May, Cadarache, France. Organized by. & hosted by. Irikura

Transcription

1 2 nd International Workshop on Best Practices in Physics-based Fault Rupture Models for Seismic Hazard Assessment of Nuclear Installations: Issues and Challenges towards th full Seismic Risk Analysis May, Cadarache, France Irikura Organized by & hosted by 0

2 Monday, May 14 th, 2018 Agenda 8:00 Departure of the buses from Aix-en-Provence to INSTN Cadarache 9:00 9:30 Registration, welcome coffee 9:30 9:45 Welcome address Chair: L.A. Dalguer o Welcome address 1 (C. Berge-Thierry on behalf of CEA) o Welcome address 2 (Y. Fukushima on behalf of IAEA) 9:45 14:00 The CEA and French Sinaps@ research project session Chairs: C. Berge-Thierry and F. Hollender 9:45 10:30 KEYNOTE The Durance Area and the Cadarache Research Center Presented by CEA o Introduction by the Head of CEA/Cadarache (research activities, nuclear facilities & safety issues) by Ch. Bonnet / D. Dall ava 15 o Geophysical & Seismotectonical regional context Focus on knowledge improvement through instrumentation effort illustration on site effects characterization by F. Hollender 15 o Nuclear facilities, civil engineering & seismic safety topics by F. Méméteau 15 o Questions/discussion 15 10:30 11:30 An innovative approach to perform seismic risk analysis of nuclear facilities through the multidisciplinary Sinaps@ research project, by C. Berge-Thierry, F. Voldoire, F. Ragueneau, F. Lopez-Caballero and A. Le Maoult [ID 10] 45 o Questions/discussion 15 11:30 12:00 KEYNOTE Conceptual framework for physics-based simulations in practical projects and interface to engineering demands, by Ph. Renault [ID 76] 12:00 13:30 - Lunch 13:30 14:00 A Practical study-case: the SINOP SSHAC by Ch. Martin, Th. Bontemps, A. Gürpinar and D. Baumont [ID 46] 14:00 17:30 Empirical Ground Motion Models and Simulations session (first part) Chairs: Y. Fukushima and G. Atkinson 14:00 14:30 KEYNOTE The interface between empirical and simulation-based ground motion models, by G. Atkinson [ID 06] 14:30 14:45 A preliminary study to investigate the regional effects on ground motion predictive models for Turkey, by G. Tanircan [ID 65] 14:45 15:00: Developing site-specific vertical ground motions for Turkey Part 1: using V/H ratio ground motion models, by Z. Gülerce [ID 27] 1

3 15:00 15:30 KEYNOTE Current status and issues of strong-motion prediction method in seismic hazard assessment for the national seismic hazard maps for Japan, by H. Fujiwara [ID 23] 15:30 15:45 Are the standard Vs30-kappa host-to-target adjustments the best way to get consistent hard-rock ground motion prediction?, by P.Y Bard [ID 08] 15:45 16:15 Coffee Break 16:15 16:45 KEYNOTE Calibrating the backbone approach for the development of earthquake ground motion models, by J. Douglas [ID 19] 16:45 17:00 The Bayesian model averaging of ground motion prediction equations, by M. Bertin [ID 11] 17:00-17:30 PANNEL DISCUSSION 17:30-18:00 Flash presentation of each Poster (1 30 / poster) 18:00 Departure of the buses from INSTN Cadarache to Aix-en-Provence Tuesday, May 15 th, :00 Departure of the buses from Aix-en-Provence to INSTN Cadarache 8:30 9:30 Empirical Ground Motion Models and Simulations session (second part) Chairs: Ch. Wu and N. Abrahamson 8:30 9:00 KEYNOTE Probabilistic hazard incorporating 3D simulations into no ergodic groundmotion models, by N. Abrahamson [ID 01] 9:00 9:15 The needs for filling the gaps in empirical data for reliable seismic hazard estimates: lessons learned from the GMPE developments, by V. Graizer [ID 26] 9:15 9:30 Uncertainty analysis relevant to the fault modeling method, by C. Wu [ID 74] 9:30 12:30 Source Characterization for ground motion prediction session Chairs: R. Archuleta and F. Cotton 9:30 10:00 KEYNOTE Earthquakes and ground-motion variabilities: evaluation and impacts on physics based ground-motions simulations and associated probabilistic seismic hazard assessments, by F. Cotton [ID 16] 10:00 10:15 Capturing the source parameters controlling the high-frequency ground motion, by R. Fayjaloun [ID 22] 10:15-10:45 Coffee Break 10:45 11:15 KEYNOTE A double-corner source spectrum for 5.3 M 7.7 that predicts PGA, PGV, duration, radiated energy and apparent stress, by R. Archuleta [ID 04] 2

