24 8 Vol124 No18 20098 JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES Aug, 2009, (, 710062) : 19962006,,, 15,:,,,,,,, : ; ; ; : F29111: A : 1000-3037 (2009) 08-1378 - 08 1 1978 1719%20064319%, 0193 [ 1 ] 20 90,, 19962002 1134, 15 1%, [ 2 ],, [ 3 ] [ 4 ], 19,20, [ 5, 6 ], [ 7 ], [ 810 ],,,, 15, : 2008-12- 22; : 2009-05- 11 : (2004D04) ; : (1982- ),,,, E2mail: wangxinjiefd2008@126. com
8 : 1379, 2,,,,,,, [ 11 ], 4,,,, 412 ;, 20 80 (OECD) (UNEP)PSR, 311 [ 11 ] (1) 1 Table 1Evaluation index system of urbanization and eco2environment coordinated development x y x 1 01275 0 x 11 01373 3 x 12 01626 7 % x 2 01277 5 GDPx 21 01303 3 / x 22 01303 3 % x 23 01393 3 % x 3 01200 0 x 31 01393 3 /km 2 x 32 01346 7 % x 33 01260 0 /m 3 x 4 01200 0 x 41 01180 0 /10 4 x 42 01260 0 /10 4 x 43 01206 7 /100 x 44 01353 3 / y 1 01500 0 y 11 01260 0 t/ y 12 01193 3 m 3 / y 13 01260 0 t/ km 2 ( SO 2 ) y 14 01286 7 t/ km 2 y 2 01250 0 y 21 01183 3 hm 2 /15 y 22 01113 3 m 2 / y 23 01250 0 m 3 / y 24 01236 7 % y 25 01216 7 m 2 / y 3 01250 0 y 31 01566 7 % y 32 01433 3 % :(19972007) (19972007)
1380 24 3,, (, ), (, ),,,,,,, (Delphi), 19962006(2) 2 Table 2The comp lex evaluation index of urbanization and eco2environment 1996 01046 3 01506 6 2002 01563 8 01592 1 1997 01136 4 01549 3 2003 01600 7 01540 5 1998 01189 6 01711 7 2004 01815 5 01478 6 1999 01271 9 01702 0 2005 01785 3 01548 7 2000 01381 8 01697 1 2006 01983 2 01199 3 2001 01409 9 01609 4 : 1996 1998,, 11, 3 (19961998),, 1998 (01711 7),(19992002),,,, 2002 (20032006),,, 2006, 4 1992, -, [ 12 ],,, ( ) () ; ;,
8 : 1381 411 SPSS1510, : Y = 01468 + 01995X - 11386X 2 + 01118X 3 (1) R 2 = 01846, F = 12186 X = 11220-11342Y R 2 = 01732, F = 5197 (2), Y, X, 0105, U,,, U 412 w ( i/ j) [ 13 ] w ( i/ j) = exp ( - 2) (A i - A i ) 2 (3) s 2 w ( i/ j) ij, ij A i i, A j i, A i ; si,,, [ 13 ] : M in[w ( i/ j), w ( j/ i) ] Cs ( i, j) = M ax[w ( i/ j), w ( j/ i) ],,, 15 (3) w ( i, j) 3 Table 3The mode of coordinated development between urbanization and eco2environment A ia i 0 < Cs( i, j) 0125 A i <A i A i =A i A i >A i 0125 < Cs( i, j) 015 A i <A i A i =A i A i >A i 015 < Cs( i, j) 0165 A i <A i A i =A i A i >A i 0165 < Cs( i, j) 0185 A i <A i A i =A i A i >A i 0185 < Cs( i, j) 1 A i <A i A i =A i A i >A i (4)
1382 24, 19962006(X )(1)(X ) (Y (2) ),(3) (4) 11 (4) 4 19962006 Table 4The mode of coordinated development between urbanization and eco2environment in Xi an from 1996 to 2006 X X Cs(X, Y) 1996 01046 3 01540 1 01003 3 1997 01136 4 01482 9 01073 6 1998 01189 6 01264 9 01517 7 1999 01271 9 01277 9 01801 2 2000 01381 8 01284 5 01862 2 2001 01409 9 01402 2 01684 1 2002 01563 8 01425 4 01726 2 2003 01600 7 01494 7 01787 2 2004 01815 5 01577 8 01307 9 2005 01785 3 01483 7 01225 3 2006 01983 2 01952 5 01881 8 4 1,, 113 1 Fig11The changes of coordinated development between urbanization and eco2environment : 19961999, 1996 01046 3, 01506 6,,,,,,
