The AMSU Observation Bias Correction and Its Application Retrieval Scheme, and Typhoon Analysis
|
|
- Clement Byrd
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 The AMSU Observatio Bias Correctio ad Its Applicatio Retrieval Scheme, ad Typhoo Aalysis Chie-Be Chou, Kug-Hwa Wag Cetral Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwa, R.O.C. Abstract Sice most of AMSU chaels have a beam positio-depedet bias, it is crucial to remove such a bias for providig useful profiles of the atmosphere. Measuremet errors are estimated from the differeces betwee satellite observatios ad the simulated satellite observatios, which were obtaied from a radiative trasfer operator with 12-hours forecast of their iput. The measuremet errors estimated i this way will cotai the forecast error of a 12 hour forecast. The NMC method assumes that the statistics of differeces betwee forecasts at differet rages valid at the same time are the represetative of forecast error statistics. The differeces used i the NMC method have bee trasferred to brightess temperature i each AMSU chael with the radiatio trasfer operator. These data ca the be used to obtai the value of 12 hours forecast error i brightess temperature for each AMSU chael. Thus, the 12 hour forecast error i each AMSU chaels ca be removed whe the measuremet errors are estimated as metioed above. I this study, we carefully examie the AMSU beam ear Taiwa. A bias correctio method, which cocers the beam positio-depedet bias ad the effect of 12 hours forecast error used o the regressio equatios, has bee built. A data retrieval method based o oe-dimesioal variatioal scheme has also bee developed. Through the compariso of the retrieved profiles ad the backgroud fields, we foud that the method worked well ear the Taiwa area. Eve with quite accurate backgroud fields, the retrieved profiles have show positive impact to improve the fields. The results show that the improvemet made i the retrieval scheme over the backgroud error is about 0.45K i the temperature profiles, above 780 hpa. The study used corrected AMSU data to idetify thermal aomalies ad estimate taget wids that successfully aalyzed typhoo structure. Itroductio I the past few years much research has ivolved variatioal retrieval schemes. Variatioal retrieval methods are examied that uder a precise backgroud field provide better retrieval results (Eyre, 1989). A variatioal iteratio method was applied i this research. Oe importat issue i variatioal retrieval is to correct the satellite observatio bias ad to estimate radom errors. Observatio bias is estimated from the differece betwee observed brightess temperature ad simulated brightess temperature. Simulated brightess
2 temperature is calculated based o a forecast model through a RTE model. So the observatio bias is icluded i the umerical forecast model s error. I order to make the data correct for retrieval, a statistical correct scheme is eeded. Variatioal Methodology The solutio of the variatioal retrieval scheme is to get the miimum value of the cost fuctio. The it gets the best atmosphere parameter: x. The cost fuctio is writte as follows. J m { y y( x) } (1) b T 1 b m T 1 ( x) = ( x x ) C ( x x ) + y y( x) } E { b m x is backgroud (or iitial guess). C is covariace of backgroud error. y is observatio values. y(x) is simulatio values from RTE while atmosphere parameters are x. The cost fuctio is the sum of the deviatio betwee x ad the backgroud ad the deviatio betwee the observed value ad calculated value uder x situatio. So we should fid a proper x that lets the calculated value correspod to the observatio value relevatly. The methodology is usig Newtoia iteratio method(eyre 1989). x W + 1 = x b = CK + W T m b { y y( x ) K ( x x )} ( K CK T + E) 1 (2) Whe the value x +1 x is smaller tha a threshold, the above fuctio coverges. The covariace error of the backgroud field may be obtaied by statistical calculatio from the error of 12 hour forecast field (Parrish ad Derber 1992). Errors of other parameters are set as follows, surface air temperature is 2.34K, surface air humidity is 0.3 l(g/kg), surface temperature is 1.67K, surface pressure is 3.42hPa, the cotet of ozoe is 40 Dobso, cloud height is 200hPa, cloud fractio is 0.5 ad cloud liquid water cotet is 0.5mm. (Eyre 1990). Surface emissivity is described as i (Grody 1988) ε( ν ) ε + ε ( ν / ν ) k ν x 0 = (3) k 1+ ( ν / ν 0 ) Durig the retrieval procedure the corrected magitude of backgroud error depeds o the ratio of observatio error ad backgroud error, which is preseted by matrix E ad matrix C. The calculatio of the observatio covariace error is a little complicated. The estimated satellite observatio error icludes istrumet error, satellite data procedure error, radiatio trasfer model error ad error of radiatio model iput parameters. I summary, above items could be classified ito two items, that is systematic error ad radom error. Systematic error is possiblely corrected. Radom error is the diagoal elemets i matrix E. Because the limb
3 effect of AMSU is asymmetrical, limb adjustmet procedure is also ecessary. AMSU Bias Correct ad retrieval result The merit of variatioal retrieval ca be applied directly to satellite observatio data; it may avoid some errors which were caused durig preprocessig (Eyre 1989). AMSU limb effects alog the viewig agle are due to asymmetry, we must adjust for this. First, we plot the scatter diagrams of AMSU for each chael to each FOV. Before doig the adjustmet, the differece betwee observatio data ad calculated data are chose. This data should be estimated for its mea ad stadard deviatio. If ay chael differeces betwee observatio ad calculated are larger tha 3 times of the stadard deviatio, these data are treated as bad data. Chael 7, for four differet sca agles, are show i Fig. 1. Fig.1: Scatterig diagram of AMSU chael 7 for simulated Tb ad measured Tb from FOV of 1 to 4. The sca agle biases are a little differece. After proper data are selected, regressio coefficiets are calculated for each chael i * each viewig agle to correct the observatio. The adjusted brightess T = at + B b will be foud, where itercept. T B is the observed satellite brightess temperature, a is slope ad b is
