Estimation of the Parameters of Bivariate Normal Distribution with Equal Coefficient of Variation Using Concomitants of Order Statistics

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1 International Journal of Statistics and Probability; Vol., No. 3; 013 ISSN E-ISSN Published by Canadian Center of Science and Education Estimation of the Parameters of Bivariate Normal Distribution with Equal Coefficient of Variation Using Concomitants of Order Statistics N. K. Sajeevkumar 1 & M. R. Irshad 1 1 Department of Statistics, Govt. College Kariavattom, Trivandrum, India Correspondence: N. K. Sajeevkumar, Department of Statistics, Govt. College Kariavattom, Trivandrum, India. sajeevkumarnk@gmail.com Received: March 31, 013 Accepted: May 6, 013 Online Published: May 7, 013 doi: /ijsp.vn3p1 URL: Abstract To provide an optimum estimator for the parameters, the use of priori information has a crucial role in univariate as well as bivariate distributions. One such prior information is to utilize the knowledge on coefficient of variation in the inference problems. In the past plenty of work was carried out regarding the estimation of the mean μ of the normal distribution with known coefficient of variation. Also inference about the parameters of bivariate normal distribution in which X and Y have the equal (known) coefficient of variation c, are extensively discussed in the available literature. Such studies arise in clinical chemistry and pharmaceutical sciences. It is interesting to note that concomitants of order statistics are applied successfully to deal with statistical inference problems associated with several real life situations. A problem of interest considered here is the estimation of parameters of bivariate normal distribution in which X and Y have the same coefficient of variation c using concomitants of order statistics. For that consider a sample of n pairs of observations from a bivariate normal distribution in which X and Y have the same coefficient of variation c, we derive the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) of θ and derive some estimators of ϑ. Efficiency comparisons are also made on the proposed estimators with some of the usual estimators, finally we conclude that efficiency of our best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) θ is much better than that of the estimators ˆθ and θ. Keywords: coefficient of variation, concomitants of order statistics, best linear unbiased estimator, bivariate normal distribution 1. Introduction The use of prior information in inference is well established in the Bayesian arena of statistical methodology. Such information is usually incorporated into a model by choosing an appropriate prior distribution. In some instances prior information can be incorporated in classical model as well. Searls and Intarapanich (1990) considered an estimator of variance when the kurtosis of the sampled population is known. But in some situations of biological and physical sciences, where the scale parameter is proportional to the location parameter, knowing the proportionality constant is equivalent to knowing the population coefficient of variation (Gleser & Healy 1976), however, inferential testing procedures become more complex, and the property of completeness is no longer held true, thus the standard theory of uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimation (UMVUE) is not applicable. Several authors, have studied these problems; Searls (1964) used the coefficient of variation to improve the precision of sample mean as an estimator of the population mean. If the parent distribution is normal with mean θ and standard deviation cθ thus, distributed as N(θ, c θ ), the problem of estimating θ has been studied (Kunte, 000; Guo & Pal, 003); the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) of θ for N(θ, c θ ) distribution for different values of c using order statistics are discussed in Thomas and Sajeevkumar (003); and estimating the location parameter θ of the exponential distribution with known coefficient of variation by ranked set sampling are discussed by Irshad and Sajeevkumar (011); and Sajeevkumar and Irshad (011) have also dicussed estimation of the location parameter θ of the exponential distribution using censored samples. Estimation of means of two normal populations is frequently undertaken, assuming that the variances of the populations are known. Sen and Gerig (1975) developed an estimator under the equality of the two coefficients of 1

