Impacts of historical ozone changes on climate in GFDL-CM3
|
|
|
- Geoffrey Fletcher
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Impacts of historical ozone changes on climate in GFDL-CM3 Larry Horowitz (GFDL) with: Vaishali Naik (GFDL), Pu Lin (CICS), and M. Daniel Schwarzkopf (GFDL)
2 WMO (2014) Figure ADM 5-1 1
3 Response of tropospheric climate to historical ozone and WMGHG changes Temperature (DJF) Zonal Wind (DJF) Strong polar stratospheric cooling Midlatitude jet shifts poleward Relative contributions of ozone and WMGHG? Polvani et al. (2011) 2
4 Ozone changes dominate temperature response Ozone only WMGHG only Ozone+WMGHG Polvani et al. (2011) 3
5 Ozone changes dominate jet shift Ozone only WMGHG only Ozone+WMGHG Polvani et al. (2011) 4
6 CM3 Coupled Climate Model AM3 Atmospheric Model Donner et al. (2011) Austin et al. (2013) Naik et al. (2013) Designed to address: Chemistry-climate feedbacks Stratospheretroposphere chemical and dynamical coupling (high model top) Aerosol-cloud interactions Cubed sphere dynamical core Putman and Lin (2007) 5
7 Latitude Stratospheric ozone distributions and trends are generally well simulated Ozone Column Development of Antarctic Ozone Hole N S TOMS 290 DU GFDL-CM3 N S GFDL-CM3 305 DU DU IGAC/SPARC * + OBS CMIP5 models Eyring et al., JGR (2013) 6
8 Stratospheric ozone and temperature respond strongly to volcanic eruptions Ozone Column Temperature Krakatau (1883) Santa Maria (1902) Agung (1963) El Chichón (1982) Pinatubo (1991) Low chlorine High chlorine Sign of ozone response to volcanic aerosols depends on atmospheric chlorine loading Post-volcanic warming and long-term cooling in stratosphere are well simulated by CM3 Austin et al., J.Clim. (2013); WMO (2014) 7
9 CM3 Historical Simulations (All Forcings) Temperature (DJF) Zonal Wind (DJF) Colored contours show difference present-day ( ) minus 1950s ( ) Relative contributions of ozone and WMGHG? 8
10 Ozone mixing ratio in CM3 (SON) SPARC Dataset (OBS) All Forcings Historical changes in ozone well-simulated by CM3
11 Ozone mixing ratio in CM3 (SON) Ozone only WMGHG only All Forcings Ozone only experiment includes changes in ODS concentrations and uses background (1860) volcanic aerosols
12 Zonal winds in CM3 (DJF) Ozone only WMGHG only All Forcings Circulation shifts more strongly in response to historical ozone depletion than to WMGHG increase 13
13 Surface winds in CM3 (DJF) Ozone only WMGHG only All Forcings Poleward shift in surface winds in response to both ozone depletion and WMGHG increase (non-linear) 14
14 Sea ice in CM3 (DJF) Ozone only WMGHG only All Forcings Stronger response of sea ice to ozone than to WMGHG 15
15 Sensitivity to model configuration Zonal winds (DJF) AM3 (48L) AM4 (63L) AM4 (32L) Atmosphere-only simulations with prescribed ozone change (2000 minus 1960) Weaker tropospheric jet response in AM4 32L 17
16 Sensitivity to model configuration Surface winds (DJF) AM3 (48L) AM4 (63L) AM4 (32L) Atmosphere-only simulations with prescribed ozone change (2000 minus 1960) Weaker surface wind shift in AM4 32L 18
17 Effective Radiative Forcing from Ozone Cloud Radiative Forcing at TOA (DJF) Compare response in CM3 Grise et al. (2013) 19
18 Effective Radiative Forcing from Ozone Net Clear-Sky Shortwave Flux at TOA (annual) AM3 (48L) AM4 (63L) AM4 (32L) Simulations with prescribed ozone change (2000 minus 1960) Strong clear-sky SW cooling over pole 20
19 Effective Radiative Forcing from Ozone Net Shortwave Flux at TOA (annual) AM3 (48L) AM4 (63L) AM4 (32L) Simulations with prescribed ozone change (2000 minus 1960) Strong cooling over pole, partially offset by SW mid-lat cloud warming 21
20 Effective Radiative Forcing from Ozone Net Radiative Flux at TOA (annual) AM3 (48L) AM4 (63L) AM4 (32L) Simulations with prescribed ozone change (2000 minus 1960) LW warming damps SW radiative effect 22
