ICTSW in the context of WMO

Transcription

1 World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water ICTSW in the context of WMO Jérôme Lafeuille WMO Space Programme, Geneva WMO

2 Outline WMO in brief The WMO Space Programme WMO and Space Weather A few milestones ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

3 World Meteorological Organization The specialized UN agency for weather, climate, operational hydrology and related geophysical sciences. High-level goal to support: Protection of life and property Socio-economic well-being Environment and natural resources Capacity building in less advanced countries Founded in 1950, WMO has 190 Members (States and territories) Fosters international cooperation and information exchange Coordinates global observation, telecom, analysis, forecasting, warning Defines international Standards (ISO) in its area of competence ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

4 WMO establishes and coordinates global and regional networks Operational observation of meteorological, climatological, hydrological and geophysical variables, Operational Data exchange, management and standardization, Operational Processing of data to products, model outputs Technology transfer, training and research ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

5 Information exchange common procedures; real-time and non-real time Information management a few standard data formats; coordinated metadata and catalogues WIS IRI and other climate research institutes Universities Regional Climate Centres World Radiation Centre Regional Instrument Centres NMC/ DCPC NMC International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO.. ) DCPC NMC NMC/ DPCP 5 GAW World Data Centres GCOS Data Centres Global Run-off Data Centre NMC Commercial Service Providers NMC GISC NMC WMO World Data Centres NMC DCPC GISC GISC GISC GISC DCPC internet NMC NMC Satellite Two-Way System Satellite Dissemination ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov 2012 NMC NMC Real-time push 5 On-demand pull

6 Examples in the WMO Information System Daily data volumes exchanged in a major hub 2-3 TB per day International connections from a major centre (Met Office, Exeter, UK) ranging between 2 and 100 Mbps Data latency at a major hub typically s most of the time (NCEP stats Oct 22, 2012 ) 6

7 WMO Global Observing Systems Global Observing Systems (WWW/GOS) Space-based observing system (Serving all WMO applications) RBSN, RBCN (>10,000 stations,1,000 upper-air) AMDAR (39754/day) Ship & Marine obs (30417/day) Surface-based remote sensing Meso-scale networks Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) World Hydrological Cycle Observing System (WHYCOS) WMO Co-sponsored Observing Systems GCOS, GOOS, GTOS ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

8 Example : GPS network used in NWP by Meteo France French network (260 stations) E-GVAP network 8 Courtesy of Meteo France

9 Coverage Map (Early Analysis) Cut off : +02:20 Courtesy of JMA 9

10 Global 16-20km 70L (80km top) Hybrid 4DVAR (40km inner-loop) 60 hour forecast twice/day 144 hour forecast twice/day 44/12member 33km MOGREPS-G 4* /day Operational NWP Configuration: UKV 1.5km 70L (40km top) 3DVAR (hourly) 36 hour forecast, 4 times per day 12 member 2.2km MOGREPS-UK Crown copyright Met Office Courtesy of Met Office

11 Satellites: major data source for NWP LEO Sounders LEO Imagers Scatterometers GEO imagers Satellite Winds (AMVs) GPS Radio Occultation Courtesy of ECMWF ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

12 Forecast impact experiment from Dec to Jan Impact Impact / Obs. number 12 Courtesy of Meteo France WMO Workshop on the Impact of Various Observing Systems on NWP Sedona May 2012

13 Evolution of ECMWF forecast skill ~210km ~125km ~63km ~39km ~25km ~16km NAEDEX 2012 ECMWF Status Report Stephen Engilsh ECMWF

14 Forecasts of Hurricane Sandy with and without polar satellites ECMWF forecasts of Mean Sea Level Pressure, 5 days in advance of the 30 th October 2012 for the landfall of Hurricane Sandy. Forecasts from an assimilation system with no polar satellites fail to predict the landfall of the storm on the US east coast. ECMWF OPS NO POLAR SAT VERIFICATION 5 day forecast: Base time z Valid Time: z 14

15 Governance structure (schematic) Congress (every 4 years) Executive Council (yearly) Technical Commissions Commission for Atmospheric Science Instruments and Methods of Observation Commission for Basic Systems (CBS) Com. Aeronautical Meteorology (CAeM) Regional Associations I: Africa II: Asia III: South America IV: North, Central America Commission for Hydrology Commission for Climatology Commission for Agriculture Meteorology Joint Com. For Oceanography & Marine Meteor.. ICTSW V: South Pacific VI: Europe ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