2 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; 013 variation assumption; Azen and Reed (1973) consider the problem of estimation of parameters of bivariate normal distribution with equal coefficient of variation, however, they fail to give explicit expression for the estimates of the parameters. Sajeevkumar and Irshad (01) have recently studied the estimation parameters of bivariate normal distribution with equal coefficient of variation using concomitants of record values. This paper discuss the estimation of parameters of bivariate normal distribution with equal coefficient of variation say BVND(θ 1,θ, cθ 1, cθ,ϑ) with means θ 1 > 0 and θ > 0, standard deviations cθ 1 and cθ, and correlation coefficient ϑ using concomitants of order statistics. Let (X i, Y i ), i = 1,,, n be a random sample from an arbitrary bivariate distribution with probability density function (pdf) f (x, y). If the sample values on the variate X are ordered as X 1:n, X :n,, X n:n, then the accompanying Y-observation in an ordered pair with X-observation equal to X r:n is called the concomitant of the r th order statistic X r:n and is denoted by Y [r:n]. There is extensive literature available on the application of concomitants of order statistics such as in: biological selection problems (Yoe & David, 1984), ocean engineering (Castillo, 1988), development of structural designs (Coles & Tawn, 1994). Harrel and Sen (1979) used concomitants of order statistics to estimate the correlation coefficient ϑ of a bivariate normal distribution. An excellent review of work on concomitants of order statistics is available in David and Nagaraja (003). David (1973) considered the bivariate normal model say BVND(θ 1,θ,φ 1,φ,ϑ) in which the variable Y is linked with the variable X through the regression model: Y = θ + ϑφ ( X θ1 φ 1 ) + Z, where Z N(0,φ (1 ϑ )) and error term Z is independent of X. Thus for r = 1,,, n, ( ) Xr:n θ 1 Y [r:n] = θ + ϑφ + Z [r], φ 1 where Z [r] denotes the particular error Z r associated with X r:n. Due to the independents of X r and Z r, we have, set of X r:n is independent of Z [r]. Yang (1977) showed that: E[Y [r:n] ] = E[m(X r:n )], (1) Var[Y [r:n] ] = Var[m(X r:n )] + E[σ (X r:n )] () Cov[Y [r:n], Y [s:n] ] = Cov[m(X r:n ), m(x s:n )], 1 r s n, (3) where m(x r:n ) = E(Y/X r:n = x) and σ (X r:n ) = Var(Y/X r:n = x).. Inference on θ When c and ϑ are Known Using Concomitants of Order Statistics Let (X i, Y i ); i = 1,,, n be a random sample of size n drawn from BVND(θ 1,θ, cθ 1, cθ,ϑ). Let Y [1:n], Y [:n],, Y [n:n] be the concomitants of order statistics arising out of ordering X 1, X,, X n, also let Y [n] = (Y [1:n], Y [:n],, Y [n:n] ) be the vector of concomitants of order statistics. Using (1), () and (3), we obtain means and vaiances of Y [r:n] and covariances of Y [r:n], Y [s:n] from BVND(θ 1,θ, cθ 1, cθ,ϑ), and are given by: E[Y [r:n] ] = θ + ϑcθ δ r:n = θ (1 + ϑcδ r:n ), (4) where, Var[Y [r:n] ] = c θ [ϑ (V r,r:n 1) + 1], (5) Cov[Y [r:n], Y [s:n] ] = c θ ϑ V r,s:n, r s, (6) ( ) Xr:n θ 1 δ r:n = E, cθ 1 ( ) Xr:n θ 1 V r,r:n = Var, cθ 1 ( Xr:n θ 1 V r,s:n = Cov, X ) s:n μ 1, r, s = 1,,, n. cθ 1 cθ 1

