Occlusion Cyclogenesis

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1 Occlusion Cyclogenesis Part I: Occlusion cloud bands in comparison to CF and WFs Concepts for cyclogenesis Different types of cyclogenesis and examples Numerical parameters on isobaric and isentropic surfaces

2 17 June 2016/18 UTC/IR Fully developed occlusion cloud band 17 June 2016/18 UTC/WV Fully developed occlusion cloud band WF Occl L WS Occl L CF Occlusion fronts cloud bands Some well-known qualities: Occlusion cloud bands have spiral form They are closest to the low centres in the troposphere They are connected to cold front and warm front bands

3 17 June 2016/18 UTC/HRVis 17 June 2016/18 UTC/IR Occl Occl 17 June 2016/12 UTC/Vis 17 June 2016/12 UTC/HRVis Occl Occl

4 17 June 2016/18 UTC/air mass RGB 17 June 2016/18 UTC/dust RGB

5 Occlusion front - Occlusion cloud band Some well-known qualities: Occlusion Cloud bands have spiral form They are closest to the low centres in the troposphere They are connected to cold front and warm front bands They develop from cold and warm front bands during the process of a cyclogenesis Occlusion cloud bands are the result of a cyclogenesis process Processes and types of cyclogenesis

6 Meteorological theories about cyclogenesis What theories about cyclogenesis are well know? Classical Polar Front theory (Bjerkness and Solberg, 1921/22) Conveyor Belt Models (~ 1980) Shapiro Keyser cyclogenesis (1990) Importance of Upper Level Phenomena The Hoskins theory - PV thinking

7 The classical Polar Front Theory A disturbance initiates the cyclogenesis process; A low centre at the surface appears; Cold air moves fast against warm air; fronts with cloudiness develop at the baroclinic boundaries between the air masses; The cold front moves faster than the warm front the warm sector in between becomes smaller; In the area of the low centre cold air lifts warm air, the occlusion cloud spiral develops; View is mainly from parameters in the lower troposphere L Developed wave stage Wave stage Occlusion stage

8 Role of satellite images/data within these concepts Which of these concept ideas can be enhanced through satellite images? Which new facts can be seen in satellite images and added to the concepts? Two different types of occlusion cloud spirals

9 14 March 2016/18 UTC/IR Fully developed occlusion cloud band 13 March 2016/06 UTC/IR Wave stage Cyan: height contours 1000 hpa

10 13 March 2014/06 UTC/IR First indication of wave development 13 March 2014/18 UTC/IR Wave stage 14 March 2014/06 UTC/IR Advanced wave/ Beginning occlusion stage 14 March 2014/12 UTC/IR Occlusion stage 4 stages of cyclogenesis: IR images u.l: front + first indiction of wave u.r: Wave stage l.l: Advanced wave/beginning occlusion stage l.r: Occlusion stage Cyan: Height contours 1000 hpa

11 14 March 2016/18 UTC/IR Fully developed occlusion cloud band 13 March 2016/06 UTC/IR Wave stage temperature advection 700 hpa Blue: CA Red: WA

12 13 March 2016/06 UTC/IR First indication of wave development 13 March 2016/18 UTC/IR Wave stage 4 stages of cyclogenesis: IR images u.l: front + first indiction of wave u.r: Wave stage l.l: Advanced wave l.r: Occlusion stage 14 March 2016/06 UTC/IR Advanced wave 14 March 2016/12 UTC/IR Occlusion stage Temperature advection 700 hpa Blue: CA Red: WA

13 Role of satellite images/data within these concepts Which of these concept ideas can be enhanced through satellite images? Which new facts can be seen in satellite images and added to the concepts? Two different types of occlusion cloud spirals

14 Appearances of Occlusion cloud bands during the cyclogenesis process Occlusion cloud bands have spiral form which develops from a cloud bulge (a wave area) at the rear side of a cold front band Warm conveyor belt type (WCB) 17 June 2016/ 12 UTC WF Often occlusion cloud spirals show lower cloud top heights than the related CF- WF bands It gives the impression to grow from below the CF band from E to W and further circling around the low centre Cold conveyor belt type (CCB) WS Occl WF Occl WS CF CF 11 February 2011/00 4 February 2016/ 12 UTC 7 February 2011/00

