THE EXTRA TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERE AND LOWER STRATOSPHERE

Transcription

1 THE EXTRA TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERE AND LOWER STRATOSPHERE A. Gettelman, 1 P. Hoor, 2 L. L. Pan, 1 W. J. Randel 1, M. I. Hegglin 3 and T. Birner 4 A. Gettelman, National Center for Atmospheric Research 1850 Table Mesa Dr.,Boulder, CO, 80304, USA (andrew@ucar.edu) P. Hoor, Institute for Atmospheric Physics University Mainz, D-55099, Mainz, Germany (hoor@uni-mainz.de) L. L. Pan, National Center for Atmospheric Research 1850 Table Mesa Dr.,Boulder, CO, 80304, USA (liwen@ucar.edu) W. J. Randel, National Center for Atmospheric Research 1850 Table Mesa Dr.,Boulder, CO, 80304, USA (randel@ucar.edu) M. I. Hegglin, Department of Physics, University of Toronto Toronto, ON, Canada (michaela@atmosp.physics.utoronto.ca) T. Birner, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO, USA (thomas@atmos.colostate.edu) 1 National Center for Atmospheric Research,Boulder, CO, USA 2 Institute for Atmospheric Physics, University Mainz, Mainz, Germany 3 Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada. 4 Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA

2 2 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS The Extratropical Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (Ex-UTLS) is a transition region between the stratosphere and the troposphere. The Ex-UTLS includes the tropopause, a strong static stability gradient and dynamic barrier to transport. The barrier is reflected in tracer profiles. This region exhibits complex dynamical, radiative and chemical characteristics that place stringent spatial and temporal requirements on observing and modeling systems. The Ex-UTLS couples the stratosphere to the troposphere through chemical constituent transport (of e.g., ozone), by dynamically linking the stratospheric circulation with tropospheric wave patterns, and via radiative processes tied to optically thick clouds and clear sky gradients of radiatively active gases. A comprehensive picture of the Ex-UTLS is presented that brings together different definitions of the tropopause, focusing on observed dynamical and chemical structure, and their coupling. This integral view recognizes that thermal gradients and dynamic barriers are necessarily linked, that these barriers inhibit mixing and give rise to specific trace gas distributions, and that there are radiative feedbacks that help maintain this structure. The impacts of 21st century anthropogenic changes to the atmosphere due to ozone recovery and climate change will be felt in the Ex-UTLS, and recent simulations of these effects are summarized and placed in context.

3 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 3 1. INTRODUCTION The Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) is a coupling layer in the atmosphere. It can be broadly defined as the region ±5 km around the tropopause, the traditional boundary between the troposphere (from the Greek τ ρ ɛπω or to turn over ) and the stratosphere (from the Latin stratus, to spread out ). The UTLS is a consequence of the transition between the troposphere and stratosphere, and processes in the region may alter both the troposphere and stratosphere. Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange (STE) across the tropopause is an important bi-directional process for influencing the chemistry of the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere [Holton et al., 1995]. STE is important for understanding tropospheric ozone (O 3 ) concentrations that affect air quality. But the UTLS is important for more than just STE. Because of relative minimum temperatures in this region, the UTLS has a key influence on radiation escaping the troposphere to space and hence affecting surface climate and climate feedbacks. The dynamics of the UTLS may also influence stratospheric annular modes and their effects on the troposphere. In this way the UTLS is important for influencing the persistence of tropospheric weather regimes in middle and high latitudes, potentially allowing improved predictability. The tropical Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO) can also influence the troposphere by modulation of planetary waves in the UTLS [Garfinkel and Hartmann, 2010]. The dynamical, chemical and radiative aspects of the UTLS are coupled, and may evolve due to anthropogenic radiative and chemical forcing of the climate system. Thus changes to the UTLS may cause significant changes to tropospheric chemistry and climate. Here we focus on the Extratropical UTLS (Ex-UTLS), defined broadly as the region poleward of the subtropical jet between 8 20km (Figure 1, dark and light shaded re-

4 4 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS gion). The altitude range spans the free troposphere to the lower stratosphere. The fundamental difference between the tropics and extratropics is based on the dominant physical processes in each region: radiative-convective balance in the tropics vs. baroclinic wave dynamics in the extratropics [Held, 1982]. This distinction is echoed in the distinct tropopause altitudes for each region ( 17 km in the tropics vs. 10 km in extratropics). A further fundamental distinction is that the global stratospheric overturning circulation is upwards in the tropics and downwards in the extratropics, which fundamentally influences background reservoirs for STE. In recent years it has been recognized that the tropical boundary between the troposphere and the stratosphere is more appropriately viewed as a layer extending over several kilometers [Atticks and Robinson, 1983; Highwood and Hoskins, 1998; Fueglistaler et al., 2009]. The Ex-UTLS region is marked by transitions in chemical constituents that result from transport and mixing, and interact with radiation. Gradients in ozone (O 3 ) and water vapor (H 2 O) across the region are strong and opposite (ozone concentrations are low in the troposphere, water vapor concentrations are low in the stratosphere). STE mass exchange is a two way process that in the net mixes ozone down gradient from the stratosphere into the upper troposphere, where it has an impact on the ozone budget of the troposphere [e.g., Roelofs and Lelieveld, 1996]. Because the Ex-UTLS encompasses a local temperature minimum, and is the uppermost region where clouds may form, radiatively active trace species, aerosols and clouds (especially cirrus) in the Ex-UTLS have strong potential radiative forcing [Tuck et al., 1997]. While radiative time scales in the Ex-UTLS are relatively long, there can be substantial impact on tropospheric climate and surface temperature from Ex-UTLS ozone

5 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 5 [Forster and Tourpali, 2001] and water vapor [Forster and Shine, 2002; Solomon et al., 2010]. Perturbations to the local radiative balance can in turn couple to the dynamical structure by altering the temperature profile, winds (through the thermal wind relation) and the static stability of the region. The Ex-UTLS is also linked to dynamical coupling of the troposphere and stratosphere. The stratospheric circulation is primarily driven by the upward propagation and dissipation of large- and small- scale waves originating in the troposphere, and the details of propagation/dissipation are tied to UTLS static stability and wind profiles [Chen and Robinson, 1992; Shindell et al., 1999]. The stratosphere has also been shown to provide long range forecast predictability for the troposphere [Baldwin and Dunkerton, 2001] through wave dynamics coupled with so-called annular modes [e.g., Shepherd, 2007]. Finally, significant decadal-scale trends have been observed in the Ex-UTLS region, likely associated with anthropogenic radiative forcing of climate [Santer et al., 2003; Seidel and Randel, 2006]. By the end of the 21st century, climate change is predicted to substantially change UTLS ozone distributions through changes in stratospheric transport, with a potentially strong feedback on radiative forcing and STE [Hegglin and Shepherd, 2009]. Mitigation of anthropogenic radiative forcing through planetary radiation management (or geoengineering ) [Crutzen, 2006] could potentially be implemented through enhancement of the stratospheric aerosol layer [Tilmes et al., 2009]. Thus it is critical to understand the processes governing the Ex-UTLS and how they might change. In this review we first describe the basic structure of the Ex-UTLS and the surrounding region (Section 2). We then describe recent work on the analysis of the tropopause structure from different perspectives (Section 3) and acquisition and analysis of chemi-

6 6 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS cal measurements in the Ex-UTLS from aircraft, balloons and satellite data (Section 4), together with observations, modeling and theoretical studies of transport and mixing (Section 5) to understand the observations. We also describe how the Ex-UTLS region is changing and projected to evolve in response to anthropogenic forcing of climate and chemistry (Section 6). This review aims at an integral perspective (Section 7) of dynamical, chemical and radiative processes that govern the Ex-UTLS. Acronyms are defined in Section STRUCTURE OF THE EX-UTLS The Ex-UTLS contains the lowermost stratosphere poleward of the sub-tropical jet and is bounded in the vertical by the stratospheric overworld (440 K isentrope: see below) and the upper troposphere ( 5 km below the mean tropopause). Air in the Ex-UTLS has complex dynamical and chemical characteristics, influenced by both the troposphere and the stratosphere. The Ex-UTLS is illustrated in a schematic snapshot in Figure 1, and the climatological wind and static stability structure is illustrated in Figure 2. The lower boundary of the Ex-UTLS we define 5 km below the mean tropopause (about the lowest altitude of a highly perturbed tropopause). The upper boundary of the Ex- UTLS is best defined by an isentropic surface around K potential temperature (also defining the top of the TTL in the tropics), a level at the base of the region where the tropical stratosphere is isolated from the extratropics (the tropical pipe of Plumb [1996]). This level indicates approximately the region up to which tropical tropospheric influence is evident in extratropical air masses [Tuck et al., 1997; Rosenlof et al., 1997], and shows a distinct dependency on season [Hegglin and Shepherd, 2007]. The Ex-UTLS is not primarily defined in terms of rigid boundaries, but rather in terms of processes:

7 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 7 it is the region of the extratropics that is influenced by the stratosphere from above as well as the troposphere from below, and also from the deep tropics via quasi-horizontal transport Stratospheric Overworld The upper boundary of the Ex-UTLS extends into the lower part of the stratospheric overworld [Hoskins, 1991; Holton et al., 1995]. The overworld (defined by isentropes that do not intersect the tropopause at any latitude, above 380 K) primarily influences the Ex-UTLS by downward transport (red vertical arrows in Figure 1), as part of the global scale stratospheric overturning mass circulation, termed the Brewer Dobson circulation [Brewer, 1949; Dobson et al., 1946]. The Brewer Dobson circulation is driven by seasonal variations in momentum deposition associated with vertically propagating waves originating in the troposphere [e.g., Garcia, 1987; Plumb, 2007; Shepherd, 2007], and is linked with mean upward flow in the tropics, and poleward and downward motion in the extratropics. Transport towards the extratropics within the Brewer Dobson circulation occurs through a relatively deep (or slow ) stratospheric circulation (that provides downward transport into the Ex-UTLS). There is also fast component of the Brewer Dobson circulation that more directly links the tropics and subtropics [Plumb, 2002; Birner and Bönisch, 2011], illustrated by the dotted red arrow in Figure 1. The definition of the Lowermost Stratosphere (LMS) in the Ex-UTLS was sketched by Holton et al. [1995] based on terms from Hoskins [1991]. The air in the upper Ex-UTLS region above 380 K potential temperature surface has a range of transport times from the troposphere, often characterized by a spectrum of transit times (or age spectrum) [Hall and Plumb, 1997; Tuck et al., 2008]. These transit

8 8 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS times span the range from months to years, corresponding to different transport pathways. These transit times lead to mean ages (the first moment of the age spectrum) above a year in the extratropical stratosphere around 20 km [Waugh and Hall, 2002]. There is also evidence for rapid horizontal transport from the tropics above the subtropical jet, linked to synoptic and planetary scale waves (discussed further below). The strength of the vertical transport from the stratospheric overworld varies with latitude and season, maximizing during winter-spring, and is governed by the stratospheric residual circulation [Appenzeller et al., 1996b; Rosenlof et al., 1997] Polar Vortex and Subtropical Jet The Ex-UTLS is bounded by the subtropical jet on its tropical flank, and in polar regions is situated below the polar vortex during winter-spring (this region is sometimes termed the sub-vortex). The snapshot in Figure 1 indicates that there are often conditions of more than one jet in the Ex-UTLS. Double jets do exist in the climatology in certain seasons and regions, though they are not present in a zonal mean climatology (Figure 2). The core of the subtropical jet is associated with strong gradients in isentropic PV [Chen, 1995; Haynes and Shuckburgh, 2000] and chemical tracers [Pan et al., 1997; Richard et al., 2003; Ray et al., 2004]. Local mixing is enhanced due to turbulence in the region of strong wind shear [Lelieveld et al., 1997], leading to larger mass fluxes in winter, but confined to a narrower layer around the tropopause than during summer, when winds are weaker. Transport on shorter timescales into the stratosphere mainly occurs in summer (Figure 2 and [Chen, 1995]), at the top and bottom edges of the jet [Haynes and Shuckburgh, 2000; Berthet et al., 2007], and in longitudinally localized regions where where wind speed and horizontal shear are weaker [Waugh and Funatsu, 2003]. Thus while the core of the