4 About 900,000 data were used to get these coefficiets. Because estimated observatio systematic error ad radom error are icluded i the backgroud (forecast) error, the 12 hours forecast statistic error has bee trasferred to radiace. The the backgroud error ca be removed. AMSU chael 2 is used as a parameter to adjust surface emissivity, this adjustmet will be doe whe calculated Tb are equivalece to observed Tb. I reality it is ot a proper procedure, but it is more reasoable whe o observatios of surface emissivity exist. Real data o 22 Jue 2002 were tested, ad the improvemet of vertical temperature is sigificat, as show o Fig. 2. Figure 2. Real data o 22/Ju/ Z. Total 927 corrected satellite observatio were retrieved. (a)temperature (b)maxig ratio mea error covariace. Solid lie is backgroud error ad dash lie is error of retrieval. Limb Adjustmet o AMSU For the asymmetry of AMSU limb bias, statistical methods were cosidered. We tried to use the algorithm from Goldberg(2001). Because of misiterpretatio of the physical
5 coefficiet, some chaels of AMSU were ot corrected. The results are show o Fig 3. Surface chael 1,2 are correct, but others chaels are failed to be correct. Further ivestigatio is eeded. Typhoo Moitorig - methodology Uderstadig the thermal structure of typhoos is helpful to weather forecastig. It has bee examied that a relatioship exists betwee temperature aomalies ad the maximum wid ad cetral pressure of tropical cycloes.(kidder 2000) Whether to make a limb correctio to each FOV before
6 280 NOAA16_ _0416_14273 Compariso for Limb Correctio A4 200 A A2 240 A A5 230 A A A A A A9 230 A Figure 3. AMSU limb adjustmet results for NOAA 16 chael Dash lie meas raw data, red solid lie meas applied by NESDIS coefficiets, blue lie meas results i this study.
7 retrieval or make a differet set of coefficiets for each FOV is a cotroversial problem. Zhu ad Kidder (2002) show that the RMS error is less tha 1.75K for the above two schemes. So here, the latter scheme was chose for further processig. AMSU has the capability to peetrate cloud, but the AMSU observatio still ca be iterfered by raidrops. It may cause the temperature too cool uder 700hPa i retrieval temperature profiles ear the typhoo ceter. So uder heavy raifall situatio chael 3-5 are ot recommeded be use i retrieval. Oly chaesl 6-11 were used to retrieve temperature profile. Whe temperature profiles are retrieved from AMSU, the 2 or 3 dimesio gradiet wid vectors ca be estimated usig the gradiet balace equatio. The algorithm to estimate the 2-dimesio gradiet wid is from the paper of Kidder (2000). I order to study the ceter of a typhoo, the 250hPa highest temperature aomaly is located. The method used to drive the 3-dimesio wid vector has bee described i Zhu etal. (2002). Typhoo Moitorig - result. The above techiques was applied o the typhoo of 16/Oct/ Z. As show i Fig 4, AMSU chaels 6-11 of NOAA-15 was used for the case study. The aomaly of temperature ear the ceter of the typhoo is obviously idetified. Aomaly warmig exteds from level 250hPa with aomaly of 7K to level 620hPa with a 4K aomaly. The warm core is a little iclied to the orth. The gradiet wid is chagig with the radius of typhoo ad pressure variace as show i Fig 5. Maximum wid speed is located at a radius about 100km. Mea maximum wid speed is about 25m/s. From the patter of the wid fields, positive vorticity exists i the lower layer of the typhoo. Weak egative vorticity is located o upper layers of the typhoo. The structure of the typhoo is reasoable, give geeral ackowledge. The core of maximum wid speed iclies to the outside, this is characteristic of a strog typhoo. Accordig to the empirical fuctio (Kidder 2000), the temperature aomaly is used to estimate the maximum wid speed ad radius of maximum wid speed. This typhoo has a maximum temperature aomaly of about 10.5K, so the maximum wid speed should be 46m/s, ad radius of maximum wid speed is 125Km. From Fig. 5 mea maximum wid speed is about 25m/s, which is the value of the mea azimuth agle. So the estimated wid speed is reasoable. Others cases were studied ad provided a reasoable aalysis. Coclusio AMSU data is a widely used i NWP ad weather aalysis. We applied proper adjustmet to correct the observatio error, allowig AMSU data to be used more precisely. Whe the observatio error is corrected, the 1D variatioal retrieval test shows that the correctig process is eeded.. Temperature aomalies ca be obtaied from retrieved temperature profiles. Based o these temperature profiles, the 2 ad 3dimesio wid vectors are
8 successfully drive. A local typhoo statistical aalysis database is ecessary for further utilizatio. Typhoos ofte make a severe disaster i the orthwest Pacific Ocea area. AMSU may provide more precise iformatio o typhoo aalysis. Figure 4. Temperature aomaly aalysis profile obtaied from south to orth (right) o Typhoo HaiYe Figure 5. Gradiet wid profile (Mea azimuth) o typhoo HaiYe. The effect of ice particles o AMSU is eeded for further study. Precipitatio ad water vapor cotet were ot cosidered i this research. That will be the future task.
