Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content"

Transcription

1 Color Plates Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content Fig. 2.8 A snapshot of the cyclone frontal-system by a nonhydrostatic model run with two very high horizontal resolutions

2 276 Color Plates Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content Fig. 3.1 A snapshots of the cyclone frontal-system by a nonhydrostatic model with two very high horizontal resolutions Fig. 3.2 A global view of the cloud distribution (column integrated liquid water) after 24 h integration using 12 km resolution

3 Color Plates 277 Fig. 6.1 An example of the icosahedral grid. This grid is generated from the original icosahedron by dividing triangles 4-times recursively. We obtain grid interval of 3.5 km by dividing the original icosahedron 11-times

4 278 Color Plates precipitation: center = Fig. 6.2 Precipitation for the 3.5 km-mesh experiment. Ninety minutes average between 0:00 1:30 at 85 days. Value is log 10 (precipitation [mm h 1 ]). Longitude of center line is located at 90 (top) and 90 (bottom). Each corresponds to eastern and western hemispheres of the aqua-planet model, respectively

5 Color Plates 279 Fig. 6.4 Comparison of spectral representations of rainfall rate between TRMM PR and NICAM. Top left: TRMM PR, convective rains over ocean; bottom left: TRMM PR, stratiform rains over ocean; top right: NICAM, convective rains; bottom right: NICAM, stratiform rains. Rainfall rate of NICAM is defined by the sum of rain and snow fall rate relative to the air.

6 280 Color Plates Fig. 6.5 Spectral representations of rainfall rate of NICAM. Rainfall rate is defined by the sum of rain and snow fall rate relative to the ground Fig. 6.6 Spectral representations of the sum of rain and snow concentrations (top left), vertical velocity (bottom left), total precipitation relative to the ground (top right), and total precipitation relative to the air (bottom right)

7 Color Plates 281 Fig. 7.2 Tropical cyclone tracks of the observational data (top), the present-day (middle), and the future climate experiments (bottom). The initial positions of tropical cyclones are marked with plus signs. The tracks detected at different seasons of each year is in different colors (blue for January, February, and March; green for April, May, and June; red for July, August, and September; orange for October, November, and December) (Oouchi et al. 2006)

8 282 Color Plates Fig. 7.5 Distribution of climatological precipitation (color, mm day 1 ) and 850-hPa wind vector (arrow, ms 1 ) for July. (a) Observed precipitation by GPCP 2.5 data (Adler et al. 2001) for 12 years from 1982 to Observed wind by ERA-40 data (Simmons and Gibson 2000) for 30 years from 1971 to (b) Model s present-day climate simulation. (c) Change as future minus presentday simulation. The contour and thick arrow show a 90% significance level of the precipitation and wind, respectively

9 Color Plates 283 Fig. 9.5 Surface pressure (contour lines; hpa) and rainfall intensity (color levels; mmhr 1 )ofthe simulated Typhoon T0418 at 0830 UTC, September 5, 2004 Fig. 9.6 Same as Fig. 9.5 but for the Typhoon T0423 at 0630 UTC, September 20, Arrows are horizontal wind velocity at a height of 974 m and warmer-colored arrows mean moister air. The rectangle indicates the region of Fig. 9.7

10 284 Color Plates Fig. 9.7 Mixing ratio of precipitation (color levels; gkg 1 ) and horizontal velocity (arrows) ata height of m at 0630 UTC, September 20, 2004 Fig Mixing ratio of precipitation (color levels; g kg 1 ) and horizontal velocity (arrows) ata height of m at 0000 UTC, January 15, 2001

11 Color Plates 285 Fig Mixing ratio of precipitation (color levels; g kg 1 ). Black and blue arrows are horizontal wind velocity at a height of 315 and m, respectively. Red arrows are wind shear between these levels

12 286 Color Plates 60N 40N 20N Latitude 0 20S 40S 60S 120E 140E 160E W 140W 120W 100W 80W 60W Longitude Fig Zonal component of velocity at 38 m depth averaged over 3 years from the climatological run of the POP model. Color saturates at 0.06 m s 1 (blue) and 0.06 m s 1 (red) Fig Zonal component of velocity along 180 E averaged over 3 years from the climatological run of the POP model as a function of latitude and depth. Model run the same as in Fig Color saturates at 0.1ms 1 (blue) and 0.1 m s 1 (red). Zero contour is given by black line

13 Color Plates 287 Fig Monthly averaged zonal component of velocity at 380 m depth averaged between 140 W and 150 W, as a function of latitude and time, from OFES. Color saturates at 0.2ms 1 (blue) and 0.2ms 1 (red). Zero contour is given by black line Fig Monthly averaged zonal component of velocity in the South Pacific for January 1980 at 400 m depth, from OFES. Color saturates at 0.2 ms 1 (blue) and 0.2 m s 1 (red). Zero contour is given by black line