9 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 9 subtropical jet forms a strong barrier of horizontal transport and creates the separation of stratosphere and troposphere in the middleworld, the region around jet is preferred by baroclinic instability and wave breaking, which are dynamical mechanisms of mixing and tracer exchange between stratosphere and troposphere. In polar regions, the bottom of the stratospheric polar vortex can reach down into the Ex-UTLS [Manney et al., 2009]. This is illustrated in the DJF panel of Figure 2 where the 20 ms 1 wind contour descends to 20 km at 60 N (and schematically in Figure 1). Dynamics of the polar vortex are also relevant for understanding dynamical coupling to the troposphere [Baldwin and Dunkerton, 2001]. Waves propagate into the stratosphere, affect the stratospheric flow and that in turn affects the persistence of tropospheric wave modes [Polvani and Kushner, 2002]. The Ex-UTLS region can modulate the interaction and coupling between the stratosphere and troposphere through mixing of chemical species and radiative processes that alter wave propagation The troposphere The tropospheric general circulation in middle latitudes is governed by synoptic scale baroclinic wave dynamics, whose effects reach into the lower stratosphere. The background for both large- and small-scale processes within the Ex-UTLS is set by the dynamics of these waves. Tropospheric dynamics strongly influence the tropopause [de Bort, 1902; Dobson et al., 1929] and the structure of the Ex-UTLS. The presence of cyclones and anti-cyclones will affect the Ex-UTLS due to different synoptic dynamics [Wirth, 2003] that impact the strength of the tropopause transport barrier [Ambaum, 1997; Haynes et al., 2001]. Key large-scale aspects of baroclinic waves influencing the Ex-UTLS include frontal circulations, so- called warm conveyor belts linked with cyclonic cold fronts,

10 10 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS tropopause folds and cut-off lows [Stohl et al., 2003]. Synoptic scale tropopause folding events [Danielsen, 1964, 1968] are especially important for transport [Reed and Danielsen, 1959; Danielsen and Mohnen, 1977], and are efficient at mixing [Shapiro, 1980; Pan et al., 2007a]. The mixing creates a region of strong gradients on its edge that can sharpen dynamic and tracer gradients. An additional key tropospheric process involves transport in deep convection which occurs within synoptic scale circulations, and also within isolated or mesoscale convective systems. These are not evident in the climatology (Figure 2), but clouds are shown schematically in Figure 1. Clouds are a ubiquitous feature below the tropopause in the relatively humid [Kelly et al., 1991; Gettelman et al., 2006] upper troposphere. Deep convective clouds occasionally penetrate above the extra tropical tropopause [Wang, 2003]. Convective circulations transport and mix tropospheric air masses (with high CO, NO x and water vapor, and low ozone) up to cloud top and occasionally into the lowermost stratosphere [Hegglin et al., 2004; Mullendore et al., 2005]. Radiative heating from clouds, and from the species they transport (especially water vapor) create important radiative gradients in the Ex- UTLS. Aerosols and particulates in the upper troposphere (UT) are mostly processed through clouds (with removal of soluble species) to reach the UT. Some aerosols reach the lower stratosphere (LS), through direct injection by volcanic plumes or aircraft. The most common aerosols affecting ice clouds in the UT appear to be sulfate solutions for homogeneous freezing of solution drops and mineral dust for heterogeneous freezing nuclei [DeMott et al., 2003], but the balance between them is uncertain and complex. 3. TROPOPAUSE DEFINITIONS

11 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 11 The tropopause, a physical boundary separating the UT and LS, was discovered in the early 20th century by de Bort [1902] and Assman [1902]. The terms stratosphere and troposphere were coined by Teisserenc De Bort, and the tropopause was named shortly thereafter (the term appears in Meteorological Office [1918]). Hoinka [1997] presents a comprehensive review of the early balloon experiments leading to the discovery of the tropopause. [HERE OR A BOX: The discovery of the tropopause is a cautionary tale. It occurred after nearly 10 years of throwing out or correcting temperature measurements near the top of balloon profiles, because these temperatures were constant or increased with height. Only after some 200 profiles did de Bort [1902] accept that a nearly isothermal layer in the extratropical upper atmosphere above 10km might be real. The extratropical tropopause was noted early on as a region or layer [Beyers, 1944; Flohn and Penndorf, 1950]. It was recognized early on that the isothermal temperature region would mean a region of enhanced static stability. Schmauss [1909] observed and described multiple tropopauses in a profile. Defant and Taba [1957] noted the complex nature of the tropopause around the subtropical jet and its relation to the jet, as did Bjerknes and Palmén [1937]. Thus while this review may focus on recent work, much of the ground we review began with early speculations by the primary researchers, even if their focus was different. We should never forget that we stand on the shoulders of giants (Note: the quote is attributed to a letter by Sir Isaac Newton (1676), but ironically is itself a metaphor first recorded in the 12th century [Garry, 1971]). The definition of the tropopause and the evolution of the tropopause concept have been largely driven by the technology and scale of the observations. Vertical temperature

12 12 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS soundings of the late 19th and early 20th centuries provided the basis for the lapse rate based thermal definition. The much more extensive network of observations in the mid- 20th century facilitated the synoptic scale weather analyses and led to the recognition of the tropopause break and more complex behavior near the jet streams, which further motivated the potential vorticity (PV) based dynamical tropopause definition. Extensive ozone soundings and aircraft missions since the late 20th century promote the concept of the chemical tropopause and tracer correlation based chemical transition layer. Finally, when the global satellite observations and in situ high-resolution observations are examined together, an integral view of the multifaceted nature of the tropopause is revealed by the multiple definitions Thermal Tropopause The thermal tropopause is typically defined using the temperature lapse rate Γ = T z following World Meteorological Organization [1957], who codified the original definition of Dines [1919]. This WMO definition states the tropopause is the lowest altitude where Γ < 2 K km 1 provided that the average lapse rate from this level to any point within 2 km above also has Γ < 2 K km 1. The definition permits multiple tropopauses to be defined, if a tropospheric lapse rate of Γ > 3 K km 1 for 1 km occurs above the first tropopause and the first criteria is met again. Derived from vertical temperature soundings, the thermal tropopause is defined to mark the vertical discontinuity in the atmospheric static stability. At a few locations, these vertical soundings have a long history and these soundings have been used to estimate long term trends (see Section 6). Figure 3 highlights the variability that occurs around the tropopause in collocated temperature, static stability, ozone and water vapor, using 45 profiles at a mid-latitude

13 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 13 site (Boulder, Colorado, 40 N, 105 W) over several years using data described by Vömel et al. [2007]. Following Logan et al. [1999], Birner et al. [2002] and Pan et al. [2004] the soundings are displayed in altitude relative to the thermal tropopause to remove the variability associated with the variation of the tropopause height. In this representation, the thermal tropopause clearly marks the change in temperature lapse rate from -6 K km 1 to a nearly isothermal lower stratosphere, while static stability (represented by the square of the Brunt-Väisälä frequency, N 2 ) increases sharply at this level (Figure 3b). The buoyancy frequency (N 2 ) is defined as: N 2 = g θ where Γ d = g/c p is the dry adiabatic lapse rate. θ z = g T (Γ d Γ) (1) The peak in N 2 just above the tropopause, evident in Figure 3b, reflects the Tropopause Inversion Layer or TIL (see below). The steep increase in static stability at the tropopause level is echoed in the distribution of trace species across the tropopause. For contrast, we show O 3 (Figure 3c), which has main sources in the stratosphere, and H 2 O (Figure 3d), which is abundant in the troposphere. There is a strong vertical gradient in both tracers across the tropopause (Figure 3c and d, note both are shown on a log scale). The ozone mixing ratio begins to depart from its near constant tropospheric value and increase sharply across the tropopause, while H 2 O decreases across the tropopause and reaches its near constant stratospheric value 1 2 km above the tropopause. This Extra Tropical Transition Layer (ExTL) is discussed in Section 4. The thermal tropopause as defined by the WMO definition is often multi-valued, exhibits breaks near jet streams, and does not form a continuous three dimensional surface

14 14 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS globally. Even in the climatology, the vertical temperature gradient can be multi valued, especially in winter (Figure 2, DJF). The presence of multiple tropopauses has been known since shortly after the advent of balloon soundings [Schmauss, 1909; Bjerknes and Palmén, 1937], and multiple tropopauses are often observed around the jet stream, associated with fronts, storms and stratospheric intrusions into the troposphere [Shapiro, 1980]. It was unclear from these studies whether the thermal tropopause break was physical and whether multiple tropopauses near the jet streams reflected the deficiency of the definition [e.g., Danielsen, 1964]. On the other hand, data indicated that the observed ozone lamina in the high latitude lower stratosphere are associated with multiple tropopause structures [Dobson, 1973]. More recent observational studies using radiosondes and high resolution Global Positioning System (GPS) data have highlighted that multiple tropopauses occur frequently over mid-latitudes, especially during the winter season (when the frequency of occurrence is typically 70%) [Seidel and Randel, 2006; Schmidt et al., 2006; Randel et al., 2007]. Based on the WMO tropopause definition, this situation occurs when tropospheric-like static stability occurs above the first tropopause, and this is often associated with poleward intrusions of tropical air above the subtropical jet [Randel et al., 2007]. This behavior (termed a tropospheric intrusion) has also been identified using high vertical resolution satellite ozone observations [Olsen et al., 2008; Pan et al., 2009]. An example of the behavior of the Ex-UTLS associated with a tropospheric intrusion following a ridge over N. America in spring is shown in Figure 4, illustrating the ozone structure observed by the HIRDLS instrument on Aura (along a satellite orbit track from the subtropics to the polar region), plus the thermal/dynamical structure derived from co-

15 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 15 located meteorological analyses [Pan et al., 2009]. Earlier studies found similar structures, in 1-dimensional measurements such as balloon soundings [e.g., Murgatroyd, 1965; Foot, 1984; Reid et al., 2000]. The cross section reveals a double tropopause structure from N, associated with a layer of low static stability above the subtropical jet, extending from the tropics into middle latitudes. The ozone observations show a corresponding layer of low ozone, characteristic of the tropical upper troposphere. The intrusion is also evident in the local PV structure in Figure 4 (orange contours), although less pronounced compared to static stability due to the background increase with height of PV. Trajectory calculations demonstrate that this intrusion originated in the tropical upper troposphere. Tropospheric intrusions and associated double tropopause structures are often related to Rossby wave breaking processes and associated transport [Pan et al., 2009; Homeyer et al., 2010] Tropopause Inversion Layer One of the key features of the extra-topical UTLS seen in the climatology (Figure 2), profiles (Figure 3b) and cross sections (Figure 4b) is the narrow layer of enhanced static stability just above the tropopause. This enhancement in static stability is directly related to an inversion in the vertical temperature gradient (see definition of N 2, Eq. 1) and is therefore commonly referred to as tropopause inversion layer (TIL). It provides a barrier to vertical motion (convection). Birner et al. [2002] noted the climatological existence of this elevated static stability layer based on radiosonde data in tropopause relative coordinates (e.g., Figure 3). The enhanced static stability occurs just above the tropopause and is more pronounced using tropopause relative coordinates (Figure 5) compared to altitude coordinate averages (Figure 2). Similar static stability enhancements are found in analysis

