Agency Vision and Decision- Maker Needs: A USGS Perspective

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Transcription:

Agency Vision and Decision- Maker Needs: A USGS Perspective Connecting Grassroots to Government for Disaster Management David Applegate USGS Associate Director for Natural Hazards September 13, 2012 U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey

USGS hazard roles and responsibilities Delegated federal responsibility to provide notifications and warnings for earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, and landslides. Seismic networks support NOAA s tsunami warnings. Streamgages and storm surge monitors support NOAA s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings. Geomagnetic observatories support NOAA and AFWA geomagnetic storm forecasts. USGS has key role in tracking zoonotic diseases. Geospatial information supports response operations for wildfire and many other disasters.

Crowdsourced Data and Social Media: An Infrastructure for Hazard Assessment, Monitoring, and Response Did You Feel It? Did You See It? USGS TED: Tweet Earthquake Dispatch Quake Catcher Network Netquake Sensor Volunteers National Map Corps

Did You Feel It? Rapid & automatic intensity maps based on felt reports submitted online. Users answer simple online questionnaire. Color-code ZIP-code to community s average intensity. Replaces traditional postal questionnaire. M5.8 Virginia Aug, 2011

ShakeMap Did You Feel It?

10 Years of DYFI Data (~2 million responses) USGS National Seismic Hazard Map (2% in 50 Year Probability of Exceedence)

Did You See It? Landslide Reporting Enables crowd-sourced, online landslide reports Qualitative information may be used in USGS reports

TED: Tweet Earthquake Dispatch Alerts for earthquakes worldwide with M 5.5+. Magnitude descriptor, location, origin time, link to USGS webpage. Alerts include frequency of tweets in event region that contain the word earthquake or its equivalent in several languages.

USGS TED Example: Philippines Quake

USGS TED Example: Philippines Quake

Other Citizen-aided science: Cheap seismic sensors QuakeCatcher Network (Stanford Univ.) ishake (U.C. Berkeley) NetQuakes (USGS) $ $$ $$$

Distribution of QCN Participants Participants Earthquake Locations Statistics Over 2000 seismic stations globally in 67 countries Recorded earthquakes between M 2.6 (New Zealand) M 8.8 (Chile)

NetQuakes Volunteers

National Map Corps Crowdsourcing used to update USGS geographic data Volunteers mapping structures Pilot program in CO Improved map quality

Any questions? applegate@usgs.gov 703-648-6600

Did You Feel It? Statistics Operating in CA since 1999; US since 2001, & globally 2005 To date >2 million individual responses from all 50 U.S. States & Territories. Outside the U.S., over 190,000 responses in 9,500 cities for 140 countries. 40 U.S. earthquakes with >10,000 reports submitted; 300 events with > 1,000 entries. Max=142,000 reports submitted Aug 23 2011, M5.8 Virginia event (45,000/hr; ~750 per min; ~13/sec). D. Wald, USGS

Did You Feel It? Capabilities Immediate feedback, heads up on events within 1 min, around the globe. Intensity maps are immediately available; update constantly. USGS can now automatically collect intensity data for all felt earthquakes in U.S. Magnitude <2.0 events reported in Central & Eastern US (well below routine reporting level for most seismic networks). Can capture felt reports for non-earthquake related shaking: Sonic booms (shuttle; military aircraft) & bolides; explosions & quarry blasts. Allows immediate, quality & cost effective way of collecting a large quantity of macroseismic intensity data, replacing postal questionnaires. [USGS can still assign values from field/engineering surveys] We can automatically geocode entries to latitude/longitude for higher spatial resolution, as needed. D. Wald, USGS

Did You Feel It? Reasons for Success From our experience with DYFI, essential components of an internet-based citizen-science portal include: Easy-to-use forms, & instantaneous feedback so that users may see their contribution (validating their experience), Ability to see one s contribution (but not full responses), Open space for first-person accounts (catharsis; risk perception), User-friendly tools: common searches, statistics, sorting of responses, time-entry histories, comparing data with empirical intensity estimates, Easily-downloadable data exchange format for researchers. MOTHER NATURE GETS PEOPLES ATTENTION! D. Wald, USGS

Graves and Somerville (2006), visualization by Chourasia (SDSC) Quake-Catcher Network Website: http://qcn.stanford.edu QCN Dense strong-motion (M>3) network: Involves the public in seismic data collection by installing sensor in homes, businesses and schools Small, low-cost sensors are connected to desktop computers and plug computer Objectives: Community understanding of earthquake risk and seismology Rapid earthquake detection and characterization Earthquake source imaging Wave propagation and seismic hazard