Modeling and Simulation of Communication Systems and Networks Chapter 1. Reliability

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Modeling and Simulation of Communication Systems and Networks Chapter 1. Reliability"

Transcription

1 Modeling and Simulation of Communication Systems and Networks Chapter 1. Reliability Prof. Jochen Seitz Technische Universität Ilmenau Communication Networks Research Lab Summer / 20

2 Outline Definition of Reliability Modeling Reliability System Reliability Systems Without Redundancy Systems With Redundancy Comparing System Reliability References 2 / 20

3 1.1 Definition of Reliability What does Reliability mean? Measure for the ability of a component / a system to sustain its functionality. Probability that a desired function can be fulfilled during a specified time period under given working conditions. Reliability Parameters: Reliability R(t) Failure Probability F (t) Failure Density Function f (t) Failure Rate λ(t) 3 / 20

4 1.1 Definition of Reliability Typical Characteristics of the Failure Rate l(t) Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 t 4 / 20

5 1.1 Definition of Reliability Important: Mean Values Mean value of failure probability: Mean Time To Failure (MTTF) MTTF = E[T ] = t f (t)dt = 0 R(t)dt = e t λ(τ)dτ 0 dt Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF) Special case: λ(t) = λ = constant 0 MTBF = 0 0 e λt dt = 1 λ 5 / 20

6 1.2 Modeling Reliability Exponential Distribution R(t) R(t) = e λt l = 0,25 l = 0,5 l = 0,75 l = 2 6 / 20

7 1.2 Modeling Reliability Exponential Distribution F (t) F (t) = 1 R(t) = 1 e λt l = 0,25 l = 0,5 l = 0,75 l = 2 7 / 20

8 1.2 Modeling Reliability Exponential Distribution f (t) f (t) = dr(t) dt = λe λt l = 0,25 l = 0,5 l = 0,75 l = 2 8 / 20

9 1.2 Modeling Reliability Exponential Distribution λ(t) λ(t) = λ l = 0,25 l = 0,5 l = 0,75 l = 2 9 / 20

10 1.2 Modeling Reliability Other Distributions (I) The Epxonential Distribution is only valid for phase 2, since λ is constant. Other distribution functions used for phases 1 or 3: Weibull Distribution (generalization of the exponential distribution) F (t) = 1 e ( t λ )k 10 / 20

11 1.2 Modeling Reliability Other Distributions (II) Gamma Distribution F (t) = 1 Γ(β) λt f (t) = λ (λt)β 1 Γ(β) f (t) λ(t) = 1 F (t) Γ(β) = 0 0 x β 1 e x dx e λt x β 1 e x dx 11 / 20

12 1.3 System Reliability Reliability of Systems (I) Communication systems and networks consist of different components that have different failure characteristics. Network Subnet A Subnet C Subnet B Subnet D Subnet Router 1 Router 2 Router 3 Router 4 Router 6 Router 7 Router 5 Router Network Interface 1 Processor Memory Power Supply Network Interface 2 12 / 20

13 1.3 System Reliability Reliability of Systems (II) To improve the reliability of a system, components can be redundantly built in: 1 Hot Redundancy There is no differentiation between the main and the redundant component. 2 Warm Redundancy The redundant components are not as heavily loaded as the main component. 3 Cold Redundancy / Standby Redundancy The redundant components are not loaded at all. Redundancy is the duplication of critical components of a system with the intention of increasing reliability of the system. How can the system s reliability be determined if the reliabilities of all components are known? 13 / 20

14 1.3 System Reliability Systems Without Redundancy Systems Without Redundancy System n All components have to function to provide system reliability. If all n components of the system are working independently from each other, then n R S (t) = R i (t) λ S (t) = i=1 n λ i (t) i=1 14 / 20

15 1.3 System Reliability Systems With Redundancy Systems With Hot Redundancy (I) Hot 1-out-of-2-Redundancy System 1 2 Two components with the same functionality run in parallel. If both components have an equal constant failure rate λ, then R S (t) = 2R(t) R 2 (t) = 2e λt e 2λt MTBF S = 2 λ 1 2λ 15 / 20

16 1.3 System Reliability Systems With Redundancy Systems With Hot Redundancy (II) Hot 1-out-of-n-Redundancy System n n components with the same functionality run in parallel. If all components have an equal constant failure rate λ, then R S (t) = n ( n i i=1 = 1 (1 R) n ) R i (1 R) n i 16 / 20

17 1.3 System Reliability Comparing System Reliability Comparing Different Systems (I) Singular system: R(t) = e λt MTBF = 1 λ System with hot 1-out-of-n-Redundancy: System with cold 1-out-of-n-Redundancy: R S (t) = 2e λt e 2λt MTBF S = 2 λ 1 2λ R S (t) = e λt + λte λt MTBF S = 2 λ 17 / 20

18 1.3 System Reliability Comparing System Reliability Comparing Different Systems (II) double system with cold redundancy 2 double system with hot redundancy singular system 18 / 20

19 1.3 System Reliability Comparing System Reliability Comparing Different Systems (III) Mean time to failure (with failure rate λ = 2): Singular system: MTBF = 0.5 (1) Double system with hot redundancy: MTBF = = 0.75 (2) Double system with cold redundancy: MTBF = 1 (3) 19 / 20