4 11:15 11:45 KEYNOTE Procedure of evaluating fault parameters of subduction plate-boundary earthquakes with surface fault breakings for strong motion prediction, by K. Dan [ID 18] 11:45 12:00 Scaling laws of fault parameters of intra-slab earthquakes and strong motion simulation, by D. Ju [ID 38] 12:00 12:15 Long-term rate of earthquake ruptures in complex fault systems, by F. Visini [ID 57] 12:15 12:30 PANNEL DISCUSSION 12:30 14:00 Lunch 14:00 15:30 Poster Session 15:30 18:15: Physic based ground motion simulation session: Dynamic and Kinematic Chairs: L. A. Dalguer and H. Aochi 15:30 16:00 KEYNOTE On near-field ground motions of normal and reverse faults from viewpoint of dynamic rupture model, by H. Aochi [ID 02] 16:00 16:15 Broadband dynamic source model for the 2011 Tohoku earthquake using slip reactivation and EGF simulation, by P. Galvez-Barron [ID 24] 16:15 16:30 Parametric study of the slip distribution on the vertical strike-slip fault for different source parameters based on the dynamic rupture simulation, by H. Kawase [ID 40] 16:30 16:45 Coffee Break 16:45 17:00 Physics-based simulations of the M7 Kumamoto, japan earthquake: implication of rupture models for near-fault ground motion variability estimates, by A. Pitarka [ID 51] 17:00 17:15 Challenges for near-field ground-motion modelling using extended-fault rupture in moderate seismicity areas: model parameters and data, by A. Dujardin [ID 20] 17:15 17:30 Physically based Seismic Hazard assessment for Egypt and its implication on Critical structures, by M. Elgabry [ID 21] 17:30 18:00: PANNEL DISCUSSION 18:00 Departure of the buses from INSTN Cadarache to Social Event 19:00 Aperitif & wine tasting 19:30 22:00 Dinner 22:30 Departure of the buses from Social Event to the hotels 3

5 Wednesday, May 16 th, :00 Departure of the buses from Aix-en-Provence to INSTN Cadarache. 8:30 10:45 Fault displacement and long-period ground motion simulation session Chairs: D. Seber and M. Takao 8:30 9:00 KEYNOTE Outline of the PFDHA Method and Recent Studies on PFDHA in Japan, by M. Takao [ID 64] 9:00 9:30 KEYNOTE Estimation of surface fault displacement by high performance computing, by M. Hori [ID 31] 9:30 9:45 Asperity models to predict surface fault displacement caused by earthquakes: the 2010 Mw 7.0 Darfield (New Zealand) earthquake, by L.A. Dalguer et al. [ID 17] 9:45 10:00 Numerical simulation of M9 megathrust earthquakes in the Cascadia Subduction zone, by D. Roten [ID 56] 10:00 10:15 Scaling relationships of source parameters of inland crustal earthquakes in tectonically active regions, by K. Miyakoshi [ID 47] 10:15 10:45 PANNEL DISCUSSION 10:45 11:15 Coffee Break 11:15 12:45: Site Characterization & Response Site specific Studies session Chairs: D. Seber and R. Paolucci 11:15 11:45 KEYNOTE Analysis of the spatial correlation of earthquake ground motion from physicsbased numerical simulations, by R. Paolucci [ID 49] 11:30 11:45 The Argostoli test-site: a tool for simulation validation and for a better understanding of phenomena involved in seismic hazard assessment, by F. Hollender [ID 30] 11:45 12:00 Argostoli site, from site test to numerical model: a holistic approach, by S. Touhami [ID 68] 12:00 12:15 Broad-band 3-D physics-based simulation of earthquake-induced wave-field at the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear power plant (Japan): an all-embracing source-to-site approach, by F. Gatti [ID 25] 12:15 12:45 PANNEL DISCUSSION 12:45 14:00 - Lunch 4

