Diwali Top Picks 2017

Transcription

1 Diwali Top Picks th October

2 This year, Get ready for a Diwali like never before! Last year was an eventful year, where Indian economy witnessed two major structural reforms, namely demonetization and the implementation of long awaited GST. These reforms have disrupted the economy in the near-term, leading the slowdown in the GDP (5.7% in 1QFY17) and weaker corporate earnings due to channel de-stocking. However, we believe these reforms would lead to a widening of tax base, formalization of economy, accelerate the digitalization and channelize the housing savings into financial markets in the long term. This year, Get ready for a Diwali like never before! For Samvat 2074, we have carefully selected different portfolio for all types of investors: Stocks which should be in your portfolio for the next few years Top 5 picks this Diwali Top high risk and high return stock ideas 2

3 Diwali Picks For Samvat 2074 Long term Investment Stocks Scrip Name CMP BAJFINANCE 1952 BAJAJ AUTO 3154 IDFC 66 CDSL 379 TITAN 624 THYROCARE 696 PNBHOUSING 1500 VAKRANGEE 505 DMART 1269 SWARAJENG 2080 SUPREMEIND 1114 Special 5 Stocks to hold till next Diwali Scrip Name CMP HAVELLS 531 UJJIVAN 330 BOROSIL 899 FINOLEX IND 680 IDFC BANK 59 High risk and High Return Stocks Scrip Name CMP SUVEN 201 JSWENERGY 81 EROS MEDIA 228 ARIES 164 PARAGMILK 269 3

4 Special 5 Stocks to hold till next Diwali Scrip Name CMP HAVELLS 531 UJJIVAN 330 BOROSIL 899 FINOLEX IND 680 IDFC BANK 59 Investment Rationale Low PRICE / BOOK Low PRICE / CASHFLOW Excellent Sharpe Ratio means the portfolio is able to generate excess returns for the comparable risk with Sensex, which we can see from the statistics of 3 and 5 yr. Great outlook based on fundamental growth as well as technical parameters 10

5 Release date Page 3 of 10 Value Benchmark Snapshot 755, S&P BSE SENSEX India INR (INR, 1) SPECIAL 5 Analysis Asset Allocation Bmark Allocation Equity Debt Alternate Cash Morningstar Equity Style Box % Morningstar Fixed Income Style Box % Large Mid Small Total Stock Holdings 5 % Not Classified 25 High Med Low Total Bond Holdings % Not Classified Value Blend Growth Ltd Mod Ext > >50 Stock Analysis Stock Sectors Sensitive Benchmark World Regions Greater Asia Americas Greater Europe Performance Investment Activity Graph Initial Mkt Val: 62,551 Final Mkt Val: 755,471 Benchmark 900k 720 Defensive Cyclical 180 < >75% (%) Bmark (%) h Cyclical r Basic Matls t Consumer Cycl y Financial Svs u Real Estate j Sensitive i Commun Svs o Energy p Industrials a Technology k Defensive s Consumer Def d Healthcare f Utilities Not Classified (%) Bmark (%) Americas North America Latin America Greater Europe United Kingdom Europe-Developed Europe-Emerging Africa/Middle East Greater Asia Japan Australasia Asia-Developed Asia-Emerging Not Classified Trailing Returns* 3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Return Benchmark Return /- Benchmark Return *Full return history is not available for all securities. Please see Return Participation disclosure. Best/Worst Time Best % Worst % Periods 3 Months ( Mar 2009-May 2009 ) ( Sep 2008-Nov 2008 ) 1 Year ( Feb 2009-Jan 2010 ) ( Jan 2008-Dec 2008 ) 3 Years ( Feb 2009-Jan 2012 ) 2.87 ( Jan 2008-Dec 2010 ) Yield ( ) Yield % 12-Month Yield Level Performance Disclosure The portfolio-level performance shown is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. Investor returns will differ from the results shown. The performance data reflects monthly portfolio rebalancing. Holdings Top 5 holdings out of 5 Symbol Type Holding Value % Assets IDFC Bank Ltd (INR) IDFCBANK ST 190, Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd (INR) UJJIVAN ST 188, Borosil Glass Works Ltd (INR) ST 185, Havells India Ltd (INR) HAVELLS ST 181, Finolex Industries Ltd (INR) FINPIPE ST 9, Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) include the confidential and proprietary information of Morningstar, (2) may include, or be derived from, account information provided by your financial advisor which cannot be verified by Morningstar, (3) may not be copied or redistributed, (4) do not constitute investment advice offered by Morningstar, (5) are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security, and (6) are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, this information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. Opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This report is supplemental sales literature. If applicable it must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus, or equivalent, and disclosure statement. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.

