Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts for Tropical Cyclone Rainfall

Challenges and Advances related to TC Rainfall Forecast. WOO Wang-chun Hong Kong Observatory IWTCLP-III, Jeju, Korea 10 Dec 2014

Challenges and Advances related to TC Rainfall Forecast WOO Wang-chun Hong Kong Observatory IWTCLP-III, Jeju, Korea 10 Dec 2014 Working Group Composition Member Wallace HOGSETT Affiliations Weather Analytics,

0-6 hour Weather Forecast Guidance at The Weather Company. Steven Honey, Joseph Koval, Cathryn Meyer, Peter Neilley The Weather Company

1 0-6 hour Weather Forecast Guidance at The Weather Company Steven Honey, Joseph Koval, Cathryn Meyer, Peter Neilley The Weather Company TWC Forecasts: Widespread Adoption 2 0-6 Hour Forecast Details 3

Reprint 797. Development of a Thunderstorm. P.W. Li

Reprint 797 Development of a Thunderstorm Nowcasting System in Support of Air Traffic Management P.W. Li AMS Aviation, Range, Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration,

Merging Nowcasting and NWP in Weather Warning Operations, with Special Reference to Landslides. C C Lam Hong Kong Observatory Hong Kong, China

Merging Nowcasting and NWP in Weather Warning Operations, with Special Reference to Landslides C C Lam Hong Kong Observatory Hong Kong, China 1. Introduction In support of weather forecast and warning

Radius of reliability: A distance metric for interpreting and verifying spatial probability forecasts

Radius of reliability: A distance metric for interpreting and verifying spatial probability forecasts Beth Ebert CAWCR, Bureau of Meteorology Melbourne, Australia Introduction Wish to warn for high impact

Feature-specific verification of ensemble forecasts

Feature-specific verification of ensemble forecasts www.cawcr.gov.au Beth Ebert CAWCR Weather & Environmental Prediction Group Uncertainty information in forecasting For high impact events, forecasters

Global Flash Flood Forecasting from the ECMWF Ensemble

Global Flash Flood Forecasting from the ECMWF Ensemble Calumn Baugh, Toni Jurlina, Christel Prudhomme, Florian Pappenberger calum.baugh@ecmwf.int ECMWF February 14, 2018 Building a Global FF System 1.

PRELIMINARY RESULTS OF THE COMPARISON OF TWO ADVECTION METHODS

2.28 PRELIMINARY RESULTS OF THE COMPARISON OF TWO ADVECTION METHODS Virginia Poli*, PierPaolo Alberoni, Tiziana Paccagnella and Davide Cesari ARPA SIM, Viale Silvani 6, Bologna, Italy 1. DESCRIPTION OF

7.17 RAPIDS A NEW RAINSTORM NOWCASTING SYSTEM IN HONG KONG

7.17 RAPIDS A NEW RAINSTORM NOWCASTING SYSTEM IN HONG KONG Li Ping-Wah *, Wong Wai-Kin and Edwin S.T. Lai Hong Kong Observatory, 134A Nathan Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong 1. INTRODUCTION and the numerical forecast

Application of Nowcast Products to Real-time Warning of Hazardous Weather in Hong Kong

Application of Nowcast Products to Real-time Warning of Hazardous Weather in Hong Kong M.C. Wong, E.S.T. Lai and P.W. Li Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China 1. INTRODUCTION Severe weather events may

Precipitation verification. Thanks to CMC, CPTEC, DWD, ECMWF, JMA, MF, NCEP, NRL, RHMC, UKMO

Precipitation verification Thanks to CMC, CPTEC, DWD, ECMWF, JMA, MF, NCEP, NRL, RHMC, UKMO Outline 1) Status of WGNE QPF intercomparisons 2) Overview of the use of recommended methods for the verification

Verification of ensemble and probability forecasts

Verification of ensemble and probability forecasts Barbara Brown NCAR, USA bgb@ucar.edu Collaborators: Tara Jensen (NCAR), Eric Gilleland (NCAR), Ed Tollerud (NOAA/ESRL), Beth Ebert (CAWCR), Laurence Wilson

On the use of radar rainfall estimates and nowcasts in an operational heavy rainfall warning service

On the use of radar rainfall estimates and nowcasts in an operational heavy rainfall warning service Alan Seed, Ross Bunn, Aurora Bell Bureau of Meteorology Australia The Centre for Australian Weather