6 14:00 18:15 Engineering needs, Soil-Structure Interaction, Structural & components vulnerabilities & Risk assessment session Chairs: Ph. Renault and P. Labbé 14:00 14:30 KEYNOTE Interface between earthquake ground motions and structural response: numerical modeling and simulation of ESSI behavior, by B. Jeremic [ID 37] 14:30 14:45 From seismic sources to engineering demand parameters: an interdisciplinary framework for estimation of seismic losses in urban regions, by A. Askan [ID 05] 14:45 15:00 New advances in the seismic analysis of nuclear structures and equipment from the project, by F. Voldoire [ID 72] 15:00 15:15 Multi-level modelling approach of structures under earthquake loading: contributions from the project, by F. Ragueneau [ID 53] 15:15 15:30 Nonlinear behaviors and structural damping identification in reinforced concrete elements, by C. Giry [ID 28] 15:30 15:45 Shake table test of large scale structures subject to pounding, by V. Crozet [ID 42] 15:45 16:15 Coffee break 16:15 16:30 Progress in the understanding and modelling of components that could drive the overall fragility of a nuclear power plant, by M.C. Robin-Boudaoud [ID 54] 16:30 16:45 Framework for non-structural component fragility curve estimation using synthetic ground motions with conditional spectra, by K. Trevlopoulos [ID 69] 16:45 17:00 Equipment s seismic fragility curve estimation using signals generated with GMPEs Case study on the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa power plant, by F. Wang [ID 73] 17:00 17:30 KEYNOTE Should we go ahead with the response spectrum?, by P. Labbé [ID 78] 17:30 18:00 PANNEL DISCUSSION 18:00 18:15 Final conclusion and Closure 18:30 Departure of the buses from INSTN Cadarache 5