6 Release date Page 4 of 10 Value Benchmark Snapshot 755, S&P BSE SENSEX India INR (INR, 1) SPECIAL 5 Risk Analysis Risk/Reward Scatterplot Holdings Bmark 5 Year Mean Performance History Graph Quarterly returns +/- Benchmark in % % Bmark Year Standard Deviation Risk and Return Statistics* 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Bmark Bmark Bmark Standard Deviation Mean Sharpe Ratio MPT Statistics* 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Alpha Beta R-Squared Level Performance Disclosure The portfolio-level performance shown is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. Investor returns will differ from the results shown. The performance data reflects monthly portfolio rebalancing. Fundamental Analysis Asset Allocation Type Weightings % of Stocks Bmark nhigh Yield bdistressed vhard Asset mcyclical xslow Growth zclassic Growth laggressive Growth cspeculative Growth Not Available Long % Short % Allocation Equity Debt Alternate Cash Total % Market Maturity % of Stocks Bmark Developed Markets Emerging Markets Not Available Valuation Multiples Bmark Price/Earnings Price/Book Price/Sales Price/Cash Flow Profitability Bmark % of Stocks Net Margin ROE ROA Debt/Capital Fund Statistics Potential Cap Gains Exposure Avg Net Expense Ratio Geometric Avg Capitalization ( Mil) 52, Benchmark 2,199, Credit Quality Breakdown % of Bonds AAA AA A BBB BB B Below B NR Interest Rate Risk Bonds % Not Available Avg Eff Maturity Modified Duration Yield to Maturity *Full return history is not available for all securities. Please see Return Participation disclosure Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) include the confidential and proprietary information of Morningstar, (2) may include, or be derived from, account information provided by your financial advisor which cannot be verified by Morningstar, (3) may not be copied or redistributed, (4) do not constitute investment advice offered by Morningstar, (5) are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security, and (6) are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, this information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. Opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This report is supplemental sales literature. If applicable it must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus, or equivalent, and disclosure statement. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.

7 Long term Investment Stocks Scrip Name CMP BAJFINANCE 1952 BAJAJ AUTO 3154 IDFC 66 CDSL 379 TITAN 624 THYROCARE 696 PNBHOUSING 1500 VAKRANGEE 505 DMART 1269 SWARAJENG 2080 SUPREMEIND 1114 Investment Rationale Excellent Sharpe Ratio means the portfolio is able to generate excess returns for the comparable risk with Sensex, which we can see from the statistics of 3 and 5 yr. Excellent alpha and beta suggest that the portfolio is able to outperform benchmark while witnessing lesser volatility than the market 9