16 16 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS systems [Birner et al., 2006], models [Birner et al., 2006; Hegglin et al., 2010] and satellite temperature profiles [Randel et al., 2007; Grise et al., 2010]. Analysis systems tend to reduce the magnitude of the enhancement and smear it out [Birner et al., 2006]. Global models tend to have a broader and higher altitude enhancement in static stability due to their coarse vertical resolution, but behave similarly to degraded vertical resolution observations [Hegglin et al., 2010]. The TIL has a seasonal cycle, illustrated in Figure 5. In winter (DJF in the Northern Hemisphere) the vertical extent of the extratropical TIL is larger than in summer (JJA in the Northern Hemisphere), but in summer the enhancement in static stability (dt/dz in Figure 5, N 2 in Birner [2006]) is larger. Processes that form and maintain the TIL are presently not fully understood. Wirth [2003, 2004] suggested that the asymmetry between upper level cyclones and anticyclones and their effects on the local stratification around the tropopause is responsible for the existence of a TIL in the climatological mean. Wirth and Szabo [2007] and Erler and Wirth [2011] tested this idea in idealized baroclinic life cycle experiments and found a TIL forms above anticyclones and remains in the mean due to non-linear effects of wave breaking. Randel et al. [2007] pointed out that the structure of water vapor and ozone in the UTLS has a radiative feedback that enhances stratification just above the tropopause to create a TIL. The radiative feedback was further discussed by Kunz et al. [2009] who highlighted the importance of radiative cooling from water vapor. This radiative mechanism inherently includes transport and mixing effects that ultimately lead to the observed water vapor and ozone distributions in the lowermost stratosphere (related to the ExTL, see below). However, the radiative mechanism might not be the only mechanism at work to form a TIL. Son and Polvani

17 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 17 [2007] found a TIL in a simplified model without radiation and Birner [2010a] showed that the strong vertical gradient of the downwelling branch of the residual (Brewer-Dobson) circulation just above the tropopause creates a TIL in the winter mid-latitudes, confirming speculations in Birner et al. [2002]. Current observational and modeling evidence of TIL characteristics suggests that, even though the TIL appears to exist nearly everywhere on the globe, different processes may be important in different regions and seasons [Miyazaki et al., 2010a]. Polar latitudes show the largest seasonal cycle with the strongest TIL during summer and a much weaker (or non-existent) TIL during winter and spring (Figure 5). The polar summer TIL seems to be predominantly caused by the strong local radiative water vapor cooling at the tropopause [Randel and Wu, 2010], whereas the polar winter TIL, if existent (see Tomikawa et al. [2009]), appears to be modulated by stratospheric dynamics [Grise et al., 2010]. In midlatitudes, the seasonal cycle in TIL strength is weaker with a maximum in spring and a minimum in late summer (i.e., with an almost opposite phase compared to polar latitudes in Figure 5), and may be partly due to stratospheric dynamics [Birner, 2010a] Dynamical Tropopause Analyses of synoptic scale weather maps on isentropic surfaces and the desire for a material surface that separates stratospheric and tropospheric air masses during a tropopause fold motivated the potential vorticity (PV) based dynamical tropopause definition [Reed, 1955; Danielsen, 1964; Shapiro, 1980]. The existence of a large PV gradient across the tropopause motivated the convention of choosing a particular PV contour in the PV gradient region to represent the tropopause. The values selected were often subjectively chosen [Hoerling et al., 1991; Holton et al., 1995].

18 18 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS The dynamical tropopause requires 3-dimensional temperature and wind data and is therefore especially effective in identifying the boundary between the stratosphere and troposphere in global models and analysis systems. While the lapse rate based thermal tropopause only identifies the vertical change in the static stability, the PV based dynamical tropopause includes both changes in static stability and vorticity (i.e., horizontal and vertical wind shear), sometimes viewed as the dynamic stability [Danielsen, 1964]. The definition of PV can be multiplied by any function of potential temperature [Lait, 2004], allowing for almost arbitrary vertical structure. PV here refers to the definition (and function of potential temperature) as introduced by Rossby [1940] and Ertel [1942] and is conveniently calculated using isentropic coordinates. Using the hydrostatic approximation: P V = ζ θ + f σ (2) where ζ θ is the relative vorticity evaluated on isentropic surfaces, f is the Coriolis parameter, and σ is isentropic density, given by σ = ρ ( ) 1 ( θ = g θ ) 1 (3) z p The second expression uses the hydrostatic relation to convert / z = gρ / p. Note that σ is directly related to static stability (cf., equation 1): σ = gρ/(θn 2 ), allowing PV to be expressed directly in terms of N 2 : P V = N 2 θ ρg (ζ θ + f) (4)

19 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 19 PV is often defined in PV Units (PVU, where 1PVU = 1 x 10 6 K m 2 kg 1 s 1 ). Equation 4 makes clear that PV is proportional to N 2 (static stability), and given the jump in static stability at the tropopause (Figure 3b), there is a corresponding jump in PV. This can be seen for example in Figure 4, where the tropopause lies near 2 PVU. Equation 4 also shows that horizontal gradients of PV are related to horizontal gradients in static stability, which in turn are linked to the vertical curvature of the wind through thermal wind balance [see e.g., discussion in Birner, 2006]. A second key feature is that the PV tropopause definition has a component dependent on the relative vorticity (ζ), the vertical component of the curl of the horizontal wind. Gradients in PV are produced by gradients in wind speed as well as variations in stratification. This is clearly seen in Figure 4. In regions of low vorticity, the stratification dominates, PV contours are nearly parallel to the isentropes (static stability gradient). In regions of high vorticity, such as on the flanks of the subtropical jet, PV contours follow the vorticity (wind gradient), responding with weaker stratification (static stability). PV is conserved for adiabatic and inviscid flow, making the dynamical tropopause a quasi-material surface. These conservation properties of PV allow for a quasi-two dimensional description of large-scale dynamics in the Ex-UTLS by studying the evolution of PV on isentropic surfaces [Hoskins et al., 1985]. The conservation properties also make PV a quasi-passive tracer with the crucial distinction from chemical tracers that PV is not just simply advected by the flow but induces the flow at the same time (the so-called invertibility principle, see Hoskins et al. [1985]). On a given isentrope, the tropopause is marked by regions of strongly enhanced isentropic gradients of PV, with distinct tropospheric and stratospheric values on either side. These enhanced PV gradients act as a

20 20 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS waveguide for Rossby waves [Schwiertz et al., 2004; Martius et al., 2010] and these waves frequently obtain finite amplitudes and break along the tropopause, leading to STE (see Section 5.2). An alternative viewpoint arises from studying the flow evolution in terms of potential temperature along the dynamical tropopause (i.e., along a PV iso-surface) [Hoskins, 1991]. In this context the tropopause can be thought of as the depth to which baroclinic instability is capable of mixing PV [Haynes et al., 2001]. A PV iso-surface at tropopause levels is usually not the smooth zonal mean seen in dotted lines in Figure 2. Instantaneous PV distributions can be convoluted and complex in the vertical (Figure 4) and on an isentropic surface (Figure 6). The vertical structures were first investigated as tropopause folds [Reed and Danielsen, 1959; Danielsen, 1968; Shapiro, 1980] that brought stratospheric air into the troposphere. These PV structures can evolve to small scales based simply on shear and strain in the flow [Wernli and Sprenger, 2007; Bowman et al., 2007]. Baroclinic disturbances mix PV causing stretching of PV structures to progressively finer scales until local turbulent mixing erodes them [Appenzeller et al., 1996a; Haynes and Anglade, 1997]. Vertical and isentropic mixing processes act differently on the PV evolution and may act differently on tracers (i.e., H 2 O) than PV [Wirth et al., 1997], since PV is not conserved in the same way a nonreactive molecular tracer is. Miyazaki et al. [2010b] found that vertical mixing sharpens the vertical PV gradient slightly below the tropopause, whereas variations of isentropic mixing tend to sharpen gradients above the tropopause. Complex PV structures often occur at the tropopause, associated with jets and associated instabilities where the PV forcing terms become larger [Bithell et al., 1999]. Folded structures are both simulated in idealized models [Hoskins et al., 1985], and found in analysis systems and in observations

21 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 21 as large scale filaments [Appenzeller et al., 1996a; Sprenger et al., 2007], for example in the 2 PVU contour in Figure 6. Although the gradient of PV was initially recognized as the region of the tropopause, the PV value best representing the tropopause in principle depends on location and season (e.g., Figure 4). There has been significant discussion of what particular value of PV should characterize the tropopause, but the arguments are often based on which value has the closest agreement with the thermal tropopause; Hoerling et al. [1991] find this value to be 3.5 PVU. Holton et al. [1995] and many subsequent researchers have chosen 2 PVU for the dynamical tropopause. The use of different PV values will lead to quantitative differences in calculated flux of STE [Bourqui, 2006]. In order to compare thermal and dynamical tropopause levels quantitatively it is useful to consider the planetary approximation of PV, which neglects the relative vorticity contribution: P V p = f σ = f ρ θ z = f gρ θn 2. (5) Under this approximation the vertical structure of PV near the tropopause arises solely from its static stability contribution. At the thermal tropopause we have by definition Γ t = 2 K km 1 and therefore N 2 t s 2 (using a typical tropopause temperature at mid-latitudes of 220 K). Further using typical mid-latitude tropopause values for ρ t 0.35 kg m 3, θ t 320 K, and f 10 4 s 1 gives P V p,t 3.5 PVU. That is, the thermal tropopause roughly corresponds to the 3.5 PVU isoline in the extratropics [cf. Hoerling et al., 1991; Hoinka, 1998]. Likewise, the above values give a typical lapse rate of 5 K km 1 at the 2 PVU dynamical tropopause.

22 22 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS For sufficiently strong cyclonic perturbations (in the northern hemisphere) the planetary approximation will provide an underestimate of the full PV and the dynamical tropopause will therefore be located significantly lower than the thermal tropopause, and vice versa for anticyclonic perturbations. In geometrical terms this manifests itself in deep cyclonic perturbations leading to large differences between thermal and dynamical tropopause, whereas differences are generally small for shallow (anti-cyclonic) perturbations [Wirth, 2000]. Interestingly, there exists an asymmetry in that cyclonic perturbations have a greater potential to lead to large differences than anticyclonic anomalies [Wirth, 2001]. Idealized model studies of baroclinic life-cycles indicate that exchange across a PV tropopause is larger in cyclonic than anticyclonic cases, likely because of sharper tropopause gradients in anti-cyclonic flow [Polvani and Esler, 2007; Wirth and Szabo, 2007]. The main point is that a particular value of PV for the tropopause may not be appropriate, especially when gradients are weak. Using a method similar to that used in the stratosphere in identifying the edge of the polar vortex, Kunz et al. [2011] implemented an algorithm to compute the isentropic gradient based global dynamical tropopause and examined the PV distribution at the gradient based dynamical tropopause. Figure 6 shows an example of the relationship of the jet streams (red), 2 PVU contour (black) and the gradient based dynamical tropopause on the 340K potential temperature surface (yellow). In this case, the PV gradient tropopause is 4.15 PVU. It is evident from this example that for locations where strong PV gradients occur, the 2 PVU and 4.15 PVU tropopause largely coincide with each other. Where the isentropic PV gradient is weak, the two show significant separation. The most physical tropopause can also be examined using chemical tracers.