Application of NWP products and meteorological information processing system in Hong Kong

Application of NWP products and meteorological information processing system in Hong Kong Y.S. Li Scientific Officer Hong Kong Observatory (ysli@hko.gov.hk) 7 million people Hong Kong ~1,100 km sq. Regional

4.3.2 Configuration. 4.3 Ensemble Prediction System Introduction

4.3 Ensemble Prediction System 4.3.1 Introduction JMA launched its operational ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) for one-month forecasting, one-week forecasting, and seasonal forecasting in March of 1996,

The Impact of Horizontal Resolution and Ensemble Size on Probabilistic Forecasts of Precipitation by the ECMWF EPS

The Impact of Horizontal Resolution and Ensemble Size on Probabilistic Forecasts of Precipitation by the ECMWF EPS S. L. Mullen Univ. of Arizona R. Buizza ECMWF University of Wisconsin Predictability Workshop,

Improvement and Ensemble Strategy of Heavy-Rainfall Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts using a Cloud-Resolving Model in Taiwan

Improvement and Ensemble Strategy of Heavy-Rainfall Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts using a Cloud-Resolving Model in Taiwan Chung-Chieh Wang Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University,

OBJECTIVE CALIBRATED WIND SPEED AND CROSSWIND PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS FOR THE HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

P 333 OBJECTIVE CALIBRATED WIND SPEED AND CROSSWIND PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS FOR THE HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT P. Cheung, C. C. Lam* Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China 1. INTRODUCTION Wind is

Update on CoSPA Storm Forecasts

Update on CoSPA Storm Forecasts Haig August 2, 2011 This work was sponsored by the Federal Aviation Administration under Air Force Contract No. FA8721-05-C-0002. Opinions, interpretations, conclusions,

Application of Rainstorm Nowcast to Real-time Warning of Landslide Hazards in Hong Kong

Application of Rainstorm Nowcast to Real-time Warning of Landslide Hazards in Hong Kong Sammy P.Y. Cheung Geotechnical Engineering Office, Civil Engineering and Development Department, Hong Kong, China

Extracting probabilistic severe weather guidance from convection-allowing model forecasts. Ryan Sobash 4 December 2009 Convection/NWP Seminar Series

Extracting probabilistic severe weather guidance from convection-allowing model forecasts Ryan Sobash 4 December 2009 Convection/NWP Seminar Series Identification of severe convection in high-resolution

Model Output Statistics (MOS)

Model Output Statistics (MOS) Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models calculate the future state of the atmosphere at certain points of time (forecasts). The calculation of these forecasts is based on

FloodAlert: A Simplified Radar-Based EWS For Urban Flood Warning

City University of New York (CUNY) CUNY Academic Works International Conference on Hydroinformatics 8-1-2014 FloodAlert: A Simplified Radar-Based EWS For Urban Flood Warning Xavier Llort Rafael Sánchez-Diezma

Spatial Forecast Verification Methods

Spatial Forecast Verification Methods Barbara Brown Joint Numerical Testbed Program Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR 22 October 2014 Acknowledgements: Tara Jensen, Randy Bullock, Eric Gilleland,

Spatial verification of NWP model fields. Beth Ebert BMRC, Australia

Spatial verification of NWP model fields Beth Ebert BMRC, Australia WRF Verification Toolkit Workshop, Boulder, 21-23 February 2007 New approaches are needed to quantitatively evaluate high resolution

Evaluating Forecast Quality

Evaluating Forecast Quality Simon J. Mason International Research Institute for Climate Prediction Questions How do we decide whether a forecast was correct? How do we decide whether a set of forecasts

Deep Learning for Precipitation Nowcasting: A Benchmark and A New Model

Deep Learning for Precipitation Nowcasting: A Benchmark and A New Model Xingjian Shi 1 Zhihan Gao 1 Leonard Lausen 1 Hao Wang 1 Dit-Yan Yeung 1 Wai-kin Wong 2 Wang-chun Woo 2 1 Department of Computer Science

LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4.

