Verification of thermal forecasts with glider flight data
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1 Vifiaion of hmal foass wih glid fligh daa Olivi Lihi, Swizland Eland Lonzn, Ralf Thhos, Gmany Bn Olofsson, Esbjön Olsson, Swdn OSTIV M Panl Blin 26 ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
2 Oulin Rgional hmal foass Moologial fligh planning Vifiaion: Tasks, Flighs Modl inompaison ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
3 Foas Rgions Euop Alps ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
4 Topogaphy Cnal Ialy Pyns ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
5 Ciia fo h Slion of Foas Rgions homognous wah dph of onvion loud bas aliud lif a ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
6 Rgional Foas Saifom Clouds Cumulus Clouds X-ouny ondiions Avg. Lif Clouds Sou: ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
7 Moologial fligh planning fligh pola spd o fly hoy uising spd ponial fligh disan (PFD) ask sing ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
8 Fligh Pola V Z [m/s] [m/s] no ballas Sglflugzug Glids Ahaopyx Hänggli Hangglid 124 (1:53, 1 km/h) 114 (1:47, 96 km/h) 1 (1:39, 9 km/h) 84 (1:3, 8 km/h) 77 (1:27, 55 km/h) 51 (1:12, 48 km/h) 39 (1: 5, 3 km/h) Indx (Bs Glizahl, Fah) Handiap (BGR@spd) Glishim Paaglid spd Fah [km/h] [km/h] ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
9 Fligh pola in iula fligh 5 Radius [m] :1 28 km/h Spp Buzzad 27:1 55 km/h Ahaopyx 53:1 1 km/h 39:1 9 km/h V z [m/s] 3:1 8 km/h :1 48 km/h 6:1 3 km/h -1.5 ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
10 Radial lif pofil in hmals Radius [m] hmal lif [m/s] good moda 2 1 wak 1 vaious soas sink a [m/s] ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
11 X-ouny Spd X-ouny spd [km/h] 12 1 Handiap (BGR) 124 (1:53) 25 m 114 (1:47) 18 m 1 (1:39) 15 m 8 84 (1:3) 15 m old 6 77 (1:27) Ahaopyx 4 5 (1:12) Hangglid 2 38 (1: 5) Paaglid Climb Ra [m/s] in Thmals Mils Sign [m/s] in d Thmik ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
12 Ponial Fligh Disan (PFD) ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
13 26 ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
14 25: Swdn ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D. O. Lihi CH-844 Winhu
15 Rgional Foass: Lif & Wind Sou: ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
16 Tmpoal and Spaial Rsoluion of Moologial Infomaion uising spd v = 1 km/h = x / = 3 min x = 5 km i.. A = x* x =2 5km2 Suh soluion is quid fo fligh planning... and i is availabl! ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
17 Fligh Task B A C ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
18 gimp gimp soaing gimp soaing soaing VZ VZ V dépa gliding limbing dpau limbing limbing Fligh Phass soaing vol hmiqu VZ VZ Z VZ plain plain hillslif moyn mounains hau lif A B C ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
19 Fligh Phass gliding aival soaing finaldsn glid dsn vol hmiqu soaing VZ VZ aivé plain plain A moyn hillslif hau lif mounains B C ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
20 Task Sou: SYou ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
21 dpau im fo bs spd dpau slo ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
22 Fligh Pola in Cons Soaing [m/s] -1-2 Class spd Opn 13 km/h 18m 12 km/h 15m 11 km/h Sandad 11 km/h ballas [km/h] spd [km/h] ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
23 X-ouny Spd XC spd [km/h] Opn 18m 15m / Sandad 12 houly fligh disan Class spd Opn 13 km/h 18m 12 km/h 15m 11 km/h Sandad 11 km/h 4 ballas o spd [m/s] in ising bubbls 1 wak 2 moda 3 limb a [m/s] of glids good ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