7 Poster session Seismicity, geological structure, source scaling and seismic hazard assessment 1. Biased and Genuine Influences of the Climatic Cycles on the Crustal Deformation and Seismicity Part 1 by L. Bollinger, T. J. Craig, E. Calais, L. Fleitout and O. Scotti [ID 12a] 2. Biased and Genuine Influences of the Climatic Cycles on the Crustal Deformation and Seismicity Part 2 by P. Bertran, M. Font, A. Giret, K. Manchuel and D. Sicilia [ID 12b] 3. Improving the characterization of small and intermediate earthquakes through the French metropolitan territory for future physic-based rupture models Part 1 by A. Turquet, T. Bodin, P. Arroucau, M. Sylvander, K. Manchuel [ID 71a] 4. Improving the characterization of small and intermediate earthquakes through the French metropolitan territory for future physic-based rupture models Part 2 L. Bollinger, D. Do Paco, A. Trilla [ID 71b] 5. Geographical variation and mean return periods calculation of the seismicity in the western edge from South America by A. Mercado and H. Tavera [ID 81] 6. Development and operation of seismic observation system in deep borehole by Y. Mamada, G. Kobayashi, S. Wada, K. Arai, K. Fujii and M. Sakurai [ID 45] 7. A Regulatory Overview of Seismic Characteristics at the Slovenian NPP Site by T. Bajcar [ID 79] 8. Seismic Attenuation at Depth: LSST Array, Hualien, Taiwan by B. Hernandez, J. Albaric and Y. Fukushima [ID 29] 9. Construction of a High-Resolution 3-Dimensional S-wave Velocity Structure Model Based on Joint Inversion Method Integrating Various Kinds of Geological and Geophysical Data by G. Kobayashi and Y. Mamada [ID 41] 10. Recent studies on the Diendorf-Boskovice fault in the Czech Republic by I. Prachar and P. Spacek [ID 52] 11. Cancelled 12. Earthquake cycle modelling of multi-segmented faults: dynamic rupture and ground motion simulation of the 1992 Mw 7.3 Landers earthquake by P. Galvez, P. Somerville A. Petukhin and J.P. Ampuero [ID 50] 13. Cancelled 14. Precariously balanced rocks as indicators of seismic hazard by J. Málek, E. Zábranová, M. Coubal and and J. Stemberk [ID 44] 15. Re-evaluation of seismicity hazard at Olkiluoto and Lovilsa NPP sites by T. Leppanen and P. E. J. Varpasuo [ID 84] 16. The use of stochastic slip models in Probabilistic Tsunami and Displacement Hazard Analysis by H. K. Thio [ID 66] Source and Site Studies 17. Correlation of earthquake source parameters by M.Causse, A. Chounet, R. Fayjaloun, S.G. Song, M. Vallee, C. Voisin and C. Cornou [ID 15] 18. Gutenberg-Richter s b-value and earthquake asperity models by P. Senatorski [ID 58] 19. Performance of various site-condition proxies in reducing ground-motion aleatory variability and assessing Nonlinear Behavior of Soils by J. Régnier, B. Derras, H. Cadet and P.-Y. Bard [ID 09] 20. Soil amplification using site specific properties and comparison with empirical soil amplification using ground motion prediction equations by V. K. Mishra [ID 82] 21. Different measures of ground motion duration: implications for evaluating site-effects and generating adjustable response spectra by S. S. Bora, P. Bergamo and D. Fäh [ID 14] 6

8 22. GITEC project: an international benchmark to improve generalized spectral inversion techniques by H. Shible, D. Bindi, P. Gueguen, F. Hollender and P. Traversa [ID 59] Ground Motion Models and Fault Displacement 23. Broadband ground motion simulation within the city of Duzce (Turkey) and building response simulation by S. Karimzadeh, E. Ozlu and A. Askan [ID 39] 24. Broadband (0-10 Hz) Fully Deterministic Three-Dimensional High-Performance Computing Simulations of Large Earthquake (MW ) Ground Motions for Generic Strike-Slip Faults and the Hayward Fault, Northern California by A. Rodgers, A. Pitarka, N. Anders Petersson and D. McCallen [ID 55] 25. Simulation of Strong Ground Motions for M9 Megathrust Earthquake using M7 Class earthquake records as Modified Empirical Green s Functions by H. J. Si and K. Irikura [ID 60] 26. Cancelled 27. Mechanisms of near-source strong ground motion generations in Hz during the 2016 Kumamoto, Japan, earthquakes by K. Somei, K. Miyakoshi, K. Yoshida, S. Kurahashi and K. Irikura [ID 62] 28. Dynamic Rupture Simulations to Investigate the Behavior of the M7-M8 Class Earthquakes Deduced from the Tohoku Earthquake by K. Tsuda, A. Samaneh, S. Ogawa, T. Watanabe, J. Miyakoshi, S. Iwase, T.Sasaki, S. Harada and J.P. Ampuero [ID 70] 29. The new BBToolbox v2.0: a revised tool to compute hybrid synthetic seismograms by W. Imperatori [ID 34] 30. Evaluation of off-fault displacements during 2016 Kumamoto earthquake by N. Inoue, N. Kitada, N. Shibuya, M. Omata, M. Tonagi, T. Takahama and K. Irikura [ID 35] Engineering Issues 31. EXAMIN: Development of an integrated approach for seismic risk and loss assessment based on physics-based wave propagation simulation accounting for local and regional variability by I. Zentner, F. De Martin, C. Cornou, P. Gehl, P. Sochala, A. Imtiaz, K. Meza-Fajardo, E. Chaljub, G. Devesa, G. Senfaute, B. Guillier, M. Wathelet, V. Alves-Fernandes and E. Maufroy [ID 75] 32. Cancelled 33. Seismic Performance of Spent Fuel Pool For Reactor Triga Puspati by A. R. Norazumin [ID 48] 34. Implementation of structural health monitoring system in essential infrastructure in Lima city by M. Diaz Figueroa and C. Zavala [ID 80] 35. Seismic PSA level 1 at unit operation in power mode for Armenia NPP by S. Sargsyan [ID 83] 7