20 1.5 References References A. Birolini. Reliability Engineering Theory and Praxis. Springer, Berlin; Heidelberg; New York, 5th edition, ISBN Z. Enrico. An Introduction to the Basics of Reliability and Risk Analysis. Series on Quality, Reliability and Engineering Statistics. World Scientific Publishing, London, ISBN / 20

Chapter 9 Part II Maintainability

Chapter 9 Part II Maintainability Chapter 9 Part II Maintainability 9.4 System Repair Time 9.5 Reliability Under Preventive Maintenance 9.6 State-Dependent Systems with Repair C. Ebeling, Intro to Reliability & Maintainability Chapter

More information

CHAPTER 10 RELIABILITY

CHAPTER 10 RELIABILITY CHAPTER 10 RELIABILITY Failure rates Reliability Constant failure rate and exponential distribution System Reliability Components in series Components in parallel Combination system 1 Failure Rate Curve

More information

Engineering Risk Benefit Analysis

Engineering Risk Benefit Analysis Engineering Risk Benefit Analysis 1.155, 2.943, 3.577, 6.938, 10.816, 13.621, 16.862, 22.82, ESD.72, ESD.721 RPRA 3. Probability Distributions in RPRA George E. Apostolakis Massachusetts Institute of Technology

More information

Quiz #2 A Mighty Fine Review

Quiz #2 A Mighty Fine Review Quiz #2 A Mighty Fine Review February 27: A reliable adventure; a day like all days filled with those events that alter and change the course of history and you will be there! What is a Quiz #2? Three

More information

Fault-Tolerant Computing

Fault-Tolerant Computing Fault-Tolerant Computing Motivation, Background, and Tools Slide 1 About This Presentation This presentation has been prepared for the graduate course ECE 257A (Fault-Tolerant Computing) by Behrooz Parhami,

More information

Chapter 5 Reliability of Systems

Chapter 5 Reliability of Systems Chapter 5 Reliability of Systems Hey! Can you tell us how to analyze complex systems? Serial Configuration Parallel Configuration Combined Series-Parallel C. Ebeling, Intro to Reliability & Maintainability

More information

Signal Handling & Processing

Signal Handling & Processing Signal Handling & Processing The output signal of the primary transducer may be too small to drive indicating, recording or control elements directly. Or it may be in a form which is not convenient for

More information

EE 445 / 850: Final Examination

EE 445 / 850: Final Examination EE 445 / 850: Final Examination Date and Time: 3 Dec 0, PM Room: HLTH B6 Exam Duration: 3 hours One formula sheet permitted. - Covers chapters - 5 problems each carrying 0 marks - Must show all calculations

More information

ANALYSIS FOR A PARALLEL REPAIRABLE SYSTEM WITH DIFFERENT FAILURE MODES

ANALYSIS FOR A PARALLEL REPAIRABLE SYSTEM WITH DIFFERENT FAILURE MODES Journal of Reliability and Statistical Studies; ISSN (Print): 0974-8024, (Online):2229-5666, Vol. 5, Issue 1 (2012): 95-106 ANALYSIS FOR A PARALLEL REPAIRABLE SYSTEM WITH DIFFERENT FAILURE MODES M. A.

More information

Fundamentals of Reliability Engineering and Applications

Fundamentals of Reliability Engineering and Applications Fundamentals of Reliability Engineering and Applications E. A. Elsayed elsayed@rci.rutgers.edu Rutgers University Quality Control & Reliability Engineering (QCRE) IIE February 21, 2012 1 Outline Part 1.

More information

Stochastic Analysis of a Two-Unit Cold Standby System with Arbitrary Distributions for Life, Repair and Waiting Times

Stochastic Analysis of a Two-Unit Cold Standby System with Arbitrary Distributions for Life, Repair and Waiting Times International Journal of Performability Engineering Vol. 11, No. 3, May 2015, pp. 293-299. RAMS Consultants Printed in India Stochastic Analysis of a Two-Unit Cold Standby System with Arbitrary Distributions

More information

Quantitative evaluation of Dependability

Quantitative evaluation of Dependability Quantitative evaluation of Dependability 1 Quantitative evaluation of Dependability Faults are the cause of errors and failures. Does the arrival time of faults fit a probability distribution? If so, what

More information

Dependable Systems. ! Dependability Attributes. Dr. Peter Tröger. Sources:

Dependable Systems. ! Dependability Attributes. Dr. Peter Tröger. Sources: Dependable Systems! Dependability Attributes Dr. Peter Tröger! Sources:! J.C. Laprie. Dependability: Basic Concepts and Terminology Eusgeld, Irene et al.: Dependability Metrics. 4909. Springer Publishing,

More information

Reliability of Technical Systems

Reliability of Technical Systems Reliability of Technical Systems Main Topics 1. Short Introduction, Reliability Parameters: Failure Rate, Failure Probability, etc. 2. Some Important Reliability Distributions 3. Component Reliability

More information

Part 3: Fault-tolerance and Modeling

Part 3: Fault-tolerance and Modeling Part 3: Fault-tolerance and Modeling Course: Dependable Computer Systems 2012, Stefan Poledna, All rights reserved part 3, page 1 Goals of fault-tolerance modeling Design phase Designing and implementing

More information

Chapter 6. a. Open Circuit. Only if both resistors fail open-circuit, i.e. they are in parallel.

