WRF MODEL STUDY OF TROPICAL INERTIA GRAVITY WAVES WITH COMPARISONS TO OBSERVATIONS. Stephanie Evan, Joan Alexander and Jimy Dudhia.

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "WRF MODEL STUDY OF TROPICAL INERTIA GRAVITY WAVES WITH COMPARISONS TO OBSERVATIONS. Stephanie Evan, Joan Alexander and Jimy Dudhia."

Transcription

1 WRF MODEL STUDY OF TROPICAL INERTIA GRAVITY WAVES WITH COMPARISONS TO OBSERVATIONS. Stephanie Evan, Joan Alexander and Jimy Dudhia.

2 Background Small-scale Gravity wave Inertia Gravity wave Mixed RossbyGravity wave Planetary scale Kelvin wave Wave period A broad spectrum of waves is needed to drive the middle atmospheric circulation. Intermediate-scale inertia gravity waves can have an important role in the dynamics of the upper atmosphere. The properties of these waves and their effect on the mean flow are not well documented. Radiosonde data acquired in the tropics have been commonly used to study IGWs. Good vertical resolution but limited horizontal information. In addition to observational data, analysis data can also be used to study gravity waves. Coarse vertical resolution in the stratosphere but provide global information on the wave structure. Use a flexible model such as the WRF model to understand the misrepresentation of inertia gravity waves in analyses by combining mesoscale model and GCM approaches.

3 TWP- ICE Experiment The Tropical Warm Pool International Cloud Experiment was conducted in 2006 in the area of Darwin to study convection. 3-hourly radiosonde data from 21 January to 12 February ECMWF Data: ECMWF analyses at 00, 06, 12, 18 UTC and forecasts at 03, 09, 15, 21UTC from 21 January to 12 February Spatial resolution of 1 x 1 with 21 levels from the surface up to 1hPa

4 Wave analysis Vertical and temporal interpolations for U, V and T. The perturbations are defined by removing a temporal linear trend to the time-series of U, V and T at each altitude. For ECMWF perturbations are defined by removing a linear trend at each latitude/longitude/altitude point. A wavelet analysis (the S-Transform) is used to analyze the perturbations and to compute the wave properties. Evan and Alexander (2008) : Intermediate-scale tropical IGW observed during the TWPICE campaign. JGR.

5 Time-frequency spectrum of the perturbations ECMWF RADIOSONDE ~1K ~2K Period =2.5days ~2.3m/s ~4m/s ~2.3m/s ~4m/s

6 ECMWF vs Radiosondes & ECMWF captures similar structure of the 2-day wave but with a longer vertical wavelength. The differences between the observed wave and the simulated one could be a consequence of the coarse vertical resolution of the ECMWF model in the stratosphere.

7 Final locations of the rays in the upper troposphere Ray tracing analysis Mean travelling time of ~ 7 days. The wave was observed in the stratosphere after January 28 and was generated in the upper troposphere around January 20. MTSAT Infrared Brightness temperature averaged from 01/18 to 01/27

8 WRF Simulations WRF: Weather and Research Forecasting model developed by NCAR. WRF is a flexible modeling framework extensively used both as a weather forecast tool and as a regional climate model. Boundary and Initial conditions provided by the 2006 operational ECMWF analyses and forecasts. The simulations are carried out globally in a tropical channel with latitudinal boundaries at ±42.

9 WRF Simulations WRF dx=37km, similar to operational ECMF in Simulations with different initializations times: 18, 20, 22, 24 and 26 of January. The model is run in a free running mode until February 11 to overlap the period of the wave generation and propagation up to the stratosphere. Tests with 2 cumulus schemes Kain-Fritsch (mass flux) vs Betts-MillerJanjic (adjustment scheme). Altitude (km) 84 vertical levels from the surface to 1hPa. ECMWF WRF Vertical grid-spacing (km)

10 Model Results : Precipitation Comparison of simulated (right) versus GPCP and ECMWF (left) daily mean rainfall (mm/day) from 18 January to 28 January 2006.

11 Model Results : Zonal Wind Latitude-pressure cross section of zonal wind averaged over 18 January-6 February WRF zonal winds are interpolated to ECMWF pressure levels.

12 Evolution of diabatic heating from the cumulus scheme. Time-height sections of heating rate from the BMJ scheme for the period of wave generation. Average over (10S, 100E-5N, 140E) Active monsoon : Jan Suppressed monsoon : 26Jan-02 Feb

13 Time frequency spectrum Radiosondes WRF U~ 2.5 m/s V~ 2.5 m/s

14 Wave generation mechanism WRF zonal wind at 13km averaged from 01/18 to 01/27 WRF 3-hourly precipitation rates averaged from 10S to 5N In the simulation top of convection around 12km and λz = 14km in upper troposphere.

15 Wave packet ECMWF WRF 01/18 WRF 01/20 WRF 01/22 WRF 01/24 WRF 01/26 Squared amplitude of the 2-day wave inferred from the quadrature spectrum of u' and v' averaged between 30 and 20hPa. Average over 28 January to 6 February.

