May, Cadarache, France. Organized by. & hosted by

Transcription

1 2 nd International Workshop on Best Practices in Physics-based Fault Rupture Models for Seismic Hazard Assessment of Nuclear Installations: Issues and Challenges towards th full Seismic Risk Analysis May, Cadarache, France Organized by & hosted by 0

2 Monday, May 14 th, 2018 Agenda 8:00 Departure of the buses from Aix-en-Provence to INSTN Cadarache 9:00 9:30 Registration, welcome coffee 9:30 9:45 Welcome address o Welcome address 1 (C. Berge-Thierry on behalf of CEA) o Welcome address 2 (Y. Fukushima on behalf of IAEA) 9:45 14:00 The CEA and French Sinaps@ research project session 9:45 10:30 KEYNOTE The Durance Area and the Cadarache Research Center Presented by CEA o Introduction by the Head of CEA/Cadarache (research activities, nuclear facilities & safety issues) by Ch. Bonnet / D. Dall ava 15 o Geophysical & Seismotectonical regional context Focus on knowledge improvement through instrumentation effort illustration on site effects characterization by F. Hollender 15 o Nuclear facilities, civil engineering & seismic safety topics by F. Méméteau 15 o Questions/discussion 15 10:30 11:30 An innovative approach to perform seismic risk analysis of nuclear facilities through the multidisciplinary Sinaps@ research project, by C. Berge-Thierry, F. Voldoire, F. Ragueneau, F. Lopez-Caballero and A. Le Maoult [ID 10] 45 o Questions/discussion 15 11:30 12:00 KEYNOTE Conceptual framework for physics-based simulations in practical projects and interface to engineering demands, by Ph. Renault [ID 76] 12:00 13:30 - Lunch 13:30 14:00 A Practical study-case: the SINOP SSHAC by Ch. Martin, Th. Bontemps, A. Gürpinar and D. Baumont [ID 46] 14:00 17:30 Empirical Ground Motion Models and Simulations session (first part) 14:00 14:30 KEYNOTE The interface between empirical and simulation-based ground motion models, by G. Atkinson [ID 06] 14:30 14:45 A preliminary study to investigate the regional effects on ground motion predictive models for Turkey, by G. Tarnican [ID 65] 14:45 15:00: Developing site-specific vertical ground motions for Turkey Part 1: using V/H ratio ground motion models, by Z. Gülerce [ID 27] 15:00 15:30 KEYNOTE Current status and issues of strong-motion prediction method in seismic hazard assessment for the national seismic hazard maps for Japan, by H. Fujiwara [ID 23] 1

3 15:30 15:45 Are the standard Vs30-kappa host-to-target adjustments the best way to get consistent hard-rock ground motion prediction?, by P.Y Bard [ID 08] 15:45 16:15 Coffee Break 16:15 16:45 KEYNOTE Calibrating the backbone approach for the development of earthquake ground motion models, by J. Douglas [ID 19] 16:45 17:00 The Bayesian model averaging of ground motion prediction equations, by M. Bertin [ID 11] 17:00-17:30 PANNEL DISCUSSION 17:30-18:00 Flash presentation of each Poster (1 30 / poster) 18:00 Departure of the buses from INSTN Cadarache to Aix-en-Provence Tuesday, May 15 th, :30 Departure of the buses from Aix-en-Provence to INSTN Cadarache 8:30 9:30 Empirical Ground Motion Models and Simulations session (second part) 8:30 9:00 KEYNOTE Probabilistic hazard incorporating 3D simulations into no ergodic groundmotion models, by N. Abrahamson [ID 01] 9:00 9:15 The needs for filling the gaps in empirical data for reliable seismic hazard estimates: lessons learned from the GMPE developments, by V. Graizer [ID 26] 9:15 9:30 Uncertainty analysis relevant to the fault modeling method, by C. Wu [ID 74] 9:30 12:30 Source Characterization for ground motion prediction session 9:30 10:00 KEYNOTE Earthquakes and ground-motion variabilities: evaluation and impacts on physics based ground-motions simulations and associated probabilistic seismic hazard assessments, by F. Cotton [ID 16] 10:00 10:15 Capturing the source parameters controlling the high-frequency ground motion, by R. Fayjaloun [ID 22] 10:15-10:45 Coffee Break 10:45 11:15 KEYNOTE A double-corner source spectrum for 5.3 M 7.7 that predicts PGA, PGV, duration, radiated energy and apparent stress, by R. Archuleta [ID 04] 11:15 11:45 KEYNOTE Procedure of evaluating fault parameters of subduction plate-boundary earthquakes with surface fault breakings for strong motion prediction, by K. Dan [ID 18] 11:45 12:00 Scaling laws of fault parameters of intra-slab earthquakes and strong motion simulation, by D. Ju [ID 38] 2