LIST OF TABLES Table. Dataset names, their versions, and variables used in this study. The algorithm names (GPROF, GPROF7, and GSMaP) are added in the parenthesis after each TMI rainfall dataset. This

Aurora Bell*, Alan Seed, Ross Bunn, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia

15B.1 RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES AND NOWCASTS: THE CHALLENGING ROAD FROM RESEARCH TO WARNINGS Aurora Bell*, Alan Seed, Ross Bunn, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia 1. Introduction Warnings are

AVIATION APPLICATIONS OF A NEW GENERATION OF MESOSCALE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION SYSTEM OF THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY

P452 AVIATION APPLICATIONS OF A NEW GENERATION OF MESOSCALE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION SYSTEM OF THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY Wai-Kin WONG *1, P.W. Chan 1 and Ivan C.K. Ng 2 1 Hong Kong Observatory, Hong

Verification and performance measures of Meteorological Services to Air Traffic Management (MSTA)

Verification and performance measures of Meteorological Services to Air Traffic Management (MSTA) Background Information on the accuracy, reliability and relevance of products is provided in terms of verification

Understanding Weather and Climate Risk. Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017

Understanding Weather and Climate Risk Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017 What is risk in a weather and climate context? Hazard: something with the

APPLICATION OF OPTICAL-FLOW TECHNIQUE TO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION NOWCAST FOR TERMINAL AREAS IN HONG KONG

The 3rd WMO International Symposium on Nowcasting and Very Short-Range Forecasting (WSN1), 6 10 August 01, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil APPLICATION OF OPTICAL-FLOW TECHNIQUE TO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION NOWCAST

Spatial forecast verification

Spatial forecast verification Manfred Dorninger University of Vienna Vienna, Austria manfred.dorninger@univie.ac.at Thanks to: B. Ebert, B. Casati, C. Keil 7th Verification Tutorial Course, Berlin, 3-6

Model verification and tools. C. Zingerle ZAMG

Model verification and tools C. Zingerle ZAMG Why verify? The three most important reasons to verify forecasts are: to monitor forecast quality - how accurate are the forecasts and are they improving over

Probabilistic Winter Weather Nowcasting supporting Total Airport Management

Probabilistic Winter Weather Nowcasting supporting Total Airport Management Jaakko Nuottokari* Finnish Meteorological Institute *With Heikki Juntti, Elena Saltikoff, Harri Hohti, Seppo Pulkkinen, Alberto

Verification Methods for High Resolution Model Forecasts

Verification Methods for High Resolution Model Forecasts Barbara Brown (bgb@ucar.edu) NCAR, Boulder, Colorado Collaborators: Randy Bullock, John Halley Gotway, Chris Davis, David Ahijevych, Eric Gilleland,

TIFS DEVELOPMENTS INSPIRED BY THE B08 FDP. John Bally, A. J. Bannister, and D. Scurrah Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

P13B.11 TIFS DEVELOPMENTS INSPIRED BY THE B08 FDP John Bally, A. J. Bannister, and D. Scurrah Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia 1. INTRODUCTION This paper describes the developments

Xinhua Liu National Meteorological Center (NMC) of China Meteorological Administration (CMA)

The short-time forecasting and nowcasting technology of severe convective weather for aviation meteorological services in China Xinhua Liu National Meteorological Center (NMC) of China Meteorological Administration

and hydrological applications

Overview of QPE/QPF techniques and hydrological applications Siriluk Chumchean Department of Civil Engineering Mahanakorn University of Technology Typhoon Committee Roving Seminar 2011, Malaysia (20-23

A statistical approach for rainfall confidence estimation using MSG-SEVIRI observations

A statistical approach for rainfall confidence estimation using MSG-SEVIRI observations Elisabetta Ricciardelli*, Filomena Romano*, Nico Cimini*, Frank Silvio Marzano, Vincenzo Cuomo* *Institute of Methodologies

FLORA: FLood estimation and forecast in complex Orographic areas for Risk mitigation in the Alpine space

Natural Risk Management in a changing climate: Experiences in Adaptation Strategies from some European Projekts Milano - December 14 th, 2011 FLORA: FLood estimation and forecast in complex Orographic

Strategic Radar Enhancement Project (SREP) Forecast Demonstration Project (FDP) The future is here and now

Strategic Radar Enhancement Project (SREP) Forecast Demonstration Project (FDP) The future is here and now Michael Berechree National Manager Aviation Weather Services Australian Bureau of Meteorology