16 Vertical structure WRF 01/18 Radiosonde vertical wavelength=6km ECMWF vertical wavelength=9.3km WRF 01/26 Vertical profiles of phase differences and coherences for u for a period of 2.5 days. Reference level is 23km

17 Vertical structure WRF 01/18 dz=500m WRF 01/18 dz=1.5km

18 Summary and conclusions. Good agreement between the simulated and observed wave structure which suggests WRF ability to reproduce the observed 2-day wave event. The WRF model gives comparable results for the horizontal structure but shows better skill than ECMWF to resolve the vertical structure of the wave. This study also evaluates WRF performance in the tropical stratosphere and shows that WRF has some ability to resolve gravity waves generated by convection in the tropics. Evan, Alexander and Dudhia: Model study of intermediate-scale tropical IGW and comparison to TWP-ICE campaign observations, submitted to JAS.

19 Evolution of the zonal wind in WRF and ERA-INTERIM First 4 days of the simulation Average over 4 days during the middle of the simulation Last 4 days of the simulation

20 Space-time spectrum of wave acceleration 2006 EP Flux divergence at 26-27km (m/s/day/wvn/cpd) 2007 EP Flux divergence at 26-27km (m/s/day/wvn/cpd)

21 Wave forcing

ABSTRACT 2 DATA 1 INTRODUCTION

ABSTRACT 2 DATA 1 INTRODUCTION 16B.7 MODEL STUDY OF INTERMEDIATE-SCALE TROPICAL INERTIA GRAVITY WAVES AND COMPARISON TO TWP-ICE CAM- PAIGN OBSERVATIONS. S. Evan 1, M. J. Alexander 2 and J. Dudhia 3. 1 University of Colorado, Boulder,

More information

Analysis and numerical study of inertia-gravity waves generated by convection in the tropics

Analysis and numerical study of inertia-gravity waves generated by convection in the tropics University of Colorado, Boulder CU Scholar Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences Graduate Theses & Dissertations Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences Spring 1-1-2011 Analysis and numerical study of inertia-gravity

More information

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR In this chapter, comparisons between the model-produced and analyzed streamlines,

More information

Chihoko Yamashita 1,2, Han-Li Liu 1

Chihoko Yamashita 1,2, Han-Li Liu 1 1 1 Gravity Waves and the High-Resolution Modeling (Using ECMWF-T799) Chihoko Yamashita 1,2, Han-Li Liu 1 1. NCAR/HAO 2. University of Colorado at Boulder AWMG/WAWG Workshop 2012-02-01 Motivations Gravity

More information

Dynamical coupling between the middle atmosphere and lower thermosphere

Dynamical coupling between the middle atmosphere and lower thermosphere Dynamical coupling between the middle atmosphere and lower thermosphere Anne Smith, Dan Marsh, Nick Pedatella NCAR* Tomoko Matsuo CIRES/NOAA NCAR is sponsored by the National Science Foundation Model runs

More information

2. Outline of the MRI-EPS

2. Outline of the MRI-EPS 2. Outline of the MRI-EPS The MRI-EPS includes BGM cycle system running on the MRI supercomputer system, which is developed by using the operational one-month forecasting system by the Climate Prediction

More information

Improved rainfall and cloud-radiation interaction with Betts-Miller-Janjic cumulus scheme in the tropics

Improved rainfall and cloud-radiation interaction with Betts-Miller-Janjic cumulus scheme in the tropics Improved rainfall and cloud-radiation interaction with Betts-Miller-Janjic cumulus scheme in the tropics Tieh-Yong KOH 1 and Ricardo M. FONSECA 2 1 Singapore University of Social Sciences, Singapore 2

More information

Introduction to Dynamical Downscaling of ARPEGE-Climat Output Using WRF Over West Africa

Introduction to Dynamical Downscaling of ARPEGE-Climat Output Using WRF Over West Africa Introduction to Dynamical Downscaling of ARPEGE-Climat Output Using WRF Over West Africa N. Vigaud(1), P. Roucou(1), S. Sijikumar(1), B. Fontaine(1) and S. Tyteca(2) (1): Centre de Recherches de Climatologie

More information

Effects of a convective GWD parameterization in the global forecast system of the Met Office Unified Model in Korea

Effects of a convective GWD parameterization in the global forecast system of the Met Office Unified Model in Korea Effects of a convective GWD parameterization in the global forecast system of the Met Office Unified Model in Korea Young-Ha Kim 1, Hye-Yeong Chun 1, and Dong-Joon Kim 2 1 Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea

More information

Precipitation in climate modeling for the Mediterranean region

Precipitation in climate modeling for the Mediterranean region Precipitation in climate modeling for the Mediterranean region Simon Krichak Dept. of Geophysics Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Israel Concepts for Convective Parameterizations

More information

Kalimantan realistically (Figs. 8.23a-d). Also, the wind speeds of the westerly

Kalimantan realistically (Figs. 8.23a-d). Also, the wind speeds of the westerly suppressed rainfall rate (maximum vertical velocity) around 17 LST (Figs. 8.21a-b). These results are in agreement with previous studies (e. g., Emanuel and Raymond 1994). The diurnal variation of maximum

More information

Synoptic systems: Flowdependent. predictability

Synoptic systems: Flowdependent. predictability Synoptic systems: Flowdependent and ensemble predictability Federico Grazzini ARPA-SIMC, Bologna, Italy Thanks to Stefano Tibaldi and Valerio Lucarini for useful discussions and suggestions. Many thanks

More information

Dynamical balances and tropical stratospheric upwelling

Dynamical balances and tropical stratospheric upwelling Dynamical balances and tropical stratospheric upwelling Bill Randel and Rolando Garcia NCAR Thanks to: Qiang Fu, Andrew Gettelman, Rei Ueyama, Mike Wallace, plus WACCM group at NCAR. Background: Well-known