21 Conclusions Strong poleward shift of SH summer jet in response to ozone depletion in GFDL-CM3 Surface wind shift and intensification sensitive to model configuration (vertical resolution) Shortwave (direct+indirect) forcing damped by long-wave Sea ice decreases more strongly in response to historical ozone depletion than to WMGHG increase Caveat: Only one ensemble member (CM3 coupled runs) Only one model 23
Wrap up of TOPIC # 13 NATURAL CLIMATIC FORCING: Volcanic Eruptions (pp 71-74)
Wrap up of TOPIC # 13 NATURAL CLIMATIC FORCING: Volcanic Eruptions (pp 71-74) How the Climatic Effect Occurs.... through the ENERGY BALANCE of course! p 71 Mt Merapi Latitude: 7 32'30"S Indonesia's Mount
FORCING ANTHROPOGENIC
NATURAL CLIMATIC FORCING Earth-Sun orbital relationships, changing landsea distribution (due to plate tectonics), solar variability & VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS vs. ANTHROPOGENIC FORCING Human-Enhanced GH Effect,
NATURAL CLIMATIC FORCING Part II
TOPIC #12 NATURAL CLIMATIC FORCING Part II (p 72 in Class Notes) Today we will focus on the third main driver of NATURAL CLIMATIC FORCING: 1) ATRONOMICAL FORCING 2) SOLAR FORCING 3) VOLCANIC FORCING VOLCANIC
WACCM: The High-Top Model
WACCM: The High-Top Model WACCM top Michael Mills CAM top WACCM Liaison mmills@ucar.edu (303) 497-1425 http://bb.cgd.ucar.edu/ 40 km Ozone Layer Jarvis, Bridging the Atmospheric Divide, Science, 293, 2218,
Effect of zonal asymmetries in stratospheric ozone on simulated Southern Hemisphere climate trends
Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 36, L18701, doi:10.1029/2009gl040419, 2009 Effect of zonal asymmetries in stratospheric ozone on simulated Southern Hemisphere climate trends
Fast and Slow Response of Sea ice and the Southern Ocean to Ozone Depletion
Fast and Slow Response of Sea ice and the Southern Ocean to Ozone Depletion Annual Minimum Sea ice extent 1979-2013 10 6 km 2 Arctic September Antarctic February Data from in passive microwave satellite
The ozone hole indirect effect: Cloud-radiative anomalies accompanying the poleward shift of the eddy-driven jet in the Southern Hemisphere
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 4, 388 392, doi:1.12/grl.575, 213 The ozone hole indirect effect: Cloud-radiative anomalies accompanying the poleward shift of the eddy-driven jet in the Southern Hemisphere
WACCM: The High-Top Model
WACCM: The High-Top Model WACCM top Michael Mills CAM top WACCM Liaison mmills@ucar.edu (303) 497-1425 http://bb.cgd.ucar.edu/ 40 km Ozone Layer Jarvis, Bridging the Atmospheric Divide, Science, 293, 2218,
Global Response to the Major Volcanic Eruptions in 9 Reanalysis Datasets
Global Response to the Major Volcanic Eruptions in 9 Reanalysis Datasets Masatomo Fujiwara and Takashi Hibino (Hokkaido Univ., Japan) Sanjay Kumar Mehta (Kyoto Univ., Japan) Lesley Gray, Daniel Mitchell,
Math, Models, and Climate Change How shaving cream moved a jet stream, and how mathematics can help us better understand why
Math, Models, and Climate Change How shaving cream moved a jet stream, and how mathematics can help us better understand why Edwin P. Gerber Center for Atmosphere and Ocean Science Courant Institute of
Future climate change in the Southern Hemisphere: Competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 38,, doi:10.1029/2010gl045384, 2011 Future climate change in the Southern Hemisphere: Competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases J. M. Arblaster, 1,2,3 G. A. Meehl,
Climate Feedbacks from ERBE Data
Climate Feedbacks from ERBE Data Why Is Lindzen and Choi (2009) Criticized? Zhiyu Wang Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Utah March 9, 2010 / Earth Climate System Outline 1 Introduction
Patterns and impacts of ocean warming and heat uptake
Patterns and impacts of ocean warming and heat uptake Shang-Ping Xie Scripps Inst of Oceanography, UCSD Ocean warming & circulation change Ocean heat uptake & meridional overturning circulation Global
Temperature extremes in the United States: Quantifying the response to aerosols and greenhouse gases with implications for the warming hole