14 288 Color Plates 20S 30S 40S 50S 60S 70S 0 60E 120E W 60W (a) 20S 30S 40S 50S 60S 70S 0 60E 120E W 60W (b) S 30S 40S 50S 60S 70S 0 60E 120E W 60W (c) Fig The EBFC of (a) the SO6, (b) SO12, and (c) the Gent McWilliams flux convergence (unit : ms 3 ) at 2,000 m depth

15 Color Plates S 30S 40S 50S 60S 70S 0 60E 120E W 60W (a) 20S 30S 40S 50S 60S 70S 0 60E 120E W 60W S 30S 40S 50S 60S 70S 0 60E (b) 120E W 60W (c) Fig (a) The potential density distribution (σ 2 ),(b) the coefficient κ calculated with the summation area size of 10 5 (unit : 10 2 m 2 s 1 ), and (c) the current strength at 2,000 m depth (unit : 10 2 ms 1 )

16 290 Color Plates Fig Instantaneous global precipitation distribution (mm/h) plotted every 6 h obtained by validation experiments: (a) (h)

17 Color Plates 291 Fig A 72-h tracking forecasting with different horizontal/vertical resolution. Red line and green line show tracking forecasting results with 11 km horizontal resolution for global and 64/32 vertical layers, respectively. Blue line shows tracking forecast with 5.5 km horizontal resolution for global and 32 vertical layers Fig Precipitation distribution with different horizontal resolution. (a) 5.5 km horizontal resolution for global forecasting simulation, (b) results of regional simulation with 1.13 km horizontal resolution, (c) observational data

18 292 Color Plates Fig (a) Temperature distribution at 15 m depth, (b) distribution of absolute value of horizontal velocity at 105 m depth

19 Color Plates 293 Fig Precipitation distribution (mm/h), wind velocity with black allow and SST distribution during typhoon ETAU attacked Japan region. Left-hand side color bar shows volume of precipitation and right-hand side color bar presents SST temperature

Development of Super High Resolution Global and Regional Climate Models

Development of Super High Resolution Global and Regional Climate Models Development of Super High Resolution Global and Regional Climate Models Project Representative Akira Noda Meteorological Research Institute Authors Akira Noda 1, Shoji Kusunoki 1 and Masanori Yoshizaki

More information

High Resolution Modeling of Multi-scale Cloud and Precipitation Systems Using a Cloud-Resolving Model

High Resolution Modeling of Multi-scale Cloud and Precipitation Systems Using a Cloud-Resolving Model Chapter 1 Atmospheric and Oceanic Simulation High Resolution Modeling of Multi-scale Cloud and Precipitation Systems Using a Cloud-Resolving Model Project Representative Kazuhisa Tsuboki Author Kazuhisa

More information

Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change

Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change Chapter 1 Atmospheric and Oceanic Simulation Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model (GCM) at the Frontier Research Center for Global Change Project Representative Tatsushi

More information

KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT

KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT T KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT 2 ALAYSIAN METEOROLOGICAL http://www.met.gov.my DEPARTMENT MINISTRY OF SCIENCE. TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATIO Introduction Atmospheric and oceanic conditions over the tropical

More information

Weathernews Looks Back at 2015: A Year of Storms. Powerful Typhoons Occurred with Changing Patterns in El Niño Years

Weathernews Looks Back at 2015: A Year of Storms. Powerful Typhoons Occurred with Changing Patterns in El Niño Years NEWS RELEASE January 27th, 2016 Weathernews Looks Back at 2015: A Year of Storms Powerful Typhoons Occurred with Changing Patterns in El Niño Years Weathernews Inc. (Chiba, Japan; Chihito Kusabiraki/CEO)

More information

NOAA 2015 Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

NOAA 2015 Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook NOAA 2015 Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Dr. Gerry Bell Lead Seasonal Forecaster Climate Prediction Center/ NOAA/ NWS Collaboration With National Hurricane Center/ NOAA/ NWS Hurricane Research

More information

Examination of Tropical Cyclogenesis using the High Temporal and Spatial Resolution JRA-25 Dataset

Examination of Tropical Cyclogenesis using the High Temporal and Spatial Resolution JRA-25 Dataset Examination of Tropical Cyclogenesis using the High Temporal and Spatial Resolution JRA-25 Dataset Masato Sugi Forecast Research Department, Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Correspondence: msugi@mri-jma.go.jp

More information

7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency

7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency Summary of the 2016 Asian Summer Monsoon 7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency This report summarizes the characteristics of the surface climate and atmospheric/oceanographic

