Near future ( ) projection of the East Asia summer monsoon by an atmospheric global model with 20-km grid
|
|
- Bryan Manning
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Near future ( ) projection of the East Asia summer monsoon by an atmospheric global model with 20-km grid Shoji KUSUNOKI Meteorological Research Institute (MRI) Ryo MIZUTA, Mio MATSUEDA Advanced Earth Science and Technology Organization (AESTO) The 10th "General Circulation Model Simulations of the East Asian Climate" (EAC) workshop Aug 2009, Yinchuan, China 1
2 20-km global atmospheric model Item Content Basic equation Hydrostatic, primitive Horizontal structure Spherical harmonics (latitude) and Fourie harmonics (longitude) Horizontal resolution 20 km, TL959 Vertical level 60, top at 0.1 hpa Time integration Semi-Lagrangian scheme, Yoshimura (2004) Shortwave radiation H20, O3, CO2, O2, Aerosol, Shibata and Uchiyama (1992) Longwave radiation H20, O3, CO2, CH4, N2O, Shibata and Aoki (1989) Cumulus convection Prognostic of Arakawa-Schubert, Randal and Pan (1993) Boundary layer Mellor and Yamada (1974, 1982), level 2 closure Gravity wave drag Orographic origin, Iwasaki et al. (1989) Cloud Cumulus, Large-scale condensation Precipitation process Prognose cloud water content Land surface Simple Biosphere (SiB) model, Sato et al. (1989) From 21 November 2007, the Japan Meteorological Agency is using the 20- km model as an operational global model for deterministic 9-day forecast. 2
3 Time-slice experiments Atmosphere-Ocean Couple Model, A1B Scenario High resolution Atmosphere model experiment WCRP CMIP km Predicted SST Atmosphere SST Atmosphere SST 20 km grid km Ocean SST Present Near future End of 21C Year 3
4 SST setting Observed SST 1979~2003 CGCM 20th Century ~2000 For each grid and each month CMIP3 CGCM A1B 2001~ CMIP3 CGCM Model Trend Warming ΔT years 25 years Projected warming by CMIP3 CGCM ΔT + CMIP3 CGCM Model trend 2015 ~ Detrended observed SST 1979~2003 = (2015~2039)-(1979~2003) 4
5 External forcings Item Present-day Near Future End of 21th century Target year Period (year) Sea surface temperature Observation HadISST Observation + Change(WCRP CMIP3 MME) Observation + Change(WCRP CMIP3 MME) Sea ice compactness Sea ice thickness Observation HadISST Observation + Change(WCRP CMIP3 MME) Observation Observation + Change(WCRP CMIP3 MME) Observation + Change(WCRP CMIP3 MME) Observation + Change(WCRP CMIP3 MME) Greenhouse gases Observation A1B scenario A1B scenario Aerosol Aerosol CTM climatology Aerosol CTM climatology Aerosol CTM climatology Ozone Ozone CTM climatology CTM A1B scenario CTM A1B scenario projection projection Solar activity Constant Constant Constant Volcanic eruption None None None WCRP:World Climate Research Programme CMIP3: Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 3 MME: Multi-Model Ensemble 5 CTM: Chemical Transport Model
6 The Earth Simulator 2 From March 2009 NEC SX-9/E Node: 160, 1 Node = 8 CPU Peak performance : 131 Tera Flops 6
7 Differences between previous studies Kusunoki et al. (2006, JMSJ) Kusunoki and Mizuta (2008, SOLA) End of 21th Century This study: Near future
8 May OBS GPCP1DD Present Near future Change =(F-P)/P (%) End of 21C
9 June OBS GPCP1DD Present Near future Change =(F-P)/P (%) End of 21C
10 July OBS GPCP1DD Present Near future Change =(F-P)/P (%) End of 21C
11 May June July Near future End of 21C
12 Target areas for logitudinal average China Korea Japan 12
13 China E Present-day Apr 1 Aug Near future Increase Change (F-P)/P Decrease 13
14 Korea E Present-day May 16 Aug Near future Increase Change (F-P)/P Decrease 14
15 Japan E Present-day May 16 Aug Near future Increase Change (F-P)/P Decrease 15
16 Target areas for area average Korea+Japan 16
17 Korea+ Japan OBS Near future End of 21C Present Change End of 21C Near future 17
18 July Precipitation Surface temp change Near future End of 21C
19 July Precip Present Near future End of 21C CMAP GPCP Model 19
20 July Temp Present JRA Near future End of 21C Model 20
21 Summary 1. In near future, precipitation decrease over northern part of China in May to July. 2. Precipitation decrease over Korea in June. 3. Precipitation change is small over Japan. 4. Change of precipitation is much different depending on region and month. 5. Near future climate is NOT between present climate and end of 21C climate. 21