Temperature extremes in the United States: Quantifying the response to aerosols and greenhouse gases with implications for the warming hole Nora Mascioli, Arlene Fiore, Michael Previdi, Gustavo Correa
Climate Change and Variability in the Southern Hemisphere: An Atmospheric Dynamics Perspective
Climate Change and Variability in the Southern Hemisphere: An Atmospheric Dynamics Perspective Edwin P. Gerber Center for Atmosphere Ocean Science Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences New York University
Schematic from Vallis: Rossby waves and the jet
Schematic from Vallis: Rossby waves and the jet Schematic from Vallis: Rossby waves and the jet A Barotropic Model Stochastic stirring + linear damping Force barotropic vort. eqn. with white noise in storm
Impact of wind changes in the upper troposphere lower stratosphere on tropical ozone
Impact of wind changes in the upper troposphere lower stratosphere on tropical ozone Martin Dameris Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR) Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen
Laura Revell, Andrea Stenke, Beiping Luo, Stefanie Kremser, Eugene Rozanov, Timofei Sukhodolov and Thomas Peter
Impacts of Mt. Pinatubo volcanic aerosol on the tropical stratosphere in chemistry-climate model simulations using CCMI and CMIP6 stratospheric aerosol data Laura Revell, Andrea Stenke, Beiping Luo, Stefanie
Thursday Nov 6 th SIT WITH YOUR GROUP TODAY Topic # 11 Natural Climatic Forcing Part II ANNOUNCEMENTS
Thursday Nov 6 th SIT WITH YOUR GROUP TODAY Topic # 11 Natural Climatic Forcing Part II ANNOUNCEMENTS NO CLASS next Tuesday Nov 11 (Veteran s Day) but don t forget that RQ-7 is DUE before Midnight that
CESM1-WACCM: Comparison with CCSM4/ CESM CMIP5 simulations
CESM1-WACCM: Comparison with CCSM4/ CESM CMIP5 simulations Dan Marsh, Mike Mills, Natalia Calvo, Marika Holland, Cécile Hannay WAWG meeting, Boulder, February 2011 NCAR is sponsored by the National Science
Linkages between Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude
Linkages between Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude weather patterns Response of the wintertime atmospheric circulation to current and projected Arctic sea ice decline Gudrun Magnusdottir and Yannick
Dynamical Impacts of Antarctic Stratospheric Ozone Depletion on the Extratropical Circulation of the Southern Hemisphere
Dynamical Impacts of Antarctic Stratospheric Ozone Depletion on the Extratropical Circulation of the Southern Hemisphere Kevin M. Grise David W.J. Thompson Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State
Impact of Solar and Sulfate Geoengineering on Surface Ozone
Impact of Solar and Sulfate Geoengineering on Surface Ozone Lili Xia 1, Peer J. Nowack 2, Simone Tilmes 3 and Alan Robock 1 1 Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ
Extremely cold and persistent stratospheric Arctic vortex in the winter of
Article Atmospheric Science September 2013 Vol.58 No.25: 3155 3160 doi: 10.1007/s11434-013-5945-5 Extremely cold and persistent stratospheric Arctic vortex in the winter of 2010 2011 HU YongYun 1* & XIA
Interpreting recent Southern Ocean climate trends. John Marshall, MIT
Interpreting recent Southern Ocean climate trends John Marshall, MIT Interpreting recent Southern Ocean climate trends John Marshall, MIT 1. Observed trends in SST, sea-ice extent, ocean heat content etc
Extratropical and Polar Cloud Systems
Extratropical and Polar Cloud Systems Gunilla Svensson Department of Meteorology & Bolin Centre for Climate Research George Tselioudis Extratropical and Polar Cloud Systems Lecture 1 Extratropical cyclones
Effects of Large Volcanic Eruptions on Global Summer Climate and East Asian Monsoon Changes
The image cannot be displayed. Your computer may not have enough memory to open the image, or the image may have been corrupted. Restart your computer, and then open the file again. If the red x still