8 Release date Page 3 of 17 Value Benchmark Snapshot 945, S&P BSE SENSEX India INR (INR, 1) LONG TERM INVESTMENT STOCKS Analysis Asset Allocation Bmark Allocation Equity Debt Alternate Cash Morningstar Equity Style Box % Morningstar Fixed Income Style Box % Large Mid Small Total Stock Holdings 11 % Not Classified 0 High Med Low Total Bond Holdings % Not Classified Value Blend Growth Ltd Mod Ext > >50 Stock Analysis Stock Sectors Sensitive Benchmark World Regions Greater Asia Americas Greater Europe Performance Investment Activity Graph Initial Mkt Val: 42,602 Final Mkt Val: 945,521 Benchmark 1,050k 840 Defensive Cyclical 210 < >75% (%) Bmark (%) h Cyclical r Basic Matls t Consumer Cycl y Financial Svs u Real Estate j Sensitive i Commun Svs o Energy p Industrials a Technology k Defensive s Consumer Def d Healthcare f Utilities Not Classified (%) Bmark (%) Americas North America Latin America Greater Europe United Kingdom Europe-Developed Europe-Emerging Africa/Middle East Greater Asia Japan Australasia Asia-Developed Asia-Emerging Not Classified Trailing Returns* 3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Return Benchmark Return /- Benchmark Return *Full return history is not available for all securities. Please see Return Participation disclosure. Best/Worst Time Best % Worst % Periods 3 Months ( Apr 2009-Jun 2009 ) ( Sep 2008-Nov 2008 ) 1 Year ( Apr 2009-Mar 2010 ) ( Jan 2008-Dec 2008 ) 3 Years ( Mar 2009-Feb 2012 ) ( Oct 2010-Sep 2013 ) Yield ( ) Yield % 12-Month Yield Level Performance Disclosure The portfolio-level performance shown is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. Investor returns will differ from the results shown. The performance data reflects monthly portfolio rebalancing. Holdings Top 10 holdings out of 11 Symbol Type Holding Value % Assets PNB Housing Finance Ltd (INR) PNBHOUSING ST 90, Bajaj Auto Ltd (INR) BAJAJ-AUTO ST 89, Supreme Industries Ltd (INR) SUPREMEIND ST 89, Vakrangee Ltd (INR) VAKRANGEE ST 88, Thyrocare Technologies Ltd (INR) THYROCARE ST 88, Swaraj Engines Ltd (INR) SWARAJENG ST 88, Bajaj Finance Ltd (INR) BAJFINANCE ST 85, Titan Co Ltd (INR) TITAN ST 85, Central Depository Services (India) Ltd (INR) CDSL ST 82, IDFC Ltd (INR) IDFC ST 80, Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) include the confidential and proprietary information of Morningstar, (2) may include, or be derived from, account information provided by your financial advisor which cannot be verified by Morningstar, (3) may not be copied or redistributed, (4) do not constitute investment advice offered by Morningstar, (5) are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security, and (6) are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, this information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. Opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This report is supplemental sales literature. If applicable it must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus, or equivalent, and disclosure statement. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.

9 Release date Page 4 of 17 Value Benchmark Snapshot 945, S&P BSE SENSEX India INR (INR, 1) LONG TERM INVESTMENT STOCKS Risk Analysis Risk/Reward Scatterplot Holdings Bmark 5 Year Mean Performance History Graph Quarterly returns +/- Benchmark in % % Bmark Year Standard Deviation Risk and Return Statistics* 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Bmark Bmark Bmark Standard Deviation Mean Sharpe Ratio MPT Statistics* 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Alpha Beta R-Squared Level Performance Disclosure The portfolio-level performance shown is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. Investor returns will differ from the results shown. The performance data reflects monthly portfolio rebalancing. Fundamental Analysis Asset Allocation Type Weightings % of Stocks Bmark nhigh Yield bdistressed vhard Asset mcyclical xslow Growth zclassic Growth laggressive Growth cspeculative Growth Not Available Long % Short % Allocation Equity Debt Alternate Cash Total % Market Maturity % of Stocks Bmark Developed Markets Emerging Markets Not Available Valuation Multiples Bmark Price/Earnings Price/Book Price/Sales Price/Cash Flow Profitability Bmark % of Stocks Net Margin ROE ROA Debt/Capital Fund Statistics Potential Cap Gains Exposure Avg Net Expense Ratio Geometric Avg Capitalization ( Mil) 192, Benchmark 2,199, Credit Quality Breakdown % of Bonds AAA AA A BBB BB B Below B NR Interest Rate Risk Bonds % Not Available Avg Eff Maturity Modified Duration Yield to Maturity *Full return history is not available for all securities. Please see Return Participation disclosure Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) include the confidential and proprietary information of Morningstar, (2) may include, or be derived from, account information provided by your financial advisor which cannot be verified by Morningstar, (3) may not be copied or redistributed, (4) do not constitute investment advice offered by Morningstar, (5) are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security, and (6) are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, this information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. Opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This report is supplemental sales literature. If applicable it must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus, or equivalent, and disclosure statement. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.

10 High risk and High Return Stocks Scrip Name CMP SUVEN 201 JSWENERGY 81 EROS MEDIA 228 ARIES 164 PARAGMILK 269 Investment Rationale Low P/E, P/B, P/S, P/C (which is excellent) Good outlook based on sales growth Stocks look attractive based on technical charts 11