More information

Gravity wave variations during the 2009 stratospheric sudden

Gravity wave variations during the 2009 stratospheric sudden GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 37,, doi:10.109/010gl045437, 010 Gravity wave variations during the 009 stratospheric sudden warming as revealed by ECMWF T799 and observations Chihoko Yamashita, 1,

More information

Lecture #3: Gravity Waves in GCMs. Charles McLandress (Banff Summer School 7-13 May 2005)

Lecture #3: Gravity Waves in GCMs. Charles McLandress (Banff Summer School 7-13 May 2005) Lecture #3: Gravity Waves in GCMs Charles McLandress (Banff Summer School 7-13 May 2005) 1 Outline of Lecture 1. Role of GWs in the middle atmosphere 2. Background theory 3. Resolved GWs in GCMs 4. Parameterized

More information

CORDEX Simulations for South Asia

CORDEX Simulations for South Asia WCRP CORDEX South Asia Planning Meeting 25-26 February 2012 Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM) Pune, India CORDEX Simulations for South Asia J. Sanjay Centre for Climate Change Research (CCCR)

More information

Mesoscale and High Impact Weather in the South American Monsoon Leila M. V. Carvalho 1 and Maria A. F. Silva Dias 2 1

Mesoscale and High Impact Weather in the South American Monsoon Leila M. V. Carvalho 1 and Maria A. F. Silva Dias 2 1 Mesoscale and High Impact Weather in the South American Monsoon Leila M. V. Carvalho 1 and Maria A. F. Silva Dias 2 1 University of California, Santa Barbara 2 University of Sao Paulo, Brazil Objectives

More information

Numerical Experiments of Tropical Cyclone Seasonality over the Western North Pacific

Numerical Experiments of Tropical Cyclone Seasonality over the Western North Pacific Numerical Experiments of Tropical Cyclone Seasonality over the Western North Pacific Dong-Kyou Lee School of Earth and Environmental Sciences Seoul National University, Korea Contributors: Suk-Jin Choi,

More information

SPECIAL PROJECT PROGRESS REPORT

SPECIAL PROJECT PROGRESS REPORT SPECIAL PROJECT PROGRESS REPORT Progress Reports should be 2 to 10 pages in length, depending on importance of the project. All the following mandatory information needs to be provided. Reporting year

More information

Lecture 8. Monsoons and the seasonal variation of tropical circulation and rainfall

Lecture 8. Monsoons and the seasonal variation of tropical circulation and rainfall Lecture 8 Monsoons and the seasonal variation of tropical circulation and rainfall According to the second hypothesis, the monsoon is a manifestation of the seasonal variation of the tropical circulation

More information

Linkages between Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude

Linkages between Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude Linkages between Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude weather patterns Response of the wintertime atmospheric circulation to current and projected Arctic sea ice decline Gudrun Magnusdottir and Yannick

More information

Seoul National University. Ji-Hyun Ha, Gyu-Ho Lim and Dong-Kyou Lee

Seoul National University. Ji-Hyun Ha, Gyu-Ho Lim and Dong-Kyou Lee Numerical simulation with radar data assimilation over the Korean Peninsula Seoul National University Ji-Hyun Ha, Gyu-Ho Lim and Dong-Kyou Lee Introduction The forecast skill associated with warm season

More information

Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis

Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis Baijun Tian 1 Duane Waliser 1, Eric Fetzer 1, and Yuk Yung 2 1.Jet Propulsion

More information

High-Resolution MPAS Simulations for Analysis of Climate Change Effects on Weather Extremes

High-Resolution MPAS Simulations for Analysis of Climate Change Effects on Weather Extremes High-Resolution MPAS Simulations for Analysis of Climate Change Effects on Weather Extremes ALLISON MICHAELIS, GARY LACKMANN, & WALT ROBINSON Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North

More information

Intermediate-scale tropical inertia gravity waves observed during the TWP-ICE campaign

Intermediate-scale tropical inertia gravity waves observed during the TWP-ICE campaign Click Here for Full Article JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 113,, doi:10.1029/2007jd009289, 2008 Intermediate-scale tropical inertia gravity waves observed during the TWP-ICE campaign S. Evan 1 and

More information

Steven Feldstein. The link between tropical convection and the Arctic warming on intraseaonal and interdecadal time scales

Steven Feldstein. The link between tropical convection and the Arctic warming on intraseaonal and interdecadal time scales The link between tropical convection and the Arctic warming on intraseaonal and interdecadal time scales Steven Feldstein The Pennsylvania State University Collaborators: Sukyoung Lee, Hyoseok Park, Tingting

More information

Simulating roll clouds associated with low-level convergence in WRF

Simulating roll clouds associated with low-level convergence in WRF Simulating roll clouds associated with low-level convergence in WRF Abhnil Prasad1,3, Steven Sherwood1,3 and Hélène Brogniez2 1 Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW,

More information

Evaluation of the IPSL climate model in a weather-forecast mode

Evaluation of the IPSL climate model in a weather-forecast mode Evaluation of the IPSL climate model in a weather-forecast mode CFMIP/GCSS/EUCLIPSE Meeting, The Met Office, Exeter 2011 Solange Fermepin, Sandrine Bony and Laurent Fairhead Introduction Transpose AMIP

