One that is: Ready Responsive Resilient 6/2/2016. The National Weather Service What we can do for you

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1 The National Weather Service What we can do for you David J. Nicosia and Judith Levan Warning Coordination Meteorologists NOAA National Weather Service Binghamton and Buffalo, NY Weather Ready Nation and Ambassadors IDSS Briefings Impact Based Warnings Websites NWSChat Exercises/WRECKIT 6/2/ The National Weather Service Vision: A Weather Ready Nation One that is: Ready Responsive Resilient 1

2 Extreme Weather The Nation is threatened by many climate, water, and weather hazards every day. 4 U.S. Natural Disaster Trends Increased Vulnerability to Extreme Events 5 We have our work cut out for us in New York State 6 2

7 Building a Weather Ready Nation: Integrate social and physical sciences Delivery of warnings focus on the last mile Assess and update

3 Increasing Vulnerability Becoming a Weather Ready Nation is about building community resilience in the face of increasing vulnerability to extreme weather. 7 Building a Weather Ready Nation: Integrate social and physical sciences Delivery of warnings focus on the last mile Assess and update warning dissemination strategy Improve outreach and education 8 Decision Support Services(DSS) The NWS is focused on providing Impact based Decision Support Services(IDSS) to core partners Outcome: Communities are better prepared and more resilient 9 3

Decision Support Services To help get the right people To do the right things At the right time NWS Decision Support Services Heads up Situational Awareness PDF briefings Leading up to an event

Webinars Bigger, Greater Impact events Weekly PDF Briefings(BUF) and YouTube Videos(BGM) Increase Big Picture Situational Awareness 2/24/2016 11 NWS Decision Support Services Weather Emergency

4 Decision Support Services To help get the right people To do the right things At the right time NWS Decision Support Services Heads up Situational Awareness PDF briefings Leading up to an event Planning purposes Issuance criteria varies across the state due to partner/customer needs Provides more detail than standard forecasts Event driven Conference Calls/Webinars Conference Calls / Webinars Bigger, Greater Impact events Weekly PDF Briefings(BUF) and YouTube Videos(BGM) Increase Big Picture Situational Awareness 2/24/ NWS Decision Support Services Weather Emergency Deployments (On site) Remote DSS Support Local, County, State Emergency Managers Local Public Works/Highways State DOT/ NY Thruway School Districts Public Utilities VT State EOC NY State EOC Broome County FEMA I EOC Maynard, MA Erie County NYC EM Suffolk County Nassau County FEMA II EOC 2/24/

Building Relationships Credibility between organizations. Exercises: a great way to achieve this before the next disaster hits!!!! I need to listen to someone who is credible.

5 Building Relationships Credibility between organizations. Exercises: a great way to achieve this before the next disaster hits!!!! I need to listen to someone who is credible. 6/2/ Impact Based Warnings / Tags GOAL: Better communicate risk WHY: The first instinct upon receipt of a warning is to respond based upon a past experience with a similar message Assessing our past warning history, we generally provide adequate warning for storms, but often don t describe just how bad it will be We re trying to ring the bell a little louder APPLIES TO: Tornado Warnings Severe Thunderstorm Warnings Special Marine Warnings Tornado Warnings: Tornado Tag TORNADO RADAR INDICATED TORNADO OBSERVED Evidence on radar and near storm environment is supportive of a tornado. A tornado may be developing or ongoing, but no confirmation has been received. Tornado is confirmed by spotters, law enforcement, etc. 5

Tornado Warnings: Tornado Damage Tag No Tag TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT.

Tornado duration generally expected to be short lived.

considerable damage of EF2 or greater is imminent or Tornado duration generally expected to be long

A severe threat to human life and catastrophic damage from a tornado is occurring, and will only be used

Only when there is DIRECT observational evidence that an EF4 5 is striking or about to strike a

Severe Thunderstorm Warning: Tornado Tag TORNADO POSSIBLE A severe thunderstorms has some potential for

6 Tornado Warnings: Tornado Damage Tag No Tag TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC Use most of the time, when tornado damage possible within the warning polygon. Tornado duration generally expected to be short lived. There is credible evidence that a tornado, capable of producing considerable damage, is imminent or ongoing. Use rarely when there is radar or other observational evidence that a tornado, capable of producing considerable damage of EF2 or greater is imminent or ongoing. Tornado duration generally expected to be long lived. A severe threat to human life and catastrophic damage from a tornado is occurring, and will only be used when reliable sources confirm a violent tornado. Use exceedingly rarely. Only when there is DIRECT observational evidence that an EF4 5 is striking or about to strike a population footprint. Tornado duration generally expected to be long lived. False alarm rate should be zero. Severe Thunderstorm Warning: Tornado Tag TORNADO POSSIBLE A severe thunderstorms has some potential for producing a brief tornado although forecaster confidence is not high enough to issue a Tornado Warning. Special Marine Warnings: Waterspout Tag WATERSPOUT OBSERVED Waterspout is confirmed by spotters, mariners, Coast Guard, etc. WATERSPOUT POSSIBLE Evidence on radar and near storm environment is supportive of a waterspout. A waterspout may be developing or ongoing, but no confirmation has been received. 6