9 Refereces Eyre, J. R., 1989, Iversio of cloudy satellite soudig radiaces by oliear optimal estimatio: Applicatio to TOVS data. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 115, Eyre, J.R., 1990, The iformatio cotet of data from satellite soudig system: A simulatio study. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 166, Goldberg, M. D., D. S. Crosby, ad L. Zhou, 2001, The Limb Adjustmet of AMSU-A Observatios: Methodology ad Validatio, J. Appl. Appl. Meteor., 40, Grody, N.C., 1988, Surface idetificatio usig satellite microwave radiometers, IEEE Trasatios o Geosciece ad Remote Sesig, 26, Kidder, S.Q., ad Coauthors, Satellite Aalysis of Tropical Cycloe Usig the Advaced Microwave Soudig Uit (AMSU). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, Parrish, D. F. ad J.C. Derber, 1992, The atioal Meteorological Ceter s spectral statistical iterpolatio aalysis system. Mo. Wea. Rew., 120, Zhu, T., D. L. Zhag, ad F. Weg, Impact of Advaced Microwave Soudig Uit Measuremets o Hurricae Predictio. Mo. Wea. Rev., 130,
International ATOVS Processing Package: The algorithm development and its application in real data processing
Iteratioal AOVS Processig Package: he algorithm developmet ad its applicatio i real data processig Ju Li, W. Wolf, W. P. Mezel, W. Zhag, H.-L. Huag,. H. Achtor, H. M. Woolf 1. Itroductio Cooperative Istitute
More informationA Variational Approach to NWP Preprocessing and Quality Control
A Variatioal Approach to NWP Preprocessig ad Quality Cotrol K. Garrett, S.-A. Boukabara 2, Q. Liu 3 8 th Iteratioal TOVS Study Coferece March 23, 202 Toulouse, Frace. Riverside Techology, Ic 2. Joit Ceter
More information11 Correlation and Regression
11 Correlatio Regressio 11.1 Multivariate Data Ofte we look at data where several variables are recorded for the same idividuals or samplig uits. For example, at a coastal weather statio, we might record
More informationActivity 3: Length Measurements with the Four-Sided Meter Stick
Activity 3: Legth Measuremets with the Four-Sided Meter Stick OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this experimet is to study errors ad the propagatio of errors whe experimetal data derived usig a four-sided meter
More information1 Inferential Methods for Correlation and Regression Analysis
1 Iferetial Methods for Correlatio ad Regressio Aalysis I the chapter o Correlatio ad Regressio Aalysis tools for describig bivariate cotiuous data were itroduced. The sample Pearso Correlatio Coefficiet
More informationECON 3150/4150, Spring term Lecture 3
Itroductio Fidig the best fit by regressio Residuals ad R-sq Regressio ad causality Summary ad ext step ECON 3150/4150, Sprig term 2014. Lecture 3 Ragar Nymoe Uiversity of Oslo 21 Jauary 2014 1 / 30 Itroductio
More informationStatistical Analysis on Uncertainty for Autocorrelated Measurements and its Applications to Key Comparisons
Statistical Aalysis o Ucertaity for Autocorrelated Measuremets ad its Applicatios to Key Comparisos Nie Fa Zhag Natioal Istitute of Stadards ad Techology Gaithersburg, MD 0899, USA Outlies. Itroductio.
More informationREGRESSION (Physics 1210 Notes, Partial Modified Appendix A)
REGRESSION (Physics 0 Notes, Partial Modified Appedix A) HOW TO PERFORM A LINEAR REGRESSION Cosider the followig data poits ad their graph (Table I ad Figure ): X Y 0 3 5 3 7 4 9 5 Table : Example Data
More informationEvapotranspiration Estimation Using Support Vector Machines and Hargreaves-Samani Equation for St. Johns, FL, USA
Evirometal Egieerig 0th Iteratioal Coferece eissn 2029-7092 / eisbn 978-609-476-044-0 Vilius Gedimias Techical Uiversity Lithuaia, 27 28 April 207 Article ID: eviro.207.094 http://eviro.vgtu.lt DOI: https://doi.org/0.3846/eviro.207.094
More informationCorrelation Regression
Correlatio Regressio While correlatio methods measure the stregth of a liear relatioship betwee two variables, we might wish to go a little further: How much does oe variable chage for a give chage i aother
More informationt distribution [34] : used to test a mean against an hypothesized value (H 0 : µ = µ 0 ) or the difference
EXST30 Backgroud material Page From the textbook The Statistical Sleuth Mea [0]: I your text the word mea deotes a populatio mea (µ) while the work average deotes a sample average ( ). Variace [0]: The
More informationAlgebra of Least Squares
October 19, 2018 Algebra of Least Squares Geometry of Least Squares Recall that out data is like a table [Y X] where Y collects observatios o the depedet variable Y ad X collects observatios o the k-dimesioal
More information62. Power series Definition 16. (Power series) Given a sequence {c n }, the series. c n x n = c 0 + c 1 x + c 2 x 2 + c 3 x 3 +
62. Power series Defiitio 16. (Power series) Give a sequece {c }, the series c x = c 0 + c 1 x + c 2 x 2 + c 3 x 3 + is called a power series i the variable x. The umbers c are called the coefficiets of
More information3/3/2014. CDS M Phil Econometrics. Types of Relationships. Types of Relationships. Types of Relationships. Vijayamohanan Pillai N.