22 Acknowledgements This study was conducted as a part of research theme Projection of the change in the future weather extremes using super-high resolution atmospheric model under the framework of the Innovative Program of Climate Change Projection for the 21st Century (KAKUSHIN), funded by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT). The KAKUSHIN program is a 5-year research program started in April
Zona Norte 3. Zona Centro 2. Zona Centro 1. Zona Centro 3 Zona Sur
Zonas de validación 30 Zona Norte 1 25 Zona Norte 2 Zona Norte 3 Zona Centro 1 Zona Centro 2 20 Zona Centro 3 Zona Sur 1 Zona Sur 2 Zona Sur 3 15-115 -110-105 -100-95 -90 IPCC CGCMs vs CRU (obs) Precipitación
More informationDevelopment of Super High Resolution Global and Regional Climate Models
Development of Super High Resolution Global and Regional Climate Models Project Representative Akira Noda Meteorological Research Institute Authors Akira Noda 1, Shoji Kusunoki 1 and Masanori Yoshizaki
More information11 days (00, 12 UTC) 132 hours (06, 18 UTC) One unperturbed control forecast and 26 perturbed ensemble members. --
APPENDIX 2.2.6. CHARACTERISTICS OF GLOBAL EPS 1. Ensemble system Ensemble (version) Global EPS (GEPS1701) Date of implementation 19 January 2017 2. EPS configuration Model (version) Global Spectral Model
More informationNOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE The Skillful Time Scale of Climate Models
Journal January of 2016 the Meteorological Society of Japan, I. TAKAYABU Vol. 94A, pp. and 191 197, K. HIBINO 2016 191 DOI:10.2151/jmsj.2015-038 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE The Skillful Time Scale of Climate
More informationAbstract: INTRODUCTION MODEL AND EXPERIMENT
Hydrological Research Letters 3, 49 53 (2009) Published online in J-STAGE (www.jstage.jst.go.jp/browse/hrl). DOI: 10.3178/HRL.3.49 Projection of changes in future weather extremes using super-high-resolution
More informationDecreasing trend of tropical cyclone frequency in 228-year high-resolution AGCM simulations
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 39,, doi:10.1029/2012gl053360, 2012 Decreasing trend of tropical cyclone frequency in 228-year high-resolution AGCM simulations Masato Sugi 1,2 and Jun Yoshimura 2 Received
More informationDevelopment of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change
Chapter 1 Atmospheric and Oceanic Simulation Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change Project Representative Tatsushi
More informationProjected future increase of tropical cyclones near Hawaii. Hiroyuki Murakami, Bin Wang, Tim Li, and Akio Kitoh University of Hawaii at Manoa, IPRC
Projected future increase of tropical cyclones near Hawaii Hiroyuki Murakami, Bin Wang, Tim Li, and Akio Kitoh University of Hawaii at Manoa, IPRC Review of effect of global warming on TC activity Knutson
More informationChallenges of convection-permitting regional climate simulations for future climate projection in Japan
Challenges of convection-permitting regional climate simulations for future climate projection in Japan - Program for Risk Information on Climate Change, SOUSEI program - NCAR Sep. 7, 2016 Hiroaki Kawase
More informationJMA s Seasonal Prediction of South Asian Climate for Summer 2018
JMA s Seasonal Prediction of South Asian Climate for Summer 2018 Atsushi Minami Tokyo Climate Center (TCC) Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Contents Outline of JMA s Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System
More information2. Outline of the MRI-EPS
2. Outline of the MRI-EPS The MRI-EPS includes BGM cycle system running on the MRI supercomputer system, which is developed by using the operational one-month forecasting system by the Climate Prediction
More informationContents of this file
Geophysical Research Letters Supporting Information for Future changes in tropical cyclone activity in high-resolution large-ensemble simulations Kohei Yoshida 1, Masato Sugi 1, Ryo Mizuta 1, Hiroyuki
More informationWinter Forecast for GPC Tokyo. Shotaro TANAKA Tokyo Climate Center (TCC) Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)
Winter Forecast for 2013 2014 GPC Tokyo Shotaro TANAKA Tokyo Climate Center (TCC) Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) NEACOF 5, October 29 November 1, 2013 1 Outline 1. Numerical prediction 2. Interannual
More informationSUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
Intensification of Northern Hemisphere Subtropical Highs in a Warming Climate Wenhong Li, Laifang Li, Mingfang Ting, and Yimin Liu 1. Data and Methods The data used in this study consists of the atmospheric
More informationPROJECION OF FUTURE CHANGE IN STORM SURGE USING MRI-AGCM3.2H ENSEMBLE EXPERIMENTS. Abstract
PROJECION OF FUTURE CHANGE IN STORM SURGE USING MRI-AGCM3.2H ENSEMBLE EXPERIMENTS Yosuke Yamamoto 1, Tomohiro Yasuda 2, Nobuhito Mori 3 and Hajime Mase 4 1 Abstract Recent researches have shown that the
More informationChanges in precipitation intensity over East Asia during the 20th and 21st centuries simulated by a global atmospheric model with a 60 km grid size
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH: ATMOSPHERES, VOL. 118, 11,007 11,016, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50877, 2013 Changes in precipitation intensity over East Asia during the 20th and 21st centuries simulated by a global
More informationProjection of Ocean Wave Climate Change Based on Numerical Simulations
Projection of Ocean Wave Climate Change Based on Numerical Simulations Muhammad Zikra a,*, Noriaki Hashimoto b and Kodama Mitsuyasu b a) Department of Ocean Engineering, Faculty of Marine Technology, Institut
More informationFUTURE PROJECTIONS OF PRECIPITATION CHARACTERISTICS IN ASIA
FUTURE PROJECTIONS OF PRECIPITATION CHARACTERISTICS IN ASIA AKIO KITOH, MASAHIRO HOSAKA, YUKIMASA ADACHI, KENJI KAMIGUCHI Meteorological Research Institute Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0052, Japan It is anticipated
More informationJMA s Ensemble Prediction System for One-month and Seasonal Predictions
JMA s Ensemble Prediction System for One-month and Seasonal Predictions Akihiko Shimpo Japan Meteorological Agency Seasonal Prediction Modeling Team: H. Kamahori, R. Kumabe, I. Ishikawa, T. Tokuhiro, S.
More informationSUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION doi:10.1038/nature11784 Methods The ECHO-G model and simulations The ECHO-G model 29 consists of the 19-level ECHAM4 atmospheric model and 20-level HOPE-G ocean circulation model.
More informationJOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 117, D16118, doi: /2012jd017874, 2012
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 117,, doi:10.1029/2012jd017874, 2012 Future changes and uncertainties in Asian precipitation simulated by multiphysics and multi sea surface temperature ensemble experiments
More information1C.4 Tropical cyclone climatology in a global warming climate as simulated in a 20km-mesh global atmospheric model
1C.4 Tropical cyclone climatology in a global warming climate as simulated in a 20km-mesh global atmospheric model Kazuyoshi Oouchi (1), Jun Yoshimura (3), Hiromasa Yoshimura (3), Ryo Mizuta (2), Shoji
More informationHigh Resolution (20-km Mesh) Global Climate Model and Projected Hydro- Meteorological Extremes in the Future. Akio Kitoh
2011.6.29, U-02, IUGG, Melbourne High Resolution (20-km Mesh) Global Climate Model and Projected Hydro- Meteorological Extremes in the Future Akio Kitoh Climate Research Department Meteorological Research
More informationProjection of Extreme Wave Climate Change under Global Warming
Hydrological Research Letters, 4, 15 19 (2010) Published online in J-STAGE (www.jstage.jst.go.jp/browse/hrl). DOI: 10.3178/HRL.4.15 Projection of Extreme Wave Climate Change under Global Warming Nobuhito
More informationSummary and concluding remarks
Contents Introduction Experimental design Model domain: CORDEX-East Asia domain Model description: HadGEM3-RA Evaluation results Mean climate Inter-annual variability Climate extreme Summary and concluding
More informationREGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATION OVER ASIA UNDER THE GLOBAL WARMING NESTED IN THE CCSR/NIES AGCM
REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATION OVER ASIA UNDER THE GLOBAL WARMING NESTED IN THE CCSR/NIES AGCM KOJI DAIRAKU Atmospheric Environment Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa Tsukuba,
More informationProjected change in the East Asian summer monsoon from dynamical downscaling
Copyright KIOST, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Projected change in the East Asian summer monsoon from dynamical downscaling : Moisture budget analysis Chun-Yong Jung 1,2, Chan Joo Jang 1*, Ho-Jeong Shin 1 and Hyung-Jin