More information

Connecting tropics and extra-tropics: interaction of physical and dynamical processes in atmospheric teleconnections

Connecting tropics and extra-tropics: interaction of physical and dynamical processes in atmospheric teleconnections Connecting tropics and extra-tropics: interaction of physical and dynamical processes in atmospheric teleconnections Franco Molteni, Tim Stockdale, Laura Ferranti European Centre for Medium-Range Weather

More information

2006/12/29. MISMO workshop Yokohama, 25 November, 2008

2006/12/29. MISMO workshop Yokohama, 25 November, 2008 Global cloud-resolving simulations of MJO events in November 2006 - January 2007 ---multiscale structure --- 2006/12/29 MTSAT-1R NICAM Tomoe NASUNO, Masaki SATOH, Hiroaki MIURA, NICAM development group

More information

Projected change in the East Asian summer monsoon from dynamical downscaling

Projected change in the East Asian summer monsoon from dynamical downscaling Copyright KIOST, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Projected change in the East Asian summer monsoon from dynamical downscaling : Moisture budget analysis Chun-Yong Jung 1,2, Chan Joo Jang 1*, Ho-Jeong Shin 1 and Hyung-Jin

More information

GPC Exeter forecast for winter Crown copyright Met Office

GPC Exeter forecast for winter Crown copyright Met Office GPC Exeter forecast for winter 2015-2016 Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5 (GloSea5) ensemble prediction system the source for Met Office monthly and seasonal forecasts uses a coupled model (atmosphere

More information

A "New" Mechanism for the Diurnal Variation of Convection over the Tropical Western Pacific Ocean

A New Mechanism for the Diurnal Variation of Convection over the Tropical Western Pacific Ocean A "New" Mechanism for the Diurnal Variation of Convection over the Tropical Western Pacific Ocean D. B. Parsons Atmospheric Technology Division National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Boulder,

More information

ECMWF global reanalyses: Resources for the wind energy community

ECMWF global reanalyses: Resources for the wind energy community ECMWF global reanalyses: Resources for the wind energy community (and a few myth-busters) Paul Poli European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Shinfield Park, RG2 9AX, Reading, UK paul.poli

More information

The Influence of Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction on MJO Development and Propagation

The Influence of Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction on MJO Development and Propagation DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. The Influence of Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction on MJO Development and Propagation PI: Sue Chen Naval Research Laboratory

More information

Stratospheric Predictability and the Arctic Polar-night Jet Oscillation

Stratospheric Predictability and the Arctic Polar-night Jet Oscillation Stratospheric Predictability and the Arctic Polar-night Jet Oscillation Peter Hitchcock1, Ted Shepherd2 University of Toronto Now at Cambridge 2Now at Reading 1 Gloria Manney JPL, NMT, Now at NWRA NAM

More information

Introduction to tropical meteorology and deep convection

Introduction to tropical meteorology and deep convection Introduction to tropical meteorology and deep convection TMD Lecture 1 Roger K. Smith University of Munich A satpix tour of the tropics The zonal mean circulation (Hadley circulation), Inter- Tropical

More information

Tropical Meteorology. Roger K. Smith INDO IR

Tropical Meteorology. Roger K. Smith INDO IR Tropical Meteorology Roger K. Smith INDO IR 01010510 1 GMS IR 01022621 GOES IR 00112909 2 Introduction to the tropics The zonal mean circulation (Hadley circulation) The data network in the tropics (field

More information

Inertia gravity waves associated with deep convection observed during the summers of 2005 and 2007 in Korea

Inertia gravity waves associated with deep convection observed during the summers of 2005 and 2007 in Korea JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 116,, doi:10.1029/2011jd015684, 2011 Inertia gravity waves associated with deep convection observed during the summers of 2005 and 2007 in Korea Mi Ok Ki 1 and Hye

More information

Kelly Mahoney NOAA ESRL Physical Sciences Division

Kelly Mahoney NOAA ESRL Physical Sciences Division The role of gray zone convective model physics in highresolution simulations of the 2013 Colorado Front Range Flood WRF model simulated precipitation over terrain in CO Front Range Kelly Mahoney NOAA ESRL

More information

The Impact of the Extratropical Transition of Typhoon Dale (1996) on the Early Wintertime Stratospheric Circulation

The Impact of the Extratropical Transition of Typhoon Dale (1996) on the Early Wintertime Stratospheric Circulation The Impact of the Extratropical Transition of Typhoon Dale (1996) on the Early 1996-97 Wintertime Stratospheric Circulation Andrea L. Lang 1, Jason M. Cordeira 2, Lance F. Bosart 1 and Daniel Keyser 1

More information

Representation of the stratosphere in ECMWF operations and ERA-40

Representation of the stratosphere in ECMWF operations and ERA-40 Representation of the stratosphere in ECMWF operations and ERA-40 History Time series of forecast verification statistics Wind increments, PV and parametrized gravity-wave drag Forecast accuracy: The Antarctic

More information

Investigating Daily Summertime Circulation and Precipitation Over West Africa with the WRF Model: A Regional Climate Model Adaptation Study

Investigating Daily Summertime Circulation and Precipitation Over West Africa with the WRF Model: A Regional Climate Model Adaptation Study University of Colorado, Boulder CU Scholar Environmental Studies Graduate Theses & Dissertations Environmental Studies Spring 1-1-2014 Investigating Daily Summertime Circulation and Precipitation Over