15 17 June 2016/ 00 UTC/ WCB type 17 June 2016/ 06 UTC, WCB type 17 June 2016/ 18 UTC, WCB type 4 February 2016/12 UTC, CCB type 4 February 2016/18 UTC, CCB type 5 February 2016/00 UTC, CCB type

16 Conveyor Belt Theory Conveyor Belts are: Air mass bodies transported on an isentropic surface like on a Conveyor Belt This transport on isentropic surfaces is by relative streams Relative to system velocity; as if an observer moves with the occlusion spiral Meteorology has recognised only few typical conveyor belts associated to and typical for the different fronts Isentrops in a vertical cross section Conveyor Belt theory is not a separate view but a different, complementary view into the processes taking place in the atmosphere Isobars on an Isentropic surface

17 Ana Cold Front Cyclogenesis from the view of conveyor belt theory Warm Front Band WCB Occlusion Kata Cold Front Warm Front Shield CCB Occlusion For Cold Fronts two relative streams: the warm conveyor belt (red) the dry intrusion (yellow) (The upper relative stream (green)) For Warm Fronts two relative streams: the warm conveyor belt (red) The cold conveyor belt (blue) For the Occlusion Fronts three conveyor belts: The warm conveyor belt (WCB) (red) The dry intrusion (DI) (yellow) The cold conveyor belt (CCB) (blue) (The upper rel. stream (URS) (green))

18 WCB: warm conveyor belt: Rising from S,SE N,NE Sinking from N,NE S, SE Transports warm, moist air Air mass RGB: Green, yellowish DI: Dry intrusion: Sinking from NW SE Rising from SE to N and splitting in branch to NW and to NE Transports: very cold dry air Air mass RGB: brown to dark brown URS: Upper Relative Stream In biggest part parallel to DI but comes from more W, NW Transports dry but less cold air Air mass RGB: Blue to brownish CCB: Cold Conveyor Belt Rising from E,SE NW Sinking from N,NW S,SE Emerging from below the WCB Transports moist air but less warm than in the WCB Air mass RGB: blue

19 Polar front theory WCB type sequence of development 16 June 2016/ 18 UTC/ WCB type 17 June 2016/ 00 UTC, WCB type 17 June 2016/ 18 UTC, WCB type Schematics of involved Conveyor Belt Warm conveyor belt Dry intrusion

20 Polar front theory - CCB type: sequence of development 4 February 2016/ 12 UTC 4 February 2016/ 18 UTC 5 February 2016/ 00 UTC Schematics of involved Conveyor Belts: Cold conveyor belt Warm conveyor belt Dry intrusion

21 CCB to WCB transition from the view of conveyor belt theory The classical Polar Front theory : Main conveyor belt: Warm conveyor Subtype of the classical Polar Front theory: The Cold conveyor Belt model

22 Transition Phase from CCB to WCB Occlusion/CyclogenesisType Airmass RGB images 4 February 2016/ 18 UTC 5 February 2016/ 06 UTC Schematics of involved Conveyor Belts: Cold conveyor belt Warm conveyor belt Dry intrusion

23 Occlusion cloud bands combined with numerical parameters on isobaric surfaces 14 July 2016/18 UTC/IR Cyan: Height contours 400 hpa Blue: Thermal front parameters Yellow: Isotachs 400 hpa

24 Occlusion cloud bands numerical parameters on isobaric surfaces Based on the classical Polar Front theory the following typical numerical parameters offer themselves as key parameters Height Contours: close to the surface (1000 hpa or surface pressure) In upper levels (500 or 300 hpa) Frontal parameters: Equivalent thickness and/or equivalent potential temperature (thetae) Thermal Front Parameter - TFP Temperature advection Upper level parameters: Jet axis + jet streak CVA: cyclonic vorticity advection PV: potential vorticity

25 14 July 2016/ 18 UTC Developed WCB occlusion L Upper image: height contours 1000 hpa Lower image: Height contours 500 hpa Fully developed low centre from surface to upper levels L