More informationCORDEX Simulations for South Asia
WCRP CORDEX South Asia Planning Meeting 25-26 February 2012 Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM) Pune, India CORDEX Simulations for South Asia J. Sanjay Centre for Climate Change Research (CCCR)
More information5. General Circulation Models
5. General Circulation Models I. 3-D Climate Models (General Circulation Models) To include the full three-dimensional aspect of climate, including the calculation of the dynamical transports, requires
More informationAtmospheric modeling in the Climate System. Joe Tribbia NCAR.ESSL.CGD.AMP
Atmospheric modeling in the Climate System Joe Tribbia NCAR.ESSL.CGD.AMP The climate represents a coupled system consisting of an atmosphere, hydrosphere, biosphere, and cryosphere What is CCSM? Bio Geochemistry
More information1.Decadal prediction ( ) 2. Longer term (to 2100 and beyond)
Coordinated climate change experiments (formulated by WGCM and AIMES) to be run for assessment in IPCC AR5 Two classes of models to address two time frames and two sets of science questions: 1.Decadal
More information3.4 THE IMPACT OF CONVECTIVE PARAMETERIZATION SCHEMES ON CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
3.4 THE IMPACT OF CONVECTIVE PARAMETERIZATION SCHEMES ON CLIMATE SENSITIVITY David J. Karoly*, Lance M. Leslie and Diandong Ren School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman OK and Mark Leplastrier
More informationEARLY ONLINE RELEASE
EARLY ONLINE RELEASE This is a PDF of a manuscript that has been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication. As the article has not yet been formatted, copy edited or proofread, the final published version
More informationClimate Change Scenario, Climate Model and Future Climate Projection
Training on Concept of Climate Change: Impacts, Vulnerability, Adaptation and Mitigation 6 th December 2016, CEGIS, Dhaka Climate Change Scenario, Climate Model and Future Climate Projection A.K.M. Saiful
More informationClimate Modeling Research & Applications in Wales. John Houghton. C 3 W conference, Aberystwyth
Climate Modeling Research & Applications in Wales John Houghton C 3 W conference, Aberystwyth 26 April 2011 Computer Modeling of the Atmosphere & Climate System has revolutionized Weather Forecasting and
More informationGlobal Warming Projection Studies at the Meteorological Research Institute/JMA
Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling, Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 1 14. by TERRAPUB, 2001. Global Warming Projection Studies at the Meteorological
More informationImpact of Preindustrial to Present-day Changes in Urbanization and Pollutant Emissions on the East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM)
Impact of Preindustrial to Present-day Changes in Urbanization and Pollutant Emissions on the East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) Jie Song, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL, USA Hongyun Ma, and Zhihong
More informationTorben Königk Rossby Centre/ SMHI
Fundamentals of Climate Modelling Torben Königk Rossby Centre/ SMHI Outline Introduction Why do we need models? Basic processes Radiation Atmospheric/Oceanic circulation Model basics Resolution Parameterizations
More informationPROJECTION OF FUTURE STORM SURGE DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS UNCERTAINTY A CASE STUDY IN THE TOKYO BAY
Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Asian and Pacific Coasts (APAC 2011) December 14 16, 2011, Hong Kong, China PROJECTION OF FUTURE STORM SURGE DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS UNCERTAINTY
More informationClimate Modeling Dr. Jehangir Ashraf Awan Pakistan Meteorological Department
Climate Modeling Dr. Jehangir Ashraf Awan Pakistan Meteorological Department Source: Slides partially taken from A. Pier Siebesma, KNMI & TU Delft Key Questions What is a climate model? What types of climate
More informationA Scientific Challenge for Copernicus Climate Change Services: EUCPXX. Tim Palmer Oxford
A Scientific Challenge for Copernicus Climate Change Services: EUCPXX Tim Palmer Oxford Aspects of my worldline 1. EU Framework Programme PROVOST, DEMETER EUROSIP 2. Committee on Climate Change Adaptation
