Reliability Analysis of a Tunnel Design with RELY

Transcription

1 Reliability Analysis of a Tunnel Design with RELY W.Betz, I. Papaioannou, M. Eckl, H. Heidkamp, D.Straub

2 Reliability-based structural design Eurocode 0 partial safety factors probabilistic techniques decrease capacity / increase load characteristic values & design values maintain: capacity > demand describe uncertainties probabilistically perform reliability analysis maintain: reliability > target reliability 2/21

3 Reliability analysis road map Step 1: mechanical model Step 2: failure criterion Step 3: stochastic model Step 4: reliability analysis Step 5: interpretation of the results 3/21

4 How does RELY work? FEM-model as dat-file dat-file 4/21

5 Example application: reliability analysis of a tunnel example based on Westtangente Freising mechanical model supplied by EDR GmbH, Munich perform reliability analysis exemplarily for a single cross-section investigate reliability of tunnel lining This is an exemplary analysis that is performed independently of the actual tunnel design. 5/21

6 Step 1: mechanical model Step 2: failure criterion Step 3: stochastic model Step 4: reliability analysis Step 5: interpretation of the results

7 Step 1: mechanical model 7/21

8 Step 1: mechanical model (cont d) 2D plain strain finite elements (TALPA) shotcrete lining modeled linear elastic stress reduction method (account for 3D effect) excavation process modeled in 5 steps 8/21

9 Step 1: mechanical model Step 2: failure criterion Step 3: stochastic model Step 4: reliability analysis Step 5: interpretation of the results

10 Step 2: failure criterion failure: admissible normal forces and bending moments exceeded on at least one location of the shotcrete lining (local) limit-state function: g= N R N 10/21

11 Step 2: failure criterion (cont d) At the end of the DAT-file of the FE-model (tunnel_fem.dat), append: In the DAT-file of RELY, write: 11/21

12 Step 1: mechanical model Step 2: failure criterion Step 3: stochastic model Step 4: reliability analysis Step 5: interpretation of the results

13 Step 3: stochastic model Uncertainties are mainly in soil parameters p ref reference pressure m exponent of material model K 0 coefficient of lateral earth pressure material parameters of shotcrete Young s modulus strength modeling uncertainties α from stress reduction method 13/21

14 Step 3: stochastic model (list of uncertain variables) distributions and moments based on JCSS and geological report 14/21

15 Step 3: stochastic model (DAT-files) DAT-file of RELY tunnel_fem.dat 15/21

16 Step 1: mechanical model Step 2: failure criterion Step 3: stochastic model Step 4: reliability analysis Step 5: interpretation of the results

17 Step 4: reliability analysis Reliability methods available in RELY: Monte Carlo simulation FORM SORM Importance sampling Line sampling Adaptive sampling Subset simulation 17/21

18 EC 0 Step 4: FORM β = 4.6 p f,form = Reliability Class β (50 year reference) RC RC RC /21

19 Step 1: mechanical model Step 2: failure criterion Step 3: stochastic model Step 4: reliability analysis Step 5: interpretation of the results

20 20/21

21 Reliability Analysis of a Tunnel Design with RELY W.Betz, I. Papaioannou, M. Eckl, H. Heidkamp, D.Straub