26 L 4 February 2016/ 12 UTC Phase of CCB occlusion Upper image: height contours 1000 hpa Lower image: Height contours 500 hpa Low centre in lower layers, trough in upper levels L

27 14 July 2016/ 18 UTC Developed WCB occlusion Upper images: Thetae 700 hpa, 500 hpa Lower image: Thetae 700 hpa TFP (Thermal Front Parameter) (blue) Well developed thetae ridge; TFP moves from rear side at the CF to the centre of the occlusion cloud band

28 04 February 2016/ 12 UTC Phase of CCB occlusion Upper image: Thetae 700 hpa Lower image: Thetae 700 hpa Equ. thickness TFP thickness ridge, but much smoother than for wcb occlusion; TFP accompanies CF and WF; Beginning occlusion

29 14 July 2016/ 18 UTC Developed WCB occlusion Upper image: Thetae 700 hpa Lower image: Temperature advection 700 hpa red: WA, blue: CA

30 04 February 2016/ 12 UTC Phase of CCB occlusion Upper image: Thetae 700 hpa Lower image: Temperature advection 700 hpa red: WA, blue: CA Ccb occlusion cloud band partly still under CA; WA max develops

31 14 July 2016/ 18 UTC Developed WCB occlusion Upper image: Relative vorticity 300 hpa Orange/black: zero line jet axis at 300 hpa; red: cyclonic vorticity, blue: anticyclonic vorticity lower image: Isotachs 300 hpa; jet streak Jet streaks are along the rear edge of the CF and the occlusion cloud band ; jet axis extends from the inner cloud edge of the occlusion to the outer one.

32 04 February 2016/ 12 UTC Phase of CCB occlusion Upper image: Relative vorticity 300 hpa Orange/black: zero line jet axis at 300 hpa; red: cyclonic vorticity, blue: anticyclonic vorticity lower image: Isotachs 300 hpa; jet streak Jet streaks are along the rear edge of the CF and WF band occlusion cloud band on the cyclonic side of the jet axis

33 14 July 2016/18 UTC WCB occlusion 04 February 2016/12 UTC CCB occlusion Yellow: Red: isotachs 300 hpa cyclonic vorticity maxima (CVA) 300 hpa

34 WCB Weather CCB

35 14 July 2016/18 UTC u.l: NWCSAF: cloud type u.r: Dust RGB l.l: NWCSAF: cloud top pressure

36 u.l: Synops l.l: Synops and Cloud Type (Nowcasting SAF) 14 July 2016/18 UTC u.r: Synop + Radar: Composite of Surface Rain Rate(Opera) l.r: Convective rainfall rate (Nowcasting SAF)

37 Precipitating Clouds (Nowcasting SAF) Above: 14 July 2016/12 UTC Below: 14 July 2016/18 UTC

38 Occlusion cloud bands: Numerical parameters on isentropic surfaces Vertical Cross Sections (VCS) 4February 2016/12 UTC Cyan: Heigth contours 400 hpa VCS: Black: moist isentropes Green/brown: relative humidity

39 Use of Isentropic Analysis - Use of Vertical Cross Sections (VCS) Training Module (Natasa Strelec Mahovic) Potential temperature(θ) is defined as the temperature an air parcel would have if it were expanded or compressed adiabatically to a pressure of 1000 hpa. Lines of constant potential temperature are isentropes In general the atmosphere tends to flow along isentropes "constant density" surfaces This holds true for weather disturbances such as jets and fronts Transport occurs across lines of constant potential vorticity in case of diabetic heating or turbulent mixing

40 Isentropic Analysis Isentropes give a quick overview of the stability of the atmosphere over larger area. The distance between the isentropes is a measure of static stability. VERY STABLE stratification is characterized by the high gradient of potential temperature. It is found in the regions of temperature inversion, therefore the most stable area in the troposphere is the TROPOPAUSE. STABLE are the areas depicted with rather high potential temperature gradient which is often found in the frontal zones, for example. The regions with superadiabatic lapse rate are UNSTABLE. In these regions potential temperature decreases with height. These are the conditions favorable for convective development!