More information

Correspondence between short and long timescale systematic errors in CAM4/CAM5 explored by YOTC data

Correspondence between short and long timescale systematic errors in CAM4/CAM5 explored by YOTC data Correspondence between short and long timescale systematic errors in CAM4/CAM5 explored by YOTC data Hsi-Yen Ma In collaboration with Shaocheng Xie, James Boyle, Stephen Klein, and Yuying Zhang Program

More information

Comparison of Convection Characteristics at the Tropical Western Pacific Darwin Site Between Observation and Global Climate Models Simulations

Comparison of Convection Characteristics at the Tropical Western Pacific Darwin Site Between Observation and Global Climate Models Simulations Comparison of Convection Characteristics at the Tropical Western Pacific Darwin Site Between Observation and Global Climate Models Simulations G.J. Zhang Center for Atmospheric Sciences Scripps Institution

More information

THE IMPACT OF GROUND-BASED GPS SLANT-PATH WET DELAY MEASUREMENTS ON SHORT-RANGE PREDICTION OF A PREFRONTAL SQUALL LINE

THE IMPACT OF GROUND-BASED GPS SLANT-PATH WET DELAY MEASUREMENTS ON SHORT-RANGE PREDICTION OF A PREFRONTAL SQUALL LINE JP1.17 THE IMPACT OF GROUND-BASED GPS SLANT-PATH WET DELAY MEASUREMENTS ON SHORT-RANGE PREDICTION OF A PREFRONTAL SQUALL LINE So-Young Ha *1,, Ying-Hwa Kuo 1, Gyu-Ho Lim 1 National Center for Atmospheric

More information

An Overview of NRCM Research and Lessons Learned

An Overview of NRCM Research and Lessons Learned An Overview of NRCM Research and Lessons Learned L. Ruby Leung Pacific Northwest National Laboratory With NCAR MMM/CGD scientists, students (U. Miami, Georgia Tech), and visitors (CMA and Taiwan) The NRCM

More information

Modelling the atmosphere. Hennie Kelder University of Technology Eindhoven

Modelling the atmosphere. Hennie Kelder University of Technology Eindhoven Modelling the atmosphere Hennie Kelder University of Technology Eindhoven Content Basics of the atmosphere Atmospheric dynamics Large scale circulation Planetary waves Brewer-Dobson circulation Some Key

More information

Sensitivity of Tropical Tropospheric Temperature to Sea Surface Temperature Forcing

Sensitivity of Tropical Tropospheric Temperature to Sea Surface Temperature Forcing Sensitivity of Tropical Tropospheric Temperature to Sea Surface Temperature Forcing Hui Su, J. David Neelin and Joyce E. Meyerson Introduction During El Niño, there are substantial tropospheric temperature

More information

Benguela Niño/Niña events and their connection with southern Africa rainfall have been documented before. They involve a weakening of the trade winds

Benguela Niño/Niña events and their connection with southern Africa rainfall have been documented before. They involve a weakening of the trade winds Benguela Niño/Niña events and their connection with southern Africa rainfall have been documented before. They involve a weakening of the trade winds in the equatorial western Atlantic in the early monsoon,

More information

Atmospheric Responses to Solar Wind Dynamic Pressure

Atmospheric Responses to Solar Wind Dynamic Pressure Atmospheric Responses to Solar Wind Dynamic Pressure Hua Lu British Antarctic Survey Outline Background: Sun-Earth Climate Connection Solar wind/geomagnetic activity signals with 3 examples stratospheric

More information

Dynamical. regions during sudden stratospheric warming event (Case study of 2009 and 2013 event)

Dynamical. regions during sudden stratospheric warming event (Case study of 2009 and 2013 event) Dynamical Coupling between high and low latitude regions during sudden stratospheric warming event (Case study of 2009 and 2013 event) Vinay Kumar 1,S. K. Dhaka 1,R. K. Choudhary 2,Shu-Peng Ho 3,M. Takahashi

More information

SC-WACCM! and! Problems with Specifying the Ozone Hole

SC-WACCM! and! Problems with Specifying the Ozone Hole SC-WACCM! and! Problems with Specifying the Ozone Hole R. Neely III, K. Smith2, D. Marsh,L. Polvani2 NCAR, 2Columbia Thanks to: Mike Mills, Francis Vitt and Sean Santos Motivation To design a stratosphere-resolving

More information

TC/PR/RB Lecture 3 - Simulation of Random Model Errors

TC/PR/RB Lecture 3 - Simulation of Random Model Errors TC/PR/RB Lecture 3 - Simulation of Random Model Errors Roberto Buizza (buizza@ecmwf.int) European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts http://www.ecmwf.int Roberto Buizza (buizza@ecmwf.int) 1 ECMWF

More information

The Canadian approach to ensemble prediction

The Canadian approach to ensemble prediction The Canadian approach to ensemble prediction ECMWF 2017 Annual seminar: Ensemble prediction : past, present and future. Pieter Houtekamer Montreal, Canada Overview. The Canadian approach. What are the

More information

Regional climate projections for NSW

Regional climate projections for NSW Regional climate projections for NSW Dr Jason Evans Jason.evans@unsw.edu.au Climate Change Projections Global Climate Models (GCMs) are the primary tools to project future climate change CSIROs Climate

More information

Insolation and Temperature variation. The Sun & Insolation. The Sun (cont.) The Sun

