVAC and General Overview of the Program (August 7 th or 14 th ) 2. Evacuation
More informationKatherine E. Lukens and E. Hugo Berbery. Acknowledgements: Kevin I. Hodges 1 and Matthew Hawcroft 2. University of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, UK
Boreal Winter Storm Tracks and Related Precipitation in North America: A Potential Vorticity Perspective Katherine E. Lukens and E. Hugo Berbery Acknowledgements: Kevin I. Hodges 1 and Matthew Hawcroft
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM SEPTEMBER 25 OCTOBER 8, 2014
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM SEPTEMBER 25 OCTOBER 8, 2014 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by below-average amounts (
More informationNavigating the Hurricane Highway Understanding Hurricanes With Google Earth
Navigating the Hurricane Highway Understanding Hurricanes With Google Earth 2008 Amato Evan, Kelda Hutson, Steve Kluge, Lindsey Kropuenke, Margaret Mooney, and Joe Turk Images and data courtesy hurricanetracking.com,
More informationTracking Hurricane Sandy
Name: Date: Tracking Hurricane Sandy Purpose: The purpose of this lab is to use data collected during Hurricane Sandy to track the movement of its low-pressure center. The student will also answer questions
More informationNOAA 2015 Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
NOAA 2015 Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Dr. Gerry Bell Lead Seasonal Forecaster Climate Prediction Center/ NOAA/ NWS Collaboration With National Hurricane Center/ NOAA/ NWS Hurricane Research
More information4 Forecasting Weather
CHAPTER 2 4 Forecasting Weather SECTION Understanding Weather BEFORE YOU READ After you read this section, you should be able to answer these questions: What instruments are used to forecast weather? How
More informationGIS in Water Resources Midterm Exam Fall 2016 There are four questions on this exam. Please do all four. They are not all of equal weight.
Page 1 of 7 Name: GIS in Water Resources Midterm Exam Fall 2016 There are four questions on this exam. Please do all four. They are not all of equal weight. Question 1. (20%) (a) Three key functions of
More informationExtreme Winds in the Western North Pacific. Søren Ott
in the Western North Pacific Søren Ott Outline Tropical cyclones and wind turbines Modelling extreme winds Validation Conclusions Cat. 4 tropical cyclone IVAN 15 Sept 2004 at landfall near Luisiana, USA
More informationTROPICAL CYCLONES IN A WARMER WORLD
TROPICAL CYCLONES IN A WARMER WORLD Dr Mark Saunders Benfield Hazard Research Centre Department of Space and Climate Physics University College London Workshop for Under 35s Reinsurance Group 14th October
More informationQ & A on Trade-off between intensity and frequency of global tropical cyclones
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2646 Q & A on Trade-off between intensity and frequency of global tropical cyclones Nam-Young Kang & James B. Elsner List of questions 1. What is new in this
More informationEvaluation of Storm Tide Measurements at Panama City Beach, FL
Evaluation of Storm Tide Measurements at Panama City Beach, FL 1993-2007 Prepared by Mark E. Leadon Beaches and Shores Resource Center Florida State University May 2009 Prepared for Florida Department
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 2 AUGUST 15, 2013
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 2 AUGUST 15, 2013 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by below-average amounts (
More informationHURRICANE MATTHEW A GIS PERSPECTIVE GLYNN COUNTY GIS
HURRICANE MATTHEW A GIS PERSPECTIVE GLYNN COUNTY GIS Situation September 25 th October 9 th 2016 Hurricane Matthew tracked its way up the east coast bringing hurricane force winds and flooding from Haiti
More informationJTWC use of ensemble products. Matthew Kucas Joint Typhoon Warning Center Pearl Harbor, HI
Matthew Kucas Joint Typhoon Warning Center Pearl Harbor, HI Overview Tropical cyclone track forecasting Deterministic model consensus and single-model ensembles as track forecasting aids Conveying uncertainty
More informationSPATIAL INDEXING. Vaibhav Bajpai
SPATIAL INDEXING Vaibhav Bajpai Contents Overview Problem with B+ Trees in Spatial Domain Requirements from a Spatial Indexing Structure Approaches SQL/MM Standard Current Issues Overview What is a Spatial
More informationan accessible interface to marine environmental data Russell Moffitt
an accessible interface to marine environmental data Russell Moffitt The Atlas Project GOAL: To provide a single point of access to oceanographic and environmental data for use by marine resource researchers,
More informationMeteorology Lecture 24
Meteorology Lecture 24 Robert Fovell rfovell@albany.edu 1 Important notes These slides show some figures and videos prepared by Robert G. Fovell (RGF) for his Meteorology course, published by The Great
More information7B.1 An Overview of the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) Michael C. Kruk* STG Inc., Asheville, North Carolina
7B.1 An Overview of the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) Michael C. Kruk* STG Inc., Asheville, North Carolina Kenneth R. Knapp, David H. Levinson, Howard J. Diamond NOAA
More information