More informationSST forcing of Australian rainfall trends
SST forcing of Australian rainfall trends www.cawcr.gov.au Julie Arblaster (with thanks to David Karoly & colleagues at NCAR and BoM) Climate Change Science Team, Bureau of Meteorology Climate Change Prediction
More informationSeasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June to September) Issued in May 2014
Ministry of Earth Sciences Earth System Science Organization India Meteorological Department WMO Regional Climate Centre (Demonstration Phase) Pune, India Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June
More informationRecent Developments in Climate Information Services at JMA. Koichi Kurihara Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological Agency
Recent Developments in Climate Information Services at JMA Koichi Kurihara Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological Agency 1 Topics 1. Diagnosis of the Northern Hemispheric circulation in December
More informationAn Introduction to Climate Modeling
An Introduction to Climate Modeling A. Gettelman & J. J. Hack National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, Colorado USA Outline What is Climate & why do we care Hierarchy of atmospheric modeling strategies
More informationIntroduction of Dynamical Regional Downscaling (DSJRA-55) Using the JRA-55 Reanalysis and Discussion for Possibility of its Practical Use
Thursday, March 24 Session4:Localizing Climate Information Introduction of Dynamical Regional Downscaling (DSJRA-55) Using the JRA-55 Reanalysis and Discussion for Possibility of its Practical Use Nobuyuki
More informationWill a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall?
Will a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall? Nicholas P. Klingaman National Centre for Atmospheric Science-Climate Walker Institute for Climate System Research University of Reading The Walker-QCCCE
More informationClimate models. René D. Garreaud. Departement of Geophysics Universidad de Chile
Climate models René D. Garreaud Departement of Geophysics Universidad de Chile www.dgf.uchile.cl/rene My first toy model A system of coupled, non-linear algebraic equations X (t) = A X (t-1) Y (t) B Z
More informationImportance of minor treatments in parameterizations in GCMs for the cloud representations and the cloud feedbacks
The WCRP Grand Challenge Workshop, 25 March. 2014 Importance of minor treatments in parameterizations in GCMs for the cloud representations and the cloud feedbacks Hideaki Kawai Meteorological Research
More informationIntroduction to Climate ~ Part I ~
2015/11/16 TCC Seminar JMA Introduction to Climate ~ Part I ~ Shuhei MAEDA (MRI/JMA) Climate Research Department Meteorological Research Institute (MRI/JMA) 1 Outline of the lecture 1. Climate System (
More informationAtmospheric circulation analysis for seasonal forecasting
Training Seminar on Application of Seasonal Forecast GPV Data to Seasonal Forecast Products 18 21 January 2011 Tokyo, Japan Atmospheric circulation analysis for seasonal forecasting Shotaro Tanaka Climate
More informationThe PRECIS Regional Climate Model
The PRECIS Regional Climate Model General overview (1) The regional climate model (RCM) within PRECIS is a model of the atmosphere and land surface, of limited area and high resolution and locatable over
More informationTemperature and rainfall changes over East Africa from multi-gcm forced RegCM projections
Temperature and rainfall changes over East Africa from multi-gcm forced RegCM projections Gulilat Tefera Diro and Adrian Tompkins - Earth System Physics Section International Centre for Theoretical Physics
More informationWeather Forecasts and Climate AOSC 200 Tim Canty. Class Web Site: Lecture 27 Dec
Weather Forecasts and Climate AOSC 200 Tim Canty Class Web Site: http://www.atmos.umd.edu/~tcanty/aosc200 Topics for today: Climate Natural Variations Feedback Mechanisms Lecture 27 Dec 4 2018 1 Climate
More informationIMPACT OF SOIL FREEZING ON THE CONTINENTAL-SCALE SEASONAL CYCLE SIMULATED BY A GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL
IMPACT OF SOIL FREEZING ON THE CONTINENTAL-SCALE SEASONAL CYCLE SIMULATED BY A GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL Kumiko Takata 1, Masahide Kimoto 2 1. Domestic Research Fellow, National Institute of Environmental
