Euro Pressure Maps FEB 2014.

Transcription

1 Eu Possible Pressure Scenario Maps Forecast FEB 2014 SLAT9A Prod 31 Jan 2014 from choices of 16 Jan Euro Pressure Maps FEB Very mild and fine in great burst of spring in West for most of month; while East states and West Russia suffer prolonged very cold blasts with snowmageddon blizzards at times. Ukraine, Greece & Turkey unusually cold and snowy. Parts of France probably in the mildest 5 or 10 for 100yrs. Most stormy/blizzardy (in parts) spells: Feb 3-7 th (R3, R4), ~10-12 th (R5), ~23-25 (R5) stormy in Scandinavia. The West Russian cold blast could be comparable in relative terms to the offset polar vortex which hit USA in January. Basic approx pressure developments: 1-19 th large European High (including Scandinavia) S ly winds in West; N ly winds in Russia/East th High shifts West, dramatic increase in mobility in Scndinavia. Wild Jet Stream circulation - Very long meanders in Jet Stream - in accordance with mini Ice Age state predicted by WeatherAction years ago The changes in circulation giving these often extreme weather patterns will be driven by changes in the Solar-Lunar factors which govern the behavior of the Jet stream and are predictable by WeatherAction s revolutionary Solar-Lunar-Action-Technique (SLAT9A) months ahead and nothing to do with CO2 changes - the Climate Change theory - which is delusional and fraudulent. The wild extremes are consequences of the Wild Jet Stream / Mini Ice Age (ie on average significantly colder) Climate decades the world is now entering. andard Meteorology will run into serious problems this month in SLAT main Red (R4 & R5) periods during which short range standard Meteorology forecasts for precipitation will generally need to be doubled and strong wind / tornado /thunder risk enhanced. Weather Action & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on Snow hits Kiev demonstrations Ukraine late January confirming WeatherAction forecast for SE Europe for ~25-29 Jan (inset Right) issued 30/31 Dec from choices 16 Dec. Huge amounts of snow also fell in Romania in line with WeatherAction s Long Range forecast. Piers Corbyn says We are pleased with this heavy snow as we predicted and it gives us high confidence in our long range forecast for the winter Olympics in Sochi on the North side of Black Sea. WeatherAction Sochi Winter Olympics 6-23 Feb forecast to be issued shortly and available FIRST to Euromaps subscribers News: World Cooling deniers stuck in Antarctic summer ice!!

2 Eu Possible Pressure Scenario Maps SLAT 9A FEBRUARY 2014 for: 1 st 2 nd February Confidence: A = 85% 1-2 nd FEBRUARY 2014 NSF/Q 1-2 Low Split A partial ridge of high pressure from Atlantic W of Ireland towards Greenland weakens so W ly flow increases. Strong Euro High maintained centred Germany extending to Azores where pressure is lower. Low pressure Siberia + Urals + central Med + NW Africa. Medium range note 30 Jan: Winds in B+I+ NW Eu will be LESS & lows less deep ~1-2 Feb than standard Met saying (31 Jan). Confused situation N Sea/South Scandinavia. cc

3 Eu Possible Pressure Scenario Maps SLAT 9A FEBRUARY 2014 for: 3 rd 7 th February Confidence: B = 75% 3-7 th FEBRUARY 2014 R3 3-5, R4 6-7 th Top later Normal / N branch strong / blocked A series of low pressures tracking through Iceland, becoming increasingly mobile. Large European High centred in Italy/Greece extends towards Azores which has lower pressure. Cold low pressure Russia. Euro High extends to N Africa (Tunisia/Morocco). Penetration of lows BI + S Scand.

4 Eu Possible Pressure Scenario Maps SLAT 9A FEBRUARY 2014 for: 8 th 9 th February Confidence: AB = 80% From Forecast Pressure Maps main choices of 16 th JAN. Prod 30/31Dec. Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10 Development Notes: 8-9 th FEBRUARY 2014 NSF/Q Low Normal/blocked (by Scandinavian High) Active low passes into Russia as High strengthens over N Britain/N Sea/west Scandinavia. Europe generally high pressure. Azores lowish. Greenland largely low pressure. Pressure increases over Baltic/Poland. Low Med south of Turkey. N Sea + West Scandinavia.

5 Eu Possible Pressure Scenario Maps SLAT 9A FEBRUARY 2014 for: 10 th 12 th February Confidence: AB = 80% th FEBRUARY 2014 R th Very high N ly track/blocked. Very deep dartboard low (central pressure <960mb) attacks from west of Iceland. BLOCKED by strong large West European High centred S Scandinavia/Denmark/N Sea. Position of boundary over Brit + Ire unclear. Low pressure West Siberia + West Russia. High N Africa to Euro High. Low Azores. Low East Med South of Turkey. Br + Ir / N Sea boundary of frontal penetration.

6 Eu Possible Pressure Scenario Maps SLAT 9A FEBRUARY 2014 for: 13 th 15 th January Confidence: AB = 80% th FEBRUARY 2014 R th Med Main branch well North; also probably a S branch developing. Firm high pressure persists over Europe, probably centred in Germany/Austria/Switzerla nd. Moderate low attacks from Atlantic (centred in Iceland) partially blocked by European high. Azores less low pressure than before. Arctic low N of Finland. Low East Turkey / East Black Sea. Battleground boundary ~ Ireland and West Britain.

7 Eu Possible Pressure Scenario Maps SLAT 9A FEBRUARY 2014 for: 16 th 19 th February Confidence: AB = 80% th FEBRUARY 2014 NSF/Q 16-17, R Low Mod Well North/blocked. Huge meander. Moderate/deepening low pressures, with sublow(s) later, attack from Atlantic and are largely blocked by Euro-Britain high which extends over Britain + most of Ireland. Increasingly active low pressure West Russia. Azores low not high. Euro low extends into N Africa. Ridge N Norway to Svalbard into Europe and NW Africa. Resistance of high over BI to R3 attacks.

8 Eu Possible Pressure Scenario Maps SLAT 9A FEBRUARY 2014 for: 20 th 25 th February Confidence: B = 75% th FEBRUARY 2014 R ; R Top North/normal/blocked with a S branch too. Sudden transient decrease of pressure over Britain and Ireland, then after a brief increase in pressure, a deep low(s) track Iceland Norway partially blocked by extensive European high pressure from Spain to Black Sea. Scandinavia becomes mobile. Low(er) pressure N Africa. Note Jet Stream partially split. Penetration of fronts to South Scand/Germany.

9 Eu Possible Pressure Scenario Maps SLAT 9A FEBRUARY 2014 for: 26 th - 28 th Feb/ 1 st March Confidence: B = 75% th FEB - 1 st MARCH NSF/Q 26-28; R4 1 st March High later (Mar 1) Well North Deep active low passes into Scandinavia + Russia and fills slowly (probably as complex low) and high pressure increases over north Britain. New south Scandinavia/Denmark low likely on 1 st March. High pressure shifts generally west with centre over France/Spain and linked to Azores High which dramatically recovers. Low pressure Iceland. Med mostly high pressure. Low developing central and East Med. N Sea/Denmark/S Scand Low.