3/3/04 CDS M Phil Old Least Squares (OLS) Vijayamohaa Pillai N CDS M Phil Vijayamoha CDS M Phil Vijayamoha Types of Relatioships Oly oe idepedet variable, Relatioship betwee ad is Liear relatioships Curviliear
More informationChapter If n is odd, the median is the exact middle number If n is even, the median is the average of the two middle numbers
Chapter 4 4-1 orth Seattle Commuity College BUS10 Busiess Statistics Chapter 4 Descriptive Statistics Summary Defiitios Cetral tedecy: The extet to which the data values group aroud a cetral value. Variatio:
More informationWHAT IS THE PROBABILITY FUNCTION FOR LARGE TSUNAMI WAVES? ABSTRACT
WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY FUNCTION FOR LARGE TSUNAMI WAVES? Harold G. Loomis Hoolulu, HI ABSTRACT Most coastal locatios have few if ay records of tsuami wave heights obtaied over various time periods. Still
More informationCEE 522 Autumn Uncertainty Concepts for Geotechnical Engineering
CEE 5 Autum 005 Ucertaity Cocepts for Geotechical Egieerig Basic Termiology Set A set is a collectio of (mutually exclusive) objects or evets. The sample space is the (collectively exhaustive) collectio
More informationII. Descriptive Statistics D. Linear Correlation and Regression. 1. Linear Correlation
II. Descriptive Statistics D. Liear Correlatio ad Regressio I this sectio Liear Correlatio Cause ad Effect Liear Regressio 1. Liear Correlatio Quatifyig Liear Correlatio The Pearso product-momet correlatio
More information9. Simple linear regression G2.1) Show that the vector of residuals e = Y Ŷ has the covariance matrix (I X(X T X) 1 X T )σ 2.
LINKÖPINGS UNIVERSITET Matematiska Istitutioe Matematisk Statistik HT1-2015 TAMS24 9. Simple liear regressio G2.1) Show that the vector of residuals e = Y Ŷ has the covariace matrix (I X(X T X) 1 X T )σ
More informationResponse Variable denoted by y it is the variable that is to be predicted measure of the outcome of an experiment also called the dependent variable
Statistics Chapter 4 Correlatio ad Regressio If we have two (or more) variables we are usually iterested i the relatioship betwee the variables. Associatio betwee Variables Two variables are associated
More informationChapter 6 Sampling Distributions
Chapter 6 Samplig Distributios 1 I most experimets, we have more tha oe measuremet for ay give variable, each measuremet beig associated with oe radomly selected a member of a populatio. Hece we eed to
More informationThe target reliability and design working life
Safety ad Security Egieerig IV 161 The target reliability ad desig workig life M. Holický Kloker Istitute, CTU i Prague, Czech Republic Abstract Desig workig life ad target reliability levels recommeded
More informationRAINFALL PREDICTION BY WAVELET DECOMPOSITION
RAIFALL PREDICTIO BY WAVELET DECOMPOSITIO A. W. JAYAWARDEA Departmet of Civil Egieerig, The Uiversit of Hog Kog, Hog Kog, Chia P. C. XU Academ of Mathematics ad Sstem Scieces, Chiese Academ of Scieces,
More informationLinear Regression Demystified
Liear Regressio Demystified Liear regressio is a importat subject i statistics. I elemetary statistics courses, formulae related to liear regressio are ofte stated without derivatio. This ote iteds to
More informationANALYSIS OF EXPERIMENTAL ERRORS
ANALYSIS OF EXPERIMENTAL ERRORS All physical measuremets ecoutered i the verificatio of physics theories ad cocepts are subject to ucertaities that deped o the measurig istrumets used ad the coditios uder
More informationAnalysis of Experimental Data
Aalysis of Experimetal Data 6544597.0479 ± 0.000005 g Quatitative Ucertaity Accuracy vs. Precisio Whe we make a measuremet i the laboratory, we eed to kow how good it is. We wat our measuremets to be both
More informationOverview. p 2. Chapter 9. Pooled Estimate of. q = 1 p. Notation for Two Proportions. Inferences about Two Proportions. Assumptions
Chapter 9 Slide Ifereces from Two Samples 9- Overview 9- Ifereces about Two Proportios 9- Ifereces about Two Meas: Idepedet Samples 9-4 Ifereces about Matched Pairs 9-5 Comparig Variatio i Two Samples
More informationCHAPTER 10 INFINITE SEQUENCES AND SERIES
CHAPTER 10 INFINITE SEQUENCES AND SERIES 10.1 Sequeces 10.2 Ifiite Series 10.3 The Itegral Tests 10.4 Compariso Tests 10.5 The Ratio ad Root Tests 10.6 Alteratig Series: Absolute ad Coditioal Covergece
More informationThe DOA Estimation of Multiple Signals based on Weighting MUSIC Algorithm
, pp.10-106 http://dx.doi.org/10.1457/astl.016.137.19 The DOA Estimatio of ultiple Sigals based o Weightig USIC Algorithm Chagga Shu a, Yumi Liu State Key Laboratory of IPOC, Beijig Uiversity of Posts
More informationChapter 11 Output Analysis for a Single Model. Banks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol Discrete-Event System Simulation
Chapter Output Aalysis for a Sigle Model Baks, Carso, Nelso & Nicol Discrete-Evet System Simulatio Error Estimatio If {,, } are ot statistically idepedet, the S / is a biased estimator of the true variace.
More informationFirst, note that the LS residuals are orthogonal to the regressors. X Xb X y = 0 ( normal equations ; (k 1) ) So,
0 2. OLS Part II The OLS residuals are orthogoal to the regressors. If the model icludes a itercept, the orthogoality of the residuals ad regressors gives rise to three results, which have limited practical
More informationAnalysis of Experimental Measurements
Aalysis of Experimetal Measuremets Thik carefully about the process of makig a measuremet. A measuremet is a compariso betwee some ukow physical quatity ad a stadard of that physical quatity. As a example,
More informationProperties and Hypothesis Testing
Chapter 3 Properties ad Hypothesis Testig 3.1 Types of data The regressio techiques developed i previous chapters ca be applied to three differet kids of data. 1. Cross-sectioal data. 2. Time series data.