24 Vifiaions Tasks: 24, 25, 26 Flighs: 26 ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
25 Swiss Glid km 351 km 263 km RC 355 km 59 km 461 km NC 328 km 289 km 531 km NC ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
26 Task Swiss Glid 24 Sod (kph) al i gndl i f 12 Couns Opn Class 18m Class Sandad Class d ou s d ou s 4 8 al i gndl i f Pdid (kph) Eo (%) 54 sod Swiss Glid 24 (9 days wih 3 asks, 1. and 2. pla) ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
27 VikingGlid ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
28 Task Viking Glid Couns undsimad % ovsimad na fons 14 % alignd lif +2% aua Sod (kph) Pdid (kph) -4-2 Eo (%) sod Viking Glid 25 (7 days, 23 asks, 1. and 2. pla) ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
29 Eskilsuna, Rii, Vinon in 26 Task Vifiaion 16 y = x 14 Sod spd (kph) fo h sod disan Spaghi Spaghi Rii Rii WGC Swdn 26 WGC 26 WGC Swdn Vinon 26 Lina Lina (WGC (WGC Swdn Swdn 26) 26) Lina (Spaghi Rii 26) 26) (WGC Swdn Lina (Spaghi Rii 26) Lina (WGC Vinon 26) y = 1.52x 12 y = x TTC pdid spd (kph) fo h s ask ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
30 TopTask fligh vifiaions 25: Swdn (1 fligh) 26: Fan (1 fligh) 26: Swdn, Ialy, Fan (WGC flighs) ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
31 ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
32 fligh simulaion ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
33 ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
34 26: Eskilsuna Fligh Vifiaion 16 TTC spd analysis (kph) fo h fligh pah 14 y = x WGC Swdn Lina (WGC Swdn 26) TTC spd simulaion (kph) fo h fligh pah ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
35 26: Eskilsuna, Vinon Fligh Vifiaion 16 TTC spd analysis (kph) fo h fligh pah 14 y = x y = x WGC Swdn 26 WGC Vinon Lina (WGC Swdn 26) Lina (WGC Vinon 26) TTC spd simulaion (kph) fo h fligh pah ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
36 26: Eskilsuna, Vinon, Rii Fligh Vifiaion 16 y = 1.463x TTC spd analysis (kph) fo h fligh pah 14 y = x y = x WGC Swdn 26 Spaghi Glid 26 WGC Vinon Lina (WGC Swdn 26) Lina (Spaghi Glid 26) Lina (WGC Vinon 26) TTC spd simulaion (kph) fo h fligh pah ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
37 Inompaison Viking Glid Sod [km/h] 15 ouns 2 2 Sod 125 TOPTHERM TOPTHERM Modl [km/h] [km/h] ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
38 Inompaison Viking Glid Sod [km/h] 15 ouns 2 2 Sod 125 HIRLAM HIRLAM Modl [km/h] [km/h] ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
39 Inompaison of HL and TT ouns 2 HIRLAM [km/h] 15 2 TOPTHERM 125 HIRLAM TOPTHERM [km/h] [km/h] ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
40 Vifiaion of HL and TT Sod [km/h] 15 ouns 2 2 Sod 125 TOPTHERM HIRLAM TOPTHERM HIRLAM Modl [km/h] [km/h] 46 sod Viking Glid 25 (7 days, 23 asks, 1. and 2. pla) ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
41 Conlusions (1) 5% of h ask spd foass a good o xlln Alignd lif an b psn Timing of moving fons may b iky Lag sizd gions a a limiing fao fo h pision Modl uning wih odd flighs: inas of h TOPTHERM limb as fo Rii and Vinon in 27 ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
42 Conlusions (2) A gliding ompiions h foas TopTask spd is a good sima of h winn sspd Th onp of gionalizd hmal foass povids moologial fligh planning o h soaing ommuniy in usful qualiy. ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
43 Oulook Moologial fligh planning an b xpd o b availabl also fo fuu WGC Numial pdiions of alignd lif as and hi us in fligh planning a und dvlopmn Thank you fo you anion! ANALYSEN& KONZEPTE D h i CH844Wi n hu
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