23 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS Chemical Tropopause It has long been recognized that the stratosphere and troposphere are chemically distinct, and the sharp change of chemical concentrations provides physical evidence of a minimum in mixing at the extratropical tropopause. The strong tropopause gradient in static stability (Figure 3 and Figure 5) associated with a nearly isothermal stratosphere creates a natural barrier to vertical motion, which in dynamical terms implies that diabatic processes or isentropic wave breaking (mixing) are necessary to cross PV iso-surfaces. This dynamical view implies constraints on horizontal and vertical mixing, and hence generating strong chemical gradients, also seen in Figure 3 for both tropospheric (H 2 O) and stratospheric (O 3 ) tracers. Given long term records from ozonesondes, ozone has most often been used to identify a tropopause defined by a chemical gradient [Browell et al., 1996; Bethan et al., 1996]. In particular, Bethan et al. [1996] proposed a set of criteria to define an ozone gradient tropopause using both the ozone values and the vertical gradient. The ozone gradient tropopause defined in this way was found on average some 800 m below the thermal tropopause, for an ensemble of measurements over Europe. This is similar to the change in ozone gradient below the tropopause in Figure 3c, and can be understood as the lower edge of the extra tropical tropopause transition layer or ExTL (see Section 4). The chemical change at the tropopause is further identified using tracer-tracer correlations. Zahn and Brenninkmeijer [2003] used ozone and CO correlations to identify the location of the characteristic change in O 3 -CO correlation and suggest that it can be considered as the location of a chemical tropopause. The relationship of the tracer correlation based chemical tropopause and the thermal tropopause was later examined

24 24 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS statistically [Pan et al., 2004]. In the next section, we discuss how tracers are used to illustrate the depth of the mixing and the transition layer between the troposphere and stratosphere implied by Figure 3 and EXTRA TROPICAL TRANSITION LAYER The concept of the extratropical transition layer (ExTL) was motivated by observations of air masses with mixed stratospheric and tropospheric characteristics. These features are ubiquitous in tracer-tracer relationships derived from high-resolution aircraft measurements near the tropopause. The term ExTL first appeared in World Meteorological Organization [2003] to describe the extratropical layer around the tropopause, in parallel to the TTL in the tropics. In the last decade, an increasing number of tracer observations near the tropopause and analyses have allowed extensive characterization of the ExTL layer. Most frequently, the ExTL is described by O 3, CO and H 2 O observations, because these species exhibit sharp gradients across the tropopause and have relatively abundant observations. The gradients of these species reflect the strong contrasts of their stratospheric versus tropospheric sources/sinks and their relatively long lifetimes compared to the transport time scale in the extratropical tropopause region ExTL in Tracer Profiles In chemical tracer profile observations, the ExTL can be viewed as the region of steep gradients. A global picture of the chemical structure of the Ex-UTLS is illustrated in Figure 7 from the Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment Fourier Transform Spectrometer (ACE-FTS) instrument [Bernath et al., 2005]. Figure 7 shows the zonal mean ozone and carbon monoxide (CO) distribution in tropopause coordinates, scaled with the seasonal

25 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 25 mean tropopause height. The distributions reveal strong horizontal and vertical tracer gradients across the tropopause in both species. Ozone increases away from the tropopause in the lower stratosphere, and is low (and well mixed) in the troposphere. The opposite behavior is seen for CO (high in the troposphere, low in the stratosphere), with higher CO concentrations in the northern hemisphere consistent with stronger anthropogenic sources and a 2 month tropospheric lifetime. The mean upper tropospheric value is about ppbv, with a monotonic decrease across the tropopause. ACE-FTS sampling in the tropics is infrequent, so the irregular separation of ozone and the thermal tropopause in the tropics may be a sampling issue in the data. To view ExTL structure from a tracer profile perspective, Figure 8 illustrates observations of CO from aircraft during the START08 campaign [Pan et al., 2010]. Data are sorted by 3 different vertical coordinates relative to the tropopause: (a) potential temperature or (b) geometric altitude relative to a dynamic tropopause (2 PVU here) and (c) geometric altitude relative to the thermal tropopause. Similar structures are seen in many aircraft [Hoor et al., 2002, 2004; Pan et al., 2010; Tilmes et al., 2010] and satellite [Hegglin et al., 2009] observations. Data below the 2 PVU tropopause look tropospheric (CO 100 ppbv) in Figure 8 (a and b). There is a transition region that exhibits strong gradients and extends approximately 30 K in potential temperature above the dynamical tropopause (Figure 8a), noted by Hoor et al. [2004], that can be distinguished from part of the profile where the gradients are smaller in both the troposphere and the stratosphere. Away from the subtropical jet, observed profiles can have a sharper change in gradient above a dynamic tropopause [Hoor et al., 2004; Tilmes et al., 2010]. The largest CO gradient is centered on the ther-

26 26 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS mal tropopause and extends about ±1km around it (Figure 8c). This is consistent with other aircraft data, particularly away from the subtropical jet [Hoor et al., 2002, 2004; Pan et al., 2004; Tilmes et al., 2010] and shown on a global scale in satellite observations [Hegglin and Shepherd, 2009] (see figure Figure 9). The three profiles show a consistent picture of the structure in various coordinate systems. In these data the 2 PVU surface approximately separates the troposphere from the stratosphere with an ExTL ( transition layer ) in the first 30 K or 2 km above it [Hoor et al., 2004]. The ExTL is centered on the thermal tropopause. The (mean) 1 km difference between the 2 PVU surface and thermal tropopause accounts for these complementary views (the difference in tropopause height is discussed in Section 3). The different relative locations of the profiles are clearly the result of different geometrical heights of the reference surfaces (e.g., the example in Figure 4). In regions where the thermal and dynamic tropopause differ significantly, such as during tropopause folding events (see Figure 4 and Figure 6), tracer-tropopause relationships are highly variable. Such events are associated with active exchange and mixing between stratospheric and tropospheric air masses. A similar picture of the ExTL can be seen in single tracer analyses of near tropopause gradients. Figure 9 shows the zonal mean seasonal mean vertical CO gradient ( [CO]/ z in % km 1 ) from the ACE-FTS satellite in tropopause relative coordinates, here using the thermal tropopause as a reference. The resulting gradients are shifted in altitude with respect to the height of the seasonal mean tropopause of the respective season, similar to the evaluation in Hegglin et al. [2009]. The gradients are normalized by the tropospheric CO value in each latitude bin (i.e., the change is in percent) in order to

27 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 27 emphasize the existing CO gradients in the Southern Hemisphere tropopause region as well. The evaluation reveals that the strongest CO gradients are found centered near the thermal tropopause [Hegglin et al., 2009], consistent with aircraft data in Figure 8. Similar results are obtained from MOZAIC aircraft data analyses [Schmidt et al., 2010] ExTL in Tracer Correlations An empirical way of defining the ExTL that removes dependence on the definition of the tropopause surface is to use tracer correlations of a tropospheric and a stratospheric tracer. A schematic of tracer-tracer correlations and an example from aircraft data is shown in Figure 10a. A stratospheric tracer (O 3 is most commonly used) is a tracer with a large stratospheric source and much smaller concentration and variability in the troposphere, while a tropospheric tracer (CO and H 2 O are most commonly used) has large values and variability in the troposphere. The converse is true in the stratosphere. With these conditions, a tropospheric (green in Figure 10b) and a stratospheric branch (red in Figure 10b) are established in the tracer-tracer space (Figure 10a). The increasing values of the stratospheric tracer in the stratospheric branch can be used as height coordinate. Air masses that are not attributable to one or the other branch then represent the ExTL (blue in Figure 10). Importantly, the sloped region between the two branches is indicative of irreversible tracer exchange and therefore indicates bidirectional exchange across the tropopause. There is a clear region of mixed air from two end points to form mixing lines highlighted (yellow dashed) in Figure 10b. Tracer-tracer scatter plots of CO and ozone were used by Fischer et al. [2000], Hoor et al. [2002] and Zahn and Brenninkmeijer [2003] to identify the irreversible component of STE and diagnose a layer in the tropopause region which showed chemical characteristics

28 28 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS of both the troposphere and the stratosphere. Hoor et al. [2002] deduced a seasonality of the layer depth using Θ-coordinates and found the ExTL thicker in summer/autumn than winter. Pan et al. [2004] used the relationship between CO and O 3 to identify spatial structure of the mixing region and applied PDF s to quantify certain properties of the transition. Tracer-tracer correlations have been further used in the Ex-UTLS to estimate transport diagnostics and ExTL depth from satellites [Park et al., 2004; Hegglin et al., 2009] and models [Pan et al., 2007a; Strahan et al., 2007; Pan et al., 2009; Hegglin et al., 2010] Vertical extent of the ExTL Tracer tracer correlations can be used to examine the altitude or potential temperature range of the mixed parcels [Hoor et al., 2002]. Pan et al. [2004] and Pan et al. [2007b] examined the distribution of mixed air mass in a tropopause-relative coordinate. Using H 2 O-O 3 correlations, the spatial structure of the ExTL during a stratospheric intrusion process is shown in Figure 11 from an aircraft flight track over North America [Pan et al., 2007b]. Figure 11a shows a meridional cross section of the aircraft flight through a tropopause fold, with both thermal (dots) and dynamical (black lines) tropopauses shown, and the region of high wind speed in the subtropical jet shaded. The tracer correlation plot between O 3 and H 2 O for this track is shown in Figure 11b. Here H 2 O is used instead of CO as a tropospheric tracer. The tracer relationship is used to define air masses in different regions. Data in the stratosphere (red) are defined as all points within 3 standard deviations (3σ) of a linear fit to the data with H 2 O concentrations (volume mixing ratio) of less than 12 ppmv (H 2 O < 12 ppmv). Tropospheric air (green) is defined similarly with 3σ around a fit to data

29 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 29 with O 3 < 65 ppbv. Data outside of these regions are the mixed region, or ExTL (blue) The measurement locations of these mixed points is shown in Figure 11a: they are all found near the tropopause. The altitude of the points relative to the analyzed tropopause is shown as a probability density function (PDF) in Figure 11d. The PDF can be used to define the extent of the ExTL. The static stability (N 2 ) is shown in Figure 11c. Notice the ExTL is seen to have an asymmetric structure, deeper on the cyclonic side (poleward) of the jet. Many other tracers can be used to define these regions, and tracers with different lifetimes can be used to elucidate transport times. For example, recently Sprung and Zahn [2010] used acetone observations from commercial aircraft and found an ExTL depth above the tropopause of 2 km. The PDF in Figure 11d from an individual flight can be estimated with different flights and data sets to determine the depth of the ExTL. Figure 12, adapted from Hegglin et al. [2010], shows estimates of this mixing region in the Northern Hemisphere based on O 3 and H 2 O from both aircraft (thick brown solid line: the POLARIS mission), the ACE-FTS satellite (thick gray line) and a suite of coupled chemistry-climate models (colored lines: multi-model mean in black). The ExTL in aircraft data (brown line) is centered at the tropopause and its width at half maximum is about ±1 km thick. A larger aircraft data set indicates depths of ±2 km [Tilmes et al., 2010]. As noted by Hegglin et al. [2009], an ExTL depth diagnosed for different tracers may be different due to different tracer sources and lifetimes. Satellite data (thick gray line) and models (multi-model mean, black line) estimate a thickness of ±2 3 km and a center 1 km above the tropopause. Thus satellites and models overestimate the thickness of the ExTL. While the difference is likely due to their limited

30 30 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS vertical resolution, the discrepancy in ExTL depth will need further examination with representative sampling and high vertical resolution. The ExTL depth is dependent on season, latitude and hemisphere. Tilmes et al. [2010] found the width is larger in summer than winter. Hegglin et al. [2009] found ExTL depth in the N. Hemisphere polar regions is larger than in the S. Hemisphere due to weaker transport and mixing in the S. Hemisphere ExTL, Radiation and the TIL Tracer distributions in the Ex-UTLS (and Ex-TL in particular) may have important radiative effects, and temperature is especially sensitive to water vapor in this region. Tropospheric clouds may also have an impact around the tropopause [Hicke and Tuck, 1999]. A striking example is provided by the pronounced temperature increase just above the polar tropopause in summer (the climatologically strongest TIL, Figure 5), which is linked with water vapor cooling of the tropopause in this region and season [Randel and Wu, 2010]. Figure 13a shows water vapor seasonal profiles in the Arctic, illustrating the ExTL mixing layer extending several km above the tropopause, together with a strong seasonal variation near the tropopause (maximum during summer). Figure 13b shows the temperature response to these different profiles of water vapor using a fixed dynamic heating calculation [Forster and Shine, 1999], illustrating that the enhanced summertime water vapor results in strong cooling near the tropopause, and a pronounced inversion directly above (close to the observed behavior shown in Randel and Wu [2010]). In general, radiative relaxation timescales are very long in the cold temperature and low trace species environment of the tropopause, enhancing the radiative effects of trace gases. The sensitivity of top of atmosphere radiative fluxes (F) to perturbations in water vapor and temperature (i.e., F/ H 2 O or F/ T ) peaks in the upper troposphere around the