More information

2006/12/29. MISMO workshop Yokohama, 25 November, 2008

2006/12/29. MISMO workshop Yokohama, 25 November, 2008 Global cloud-resolving simulations of MJO events in November 2006 - January 2007 ---multiscale structure --- 2006/12/29 MTSAT-1R NICAM Tomoe NASUNO, Masaki SATOH, Hiroaki MIURA, NICAM development group

More information

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Shingo Yamada Tokyo Climate Center Japan Meteorological Agency 2006/11/02 7 th Joint Meeting on EAWM Contents 1. Verification of the Seasonal

More information

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION The total amount of rainfall recorded at Reina Beatrix International Airport for the year 2014 was 309.2 mm. This is 34.4 % below normal ( Figure 1 ). During

More information

Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO

Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO Tim Li Department of Meteorology and IPRC University of Hawaii DYNAMO workshop, April 13-14, Boulder, Colorado 1. MJO Initiation issue: Role of air- sea

More information

4.3.2 Configuration. 4.3 Ensemble Prediction System Introduction

4.3.2 Configuration. 4.3 Ensemble Prediction System Introduction 4.3 Ensemble Prediction System 4.3.1 Introduction JMA launched its operational ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) for one-month forecasting, one-week forecasting, and seasonal forecasting in March of 1996,

More information

Introduction of products for Climate System Monitoring

Introduction of products for Climate System Monitoring Introduction of products for Climate System Monitoring 1 Typical flow of making one month forecast Textbook P.66 Observed data Atmospheric and Oceanic conditions Analysis Numerical model Ensemble forecast

More information

Supplementary Figure 1. Summer mesoscale convective systems rainfall climatology and trends. Mesoscale convective system (MCS) (a) mean total

Supplementary Figure 1. Summer mesoscale convective systems rainfall climatology and trends. Mesoscale convective system (MCS) (a) mean total Supplementary Figure 1. Summer mesoscale convective systems rainfall climatology and trends. Mesoscale convective system (MCS) (a) mean total rainfall and (b) total rainfall trend from 1979-2014. Total

More information

C

C C 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0-0.2-0.6 Fig. 1. SST-wind relation in the North Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. Left panel: COADS SST (color shade), surface wind vectors, and SLP regressed upon the Pacific Decadal Oscillation

More information

Will a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall?

Will a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall? Will a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall? Nicholas P. Klingaman National Centre for Atmospheric Science-Climate Walker Institute for Climate System Research University of Reading The Walker-QCCCE

More information

The western Colombia low-level jet and its simulation by CMIP5 models

The western Colombia low-level jet and its simulation by CMIP5 models The western Colombia low-level jet and its simulation by CMIP5 models Juan P. Sierra, Jhoana Agudelo, Paola A. Arias and Sara C. Vieira Grupo de Ingeniería y Gestión Amiental (GIGA), Escuela Ambiental,

More information

High-Resolution MPAS Simulations for Analysis of Climate Change Effects on Weather Extremes

High-Resolution MPAS Simulations for Analysis of Climate Change Effects on Weather Extremes High-Resolution MPAS Simulations for Analysis of Climate Change Effects on Weather Extremes ALLISON MICHAELIS, GARY LACKMANN, & WALT ROBINSON Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North

More information

Development of a High-Resolution Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model for Climate System Studies

Development of a High-Resolution Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model for Climate System Studies Chapter 1 Earth Science Development of a High-Resolution Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land General Circulation Model for Climate System Studies Project Representative Tatsushi Tokioka Frontier Research Center

More information

WATER VAPOR FLUXES OVER EQUATORIAL CENTRAL AFRICA

WATER VAPOR FLUXES OVER EQUATORIAL CENTRAL AFRICA WATER VAPOR FLUXES OVER EQUATORIAL CENTRAL AFRICA INTRODUCTION A good understanding of the causes of climate variability depend, to the large extend, on the precise knowledge of the functioning of the

More information

Genesis Parameters, Genesis Thresholds, and Mid-Level Humidity

Genesis Parameters, Genesis Thresholds, and Mid-Level Humidity Genesis Parameters, Genesis Thresholds, and Mid-Level Humidity Michael G. McGauley and David S. Nolan Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science University of Miami Miami, Florida, USA This work

More information

Chapter 1 Climate in 2016

Chapter 1 Climate in 2016 Chapter 1 Climate in 2016 1.1 Global climate summary Extremely high temperatures were frequently observed in many regions of the world, and in particular continued for most of the year in various places

More information

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 23 April 2012

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 23 April 2012 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 23 April 2012 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index

More information

Evaluating a Genesis Potential Index with Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3) By: Kieran Bhatia