Insolation and Temperature variation. The Sun & Insolation. The Sun (cont.) The Sun Insolation and Temperature variation Atmosphere: blanket of air surrounding earth Without our atmosphere: cold, quiet, cratered place Dynamic: currents and circulation cells June 23, 2008 Atmosphere important

More information

Intermittency in precipitation: duration, frequency, intensity and amounts using hourly data

Intermittency in precipitation: duration, frequency, intensity and amounts using hourly data Intermittency in precipitation: duration, frequency, intensity and amounts using hourly data Kevin E Trenberth with Yongxin Zhang and Maria Gehne NCAR How should rainfall change as climate changes? Usually

More information

performance EARTH SCIENCE & CLIMATE CHANGE Mujtaba Hassan PhD Scholar Tsinghua University Beijing, P.R. C

performance EARTH SCIENCE & CLIMATE CHANGE Mujtaba Hassan PhD Scholar Tsinghua University Beijing, P.R. C Temperature and precipitation climatology assessment over South Asia using the Regional Climate Model (RegCM4.3): An evaluation of model performance Mujtaba Hassan PhD Scholar Tsinghua University Beijing,

More information

Lecture #1 Tidal Models. Charles McLandress (Banff Summer School 7-13 May 2005)

Lecture #1 Tidal Models. Charles McLandress (Banff Summer School 7-13 May 2005) Lecture #1 Tidal Models Charles McLandress (Banff Summer School 7-13 May 2005) 1 Outline of Lecture 1. Introduction 2. Brief description of tides 3. Observations of tides 4. Simulating tides using a general

More information

3. Midlatitude Storm Tracks and the North Atlantic Oscillation

3. Midlatitude Storm Tracks and the North Atlantic Oscillation 3. Midlatitude Storm Tracks and the North Atlantic Oscillation Copyright 2006 Emily Shuckburgh, University of Cambridge. Not to be quoted or reproduced without permission. EFS 3/1 Review of key results

More information

Yuqing Wang. International Pacific Research Center and Department of Meteorology University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 96822

Yuqing Wang. International Pacific Research Center and Department of Meteorology University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 96822 A Regional Atmospheric Inter-Model Evaluation Project (RAIMEP) with the Focus on Sub-daily Variation of Clouds and Precipitation Yuqing Wang International Pacific Research Center and Department of Meteorology

More information

Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change

Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change Chapter 1 Atmospheric and Oceanic Simulation Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change Project Representative Tatsushi

More information

Responses of mesosphere and lower thermosphere temperatures to gravity wave forcing during stratospheric sudden warming

Responses of mesosphere and lower thermosphere temperatures to gravity wave forcing during stratospheric sudden warming Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 37,, doi:10.1029/2009gl042351, 2010 Responses of mesosphere and lower thermosphere temperatures to gravity wave forcing during stratospheric

More information

5. General Circulation Models

5. General Circulation Models 5. General Circulation Models I. 3-D Climate Models (General Circulation Models) To include the full three-dimensional aspect of climate, including the calculation of the dynamical transports, requires

More information

Supplement to the. Final Report on the Project TRACHT-MODEL. Transport, Chemistry and Distribution of Trace Gases in the Tropopause Region: Model

Supplement to the. Final Report on the Project TRACHT-MODEL. Transport, Chemistry and Distribution of Trace Gases in the Tropopause Region: Model Anhang 2 Supplement to the Final Report on the Project TRACHT-MODEL Transport, Chemistry and Distribution of Trace Gases in the Tropopause Region: Model H. Feldmann, A. Ebel, Rheinisches Institut für Umweltforschung

More information

Role of Low Level Jetstream in Intense Monsoon Rainfall episodes over the West Coast of India

Role of Low Level Jetstream in Intense Monsoon Rainfall episodes over the West Coast of India Role of Low Level Jetstream in Intense Monsoon Rainfall episodes over the West Coast of India Dr. P.V. Joseph Professor Emeritus Department of Atmospheric Sciences Cochin University of Science and Technology

More information

Mechanisms for influence of the stratosphere on the troposphere

Mechanisms for influence of the stratosphere on the troposphere Mechanisms for influence of the stratosphere on the troposphere Radiative Mass transfer/chemical Dynamical Alan Plumb M. I. T. Apr 2003 What dynamical effect does the stratosphere have on the troposphere?

More information

Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective

Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective Ming-Jen Yang Institute of Hydrological Sciences, National Central University 1. Introduction Typhoon Nari (2001) struck

More information

Incorporation of 3D Shortwave Radiative Effects within the Weather Research and Forecasting Model

Incorporation of 3D Shortwave Radiative Effects within the Weather Research and Forecasting Model Incorporation of 3D Shortwave Radiative Effects within the Weather Research and Forecasting Model W. O Hirok and P. Ricchiazzi Institute for Computational Earth System Science University of California

More information

General Circulation. Nili Harnik DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory

General Circulation. Nili Harnik DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory General Circulation Nili Harnik DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory nili@ldeo.columbia.edu Latitudinal Radiation Imbalance The annual mean, averaged around latitude circles, of the balance between the

More information

Arctic System Reanalysis Provides Highresolution Accuracy for Arctic Studies

Arctic System Reanalysis Provides Highresolution Accuracy for Arctic Studies Arctic System Reanalysis Provides Highresolution Accuracy for Arctic Studies David H. Bromwich, Aaron Wilson, Lesheng Bai, Zhiquan Liu POLAR2018 Davos, Switzerland Arctic System Reanalysis Regional reanalysis