More informationWe will conclude the chapter with the study a few methods and techniques which are useful
Chapter : Coordiate geometry: I this chapter we will lear about the mai priciples of graphig i a dimesioal (D) Cartesia system of coordiates. We will focus o drawig lies ad the characteristics of the graphs
More informationInvestigating the Significance of a Correlation Coefficient using Jackknife Estimates
Iteratioal Joural of Scieces: Basic ad Applied Research (IJSBAR) ISSN 2307-4531 (Prit & Olie) http://gssrr.org/idex.php?joural=jouralofbasicadapplied ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
More informationInformation-based Feature Selection
Iformatio-based Feature Selectio Farza Faria, Abbas Kazeroui, Afshi Babveyh Email: {faria,abbask,afshib}@staford.edu 1 Itroductio Feature selectio is a topic of great iterest i applicatios dealig with
More informationPROFICIENCY TESTING ACTIVITIES OF FREQUENCY CALIBRATION LABORATORIES IN TAIWAN, 2009
PROFICIENCY TESTING ACTIVITIES OF FREQUENCY CALIBRATION LABORATORIES IN TAIWAN, 009 Huag-Tie Li, Po-Cheg Chag, Jia-Lu Wag, ad Chia-Shu Liao Natioal Stadard Time & Frequecy Lab., TL, Chughwa Telecom Co.,
More informationStatistical Fundamentals and Control Charts
Statistical Fudametals ad Cotrol Charts 1. Statistical Process Cotrol Basics Chace causes of variatio uavoidable causes of variatios Assigable causes of variatio large variatios related to machies, materials,
More informationRun-length & Entropy Coding. Redundancy Removal. Sampling. Quantization. Perform inverse operations at the receiver EEE
Geeral e Image Coder Structure Motio Video (s 1,s 2,t) or (s 1,s 2 ) Natural Image Samplig A form of data compressio; usually lossless, but ca be lossy Redudacy Removal Lossless compressio: predictive
More informationStat 139 Homework 7 Solutions, Fall 2015
Stat 139 Homework 7 Solutios, Fall 2015 Problem 1. I class we leared that the classical simple liear regressio model assumes the followig distributio of resposes: Y i = β 0 + β 1 X i + ɛ i, i = 1,...,,
More informationUNIT 11 MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION
UNIT MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION Structure. Itroductio release relies Obectives. Multiple Liear Regressio Model.3 Estimatio of Model Parameters Use of Matrix Notatio Properties of Least Squares Estimates.4
More informationGeometry of LS. LECTURE 3 GEOMETRY OF LS, PROPERTIES OF σ 2, PARTITIONED REGRESSION, GOODNESS OF FIT
OCTOBER 7, 2016 LECTURE 3 GEOMETRY OF LS, PROPERTIES OF σ 2, PARTITIONED REGRESSION, GOODNESS OF FIT Geometry of LS We ca thik of y ad the colums of X as members of the -dimesioal Euclidea space R Oe ca
More informationThe axial dispersion model for tubular reactors at steady state can be described by the following equations: dc dz R n cn = 0 (1) (2) 1 d 2 c.
5.4 Applicatio of Perturbatio Methods to the Dispersio Model for Tubular Reactors The axial dispersio model for tubular reactors at steady state ca be described by the followig equatios: d c Pe dz z =
More informationThe Method of Least Squares. To understand least squares fitting of data.
The Method of Least Squares KEY WORDS Curve fittig, least square GOAL To uderstad least squares fittig of data To uderstad the least squares solutio of icosistet systems of liear equatios 1 Motivatio Curve
More informationA Note on Box-Cox Quantile Regression Estimation of the Parameters of the Generalized Pareto Distribution
A Note o Box-Cox Quatile Regressio Estimatio of the Parameters of the Geeralized Pareto Distributio JM va Zyl Abstract: Makig use of the quatile equatio, Box-Cox regressio ad Laplace distributed disturbaces,
More informationData Assimilation. Alan O Neill University of Reading, UK
Data Assimilatio Ala O Neill Uiversity of Readig, UK he Kalma Filter Kalma Filter (expesive Use model equatios to propagate B forward i time. B B(t Aalysis step as i OI Evolutio of Covariace Matrices (
More informationECE 8527: Introduction to Machine Learning and Pattern Recognition Midterm # 1. Vaishali Amin Fall, 2015
ECE 8527: Itroductio to Machie Learig ad Patter Recogitio Midterm # 1 Vaishali Ami Fall, 2015 tue39624@temple.edu Problem No. 1: Cosider a two-class discrete distributio problem: ω 1 :{[0,0], [2,0], [2,2],
More informationTABLES AND FORMULAS FOR MOORE Basic Practice of Statistics
TABLES AND FORMULAS FOR MOORE Basic Practice of Statistics Explorig Data: Distributios Look for overall patter (shape, ceter, spread) ad deviatios (outliers). Mea (use a calculator): x = x 1 + x 2 + +