More informationA Global Atmospheric Model. Joe Tribbia NCAR Turbulence Summer School July 2008
A Global Atmospheric Model Joe Tribbia NCAR Turbulence Summer School July 2008 Outline Broad overview of what is in a global climate/weather model of the atmosphere Spectral dynamical core Some results-climate
More informationSchema8c Global Climate Model
Schema8c Global Climate Model Horizontal Grid (Latitude-Longitude) Vertical Grid (Height or Pressure) NOAA/ GFDL s CLIMATE and EARTH SYSTEM MODELING Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Understanding
More informationHigh initial time sensitivity of medium range forecasting observed for a stratospheric sudden warming
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 37,, doi:10.1029/2010gl044119, 2010 High initial time sensitivity of medium range forecasting observed for a stratospheric sudden warming Yuhji Kuroda 1 Received 27 May
More informationExamination of Tropical Cyclogenesis using the High Temporal and Spatial Resolution JRA-25 Dataset
Examination of Tropical Cyclogenesis using the High Temporal and Spatial Resolution JRA-25 Dataset Masato Sugi Forecast Research Department, Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Correspondence: msugi@mri-jma.go.jp
More informationUsing a library of downscaled climate projections to teach climate change analysis
Using a library of downscaled climate projections to teach climate change analysis Eugene Cordero, Department of Meteorology San Jose State University Overview of Dataset Climate change activity Applications
More informationContext: How does a climate model work?
www.atmosphere.mpg.de/enid/accenten > Nr. 7 March 2006 > C: Context 1 Context: How does a climate model work? Key words: modelling, scenarios, climate parameters, grid, physical formula Introduction The
More informationClimate Outlook for March August 2017
The APEC CLIMATE CENTER Climate Outlook for March August 2017 BUSAN, 24 February 2017 Synthesis of the latest model forecasts for March to August 2017 (MAMJJA) at the APEC Climate Center (APCC), located
More informationFuture activities of HPC in meteorology using K-computer
The 14th ECMWF Workshop on High Performance Computing in Meteorology Future activities of HPC in meteorology using K-computer Hirofumi Tomita Research Institute for Global Change / JAMSTEC Advanced Institute
More informationFuture Change Storm Surge based on Multi-Scenario and Multi-Regional Climate Model Ensemble Experiments
Future Change Storm Surge based on Multi-Scenario and Multi-Regional Climate Model Ensemble Experiments Kanazawa Univ. Kyoto Univ. Tsukuba Univ. Nagoya Univ. Junichi Ninomiya Nobuhito Mori Tetsuya Takemi
More informationThe next-generation supercomputer and NWP system of the JMA
The next-generation supercomputer and NWP system of the JMA Masami NARITA m_narita@naps.kishou.go.jp Numerical Prediction Division (NPD), Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Purpose of supercomputer & NWP
More informationECMWF global reanalyses: Resources for the wind energy community
ECMWF global reanalyses: Resources for the wind energy community (and a few myth-busters) Paul Poli European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Shinfield Park, RG2 9AX, Reading, UK paul.poli
More informationSeasonal forecasting activities at ECMWF
Seasonal forecasting activities at ECMWF An upgraded ECMWF seasonal forecast system: Tim Stockdale, Stephanie Johnson, Magdalena Balmaseda, and Laura Ferranti Progress with C3S: Anca Brookshaw ECMWF June
More informationBMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC
BMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC Prof. Edvin Aldrian Director for Research and Development - BMKG First Scientific and Planning Workshop on Year of Maritime Continent, Singapore 27-3
More informationClimate changes in Finland, but how? Jouni Räisänen Department of Physics, University of Helsinki
Climate changes in Finland, but how? Jouni Räisänen Department of Physics, University of Helsinki 19.9.2012 Outline Some basic questions and answers about climate change How are projections of climate
More informationVerification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter
Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Shingo Yamada Tokyo Climate Center Japan Meteorological Agency 2006/11/02 7 th Joint Meeting on EAWM Contents 1. Verification of the Seasonal