31 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 31 tropopause [Soden et al., 2008]. Lower stratospheric water vapor changes are critically important for radiative forcing as well, and Forster and Shine [2002] noted that significant differences in estimates of stratospheric radiative forcing changes from water vapor (on the order of 0.1 W m 2 ) were largely due to specifications in water vapor within 20hPa of the tropopause. Water vapor in the Ex-UTLS is thus critical for climate (e.g., Solomon et al. [2010]), as well as for the structure of the Ex-UTLS itself. Kunz et al. [2009] found that mixing of water vapor above the tropopause into the ExTL was radiatively important for the existence of a TIL, and that this acted on seasonal timescales. Seasonal and meridional structures in the TIL indeed resemble those found in water vapor distributions, providing evidence that radiation likely plays a role in maintaining the TIL and the seasonal difference in TIL strength [Hegglin et al., 2009]. Finally, radiation contributes to decay of stratospheric filaments in the troposphere thereby affecting mixing on the process scale [Forster and Wirth, 2000]. 5. BUDGETS AND TRANSPORT The chemical distribution described in Section 4 is the result of transport of chemical constituents through different pathways in the ExTL region. Here we (1) describe the transport times and tracer budgets for different pathways (2) discuss methods for examining the pattern of cross-tropopause transport (STE) and (3) discuss key regions and processes for transport. There are 3 basic pathways for air transport in the Ex-UTLS [Dessler et al., 1995]. One is overworld transport from the stratospheric overworld above (downward arrows in Figure 1), second tropospheric two way exchange across the tropopause with net trans-

32 32 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS port into the troposphere (wavy orange arrows in Figure 1), and the third subtropical quasi-isentropic exchange, often around the subtropical jet where synoptic Rossby wave breaking is frequent (wavy red arrows near the subtropical jet in Figure 1) and depends on critical surfaces dictated by the zonal wind structure [Randel and Held, 1991]. Transport pathways affecting the Ex-UTLS are highlighted in Figure 1. Overworld transport consists of a deep branch, which transports air through higher altitudes polewards and then downwards, and of a shallow branch, which transports air more directly from the tropical tropopause region to the extratropics and is shown as the dotted red arrow in Figure 1. In addition, there is quasi-isentropic transport on top of the subtropical jet [Volk et al., 1996], but beneath the subtropical pipe [Plumb, 1996]. This contribution can be seen for example in reduced static stability and low ozone above and even poleward of the subtropical jet in Figures 4 and Budgets and Transport times Budgets and transport times are intimately linked when investigating the contribution from different pathways. The relative contributions from these different transport pathways determine the tracer budgets within the Ex-UTLS. Hintsa et al. [1998] noted from aircraft observations significant subtropical and tropospheric transport, the latter for θ < 362 K. Ray et al. [1999] concluded on the basis of three balloon profiles of H 2 O, halons and SF 6 that the lowermost stratosphere in late spring is strongly affected by overworld transport, whereas during summer larger tropospheric influence is observed. This is consistent with isentropic PV gradients being weaker in summer [Chen, 1995] and downward transport from the stratospheric circulation peaking in winter and spring in the lowermost stratosphere [Appenzeller et al., 1996b].

33 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 33 The ExTL can be viewed in terms of transport. Observations during the SPURT (Spurenstofftransport in der Tropopausenregion, English: trace gas transport in the tropopause region) campaign [Engel et al., 2006] showed that the local extratropical influence drops below 25% within 30 K above the local 2 PVU surface [Hoor et al., 2005] forming a layer which follows the local tropopause. Berthet et al. [2007] showed that a significant fraction of air that has seen the boundary layer can be observed in a band around the tropopause, consistent with CO observations [Hoor et al., 2004; Engel et al., 2006]. This layer is characterized by the rapid decrease of CO above the dynamical tropopause (Figure 8) and the transition of high tropospheric CO to lower stratospheric values between the 2 6 PVU layers (Figure 14a). Hoor et al. [2010] used trajectory calculations (Figure 14b) and found a belt of rapid and frequent mixing following the local tropopause especially in winter. This belt is tightly confined to the region of strong PV gradients, and transit times away from the ExTL are long. This feature is also seen in models [Miyazaki et al., 2010a]. All tracer distributions with finite chemical lifetimes show this behavior of a tropopause following layer (or ExTL). For example, the behavior has also been identified in acetone [Sprung and Zahn, 2010]. The Ex-UTLS above the ExTL (with PV>8 PVU) is heavily affected by subtropical transport, but on longer time scales. Associated transport times for this region above the ExTL have been estimated on the basis of CO 2 [Hoor et al., 2004, 2010] and SF 6 and CO 2 [Bönisch et al., 2009]. The choice of tracer will affect the calculation. CO is more sensitive to short timescales while SF 6 and CO 2 reflect longer timescales. The Ex-UTLS above the ExTL is flushed from late spring to summer with tropospheric air, as evidenced by a strong seasonal cycle of the O 3 -N 2 O correlation [Bregman et al., 2000; Proffitt et al.,

34 34 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 2003; Hegglin et al., 2006; Hegglin and Shepherd, 2007] and CO 2 [Sawa et al., 2008]. This seasonal change of the fractional contribution of tropospheric air is above the ExTL is shown in Figure 15. Overworld contributions range from 60% in winter (Figure 15a, consistent with winter CO gradients in Figure 14a), to 20% in summer and autumn (Figure 15b). The dots in Figure 15 show where 10 day back trajectories mix air from the troposphere to stratosphere and are tightly clustered around the tropopause, mostly below 4 PVU in winter (Figure 15a), but some extend above 6 PVU in summer (Figure 15b). Berthet et al. [2007] found a significant tropospheric influence during summer above 370 K. The remnants of the summer and autumn flushing are still visible in the following winter and spring season, as seen by measurements of H 2 O [Krebsbach et al., 2006; Bönisch et al., 2009]. The flushing of the lowermost stratosphere during summer is also suggested from the analysis of empirical bimodal age spectra [Bönisch et al., 2009] on the basis of SF 6 and CO 2 observations. The seasonal cycle in tracer budgets is associated with the seasonality of the diabatic downwelling in the Brewer-Dobson circulation, seen in analysis systems [Appenzeller et al., 1996b]. Trajectory studies show largest STE fluxes during winter [Sprenger and Wernli, 2003]. But the strong isentropic PV gradient hinders rapid transport deeper into the stratosphere during winter [Chen, 1995; Haynes and Shuckburgh, 2000] Spatial Patterns of STE Many analyses of the Ex-UTLS have focused on the exchange of mass between the stratosphere and the troposphere [Brewer, 1960; Shapiro, 1980]. It has been understood that the exchange of mass is two way [Foot, 1984]: air mixes into the stratosphere as well as into the troposphere [Sprenger and Wernli, 2003] across the tropopause (this is the tro-

35 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 35 pospheric transport pathway). Analyses of STE are performed in several ways, typically using mass budgets, Eulerian or Lagrangian methods. Simple mass budgets looking at the lowermost stratosphere are effective at estimating hemispheric scale fluxes [Appenzeller et al., 1996b; Gettelman et al., 1997]. Tracer correlations [Murphy and Fahey, 1994] have also been used to estimate bulk fluxes. Another method is to estimate Eulerian fluxes across a tropopause (usually PV tropopause) surface [Wei, 1987] using analysis or reanalysis systems [Hoerling et al., 1993]. The Eulerian flux method has proven problematic because it relies on cancellation of large terms and is difficult to apply in models [Wirth and Egger, 1999] and analysis systems with data assimilation [Gettelman and Sobel, 2000]. In many cases with STE calculations the net is fairly stable, but the gross fluxes in both directions strongly depend on the analysis system. Another method to calculate STE is to use ensembles of Lagrangian trajectories to estimate STE. Both Eulerian and Lagrangian methods indicate similar spatial patterns of STE, and fairly stable net magnitudes. Trajectories have enabled examination of not just the locations of STE but the residence time of parcels as they cross the tropopause (e.g., dots in Figure 15). Locations of STE are found downstream of strong jet regions, and the N. Pacific and N. Atlantic are preferred regions in the Northern Hemisphere [Stohl et al., 2003; Sprenger and Wernli, 2003] as illustrated in Figure 16. Troposphere to Stratosphere Transport (TST) (Figure 16b) is mainly found above the climatological tropopause, while Stratosphere to Troposphere Transport (STT) (Figure 16a) occurs mainly below, with deep STT affecting the troposphere down to below 700 hpa [Wernli and Bourqui, 2002] or even the PBL [Cooper et al., 2005]. The net STE is concentrated in the jet exit regions (Figure 16c). Deep STT and TST are consistent with exchange in regions of highly per-

36 36 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS turbed tropopauses or folds [Danielsen, 1968; Danielsen and Mohnen, 1977]. Sprenger and Wernli [2003] also found large bidirectional fluxes not contributing to a net mass transfer, but potentially affecting the chemistry and tracer exchange on short timescales. Trajectory calculations [Sprenger and Wernli, 2003; Seo and Bowman, 2002] indicate a seasonal cycle of STE across the tropopause being stronger in winter / spring than during summer. For TST a seasonality of the globally averaged mass fluxes was found to be weak, but significant changes of TST locations was shown. A subtropical transport path at θ = 360 K during summer is found in Lagrangian studies, indicating a higher permeability at the subtropical jet during summer compared to winter. Mixing regions in the Ex-UTLS have also been diagnosed with flow dependent quantities on isentropic surfaces. Effective diffusivity [Haynes and Shuckburgh, 2000] and a recent extension, Lyaponouv diffusivity [d Ovidio et al., 2009] are effective at showing regions of maximum and minimum shear-induced mixing, including in the Ex-UTLS around the tropopause where Shuckburgh et al. [2009] illustrate the effect of different modes of variability on mixing around the tropopause. The methods have not been made quantitative for cross tropopause transport. The stratosphere-troposphere exchange of ozone has been a subject of much discussion [Gettelman et al., 1997; Olsen et al., 2004; Hsu and Prather, 2009] because it impacts the tropospheric ozone budget. Regions of Ozone STE follow those of STE mass in Figure 16. Maps of STE ozone flux on monthly scales show the seasonality of strong stratospheric influence on the troposphere, particularly in winter and spring when photochemistry is not active [Hsu et al., 2005; Logan et al., 1999]. Current Chemical Transport Models can reproduce key features of particular events [Wild et al., 2003; Pan et al., 2009]. The

37 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 37 net downward flux of ozone into the troposphere is determined by the strength of the stratospheric circulation in the extratropical lower stratosphere [Gettelman et al., 1997]. The STE of ozone is estimated at 500 Tg yr 1 [World Meteorological Organization, 2007], maximizing in Northern Hemisphere spring, and dominates the seasonal variation in upper troposphere column ozone Transport Processes and Mechanisms As shown in Figure 16, there are preferred regions for STE. The Ex-UTLS is dominated by quasi-stationary jet streams and regions of enhanced baroclinic instability (storm tracks) that are a function of topography and ocean-land contrasts. This is particularly true in the Northern Hemisphere, where seasonal variations in the strength of the jet streams are strongly tied to preferred regions of cyclogenesis, baroclinic instability and tropopause folding (as seen in the climatological statistics in Figure 16). There are also preferred regions for convective influence on the Ex-UTLS. Deep mesoscale convective systems over mid-latitude continental regions may penetrate the tropopause [Wang, 2003; Mullendore et al., 2005], and this can be observed in tracer measurements [Hegglin et al., 2004; Ray et al., 2004]. Stratospheric O 3 can be brought down into the UT as a result of these events [Poulida et al., 1996; Hitchman et al., 2004]. Biomass burning plumes coupled with deep convective events can be lofted into the lower stratosphere in pyro-cumulus clouds. While deep pyro-cumulus are infrequent, observations have shown episodic injection of tropospheric species and biomass burning products into the Ex-UTLS above the tropopause [Waibel et al., 1999; Fromm and Servranckx, 2003]. The effect of convective uplifting near the tropopause may also lead to in situ particle formation in the lower