DATA FUSION NOWCASTING AND NWP

DATA FUSION NOWCASTING AND NWP Brovelli Pascal 1, Ludovic Auger 2, Olivier Dupont 1, Jean-Marc Moisselin 1, Isabelle Bernard-Bouissières 1, Philippe Cau 1, Adrien Anquez 1 1 Météo-France Forecasting Department

Progress in Operational Quantitative Precipitation Estimation in the Czech Republic

Progress in Operational Quantitative Precipitation Estimation in the Czech Republic Petr Novák 1 and Hana Kyznarová 1 1 Czech Hydrometeorological Institute,Na Sabatce 17, 143 06 Praha, Czech Republic (Dated:

NOWCASTING SYSTEMS AND SERVICES IN HONG KONG

NOWCASTING SYSTEMS AND SERVICES IN HONG KONG Ping-Wah Peter LI Hong Kong Observatory, Aviation Weather Services Branch - Radar and Satellite Meteorology Division 3rd WMO/WWRP International Symposium on

Hazard assessment based on radar-based rainfall nowcasts at European scale The HAREN project

Hazard assessment based on radar-based rainfall nowcasts at European scale The HAREN project Marc Berenguer, Daniel Sempere-Torres 3 OPERA radar mosaic OPERA radar mosaic: 213919 133 Precipitation observations

Research on Lightning Nowcasting and Warning System and Its Application

Research on Lightning Nowcasting and Warning System and Its Application Wen Yao Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences Beijing, China yaowen@camscma.cn 2016.07 1 CONTENTS 1 2 3 4 Lightning Hazards

The ECMWF Extended range forecasts

The ECMWF Extended range forecasts Laura.Ferranti@ecmwf.int ECMWF, Reading, U.K. Slide 1 TC January 2014 Slide 1 The operational forecasting system l High resolution forecast: twice per day 16 km 91-level,

Introduction to TIGGE and GIFS. Richard Swinbank, with thanks to members of GIFS-TIGGE WG & THORPEX IPO

Introduction to TIGGE and GIFS Richard Swinbank, with thanks to members of GIFS-TIGGE WG & THORPEX IPO GIFS-TIGGE/NCAR/NOAA Workshop on EPS developments, June 2012 TIGGE THORPEX Interactive Grand Global

Improved radar QPE with temporal interpolation using an advection scheme

Improved radar QPE with temporal interpolation using an advection scheme Alrun Jasper-Tönnies 1 and Markus Jessen 1 1 hydro & meteo GmbH & Co, KG, Breite Str. 6-8, 23552 Lübeck, Germany (Dated: 18 July

Analysis and accuracy of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) for Climate Change Prediction in Thailand

ก ก ก 19 19 th National Convention on Civil Engineering 14-16 2557. ก 14-16 May 2014, Khon Kaen, THAILAND ก ก ก ก ก WRF Analysis and accuracy of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) for Climate

Impact of different cumulus parameterizations on the numerical simulation of rain over southern China

Impact of different cumulus parameterizations on the numerical simulation of rain over southern China P.W. Chan * Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China 1. INTRODUCTION Convective rain occurs over southern

International Civil Aviation Organization

CNS/MET SG/14 IP/19 International Civil Aviation Organization FOURTEENTH MEETING OF THE COMMUNICATIONS/NAVIGATION/SURVEILL ANCE AND METEOROLOGY SUB-GROUP OF APANPIRG (CNS/MET SG/14) Jakarta, Indonesia,

P3.10 EVALUATION OF A 2 HOUR REFLECTIVITY NOWCAST USING A CROSS CORRELATION TECHNIQUE COMPARED TO PERSISTENCE

P3.1 EVALUATION OF A 2 HOUR REFLECTIVITY NOWCAST USING A CROSS CORRELATION TECHNIQUE COMPARED TO PERSISTENCE Steven Vasiloff 1 1 National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK 1. INTRODUCTION A very short

Information Note on the Webpage for Significant Convection Monitoring and Forecast

Information Note on the Webpage for Significant Convection Monitoring and Forecast The webpage displays both the real-time products for monitoring of significant convection and forecast products for significant

A Preliminary Exploration of the Upper Bound of Tropical Cyclone Intensification

A Preliminary Exploration of the Upper Bound of Tropical Cyclone Intensification Jonathan L. Vigh (NCAR/RAL) Kerry Emanuel (MIT) Mrinal K. Biswas (NCAR/RAL) Eric A. Hendricks (Naval Postgraduate School)