3 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; 013 Let Y [n] =(Y [1:n], Y [:n],, Y [n:n] ) be the vector of concomitants of order statistics, δ = ϑ(δ 1:n,δ :n,,δ n:n ) and H=(1 ϑ )U + ϑ V, U is an identity matrix of dimension n and V = ((V i, j )). Then by consider θ as the location parameter of Y variable, a linear unbiased estimator of θ based on concomitants of order statistics is given by (same argument that of Balakrishnan & Rao, 1998, p. 13): θˆ δ H 1 (1 δ δ 1 )H 1 = (δ H 1 δ)(1 H 1 1) (δ H 1 1) Y [n], (7) (δ Var( θˆ H 1 δ)c θ ) = (δ H 1 δ)(1 H 1 1) (δ H 1 1). (8) Since the X variable is symmetric about θ 1, then by the same argument that of (David & Nagaraja, 003, p. 188), Using (7), (8) and (9) reduces to: δ H 1 1 = 0. (9) θˆ = 1 H 1 1 H 1 1 Y [n], (10) Var( θˆ ) = c θ 1 H 1 1. (11) Introducing cθ as the scale parameter of Y variable, a linear unbiased estimator of cθ based on concomitants of order statistics is given by (same argument that of Balakrishnan & Rao, 1998, p. 13): Using (9), (1) and (13) reduces to: T = Var(T) = 1 H 1 (1 δ δ 1 )H 1 (δ H 1 δ)(1 H 1 1) (δ H 1 1) Y [n], (1) (1 H 1 1)c θ (δ H 1 δ)(1 H 1 1) (δ H 1 1). (13) T = δ H 1 δ H 1 δ Y [n], (14) Var(T) = c θ δ H 1 δ. (15) From (1) we can obtain another linear unbiased estimator θ of θ based on concomitants of order statistics and is given by: θ = 1 c 1 H 1 (1 δ δ 1 )H 1 [ (δ H 1 δ)(1 H 1 1) (δ H 1 1) ]Y [n], (16) Var(θ ) = (1 H 1 1)θ (δ H 1 δ)(1 H 1 1) (δ H 1 1). (17) using (9), (16) and (17) reduces to: δ H 1 θ = cδ H 1 δ Y [n], (18) Var(θ ) = θ δ H 1 δ. (19) where 1 is an n 1 matrix. The BLUE θ of θ is given in the following theorem. 3

4 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; 013 Theorem 1 Let (X i, Y i ); i = 1,,, n be a random sample of size n drawn from BVND (θ 1,θ, cθ 1, cθ,ϑ). Let Y [n] =(Y [1:n], Y [:n],, Y [n:n] ) be the vector of concomitants of order statistics, δ = ϑ(δ 1:n,δ :n,,δ n:n ) and H=(1 ϑ )U + ϑ V, U is an identity matrix of dimension n and V = ((V i, j )) then the BLUE of θ is given by: θ (cδ + 1) H 1 = (cδ + 1) H 1 (cδ + 1) Y [n], (0) c Var( θ θ ) = (cδ + 1) H 1 (cδ + 1). (1) Proof. If Y [n] =(Y [1:n], Y [:n],, Y [n:n] ) be the vector of concomitants of order statistics. From (4) we have: E[Y [n] ] = θ 1 + cθ δ = (cδ + 1)θ, () where 1 is an n 1 matrix and δ = ϑ(δ 1:n,δ :n,,δ n:n ). From (5) and (6) the dispersion matrix of Y [n] is obtained as: D(Y [n] ) = Hc θ, (3) where H = (1 ϑ )U + ϑ V, U is an identity matrix of dimension n and V = ((V i, j )), where ϑ and c are known, then () and (3) defines a generalised Gauss-Markov setup, the BLUE θ of θ is given by: θ (cδ + 1) H 1 = (cδ + 1) H 1 (cδ + 1) Y [n] c Var( θ θ ) = (cδ + 1) H 1 (cδ + 1). Using (9), (0) and (1) reduces to: ( cδ H H 1) θ = c δ H 1 δ + 1 H 1 1 Y [n] (4) c Var( θ θ ) = c δ H 1 δ + 1 H 1 1. (5) This proves the theorem. Remark 1 The estimator θ defined in (4) is a convex combination of the estimators θˆ and θ defined respectively in (10) and (18). Proof. Let R = aθˆ + (1 a)θ Var(R) = a Var( θˆ ) + (1 a) Var(θ ). Now we should find a such that Var(R) is minimum. That is we have to find a such that Var(R) a = 0. which implies: Var(θ a = ) Var( θˆ ) + Var(θ ). For this values of a,wehaver = θ. Hence the proof. We have calculated the coefficients of Y [i] in the BLUE θ, for different values of n, c and ϑ. Also we have computed the numerical values of Var(ˆθ ) given in (11), Var(θ ) given in (19), Var( θ ) given in (5), the efficiency E 1 = Var(ˆθ ) of θ Var( θ ) compared to ˆθ, the efficiency E = Var(θ ) of θ Var( θ ) compared to θ, for different values of n, c and ϑ, and are given in the following tables. It may be noted that in all the cases efficiency of our estimator θ is much better than that of the estimators ˆθ and θ. 4