Chapter 6. a. Open Circuit. Only if both resistors fail open-circuit, i.e. they are in parallel. Chapter 6 1. a. Section 6.1. b. Section 6.3, see also Section 6.2. c. Predictions based on most published sources of reliability data tend to underestimate the reliability that is achievable, given that

More information

Concept of Reliability

Concept of Reliability Concept of Reliability Prepared By Dr. M. S. Memon Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Mehran University of Engineering and Technology Jamshoro, Sindh, Pakistan RELIABILITY Reliability

More information

Reliable Computing I

Reliable Computing I Instructor: Mehdi Tahoori Reliable Computing I Lecture 5: Reliability Evaluation INSTITUTE OF COMPUTER ENGINEERING (ITEC) CHAIR FOR DEPENDABLE NANO COMPUTING (CDNC) National Research Center of the Helmholtz

More information

Chapter 5. System Reliability and Reliability Prediction.

Chapter 5. System Reliability and Reliability Prediction. Chapter 5. System Reliability and Reliability Prediction. Problems & Solutions. Problem 1. Estimate the individual part failure rate given a base failure rate of 0.0333 failure/hour, a quality factor of

More information

Cyber Physical Power Systems Power in Communications

Cyber Physical Power Systems Power in Communications 1 Cyber Physical Power Systems Power in Communications Information and Communications Tech. Power Supply 2 ICT systems represent a noticeable (about 5 % of total t demand d in U.S.) fast increasing load.

More information

Safety and Reliability of Embedded Systems

Safety and Reliability of Embedded Systems (Sicherheit und Zuverlässigkeit eingebetteter Systeme) Fault Tree Analysis Mathematical Background and Algorithms Prof. Dr. Liggesmeyer, 0 Content Definitions of Terms Introduction to Combinatorics General

More information

Quantitative evaluation of Dependability

Quantitative evaluation of Dependability Quantitative evaluation of Dependability 1 Quantitative evaluation of Dependability Faults are the cause of errors and failures. Does the arrival time of faults fit a probability distribution? If so, what

More information

Dependable Computer Systems

Dependable Computer Systems Dependable Computer Systems Part 3: Fault-Tolerance and Modelling Contents Reliability: Basic Mathematical Model Example Failure Rate Functions Probabilistic Structural-Based Modeling: Part 1 Maintenance

More information

Practical Applications of Reliability Theory

Practical Applications of Reliability Theory Practical Applications of Reliability Theory George Dodson Spallation Neutron Source Managed by UT-Battelle Topics Reliability Terms and Definitions Reliability Modeling as a tool for evaluating system

More information

IN modern society that various systems have become more

IN modern society that various systems have become more Developent of Reliability Function in -Coponent Standby Redundant Syste with Priority Based on Maxiu Entropy Principle Ryosuke Hirata, Ikuo Arizono, Ryosuke Toohiro, Satoshi Oigawa, and Yasuhiko Takeoto

More information

Exponential Distribution and Poisson Process

Exponential Distribution and Poisson Process Exponential Distribution and Poisson Process Stochastic Processes - Lecture Notes Fatih Cavdur to accompany Introduction to Probability Models by Sheldon M. Ross Fall 215 Outline Introduction Exponential

More information

Analysis for Parallel Repairable System with Degradation Facility

Analysis for Parallel Repairable System with Degradation Facility American Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 212, 2(4): 7-74 DOI: 1.5923/j.ajms.21224.2 Analysis for Parallel Repairable System with Degradation Facility M. A. El-Damcese *, N. S. Temraz Department of

More information

Reliability Engineering I

Reliability Engineering I Happiness is taking the reliability final exam. Reliability Engineering I ENM/MSC 565 Review for the Final Exam Vital Statistics What R&M concepts covered in the course When Monday April 29 from 4:30 6:00

More information

A Minimal Repair Model With Imperfect Fault Detection

A Minimal Repair Model With Imperfect Fault Detection A Minimal Repair Model With Imperfect Fault Detection Hendrik Schäbe TÜV Rheinland InterTraffic e-mail: schaebe@de.tuv.com Igor Shubinski Closed company "IB Trans", e-mail: igor-shubinsky@yande.ru Abstract

More information

Chapter 15. System Reliability Concepts and Methods. William Q. Meeker and Luis A. Escobar Iowa State University and Louisiana State University

Chapter 15. System Reliability Concepts and Methods. William Q. Meeker and Luis A. Escobar Iowa State University and Louisiana State University Chapter 15 System Reliability Concepts and Methods William Q. Meeker and Luis A. Escobar Iowa State University and Louisiana State University Copyright 1998-2008 W. Q. Meeker and L. A. Escobar. Based on

More information

UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS Dept. of Electrical & Computer Engineering. Fault Tolerant Computing ECE 655

UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS Dept. of Electrical & Computer Engineering. Fault Tolerant Computing ECE 655 UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS Dept. of Electrical & Computer Engineering Fault Tolerant Computing ECE 655 Part 1 Introduction C. M. Krishna Fall 2006 ECE655/Krishna Part.1.1 Prerequisites Basic courses in

More information

Page 1. Outline. Modeling. Experimental Methodology. ECE 254 / CPS 225 Fault Tolerant and Testable Computing Systems. Modeling and Evaluation

Page 1. Outline. Modeling. Experimental Methodology. ECE 254 / CPS 225 Fault Tolerant and Testable Computing Systems. Modeling and Evaluation Page 1 Outline ECE 254 / CPS 225 Fault Tolerant and Testable Computing Systems Modeling and Evaluation Copyright 2004 Daniel J. Sorin Duke University Experimental Methodology and Modeling Modeling Random

More information

Analysis Of System Reliability Using Markov Technique

Analysis Of System Reliability Using Markov Technique Global Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics. ISSN 0973-1768 Volume 13, Number 9 (2017), pp. 5265-5273 Research India Publications http://www.ripublication.com Analysis Of System Reliability Using Markov

More information

Page 1. Outline. Experimental Methodology. Modeling. ECE 254 / CPS 225 Fault Tolerant and Testable Computing Systems. Modeling and Evaluation

Page 1. Outline. Experimental Methodology. Modeling. ECE 254 / CPS 225 Fault Tolerant and Testable Computing Systems. Modeling and Evaluation Outline Fault Tolerant and Testable Computing Systems Modeling and Evaluation Copyright 2011 Daniel J. Sorin Duke University Experimental Methodology and Modeling Random Variables Probabilistic Models

More information

Slides 8: Statistical Models in Simulation

Slides 8: Statistical Models in Simulation Slides 8: Statistical Models in Simulation Purpose and Overview The world the model-builder sees is probabilistic rather than deterministic: Some statistical model might well describe the variations. An

More information

IoT Network Quality/Reliability

IoT Network Quality/Reliability IoT Network Quality/Reliability IEEE PHM June 19, 2017 Byung K. Yi, Dr. of Sci. Executive V.P. & CTO, InterDigital Communications, Inc Louis Kerofsky, PhD. Director of Partner Development InterDigital

More information

Evaluation and Validation

Evaluation and Validation Evaluation and Validation Peter Marwedel TU Dortmund, Informatik 12 Germany Graphics: Alexandra Nolte, Gesine Marwedel, 2003 2011 06 18 These slides use Microsoft clip arts. Microsoft copyright restrictions

More information

EARLY DEPLOYMENT DATA RETRIEVAL 10-6 ESTIMATES Maximum Likelihood 6-1 Point 6-1

EARLY DEPLOYMENT DATA RETRIEVAL 10-6 ESTIMATES Maximum Likelihood 6-1 Point 6-1 INDEX ACCEPTANCE CRITERIA 8-4, 8-10 AGE DEPENDENT ANALYSIS (Fixed Configuration) 7-1, 10-3 Supporting Data Base 10-3, 10-10 AUTOMATIC TEST EQUIPMENT (ATE)(see Diagnostic Systems, Automatic) AVAILABILITY

More information

Availability. M(t) = 1 - e -mt

Availability. M(t) = 1 - e -mt Availability Availability - A(t) the probability that the system is operating correctly and is available to perform its functions at the instant of time t More general concept than reliability: failure

More information

Ching-Han Hsu, BMES, National Tsing Hua University c 2015 by Ching-Han Hsu, Ph.D., BMIR Lab. = a + b 2. b a. x a b a = 12

Ching-Han Hsu, BMES, National Tsing Hua University c 2015 by Ching-Han Hsu, Ph.D., BMIR Lab. = a + b 2. b a. x a b a = 12 Lecture 5 Continuous Random Variables BMIR Lecture Series in Probability and Statistics Ching-Han Hsu, BMES, National Tsing Hua University c 215 by Ching-Han Hsu, Ph.D., BMIR Lab 5.1 1 Uniform Distribution

More information

System Simulation Part II: Mathematical and Statistical Models Chapter 5: Statistical Models

System Simulation Part II: Mathematical and Statistical Models Chapter 5: Statistical Models System Simulation Part II: Mathematical and Statistical Models Chapter 5: Statistical Models Fatih Cavdur fatihcavdur@uludag.edu.tr March 20, 2012 Introduction Introduction The world of the model-builder

More information

Tradeoff between Reliability and Power Management

Tradeoff between Reliability and Power Management Tradeoff between Reliability and Power Management 9/1/2005 FORGE Lee, Kyoungwoo Contents 1. Overview of relationship between reliability and power management 2. Dakai Zhu, Rami Melhem and Daniel Moss e,

More information

Markov Reliability and Availability Analysis. Markov Processes

Markov Reliability and Availability Analysis. Markov Processes Markov Reliability and Availability Analysis Firma convenzione Politecnico Part II: Continuous di Milano e Time Veneranda Discrete Fabbrica State del Duomo di Milano Markov Processes Aula Magna Rettorato