9 Thursday May, 17th, 2018 TECHNICAL TOURS (optional) 8:00 Departure of the buses from Aix-en-Provence to Château de Cadarache 9:15-12:30 Technical Tours: The Jules Horowitz Reactor and the Cadarache Research and Nuclear Center. The Jules Horowitz Reactor (JHR) is an experimental reactor designed to provide scientific data on the behavior of nuclear materials and fuels under irradiation, in support of both existing and future nuclear reactors. The JHR will also be used for nuclear medicine needs, for it will provide 25% to 50% of the European Union s annual needs in short-lived radioisotopes. Its commissioning is scheduled for Or 12:30-14:00 Lunch at Espace Club In CEA Cadarache Center ITER and the Cadarache Research and Nuclear Center. ITER is a magnetic fusion device that has been designed to prove the feasibility of fusion as a large-scale and carbon-free source of energy based on the same principle that powers our Sun and stars. The experimental campaign that will be carried out at ITER is crucial to advancing fusion science and preparing the way for the fusion power plants of tomorrow. 14:30 Departure of the buses from Château de Cadarache to Aix-en-Provence, Aix TGV, Marseille Provence Airport 8

10 BUS STOPS AND SCHEDULES Warning: THE HOURS INDICATE THE DEPARTURE TIME OF THE BUSES, BE AT LEAST 10 min in advance at the BUS stop. FROM AIX-EN-PROVENCE TO INSTN CADARACHE Bus Stops Address/ Details Monday, May 14 Tuesday, May 15 Wednesday, May 16 Thursday, May Max Juvénal Avenue Max Juvénal 7:50 a.m. 7:00 a.m. 7:00 a.m. 7:50 a.m. in front of the police station 2. Grand Hôtel Roi 24 Boulevard du Roi 8:00 a.m. 7:10 a.m. 7:10 a.m. 8:00 a.m. René René 3. Saint Joseph School and College 16 Cours Saint-Louis 8:10 a.m. 7:20 a.m. 7:20 a.m. 8:10 a.m. FROM MANOSQUE TO INSTN CADARACHE Bus Stops Address/ Details Monday, May 14 Tuesday, May 15 Wednesday, May 16 Thursday, May Bus Station Boulevard Charles de 8:15 a.m. 7:45 a.m. 7:45 a.m. 8:15 a.m. Gaulle 2. Train Station Place Frédéric Mistral 8:20 a.m. 7:50 a.m. 7:50 a.m. 8:20 a.m. 3. Ibis Budget Peage A51, Les 8:30 a.m. 8:00 a.m. 8:00 a.m. 8:30 a.m. Hotel Grandes Terres FROM INSTN CADARACHE Destination To Aix-en-Provence (same stops as the morning) To Manosque (same stops as the morning) To Gala Evening To : 1. Max Juvénal, Aix-en-Provence 2. Train Station Aix-TGV 3. and Marseille Provence Airport Monday, Tuesday, May 14 May 15 18:00 p.m. 18:00 p.m. Wednesday, May 16 18:00 p.m. 18:30 p.m. 18:00 p.m. Thursday, May 17 18:30 p.m. 14:30 p.m. And 17:00 p.m. After the gala evening, a bus will bring the participants to Aix en Provence and another will serve the castle of Cadarache and Manosque TAXI AGENCIES: VVP Taxi Provence: Taxis en Provence: contact@taxienprovence.com - Les Taxis du Puy:

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