Evaluating a Genesis Potential Index with Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3) By: Kieran Bhatia Evaluating a Genesis Potential Index with Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3) By: Kieran Bhatia I. Introduction To assess the impact of large-scale environmental conditions on tropical cyclone

More information

GPC Exeter forecast for winter Crown copyright Met Office

GPC Exeter forecast for winter Crown copyright Met Office GPC Exeter forecast for winter 2015-2016 Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5 (GloSea5) ensemble prediction system the source for Met Office monthly and seasonal forecasts uses a coupled model (atmosphere

More information

A Climatology of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific

A Climatology of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific A Climatology of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific Naoko KITABATAKE (Meteorological Research Institute / Japan Meteorological Agency) 1 Outline 1. Topic 1:

More information

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION Figure S1. Summary of the climatic responses to the Gulf Stream. On the offshore flank of the SST front (black dashed curve) of the Gulf Stream (green long arrow), surface wind convergence associated with

More information

SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIALS FOR:

SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIALS FOR: SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIALS FOR: Simulated reduction in Atlantic hurricane frequency under 21 st century warming conditions Thomas R. Knutson, Joseph J. Sirutis, Stephen T. Garner, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Isaac

More information

Prospects for subseasonal forecast of Tropical Cyclone statistics with the CFS

Prospects for subseasonal forecast of Tropical Cyclone statistics with the CFS Prospects for subseasonal forecast of Tropical Cyclone statistics with the CFS Augustin Vintzileos (1)(3), Tim Marchok (2), Hua-Lu Pan (3) and Stephen J. Lord (1) SAIC (2) GFDL (3) EMC/NCEP/NOAA During

More information

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 5 August 2013

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 5 August 2013 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 5 August 2013 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index

More information

Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast

Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast TCC Training Seminar on One-month Forecast on 13 November 2018 10:30 11:00 1 Typical flow of making one-month forecast Observed

More information

1. Introduction. 2. Verification of the 2010 forecasts. Research Brief 2011/ February 2011

1. Introduction. 2. Verification of the 2010 forecasts. Research Brief 2011/ February 2011 Research Brief 2011/01 Verification of Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific and Number of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall in South China and the Korea and Japan region

More information

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 11 November 2013

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 11 November 2013 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 11 November 2013 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index

More information

Upgrade of JMA s Typhoon Ensemble Prediction System

Upgrade of JMA s Typhoon Ensemble Prediction System Upgrade of JMA s Typhoon Ensemble Prediction System Masayuki Kyouda Numerical Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological Agency and Masakazu Higaki Office of Marine Prediction, Japan Meteorological Agency

More information

Outline of 4 Lectures

Outline of 4 Lectures Outline of 4 Lectures 1. Sept. 17, 2008: TC best track definition and datasets, global distribution of TCs; Review of history of meteorological satellites, introducing different orbits, scanning patterns,

More information

A Preliminary Climatology of Extratropical Transitions in the Southwest Indian Ocean

A Preliminary Climatology of Extratropical Transitions in the Southwest Indian Ocean A Preliminary Climatology of Extratropical Transitions in the Southwest Indian Ocean Kyle S. Griffin Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New

More information

Characteristics of Global Precipitable Water Revealed by COSMIC Measurements

Characteristics of Global Precipitable Water Revealed by COSMIC Measurements Characteristics of Global Precipitable Water Revealed by COSMIC Measurements Ching-Yuang Huang 1,2, Wen-Hsin Teng 1, Shu-Peng Ho 3, Ying-Hwa Kuo 3, and Xin-Jia Zhou 3 1 Department of Atmospheric Sciences,

More information

ANNUAL CLIMATE REPORT 2016 SRI LANKA

ANNUAL CLIMATE REPORT 2016 SRI LANKA ANNUAL CLIMATE REPORT 2016 SRI LANKA Foundation for Environment, Climate and Technology C/o Mahaweli Authority of Sri Lanka, Digana Village, Rajawella, Kandy, KY 20180, Sri Lanka Citation Lokuhetti, R.,

More information

Maximization of Historical Severe Precipitation Events over American, Yuba and Feather River Basins

Maximization of Historical Severe Precipitation Events over American, Yuba and Feather River Basins Maximization of Historical Severe Precipitation Events over merican, Yuba and Feather River Basins M. L. Kavvas 1, K. Ishida 1, S. Jang 1, N. Ohara 2, Z.Q.Chen 3, and M. nderson 3 1 University Of California,

More information

Current Status of COMS AMV in NMSC/KMA

Current Status of COMS AMV in NMSC/KMA Current Status of COMS AMV in NMSC/KMA Eunha Sohn, Sung-Rae Chung, Jong-Seo Park Satellite Analysis Division, NMSC/KMA soneh0431@korea.kr COMS AMV of KMA/NMSC has been produced hourly since April 1, 2011.