8 : 1383,,1999, : 20002005,2000, 2001 (01409 901402 2),,,,,, : 2006, 11 (01983 2 01952 5),,, ( ), 413 Cd ( t): [ 14 ] Cd ( t) = 1 T T - 1 Cs ( t - i), 0 < Cd ( t) i =0, Cs ( t - T + 1), Cs ( t - T + 2),, Cs ( t - 1), Cs ( t) ( t - T) - t t 2 > t 1 ( ),Cd ( t 2 ) Cd ( t 1 ), 2 5, 19962003 2000,,,, 20002003 < t 2 Fig12The changes of dynam ic coordization degrees about urbanization and eco2environment 5 19962006 Table 5The dynam ic coordization degrees of urbanization and eco2environment in Xi an from 1996 to 2006 T 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 T 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Cd 01003 3 01038 4 01198 2 01349 0 01451 6 01490 4 01524 0 01556 9 01529 3 01498 9 01533 7
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8 : 1385 [ 11 ]. [ J ]., 2008, 31 ( 6) : 829836. [ L IU Yao2bin. Dy2 nam ic econometric analysis of the relationship between urbanization and ecological environment in Jiangxi Province. Re2 sources Science, 2005, 15 (3) : 55-60. ] [ 12 ],,. [M ]. :, 1996. [ XU Xue2qiang, ZHOU Yi2xing. U rban Geogra2 phy. Beijing: H igher Education Press, 1996. ] [ 13 ]. [M ]. :, 2000. [WANG Guo2wei. The Study about Theory and Method of Coordination Development. Beijing: China Financial and Econom ic Publishing House, 2000. ] [ 14 ],,. - [ J ]., 2003, ( 5) : 5458. [ L I Yan, ZENG Zhen2xiang, et al. Study and app lication of evaluation method of coordinated development of economy en2 vironment system. System s EngineeringTheory & P ractice, 2003, (5) : 54-58. ] The Ana lysis of Coord ina ted D evelopm en t between Urban iza tion and Eco2env ironm en t in X i an WANG Xin2jie, XUE dong2qian (College of Tourism and Environment Sciences, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi an 710062, China) Abstract: According to the statistical data from 1996 to 2006 in Xi an city, a comp rehensive evaluation system was set up between urbanization and eco2environm ent containing four aspects of urbanization, such as population, economy, space, urban life and other three aspects in eco2envi2 ronment, including environmental p ressure, status and response. After we calculated sub2index values and comp rehensive index values by Delphi and weighted sum, 15 kinds of models of coor2 dinated development are conceived and then we analyzed and evaluated their evolving trends w ith the static and dynam ic coordination degrees. The results showed that the general p rocess changes from the lagging urbanization period of weak and lack2coordinated development model to strong2 coordinated developm ent mode and then the urbanization advancing strong2coordinated develop2 ment model. B esides, the dom inant model in the studied period was coordination, and the track of the urbanization and eco2environm ent developm ent was basically coordination, too. However, we must notice that the trends of the comp rehensive index of urbanization and eco2environment change in the opposite direction and the development models are diverse. The p ressure of eco2en2 vironm ental construction w ill emerge gradually compared to the rap idly expanding consump tion de2 mand about urbanization. cology. In the future, it may experience a phase of strong economy and weak e2 Key words: urbanization; eco2environment; coordinated development mode; Xi an