More informationOutline. Linear regression. Regularization functions. Polynomial curve fitting. Stochastic gradient descent for regression. MLE for regression
REGRESSION 1 Outlie Liear regressio Regularizatio fuctios Polyomial curve fittig Stochastic gradiet descet for regressio MLE for regressio Step-wise forward regressio Regressio methods Statistical techiques
More informationA PROCEDURE TO MODIFY THE FREQUENCY AND ENVELOPE CHARACTERISTICS OF EMPIRICAL GREEN'S FUNCTION. Lin LU 1 SUMMARY
A POCEDUE TO MODIFY THE FEQUENCY AND ENVELOPE CHAACTEISTICS OF EMPIICAL GEEN'S FUNCTION Li LU SUMMAY Semi-empirical method, which divides the fault plae of large earthquake ito mets ad uses small groud
More informationFree Space Optical Wireless Communications under Turbulence Channel Effect
IOSR Joural of Electroics ad Commuicatio Egieerig (IOSR-JECE) e-issn: 78-834,p- ISSN: 78-8735.Volume 9, Issue 3, Ver. III (May - Ju. 014), PP 01-08 Free Space Optical Wireless Commuicatios uder Turbulece
More informationTHE SYSTEMATIC AND THE RANDOM. ERRORS - DUE TO ELEMENT TOLERANCES OF ELECTRICAL NETWORKS
R775 Philips Res. Repts 26,414-423, 1971' THE SYSTEMATIC AND THE RANDOM. ERRORS - DUE TO ELEMENT TOLERANCES OF ELECTRICAL NETWORKS by H. W. HANNEMAN Abstract Usig the law of propagatio of errors, approximated
More informationAnna Janicka Mathematical Statistics 2018/2019 Lecture 1, Parts 1 & 2
Aa Jaicka Mathematical Statistics 18/19 Lecture 1, Parts 1 & 1. Descriptive Statistics By the term descriptive statistics we will mea the tools used for quatitative descriptio of the properties of a sample
More informationLecture 2: Monte Carlo Simulation
STAT/Q SCI 43: Itroductio to Resamplig ethods Sprig 27 Istructor: Ye-Chi Che Lecture 2: ote Carlo Simulatio 2 ote Carlo Itegratio Assume we wat to evaluate the followig itegratio: e x3 dx What ca we do?
More informationAccuracy assessment methods and challenges
Accuracy assessmet methods ad challeges Giles M. Foody School of Geography Uiversity of Nottigham giles.foody@ottigham.ac.uk Backgroud Need for accuracy assessmet established. Cosiderable progress ow see
More informationVERTICAL MOVEMENTS FROM LEVELLING, GRAVITY AND GPS MEASUREMENTS
rd IAG / 2th FIG Symposium, Bade, May 22-24, 26 VERTICAL MOVEMENTS FROM LEVELLING, GRAVITY AND GPS MEASUREMENTS N. Hatjidakis, D. Rossikopoulos Departmet of Geodesy ad Surveyig, Faculty of Egieerig Aristotle
More informationStatistical Inference (Chapter 10) Statistical inference = learn about a population based on the information provided by a sample.
Statistical Iferece (Chapter 10) Statistical iferece = lear about a populatio based o the iformatio provided by a sample. Populatio: The set of all values of a radom variable X of iterest. Characterized
More informationComparison Study of Series Approximation. and Convergence between Chebyshev. and Legendre Series
Applied Mathematical Scieces, Vol. 7, 03, o. 6, 3-337 HIKARI Ltd, www.m-hikari.com http://d.doi.org/0.988/ams.03.3430 Compariso Study of Series Approimatio ad Covergece betwee Chebyshev ad Legedre Series
More informationNumber of fatalities X Sunday 4 Monday 6 Tuesday 2 Wednesday 0 Thursday 3 Friday 5 Saturday 8 Total 28. Day
LECTURE # 8 Mea Deviatio, Stadard Deviatio ad Variace & Coefficiet of variatio Mea Deviatio Stadard Deviatio ad Variace Coefficiet of variatio First, we will discuss it for the case of raw data, ad the
More informationLINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS. MODULE IX Lecture Multicollinearity
LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS MODULE IX Lecture - 9 Multicolliearity Dr Shalabh Departmet of Mathematics ad Statistics Idia Istitute of Techology Kapur Multicolliearity diagostics A importat questio that
More informationProvläsningsexemplar / Preview TECHNICAL REPORT INTERNATIONAL SPECIAL COMMITTEE ON RADIO INTERFERENCE
TECHNICAL REPORT CISPR 16-4-3 2004 AMENDMENT 1 2006-10 INTERNATIONAL SPECIAL COMMITTEE ON RADIO INTERFERENCE Amedmet 1 Specificatio for radio disturbace ad immuity measurig apparatus ad methods Part 4-3:
More informationLast time: Moments of the Poisson distribution from its generating function. Example: Using telescope to measure intensity of an object
6.3 Stochastic Estimatio ad Cotrol, Fall 004 Lecture 7 Last time: Momets of the Poisso distributio from its geeratig fuctio. Gs () e dg µ e ds dg µ ( s) µ ( s) µ ( s) µ e ds dg X µ ds X s dg dg + ds ds
More informationBecause it tests for differences between multiple pairs of means in one test, it is called an omnibus test.