More information

Characteristics of extreme convection over equatorial America and Africa

Characteristics of extreme convection over equatorial America and Africa Characteristics of extreme convection over equatorial America and Africa Manuel D. Zuluaga, K. Rasmussen and R. A. Houze Jr. Atmospheric & Climate Dynamics Seminar Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University

More information

Thai Meteorological Department, Ministry of Digital Economy and Society

Thai Meteorological Department, Ministry of Digital Economy and Society Thai Meteorological Department, Ministry of Digital Economy and Society Three-month Climate Outlook For November 2017 January 2018 Issued on 31 October 2017 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

More information

Comparison of Freezing-Level Altitudes from the NCEP Reanalysis with TRMM Precipitation Radar Brightband Data

Comparison of Freezing-Level Altitudes from the NCEP Reanalysis with TRMM Precipitation Radar Brightband Data 1DECEMBER 2000 HARRIS ET AL. 4137 Comparison of Freezing-Level Altitudes from the NCEP Reanalysis with TRMM Precipitation Radar Brightband Data GETTYS N. HARRIS JR., KENNETH P. BOWMAN, AND DONG-BIN SHIN

More information

An Objective Algorithm for the Identification of Convective Tropical Cloud Clusters in Geostationary Infrared Imagery. Why?

An Objective Algorithm for the Identification of Convective Tropical Cloud Clusters in Geostationary Infrared Imagery. Why? An Objective Algorithm for the Identification of Convective Tropical Cloud Clusters in Geostationary Infrared Imagery By Chip Helms Faculty Advisor: Dr. Chris Hennon Why? Create a database for the tropical

More information

Investigating Daily Summertime Circulation and Precipitation Over West Africa with the WRF Model: A Regional Climate Model Adaptation Study

Investigating Daily Summertime Circulation and Precipitation Over West Africa with the WRF Model: A Regional Climate Model Adaptation Study University of Colorado, Boulder CU Scholar Environmental Studies Graduate Theses & Dissertations Environmental Studies Spring 1-1-2014 Investigating Daily Summertime Circulation and Precipitation Over

More information

The feature of atmospheric circulation in the extremely warm winter 2006/2007

The feature of atmospheric circulation in the extremely warm winter 2006/2007 The feature of atmospheric circulation in the extremely warm winter 2006/2007 Hiroshi Hasegawa 1, Yayoi Harada 1, Hiroshi Nakamigawa 1, Atsushi Goto 1 1 Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological

More information

IMPACT STUDIES OF AMVS AND SCATTEROMETER WINDS IN JMA GLOBAL OPERATIONAL NWP SYSTEM

IMPACT STUDIES OF AMVS AND SCATTEROMETER WINDS IN JMA GLOBAL OPERATIONAL NWP SYSTEM IMPACT STUDIES OF AMVS AND SCATTEROMETER WINDS IN JMA GLOBAL OPERATIONAL NWP SYSTEM Koji Yamashita Japan Meteorological Agency / Numerical Prediction Division 1-3-4, Otemachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122,

More information

General Circulation of the Atmosphere. René Garreaud

General Circulation of the Atmosphere. René Garreaud General Circulation of the Atmosphere René Garreaud www.dgf.uchile.cl/rene General circulation of the Atmosphere Low latitude areas receive more solar energy than high latitudes (because of earth sphericity).

More information

Why There Is Weather?

Why There Is Weather? Lecture 6: Weather, Music Of Our Sphere Weather and Climate WEATHER The daily fluctuations in atmospheric conditions. The atmosphere on its own can produce weather. (From Understanding Weather & Climate)

More information

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 24 September 2012

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 24 September 2012 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 24 September 2012 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño

More information

Satellites, Weather and Climate Module??: Polar Vortex

Satellites, Weather and Climate Module??: Polar Vortex Satellites, Weather and Climate Module??: Polar Vortex SWAC Jan 2014 AKA Circumpolar Vortex Science or Hype? Will there be one this year? Today s objectives Pre and Post exams What is the Polar Vortex

More information

Characteristics of Storm Tracks in JMA s Seasonal Forecast Model

Characteristics of Storm Tracks in JMA s Seasonal Forecast Model Characteristics of Storm Tracks in JMA s Seasonal Forecast Model Akihiko Shimpo 1 1 Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan Correspondence: ashimpo@naps.kishou.go.jp INTRODUCTION

More information

Climate Outlook and Review Focus on sugar industry requirements. Issued 1 October Roger C Stone