Verification of Probability Forecasts

Verification of Probability Forecasts Beth Ebert Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre (BMRC) Melbourne, Australia 3rd International Verification Methods Workshop, 29 January 2 February 27 Topics Verification

CONTRIBUTION OF ENSEMBLE FORECASTING APPROACHES TO FLASH FLOOD NOWCASTING AT GAUGED AND UNGAUGED CATCHMENTS

CONTRIBUTION OF ENSEMBLE FORECASTING APPROACHES TO FLASH FLOOD NOWCASTING AT GAUGED AND UNGAUGED CATCHMENTS Maria-Helena Ramos 1, Julie Demargne 2, Pierre Javelle 3 1. Irstea Antony, 2. Hydris Hydrologie,

P1.10 Synchronization of Multiple Radar Observations in 3-D Radar Mosaic

Submitted for the 12 th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteor. 29 Jan. 2 Feb. 2006. Atlanta, GA. P1.10 Synchronization of Multiple Radar Observations in 3-D Radar Mosaic Hongping Yang 1, Jian

Severe storm forecast guidance based on explicit identification of convective phenomena in WRF-model forecasts

Severe storm forecast guidance based on explicit identification of convective phenomena in WRF-model forecasts Ryan Sobash 10 March 2010 M.S. Thesis Defense 1 Motivation When the SPC first started issuing

Skill in nowcasting high-impact heavy precipitation events

Skill in nowcasting high-impact heavy precipitation events Joan Bech 1 and Marc Berenguer 2 1 Departament d'astronomia i Meteorologia,Facultat de Física. Universitat de Barcelona. Marti i Franqués 1, Barcelona

Enhancing information transfer from observations to unobserved state variables for mesoscale radar data assimilation

Enhancing information transfer from observations to unobserved state variables for mesoscale radar data assimilation Weiguang Chang and Isztar Zawadzki Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Faculty

Identification of Predictors for Nowcasting Heavy Rainfall In Taiwan --------------------- Part II: Storm Characteristics and Nowcasting Applications Challenges in Developing Nowcasting Applications for

Towards Operational Probabilistic Precipitation Forecast

5 Working Group on Verification and Case Studies 56 Towards Operational Probabilistic Precipitation Forecast Marco Turco, Massimo Milelli ARPA Piemonte, Via Pio VII 9, I-10135 Torino, Italy 1 Aim of the

Nowcasting techniques in use for severe weather operation in NMC/CMA

WWRP NMRWG Buenos Aires Aug 2017 Nowcasting techniques in use for severe weather operation in NMC/CMA Jianjie WANG National Meteorological Center, CMA Cascading Weather Forecasting Process --- different

Australia. Fine Scale Hail Hazard Prediction using the WRF Model. IBM Research Australia

Fine Scale Hail Hazard Prediction using the WRF Model Badrinath Nagarajan, Lloyd Treinish*, James Cipriani* Jeffrey Calusinski** badrinath.nagarajan@au1.ibm.com : Melbourne,, *Yorktown Heights, NY IBM

Use of NWP and EPS Products in support of Location-specific Forecasts

First International Workshop on Prevention and Migration of Meteorological Disasters in Southeast Asia Use of NWP and EPS Products in support of Location-specific Forecasts Edwin S.T. Lai Hong Kong Observatory

Performance of TANC (Taiwan Auto- Nowcaster) for 2014 Warm-Season Afternoon Thunderstorm

Performance of TANC (Taiwan Auto- Nowcaster) for 2014 Warm-Season Afternoon Thunderstorm Wei-Peng Huang, Hui-Ling Chang, Yu-Shuang Tang, Chia-Jung Wu, Chia-Rong Chen Meteorological Satellite Center, Central

2016 UDFCD Heavy Rainfall Guidance Tool Performance and Validation

2016 UDFCD Heavy Rainfall Guidance Tool Performance and Validation FINAL REPORT November 30, 2016 Submitted by: Dewberry 990 S. Broadway, Suite 400 Denver, CO 80209 Submitted to: Kevin Stewart Urban Drainage

Evaluation of Ensemble Icing Probability Forecasts in NCEP s SREF, VSREF and NARRE-TL Systems

Evaluation of Ensemble Icing Probability Forecasts in NCEP s, V and Systems Binbin Zhou 1,2, Jun Du 2, Geoff DeMigo 2 and Robert Sallee 3 1. I.M. System Group 2. Environmental Modeling Center of NCEP 3.

