OETR ova Scotia Pay Fairway Analysis - summary. Matt Luheshi Halifax 21 st January 2014
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1 OETR ova Scotia Pay Fairway Analysis - summary Matt Luheshi Halifax 21 st January 2014
2 2007 Gap Analysis Technical Issues Nova Scotia Geoscience Gap Analysis
3 Issues How good is the source rock system? What do we know about migration pathways? >120 exploration wells have only discovered ~2.1 bnboe in place Is this because of lean source rocks? Poor migration? Poor seals? (there seem to be plenty of reservoirs) At least on the shelf Nova Scotia Geoscience Gap Analysis
4 Questions What is distribution of source rocks Where are the source kitchens How rich are the known source rocks Can we identify the locations of possible lacustrine source systems? How well do we understand thermal history? Variation in basal heat flow Impact of salt Possible uplift event(s) Volcanics What controls the effectiveness of the charge system Source rock presence? Source rock richness? Thermal history? Migration? Nova Scotia Geoscience Gap Analysis
5 Nova Scotia Geoscience Gap Analysis PFA
6 Exploration results to date: ~ 127 exploration wells 25 discoveries ~2.1 bnboe discovered (in place) ~ 1:5 success rate Producing fields Deepwater discovery Courtesy - CNSOPB
7 cumulative mmboe in place # of exploration wells To date: ~ 128 exploration wells 25 discoveries 2500 ~ 1:5 success rate Scotian Basin Creaming Curve (total) Cumulative volumes discovered Post exploration wells 1 discovery success rate?! 14 Pre exploration wells 24 discoveries 1: success rate Year
8 Explored plays NNW Deep Panuke Cohasset Venture (projected) Cree Glenelg SSE BANQUEREAU 10Km WYANDOT Issues/questions LOGAN CANYON MISSISAUGA NASKAPI Reservoir distribution (deep water) "O" MARKER Source rock distribution & richness ABENAKI Emma Mariner Queensland Adamant Cree Onondaga Southampton VERRILL CANYON BASEMENT ARGO EURYDICE Courtesy - CNSOPB
9 Play Fairway Analysis - Workflow Plate Tectonics Project Seismic Reprocessing Refraction Line SISMAR Reprocess Grav Mag Reprocessing Volumes & Risks Beaumont forward Model GSC/Sibuet Reconstruction Louden Integ Interpretation CRS mapping Plate Tectonics 3D Basin Evolution Model GDE maps Petroleum systems Geochemistry Project Thermal Evolution of basin Synthetics/Data Conditioning/ base maps/reports and wells Build database Strat Model Seismic interpretation Bible Line Reprocessing Source Rock identification and type Oil typing from seeps and shows Vitrinite Reflectance Rock Eval Bio Stratigraphy Sedimentology Fluid Inclusions AFTA PFA Project - BEICIP External Contractors Halifax academic/gsc
10 Database ~70000 km 2D ~30000 sq km 3D 20 key wells Std Log suite + ~90 other wells Biostratigraphy data Synthetic seismograms Variable spatial distribution Albatross-B13 West Esperanto_B-78 Dauntless_D-35 Hesper_P-52 South_Griffin_J-13 Cohasset_L-97 Tantallon_M-41 Chebucto_K-90 Alma_F-67 Glenelg_J-48 Annapolis_G-24 Evangeline_H-98 Crimson_F-81 Glooscap_C-63 Balvenie_B-79 Newburn_H-23 Weymouth_A-45 Shubenacadie_H-100 Bonnet P-23 Shelburne_G-29 06/01/
11 Source rocks 5 source rock intervals 2 major source rocks Tithonian mixed terrestrial/marine Pliensbachian restricted marine S S S S
12 CRS of Early Jurassic source Presence Presence*maturity Maturity Presence*maturity*migration
13 CRS of Tithonian source Presence Presence*maturity Maturity Presence*maturity*migration
14 Source Rocks Modeling PLIENBACHIAN SR Transformation Ratio APTIAN SR VALANGINIAN SR TITHONIAN SR CALLOVIAN SR PLIENBACHIAN SR % TRANSFORMATION RATIO TEMIS (3D petroleum systems)
15 Source Rocks Modeling TITHONIAN SR Transformation Ratio APTIAN SR VALANGINIAN SR TITHONIAN SR CALLOVIAN SR PLIENBACHIAN SR % TRANSFORMATION RATIO TEMIS (3D petroleum systems)
16 Upper Jurassic Play Drainage area ZONE 3 ZONE 5 ZONE 1 ZONE 6 ZONE 4 ZONE 2
17 Key messages Multiple petroleum systems Proven gas/condensate + oil plays in North East Frontier oil play in South West Regional Early Jurassic marine source (new petroleum system) Multiple reservoir possibilities Major proven delta (Sable) north Clastic input along margin and south west Carbonate bank Substantial resource (~120 TCF + 8 bnbbls) ~3-5% of expelled hydrocarbons Distributed over multiple plays
18 Risks Charge Proven in East Model risk in West (extent of EJ source) Reservoir Extensive regional evidence for presence Distribution - detailed seismic stratigraphy & attribute analysis Traps Multiple possibilities in shallow & deep water Detailed structural mapping De-risking - 3D seismic
19 2013 special projects Further geochemistry on shelf samples Identify source f liquids on shelf Seismic reprocessing of selected 2D lines Test resolution improvement (CFB-2013 area) Seismic rock physics DHIs yes/no? Sand detection yes/no?
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