16 Strategic Plan Priorities Climate : Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) Aviation meteorological services Capacity building for developing & least developed countries Integration of observation/information systems (WIGOS/WIS) Disaster risk reduction ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

17 Third World Climate Conference: a historic event (31 Aug 4 Sept, 2009, Geneva) ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

18 Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) Initial priority areas New partnership to address new observational requirements Agriculture Water Health Disaster Risk Reduction ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

19 WMO Cg-16 (2011) decisions to Implement WMO INTEGRATED GLOBAL OBSERVING SYSTEM YSTEM (WIGOS) The key word is Integration: promote synergy among systems The whole is more than the sum of the parts--aristotle Need an Integrated Global Observing System to meet all requirements in a cost effective manner ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

20 Natural disasters Löw, P. and A. Wirtz NatCat Service and Risk Management: This Year in Figures, Munich Re Topics Geo 2011, pp ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

21 The WMO Space Programme ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

22 The WMO Space Programme Office Dr Wenjian ZHANG Director Observing & Information Systems Dept. Director Space Programme Mr Jerome LAFEUILLE Chief, Space-based Observing Systems Dr Stephan BOJINSKI Scientific Officer Satellite Utilization Mr Nils HETTICH JPO, IT matters Ms Mireille HERIN Secretary (50%) ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

23 WMO Space Programme Activity Areas Observation capabilities EO products & applications Access to data and products Crosscutting Information & capacity building ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

24 Space-based observing system Overview (Oct 2012) 12 operational geostationary satellites 6 operational sun-synchronous R&D satellites in polar orbit Other (inclined) orbits Recent launches: Megha-Tropiques (ISRO-CNES) Suomi-NPP (NOAA) FY-2F (CMA) GCOM-W1 (JAXA) MSG-3 (EUMETSAT) Metop-B (EUMETSAT) ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

25 Developing and maintaining a WMO Vision for the space-based GOS Recommended baseline with inorbit redundancy L S T : 0 0 h L S T : 1 2 h ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

26 Rolling Review of (observation) Requirements database OSCAR ( References of > 500 satellites > 700 instruments with characteristics and indication of relevant variables ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

27 Coordinating observation capabilities «OSCAR» repository of observation requirements and capabilities ( Cross-cutting Vision and Gap Analysis ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

28 Global Space-based Inter-calibration System (GSICS) CMA-CNES-EUMETSAT-IMD-ISRO-JAXA-JMA-KMA- -NOAA-NASA-NIST-Roshydromet-USGS-WMO LEO-LEO intercalibration Routine IR inter-calibration against IASI and AIRS on simultaneous overpass VIS and MW calibration under development GEO versus LEO More on: ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

29 From data to products and applications Fostering collaboration on EO products Supporting international science groups on sounding (ITWG), winds (IWWG), precipitation (IPWG) and radio-occultation (IROWG) Identify common requirements Sharing development/validation effort Best practices on quality assurance ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

30 Facilitating access to data and products Define regional data access requirements Africa, South America, Asia, Oceania Promote multi-mission DVB-S retransmission services e.g. EUMETCast, CMACast Promote Direct Broadcast standards for LEO Regional ATOVS Retransmission System (RARS) for near-real time sounding data for NWP WIS metadata standards for data discovery in interoperable catalogues Data and product access guides ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

31 Improving timeliness of polar-orbit satellite soundings : RARS concept (Regional ATOVS Retransmission Service) ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

32 Capacity development User awareness, education and training Virtual Laboratory User conferences in every WMO Region Regional initiatives, pilot projects Promoting «User readiness projects» for upcoming generations of operational systems CBS-15 Recommendation 100% Ideal learning curve Actual learning curve Satellite ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov 2012 Operational Lifetime 32 readiness processing at launch End of Satellite Life

33 The ICTSW now involves 19 WMO Members & 7 international organizations Observation requirements taken into account in the RRR Space Weather warning services to aviation being discussed with ICAO Space Weather product portal Initial training modules Another domain of activity: Space Weather ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