5 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; 013 and the relative efficiencies E1 and E for c = 0.15, Q3 = Var( θ) θ, Q = Var(θ ) θ Table 1. Coefficients of Y[i] in the BLUE θ, Q1 = Var(ˆθ) θ n ϑ Coefficients Q1 Q Q3 E1 E a1 a a3 a4 a5 a6 a7 a8 a9 a

6 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; 013 and the relative efficiencies E1 and E for c = 0.0, Q3 = Var( θ) θ, Q = Var(θ ) θ Table. Coefficients of Y[i] in the BLUE θ, Q1 = Var(ˆθ) θ n ϑ Coefficients Q1 Q Q3 E1 E a1 a a3 a4 a5 a6 a7 a8 a9 a

7 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; 013 and the relative efficiencies E1 and E for c = 0.5, Q3 = Var( θ) θ, Q = Var(θ ) θ Table 3. Coefficients of Y[i] in the BLUE θ, Q1 = Var(ˆθ) θ n ϑ Coefficients Q1 Q Q3 E1 E a1 a a3 a4 a5 a6 a7 a8 a9 a

8 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; Inference on ϑ When c and θ are Known Using Concomitants of Order Statistics In this part, we derive certain estimators for ϑ of a BVND(θ 1,θ, cθ 1, cθ,ϑ) with known coefficient of variation by concomitants of order statistics. Take Y[r:n] = Y [r:n] θ, cθ using (4), (5) and (6) we have: E[Y[r:n] ] = ϑδ r:n, (6) Suppose Y [n] =(Y [1:n], Y [:n],, Y [n:n] ). Therefore, Var[Y [r:n] ] = 1 + ϑ (V r,r:n 1) Cov[Y [r:n], Y [s:n] ] = ϑ V r,s:n, r s. E[Y[n] ] = ϑξ (7) D[Y [n] ] = (1 ϑ )U + ϑ V, (8) ξ = (δ 1:n,δ :n,,δ n:n ) and V = ((V i, j )). From (7) and (8) we noted that Gauss-markov theorem does not applicable to derive the BLUE of ϑ. Hence we derive two linear unbiased estimators of ϑ, and are given below. Theorem Suppose W be an n dimensional coloumn vector and W Y[n] be a linear function of Y [1:n], Y [:n],, Y [n:n], with Var[W Y[n] ] = (1 ϑ )W W + ϑ W VW. (9) Then an estimator ϑˆ 1 obtained by minimising W W subject to W Y[n] is unbiased for ϑ is obtained as: ϑˆ 1 = ξ ξ ξ Y [n] (30) and an estimator ϑˆ obtained by minimising W VW subject to W Y[n] is unbiased for ϑ is obtained as: ϑˆ = ξ V 1 ξ V 1 ξ Y [n]. (31) Also: Var( ˆ ϑ 1 ) = (1 ϑ ) 1 ξ ξ + ξ Vξ (ξ ξ) ϑ (3) Var( ˆ ϑ ) = (1 ϑ ) ξ V ξ (ξ V 1 ξ) + 1 (ξ V 1 ξ) ϑ. (33) The proof of the theorem is omitted, since it is similar to the proof of Chacko and Thomas (008). The estimators ϑˆ 1 and ϑˆ given in (30) and (31) can also written as ϑˆ 1 =Σ n i=1 d iy[i] and ϑˆ =Σ n i=1 e iy[i]. Theorem 3 If ϑˆ 1 = ξ ξ ξ Y [n] and ϑˆ = ξ V 1 ξ V 1 ξ Y [n] are two unbiased estimators of ϑ with variances given by (3) and (33) then ϑˆ 1 is more better than ϑˆ if ϑ < Z, where Z = Z Z 1 +Z,Z 1 = ξ Vξ 1 (ξ ξ) and Z ξ V 1 ξ = ξ V ξ 1 (ξ V 1 ξ) ξ ξ, provided Z 1 0 and Z 0. The proof of the theorem is omitted, since it is similar to the proof of Chacko and Thomas (008). We have calculated the values d i and e i contained in ϑˆ 1 and ϑˆ, their variances and the interval ( Z, Z) in which ϑˆ 1 is more better than ϑˆ for different values of n and are given in Table 4. Remark If Z 1 = Z = 0 then ϑˆ 1 = ϑˆ. 8