More information

Basics of Stochastic Modeling: Part II

Basics of Stochastic Modeling: Part II Basics of Stochastic Modeling: Part II Continuous Random Variables 1 Sandip Chakraborty Department of Computer Science and Engineering, INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY KHARAGPUR August 10, 2016 1 Reference

More information

Evaluation and Validation

Evaluation and Validation Evaluation and Validation Jian-Jia Chen (slides are based on Peter Marwedel) TU Dortmund, Informatik 12 Germany Springer, 2010 2018 年 01 月 17 日 These slides use Microsoft clip arts. Microsoft copyright

More information

Availability and Reliability Analysis for Dependent System with Load-Sharing and Degradation Facility

Availability and Reliability Analysis for Dependent System with Load-Sharing and Degradation Facility International Journal of Systems Science and Applied Mathematics 2018; 3(1): 10-15 http://www.sciencepublishinggroup.com/j/ijssam doi: 10.11648/j.ijssam.20180301.12 ISSN: 2575-5838 (Print); ISSN: 2575-5803

More information

Asymptotic Confidence Limits for a Repairable System with Standbys Subject to Switching Failures

Asymptotic Confidence Limits for a Repairable System with Standbys Subject to Switching Failures American Journal of Applied Sciences 4 (11): 84-847, 007 ISSN 1546-99 007 Science Publications Asymptotic Confidence Limits for a Repairable System with Stbys Subject to Switching Failures 1 Jau-Chuan

More information

We are IntechOpen, the world s leading publisher of Open Access books Built by scientists, for scientists. International authors and editors

We are IntechOpen, the world s leading publisher of Open Access books Built by scientists, for scientists. International authors and editors We are IntechOpen, the world s leading publisher of Open Access books Built by scientists, for scientists 3,500 108,000 1.7 M Open access books available International authors and editors Downloads Our

More information

Fault Tolerance. Dealing with Faults

Fault Tolerance. Dealing with Faults Fault Tolerance Real-time computing systems must be fault-tolerant: they must be able to continue operating despite the failure of a limited subset of their hardware or software. They must also allow graceful

More information

Chapter 5. Statistical Models in Simulations 5.1. Prof. Dr. Mesut Güneş Ch. 5 Statistical Models in Simulations

Chapter 5. Statistical Models in Simulations 5.1. Prof. Dr. Mesut Güneş Ch. 5 Statistical Models in Simulations Chapter 5 Statistical Models in Simulations 5.1 Contents Basic Probability Theory Concepts Discrete Distributions Continuous Distributions Poisson Process Empirical Distributions Useful Statistical Models

More information

Terminology and Concepts

Terminology and Concepts Terminology and Concepts Prof. Naga Kandasamy 1 Goals of Fault Tolerance Dependability is an umbrella term encompassing the concepts of reliability, availability, performability, safety, and testability.

More information

Chapter 4 Parametric Families of Lifetime Distributions

Chapter 4 Parametric Families of Lifetime Distributions Chapter 4 Parametric Families of Lifetime istributions In this chapter, we present four parametric families of lifetime distributions Weibull distribution, gamma distribution, change-point model, and mixture

More information

1. Reliability and survival - basic concepts

1. Reliability and survival - basic concepts . Reliability and survival - basic concepts. Books Wolstenholme, L.C. "Reliability modelling. A statistical approach." Chapman & Hall, 999. Ebeling, C. "An introduction to reliability & maintainability

More information

On scheduling the checkpoints of exascale applications

On scheduling the checkpoints of exascale applications On scheduling the checkpoints of exascale applications Marin Bougeret, Henri Casanova, Mikaël Rabie, Yves Robert, and Frédéric Vivien INRIA, École normale supérieure de Lyon, France Univ. of Hawai i at

More information

Reliability and Availability Simulation. Krige Visser, Professor, University of Pretoria, South Africa

Reliability and Availability Simulation. Krige Visser, Professor, University of Pretoria, South Africa Reliability and Availability Simulation Krige Visser, Professor, University of Pretoria, South Africa Content BACKGROUND DEFINITIONS SINGLE COMPONENTS MULTI-COMPONENT SYSTEMS AVAILABILITY SIMULATION CONCLUSION

More information

ELE 491 Senior Design Project Proposal

ELE 491 Senior Design Project Proposal ELE 491 Senior Design Project Proposal These slides are loosely based on the book Design for Electrical and Computer Engineers by Ford and Coulston. I have used the sources referenced in the book freely

More information

Key Words: Lifetime Data Analysis (LDA), Probability Density Function (PDF), Goodness of fit methods, Chi-square method.

Key Words: Lifetime Data Analysis (LDA), Probability Density Function (PDF), Goodness of fit methods, Chi-square method. Reliability prediction based on lifetime data analysis methodology: The pump case study Abstract: The business case aims to demonstrate the lifetime data analysis methodology application from the historical

More information

An Integral Measure of Aging/Rejuvenation for Repairable and Non-repairable Systems

An Integral Measure of Aging/Rejuvenation for Repairable and Non-repairable Systems An Integral Measure of Aging/Rejuvenation for Repairable and Non-repairable Systems M.P. Kaminskiy and V.V. Krivtsov Abstract This paper introduces a simple index that helps to assess the degree of aging

More information

Computer Science, Informatik 4 Communication and Distributed Systems. Simulation. Discrete-Event System Simulation. Dr.