7 SVRBUF NYC /T.NEW.KBUF.SV.W T1636Z T1730Z/ BULLETIN IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TEST...Severe Thunderstorm Warning...TEST National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1236 PM EDT Mon Apr THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a * THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northeastern Erie County in western New York... THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. Until 130 PM EDT * THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. At 1236 PM EDT...a severe thunderstorm was located over Williamsville...moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail damage to roofs...siding...windows...and vehicles. Expect wind damage to roofs...siding...and trees. * THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. Locations impacted include... Buffalo...Cheektowaga...West Seneca PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This is a potentially deadly storm. Seek shelter in an interior room on the lowest floor of a well built structure. Abandon vehicles in search of a more substantial permanent structure. Stay away from windows. && LAT...LON TIME...MOT...LOC 1636Z 233DEG 34KT HAIL IN WIND...60MPH $$ TORBUF NYC /T.NEW.KBUF.TO.W T1822Z T1900Z/ BULLETIN EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TEST...Tornado Warning...TEST National Weather Service BUFFALO NY 222 PM EDT Tue Mar This message is for test purposes only... The National Weather Service in BUFFALO has issued a * This is a test message. Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Genesee County in western New York... Northwestern Wyoming County in western New York... Southern Erie County in western New York... * This is a test message. Until 300 PM EDT * At 222 PM EDT...a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Colden...or near East Aurora... moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Expect damage to mobile homes...roofs...and vehicles. * Locations impacted include...!** Please enter locations impacted **!. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors...in a mobile home...or in a vehicle...move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && This is a test message. Do not take action based on this message. LAT...LON TIME...MOT...LOC 1822Z 238DEG 48KT TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...<.75IN $$ TORBUF NYC /T.NEW.KBUF.TO.W T1824Z T1900Z/ BULLETIN EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TEST...Tornado Warning...TEST National Weather Service BUFFALO NY 224 PM EDT Tue Mar This message is for test purposes only... The National Weather Service in BUFFALO has issued a * This is a test message. Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Wyoming County in western New York... Southern Erie County in western New York... * This is a test message. Until 300 PM EDT * This is a test message. At 224 PM EDT...a large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near East Aurora...moving northeast at 55 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...You are in a life threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes... businesses...and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * Locations impacted include...!** You did not select a pathcast or list of cities bullet. Please enter locations impacted **!. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat...a large...extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is developing. To protect your life...take COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors...in a mobile home...or in a vehicle...move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && This is a test message. Do not take action based on this message. LAT...LON TIME...MOT...LOC 1824Z 238DEG 48KT TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL...<.75IN $$ 7

8 National Weather Service and NOAA Websites Up to the Minute Information anytime you need it!! weather.gov 24 8

9 weather.gov/ed d 25 NWS Chat NWSChat: Instant Messaging program for sharing critical weather information with the media and emergency response community NWS partners can use NWSChat as a way to seek clarification of the NWS communication stream. Emergency manager only chat rooms available. 6/2/

10 Exercise Objectives Evaluate the ability of regional partners to gain and maintain situational awareness Evaluate regional partners ability to activate an EOC in anticipation of a major weather event Identify regional mass care capabilities within the first 48 hours of an event Demonstrate the region s ability to perform resource management Identify/coordinate volunteer resources that would be required during a major weather event Exercise Components Amateur Radio Communications Test New York / Pennsylvania Cross Border Tabletop Exercise Road Closure Tabletop Exercise Mass Care Sheltering Tabletop Exercise Functional Exercise Summary The exercise provided an excellent opportunity for NWS Buffalo and Binghamton to strengthen relationships with our federal, state and local partners Many non traditional Multi year participation will allow for building on previous strengths and weaknesses identified Feedback provides an understanding of customer needs allowing forecaster to be more sensitive and situationally aware of those needs 10

NWS Contact Information NWS Buffalo judith.levan@noaa.gov 1 716 565 0204 x223 www.weather.

dirienzo@noaa.gov 1 518 435 9571 x 223 www.weather.gov/aly NWS Binghamton david.nicosia@noaa.

11 NWS Contact Information NWS Buffalo x223 NWS Burlington x223 NWS Albany x NWS Binghamton david.nicosia@noaa.gov x223 NWS New York gary.conte@noaa.gov x /24/

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