High-Resolution MPAS Simulations for Analysis of Climate Change Effects on Weather Extremes
High-Resolution MPAS Simulations for Analysis of Climate Change Effects on Weather Extremes ALLISON MICHAELIS, GARY LACKMANN, & WALT ROBINSON Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North
SC-WACCM! and! Problems with Specifying the Ozone Hole
SC-WACCM! and! Problems with Specifying the Ozone Hole R. Neely III, K. Smith2, D. Marsh,L. Polvani2 NCAR, 2Columbia Thanks to: Mike Mills, Francis Vitt and Sean Santos Motivation To design a stratosphere-resolving
The Stratospheric Link Between the Sun and Climate
The Stratospheric Link Between the Sun and Climate The Stratospheric Link Between the Sun and Climate Mark P. Baldwin Northwest Research Associates, USA SORCE, 27 October 2004 Overview Climatology of the
ATMS 321: Sci. of Climate Final Examination Study Guide Page 1 of 4
ATMS 321: Sci. of Climate Final Examination Study Guide Page 1 of 4 Atmospheric Sciences 321: Final Examination Study Guide The final examination will consist of similar questions Science of Climate Multiple
Mechanisms of Forced Arctic Oscillation Response to Volcanic Eruptions
Mechanisms of Forced Arctic Oscillation Response to Volcanic Eruptions Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey USA robock@envsci.rutgers.edu http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~robock Collaborators Georgiy
Seasonality of the Jet Response to Arctic Warming
Seasonality of the Jet Response to Arctic Warming Bryn Ronalds Adv: Elizabeth Barnes CVCWG Meeting: March 2, 27 The story: Midlatitude jets are fundamental to weather and climate It is generally agreed
Do large tropical volcanic eruptions influence the Southern Annular Mode?
SPARC GA, Queenstown, NZ, January 14, 2014 Do large tropical volcanic eruptions influence the Southern Annular Mode? Kirstin Krüger 1,2, Matt Toohey 2, Doreen Metzner 2,3 ( 1 UiO, Oslo, Norway; 2 GEOMAR,
A distinct stronger warming in the tropical tropopause layer during using GPS radio occultation: Association with minor volcanic eruptions
A distinct stronger warming in the tropical tropopause layer during 2001-2010 using GPS radio occultation: Association with minor volcanic eruptions Sanjay Kumar Mehta 1*, Masatomo Fujiwara 2, and Toshitaka
The Climate in a World without Ozone
The Climate in a World without Ozone Frank Selten, Richard Bintanja, Dewi Le Bars, Hylke de Vries, Michiel van Weele (KNMI) Aarnout van Delden (Univ. Utrecht) QOS 2016, 5-9 September 2016, Edinburgh Study
The Impact of Polar Stratospheric Ozone Loss on Southern Hemisphere Stratospheric Circulation and Surface Climate
The Impact of Polar Stratospheric Ozone Loss on Southern Hemisphere Stratospheric Circulation and Surface Climate James Keeble, Peter Braesicke, Howard Roscoe and John Pyle James.keeble@atm.ch.cam.ac.uk
Schema8c Global Climate Model
Schema8c Global Climate Model Horizontal Grid (Latitude-Longitude) Vertical Grid (Height or Pressure) NOAA/ GFDL s CLIMATE and EARTH SYSTEM MODELING Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Understanding
Supplemental Material for Transient climate impacts for scenarios of aerosol emissions from Asia: a story of coal versus gas
Supplemental Material for Transient climate impacts for scenarios of aerosol emissions from Asia: a story of coal versus gas B. S. Grandey, H. Cheng, and C. Wang December 22, 2015 List of Tables 1 Annual
Tropical Pacific modula;ons of global climate
Tropical Pacific modula;ons of global climate Shang- Ping Xie 1 & Yu Kosaka 2 1 Scripps Inst of Oceanogr, UCSD; 2 Univ of Tokyo Develop seasonal and spa
A perturbed physics ensemble climate modeling. requirements of energy and water cycle. Yong Hu and Bruce Wielicki
A perturbed physics ensemble climate modeling study for defining satellite measurement requirements of energy and water cycle Yong Hu and Bruce Wielicki Motivation 1. Uncertainty of climate sensitivity
Lecture 7: Natural Climate Change. Instructor: Prof. Johnny Luo.
