TIME-SCALE SEPARATION AND STATE AGGREGATION IN SINGULARLY PERTURBED SWITCHING DIFFUSIONS*

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1 TIME-SCALE SEPARATION AND STATE AGGREGATION IN SINGULARLY PERTURBED SWITCHING DIFFUSIONS* G. Yin and M. Kniazeva Department of Mathematics Wayne State University Detroit, Ml gyin, maria<!lmath.wayne.edu Abstract: This work presents asymptotic results for singularly perturbed switching diffusions consisting of diffusion components and a pure jump component. The states of the pure jump component are divisible into a number of groups having recurrent states. An aggregated process is obtained by collecting all the states in each recurrent group as one state. We show the aggregated process converges weakly to a switching diffusion with generator being an average with respect to the quasi-stationary distribution of the jump process. 1 INTRODUCTION Recent applications in manufacturing and queueing networks have posed many challenging problems involving singularly perturbed Markovian systems (see [1, 14, 16, 15, 17, 21, 22] and the references therein). For example, in manufacturing systems, one often models the machine capacity by a Markov chain with finite state space to describe the situation that the machines are subject to breakdowns and repairs. Meanwhile, the demand of the underlying product may be considered as a diffusion process to capture the uncertainty of the demand behavior. A direct treatment of large dimensional systems is frequently infeasible from a computational point of view. A viable alternative calls for time-scale separation modeling and aggregation approach so as to break the system into small pieces with manageable size, which naturally leads to the formulation of singularly perturbed system. In [9], we studied properties of probability distribution offast varying Markov chain by matched asymptotic expansion. Chains with fast and slow motions *This research was supported in part by the National Science Foundation under grant DMS , and in part by Wayne State University. for arbitrary values of the coupling parameter a. The original version of this chapter was revised: The copyright line was incorrect. This has been corrected. The Erratum to this chapter is available at DOI: / _40 S. Chen et al. (eds.), Control of Distributed Parameter and Stochastic Systems IFIP International Federation for Information Processing 1999

2 were consider in [10); further results were contained in [21, 23, 24) among others. We carried out further investigation to include singularly perturbed diffusion processes and singularly perturbed switching diffusions [6, 7, 8, 19, 20]. This paper continues our effort by treating singularly perturbed switching-diffusion processes with the jump process decomposed into several groups with fast and slow motions. The rest of the paper is arranged as follows. Section 2 gives the formulation. Section 3 presents a number of asymptotic results. Section 4 concludes the paper with brief remarks. 2 FORMULATION Suppose T > 0. We work with finite horizon [0, T]. Consider a nonstationary Markov process Y<(t) = (X(t), y< (t)), where X(t) is a 1-dimensional diffusion process and { (t) is a pure jump process. The state space of the process Y'( ) is X= [0, 1] x M = (0, 1] x {1,..., m} (i.e., we consider the case of periodic diffusions with state space (0, 1) and the jump process has state space M). If -y<(t) = i, the evolution of X(t) is represented by the differential operator 1J; with vj = (1/2)a;(x, t)(a 2 ;ax 2 )f+ b;(x, t)(ajax)f for appropriate smooth functions f(-), a;( ) and b;( ). With X(t) = x fixed, the pure jump component -y'(t) satisfies P(-y'(t+d") = il-y'(t) = i,x(t) = x) = qfj(x,t)d"+o(d"), where o(d") --t 0 as II" --t 0, for each i,j E M, qfj(x,t) 0 when j =/= i, and qf;(x,t)= -"f;u;qfj(x,t). Assume that all coefficients a;( ), b;( ), and qfj(-) are sufficiently smooth functions of (x, t). In view of (5], for i = 1,..., m, and smooth real-valued function f(,, i), the generator L' of this switching-diffusion process takes the form Lef( t.) _ aj(x, t, i) x, 'z - 8t b ( ) a f (X, t, i) 1 ( ) a 2 f (X, t, i) + i X' t 8x + 2a; X' t 8x2 m + L qfj(x, t)f(x, t, j). j=l (1.1) The probability density of the process, p< (x, t) = (pi(x, t),..., the solution of the forward equation (x, t)) is 8' m P; 1)* e "'\' e e e ( 7ft= ipi + LJPjqij Pi x, O) = g; ( ) X ' j=l i = 1,...,m, 0 0 where v; is the adjoint of 1J;, v; = 1J;(x, t) = (1/2)(a 2 jax 2 )(a;(x, t) ) (ajax)(b; (x, t) ), and g(x) = (g1 (x),..., Ym(x)) is the initial distribution for Y'(t). Assume that Q<(x, t) = (qfj(x, t)) has the form Qe (x, t) = -Q(x, t) + Q(x, t), where Q(x, t) = d1ag(q (x, t),..., Q (x, t)) f. (1.2)