Climate Outlook and Review Focus on sugar industry requirements. Issued 1 October Roger C Stone Climate Outlook and Review Focus on sugar industry requirements Issued 1 October 2017 Roger C Stone University of Southern Queensland Document title 1 Overview A short La Nina-type pattern trying to develop

More information

Hurricane Floyd Symposium. Satellite Precipitation as a Tool to Reanalyze Hurricane Floyd and Forecast Probabilities of Extreme Rainfall

Hurricane Floyd Symposium. Satellite Precipitation as a Tool to Reanalyze Hurricane Floyd and Forecast Probabilities of Extreme Rainfall Sept. 18, 2009 Hurricane Floyd Symposium Scott Curtis, East Carolina Universtiy Satellite Precipitation as a Tool to Reanalyze Hurricane Floyd and Forecast Probabilities of Extreme Rainfall What was the

More information

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 25 February 2013

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 25 February 2013 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 25 February 2013 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index

More information

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 15 July 2013

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 15 July 2013 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 15 July 2013 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index

More information

Why the Atlantic was surprisingly quiet in 2013

Why the Atlantic was surprisingly quiet in 2013 1 Why the Atlantic was surprisingly quiet in 2013 by William Gray and Phil Klotzbach Preliminary Draft - March 2014 (Final draft by early June) ABSTRACT This paper discusses the causes of the unusual dearth

More information

IMPACT OF GROUND-BASED GPS PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR AND COSMIC GPS REFRACTIVITY PROFILE ON HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST. (a) (b) (c)

IMPACT OF GROUND-BASED GPS PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR AND COSMIC GPS REFRACTIVITY PROFILE ON HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST. (a) (b) (c) 9B.3 IMPACT OF GROUND-BASED GPS PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR AND COSMIC GPS REFRACTIVITY PROFILE ON HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST Tetsuya Iwabuchi *, J. J. Braun, and T. Van Hove UCAR, Boulder, Colorado 1. INTRODUCTION

More information

Masahiro Kazumori, Takashi Kadowaki Numerical Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency

Masahiro Kazumori, Takashi Kadowaki Numerical Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency Development of an all-sky assimilation of microwave imager and sounder radiances for the Japan Meteorological Agency global numerical weather prediction system Masahiro Kazumori, Takashi Kadowaki Numerical

More information

Impacts of Recent El Niño Modoki on Extreme Climate Conditions In East Asia and the United States during Boreal Summer

Impacts of Recent El Niño Modoki on Extreme Climate Conditions In East Asia and the United States during Boreal Summer Impacts of Recent El Niño Modoki on Extreme Climate Conditions In East Asia and the United States during Boreal Summer Hengyi Weng 1, Karumuri Ashok 1, Swadhin Behera 1, Suryachandra A. Rao 1 and Toshio

More information

Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective

Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective Ming-Jen Yang Institute of Hydrological Sciences, National Central University 1. Introduction Typhoon Nari (2001) struck

More information

The role of teleconnections in extreme (high and low) precipitation events: The case of the Mediterranean region

The role of teleconnections in extreme (high and low) precipitation events: The case of the Mediterranean region European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2013 Vienna, Austria, 7 12 April 2013 Session HS7.5/NP8.4: Hydroclimatic Stochastics The role of teleconnections in extreme (high and low) events: The case of

More information

The Interdecadal Variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as Measured by 500 hpa Eddy Geopotential Height

The Interdecadal Variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as Measured by 500 hpa Eddy Geopotential Height ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2015, VOL. 8, NO. 6, 371 375 The Interdecadal Variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as Measured by 500 hpa Eddy Geopotential Height HUANG Yan-Yan and

More information

Chapter 1 Anatomy of a Cyclone

Chapter 1 Anatomy of a Cyclone Chapter 1 Anatomy of a Cyclone The Beast in the East 15-17 February 2003 Extra-tropical cyclone an area of low pressure outside of the tropics Other names for extra-tropical cyclones: Cyclone Mid-latitude

More information

Advanced Hydrology. (Web course)

Advanced Hydrology. (Web course) Advanced Hydrology (Web course) Subhankar Karmakar Assistant Professor Centre for Environmental Science and Engineering (CESE) Indian Institute of Technology Bombay Powai, Mumbai 400 076 Email: skarmakar@iitb.ac.in

More information

Tropical Cyclone Genesis: What we know, and what we don t!

Tropical Cyclone Genesis: What we know, and what we don t! Tropical Cyclone Genesis: What we know, and what we don t! Allison Wing! NSF Postdoctoral Research Fellow! Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory! Columbia University! Overview! Climatology! What We Know! Theories!