Verifying Ensemble Forecasts Using A Neighborhood Approach

Verifying Ensemble Forecasts Using A Neighborhood Approach Craig Schwartz NCAR/MMM schwartz@ucar.edu Thanks to: Jack Kain, Ming Xue, Steve Weiss Theory, Motivation, and Review Traditional Deterministic

CHARACTERISATION OF STORM SEVERITY BY USE OF SELECTED CONVECTIVE CELL PARAMETERS DERIVED FROM SATELLITE DATA

CHARACTERISATION OF STORM SEVERITY BY USE OF SELECTED CONVECTIVE CELL PARAMETERS DERIVED FROM SATELLITE DATA Piotr Struzik Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, Satellite Remote Sensing Centre

Identifying skilful spatial scales using the Fractions Skill Score

Identifying skilful spatial scales using the Fractions Skill Score Marion Mittermaier and Nigel Roberts Outline 1. Brief overview of the method 2. Synthetic cases Geometric cases Perturbed cases 3. Domain

2014 海峽兩岸暨香港地區航空氣象技術講座

2014 海峽兩岸暨香港地區航空氣象技術講座 P W Li Vice chair Hong Kong Meteorological Society Senior Scientific Officer, Hong Kong Observatory pwli@hko.gov.hk www.meteorology.org.hk GUANGZHOU FIR HK FIR TAIPEI FIR About 276,000

QPE and QPF in the Bureau of Meteorology

QPE and QPF in the Bureau of Meteorology Current and future real-time rainfall products Carlos Velasco (BoM) Alan Seed (BoM) and Luigi Renzullo (CSIRO) OzEWEX 2016, 14-15 December 2016, Canberra Why do

An Algorithm to Identify and Track Objects on Spatial Grids

An Algorithm to Identify and Track Objects on Spatial Grids VA L L I A P PA L A K S H M A N A N N AT I O N A L S E V E R E S T O R M S L A B O R AT O R Y / U N I V E R S I T Y O F O K L A H O M A S E P,

Heavy Rainfall Event of June 2013

Heavy Rainfall Event of 10-11 June 2013 By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA 1. Overview A 500 hpa short-wave moved over the eastern United States (Fig. 1) brought a surge of

J. William Conway, Beth Clarke, Chris Porter, Michael D. Eilts

P 4(4) THE HYDROMET DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM: TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER FROM RESEACH TO INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS J. William Conway, Beth Clarke, Chris Porter, Michael D. Eilts Weather Decision Technologies, Inc.

The Latest Science of Seasonal Climate Forecasting

The Latest Science of Seasonal Climate Forecasting Emily Wallace Met Office 7 th June 2018 Research and Innovation Program under Grant 776868. Agreement Background: - Why are they useful? - What do we

Using time-lag ensemble techniques to assess behaviour of high-resolution precipitation forecasts

Using time-lag ensemble techniques to assess behaviour of high-resolution precipitation forecasts Marion Mittermaier 3 rd Int l Verification Methods Workshop, ECMWF, 31/01/2007 Crown copyright Page 1 Outline

National Report on Weather Forecasting Service

MINISTRY OF WATER RESOURCES AND METEOROLOGY DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY, CAMBODIA National Report on Weather Forecasting Service Tokyo, 11-15 March 2014 Department of Meteorology, Cambodia Presentation Outline

Flood Forecasting with Radar

Flood Forecasting with Radar Miguel Angel Rico-Ramirez m.a.rico-ramirez@bristol.ac.uk Encuentro Internacional de Manejo del Riesgo por Inundaciones, UNAM, 22 th Jan 2013 Talk Outline Rainfall estimation

Reprint 527. Short range climate forecasting at the Hong Kong Observatory. and the application of APCN and other web site products

Reprint 527 Short range climate forecasting at the Hong Kong Observatory and the application of APCN and other web site products E.W.L. Ginn & K.K.Y. Shum Third APCN Working Group Meeting, Jeju Island,