3 SWITCHING DIFFUSIONS 301 such that for each t E [0, T], and each k = 1,..., l, Qk ( x, t) is a generator with dimension mk x mk, The state space M of the jump process admits a decomposition M =M1UM2U UM1 = { tvu,..., tv1mj U { tv21,..., tv2m 2 } U { tvn,..., tv1m 1 }. The basic assumptions we are using are as follows. (C1) For each fixed x E [0, 1], '"Y'( ) is a Markov chain with state space M. (C2) For each i = 1,..., m, - a;( ) E C 2 1, (i.e., the second partial derivatives of a;( ) with respect to x and the partial derivatives with respect to t are continuous), b;( ) E C 1 1 ; - (8/&t)a;(x, )and (8f8t)b;(x, )are Lipschitz on [0, T]; - a;(x, t) > 0. for all (x, t) E [0, 1] x [0, T]. (C3) The function Q(, ) E C 1 1. For each x E [0, 1], (8f8t)Q(x, )and Q(x, ) are Lipschitz continuous on [0, T]. (C4) For each x E [0, 1], each t E [0, T], and each i = 1,..., l, Qi(x, t) is weakly irreducible, i.e., m; vi(x,t)qi(x,t) = 0, vi(x,t)nm, = 'Lvj(x,t) = 1 (1.3) has a unique solution that is nonnegative (i.e., vj(x, t) 0 for each j = 1,..., m;) and is termed quasi-stationary distribution. In the above Rm, is an m;-dimensional column vector that has all components being equal to 1. For basic properties of Markov chains, see [2] via a piecewise-deterministic approach. In what follows, we obtain certain weak convergence results for the model posed. For discussion of weak convergence, see [4, 11]. Related studies about stochastic differential systems are in [18]. j=l 3 ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES First, we obtain a result on the asymptotic expansion of the system of interest. The rest of the section mainly concerns about occupation measures. We derive results on a fixed-x process. The idea behind is that when x is fixed, the corresponding process is a Markov chain. Define ll = diag(rm,,..., Rm,), and Q(x, t) = diag(v 1 (t),..., v 1 (t))q(x, t)ll. (1.4)

4 Asymptotic Expansion The following lemma can be obtained by using the techniques of [20] (Note: Q(x, t)ll = 0). We omit the proof here. Lemma 3.1. Assume (C1)-(C4). Fork= 1,...,l, denote by vk(x,t) the quasi-stationary distribution of {jk (t). Then the following assertions hold: (i) For some Ko > 0, p' (x, t) = v(x, t)diag(v 1 (x, t),..., v 1 (x, t)) + O(c + exp( -Kotfc:)), where v(x, t) = (v1(x, t),..., vz(x, t)) satisfies ov(x, t) =* - 0 = 1J v(x, t) + v(x, t)q(x, t) v(x,t) = (g 1 (x)rm"...,g 1 (x)rm 1 ) (1.5) where 1)* is the "average" of the forward operators w.r.t. the quasi-stationary distribution (see [19, 20]) with 1J*v(x,t) = vi(x,t),...,v;'vz(x,t)) and gi(x) E JR 1 xm; denotes the ith partitioned vector of g(x). (ii) For fixed x E [0, 1], denote the transition probability by P' (x, t, to). Then for some Ko > 0, P'(x,t,t0 ) = P(x,t,t0 ) + O(c: + exp(-ko(t -t0 )/c:)), where (using the notation of partitioned matrices) I P(x,t,t0 ) = RV(x,t,t0 )dtag(v (x,t),...,v (x,t)), (1.6) and V (x, t, to) = ( Vij (x, t, to)) E JR 1 xl satisfying the differential equation: ov(x,t,to) - where Q(x, t) is defined in (1.4). 3.2 Fixed-x Processes at = V(x,t,to)Q(x,t), V(x,t0,t0 ) =I, To proceed, define the "fixed-x" processes Y' (t) andy; (t) as follows. Denote Y'(t) = Y'(t)l = (x,"f'(t)), X(t)=z and. X(t)=x,"Y (t)em; For fixed x, define 7' (t) = i, if I'' (t) E M;, for i = 1,..., l. Finally define the aggregated process y' (t) by y' (t) = (X(t), 7' (t)). For any t E [0, T], x E [0, 1], i = 1,..., l and j = 1,..., m;, define Proposition 3.2. Suppose that (C1)-(C4) hold. Then fori = 1,..., l, j = 1,..., m;, supxe[o,l], ostst 17ij(x, t) = O(c:).