4 12:00 12:15 Long-term rate of earthquake ruptures in complex fault systems, by F. Visini [ID 57] 12:15 12:30 PANNEL DISCUSSION 12:30 14:00 Lunch 14:00 15:30 Poster Session 15:30 18:15: Physic based ground motion simulation session: Dynamic and Kinematic 15:30 16:00 KEYNOTE On near-field ground motions of normal and reverse faults from viewpoint of dynamic rupture model, by H. Aochi [ID 02] 16:00 16:15 Broadband dynamic source model for the 2011 Tohoku earthquake using slip reactivation and EGF simulation, by P. Galvez-Barron [ID 24] 16:15 16:30 Parametric study of the slip distribution on the vertical strike-slip fault for different source parameters based on the dynamic rupture simulation, by H. Kawase [ID 40] 16:30 16:45 Coffee Break 16:45 17:00 Physics-based simulations of the M7 Kumamoto, japan earthquake: implication of rupture models for near-fault ground motion variability estimates, by A. Pitarka [ID 51] 17:00 17:15 Challenges for near-field ground-motion modelling using extended-fault rupture in moderate seismicity areas: model parameters and data, by A. Dujardin [ID 20] 17:15 17:30 Physically based Seismic Hazard assessment for Egypt and its implication on Critical structures, by M. Elgabry [ID 21] 17:30 18:00: PANNEL DISCUSSION 18:00 Departure of the buses from INSTN Cadarache to Social Event 19:00 Aperitif & wine tasting 19:30 22:00 Dinner 22:30 Departure of the buses from Social Event to the hotels Wednesday, May 16 th, :30 Departure of the buses from Aix-en-Provence to INSTN Cadarache. 8:30 10:45 Fault displacement and long-period ground motion simulation session 8:30 9:00 KEYNOTE Outline of the PFDHA Method and Recent Studies on PFDHA in Japan, by M. Takao [ID 64] 9:00 9:30 KEYNOTE Estimation of surface fault displacement by high performance computing, by M. Hori [ID 31] 3

5 9:30 9:45 Asperity models to predict surface fault displacement caused by earthquakes: the 2010 Mw 7.0 Darfield (New Zealand) earthquake, by L.A. Dalguer et al. [ID 17] 9:45 10:00 Numerical simulation of M9 megathrust earthquakes in the Cascadia Subduction zone, by D. Roten [ID 56] 10:00 10:15 Extension of characterized source model for near-source long-period ground motions: experience of the 2016 Mw 7.0 Kumamoto earthquake in Japan, by K. Irikura [ID 36] 10:15 10:45 PANNEL DISCUSSION 10:45 11:15 Coffee Break 11:15 12:45: Site Characterization & Response Site specific Studies session 11:15 11:45 KEYNOTE Analysis of the spatial correlation of earthquake ground motion from physicsbased numerical simulations, by R. Paolucci [ID 49] 11:30 11:45 The Argostoli test-site: a tool for simulation validation and for a better understanding of phenomena involved in seismic hazard assessment, by F. Hollender [ID 30] 11:45 12:00 Argostoli site, from site test to numerical model: a holistic approach, by S. Touhami [ID 68] 12:00 12:15 Broad-band 3-D physics-based simulation of earthquake-induced wave-field at the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear power plant (Japan): an all-embracing source-to-site approach, by F. Gatti [ID 25] 12:15 12:45 PANNEL DISCUSSION 12:45 14:00 - Lunch 14:00 18:15 Engineering needs, Soil-Structure Interaction, Structural & components vulnerabilities & Risk assessment session 14:00 14:30 KEYNOTE Interface between earthquake ground motions and structural response: numerical modeling and simulation of ESSI behavior, by B. Jeremic [ID 37] 14:30 14:45 From seismic sources to engineering demand parameters: an interdisciplinary framework for estimation of seismic losses in urban regions, by A. Askan [ID 05] 14:45 15:00 New advances in the seismic analysis of nuclear structures and equipment from the SINAPS@ project, by F. Voldoire [ID 72] 15:00 15:15 Multi-level modelling approach of structures under earthquake loading: contributions from the SINAPS@ project, by F. Ragueneau [ID 53] 15:15 15:30 Nonlinear behaviors and structural damping identification in reinforced concrete elements, by C. Giry [ID 28] 4

6 15:30 15:45 Shake table test of large scale structures subject to pounding, by A. Le Maoult [ID 42] 15:45 16:15 Coffee break 16:15 16:30 Progress in the understanding and modelling of components that could drive the overall fragility of a nuclear power plant, by M.C. Robin-Boudaoud [ID 54] 16:30 16:45 Framework for non-structural component fragility curve estimation using synthetic ground motions with conditional spectra, by K. Trevlopoulos [ID 69] 16:45 17:00 Equipment s seismic fragility curve estimation using signals generated with GMPEs Case study on the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa power plant, by F. Wang [ID 73] 17:00 17:30 KEYNOTE Should we go ahead with the response spectrum?, by P. Labbé [ID 78] 17:30 18:00 PANNEL DISCUSSION 18:00 18:15 Final conclusion and Closure 18:30 Departure of the buses from INSTN Cadarache 5

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