Math 308 Sprig 018 Classes 19 ad 0: Aalysis of Variace (ANOVA) Page 1 of 6 Itroductio ANOVA is a statistical procedure for determiig whether three or more sample meas were draw from populatios with equal
More informationNotes on iteration and Newton s method. Iteration
Notes o iteratio ad Newto s method Iteratio Iteratio meas doig somethig over ad over. I our cotet, a iteratio is a sequece of umbers, vectors, fuctios, etc. geerated by a iteratio rule of the type 1 f
More informationLecture 6 Chi Square Distribution (χ 2 ) and Least Squares Fitting
Lecture 6 Chi Square Distributio (χ ) ad Least Squares Fittig Chi Square Distributio (χ ) Suppose: We have a set of measuremets {x 1, x, x }. We kow the true value of each x i (x t1, x t, x t ). We would
More informationa b c d e f g h Supplementary Information
Supplemetary Iformatio a b c d e f g h Supplemetary Figure S STM images show that Dark patters are frequetly preset ad ted to accumulate. (a) mv, pa, m ; (b) mv, pa, m ; (c) mv, pa, m ; (d) mv, pa, m ;
More informationLecture 19: Convergence
Lecture 19: Covergece Asymptotic approach I statistical aalysis or iferece, a key to the success of fidig a good procedure is beig able to fid some momets ad/or distributios of various statistics. I may
More informationEECS564 Estimation, Filtering, and Detection Hwk 2 Solns. Winter p θ (z) = (2θz + 1 θ), 0 z 1
EECS564 Estimatio, Filterig, ad Detectio Hwk 2 Sols. Witer 25 4. Let Z be a sigle observatio havig desity fuctio where. p (z) = (2z + ), z (a) Assumig that is a oradom parameter, fid ad plot the maximum
More informationSoo King Lim Figure 1: Figure 2: Figure 3: Figure 4: Figure 5: Figure 6: Figure 7:
0 Multivariate Cotrol Chart 3 Multivariate Normal Distributio 5 Estimatio of the Mea ad Covariace Matrix 6 Hotellig s Cotrol Chart 6 Hotellig s Square 8 Average Value of k Subgroups 0 Example 3 3 Value
More informationMeasurement uncertainty of the sound absorption
Measuremet ucertaity of the soud absorptio coefficiet Aa Izewska Buildig Research Istitute, Filtrowa Str., 00-6 Warsaw, Polad a.izewska@itb.pl 6887 The stadard ISO/IEC 705:005 o the competece of testig
More informationIntroduction to Signals and Systems, Part V: Lecture Summary
EEL33: Discrete-Time Sigals ad Systems Itroductio to Sigals ad Systems, Part V: Lecture Summary Itroductio to Sigals ad Systems, Part V: Lecture Summary So far we have oly looked at examples of o-recursive
More informationThe improvement of the volume ratio measurement method in static expansion vacuum system
Available olie at www.sciecedirect.com Physics Procedia 32 (22 ) 492 497 8 th Iteratioal Vacuum Cogress The improvemet of the volume ratio measuremet method i static expasio vacuum system Yu Hogya*, Wag
More informationRegression, Inference, and Model Building
Regressio, Iferece, ad Model Buildig Scatter Plots ad Correlatio Correlatio coefficiet, r -1 r 1 If r is positive, the the scatter plot has a positive slope ad variables are said to have a positive relatioship
More informationS Y Y = ΣY 2 n. Using the above expressions, the correlation coefficient is. r = SXX S Y Y
1 Sociology 405/805 Revised February 4, 004 Summary of Formulae for Bivariate Regressio ad Correlatio Let X be a idepedet variable ad Y a depedet variable, with observatios for each of the values of these
More informationTRACEABILITY SYSTEM OF ROCKWELL HARDNESS C SCALE IN JAPAN
HARDMEKO 004 Hardess Measuremets Theory ad Applicatio i Laboratories ad Idustries - November, 004, Washigto, D.C., USA TRACEABILITY SYSTEM OF ROCKWELL HARDNESS C SCALE IN JAPAN Koichiro HATTORI, Satoshi
More informationG r a d e 1 1 P r e - C a l c u l u s M a t h e m a t i c s ( 3 0 S )
G r a d e 1 1 P r e - C a l c u l u s M a t h e m a t i c s ( 3 0 S ) Grade 11 Pre-Calculus Mathematics (30S) is desiged for studets who ited to study calculus ad related mathematics as part of post-secodary
More informationRobust Default Correlation for Cost Risk Analysis
Robust Default Correlatio for Cost Risk Aalysis Christia Smart, Ph.D., CCEA Director, Cost Estimatig ad Aalysis Missile Defese Agecy Preseted at the 03 ICEAA Professioal Developmet ad Traiig Workshop Jue,
More informationMATH 320: Probability and Statistics 9. Estimation and Testing of Parameters. Readings: Pruim, Chapter 4
MATH 30: Probability ad Statistics 9. Estimatio ad Testig of Parameters Estimatio ad Testig of Parameters We have bee dealig situatios i which we have full kowledge of the distributio of a radom variable.
More informationmultiplies all measures of center and the standard deviation and range by k, while the variance is multiplied by k 2.
Lesso 3- Lesso 3- Scale Chages of Data Vocabulary scale chage of a data set scale factor scale image BIG IDEA Multiplyig every umber i a data set by k multiplies all measures of ceter ad the stadard deviatio
More informationExample 3.3: Rainfall reported at a group of five stations (see Fig. 3.7) is as follows. Kundla. Sabli
3.4.4 Spatial Cosistecy Check Raifall data exhibit some spatial cosistecy ad this forms the basis of ivestigatig the observed raifall values. A estimate of the iterpolated raifall value at a statio is
More informationLecture 6 Chi Square Distribution (χ 2 ) and Least Squares Fitting
Lecture 6 Chi Square Distributio (χ ) ad Least Squares Fittig Chi Square Distributio (χ ) Suppose: We have a set of measuremets {x 1, x, x }. We kow the true value of each x i (x t1, x t, x t ). We would
More informationIf, for instance, we were required to test whether the population mean μ could be equal to a certain value μ
STATISTICAL INFERENCE INTRODUCTION Statistical iferece is that brach of Statistics i which oe typically makes a statemet about a populatio based upo the results of a sample. I oesample testig, we essetially
More informationRegression, Part I. A) Correlation describes the relationship between two variables, where neither is independent or a predictor.