More informationCharacteristics of Future Changes in Summertime East Asian Monthly Precipitation in MRI-AGCM Global Warming Experiments
Journal April 2019 of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 97(2), 317 335, T. OSE 2019. doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-018 317 Characteristics of Future Changes in Summertime East Asian Monthly Precipitation in
More informationNorthern New England Climate: Past, Present, and Future. Basic Concepts
Northern New England Climate: Past, Present, and Future Basic Concepts Weather instantaneous or synoptic measurements Climate time / space average Weather - the state of the air and atmosphere at a particular
More informationIITM Earth System Model (IITM ESM)
IITM Earth System Model (IITM ESM) Swapna Panickal Centre for Climate Change Research Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology ESM Team: R. Krishnan, V. Prajeesh, N. Sandeep, V. Ramesh, D.C. Ayantika,
More informationCLIVAR International Climate of the Twentieth Century (C20C) Project
CLIVAR International Climate of the Twentieth Century (C20C) Project Chris Folland, UK Met office 6th Climate of the Twentieth Century Workshop, Melbourne, 5-8 Nov 2013 Purpose and basic methodology Initially
More informationMonthly Variations of Global Wave Climate due to Global Warming
Jurnal Teknologi Full paper Monthly Variations of Global Wave Climate due to Global Warming Muhammad Zikra a*, Noriaki Hashimoto b, Kodama Mitsuyasu c, Kriyo Sambodho d a Ocean Engineering Department,
More informationSome remarks on climate modeling
Some remarks on climate modeling A. Gettelman & J. J. Hack National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, Colorado USA Selected overheads by Doug Nychka Outline Hierarchy of atmospheric modeling strategies
More informationWhat you need to know in Ch. 12. Lecture Ch. 12. Atmospheric Heat Engine
Lecture Ch. 12 Review of simplified climate model Revisiting: Kiehl and Trenberth Overview of atmospheric heat engine Current research on clouds-climate Curry and Webster, Ch. 12 For Wednesday: Read Ch.
More informationMODELING EAST ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON IN 1998 WITH A COUPLED REGIONAL AIR-SEA MODEL. Xuejuan Ren
INYS 2008 MODELING EAST ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON IN 1998 WITH A COUPLED REGIONAL AIR-SEA MODEL Xuejuan Ren Yaocun Zhang, Yongfu Qian, Huijuan Lin Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing,
More informationFaisal S. Syed, Shahbaz M.,Nadia R.,Siraj I. K., M. Adnan Abid, M. Ashfaq, F. Giorgi, J. Pal, X. Bi
ICTP NCP International Conference on Global Change 15-19 November, 2006, Islamabad Climate Change Studies over South Asia Region Using Regional Climate Model RegCM3 (Preliminary Results) Faisal S. Syed,
More informationConsequences for Climate Feedback Interpretations
CO 2 Forcing Induces Semi-direct Effects with Consequences for Climate Feedback Interpretations Timothy Andrews and Piers M. Forster School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT,
More informationLevel 3 Earth and Space Science, 2017
91414 914140 3SUPERVISOR S Level 3 Earth and Space Science, 2017 91414 Demonstrate understanding of processes in the atmosphere system 2.00 p.m. Monday 27 November 2017 Credits: Four Achievement Achievement
More informationThe feature of atmospheric circulation in the extremely warm winter 2006/2007
The feature of atmospheric circulation in the extremely warm winter 2006/2007 Hiroshi Hasegawa 1, Yayoi Harada 1, Hiroshi Nakamigawa 1, Atsushi Goto 1 1 Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological
More informationThe ocean s overall role in climate
The ocean s overall role in climate - moderates climate in time (diurnally, annually) - redistributes heat spatially in the largescale ocean circulation - lower albedo (sea ice higher albedo) - dry atmosphere
More informationDecadal shifts of East Asian summer monsoon in a climate. model free of explicit GHGs and aerosols
Decadal shifts of East Asian summer monsoon in a climate model free of explicit GHGs and aerosols Renping Lin, Jiang Zhu* and Fei Zheng International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute
More informationHow can we explain possible human contribution to weather events?