11 Release date Page 3 of 11 Value Benchmark Snapshot 901, S&P BSE SENSEX India INR (INR, 1) HIGH RISK HIGH RETURN STOCKS Analysis Asset Allocation Bmark Allocation Equity Debt Alternate Cash Morningstar Equity Style Box % Morningstar Fixed Income Style Box % Large Mid Small Total Stock Holdings 5 % Not Classified 0 High Med Low Total Bond Holdings % Not Classified Value Blend Growth Ltd Mod Ext > >50 Stock Analysis Stock Sectors Sensitive Benchmark World Regions Greater Asia Americas Greater Europe Performance Investment Activity Graph Initial Mkt Val: 384,850 Final Mkt Val: 901,298 Benchmark 1,250k 1,000 Defensive Cyclical 250 < >75% (%) Bmark (%) h Cyclical r Basic Matls t Consumer Cycl y Financial Svs u Real Estate j Sensitive i Commun Svs o Energy p Industrials a Technology k Defensive s Consumer Def d Healthcare f Utilities Not Classified (%) Bmark (%) Americas North America Latin America Greater Europe United Kingdom Europe-Developed Europe-Emerging Africa/Middle East Greater Asia Japan Australasia Asia-Developed Asia-Emerging Not Classified Trailing Returns* 3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Return Benchmark Return /- Benchmark Return *Full return history is not available for all securities. Please see Return Participation disclosure. Best/Worst Time Best % Worst % Periods 3 Months ( Mar 2009-May 2009 ) ( Aug 2008-Oct 2008 ) 1 Year ( Apr 2009-Mar 2010 ) ( Jan 2008-Dec 2008 ) 3 Years ( Aug 2012-Jul 2015 ) ( Jan 2008-Dec 2010 ) Yield ( ) Yield % 12-Month Yield Level Performance Disclosure The portfolio-level performance shown is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. Investor returns will differ from the results shown. The performance data reflects monthly portfolio rebalancing. Holdings Top 5 holdings out of 5 Symbol Type Holding Value % Assets Eros International Media Ltd (INR) EROSMEDIA ST 184, Parag Milk Food Ltd (INR) PARAGMILK ST 183, JSW Energy Ltd (INR) JSWENERGY ST 181, Aries Agro Ltd (INR) ARIES ST 176, Suven Life Sciences Ltd (INR) SUVEN ST 175, Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) include the confidential and proprietary information of Morningstar, (2) may include, or be derived from, account information provided by your financial advisor which cannot be verified by Morningstar, (3) may not be copied or redistributed, (4) do not constitute investment advice offered by Morningstar, (5) are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security, and (6) are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, this information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. Opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This report is supplemental sales literature. If applicable it must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus, or equivalent, and disclosure statement. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.

12 Release date Page 4 of 11 Value Benchmark Snapshot 901, S&P BSE SENSEX India INR (INR, 1) HIGH RISK HIGH RETURN STOCKS Risk Analysis Risk/Reward Scatterplot Holdings Bmark 5 Year Mean Performance History Graph Quarterly returns +/- Benchmark in % % Bmark Year Standard Deviation Risk and Return Statistics* 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Bmark Bmark Bmark Standard Deviation Mean Sharpe Ratio MPT Statistics* 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Alpha Beta R-Squared Level Performance Disclosure The portfolio-level performance shown is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. Investor returns will differ from the results shown. The performance data reflects monthly portfolio rebalancing. Fundamental Analysis Asset Allocation Type Weightings % of Stocks Bmark nhigh Yield bdistressed vhard Asset mcyclical xslow Growth zclassic Growth laggressive Growth cspeculative Growth Not Available Long % Short % Allocation Equity Debt Alternate Cash Total % Market Maturity % of Stocks Bmark Developed Markets Emerging Markets Not Available Valuation Multiples Bmark Price/Earnings Price/Book Price/Sales Price/Cash Flow Profitability Bmark % of Stocks Net Margin ROE ROA Debt/Capital Fund Statistics Potential Cap Gains Exposure Avg Net Expense Ratio Geometric Avg Capitalization ( Mil) 20, Benchmark 2,199, Credit Quality Breakdown % of Bonds AAA AA A BBB BB B Below B NR Interest Rate Risk Bonds % Not Available Avg Eff Maturity Modified Duration Yield to Maturity *Full return history is not available for all securities. Please see Return Participation disclosure Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) include the confidential and proprietary information of Morningstar, (2) may include, or be derived from, account information provided by your financial advisor which cannot be verified by Morningstar, (3) may not be copied or redistributed, (4) do not constitute investment advice offered by Morningstar, (5) are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security, and (6) are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, this information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. Opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This report is supplemental sales literature. If applicable it must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus, or equivalent, and disclosure statement. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.

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