Regressio, Part I I. Differece from correlatio. II. Basic idea: A) Correlatio describes the relatioship betwee two variables, where either is idepedet or a predictor. - I correlatio, it would be irrelevat
More informationStudy the bias (due to the nite dimensional approximation) and variance of the estimators
2 Series Methods 2. Geeral Approach A model has parameters (; ) where is ite-dimesioal ad is oparametric. (Sometimes, there is o :) We will focus o regressio. The fuctio is approximated by a series a ite
More informationMath 312 Lecture Notes One Dimensional Maps
Math 312 Lecture Notes Oe Dimesioal Maps Warre Weckesser Departmet of Mathematics Colgate Uiversity 21-23 February 25 A Example We begi with the simplest model of populatio growth. Suppose, for example,
More informationChapter 12 - Quality Cotrol Example: The process of llig 12 ouce cas of Dr. Pepper is beig moitored. The compay does ot wat to uderll the cas. Hece, a target llig rate of 12.1-12.5 ouces was established.
More informationUNIVERSITY OF TORONTO Faculty of Arts and Science APRIL/MAY 2009 EXAMINATIONS ECO220Y1Y PART 1 OF 2 SOLUTIONS
PART of UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO Faculty of Arts ad Sciece APRIL/MAY 009 EAMINATIONS ECO0YY PART OF () The sample media is greater tha the sample mea whe there is. (B) () A radom variable is ormally distributed
More informationSalmon: Lectures on partial differential equations. 3. First-order linear equations as the limiting case of second-order equations
3. First-order liear equatios as the limitig case of secod-order equatios We cosider the advectio-diffusio equatio (1) v = 2 o a bouded domai, with boudary coditios of prescribed. The coefficiets ( ) (2)
More informationAppendix D Some Portfolio Theory Math for Water Supply
DESALINATION, WITH A GRAIN OF SALT A CALIFORNIA PERSPECTIVE 9 Appedix D Some Portfolio Theory Math for Water Supply Costat-Reliability-Beefit Uit Costs The reliability ad cost of differet water-supply
More information4.3 Growth Rates of Solutions to Recurrences
4.3. GROWTH RATES OF SOLUTIONS TO RECURRENCES 81 4.3 Growth Rates of Solutios to Recurreces 4.3.1 Divide ad Coquer Algorithms Oe of the most basic ad powerful algorithmic techiques is divide ad coquer.
More informationA proposed discrete distribution for the statistical modeling of
It. Statistical Ist.: Proc. 58th World Statistical Cogress, 0, Dubli (Sessio CPS047) p.5059 A proposed discrete distributio for the statistical modelig of Likert data Kidd, Marti Cetre for Statistical
More informationChapter 3: Other Issues in Multiple regression (Part 1)
Chapter 3: Other Issues i Multiple regressio (Part 1) 1 Model (variable) selectio The difficulty with model selectio: for p predictors, there are 2 p differet cadidate models. Whe we have may predictors
More informationStatistical Properties of OLS estimators
1 Statistical Properties of OLS estimators Liear Model: Y i = β 0 + β 1 X i + u i OLS estimators: β 0 = Y β 1X β 1 = Best Liear Ubiased Estimator (BLUE) Liear Estimator: β 0 ad β 1 are liear fuctio of
More informationA General Family of Estimators for Estimating Population Variance Using Known Value of Some Population Parameter(s)
Rajesh Sigh, Pakaj Chauha, Nirmala Sawa School of Statistics, DAVV, Idore (M.P.), Idia Floreti Smaradache Uiversity of New Meico, USA A Geeral Family of Estimators for Estimatig Populatio Variace Usig
More informationChapter 2 Descriptive Statistics
Chapter 2 Descriptive Statistics Statistics Most commoly, statistics refers to umerical data. Statistics may also refer to the process of collectig, orgaizig, presetig, aalyzig ad iterpretig umerical data
More informationLecture 7: Density Estimation: k-nearest Neighbor and Basis Approach
STAT 425: Itroductio to Noparametric Statistics Witer 28 Lecture 7: Desity Estimatio: k-nearest Neighbor ad Basis Approach Istructor: Ye-Chi Che Referece: Sectio 8.4 of All of Noparametric Statistics.
More informationChapter 7 z-transform
Chapter 7 -Trasform Itroductio Trasform Uilateral Trasform Properties Uilateral Trasform Iversio of Uilateral Trasform Determiig the Frequecy Respose from Poles ad Zeros Itroductio Role i Discrete-Time
More informationEstimation of Gumbel Parameters under Ranked Set Sampling
Joural of Moder Applied Statistical Methods Volume 13 Issue 2 Article 11-2014 Estimatio of Gumbel Parameters uder Raked Set Samplig Omar M. Yousef Al Balqa' Applied Uiversity, Zarqa, Jorda, abuyaza_o@yahoo.com
More informationThe z-transform. 7.1 Introduction. 7.2 The z-transform Derivation of the z-transform: x[n] = z n LTI system, h[n] z = re j
The -Trasform 7. Itroductio Geeralie the complex siusoidal represetatio offered by DTFT to a represetatio of complex expoetial sigals. Obtai more geeral characteristics for discrete-time LTI systems. 7.
More informationG. R. Pasha Department of Statistics Bahauddin Zakariya University Multan, Pakistan
Deviatio of the Variaces of Classical Estimators ad Negative Iteger Momet Estimator from Miimum Variace Boud with Referece to Maxwell Distributio G. R. Pasha Departmet of Statistics Bahauddi Zakariya Uiversity
More information