ABCC Program Workshop Ottawa, September 2010 A Natural Disaster Monitoring and Warning System SISMADEN Dr. Laércio M. Namikawa Eymar S.S. Lopes
rincipais Desastres Naturais no Brasil 2000-2007 Natural Disasters in Brazil Principais Desastres Naturais no Brasil 2000-2007 11% 11% 8% 8% 14% 14% 3% 3% 6% 6% 58% 58% Seca Droughts Epidemia Epidemic Temperatura Ext temperature Inundação Floods Deslizamento Landslides High Vendavais winds Epidemia Extreme Temperatura Ex Source (adpated): Vulnerabilidade Ambiental / Rozely Ferreira dos Santos, organizadora. Brasilia: ção MMA, 2007. 192 p. : il. color. Deslizamento ; 29 cm. Vendavais
Pernambuco and Alagoas
Pernambuco and Alagoas June/2010 57 deaths 95 municipalities
Niterói, Rio de Janeiro
Niterói, RJ April/2010 http://noticias.uol.com.br/album/1 00406rio_album.jhtm
Niterói, Rio de Janeiro
Jan/01/2010 Ilha Grande Angra dos Reis Morro da Carioca - Angra dos Reis http://noticias.uol.com.br/ultnot/agencia/2010/01/04/ult4469u51182.jhtm
CBERS Feb/21/2010
Fusion CBERS CCD-HRC
Damage Assessment
Comparison Jul/16/2008 Feb/21/2010
GOES Enhanced Image
Center for Weather Forecast and Climate Studies - CPTEC www.cptec.inpe.br
Observations by Satellite TRMM Estimated Rain
Forecast 24h Total Precipitation Run Dec/31/2010 12:00 GMT for 01/Jan/2010 - Eta-20 km
Observation Data Collect Platform Weather Radar
12/27/2009 00:00:00 12/27/2009 08:00:00 12/27/2009 16:00:00 12/28/2009 00:00:00 12/28/2009 08:00:00 12/28/2009 16:00:00 12/29/2009 00:00:00 12/29/2009 08:00:00 12/29/2009 16:00:00 12/30/2009 00:00:00 12/30/2009 08:00:00 12/30/2009 16:00:00 12/31/2009 00:00:00 12/31/2009 08:00:00 12/31/2009 16:00:00 01/01/2010 00:00:00 01/01/2010 08:00:00 01/01/2010 16:00:00 01/02/2010 00:00:00 01/02/2010 08:00:00 01/02/2010 16:00:00 01/03/2010 00:00:00 Rain Gauge at Angra dos Reis Source: Eletronuclear 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 173 mm total in 24h 01/01/2009 8:00 140 mm total in 24h 31/12/2009 16:00 100 mm total in 24h 31/12/2009 9:00 Chuva HourlyHorária Chuva Total in Acum.24h
Research and Development in Geoinformatics 1974: I-100 1986: SITIM and SGI 1991: SPRING 1.0 1996: SPRING 3.0 2010: SPRING 5.1.6 2002: TerraLib 1.0 2007: TerraLib 3.0 2010: TerraLib 3.5
Technological Support Geographical database and manipulation by TerraLib: www.terralib.org
Automatically Generated Alerts Hydrology and Meteorology Observations and Forecasts Natural Disaster Risks Risk Areas Extreme Event Spatial Analysis Alerts U s e r s Actions Additional Information
Natural Disaster Monitoring and Alert System Open Source Computational System based on service oriented architecture Provides technological infrastructure to develop operational systems to manage alerts of environmental risks Services: Data gathering and formatting Analysis by comparison with risk layers or by executing models Risk model edition for alerts Alert handling and management
Natural Disasters Monitoring and Alert System Who are the users? System Operators Organization that monitor the possibility of disaster events Operate on Administration and Configuration interfaces Insert static data using TerraView
Natural Disasters Monitoring and Alert System Who are the users? Alert Clients Representatives with authority to execute prevention and mitigation actions in disaster events Receive alerts in http, e-mail, sms
WEB Site http://www.dpi.inpe.br/sismaden/english
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Ilha Grande January/2010 Hydrology and Meteorology Observations and Forecasts Natural Disaster Risks Risk Areas Municipalities Extreme Event Hydroestimator Spatial Analysis Additional Information Alerts U s e r s Actions
Forecast 20x20Km Grid Precipitation 24h
Configure Climate Data
Hydroestimator on GOES Image Every 15 minutes
Configure Risk Map
Simple Risk Map Municipalities Inserted using TerraView Polygons Risk Levels
Configure Risk Analysis local var1 = media_eta('eta20', 24) if var1 == nil or var1 < 10 then return 0 Normal elseif var1 < 20 then return 1 Observation elseif var1 < 30 then return 2 Attention elseif var1 < 50 then return 3 Alert else return 4 Maximum Alert end
Alert Sent by Email Dear User, There was a change in the Alert Level of one or more regions of the risk map, from one of the analysis you are linked to. See below a complete report of changes: Analysis Name: Analise_Municipios_Hidroestimador Risk Areas ID Name Previous Alert Level Current Alert Level 01 Angra dos Reis 2 3 02 Ilha Grande 2 3 03 Parati 1 2 IMAGE attached to the report 31/12/2009 14:00 h
Warnings 31/12/2009 from 10:00 to 14:00
Improving Risk Maps
Terrain Morphology
Terrain Gradient
Land Use Classification
Land Use Classification
Detailed Risk Map Polygon: Slope Units Where: There is Urban Use and Convex or Plane morphology and Gradient greater than 30 percent
Future Developments Inclusion of Dynamic Models - TerraME and TerraHidro (TerraLib family) Call to external models (FORTRAN programs, TITAN2D, Hydrologic models Operators for cumulative rain from observations hydroestimator, radar Data validation - radar, PCD Alert model validation
Conclusions Processes extremes captured by risk analyses Includes vulnerabilities Easy programming for non-programmers of input processing and risk analysis
http://www.dpi.inpe.br/sismaden http://www.terralib.org laercio@dpi.inpe.br