9 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; 013 Table 4. Coefficients di/ei of the estimators ˆ ϑ1 ϑ1), ˆ R = Var( ϑ) ˆ and the value of Z such that when ϑ ( Z, Z) ˆ ϑ1 is more better =Σ n i=1 d iy [i], ˆ ϑ =Σ n i=1 e iy [i], R 1 = Var( than ˆ ϑ n di/ei Coefficients R1/R Z1 Z Z di ρ ei ρ 3 di ρ ei ρ di ρ ei ρ di ρ ei ρ di ρ ei ρ di ρ ei ρ di ρ ei ρ di ρ ei ρ di ρ ei ρ

10 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; 013 Concluding Remarks It may be noted that our estimator θ defined in (4) is much better than the estimators ˆθ and θ defined respectively in (10) and (18). Also the estimator θ is convex combination of the estimators ˆθ and θ. Acknowledgements The authors are highly thankful for some of the helpful comments of the referee. Also authors express their gratefulness to UGC India for supporting this work by providing fund in the form of major research project. References Azen, S. P., & Reed, A. H. (1973). Maximum likelihood estimation of correlation between variates having equal coefficients of variation. Technometrics, 15, Balakrishnan, N., & Rao, C. R. (1998). Hand Book of Order Statistics: Theory and Methods, 16. New York: Elsevier. Castillo, E. (1988). Extreme Value Theory in Engineering. Academic Press. Chacko, M., & Thomas, P. Y. (008). Estimation of parameters of bivariate normal distribution using concomitants of record values. Statistical Papers, 49, Coles, S. G., & Tawn, A. J. (1994). Statistical methods for multivariate extremes: An application to structural design. Applied Statistics, 43, David, H. A. (1973). Concomitants of order statistics. Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute, 45, David, H. A., & Nagaraja, H. N. (003). Order Statistics (3rd ed.). New York: John Wiley. Gleser, L. J., & Healy, J. D. (1976). Estimating the mean of a normal distribution with known coefficient of variation. Journal of American Statistical Association, 71, Guo, H., & Pal, N. (003). On normal mean with known coefficient of variation. Calcutta Statistical Association Bulletin, 54, Harrel, F. E., & Sen, P. K. (1979). Statistical inference for censored bivariate normal distributions based on induced order statistics. Biometrika, 66, Irshad, M. R., & Sajeevkumar, N. K. (011). Estimating a parameter of the exponential distribution with Known coefficient of variation by ranked set sampling. Journal of the Kerala Statistical Association,, Kunte, S. (000). A note on consistent maximum likelihood estimation for N(θ, θ ) family. Calcutta Statistical Association Bulletin, 50, Sajeevkumar, N. K., & Irshad, M. R. (011). Estimating the parameter μ of the exponential distribution with known coefficient of variation using censored sample by order statistics. IAPQR-Transactions, 36, Sajeevkumar, N. K., & Irshad, M. R. (01). Estimating a parameter of bivariate normal distribution using concomitants of record values when the coefficient of variation of Y variable is known. Unpublished manuscript. Some recent innovations in statistics, Publication of Department of Statistics, University of Kerala. Searls, D. T. (1964). The utilization of known coefficient of variation in the estimation procedure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 59, Searls, D. T., & Intarapanich, P. (1990). A note on an estimator for the variance that utilizes kurtosis. The American Statistician, 44, Sen, A. R., & Gerig, T. M. (1975). Estimation of population means having equal coefficient of variation on successive occasions. Proceedings of the 40th session of the International statistical institute, Thomas, P. Y., & Sajeevkumar, N. K. (003). Estimating the mean of normal distribution with known coefficient of variation by order statistics. Journal of the Kerala Statistical Association, 14, 6-3. Yang, S. S. (1977). General distribution theory of the concomitants of order statistics. The Annals of Statistics, 5, 10

11 International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol., No. 3; Yoe, W. B., & David, H. A. (1984). Selection through an associated characteristics with application to the random effects model. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 79, Copyrights Copyright for this article is retained by the author(s), with first publication rights granted to the journal. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution license ( 11

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