38 38 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS stratosphere [de Reus et al., 1999]. However, it is not clear these processes are important climatologically or for maintaining the Ex-UTLS. Another important feature of Ex-UTLS transport is the summer monsoon circulations, particularly those in the Northern hemisphere that reach deep into the subtropics [Dunkerton, 1995; Dethof et al., 1999]. The Asian and North American monsoons significantly impact tracer distributions in the Ex-UTLS, as evidenced by satellite data [Park et al., 2004; Randel et al., 2006; Fu et al., 2006; Park et al., 2008] and aircraft measurements [Schuck et al., 2010]. Monsoonal circulations are associated with upwards transport in persistent deep convection, together with large-scale anticyclonic circulations in the UTLS up to 70 hpa [Dunkerton, 1995] linked to the convective latent heating. The influence of the Asian summer monsoon is especially important during NH summer. An example of the chemical and dynamical signature of the Asian monsoon anticyclone is shown in Figure 17, highlighting elevated mixing ratios of CO at 100 hpa (from Microwave Limb Sounder satellite observations) coupled with the anticyclonic circulation at this level. Enhanced levels of CO (and also other tropospheric tracers, [Park et al., 2008; Randel et al., 2010]) occur within the anticyclone, resulting from the upwards transport of surface pollution in deep convection and isolation of air within the strong anticyclonic circulation [Park et al., 2009]. The anticyclonic circulation is also linked to persistent quasi-horizontal transport between the tropics and extratropics upstream and downstream of the anticyclone [Gettelman et al., 2004; Konopka et al., 2009]. Ploeger et al. [2010] and Konopka et al. [2010] suggest a significant fraction of the air in the TTL originates from extratropics via this mechanism during NH summer. From analysis of Hydrogen Cyanide (HCN) observations, there is also evidence that vertical transport in the monsoon circulation

39 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 39 extends above the tropopause directly into the LMS, and is entrained into the tropical Brewer-Dobson circulation [Randel et al., 2010], so that the Asian monsoon can have direct chemical influence on the global stratosphere. Thus transport in the Ex-UTLS is associated with several different pathways. Cross tropopause tropospheric transport has preferred locations both into the troposphere and into the stratosphere at the tropopause. Transport from the subtropics is highly seasonally dependent, and larger in summer and autumn. In summer the Asian monsoon anticyclone plays an important role. There is also significant overworld transport into the Ex-UTLS with a strong winter spring maximum following the stratospheric circulation. This transport not only affects chemistry, but sharpens dynamical gradients in the Ex- UTLS, particularly in winter. 6. TRENDS Anthropogenic forcing of climate [Solomon et al., 2007] and chemistry [World Meteorological Organization, 2007] has been significant in recent decades, and these changes have influenced the Ex-UTLS region. In this section we discuss historical and projected trends in the Ex-UTLS, focusing on changes to the tropopause, broadening of the tropical region and trends in ozone concentration. These changes are broadly consistent with expected responses to increases in greenhouse gas radiative forcing, and in halogen-induced decreases in stratospheric ozone. Recently, coupled chemistry-climate models have been used to simulate these trends, and to estimate the future evolution of the Ex-UTLS under various scenarios.

40 40 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 6.1. Historical Trends There is significant evidence that the extratropical tropopause height has been rising in altitude over the last years from analysis of radiosonde temperature soundings [Seidel and Randel, 2006]. This behavior has been confirmed in model simulations [Santer et al., 2003; Gettelman et al., 2009, 2010]. An increase in tropopause height is expected from a combination of stratospheric cooling and tropospheric warming induced by greenhouse gas changes [Shepherd, 2002; Gettelman and Birner, 2007]. Attribution studies by Santer et al. [2003] indicate that tropopause height changes are linked to greenhouse gas forcing of climate, in addition to effects of stratospheric ozone losses [Seidel and Randel, 2006; Son et al., 2009]. In addition to these changes in the height of the tropopause, changes have been observed in the structure of the tropopause. Castanheira et al. [2009] found increased UTLS baroclinicity, likely associated with enhanced meridional temperature gradients in the Ex-UTLS. Changes have been observed in the subtropical jet, where the jet and associated tropopause structures appear to be moving poleward, thus broadening the tropics [Rosenlof, 2002; Seidel et al., 2008]. Evidence for the broadening of the tropics comes from changes in sub-tropical tropopause height [Seidel and Randel, 2007; Birner, 2010b], ozone [Hudson et al., 2006], tropospheric circulation [Hu and Fu, 2007], temperatures [Fu et al., 2006] and the separation between the subtropical jets [Seidel et al., 2008]. Such poleward movement of the tropics has important climatic implications, such as extending the subtropical dry regions poleward. Lu et al. [2009] using idealized GCM simulations, suggest the cause is due to greenhouse gas and stratospheric ozone changes, although the fundamental mechanisms remain to be identified.

41 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 41 Held and Hou [1980] and Hu and Fu [2007] noted that the distance between the subtropical jets is determined by where baroclinic eddies occur, and this can be related to the equator to pole temperature gradient and the depth of the baroclinically unstable layer, (i.e., the tropopause height). The depth of the baroclinically unstable region (i.e., the troposphere) and hence tropopause height may increase as the atmosphere warms, and if so, the tropopause height itself changing through radiative means may be a cause of the broadening. In addition, Shindell et al. [1999] noted that the the thermal structure in the Ex-UTLS may affect the subtropical jet and hence modulate wave propagation that affects stratosphere-troposphere dynamical coupling. Ozone decreases in the Ex-UTLS over the last 30 years have been observed from satellites and radiosondes [World Meteorological Organization, 2010]. The largest net changes since 1980 have occurred in the lower stratosphere (near 20 km) and upper stratosphere (near 40 km), and the overall trends are consistent with changes in halogen loading, and with simulations using coupled chemistry climate models [World Meteorological Organization, 2010]. In the Ex-UTLS region, the observational record is based primarily on radiosondes and is more uncertain [Reid et al., 2000]. Observations in the NH show relatively small long-term Ex-UTLS ozone changes since 1980, with decreases of 10% from 1980 to approximately 1995, followed by increases from 1996 to 2009 [World Meteorological Organization, 2010]. Observations in the Southern Hemisphere Ex-UTLS are more limited, but show approximately constant ozone since These trends have impacts in the Ex-UTLS. Hsu and Prather [2009] found reductions of STE of 10% resulting soley from stratospheric ozone decreases from (not mass flux changes), though there is large uncertainty around Antarctica due to limited

42 42 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS observations. In addition, the hemispheric asymmetry of trends in tropopause height [Seidel and Randel, 2006; Son et al., 2009], is consistent with effects from the decline of Southern Hemisphere ozone due to anthropogenic chlorine [Son et al., 2009] Future Projections Confidence in future projections hinges on model fidelity, assessed on a process level basis using observations as well as simulated historical trends. Recently, Hegglin et al. [2010] compiled a detailed assessment of coupled chemistry climate model performance in the Ex-UTLS, and Gettelman et al. [2010] analyzed simulated trends. Confidence in models to reproduce large scale (zonal mean) trends is high. Models capture many of the features of the Ex-UTLS: including a ExTL chemical transition layer, and a Tropopause Inversion Layer in static stability [Hegglin et al., 2010]. Models are able to simulate observed trends in tropical and extratropical tropopause pressure. Extra-topical tropopause trends are -2 hpa decade 1 in both models [Gettelman et al., 2010] and observations [Seidel and Randel, 2006] from Models project continued trends of this magnitude in extra-topical tropopause height in the 21st century. Figure 18 illustrates the implications for these trends on Ex-UTLS structure. The analysis uses an ensemble of models forced with the same gas concentrations through the 21st century. Ozone is seen to increase in the Ex-UTLS by 1% decade 1 in pressure coordinates. Since the tropopause is rising, relative to the tropopause this implies a larger increase (4% decade 1 ). The increase is not due to tropospheric hydrocarbon (air pollution) chemistry, as models with and without hydrocarbon chemistry have similar trends [Gettelman et al., 2010]. Rather, the increase is likely due to enhancements in the downward flux of ozone into the Ex-UTLS due to an enhanced Brewer-Dobson circulation

43 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 43 (see below). Water vapor is simulated to significantly increase everywhere in the Ex- UTLS, with largest changes in the tropical upper troposphere (in response to tropospheric warming), combined with increases of 1 K in tropical cold point tropopause temperature, allowing more humidity into the Ex-UTLS through tropospheric intrusions (Figure 4). Changes are also expected in the stratospheric circulation. Model simulations suggest an increase in the Brewer-Dobson circulation under climate change scenarios [Rind et al., 1990; Butchart et al., 2006] due to enhanced wave drag linked to acceleration of the subtropical jets [Garcia and Randel, 2008; McLandress and Shepherd, 2009; Butchart et al., 2010]. Because wave drag is heavily parametrized in models, different models have different reasons for the changes to wave drag. This increased Brewer-Dobson circulation implies an increase in ozone in the extratropical LMS [Shepherd, 2008; Li et al., 2009; Gettelman et al., 2010] and in the mass of STE [Sudo et al., 2003; Hegglin and Shepherd, 2009]. In summary, significant changes are expected in the Ex-UTLS due to continued anthropogenic radiative forcing of climate. Hypothesized (simulated) changes include rising tropopause height, enhanced stratospheric circulation and acceleration and poleward shift of the subtropical jets. The changes also imply increases in ozone and water vapor. There are radiative impacts of these changes, due to the sensitivity of the atmosphere in these regions of cold temperatures. What is not known is how the Ex-UTLS region itself may alter larger scale changes in the troposphere, such as expansion of the Hadley cells and subtropical dry regions poleward. Changes in ExTL tracer gradients may affect tropopause height and changes in tropopause height, may alter tropospheric circulations [Lorenz and

44 44 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS DeWeaver, 2007]. Changes may also alter UTLS structure, through changes to the jets and transport, chemical gradients, and hence radiative effects. 7. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 7.1. Summary Recent observations from aircraft and satellites have provided detailed descriptions of the UTLS chemical structure that complement measurements of thermal and dynamical behavior. There are also ongoing improvements in model simulations of the UTLS, incorporating meteorological analysis with improved data assimilation techniques, high resolution chemical transport models, Lagrangian calculations and comprehensive coupled chemistry climate models. The combination of new observations and models has provided improved understanding of the processes that maintain observed ExUTLS behavior. Different definitions of the tropopause provide complementary measures of the dynamical stability gradient. The thermal tropopause emphasizes the vertical stability jump at the troposphere-stratosphere interface, while the dynamical tropopause defined by PV emphasizes horizontal structure of the tropopause on isentropic surfaces. The relationship between the thermal and a PV tropopause depends on the local circulation (due to the influence of relative vorticity); these levels are closely aligned in anticyclonic flow, while the same PV level (e.g., 2 PVU) lies substantially below the thermal tropopause (or equatorward on an isentropic level) in strongly cyclonic flow [Wirth, 2003]. Consequently, there is often little difference (< 1 km) in the thermal vs. PV tropopause definition when PV gradients are tight, whereas substantial differences occur in weak gradients (Figure 6), and no single PV value is a good definition. This argues against a single global value of PV for the dynamical tropopause. A PV gradient tropopause [Kunz et al., 2011] shows some

45 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 45 promise. PV gradients exist due to vorticity or static stability gradients, and either may cause the thermal and dynamic tropopause definitions to diverge. These differences in tropopause definition are reflected in tracer structure, and are particularly evident when viewed in the respective tropopause coordinates (e.g., Figure 8). Other aspects of Ex-UTLS structure have been defined based primarily on thermal structure. The TIL corresponds to a ubiquitous temperature inversion above the thermal tropopause (Figure 2), associated with a thin layer of enhanced static stability (Figure 5). The TIL is a persistent feature of the extratropics, and its strength is modulated by the local synoptic circulation (stronger for anticyclonic flow, as expected due to balanced dynamics; [Wirth and Szabo, 2007]). Radiative calculations suggest a role for water vapor near the tropopause in enhancing cold temperatures near the tropopause and hence the inversion layer (Figure 13). Dynamical mechanisms have also been found to contribute to forcing TIL structure, and the overall balance of dynamical vs. radiative effects is a topic of ongoing research. The thermal tropopause definition [World Meteorological Organization, 1957] also allows for the identification of multiple tropopauses, associated with the occurrence of tropospheric-like static stability above the first tropopause. This situation occurs frequently in the subtropics with a maximum during winter ( 70% of radiosonde soundings), and is often associated with the transport of tropical tropospheric air polewards in a layer above the subtropical jet (Figure 4). Case studies and trajectory calculations have shown that this transport is related to breaking of planetary (Rossby) waves in the subtropical upper troposphere [Pan et al., 2009]. While the double tropopause occurrence frequency is high, it is yet to be determined how deep and reversible such events are, and how they