*Corresponding author address: Charles Barrere, Weather Decision Technologies, 1818 W Lindsey St, Norman, OK

P13R.11 Hydrometeorological Decision Support System for the Lower Colorado River Authority *Charles A. Barrere, Jr. 1, Michael D. Eilts 1, and Beth Clarke 2 1 Weather Decision Technologies, Inc. Norman,

Evaluation of the Version 7 TRMM Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) 3B42 product over Greece

15 th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology Rhodes, Greece, 31 August to 2 September 2017 Evaluation of the Version 7 TRMM Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) 3B42

Indiana County Flash Flood of 22 June 2017

Indiana County Flash Flood of 22 June 2017 By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA 1. Overview Slow moving thunderstorms brought 3 to 4 inches of rainfall to Indiana County, PA during

Denver International Airport MDSS Demonstration Verification Report for the Season

Denver International Airport MDSS Demonstration Verification Report for the 2015-2016 Season Prepared by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research Research Applications Division (RAL) Seth Linden

Radar quantitative precipitation dynamic classification ZI. relationship estimation method

Radar quantitative precipitation dynamic classification ZI relationship estimation method Ji Miao. Perry Weather Consulting. sugar@mail.omnipotent-miao.tk Abstract: Using high-temporal resolution radar

Current verification practices with a particular focus on dust

Current verification practices with a particular focus on dust Marion Mittermaier and Ric Crocker Outline 1. Guide to developing verification studies 2. Observations at the root of it all 3. Grid-to-point,

and SUMMARY preliminary parameters. 1.1 MET/14-IP/ /15 In line 1.2 WORLD INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANIZATION 2/6/14 English only

INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANIZATION Meteorology (MET) Divisional Meeting (2014) WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION Commission for Aeronautical Meteorology Fifteenth Session MET/14-IP/ /15 2/6/14 English

THE DECORRELATION SCALE: METHODOLOGY AND APPLICATION FOR PRECIPITATION FORECASTS

THE DECORRELATION SCALE: METHODOLOGY AND APPLICATION FOR PRECIPITATION FORECASTS Madalina Surcel, Isztar Zawadzki and M. K. Yau Thanking Adam Clark (NSSL), Ming Xue (OU, CAPS) and Fanyou Kong (CAPS) for

Assessing high resolution forecasts using fuzzy verification methods

Assessing high resolution forecasts using fuzzy verification methods Beth Ebert Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia Thanks to Nigel Roberts, Barbara Casati, Frederic Atger, Felix

Methods of forecast verification

Methods of forecast verification Kiyotoshi Takahashi Climate Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency 1 Outline 1. Purposes of verification 2. Verification methods For deterministic forecasts For

Utilising Radar and Satellite Based Nowcasting Tools for Aviation Purposes in South Africa. Erik Becker

Utilising Radar and Satellite Based Nowcasting Tools for Aviation Purposes in South Africa Erik Becker Morné Gijben, Mary-Jane Bopape, Stephanie Landman South African Weather Service: Nowcasting and Very

Sub-seasonal predictions at ECMWF and links with international programmes

Sub-seasonal predictions at ECMWF and links with international programmes Frederic Vitart and Franco Molteni ECMWF, Reading, U.K. Using ECMWF forecasts, 4-6 June 2014 1 Outline Recent progress and plans

Convection Nowcasting Products Available at the Army Test and Evaluation Command (ATEC) Ranges

Convection Nowcasting Products Available at the Army Test and Evaluation Command (ATEC) Ranges Cathy Kessinger National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, CO with contributions from: Wiebke

Verification of nowcasts and short-range forecasts, including aviation weather

Verification of nowcasts and short-range forecasts, including aviation weather Barbara Brown NCAR, Boulder, Colorado, USA WMO WWRP 4th International Symposium on Nowcasting and Very-short-range Forecast

A Cycled GSI+EnKF and Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasting (SSEF) Experiment

A Cycled GSI+EnKF and Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasting (SSEF) Experiment Fanyou Kong, Ming Xue, Youngsun Jung, Keith A. Brewster, Gang Zhao Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms University of Oklahoma

CAPS Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasting (SSEF) System

CAPS Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasting (SSEF) System Fanyou Kong, Ming Xue, Xuguang Wang, Keith Brewster Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms University of Oklahoma (collaborated with NSSL, SPC,