More information

Estimating the influence of summertime deep convection over the Tibetan Plateau on water vapor transport into the tropical lower stratosphere

Estimating the influence of summertime deep convection over the Tibetan Plateau on water vapor transport into the tropical lower stratosphere Estimating the influence of summertime deep convection over the Tibetan Plateau on water vapor transport into the tropical lower stratosphere Jonathon S. Wright Tsinghua University Center for Earth System

More information

Impact of wind changes in the upper troposphere lower stratosphere on tropical ozone

Impact of wind changes in the upper troposphere lower stratosphere on tropical ozone Impact of wind changes in the upper troposphere lower stratosphere on tropical ozone Martin Dameris Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR) Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen

More information

Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content

Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content Color Plates Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content Fig. 2.8 A snapshot of the cyclone frontal-system by a nonhydrostatic model run with two very

More information

ESTUDIO NUMÉRICO DE LA PREDICTABILIDAD DE UN EVENTO DE CICLOGÉNESIS MEDITERRÁNEA MEDIANTE INVERSIÓN DE VORTICIDAD POTENCIAL

ESTUDIO NUMÉRICO DE LA PREDICTABILIDAD DE UN EVENTO DE CICLOGÉNESIS MEDITERRÁNEA MEDIANTE INVERSIÓN DE VORTICIDAD POTENCIAL ETUDIO NUMÉRICO DE LA PREDICTABILIDAD DE UN EVENTO DE CICLOGÉNEI MEDITERRÁNEA MEDIANTE INVERIÓN DE VORTICIDAD POTENCIAL R. Romero, C. Ramis y. Alonso Grupo de Meteorología, Departamento de Física, UIB,

More information

Numerical Weather Prediction: Data assimilation. Steven Cavallo

Numerical Weather Prediction: Data assimilation. Steven Cavallo Numerical Weather Prediction: Data assimilation Steven Cavallo Data assimilation (DA) is the process estimating the true state of a system given observations of the system and a background estimate. Observations

More information

Month-Long Simulations of Gravity Waves over North America and North Atlantic in Comparison with Satellite Observations

Month-Long Simulations of Gravity Waves over North America and North Atlantic in Comparison with Satellite Observations 446 ACTA METEOROLOGICA SINICA VOL.27 Month-Long Simulations of Gravity Waves over North America and North Atlantic in Comparison with Satellite Observations ZHANG Fuqing 1 (Ü4 ), ZHANG Meng 1,3 (Ü ), WEI

More information

Tropospheric Moisture: The Crux of the MJO?

Tropospheric Moisture: The Crux of the MJO? Tropospheric Moisture: The Crux of the MJO? Chidong Zhang RSMAS, University of Miami ICGPSRO2013, May 14 16, 2013 Madden and Julian 1972 Precipitation Global Impacts of the MJO on Weather and Climate MJO

More information

Sensitivity of precipitation forecasts to cumulus parameterizations in Catalonia (NE Spain)

Sensitivity of precipitation forecasts to cumulus parameterizations in Catalonia (NE Spain) Sensitivity of precipitation forecasts to cumulus parameterizations in Catalonia (NE Spain) Jordi Mercader (1), Bernat Codina (1), Abdelmalik Sairouni (2), Jordi Cunillera (2) (1) Dept. of Astronomy and

More information

Predictability of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex Breakdown

Predictability of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex Breakdown International Symposium on the Whole Atmosphere (ISWA) Session 4: Sudden stratospheric warming and SSW-initiated global coupling 14 September 2016 @ Ito Hall, The University of Tokyo Predictability of

More information

Introduction to tropical meteorology and deep convection

Introduction to tropical meteorology and deep convection Introduction to tropical meteorology and deep convection Roger K. Smith University of Munich A satpix tour of the tropics The zonal mean circulation (Hadley circulation), Inter- Tropical Convergence Zone

More information

Evaluating parameterisations of subgridscale variability with satellite data

Evaluating parameterisations of subgridscale variability with satellite data Evaluating parameterisations of subgridscale variability with satellite data Johannes Quaas Institute for Meteorology University of Leipzig johannes.quaas@uni-leipzig.de www.uni-leipzig.de/~quaas Acknowledgements

More information

EVALUATION AND SENSITIVITY STUDIES OF SALLJ NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS

EVALUATION AND SENSITIVITY STUDIES OF SALLJ NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS EVALUATION AND SENSITIVITY STUDIES OF SALLJ NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS Analysis Impact Model Validation Forecast Impact EVALUATION AND SENSITIVITY STUDIES OF SALLJ NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS Analysis Impact (Demaria

More information

Kelvin and Rossby gravity wave packets in the lower stratosphere of CMIP5 models

Kelvin and Rossby gravity wave packets in the lower stratosphere of CMIP5 models Kelvin and Rossby gravity wave packets in the lower stratosphere of CMIP models F. Lott{1}, S. Denvil{2}, N. Butchart{3}, C. Cagnazzo{4}, M. A. Giorgetta{}, S. C. Hardiman{3}, E. Manzini{}, T. Krismer{},

More information

Extratropical transition of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in variable-resolution CAM5

Extratropical transition of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in variable-resolution CAM5 Extratropical transition of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in variable-resolution CAM5 Diana Thatcher, Christiane Jablonowski University of Michigan Colin Zarzycki National Center for Atmospheric Research

More information

What you need to know in Ch. 12. Lecture Ch. 12. Atmospheric Heat Engine

What you need to know in Ch. 12. Lecture Ch. 12. Atmospheric Heat Engine Lecture Ch. 12 Review of simplified climate model Revisiting: Kiehl and Trenberth Overview of atmospheric heat engine Current research on clouds-climate Curry and Webster, Ch. 12 For Wednesday: Read Ch.

