8 th US/Russian Space Surveillance Workshop

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1 8 th US/Russian Space Surveillance Workshop Wailea Marriott Resort Wailea, Maui, HI April 2010 P. Kenneth Seidelmann General Chair Kyle T. Alfriend US Technical Chair Stanislav Veniaminov Russian Technical Chair

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3 8 th US/Russian Space Surveillance Workshop Space Surveillance Detecting and Tracking Innovation In recent years it has become feasible to maintain the entire space catalog with special perturbations, and that is now done on a routine basis. This experience has revealed that, in the case of sparse tracking data, which often results in loss of the satellite, special perturbations models do not necessarily provide a significant accuracy improvement over general perturbations methods. Such is the case for many highly eccentric and geosynchronous satellites, especially if they are small. This limits the accuracy of collision risk assessment and maneuver planning especially in the geosynchronous regime, and on the whole the quality of catalog maintenance deteriorates. It is proposed that in this workshop we turn our attention toward the deep space sparse data problem and perfecting the search methods. An enticing solution to mitigate weather and daylight constraints is satellite-based surveillance sensors. Other possible solutions for increasing the amount of data include cooperative networks of optical sensors, longer tracks from optical sensors, methods to optimize the mix of radar and optical tracking (including re-aiming sensors from one to another by imprecise measurement data), etc. Thus, the suggestion is for a workshop in which presentations will report on existing and proposed theories, technologies and algorithms necessary to mitigate the sparse and imprecise data environment for deep space satellites and, hence, to improve prediction accuracy of deep space satellites.

4 Information Directions to the NPS Conference Center The workshop will be held in?? Room at the Wailea Marriott Resort in Wailea, Maui, HI. Final Banquet The final banquet will be held in the open air on the roof above the Conference Center. There will be a reception with a cash bar from 6:00-7:00 and dinner at 7:00.

5 SCHEDULE Sunday, 18 April 17:00-20:00 Reception at the home of Drs. Chris Sabol and Kim Luu Monday, 19 April 08:00-08:30 Breakfast 08:30-09:30 Opening Remarks 09:30-12:20 Session 1 12:20-13:20 Lunch 13:20-17:50 Session 2 Tuesday, 20 April 08:00-08:30 Breakfast 08:30-12:20 Session 3 12:20-13:20 Lunch 13:20-17:50 Session 4 Wednesday, 21 April 08:00-08:30 Breakfast 08:30-12:00 Session 5 12:00-13:00 Lunch 13:15-15:00 Session 6 15:15-21:00 Lahaina Luau Thursday, 22 April 08:00-08:30 Breakfast 08:30-12:20 Session 7 12:20-13:20 Lunch 13:20 17:50 Session 8 Friday, 23 April 08:00-08:30 Breakfast 08:30-10:40 Session 9 11:00-12:00 Closing Remarks 13:00-17:00 Amos Tour 18:00 Closing Banquet

6 Opening Remarks 08:30 09:20 Kenneth Seidelmann, General Chair Russia Technical Chair Terry Alfriend US Technical Chair Session 1 Optical Systems 1 9:20-12:20 Chair Vasiliy Yurasov 09:20-10:00 S1.1 Simulation and Testing of Deep Space Search with the ETS 36-cm Telescope E. Pearce and R. Lambour 10:00-10:20 Break 10:20-11:00 S1.2 The IPIE Adaptive Optical System Application For LEO Observations Eu. Grishin, V. Shargorodskiy, P. Inshin, V. Vygon and M. Sadovnikov 11:00-11:40 S1.3 Some Issues of Creation of Wide-Field Telescopes for Monitoring Satellites and Space Debris in Low and High Earth Orbits I. Tarasenko, V. Shargorodskiy, S. Markelov and V. Terebizh 11:40-12:20 S1.4 ISON: Existing Structure, Tasks, Characteristics and Further Development I.E. Molotov, V.M Agapov, E.L. Akim E.L and S.A. Sukhanov 12:20 13:20 Lunch Session 2 Chair Orbit Determination and Prediction 13:20 17:40 Chris Sabol 13:20-14:00 S2.1 Radar Optical Observation Mix F. Hoots