5 SWITCHING DIFFUSIONS 303 Sketch of Proof. Recall that fori= 1,...,1, ;;;/(t) = i iff "Ye(t) EM;. Differentiating "'tj ( ) with respect to t leads to a"'ij(x, t) [ t - - at = 2 Jo P(Ye(t)=(x,tii;j),P(s)=(x,tii;j))ds We can show that (t) = (x, tii';j),ye (s) = (x, tii'ij) )ds- -1t = (x,tii;j))ds 0t (1.8) -1vj(x,s)P(Ye(t) = ot + h o t lo = h O(c + exp( s)/c))ds = O(c), and (x, t)p( ; (t),ye (s) = (x, tii';j) )ds -1t vj(x, s)p(ye (t) = (x, tii'ij), ; (s))ds + 1t vj(x, s)vj (x, t)p( ; (t),y; (s) )ds 0 t 0 = 1 O(c + exp( s)/c))ds = O(c). Therefore, -(x t) t ' 1 at' = 2 lo O(c + s)/c))ds = O(c). (1.9) This implies that "'tj(x, t) = O(c) and the bound is uniform in x and t. 3.3 Weak Convergence of Ye ( ) We aim at deriving a weak convergence result for? ( ). First, we obtain its tightness. Proposition 3.3. Assume (C1)-(C4). Then?( ) is tight in D2 [0, T). Proof. We use the Kurtz' criteria. Denote by :F[ the u-algebra generated by {? ( u), u ::; t} and Ei the conditional expectation on :F[. Then Efl? (t + s)- 7 (t)j 2 ::; KEnX(t + s)- X(t)] 2 + 2EH1 (t + s)- y(t)] 2 m ::; K L Ef E ([X(t + s)- X(tWl:F[, "Ye (t) = k) k=l +2Ef h1 E([y(t+s)-y(t)] 2 j:f[, X(t) =x)dx. (1.10)

6 304 Note that for each k = 1,..., m, when 1' (t) = k, X(t) = X(O) +lot bk(x(u), u)du +lot Jak(X(u), u)dw, (1.11) where w( ) is a standard Brownian motion. By virtue of the boundedness of ak (-) and in view of a well-known result in stochastic calculus (see [13, p. 125]), E[ (f/+s Jak(x, u)dw) 2 ::; Ks. Owing to the defining equation (1.11), and using the boundedness of bk( ), E ([X(t + s)- X(t)FJF[, 1'(t) = k) ::; K(s 2 + s). As for the last term in ( 1.10), lo 1 E ([y(t + s)- ;y'(twjf[, X(t) = x) dx 1+1 m; 1 (1.12) ::=;KLLio E([y(t+s)-7'(t)] 2 1J'(t)=w;j, X(t)=x)dx. Note that i=1 j=1 0 E ([y(t + s)- 7'(tWIJ'(t) = w;j, X(t) = x) l = L(k- i) 2 P(y(t + s) = kl1'(t) = W;j, X(t) = x) k=1 ::; / 2 L V;k(t + s, t, x) + O(c + exp( -1\:os/c)). k-;f.i (1.13) The definition of V(t,s,x) then infers that for each x E [0, 1], lims-tov;k(t + s, t, x) = 0 for i #- k. Putting the above arguments together, what we have shown is: lims-+o limo-+o EEi IY (t + s) - r (tw = 0. Then the tightness criterion (see [11, Theorem 3, p. 47]) infers that the process {Y ( )} is tight in D 2 [0, T]. Define an "averaged" generator by -L-( t ') ag(x, t, i) 1J _( t.) ( )-( ') gx,,z = at + ;gx,,z +L..Jqijx,tgx,t,J i=1 (1.14) for any bounded and measurable function g( ) satisfying g(,, i) E C 2 1 and for i = 1,..., l, where 'D; denotes the adjoint of 15';. By using the characteristic function Eexp(t(r1X(t) + r2;y(t)), where tis the pure imaginary number with t 2 = -1, we can show that the martingale problem with operator L has a unique solution for each initial condition. Proposition 3.4. Under the (C1)-(C4), Y'(.) converges weakly to Y( ), a Markov process with L given by (1.14).