Computer Science, Informatik 4 Communication and Distributed Systems. Simulation. Discrete-Event System Simulation. Dr. Simulation Discrete-Event System Simulation Chapter 4 Statistical Models in Simulation Purpose & Overview The world the model-builder sees is probabilistic rather than deterministic. Some statistical model

More information

Maintenance free operating period an alternative measure to MTBF and failure rate for specifying reliability?

Maintenance free operating period an alternative measure to MTBF and failure rate for specifying reliability? Reliability Engineering and System Safety 64 (1999) 127 131 Technical note Maintenance free operating period an alternative measure to MTBF and failure rate for specifying reliability? U. Dinesh Kumar

More information

Improving the Reliability of a Series-Parallel System Using Modified Weibull Distribution

Improving the Reliability of a Series-Parallel System Using Modified Weibull Distribution Internationa Mathematica Forum, Vo. 12, 217, no. 6, 257-269 HIKARI Ltd, www.m-hikari.com https://doi.org/1.12988/imf.217.611155 Improving the Reiabiity of a Series-Parae System Using Modified Weibu Distribution

More information

3 Conditional Probability

3 Conditional Probability 3 Conditional Probability Question: What are the chances that a college student chosen at random from the U.S. population is a fan of the Notre Dame football team? Now, if the person chosen is a student

More information

Reliability of semiconductor I Cs. Reliability of semiconductor I Cs plus

Reliability of semiconductor I Cs. Reliability of semiconductor I Cs plus M.I.T. Reliability of semiconductor I Cs plus spin-based electronics Read Campbell, p. 425-428 and Ch. 20. Sec. 20.1, 20.2; Plummer, Sec. 11.5.6 IC reliability: Yield =(#operating parts) / (total # produced)

More information

Combinational Techniques for Reliability Modeling

Combinational Techniques for Reliability Modeling Combinational Techniques for Reliability Modeling Prof. Naga Kandasamy, ECE Department Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA 19104. January 24, 2009 The following material is derived from these text books.

More information

Review 1: STAT Mark Carpenter, Ph.D. Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics and Statistics. August 25, 2015

Review 1: STAT Mark Carpenter, Ph.D. Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics and Statistics. August 25, 2015 Review : STAT 36 Mark Carpenter, Ph.D. Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics and Statistics August 25, 25 Support of a Random Variable The support of a random variable, which is usually denoted

More information

A STUDY OF ASYMPTOTIC AVAILABILITY MODELING FOR A FAILURE AND A REPAIR RATES FOLLOWING A WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION

A STUDY OF ASYMPTOTIC AVAILABILITY MODELING FOR A FAILURE AND A REPAIR RATES FOLLOWING A WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION A STUDY OF ASYMPTOTIC AVAILABILITY MODELING FOR A FAILURE AND A REPAIR RATES FOLLOWING A WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION Salem Bahri a, Fethi Ghribi b, Habib Ben Bacha a,c a Electro Mechanical systems laboratory

More information

Computer Simulation of Repairable Processes

Computer Simulation of Repairable Processes SEMATECH 1996 Applied Reliability Tools Workshop (ARTWORK IX) Santa Fe Computer Simulation of Repairable Processes Dave Trindade, Ph.D. Senior AMD Fellow Applied Statistics Introduction Computer simulation!

More information

We are IntechOpen, the world s leading publisher of Open Access books Built by scientists, for scientists. International authors and editors

We are IntechOpen, the world s leading publisher of Open Access books Built by scientists, for scientists. International authors and editors We are IntechOpen, the world s leading publisher of Open Access books Built by scientists, for scientists 3,900 116,000 120M Open access books available International authors and editors Downloads Our

More information

Information and Credit Risk

Information and Credit Risk Information and Credit Risk M. L. Bedini Université de Bretagne Occidentale, Brest - Friedrich Schiller Universität, Jena Jena, March 2011 M. L. Bedini (Université de Bretagne Occidentale, Brest Information

More information

10 Introduction to Reliability

10 Introduction to Reliability 0 Introduction to Reliability 10 Introduction to Reliability The following notes are based on Volume 6: How to Analyze Reliability Data, by Wayne Nelson (1993), ASQC Press. When considering the reliability

More information

Reliability Measures of a Series System with Weibull Failure Laws

Reliability Measures of a Series System with Weibull Failure Laws Iteratioal Joural of Statistics ad Systems ISSN 973-2675 Volume, Number 2 (26), pp. 73-86 Research Idia Publicatios http://www.ripublicatio.com Reliability Measures of a Series System with Weibull Failure

More information

Chapter 2. Poisson Processes. Prof. Shun-Ren Yang Department of Computer Science, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan

Chapter 2. Poisson Processes. Prof. Shun-Ren Yang Department of Computer Science, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Chapter 2. Poisson Processes Prof. Shun-Ren Yang Department of Computer Science, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Outline Introduction to Poisson Processes Definition of arrival process Definition

More information

Assessing system reliability through binary decision diagrams using bayesian techniques.