46 46 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS contribute to systematic ventilation of the lowermost stratosphere via the subtropical transport pathway. In terms of chemical structure, the Ex-UTLS features a transition or mixing layer (the ExTL) around the tropopause, with chemical properties intermediate between the troposphere and stratosphere (Figures 3, 8 and 9). The ExTL is most clearly identified by tracer-tracer correlations (Figure 10) using a stratospheric constituent (often O 3 ) and a tropospheric tracer (typically CO or H 2 O in Figure 11). The ExTL is centered near the thermal tropopause and is 1 2 km thick on either side in aircraft observations (Figure 11), slightly thicker and shifted in coarser resolution satellite observations or models (Figure 12). Alternatively, it can also be described as occurring on the stratospheric side of the 2 PVU tropopause (which typically occurs below the thermal tropopause). The transition width or ExTL depth derived from various tracers can differ substantially, since source and sink behavior are tracer specific and influence tracer distributions in addition to the transport processes that establish gradients [Hegglin et al., 2009; Hoor et al., 2010]. Current models are able to simulate a reasonable ExTL (Figure 12), but typically not as narrow as in observations (likely related to limited model resolution). There are several pathways for mixing and transport of air in the Ex-UTLS. Tracer budgets and timescales indicate rapid mixing with the troposphere in the ExTL (Figure 14). There are longer timescale transports of air from the stratospheric overworld and from the subtropics that contribute significantly to tracer distributions, particularly in summer and fall (Figure 15). Observations highlight that the ExTL exhibits significant spatial structure on synoptic scales, reflecting transport and mixing linked to baroclinic wave structure. In particular, strongest mixing occurs on the cyclonic (poleward) side

47 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 47 of jets, associated with the region of stratospheric intrusions (Figure 11). The result of these processes creates a complex subtropical region, where air mixes between the tropics and extratropics, in addition to between the troposphere and stratosphere. In terms of transport timescales, the ExTL is manifest as a region of air with relatively recent contact with the troposphere [Hoor et al., 2010]. The core of the subtropical jet acts as a strong barrier to mixing across it. There are often several jet cores at any one time (Figure 6), and preferred regions for them. Exchange is often enhanced at the jet exit (Figure 16 from Sprenger and Wernli [2003],Shuckburgh et al. [2009]). and STE is stronger in winter. However, because the jet is much weaker in summer (in the NH), there is significantly more deep mixing between the tropics and extratropics during this season ([Chen, 1995] and Figure 15 from Bönisch et al. [2009]). The NH summertime UTLS circulation is dominated by the Asian monsoon anticyclone (Figure 17), which involves the rapid transport of near-surface air in chronic deep convection, confinement within the strong anticyclonic circulation, and transport to the stratosphere. The circulation upstream and downstream of the anticyclone also contributes to quasihorizontal transport between the tropics and extratropics [Dunkerton, 1995; Konopka et al., 2010]. Observations show increases in tropopause height and poleward shifts in the subtropical jets (broadening of the tropics ) over the last several decades. Both are expected given surface warming forced by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and stratospheric cooling linked to ozone depletion. Tropopause height changes have been simulated by global models [Lu et al., 2009; Gettelman et al., 2010]. Tropical broadening is consistent with

48 48 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS the response of the atmosphere to changes in the meridional temperature gradient, and a broadening of the tropospheric Hadley circulation. Expected future changes in the Ex-UTLS given anthropogenic forcing of climate and ozone recovery include continued decreases in tropopause pressure (height increase) and an increase in lower stratospheric ozone (Figure 18). Projected ozone increases are consistent with increases in the stratospheric residual circulation bringing more ozone into the Ex-UTLS. The changes in the stratospheric circulation are due to strengthening of the subtropical jets and associated changes in wave propagation and dissipation. These future trends are dependent on the magnitude of the greenhouse gas radiative forcing, and may have impacts for stratosphere-troposphere coupling. The key points discussed above can be summarized as follows: 1. New observations (satellites and aircraft) provide a detailed picture of the UTLS chemical structure to complement measurements of the thermal structure. Modeling approaches are providing improved tools for understanding chemical observations. This includes analysis systems with new data assimilation techniques, high resolution chemical transport models and coupled chemistry-climate models, and Lagrangian models. 2. The thermal (tropopause and TIL) and dynamical (PV) structure of the Ex-UTLS are intimately related. Different measures of the tropopause itself are compatible and these complementary descriptions are consequences of the dynamics of the Ex-UTLS that features vertical stability gradients and horizontal wind shear (vorticity) gradients. 3. The Ex-UTLS features a Transition Layer, the ExTL, 1 2 km thick around the thermal tropopause, most clearly seen in correlations between tracers. Models are able to simulate this structure.

49 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS Radiative effects of tracer gradients in the ExTL help maintain the TIL, at least in some regions. Chemical tracer gradients feed back on dynamics through radiatively active tracers (ozone and water vapor). 5. Transport timescales in the Ex-UTLS feature multiple transport pathways. Transport times are shorter in summer. The Ex-UTLS transport timescales govern the potential chemical impact of tracers in the UTLS. 6. Models and observational estimates of trends in the Ex-UTLS broadly agree. Future simulated trends indicate increases in ozone in the LMS, increases in tropopause height, and poleward movement of the subtropical jets Outstanding Questions This review has aimed to clarify different approaches to analyzing the tropopause and showing how different definitions are complementary. We have also illustrated how the observed chemical structure fits into this picture, how transport affects the chemical structure, and how the tropopause may change in the future. Even with this coherent picture of the Ex-UTLS and the links between chemistry and dynamics, there are significant remaining questions and uncertainties. The extratropical UTLS and transition layer (ExTL) structure are well defined, but only broadly understood. What is the balance of processes that govern the chemical composition of the ExTL and how do they vary in space and time? What do different tracers tell us about the ExTL? What is the relative importance of different transport pathways into the Ex-UTLS?

50 50 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS An empirical relationship between the TIL and trace gas distribution is indicated by observations. What is the relative importance of dynamical vs. radiative processes for the TIL formation, and how are these related to constituent exchange across the tropopause? Radiative effects of ExTL gradients seem to impact the TIL. Where and when are these effects most important? Trends and feedbacks: How does the observed broadening of the tropical belt affect the subtropical jets and Ex-UTLS composition and transport? How do Ex-UTLS composition and structure changes affect static stability and alter conditions for wave propagation that may feed back on tropospheric circulations? What do different metrics tell us about tropical broadening and why is the observed change over the past 3 decades much larger than simulations? 7.3. Observing and Modeling Systems The questions posed above naturally lead to requirements for a suite of continued measurements and model development. A great deal has been learned from detailed in situ and satellite measurements, combined with evaluation of new models that represent the coupling between processes in the Ex-UTLS. Continued observations with high vertical resolution are necessary for understanding the ExTL and the TIL and their interactions. High horizontal resolution is necessary to understand gradients in the region of the subtropical jet. Continued global observations and sampling are also necessary to understand budgets, timescales and the relative importance of different transport pathways and episodic events. Models can help put these observations in context, and be used to

51 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 51 explore key processes. We detail how observations can be used to answer key questions below In Situ Measurements This review has presented data from several recent in situ aircraft campaigns in the Ex- UTLS (SPURT, START05, START08). All acronyms in Section 9. These campaigns have used new strategies and platforms that have gone beyond and built upon studies of deep convective transport and tropopause folds in the UTLS region that have been conducted for many years. Continuous progress will require campaigns with aircraft that can reach well into the UTLS, to ceilings of 15km or higher (such as new G-V research aircraft like HALO or HIAPER). Understanding budgets and timescales will require sampling different regions and seasons. Data from commercial aircraft (MOZAIC [now IAGOS], CONTRAIL and CARIBIC) are also critical to expand sampling capacity, yielding valuable data on the composition of the UTLS up to 12km, where knowledge of water vapor especially is still limited. A major feature of recent campaigns has been repeated measurements in which the same suite of sensors flies in different seasons (SPURT, HIPPO). These campaigns add statistical rigor to the data sets by sampling more variability and diverse dynamical situations. Multi-season repetitive campaigns should be continued to evaluate seasonally-varying behavior. Additional tracers of Ex-UTLS transport with shorter and varied photochemical lifetimes (and photochemically active species such as NO x ) should also be measured more frequently, to complement many of the long lived tracers discussed here. Most campaigns so far have focused on mid-latitude and polar regions that are easy to access from aircraft base locations, mostly in N. America and Europe. There have

52 52 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS been few campaigns in the southern hemisphere UTLS (HIPPO, INCA and commercial aircraft are exceptions). An effort should be made also to focus on critical regions in the subtropics, including how the Asian Monsoon interacts with the Ex-UTLS region. Also, new platforms, such as unmanned atmospheric vehicles (UAVs) such as the NASA Global Hawk are now providing new sampling opportunities with extended ranges and durations that enable many remote regions (oceans, subtropics, polar regions) to be sampled. Finally the importance of balloon borne sampling should not be ignored. The long records available from balloons with O 3 and H 2 O provide soundings for evaluating longterm variability and trends. Increasing miniaturization and mass production of sensors are enabling more types of soundings from inexpensive (and disposable) small balloon platforms to supplement temperature, water vapor and ozone measurements. Balloon borne long term measurements of stratospheric age tracers (e.g., CO 2, SF 6 ) are important for understanding stratospheric overworld circulation changes that affect the Ex-UTLS. A new global reference network for upper air sounding (GRUAN) is being developed, which will provide a vital monitoring and validation role for ExUTLS water vapor and ozone, as well as significant additional data that can define the Ex-UTLS and ExTL and their variability with high accuracy Satellites Over the last decade amazing strides have been made with a new generation of satellite sensors (ACE, MLS, HIRDLS). Satellites are now routinely able to sense into the UTLS region and observe many chemical constituents such as water vapor, ozone, carbon monoxide, and even more minor species (HCN). Satellites can make particular progress in

53 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 53 understanding questions relating to the relative roles of different processes and elucidating timescales for transport. Satellite measurements often involve a trade-off between vertical resolution and horizontal coverage. Nadir viewing sensors have very good horizontal scanning, but limited vertical resolution, particularly in the UTLS. Higher vertical resolution is achieved from limb viewing sensors (HIRDLS, Figure 4), at the expense of lower horizontal resolution. This limitation may be overcome by proposed sensors utilizing the infrared limb-imaging technique [Riese et al., 2005]. Infrared limb-imaging can provide multiple trace gas observations (e.g., water vapor, ozone, tracers) with high vertical resolution (1km) and higher horizontal resolution at the same time. In addition, microwave limb-sounding can be used, which is less sensitive to clouds and allows deeper penetration into the upper troposphere. Future sensors need a balance between resolution and coverage. Because of strong vertical and horizontal gradients in the Ex-UTLS and across the ExTL, there remain large uncertainties in the spatial characteristics of chemical and dynamical structures around the tropopause. High vertical resolution is particularly desirable in the UTLS, as Figure 4 from the HIRDLS instrument illustrates. Good knowledge of horizontal gradients and structures is also important, since STE events and other processes are three dimensional. Future satellites should aim to measure species with different source regions (in the stratosphere and troposphere) and different lifetimes to enable understanding of a range of transport and mixing times. Finally, satellites offer a comprehensive perspective, but often only for a short amount of time (order 1 8 years). It is desirable and necessary to plan future satellite missions to overlap in time and yield a long term consistent record to be able to compare and