7 14:00-14:40 S2.2 Minimization Of Least Squares Function For Molniya Type Orbits V.F. Boikov and K.T. Alfriend 14:40-15:20 S2.3 Improved Orbit Predictions Using Two-Line Elements C. Levit and W. Marshall 15:20 15:50 Break 15:50 16:30 S2.4 Combined Determination Of Orbital Parameters and Maneuver Impulse V.A. Stepaniants, A.G. Tuchin and S. Yu. Kamensky 16:30 17:10 S2.5 Identification Of Maneuvers Performed By Low-Thrust Engines. A.G. Tuchin, V.A. Stepaniants, V.M. Agapov and A.A. Baronov 17:10 17:50 S2.6 Approximation Approach For Motion Prediction For Satellites With High A/M Ratio. K.V. Sorokin and Z.N. Khutorovsky

8 Session 3 Chair Space Surveillance Systems and Requirements 08:30-12:20 P. Schumacher 08:30-09:10 S3.1 Space Situational Awareness Sharing at the Operational Level E. Fienga 09:10-09:50 S3.2 Requirements For Space Surveillance Methods and Technologies For High-Elliptical, GEO And Quasi-Geostationary Orbits V.F. Fateev. S.A. Sukhanov, V.D. Shilin, S. Yu. Kamensky, V.M. Agapov and Yu. V. Burtzev 09:50-10:20 Break 10:20-11:00 S3.3 The Up-To-Date State Of Space Surveillance In Russia and the Prospects Of Its Development Until 2015 Yu. Vlasov and I. Oleynikov 11:00-11:40 S3.4 Recent European Tracking and Surveillance Efforts H. Krag, T. Flohrer, J. Vierenen, T. Schildknecht, L. Leushscke and H. Klinkrad 11:40-12:20 S3.5 Commercial and Foreign Entities (CFE) Program Status Update and the Way-ahead C. Spillard 12:20-13:20 Lunch Session 4 Chair Track Correlation, Estimation and Covariance 13:20 17:50 F. Hoots 13:20-14:00 S4.1 Linearized Orbit Covariance Generation and Propagation Analysis C. Sabol, T. Sukut, K.T. Alfriend, K Hill, B. Wright, Y. Li and P. Schumacher

9 14:00-14:40 S4.2 Detection of LEO Satellites Break-Up Fragments Using Radar Measurements: Algorithms and Simulation Results A.S. Samotokhin, Z.N. Khutorovsky, S. Yu Kamensky and K.T. Alfriend 14:40-15:20 S4.3 Using Non-Coordinate Measurements For Evaluation of the Parameters of the Model of Solar Radiation Pressure For Prediction of Orbital Motion R.S. Luchkin, M.E. Prokhorov, V.D. Shilin and V.V. LavrovA 15:20-15:50 Break 15:50-16:30 S4.4 Probabiilstic Assessment of Uncorrelated Optical Oservations D. J. Scheeres, K. Fujimoto and J. M. Maruskin 16:30-17:10 S4.5 Evaluating Gooding Angles-only Orbit Determination of Space Based Space Surveillance Measurements D.A. Vallado 17:10 17:50 Procedures For Recognition of Multi-Functional Satellites For the Case of Only One Learning Sample M.E. Prokhorov, Yu. G. Ryndin, S.A. Sukhanov and R.S. Luchkin