7 SWITCHING DIFFUSIONS 305 The main idea of the proof involves the use of martingale problem formulation (see [11]), i.e., we show that Y(t) = (X(t), -y(t)) is a solution of the martingale problem with operator L. To establish the desired result, we show that for any bounded and measurable function f (-) with f (-,, 1) E C 2 1 for each 1 E M, f(x(t),t,)'(t))- f(x(s),s,)'(s))ds is a martingale. To do so, define f(x,t,l) = work with the function f(-) instead, and - t-- show that f(x(t), t, 1(t))- fo L f(x(s), s, 1(s))ds is a martingale. To accomplish this, we work with the pre-limit problem, and define a piecewise constant process X'(-) by X' (t) = X(kJ,) fort E [kj,, (k + 1)6, ). We then show that the - - t+s -- limit of f(x(t+s), t+s, 1' (t+s))- f(x(t), t, 1' (t))- ft L f(x( u), u, 1' ( u))du is the same as that of the process with X(t) replaced by X(t). This enables us to characterize the limit. More details can be found in [19]. References [1] V. V. Anisimov, Switching processes: Averaging principle, diffusion approximation and applications, Acta Appl. Math. 40 (1995), [2] M. H. A. Davis, Markov Models and Optimization, Chapman & Hall, London, [3] S. D. Eidelman, Parabolic Systems, North-Holland, New York, [4] S. N. Ethier and T. G. Kurtz, Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence, J. Wiley, New York, [5] I. I. Gihman and A. V. Skorohod, Theory of Stochastic Processes, III, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, [6] A. M. Il'in, R. Z. Khasminskii and G. Yin, Singularly perturbed switching diffusions: rapid switchings and fast diffusions, preprint, [7] R. Z. Khasminskii and G. Yin, Asymptotic series for singularly perturbed Kolmogorov-Fokker-Planck equations, SIAM J. Appl. Math. 56 (1996), [8] R. Z. Khasminskii and G. Yin, On transition densities of singularly perturbed diffusions with fast and slow components, SIAM J. Appl. Math. 56 (1996), [9] R. Z. Khasminskii, G. Yin and Q. Zhang, Asymptotic expansions of singularly perturbed systems involving rapidly fluctuating Markov chains, SIAM J. Appl. Math. 56 (1996), [10] R. Z. Khasminskii, G. Yin and Q. Zhang, Constructing asymptotic series for probability distribution of Markov chains with weak and strong interactions, Quart. Appl. Math. LV (1997), [11] H. J. Kushner, Approximation and Weak Convergence Methods for Random Processes, with Applications to Stochastic Systems Theory, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1984.

8 306 [12] 0. A. Ladyzhenskaia, V. A. Solonnikov and N. N. Ural'tseva, Linear and quasi-linear equations of parobolic type, Trans. Math. Monographs, V. 23, Amer. Math. Soc., Providence, Rl, [13] R. S. Liptser and A. N. Shiryayev, Statistics of Random Processes I, Springer-Verlag, New York, [14] Z. G. Pan and T. Ba ar, H 00 -control of Markovian jump linear systems and solutions to associated piecewise-deterministic differential games, in New Trends in Dynamic Games and Applications, G. J. Olsder (Ed.), 61-94, Birkhii.user, Boston, [15] R. G. Phillips and P. V. Kokotovic, A singular perturbation approach to modelling and control of Markov chains, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control26 (1981), [16] J. R. Rohlicek and A. S. Willsky, The reduction of perturbed Markov generators: An algorithm exposing the role of transient states, J. ACM 35 (1988), [17] S. P. Sethi and Q. Zhang, Hierorchical Decision Making in Stochastic Manufacturing Systems, Birkhii.user, Boston, [18] A. V. Skorohod, Asymptotic Methods of the Theory of Stochastic Differential Equations, Trans. Math. Monographs, V. 78, Amer. Math. Soc., Providence, [19] G. Yin, Weak convergence of an aggregated process arising from singularly perturbed switching diffusions, preprint, [20] G. Yin and M. Kniazeva, Singularly perturbed multidimensional switching diffusions with fast and slow switchings, preprint, [21] G. Yin and Q. Zhang, Continuous-time Markov Chains and Applications: A Singular Perturbations Approach, Springer-Verlag, New York, [22] G. Yin and Q. Zhang (Eds.), Mathematics of Stochastic Manufacturing Systems, Proc AMS-SIAM Summer Seminar in Applied Mathematics, Lectures in Applied Mathematics, Amer. Math. Soc., Providence, RI, [23] Q. Zhang and G. Yin, A central limit theorem for singularly perturbed nonstationary finite. state Markov chains, Ann. Appl. Probab. 6 (1996), [24] Q. Zhang and G. Yin, Structural properties of Markov chains with weak and strong interactions, Stochastic Process Appl. 70 (1997),

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