More information

What is the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)?

What is the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)? What is the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)? Planetary scale, 30 90 day oscillation in zonal wind, precipitation, surface pressure, humidity, etc., that propagates slowly eastward Wavelength = 12,000 20,000

More information

11 days (00, 12 UTC) 132 hours (06, 18 UTC) One unperturbed control forecast and 26 perturbed ensemble members. --

11 days (00, 12 UTC) 132 hours (06, 18 UTC) One unperturbed control forecast and 26 perturbed ensemble members. -- APPENDIX 2.2.6. CHARACTERISTICS OF GLOBAL EPS 1. Ensemble system Ensemble (version) Global EPS (GEPS1701) Date of implementation 19 January 2017 2. EPS configuration Model (version) Global Spectral Model

More information

High initial time sensitivity of medium range forecasting observed for a stratospheric sudden warming

High initial time sensitivity of medium range forecasting observed for a stratospheric sudden warming GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 37,, doi:10.1029/2010gl044119, 2010 High initial time sensitivity of medium range forecasting observed for a stratospheric sudden warming Yuhji Kuroda 1 Received 27 May

More information

A New Ocean Mixed-Layer Model Coupled into WRF

A New Ocean Mixed-Layer Model Coupled into WRF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2012, VOL. 5, NO. 3, 170 175 A New Ocean Mixed-Layer Model Coupled into WRF WANG Zi-Qian 1,2 and DUAN An-Min 1 1 The State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling

More information

Speedwell High Resolution WRF Forecasts. Application

Speedwell High Resolution WRF Forecasts. Application Speedwell High Resolution WRF Forecasts Speedwell weather are providers of high quality weather data and forecasts for many markets. Historically we have provided forecasts which use a statistical bias

More information

Climate Modelling: Basics

Climate Modelling: Basics Climate Modelling: Basics Lecture at APN-TERI Student Seminar Teri University, 16 th Feb 2015 Saurabh Bhardwaj Associate Fellow Earth Science & Climate Change Division TERI saurabh.bhardwaj@teri.res.in

More information

Hydrodynamic conservation laws and turbulent friction in atmospheric circulation models

Hydrodynamic conservation laws and turbulent friction in atmospheric circulation models Hydrodynamic conservation laws and turbulent friction in atmospheric circulation models Erich Becker Leibniz-Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Kühlungsborn, Germany Including contributions from Ulrike

More information

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE The Skillful Time Scale of Climate Models

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE The Skillful Time Scale of Climate Models Journal January of 2016 the Meteorological Society of Japan, I. TAKAYABU Vol. 94A, pp. and 191 197, K. HIBINO 2016 191 DOI:10.2151/jmsj.2015-038 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE The Skillful Time Scale of Climate

More information

3D Brewer Dobson circulation derived from satellite measurements

3D Brewer Dobson circulation derived from satellite measurements SPARC BDC Workshop Grindelwald, Tuesday, June 26, 202 3D Brewer Dobson circulation derived from satellite measurements Axel Gabriel, Deniz Demirhan Bari,2, Heiner Körnich 3, Dieter H.W. Peters Leibniz-Institute

More information

The Study of the Atmosphere

The Study of the Atmosphere 1 The Study of the Atmosphere Learning Goals After studying this chapter, students should be able to distinguish between weather and climate (pp. 2 5); describe how the various components of the climate

More information

Exploring and extending the limits of weather predictability? Antje Weisheimer

Exploring and extending the limits of weather predictability? Antje Weisheimer Exploring and extending the limits of weather predictability? Antje Weisheimer Arnt Eliassen s legacy for NWP ECMWF is an independent intergovernmental organisation supported by 34 states. ECMWF produces

More information

A. Parodi 1, (1) CIMA Research Foundation, Italy. in cooperation with: K. A. Emanuel 2, and E. Foufoula-Georgiou 3 (2) EAPS, MIT, USA

A. Parodi 1, (1) CIMA Research Foundation, Italy. in cooperation with: K. A. Emanuel 2, and E. Foufoula-Georgiou 3 (2) EAPS, MIT, USA Spatial and temporal evolution of deep moist convective processes: the role of microphysics A. Parodi 1, (1) CIMA Research Foundation, Italy in cooperation with: K. A. Emanuel 2, and E. Foufoula-Georgiou

More information

Steady Flow: rad conv. where. E c T gz L q 2. p v 2 V. Integrate from surface to top of atmosphere: rad TOA rad conv surface

Steady Flow: rad conv. where. E c T gz L q 2. p v 2 V. Integrate from surface to top of atmosphere: rad TOA rad conv surface The Three-Dimensional Circulation 1 Steady Flow: F k ˆ F k ˆ VE 0, rad conv where 1 E c T gz L q 2 p v 2 V Integrate from surface to top of atmosphere: VE F FF F 0 rad TOA rad conv surface 2 What causes

More information