Lecture 7: Natural Climate Change Instructor: Prof. Johnny Luo http://www.sci.ccny.cuny.edu/~luo Final Exam: May 23 1-3:15pm at MR O44 Outlines (Chapter 11, Edition 1) 1. Variation in solar luminosity
The early 20th century warming in the Arctic A possible mechanism
The early 20th century warming in the Arctic A possible mechanism Lennart Bengtsson Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany ESSC, University of Reading, UK Thanks to Vladimir Semenov and
Drivers of the recent tropical expansion in the Southern Hemisphere: Changing. SSTs or ozone depletion? Darryn W. Waugh *
1 2 Drivers of the recent tropical expansion in the Southern Hemisphere: Changing SSTs or ozone depletion? 3 4 Darryn W. Waugh * 5 6 Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University,
Separating the dynamical effects of climate change and ozone depletion. Part I: Southern Hemisphere stratosphere
Separating the dynamical effects of climate change and ozone depletion. Part I: Southern Hemisphere stratosphere Article Published Version McLandress, C., Jonsson, A. I., Plummer, D. A., Reader, M. C.,
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) Simulations of Climate Following Volcanic Eruptions
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL.???, XXXX, DOI:10.1029/, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) Simulations of Climate Following Volcanic Eruptions Simon Driscoll, 1 Alessio Bozzo, 2,3,6
Influence of Clouds and Aerosols on the Earth s Radiation Budget Using Clouds and the Earth s Radiant Energy System (CERES) Measurements
Influence of Clouds and Aerosols on the Earth s Radiation Budget Using Clouds and the Earth s Radiant Energy System (CERES) Measurements Norman G. Loeb Hampton University/NASA Langley Research Center Bruce
Stratospheric Influence on Polar Climate. Paul Kushner, Dept. of Physics, University of Toronto
Stratospheric Influence on Polar Climate Paul Kushner, Dept. of Physics, University of Toronto Aims for Today 1. Discuss different types of stratospheric influence. 2. Describe some dynamical aspects.
CLIMATE AND CLIMATE CHANGE MIDTERM EXAM ATM S 211 FEB 9TH 2012 V1
CLIMATE AND CLIMATE CHANGE MIDTERM EXAM ATM S 211 FEB 9TH 2012 V1 Name: Student ID: Please answer the following questions on your Scantron Multiple Choice [1 point each] (1) The gases that contribute to
An Interconnected Planet
An Interconnected Planet How Clouds, Aerosols, and the Ocean Cause Distant Rainfall Anomalies Dargan M. W. Frierson University of Washington CESM Workshop, 6-15-15 New Connections Recent research has uncovered
ATMS 321: Natural Climate Variability Chapter 11
ATMS 321: Natural Climate Variability Chapter 11 Solar Variability: Total solar irradiance variability is relatively small about a tenth of a percent. Ultraviolet variability is larger, and so could affect
Introduction to Climate ~ Part I ~
2015/11/16 TCC Seminar JMA Introduction to Climate ~ Part I ~ Shuhei MAEDA (MRI/JMA) Climate Research Department Meteorological Research Institute (MRI/JMA) 1 Outline of the lecture 1. Climate System (
2. Meridional atmospheric structure; heat and water transport. Recall that the most primitive equilibrium climate model can be written
2. Meridional atmospheric structure; heat and water transport The equator-to-pole temperature difference DT was stronger during the last glacial maximum, with polar temperatures down by at least twice
1. Deglacial climate changes
Review 3 Major Topics Deglacial climate changes (last 21,000 years) Millennial oscillations (thousands of years) Historical Climate Change (last 1000 years) Climate Changes Since the 1800s Climate Change
Lecture 9: Climate Sensitivity and Feedback Mechanisms
Lecture 9: Climate Sensitivity and Feedback Mechanisms Basic radiative feedbacks (Plank, Water Vapor, Lapse-Rate Feedbacks) Ice albedo & Vegetation-Climate feedback Cloud feedback Biogeochemical feedbacks
Atmospheric Sciences 321. Science of Climate. Lecture 20: More Ocean: Chapter 7