10 Session 5 Chair Space Surveillance Systems Support 8:30-11:40 Vladimir Agapov 08:30-09:10 S5.1 On Using Onboard Measurements For Improvement Of Space Debris Models S. Meshcheryakov 09:10-09:50 S5.2 European Efforts to Survey, Track, and Characterize Small-Size Objects at High Altitudes T. Schildknecht, A. Vananti, H. Krag and H. Klinkrad 09:50-10:20 Break 10:20-11:00 S5.3 Analysis of the Characteristics of Satellite Collisions V.F. Fateev, S.A. Sukhanov, Z.N. Khutorovsky, S.Yu. Kamensky, A.S. Samotokhin, V.A. Stepaniants, Yu. V. Burtzev 11:00 11:40 S5.4 On Tracking the Tool Bag, A Fragment of the ISS O. Aksenov, S. Veniaminov and D. Ubozhenko Session 6 Chair Space Surveillance Support 11:40 16:45 Sergey Kamensky 11:40-12:20 S6.1 Two Years Of International Cooperation On Conjunction Mitigation T.S. Kelso 12:20-13:20 Lunch 13:20-14:00 S6.2 Optical Reference Stars for Space Surveillance: Latest Developments and Future Plans R. Gaume, P.K. Seidelmann, N. Zacharias and K.J. Johnston

11 14:00-14:40 S6.3 Radar Open System Architecture for Lincoln Space Surveillance Activities S. Andrews

12 Session 7 Optical Systems 2 8:30-12:20 Chair Eric Pearce 08:30-09:20 S7.1 Techniques For Optimization of Observations In ISON V.M. Agapov, I.E. Molotov and Z.N. Khutorovsky 09:20-10:00 S7.2 On Automated Functioning Of Optical Space Surveillance Sensors Under the Incomplete Cloudiness Condition V. Kolinko 10:00-10:20 Break 10:20-11:00 S7.3 Covariance-based Network Tasking of Optical Sensors K. Hill, P. Sydney, R. Corte, K.K. Luu, J. Houchar, D. Naho`olew, M. Jah, and P.W. Schumacher 11:00-11:40 S7.4 Observations of Small SO At the Terskol and Zvenigorod Observatories of INASAN N. Bakhtigaraev 11:40-12:20 S7.5 Algorithms For Processing CCD Frames Containing Tracks of Objects With Low Signal/Noise Ratio V.V. Kuprianov and I.E. Molotov 12:20-13:20 Lunch Session 8 Chair Small Objects 13:00 13:40 Thomas Schildknecht 13:20-14:00 S8.1 Plans for the Meter Class Autonomous Telescope and Potential Coordinated Measurements With Kwajalein Radars E. Stansbery, P. Kervin and M. Mulrooney

13 14:00-14:40 S8.2 The Optical Survey Aspects of Space Debris in LEO V.Yurasov and V. Shargorodskiy 14:40-15:20 S8.3 Challenges Related To Detection of the Latent Periоdicity For the Small Sized GEO Debris I. Korobtsev and M.Mishina 15:20-15:50 Break 15:50-16:30 S8.4 Updating of Parameters And Motion Prediction For High Earth Orbit Satellites With High A/M Ratio V.A. Stepaniants and V.M. Agapov 16:30-17:10 S8.5 The Methods and Results of the GEO Debris Variability Study P. Papushev 17:10-17:50 S8.6 The Functioning Experience of the Model For Taking Into Account Space Weather and Sky Background O. Aksenov, D. Chirov, S. Veniaminov and V. Vygon

14 Session 9 Chair Orbital Mechanics 8:30-10:00 Zakhary Khutorovsky 08:00-08:40 S9.1 Nonlinear Filter Based on the Fokker Planck Kolmogorov Equation M. Kumar and S. Chakravorty 08:40-09:20 S9.2 New Approaches to Organizing the Functioning of Space Surveillance Facilities O. Aksenov, S. Veniaminov and A. Chervonov 09:20-10:00 S9.3 Behavior of the Upper Atmospheric Density During Several Solar Cycles S. Knowles 10:20-10:40 Break S9.3 Mathematical Algorithms for Open Source Software for SSA P.J. Cefola and B. Weedon 10:40-12:00 Closing Remarks Russian Technical Chair Terry Alfriend, US Technical Chair Kenneth Seidelmann, General Chair

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