City Models, Metrics, and Future Scenarios: Basis for an Urban Genome Project?

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1 National Academy of Sciences Forum on Urban Sustainability Jonathan Fink, Director Global Institute of Sustainability Arizona State University City Models, Metrics, and Future Scenarios: Basis for an Urban Genome Project?

2 National Academy of Sciences Forum on Urban Sustainability Models, Metrics, and Future Scenarios 1) Cities are at an ideal scale to address global sustainability 2) Goal of urban measurements is to improve sustainability 3) Metrics > models > scenarios > decisions > actions 4) Urban systems research is Balkanized in Federal government 5) Most academic urban studies only focus on one or two cities 6) A general urban framework could speed sustainable outcomes 7) New confluence of urban advances warrants large investment 8) Is a coordinated synthesis like Human Genome Project needed?

3 How can the study of urban systems be better coordinated?

4 Federal approach to urban systems is Balkanized URBAN SECURITY MANUFACTURING ENERGY HOUSING DOJ DHS DOC DOD DOL DOE HUD Federal Mission Agencies NIEHS CDC How can the study of urban systems be coordinated? HEALTH USGS EPA NOAA WATER AIR TRANSPORTATION DOT NASA CLIMATE LAND USE BLM USDA USFS FORESTS AGRICULTURE

5 State and local agencies have same problem HOUSING HEALTH HUD ENERGY NIEHS DOE CDC WATER ADHS DOD APS URBAN SRP USGS SECURITY DOJ AERO How can the Federal study of urban ADWR systems be State coordinated? & DHS GPEC Mission EPA Agencies Local AIR ADEQ DOC ADOC Agencies MANUFACTURING NOAA DOL MAG SFAz ADOT ADOA CLIMATE TRANSPORTATION DOT NASA LAND USE BLM USDA USFS AGRICULTURE FORESTS

6 ASU used CAP LTER to connect pieces for Phoenix HOUSING HEALTH HUD ENERGY NIEHS DOE CDC WATER ADHS DOD APS URBAN SRP USGS SECURITY DOJ AERO How can the Federal study ASU of urban ADWR systems be State coordinated? & DHS GPEC Mission CAP EPA Local Agencies AIR Agencies LTER ADEQ DOC ADOC NSF MANUFACTURING NOAA DOL MAG SFAz ADOT ADOA CLIMATE TRANSPORTATION DOT NASA LAND USE BLM USDA USFS AGRICULTURE FORESTS

7 Global Institute of Sustainability (GIOS) formalized the university s synthesizing role HOUSING HEALTH HUD ENERGY NIEHS DOE CDC WATER ADHS DOD APS URBAN SRP USGS SECURITY DOJ AERO How can the Federal study ASU of urban ADWR systems be State coordinated? & DHS GPEC Mission EPA Agencies GIOS CAP Local AIR Agencies LTER ADEQ DOC ADOC NSF MANUFACTURING NOAA DOL MAG SFAz ADOT ADOA CLIMATE TRANSPORTATION DOT NASA LAND USE BLM USDA USFS AGRICULTURE FORESTS

8 Different models for different urban components HOUSING HEALTH HUD ENERGY NIEHS DOE CDC WATER ADHS DOD APS URBAN SRP USGS SECURITY DOJ AERO How can the Federal study ASU of urban ADWR systems be State coordinated? & DHS GPEC Mission EPA Agencies GIOS CAP Local AIR Agencies LTER ADEQ DOC ADOC NSF MANUFACTURING NOAA DOL MAG SFAz ADOT ADOA CLIMATE TRANSPORTATION DOT NASA Transims UrbanSim LAND USE BLM USDA USFS AGRICULTURE FORESTS MODFLOW NUDAPT WRF

9 National Academy of Sciences Forum on Urban Sustainability What measurements are needed? Urban complexity requires examination at many scales Some data sets should help link models across sectors What is measured depends on who pays for it, and why LTERs provide temporal, spatial, and biological coverage Novel measurement approaches can use social networking Remote sensing provides unique synoptic views of cities IT companies have expertise on data collection, dissemination

10 National Academy of Sciences Forum on Urban Sustainability Emerging Urban Opportunities World Bank sponsored Global Cities Indicators Facility A network of Urban Long Term Ecological Research sites NASA urban remote sensing missions USFS ULTRA initiative EPA/DOT/HUD smart growth initiative IT corporations urban initiatives (Cisco, IBM, Google) IPCC assessment to expand focus on cities National Academies leadership (this forum)

11 National Academy of Sciences Forum on Urban Sustainability Urban Genome Project? Human Genome Project sought to cure human diseases Urban Genome Project seeks to cure planetary diseases Each person has unique characteristics embedded in DNA Each city s unique characteristics are reflected in its DNA HGP required multiagency and private sector funding Urban Genome Project needs multi sector support But who will oversee it? WB? UN? NAS? OSTP? NASA?