Atmospheric Sciences 321 Science of Climate Lecture 20: More Ocean: Chapter 7 Community Business Quiz discussion Next Topic will be Chapter 8, Natural Climate variability in the instrumental record. Homework
The Oceans in a Warming World
The Oceans in a Warming World John Marshall Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences 1. Review global observations of warming trends. Ocean temperature trends key part of the puzzle. 2. Discuss timing
warmest (coldest) temperatures at summer heat dispersed upward by vertical motion Prof. Jin-Yi Yu ESS200A heated by solar radiation at the base
Pole Eq Lecture 3: ATMOSPHERE (Outline) JS JP Hadley Cell Ferrel Cell Polar Cell (driven by eddies) L H L H Basic Structures and Dynamics General Circulation in the Troposphere General Circulation in the
the 2 past three decades
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2840 Atlantic-induced 1 pan-tropical climate change over the 2 past three decades 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 POP simulation forced by the Atlantic-induced atmospheric
The scientific basis for climate change projections: History, Status, Unsolved problems
The scientific basis for climate change projections: History, Status, Unsolved problems Isaac Held, Princeton, Feb 2008 Katrina-like storm spontaneously generated in atmospheric model Regions projected
Global Warming and Climate Change Part I: Ozone Depletion
GCOE-ARS : November 18, 2010 Global Warming and Climate Change Part I: Ozone Depletion YODEN Shigeo Department of Geophysics, Kyoto University 1. Stratospheric Ozone and History of the Earth 2. Observations
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations of climate following volcanic eruptions
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 117,, doi:10.1029/2012jd017607, 2012 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations of climate following volcanic eruptions Simon Driscoll, 1 Alessio
Lecture 10: Climate Sensitivity and Feedback
Lecture 10: Climate Sensitivity and Feedback Human Activities Climate Sensitivity Climate Feedback 1 Climate Sensitivity and Feedback (from Earth s Climate: Past and Future) 2 Definition and Mathematic
Short-Term Climate Variability (Ch.15) Volcanos and Climate Other Causes of Holocene Climate Change
Short-Term Climate Variability (Ch.15) Volcanos and Climate Other Causes of Holocene Climate Change Volcanos and Climate We learned in Chapter 12 that the volanos play an important role in Earth s climate
Imperial College London
Solar Influence on Stratosphere-Troposphere Dynamical Coupling Isla Simpson, Joanna D. Haigh, Space and Atmospheric Physics, Imperial College London Mike Blackburn, Department of Meteorology, University
IPCC Chapter 12: Long- term climate change: projections, commitments and irreversibility
GEF4400 The Earth System Autumn 2015 23.11.2015 IPCC Chapter 12: Long- term climate change: projections, commitments and irreversibility Introduction and Background (from Chapter 10 and 11) Climate Model
WCRP Grand Challenge Workshop: Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity
WCRP Grand Challenge Workshop: Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity Schloss Ringberg, 3700 Rottach-Egern, Germany March 24-28, 2014 This work was performed under the auspices of the U.S. Department
Reconciling the Observed and Modeled Southern Hemisphere Circulation Response to Volcanic Eruptions Supplemental Material
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL.???, XXXX, DOI:10.1002/, 1 2 3 Reconciling the Observed and Modeled Southern Hemisphere Circulation Response to Volcanic Eruptions Supplemental Material Marie C. McGraw
Bavarian Riots, 1819
Bavarian Riots, 1819 A Future Year Without A Summer J. Fasullo, NCAR B. Otto-Bliesner, E. Brady, S. Stevenson, R. Tomas, and E. Wahl (NOAA) Outline / Science Questions The 1815 Eruption of Mt Tambora What
J. Fasullo, R.S. Nerem, and B. Hamlington NCAR / University of Colorado. Fasullo: Is Detection of Accelerated Sea Level Rise Imminent?