WMO-IPCC Tokyo workshop for weather presenters, November 11, 2015 How can we explain possible human contribution to weather events? Masahiro Watanabe Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute University
More informationSummary of 2005/2006 La Niña Event
No. 5 July 2006 Contents Summary of 2005/2006 La Niña Event 1 Coming soon: Climate Change Monitoring Report 2005 4 Sea ice conditions in the Sea of Okhotsk in the 2005/2006 winter season 4 Summary of yellow
More informationJapanese CLIMATE 2030 Project 110km mesh model
Japanese CLIMATE 2030 Project 110km mesh model A near-term prediction up to 2030 with a highresolution coupled AOGCM 60km Atmos + 20x30km Ocean w/ updated cloud PDF scheme, PBL, etc advanced aerosol/chemistry
More informationFuture Change of Storm Surge Risk under Global Warming Based on Mega-Ensemble Global Climate Projections (d4pdf) Tomoya Shimura1 and Nobuhito Mori 2
Future Change of Storm Surge Risk under Global Warming Based on Mega-Ensemble Global Climate Projections (d4pdf) Tomoya Shimura1 and Nobuhito Mori 2 Abstract Long-term assessment of storm surge risk based
More informationPrimary Factors Contributing to Japan's Extremely Hot Summer of 2010
temperature anomalies by its standard deviation for JJA 2010 Primary Factors Contributing to Japan's Extremely Hot Summer of 2010 Nobuyuki Kayaba Climate Prediction Division,Japan Meteorological Agancy
More informationThe Climatology of Clouds using surface observations. S.G. Warren and C.J. Hahn Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences.
The Climatology of Clouds using surface observations S.G. Warren and C.J. Hahn Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences Gill-Ran Jeong Cloud Climatology The time-averaged geographical distribution of cloud
More informationTokyo Climate Center s activities as RCC Tokyo
First WMO Workshop on Operational Climate Prediction Pune, India, 09-11 November 2015 Tokyo Climate Center s activities as RCC Tokyo Arata Endo Tokyo Climate Center Japan Meteorological Agency E-mail:
More informationof Stratospheric Sudden Warming
13 Hindcast AGCM Experiments on the Predictability of Stratospheric Sudden Warming Hitoshi Mukougawa 1, Toshihiko Hirooka 2, Tomoko Ichimaru 3 and Yuhji Kuroda 4 1 Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention
More informationIntroduction of products for Climate System Monitoring
Introduction of products for Climate System Monitoring 1 Typical flow of making one month forecast Textbook P.66 Observed data Atmospheric and Oceanic conditions Analysis Numerical model Ensemble forecast
More informationClimate Modeling and Downscaling
Climate Modeling and Downscaling Types of climate-change experiments: a preview 1) What-if sensitivity experiments increase the optically active gases and aerosols according to an assumed scenario, and
More information2018 Science Olympiad: Badger Invitational Meteorology Exam. Team Name: Team Motto:
2018 Science Olympiad: Badger Invitational Meteorology Exam Team Name: Team Motto: This exam has 50 questions of various formats, plus 3 tie-breakers. Good luck! 1. On a globally-averaged basis, which
More informationFuture Changes in Rainfall Extremes Associated with El Niño Projected by a Global 20-km Mesh Atmospheric Model
SOLA, 2016, Vol. 12A, 1 6, doi:10.2151/sola.12a-001 1 Future Changes in Rainfall Extremes Associated with El Niño Projected by a Global 20-km Mesh Atmospheric Model Akio Kitoh 1, and Hirokazu Endo 2 1
More informationAn Introduction to Physical Parameterization Techniques Used in Atmospheric Models
An Introduction to Physical Parameterization Techniques Used in Atmospheric Models J. J. Hack National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, Colorado USA Outline Frame broader scientific problem Hierarchy
More informationTopic 6: Insolation and the Seasons
Topic 6: Insolation and the Seasons Solar Radiation and Insolation Insolation: In Sol ation The Sun is the primary source of energy for the earth. The rate at which energy is radiated is called Intensity
More informationMonsoon Activities in China Tianjun ZHOU
Monsoon Activities in China Tianjun ZHOU Email: zhoutj@lasg.iap.ac.cn CLIVAR AAMP10, Busan,, Korea 18-19 19 June 2010 Outline Variability of EASM -- Interdecadal variability -- Interannual variability
More informationATM S 111, Global Warming Climate Models
ATM S 111, Global Warming Climate Models Jennifer Fletcher Day 27: July 29, 2010 Using Climate Models to Build Understanding Often climate models are thought of as forecast tools (what s the climate going
More information