34 WMO and Space Weather ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

35 Motivations for WMO Space Weather activities Space Weather is important for WMO Impact on radio-communications Impact on meteorological satellites Space Weather-climate linkage Potential coupling with Numerical Weather Prediction models WMO is important for Space Weather Meteorological satellites are flying space weather instruments WMO s 60-year experience in global operational coordination Synergy with current services to global aviation and hazard warning WMO Members decided to engage in «International coordination of operational Space Weather observation, products and services, in particular to protect against global Space Weather hazards» ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

36 Inter-Programme Coordination Team on Space Weather (ICTSW) Currently 19 countries Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, Ethiopia, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Pakistan, Rep. Korea, Russian Federation, South Africa, Switzerland, Thailand, United Kingdom, USA 7 international organizations ESA, ISES, EU/JRC, ICAO, ITU, OOSA, WMO Co-chairs Terrance Onsager (USA) Xiaoxin Zhang (China) Governance WMO Commission for Basic Systems WMO Commission for Aeronautical Meteorology Phil Wilkinson Ronald Van der Linden René Warnant Clezio de Nardin Joaquim Costa Larisa Trichtchenko Jingsong Wang Xiaoxin Zhang Alain Hilgers Yitaktu Tesfatsion Neil Mitchison Kirsti Kauristie Nicole Vilmer Raul Romero Sergio Buonomo Daniele Biron Bruno Zolesi Mauro Messeroti Mamori Ishii Hans Haubold Jinwook han Daeyun Shin Muhammad Ameen Vyachesloav Burov Lee-Anne McKinell Werner Schmutz Wirat Waranuchit David Jackson Joe Davila Mangala Sharma Terry Onsager Jerome Lafeuille ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

37 ICTSW Terms of Reference Inter-programme Coordination Team on Space Weather a) Standardization and enhancement of Space Weather data exchange and delivery through the WMO Information System (WIS); a) Harmonized definition of end-products and services, including e.g. quality assurance guidelines and emergency warning procedures, in interaction with aviation and other major application sectors; b) Integration of Space Weather observations, through review of spaceand surface-based observation requirements, harmonization of sensor specifications, monitoring plans for Space Weather observation; c) Encouraging the dialogue between the research and operational Space Weather communities. ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

38 Outcome of CBS-15, Jakarta, Sept (2) The Commission encouraged ICTSW to continue to work with the IAVWOPSG on the definition of space weather requirements for international air navigation, the contents of space weather information to be delivered, and the recommended organization to produce and deliver such information on an operational basis with a view to provide the basis for an amendment to Annex 3 of the ICAO Convention for consideration by a planned conjoint ICAO Meteorology (MET) Divisional Meeting and CAeM-XV in July It requested the ICTSW co-chairs to keep the President of CBS and of CAeM informed of the progress made on this matter. ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

39 Challenges Operational coordination is emerging under WMO auspices, though a number of challenges remain to be addressed until global, sustainable, quality-controlled space weather services are available To raise awareness of decision makers and potential users To mobilize more Members and organizations To organize responsibilities for efficient alert chain To improve data/product accessibility To secure availability and long-term continuity of key observations To enhance interoperability through standardization when relevant ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

40 Expected benefits from WMO support WMO s experience and procedures (observation, information, warning systems) enable leveraging the technical coordination effort initiated by ISES WMO intergovernmental status will facilitate international commitments by Members for long-term provision of services to the community (e.g. observations, services) Integration/synergy will develop with meteorological services delivered to various key users ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

41 ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

42 ICTSW activity areas Outreach and education Information chain Services Products and models Data exchange/ data management Observations Requirements ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

43 Near or mid-term objectives (1) Improve data/product accessibility WMO Information System as a global technical framework for data discovery and for data exchange and access Secure the availability and continuity of key observations Space and ground-based Enhance interoperability through standardization when relevant Harmonize key instrument specifications (e.g. particle energy thresholds) Instrument intercalibration, traceability to standards Harmonize key product specifications ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov

44 Near or mid-term objectives (2) Raise awareness of decision makers and potential users Communicate on risks and benefits Demonstrate achievements Support training activities (collaboration with COSPAR) Mobilize more Members and organizations through WMO bodies Valuing partnership Organize responsibilities for efficient alert chain See model of Regional Specialized Meteorological Centres: WMO hurricane centres or WMO/ICAO Volcanic Ash Advisory Centres, or World Aeronautical Forecast Centres Formalize with ICAO the Space Weather services to aviation To be included in Annex 3 to the ICAO Convention ICTSW-3, Bruxelles, Nov