More information

ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 30 October 2017

ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 30 October 2017 ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 30 October 2017 Outline Summary Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index (ONI)

More information

Please be ready for today by:

Please be ready for today by: Please be ready for today by: 1. HW out for a stamp 2. Paper and pencil/pen for notes 3. Be ready to discuss what you know about El Nino after you view the video clip What is El Nino? El Nino Basics El

More information

The 2009 Hurricane Season Overview

The 2009 Hurricane Season Overview The 2009 Hurricane Season Overview Jae-Kyung Schemm Gerry Bell Climate Prediction Center NOAA/ NWS/ NCEP 1 Overview outline 1. Current status for the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific and Western Pacific basins

More information

Steady Flow: rad conv. where. E c T gz L q 2. p v 2 V. Integrate from surface to top of atmosphere: rad TOA rad conv surface

Steady Flow: rad conv. where. E c T gz L q 2. p v 2 V. Integrate from surface to top of atmosphere: rad TOA rad conv surface The Three-Dimensional Circulation 1 Steady Flow: F k ˆ F k ˆ VE 0, rad conv where 1 E c T gz L q 2 p v 2 V Integrate from surface to top of atmosphere: VE F FF F 0 rad TOA rad conv surface 2 What causes

More information

Changes in Southern Hemisphere rainfall, circulation and weather systems

Changes in Southern Hemisphere rainfall, circulation and weather systems 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Perth, Australia, 12 16 December 2011 http://mssanz.org.au/modsim2011 Changes in Southern Hemisphere rainfall, circulation and weather systems Frederiksen,

More information

Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN)

Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) Forecast of 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Activity April 5, 2018 Summary CFAN s inaugural April seasonal forecast for Atlantic tropical cyclone activity is based on systematic interactions among ENSO, stratospheric

More information

Antarctic sea-ice expansion between 2000 and 2014 driven by tropical Pacific decadal climate variability

Antarctic sea-ice expansion between 2000 and 2014 driven by tropical Pacific decadal climate variability Antarctic sea-ice expansion between 2000 and 2014 driven by tropical Pacific decadal climate variability Gerald A. Meehl 1, Julie M. Arblaster 1,2, Cecilia M. Bitz 3, Christine T.Y. Chung 4, and Haiyan

More information

Impacts of the April 2013 Mean trough over central North America

Impacts of the April 2013 Mean trough over central North America Impacts of the April 2013 Mean trough over central North America By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA Abstract: The mean 500 hpa flow over North America featured a trough over

More information

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP July 26, 2004

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP July 26, 2004 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP July 26, 2004 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic NiZo Index

More information

Lecture 8. Monsoons and the seasonal variation of tropical circulation and rainfall

Lecture 8. Monsoons and the seasonal variation of tropical circulation and rainfall Lecture 8 Monsoons and the seasonal variation of tropical circulation and rainfall According to the second hypothesis, the monsoon is a manifestation of the seasonal variation of the tropical circulation

More information

Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian Sea

Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian Sea SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION Letters https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-017-0008-6 In the format provided by the authors and unedited. Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian

More information

Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June to September) Issued in May 2014

Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June to September) Issued in May 2014 Ministry of Earth Sciences Earth System Science Organization India Meteorological Department WMO Regional Climate Centre (Demonstration Phase) Pune, India Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June

More information

Heavy Rain/Flooding September 8-10 Associated with Tropical Storm Etau

Heavy Rain/Flooding September 8-10 Associated with Tropical Storm Etau Heavy Rain/Flooding September 8-10 Associated with Tropical Storm Etau Wx Files Vol.32 September 24, 2015 Tropical Storm Etau made landfall over the Chita Peninsula in Aichi just after 10:00 AM on September

More information

Impacts of modes of climate variability, monsoons, ENSO, annular modes

Impacts of modes of climate variability, monsoons, ENSO, annular modes Impacts of modes of climate variability, monsoons, ENSO, annular modes Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque Cavalcanti National Institute for Space Research INPE Modes of variability- preferred patterns of variability.

More information

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (February 2018)

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (February 2018) UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (February 2018) 1. Review of Regional Weather Conditions for January 2018 1.1 The prevailing Northeast monsoon conditions over Southeast Asia strengthened in January

More information

Impact assessment on disasters

Impact assessment on disasters The 5th International Coordination Group (ICG) Meeting GEOSS Asian Water Cycle Initiative (AWCI), Dec. 16, 2009. Impact assessment on disasters Eiichi Nakakita Disaster Prevention Research Institute Kyoto

More information

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION The total amount of rainfall recorded at Reina Beatrix International Airport for the year 2017 was 391.0 mm. This is 17.1 % below normal ( Figure 1 ). During

More information

Name: Climate Date: EI Niño Conditions

Name: Climate Date: EI Niño Conditions Name: Date: Base your answers to questions 1 and 2 on the maps and the passage below. The maps show differences in trade wind strength, ocean current direction, and water temperature associated with air-pressure

More information

Analysis of Fall Transition Season (Sept-Early Dec) Why has the weather been so violent?