41 Relevant Numerical Key Parameters in Vertical Cross Sections Based on the classical Polar Front theory the following typical numerical parameters offer themselves as key parameters Isentropes (most isentropes) Rel. Humidity Divergence + upward motion Temperature advection Vorticity Advection Potential Vorticity > 2 PV unit Wind

42 14 July 2016/18 UTC: Cyan: Height contours 300 hpa Green arrow: VCS line from A to B B A

43 B A frontal Warm air Cold air unstable frontal Cold air unstable A 14 July 2016/18 UTC: black: moist isentropes; green: relative humidity B

44 B A Cloud band A 14 July 2016/18 UTC: black: moist isentropes; green: relative humidity B

45 14 July 2016/18 UTC black: moist isentropes; Red: upward motion, blue: downward motion black: moist isentropes; Red: convergence, blue: divergence C C C C C C C C

46 14 July 2016/18 UTC TA 700 hpa B A A black: moist isentropes; Red: warm advection blue: cold advection B

47 A B B A A black: moist isentropes; Brown: isotachs B 14 July 2016/18 UTC black: moist isentropes; Red: CVA (cycl.vort.adv.) blue: AVA (anticycl.vort.adv.) B A

48 14 July 2016/18 UTC B B A black: moist isentropes; Magenta: PV > 2 PV units Blue arrow: height of tropopause A

49 Topics to be added Role of upper levels Role of relative vorticity Role of vorticity advection (CVA, AVA) Role of jet and jet streaks (Uccellini) Role of Potential Vorticity (PV) (Hoskins) Enough for today!

50 Application of the Dust RGB image for diagnosis /18 UTC What does the rose band in the dust image represent Support your decision with relevant numerical parameters Use the visualisation software eport Pro There might also other regions be of interest 17 June 2016/18 UTC Diagnosis of rose band Dust RGB Height contours 500/300 hpa Other material?

51 Detection of Polar Front Cyclogenesis Developments Which of the four cases are the result of a classical polar front theory Look at the image sequence as long back as necessary (usually hours) It might help if you superimpose Thetae 850 or 700 hpa and height contours in low levels 16 February 2016/12UTC 06 April 2016/18 UTC 10 April 2016/12 UTC 06 July 2016/18 UTC Development according to classical Polar Front theory: yes or no?

52 Diagnosis of cloud and precipitation with help of satellite information Describe the cloudiness of the occlusion cloud spiral with help of the Dust RGB Add information from Radar (Opera) and NWC SAF parameters about cloud type, height, precipitation Use eport Pro and the legends of the relevant parameters Use a table like the one below; you need not write lond descriptions but only the information from the legends tables Satellite channels Dust RGB Cloud type Cloud top pressure Precipitating clouds CRR 21 September 2016/12 UTC 21 September 2016/ 12 UTC Radar

53 Diagnosis of some numerical parameters on isobaric surfaces: 21 September versus 14 January 2016 Compare for both cases typical key parameters: Height contours 1000 and 500 hpa Thetae 850 hpa Temperature advection 700 hpa Relation of jet streak 400 hpa to the cloud band Use eport Pro Write the characteristic features with only one (very few) words in the table below Are there important differences between the two cases in which parameters; indicate these parameters Height 1000 hpa Height 500 hpa Thetae 850 hpa Temperature advection 700 hpa Jet streak 400 hpa in Relation to frontal cloud bands 21Sept16/ 12 UTC 14Jan16/ 12 UTC

54 Diagnosis of some numerical parameters in Vertical Cross Sections: 21 September versus 14 January 2016 Use eport Pro Compute the VCS (Vertical Cross Sections) for both cases similar to the indicated ones Localise and sign the occlusion front in the VCS and look into the parameter of temperature advection Draw a probable zeroline into the cross section and indicate the maxima of WA and CA in relation to the occlusion front Are there differences between the two cases?

55 Enough for today! Any Questions already now? The Students Forum is open for all questions coming up later! Thank you for your attention! See you tomorrow!

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