Is the Detection of Accelerated Sea Level Rise Imminent? J. Fasullo, R.S. Nerem, and B. Hamlington NCAR / University of Colorado Fasullo: Is Detection of Accelerated Sea Level Rise Imminent? Climate Variability
Meridional structure of the downwelling branch of the BDC Susann Tegtmeier
Meridional structure of the downwelling branch of the BDC Susann Tegtmeier Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR), Germany SPARC Brewer-Dobson Circulation Workshop, Grindelwald, June 2012 no
Simulation and Causes of Eastern Antarctica Surface Cooling Related to Ozone Depletion during Austral Summer in FGOALS-s2
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, VOL. 31, SEPTEMBER 2014, 1147 1156 Simulation and Causes of Eastern Antarctica Surface Cooling Related to Ozone Depletion during Austral Summer in FGOALS-s2 YANG Jing
Changing Width of Tropical Belt WG Update. Qiang Fu Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Washington
Changing Width of Tropical Belt WG Update Qiang Fu Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Washington v Motivation v Implication v WG Plan v Motivation Tropical width Tropical boundaries are defined
Climate Variability Natural and Anthropogenic
Climate Variability Natural and Anthropogenic Jim Renwick NIWA Climate Research j.renwick@niwa.co.nz Climate equilibrium and climate forcings Natural forcings Anthropogenic forcings Feedbacks Natural variability
Dynamical Changes in the Arctic and Antarctic Stratosphere During Spring
Dynamical Changes in the Arctic and Antarctic Stratosphere During Spring U. Langematz and M. Kunze Abstract Short- and long-term changes in the intensity and persistence of the Arctic and Antarctic stratospheric
Climate Throughout Geologic Time Has Been Controlled Primarily by the Balance Between
Climate Throughout Geologic Time Has Been Controlled Primarily by the Balance Between Cooling Caused by Major Explosive Eruptions of Evolved Magmas Typical of Island Arcs and Warming Caused by Voluminous
Centennial-scale Climate Change from Decadally-paced Explosive Volcanism
Centennial-scale Climate Change from Decadally-paced Explosive Volcanism Yafang Zhong and Gifford Miller INSTAAR, University of Colorado at Boulder, USA Bette Otto-Bliesner, Caspar Ammann, Marika Holland,
Arctic Oscillation response to the 1991 Mount Pinatubo eruption: Effects of volcanic aerosols and ozone depletion
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 107, NO. D24, 4803, doi:10.1029/2002jd002090, 2002 Arctic Oscillation response to the 1991 Mount Pinatubo eruption: Effects of volcanic aerosols and ozone depletion
Arctic Oscillation Response to Volcanic Eruptions in the IPCC AR4 Climate Models
Arctic Oscillation Response to Volcanic Eruptions in the IPCC AR4 Climate Models Georgiy Stenchikov 1, Kevin Hamilton 2, Ronald J. Stouffer 3, Alan Robock 1, V. Ramaswamy 3, Ben Santer 4, and Hans-F. Graf
Stratospheric ozone and Southern Hemisphere climate change: Impacts and robustness in CMIP5 models
Stratospheric ozone and Southern Hemisphere climate change: Impacts and robustness in CMIP5 models Helen Sanderson MSc Research Project A dissertation submitted to Lancaster University for the degree Master
Supplementary Figure 1 Observed change in wind and vertical motion. Anomalies are regime differences between periods and obtained
Supplementary Figure 1 Observed change in wind and vertical motion. Anomalies are regime differences between periods 1999 2013 and 1979 1998 obtained from ERA-interim. Vectors are horizontal wind at 850
Shape and Chemical Diagnostics of the Polar Vortices in WACCM
Shape and Chemical Diagnostics of the Polar Vortices in WACCM V. Lynn Harvey, Cora Randall, Jeff France, Laura Holt, Katelynn Greer Richard Collins Dan Marsh, Doug Kinnison Laboratory for Atmospheric and
Volcanoes drive climate variability by
Volcanoes drive climate variability by 1. emitting ozone weeks before eruptions, 2. forming lower stratospheric aerosols that cool Earth, 3. causing sustained ozone depletion, surface warming, and lower
Connection between NAO/AO, surface climate over Northern Eurasia: snow cover force - possible mechanism.