Analysis of Fall Transition Season (Sept-Early Dec) Why has the weather been so violent? WEATHER TOPICS Analysis of Fall Transition Season (Sept-Early Dec) 2009 Why has the weather been so violent? As can be seen by the following forecast map, the Fall Transition and early Winter Season of

More information

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR In this chapter, comparisons between the model-produced and analyzed streamlines,

More information

WEATHER ON WHEELS Elementary School Program

WEATHER ON WHEELS Elementary School Program WEATHER ON WHEELS Elementary School Program MAST ACADEMY OUTREACH On-Site Packet Miami-Dade County Public Schools Miami, Florida MAST ACADEMY OUTREACH WEATHER ON WHEELS ELEMENTARY ON-SITE HIGHLIGHTS PACKET

More information

Variability of West African Weather Systems. Chris Thorncroft Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany

Variability of West African Weather Systems. Chris Thorncroft Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany Variability of West African Weather Systems Chris Thorncroft Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany Variability of West African Weather Systems (1) Convectively Coupled

More information

The Impact of air-sea interaction on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones

The Impact of air-sea interaction on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones The Impact of air-sea interaction on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones Sarah Jones Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe 1. Introduction

More information

P R O L O G U E CORRELATION COEF. dsst/dt during wintertime (i.e., end of Feb. minus beginning of Dec, using 11-day averaged climatology)

P R O L O G U E CORRELATION COEF. dsst/dt during wintertime (i.e., end of Feb. minus beginning of Dec, using 11-day averaged climatology) P R O L O G U E dsst/dt during wintertime (i.e., end of Feb. minus beginning of Dec, using 11-day averaged climatology) Correlation between total precipitable water (from NVAP-M) and total cloud (from

More information

Early May Cut-off low and Mid-Atlantic rains

Early May Cut-off low and Mid-Atlantic rains Abstract: Early May Cut-off low and Mid-Atlantic rains By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA A deep 500 hpa cutoff developed in the southern Plains on 3 May 2013. It produced a

More information

Contents of this file

Contents of this file Geophysical Research Letters Supporting Information for Future changes in tropical cyclone activity in high-resolution large-ensemble simulations Kohei Yoshida 1, Masato Sugi 1, Ryo Mizuta 1, Hiroyuki

More information

Towards a new understanding of monsoon depressions

Towards a new understanding of monsoon depressions Towards a new understanding of monsoon depressions William Boos Dept. of Geology & Geophysics May 2, 25 with contributions from John Hurley & Naftali Cohen Financial support: What is a monsoon low pressure

More information

The Australian Summer Monsoon

The Australian Summer Monsoon The Australian Summer Monsoon Aurel Moise, Josephine Brown, Huqiang Zhang, Matt Wheeler and Rob Colman Australian Bureau of Meteorology Presentation to WMO IWM-IV, Singapore, November 2017 Outline Australian

More information

Lecture 2: Light And Air

Lecture 2: Light And Air Lecture 2: Light And Air Earth s Climate System Earth, Mars, and Venus Compared Solar Radiation Greenhouse Effect Thermal Structure of the Atmosphere Atmosphere Ocean Solid Earth Solar forcing Land Energy,

More information

Understanding the Global Distribution of Monsoon Depressions

Understanding the Global Distribution of Monsoon Depressions DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. Understanding the Global Distribution of Monsoon Depressions William R. Boos PO Box 208109 New Haven, CT 06520 phone: (203)

More information

ENSO Outlook by JMA. Hiroyuki Sugimoto. El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency

ENSO Outlook by JMA. Hiroyuki Sugimoto. El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency ENSO Outlook by JMA Hiroyuki Sugimoto El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Outline 1. ENSO impacts on the climate 2. Current Conditions 3. Prediction by JMA/MRI-CGCM 4. Summary

More information

Extratropical transition of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in variable-resolution CAM5

Extratropical transition of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in variable-resolution CAM5 Extratropical transition of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in variable-resolution CAM5 Diana Thatcher, Christiane Jablonowski University of Michigan Colin Zarzycki National Center for Atmospheric Research

More information

Operational and research activities at ECMWF now and in the future

Operational and research activities at ECMWF now and in the future Operational and research activities at ECMWF now and in the future Sarah Keeley Education Officer Erland Källén Director of Research ECMWF An independent intergovernmental organisation established in 1975

More information