Assessing system reliability through binary decision diagrams using bayesian techniques. Loughborough University Institutional Repository Assessing system reliability through binary decision diagrams using bayesian techniques. This item was submitted to Loughborough University's Institutional

More information

Statistical Quality Control IE 3255 Spring 2005 Solution HomeWork #2

Statistical Quality Control IE 3255 Spring 2005 Solution HomeWork #2 Statistical Quality Control IE 3255 Spring 25 Solution HomeWork #2. (a)stem-and-leaf, No of samples, N = 8 Leaf Unit =. Stem Leaf Frequency 2+ 3-3+ 4-4+ 5-5+ - + 7-8 334 77978 33333242344 585958988995

More information

Chapter Learning Objectives. Probability Distributions and Probability Density Functions. Continuous Random Variables

Chapter Learning Objectives. Probability Distributions and Probability Density Functions. Continuous Random Variables Chapter 4: Continuous Random Variables and Probability s 4-1 Continuous Random Variables 4-2 Probability s and Probability Density Functions 4-3 Cumulative Functions 4-4 Mean and Variance of a Continuous

More information

CIVL /8904 T R A F F I C F L O W T H E O R Y L E C T U R E - 5

CIVL /8904 T R A F F I C F L O W T H E O R Y L E C T U R E - 5 CIVL - 7904/8904 T R A F F I C F L O W T H E O R Y L E C T U R E - 5 Agenda for Today Headway Distributions Pearson Type III Composite Goodness of fit Visit to the Traffic Management Center (April **)

More information

These notes will supplement the textbook not replace what is there. defined for α >0

These notes will supplement the textbook not replace what is there. defined for α >0 Gamma Distribution These notes will supplement the textbook not replace what is there. Gamma Function ( ) = x 0 e dx 1 x defined for >0 Properties of the Gamma Function 1. For any >1 () = ( 1)( 1) Proof

More information

PAS04 - Important discrete and continuous distributions

PAS04 - Important discrete and continuous distributions PAS04 - Important discrete and continuous distributions Jan Březina Technical University of Liberec 30. října 2014 Bernoulli trials Experiment with two possible outcomes: yes/no questions throwing coin

More information

5.1 Draw a reliability block diagram describing how to successfully perform an everyday task.

5.1 Draw a reliability block diagram describing how to successfully perform an everyday task. Chapter 5 5.1 Draw a reliability block diagram describing how to successfully perform an everyday task. Consider the task of brushing your teeth. The following is a list of possible components for the

More information

Reliability of Safety-Critical Systems 5.1 Reliability Quantification with RBDs

Reliability of Safety-Critical Systems 5.1 Reliability Quantification with RBDs Reliability of Safety-Critical Systems 5.1 Reliability Quantification with RBDs Mary Ann Lundteigen and Marvin Rausand mary.a.lundteigen@ntnu.no &marvin.rausand@ntnu.no RAMS Group Department of Production

More information

MLC Quality and Reliability Data 2777 Route 20 East Cazenovia, New York, Phone: (315) Fax: (315)

MLC Quality and Reliability Data 2777 Route 20 East Cazenovia, New York, Phone: (315) Fax: (315) MLC Quality and Reliability 777 Route East Cazenovia, New York, Phone: () 6-87 Fax: () 6-87 www.knowlescapacitors.co m Reliability General Manufacturing Process At each manufacturing step, defined process

More information

STAT 380 Markov Chains

STAT 380 Markov Chains STAT 380 Markov Chains Richard Lockhart Simon Fraser University Spring 2016 Richard Lockhart (Simon Fraser University) STAT 380 Markov Chains Spring 2016 1 / 38 1/41 PoissonProcesses.pdf (#2) Poisson Processes

More information

MEAN residual lifetime (MRL) may be predicted according. Degradation models for reliability estimation and mean residual lifetime

MEAN residual lifetime (MRL) may be predicted according. Degradation models for reliability estimation and mean residual lifetime Degradation models for reliability estimation and mean residual lifetime Christophe Letot 1, Pierre Dehombreux 1 1 Service de Génie Mécanique & Pôle Risques, Faculté Polytechnique de Mons 53 Rue du Joncquois,

More information

Glossary availability cellular manufacturing closed queueing network coefficient of variation (CV) conditional probability CONWIP

Glossary availability cellular manufacturing closed queueing network coefficient of variation (CV) conditional probability CONWIP Glossary availability The long-run average fraction of time that the processor is available for processing jobs, denoted by a (p. 113). cellular manufacturing The concept of organizing the factory into

More information

Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers. Sixth Edition. Chapter 4 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions.

Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers. Sixth Edition. Chapter 4 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers Sixth Edition Douglas C. Montgomery George C. Runger Chapter 4 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions 4 Continuous CHAPTER OUTLINE Random

More information

Chapter 4 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions

Chapter 4 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers Sixth Edition Douglas C. Montgomery George C. Runger Chapter 4 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions 4 Continuous CHAPTER OUTLINE 4-1

More information

OPTIMAL DISPATCHING OF GENERATORS WITH LOAD DEPENDENT FAILURE RATES. G. Velotto ABSTRACT

OPTIMAL DISPATCHING OF GENERATORS WITH LOAD DEPENDENT FAILURE RATES. G. Velotto ABSTRACT OPTIMAL DISPATCHING OF GENERATORS WITH LOAD DEPENDENT FAILURE RATES G. Velotto e-mail: - giovanni.velotto@libero.it ABSTRACT An optimally coordinated energy dispatching among generating units may contribute

More information

CHAPTER 3 ANALYSIS OF RELIABILITY AND PROBABILITY MEASURES

CHAPTER 3 ANALYSIS OF RELIABILITY AND PROBABILITY MEASURES 27 CHAPTER 3 ANALYSIS OF RELIABILITY AND PROBABILITY MEASURES 3.1 INTRODUCTION The express purpose of this research is to assimilate reliability and its associated probabilistic variables into the Unit

More information

PRAGMATIC PROBABILISTIC MODELS FOR QUANTIFICATION OF TUNNEL EXCAVATION RISK

PRAGMATIC PROBABILISTIC MODELS FOR QUANTIFICATION OF TUNNEL EXCAVATION RISK PRAGMATIC PROBABILISTIC MODELS FOR QUANTIFICATION OF TUNNEL EXCAVATION RISK Jiří Šejnoha 1,3) Daniela Jarušková ) Eva Novotná 1,3) Olga Špačková 3) 1) Department of Mechanics 1) Department of Mechanics

More information

Semiconductor Reliability

Semiconductor Reliability Semiconductor Reliability. Semiconductor Device Failure Region Below figure shows the time-dependent change in the semiconductor device failure rate. Discussions on failure rate change in time often classify

More information

Northwestern University Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science

Northwestern University Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Northwestern University Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science EECS 454: Modeling and Analysis of Communication Networks Spring 2008 Probability Review As discussed in Lecture 1, probability

More information

Step-Stress Models and Associated Inference

Step-Stress Models and Associated Inference Department of Mathematics & Statistics Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur August 19, 2014 Outline Accelerated Life Test 1 Accelerated Life Test 2 3 4 5 6 7 Outline Accelerated Life Test 1 Accelerated

More information

3 Continuous Random Variables

3 Continuous Random Variables Jinguo Lian Math437 Notes January 15, 016 3 Continuous Random Variables Remember that discrete random variables can take only a countable number of possible values. On the other hand, a continuous random

More information

Computer Architecture

Computer Architecture Lecture 2: Iakovos Mavroidis Computer Science Department University of Crete 1 Previous Lecture CPU Evolution What is? 2 Outline Measurements and metrics : Performance, Cost, Dependability, Power Guidelines

More information

Enhancing Multicore Reliability Through Wear Compensation in Online Assignment and Scheduling. Tam Chantem Electrical & Computer Engineering

Enhancing Multicore Reliability Through Wear Compensation in Online Assignment and Scheduling. Tam Chantem Electrical & Computer Engineering Enhancing Multicore Reliability Through Wear Compensation in Online Assignment and Scheduling Tam Chantem Electrical & Computer Engineering High performance Energy efficient Multicore Systems High complexity

More information

Bourbaki Elements of the History of Mathematics

Bourbaki Elements of the History of Mathematics Bourbaki Elements of the History of Mathematics Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York Barcelona Hong Kong London Milan Paris Singapore Tokyo Nicolas Bourbaki Elements of the History of Mathematics Translated

More information

BMIR Lecture Series on Probability and Statistics Fall, 2015 Uniform Distribution

BMIR Lecture Series on Probability and Statistics Fall, 2015 Uniform Distribution Lecture #5 BMIR Lecture Series on Probability and Statistics Fall, 2015 Department of Biomedical Engineering and Environmental Sciences National Tsing Hua University s 5.1 Definition ( ) A continuous random

More information

Thermal Scheduling SImulator for Chip Multiprocessors

Thermal Scheduling SImulator for Chip Multiprocessors TSIC: Thermal Scheduling SImulator for Chip Multiprocessors Kyriakos Stavrou Pedro Trancoso CASPER group Department of Computer Science University Of Cyprus The CASPER group: Computer Architecture System

More information

The multidimensional Ito Integral and the multidimensional Ito Formula. Eric Mu ller June 1, 2015 Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications

The multidimensional Ito Integral and the multidimensional Ito Formula. Eric Mu ller June 1, 2015 Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications The multidimensional Ito Integral and the multidimensional Ito Formula Eric Mu ller June 1, 215 Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications page 2 Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications

More information

Chapter 3. Digital Design and Computer Architecture, 2 nd Edition. David Money Harris and Sarah L. Harris. Chapter 3 <1>

Chapter 3. Digital Design and Computer Architecture, 2 nd Edition. David Money Harris and Sarah L. Harris. Chapter 3 <1> Chapter 3 Digital Design and Computer Architecture, 2 nd Edition David Money Harris and Sarah L. Harris Chapter 3 Chapter 3 :: Topics Introduction Latches and Flip-Flops Synchronous Logic Design Finite

More information