Connection between NAO/AO, surface climate over Northern Eurasia: snow cover force - possible mechanism. Krupchatnikov V., Yu. Martynova (Pr. Ac. Lavrentieva, 6, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia; tel: 330 61-51;
Lecture 6: Radiation Transfer. Global Energy Balance. Reflection and Scattering. Atmospheric Influences on Insolation
Lecture 6: Radiation Transfer Global Energy Balance terrestrial radiation cooling Solar radiation warming Global Temperature atmosphere Vertical and latitudinal energy distributions Absorption, Reflection,
Lecture 6: Radiation Transfer
Lecture 6: Radiation Transfer Vertical and latitudinal energy distributions Absorption, Reflection, and Transmission Global Energy Balance terrestrial radiation cooling Solar radiation warming Global Temperature
Arctic Oscillation response to volcanic eruptions in the IPCC AR4 climate models
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 111,, doi:10.1029/2005jd006286, 2006 Arctic Oscillation response to volcanic eruptions in the IPCC AR4 climate models Georgiy Stenchikov, 1 Kevin Hamilton, 2 Ronald
Supporting Online Material for
www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/1153966/dc1 Supporting Online Material for The Sensitivity of Polar Ozone Depletion to Proposed Geoengineering Schemes Simone Tilmes,* Rolf Müller, Ross Salawitch *To
Diagnosis of Relative Humidity Changes in a Warmer Climate Using Tracers of Last Saturation
Diagnosis of Relative Humidity Changes in a Warmer Climate Using Tracers of Last Saturation 8 March, 2011 Jonathon Wright Department of Applied Mathematics & Theoretical Physics University of Cambridge
Ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere climate change
Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 36, L15705, doi:10.1029/2009gl038671, 2009 Ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere climate change Seok-Woo Son, 1 Neil F. Tandon, 2 Lorenzo M.
Modeling the Downward Influence of Stratospheric Final Warming events
Modeling the Downward Influence of Stratospheric Final Warming events Lantao Sun Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Walter A. Robinson Division of Atmospheric
What is a Sudden Stratospheric Warming?
What is a Sudden Stratospheric Warming? rapid increase of T at h~32 km from Evelyn De Wachter (PhD thesis, IAP-Bern):!"#$%&'()*+,-*../0** DA /%:,'$,&?/.%0.$ 34$ N3&%8$ 9.%&$ 1.9:./%1/.$ 34$ 93/.$ 17%&$
Consequences for Climate Feedback Interpretations
CO 2 Forcing Induces Semi-direct Effects with Consequences for Climate Feedback Interpretations Timothy Andrews and Piers M. Forster School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT,
Carbon dioxide s direct weakening of the tropical circulation: from comprehensive climate models to axisymmetric Hadley cell theory
Carbon dioxide s direct weakening of the tropical circulation: from comprehensive climate models to axisymmetric Hadley cell theory Timothy M. Merlis McGill University Key point The spatial structure of
Features of Global Warming Review. GEOG/ENST 2331 Lecture 23 Ahrens: Chapter 16
Features of Global Warming Review GEOG/ENST 2331 Lecture 23 Ahrens: Chapter 16 The Greenhouse Effect 255 K 288 K Ahrens, Fig. 2.12 What can change the global energy balance? Incoming energy Solar strength
Polar Ozone Depletion and Trends as Represented by the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM)
Polar Ozone Depletion and Trends as Represented by the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) Doug Kinnison 1, Susan Solomon 2, Diane Ivy 2, Mike Mills 1, Ryan Neely III 3, and Anja Schmidt 3
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1857 Figure S1a shows significant inter-annual variability in seasonal SPA data with multi-decadal periods exhibiting positive and negative SPAs. A similar
Interdecadal and Interannnual Variabilities of the Antarctic Oscillation Simulated by CAM3
ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2014, VOL. 7, NO. 6, 515 520 Interdecadal and Interannnual Variabilities of the Antarctic Oscillation Simulated by CAM3 XUE Feng 1, SUN Dan 2,3, and ZHOU Tian-Jun
Radiative forcing from tropospheric and stratospheric ozone
Radiative forcing from tropospheric and stratospheric ozone 1850-2100 David Stevenson (The University of Edinburgh) I. Cionni, V. Eyring, J. F. Lamarque, W. J. Randel, F. Wu, G. E. Bodeker, T. G. Shepherd,