Uranium and thorium resources: Evaluation and reporting issues
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1 Uranium and thorium resources: Evaluation and reporting issues Harikrishnan Tulsidas Division of Nuclear Fuel and Waste Technology International Atomic Energy Agency
2 The "Atoms for Peace" Agency World centre of cooperation in the nuclear field Promotes safe, secure and peaceful nuclear technologies Three pillars (3S) of Safety and Security Science and Technology Safeguards and Verification 2
3 Developed Vs Developing economies 3
4 Nuclear share 2515 billion kwh annually 14 % share 433 NPPs Gwe Installed Capacity 63 NPPs - 62 GWe - under construction 160 NPPs 178 GWe On order / Planned 329 NPPs 370 GWe Proposed 4
5 Stated nuclear energy policy Belgium Slovenia Turkey Argentina Tunisia Bulgaria Spain Ukraine Brazil Uganda Czech Rep Sweden Belarus Bolivia Cambodia Finland UK India Cuba Indonesia France Canada Iran South Africa Malaysia Germany Mexico Pakistan Algeria Thailand Hungary USA UAE Egypt Iraq Italy China Bangladesh Ghana Kazakhstan Lithuania Japan Jordan Kenya Oman Netherlands S Korea Mongolia Morocco Nigeria Poland Armenia Vietnam Namibia Phase-out Romania Russia Qatar Niger Increase Slovak Rep Switzerland Saudi Arabia Syria Maintain Bahrain Israel Kuwait Yemen New 5
6 Scenario September 2011 ~ tu/year by 2050 high case ~ tu/year by 2050 low case 6
7 U 2060 study supply reference case 7
8 activities Assessment of uranium resources, production and demand /NEA Red Book Uranium 2060 Database of Uranium Deposits ( Standardization of resource classification Supporting good practices in the uranium production cycle Uranium Production Site Assessment Team Optimization of mining technologies Development of low grade ores Unconventional resources Phosphates Thorium resources (By-product of REE) Support training activities Technical Cooperation18 national projects and 2 regional Mission Mission To Tocollect collectand andshare share knowledge knowledgeof ofuranium uranium resources resourcesand andsupport support the thedevelopment developmentof ofaa sustainable sustainableuranium uranium production productioncycle cyclein in Member MemberStates. States. projects Inter-regional project
9 Uranium resources infcis - UDEPO Red Book 2011 Data of uranium deposits from 75 countries s ce r u so e R al t Total tu To Undiscovered Resources: tu /OECD NEA Uranium 2011: Resources, Production and Demand 9
10 Unconventional Resources UDEPO, 2012 Black Shale 1,199,086 Lignite 313,685 Phosphates 12,894,830 Other 234,137 10
11 Growing uranium inventory Type # of deposits tu* Unconformity Sandstone Hematite Breccia QPC Volcanic Intrusive Vein Metasomtic Surficial CBP Metamorphic Phosphate Lignite/Coal Black Shale Other Unknown Total *Total (geological) resources Total tu from ~75 11 countries
12 Uranium mining Conventional Rossing, Namibia McArthur River, Canada Total Conventional mine production tu / year 47% 12
13 Uranium recovery - ISL Honeymoon, Australia Nichols Ranch, USA Total ISL production - 24,180 tu / year 45% 13
14 Uranium recovery By-product Olympic Dam, Australia Talvivaara, Finland Total by-product production tu / year 7% 14
15 Thorium Future of energy 1/2 Country tth Country tth Turkey Peru Norway Uruguay 3000 Greenland Argentina 1000 Finland Egypt Russia > South Africa Sweden Morocco France 1000 Nigeria Brazil Madagascar US Angola Venezuela Mozambique Canada Malawi
16 Thorium Future of energy 2/2 Country tth Country tth Kenya 8000 Vietnam est Zaire 2500 Korea Rep CIS excl Russia Sri Lanka 4000 Kazakhstan est >50000 Australia Uzbekistan India Total China est >109000* Iran Malaysia Bangaladesh est Thailand est * Includes Chinese Taipei 9000 tth 16
17 Energy Basins (1) Dominant fuels coal, oil & gas and uranium are to a large extent supplied from giant sedimentary basins. There could a linkage between the presence of coal / oil & gas and uranium, which is not well understood yet in terms its genesis or total energy flows in the basin. Some examples: oil & gas and adjoining uranium in sedimentary basins of Kazakhstan; oil & gas, coal and uranium in sedimentary basins in north China; coal and possibly uranium in Gondwana basins of India; coal and uranium; uranium and oil & gas in sedimentary basins of Texas; uranium, chromium, vanadium, nickel and hydrocarbons in Bakken Shales, Canada; uranium and oil & gas in sedimentary basins of Argentina; the Karoo basin of Africa, which is a source of coal and uranium etc. All the energy basins will have potential of various renewables energy sources At times large resources of minerals like phosphates are also seen to occur in such basins, close to oil & gas occurrences and the genetic link remains to be established. 17
18 Energy Basins (2) Unified and holistic approach to understand such energy basins will greatly aid the exploration and discovery of multiple energy sources in many basins. Holistic approach in developing such energy basins to extract multiple energy fuels like oil & gas, coal and uranium and renewables will aid the optimal and sustainable local development and conservation of all useful materials. For example uranium from deep levels in a basin, which could be uneconomic to mine conventionally, could be extracted economically with oil & gas; uranium could extracted from coal with suitable modifications to coal to liquid technology; and co-extraction of uranium, valuable elements and oil & gas from gas shales; co-extraction of uranium and hydrocarbons from off-shore basins etc. and combined with harnessing the power of sun, wind, tides and other renewable energy sources If properly understood and developed energy basins could be supply plentiful energy to meet the growing global demand, the supply of which is at present is based on a conventional compartmentalized developmental paradigm. Need for petroleum, uranium, coal, phosphate and renewable experts to talk to each other. Ultimately, energy basins can act as waste disposal repositories 18
19 Why uranium and thorium are special? Only fuel / metal globally reported by an inter-governmental agency. Need to keep an inventory for 100 years of more. Need to keep track of thorium, which has no market today but can be used for 1000s of years in to future. In many countries uranium and thorium are reported separately. In many countries uranium mining is regulated separately. In some 'energy basins' U seen to occur with other energy fuels. Use of common classification systems can help in energy studies. There has to be some commodity specific issues, while an unified classification system, the UNFC is applied. 19
20 You can reach me at Harikrishnan Tulsidas Nuclear Technology Specialist Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Materials Section International Atomic Energy Agency Tel: (+431) Fax: (+431) Room A
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