54 54 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS combine results from different sensors. Such records will enable UTLS trends, such as those predicted from chemistry-climate models, to be detected. Validation programs using in situ observations from aircraft and balloons should be coordinated in order to ensure satellite sensor performance throughout their lifetimes Models and Measurements Models are critical for simulation and analysis. Being able to simulate processes and reproduce observations is a critical component of increasing understanding. Models are the only tools that can be used to answer questions related to future changes, but they are valuable only if they can be validated. Models can also assist with inter-satellite comparisons. In order to answer critical questions about coupling between chemistry and dynamics through transport and radiation, coupled chemistry-climate models need to be used. To compare to in situ observations, it is useful to constrain models to the atmospheric state using meteorological analyses. Emerging efforts in chemical data assimilation can enable long term, consistent chemical analyses of the Ex-UTLS region through the satellite period. Observing systems and models should be developed together, so that the maximum use can be put to the data for consistent analyses, and so that models can be better validated and evaluated. This way validated models of the Ex-UTLS, both specified dynamics models (chemical transport models) and coupled chemistry climate models, can be used for process-based comparisons and sensitivity studies, as well as for future projections Final Thoughts Important strides have been made to develop an integral view of the Ex-UTLS region. The framework for understanding exists, but many critical details need to be filled in to

55 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 55 understand critical processes in the Ex-UTLS that will impact chemistry, dynamics and their coupling. The continued analysis of current and future observations and integration with models will lead us to the end goal of an understanding of the role that the UTLS plays in chemistry and climate, and how this may evolve in the future. 8. GLOSSARY Ex-UTLS: Extratropical Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere ExTL: Extratropical Transition Layer LMS: Lowermost Stratosphere TIL: Tropopause Inversion Layer TTL: Tropical Tropopause Layer Thermal Tropopause: Tropopause defined using a lapse rate definition Dynamic Tropopause: Tropopause defined using potential vorticity Brewer-Dobson Circulation: Mean meridional chemical transport circulation of the Stratosphere. The diabatic and residual circulation as expressed in tracers. See Shepherd [2002]. STE: Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange. Net mass exchange TST: Troposphere to Stratosphere Exchange. Gross exchange into the stratosphere STT: Stratosphere to Troposphere Exchange. Gross exchange into the troposphere 9. ACRONYMS ACE: Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment. Canadian satellite platform. Bernath et al. [2005]

56 56 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS CARIBIC: Civil Aircraft for the Regular Investigation of the atmosphere Based on an Instrument Container. Brenninkmeijer et al. [2007]; Zahn and Brenninkmeijer [2003] CHAMP: Challenging Mini-satellite Payload. Global Positioning System radio occultation satellite. Wickert et al. [2001] CONTRAIL: Comprehensive Observation Network for Trace gases by AIrLiner. Japanese project instrumenting commercial aircraft. Matsueda et al. [2008] ERA: European Center Re-Analysis. GCM: General Circulation Model. GFS: Global Forecast System. U.S. Weather Service forecast system. GRUAN: GCOS (Global Climate Observing System) Upper Air Reference Network. Seidel et al. [2009] HALO: High Altitude and LOng Range Research Aircraft. German G-V aircraft. HIAPER: High Performance Instrumented Airborne Platform for Environmental Research. U.S. G-V Aircraft. HIPPO: HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations Mission. Wofsy et al. [2011] HIRDLS: High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder Satellite instrument on NASA Aura platform. Gille et al. [2008] IAGOS: Integration of routine Aircraft measurements into a Global Observing System. Follow-on project from MOZAIC (see MOZAIC below). INCA: Inter-hemispheric Differences in Cirrus Properties from Anthropogenic Emissions. Aircraft field project in Scotland and Chile. Ovarlez et al. [2002] MLS: Microwave Limb Sounder Satellite instrument on NASA Aura platform. Waters et al. [2006]

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84 84 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS Figure 1. Schematic snapshot of the Extratropical UTLS using data from a cross section along 60 longitude on February 15, Wind contours (solid black lines 10 ms 1 interval), potential temperature surfaces (dashed black lines), thermal tropopause (red dots) and potential vorticity surface (2 PVU: light blue solid line). Illustrated schematically are the ExUTLS (dark and light blue shading), the ExTL (dark blue shading), clouds and fronts (gray shading), static stability contours in the TIL (green shading), quasi-isentropic exchange (red wavy arrows), cross-isentropic exchange (orange wavy arrows) and the Brewer-Dobson Circulation (deep: red solid outline, shallow: dotted solid outline). Figure 2. Seasonal climatology of static stability (defined as dt/dz) in the Ex-UTLS in altitude coordinates. (A) DJF, (B) JJA. Color shading is dt/dz with contours at -3,-2,-1 (blue) and 1 to 6 (orange-red) Kkm 1 from CHAMP GPS data for the period the thick black lines represent the -2 Kkm 1 contour of dt/dz - the thermal tropopause. Dotted lines are isentropes. Black contours are zonal mean zonal winds with contours every 10 ms 1 (from ERA-interim for ). Dashed lines are ±2 and 6 PVU isolines, also from ERA-interim.

85 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 85 Figure Profiles from individual balloon soundings over Boulder, CO (40 N, 105 W) during all months. Profile altitudes are referenced to the thermal tropopause. Individual measurements are shown as gray dots, mean as black line. (A) Temperature, (B) Static Stability (N 2 ), (C) Ozone and (D) Water Vapor. Data and instrumentation are described by Vömel et al. [2007]. Figure 4. Cross section along a HIRDLS satellite track on 11 May The layer structure of an intrusion is shown in (A) the ozone cross section measured by HIRDLS and (B) the potential temperature lapse rate cross section from GFS analyses. Also shown from GFS analyses are thermal tropopause (black dots), zonal wind (black contours), 350K and 400K isentropes and PV contours (2,4,6,8 PVU, orange lines). Reprinted from Pan et al. [2009], Figure 1 Figure 5. Seasonal climatology of static stability (defined as dt/dz) in the Ex-UTLS in tropopause relative coordinates for (A) DJF and (B) JJA. Other lines as in Figure 2 Figure 6. Isentropic PV distribution for 340K surface on 27 April PVU contour (black) and gradient based dynamical tropopause (4.15 PVU, yellow). Locations of the jet stream are represented by the 40 ms 1 wind field contour (red). Based on ECMWF analyses and Kunz et al. [2011].

86 86 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS Figure 7. Zonal mean December February (A) O 3 and (B) CO distribution from ACE- FTS satellite from in tropopause coordinates scaled by the seasonal mean tropopause height. The thermal tropopause is the thick black line. The dashed black line on the left panel indicates the 100 ppbv ozone contour. Figure 8. CO profiles from the START08 experiment [Pan et al., 2010] as a function of (A) potential temperature relative to the dynamical tropopause (2 PVU), (B) geometrical altitude relative to the dynamical tropopause, (C) geometrical altitude relative to the thermal tropopause. Black line is the mean of all observations at a particular vertical coordinate. Figure 9. Zonal mean cross-sections of CO vertical gradients normalized by the tropospheric CO value (in percent per km) from ACE-FTS satellite measurements averaged over for (A) December February and (B) June August. The data are plotted in tropopause relative coordinates after adding the zonal mean tropopause height of the respective season. The thermal tropopause is indicated by the thick black line.

87 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 87 Figure 10. (A) schematic of tracer-tracer correlations between ozone (stratospheric tracer) and CO (tropospheric tracer). Individual reservoirs are solid lines, mixing lines dashed. (B) Observations from Photochemistry of Ozone Loss in the Arctic Region in Summer (POLARIS) profiles near 65 N in 1995 (multiple months) as shown in Pan et al. [2004] showing stratospheric (red), tropospheric (green) and mixed (blue) points. Points are defined based on fits (solid lines) to stratospheric (CO < 40 ppbv) and tropospheric (O 3 < 65 ppbv) points and the 3σ region around the fits is shown as dashed lines. O 3 data described by Proffitt and McLaughlin [1983], CO data by Herman et al. [1999]. Figure 11. Example of using tracer-tracer correlations to identify the ExTL. Data from a flight during the START05 campaign on 1 December (A): air mass identification of stratospheric (red) tropospheric (green) and mixed (blue) air masses along the flight track. Black contours are 2 and 6 PVU. Potential temperature surfaces in magenta, thermal tropopause as black dots and the zonal wind field (50 ms 1, gray shade) shown. (B): definition of air masses in top left panel using tracer-tracer correlations with colors as in top right panel. dashed lines show 3σ distribution around the troposphere (green) and stratosphere (red) fits. (C): flight track (red) superimposed on the static stability (dθ/dz), with isentropes (black lines), thermal tropopause (black dots), 2 and 6 PVU surfaces (white solid) and wind speed (30 and 60 ms 1, white dashed) shown. (D): Histograms showing the distribution of the mixed samples (blue points) in altitude relative to the GFS analysis thermal tropopause. Adapted from [Pan et al., 2007b].

88 88 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS Figure 12. Illustration of ExTL layer depth using Probability Distribution Functions (PDF s). (A) Fraction of air parcels within the ExTL plotted as function of the distance relative to the thermal tropopause for models from year 2000, for aircraft observations from 1997 and 40 N 80 N between spring and fall (brown solid line), and for ACE-FTS satellite from and 60 N 70 N (gray thick line). Black line indicates the multi-model mean. Individual CCMVal-2 models are thin colored lines (solid and dashed). (B) Scatter plot between center and width of the ExTL. Brown square indicates aircraft observations, gray diamond ACE-FTS data, colored symbols the different CCMVal-2 models, and black diamond the multi-model mean. Adapted from Hegglin et al. [2010]. Figure 13. (A) Vertical profile of ACE-FTS water vapor mixing ratio (ppmv) for seasonal averages (DJF, etc.), calculated in tropopause coordinates and transformed to altitude using a mean tropopause altitude of 9 km (noted with the heavy dashed line). (B) Fixed dynamical heating temperature response to the seasonal water vapor variations shown in (A). Thick black curve shows the background reference temperatures with DJF water vapor, and the other curves show the corresponding temperatures for imposed water vapor from MAM, JJA, and SON. Adapted from Randel and Wu [2010].

89 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS 89 Figure 14. Distribution of (A) February CO and (B) transport time since tropopause crossing from February 1st (Troposphere to Stratosphere Transport). Black contours indicate the fraction of TST trajectories in percent. Transport time is from trajectory calculations as a function of potential temperature and equivalent latitude, to remove reversible excursions of the tropopause. Adapted from Hoor et al. [2004] and Hoor et al. [2010]. Figure 15. Tropospheric contribution of air deduced from SF 6 and CO 2 observations during SPURT for (A) April and (B) October. Adapted from Bönisch et al. [2009]. Dots represent position of 10 day back trajectories with exchange from the troposphere. Figure 16. Geographical distribution of the annual mean (a) downward Stratosphere to Troposphere Transport (STT), (b) upward Troposphere to Stratosphere Transport (TST), (c) net (STT - TST), and (d) two-way cross tropopause mass fluxes (the minimum of STT and TST) based upon exchange trajectories with a threshold residence time of 96 hours. Values are in kg km 2 s 1. from Sprenger and Wernli [2003], figure 1. Figure 17. Horizontal map of 100hPa July August 2005 average Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) CO (ppbv) and NCEP horizontal wind fields (vectors), Adapted from Park et al. [2007], Figure 5.

90 90 GETTELMAN ET AL.: EXTRATROPICAL UTLS Figure 18. Multi-model mean trends in (A) O 3 (contour interval ±0.5% decade 1 with no zero line) and (B) H 2 O (contour interval of 1% decade 1 ). Shading indicates the 95% significance level (light shading for positive trends, dark shading for negative trends). For H 2 O, the calculated trends are significant at the 95% level. Dotted lines in each panel denote the tropopause with the lower line corresponding to the reference period [ ] and the upper line corresponding to the year Adapted from Gettelman et al. [2010], Figure 18

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