Research on the Decomposition of the Economic Impact Factors of Air. Pollution in Hubei Province in China

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1 d raioal Cofrc o ducaio, Maagm ad formaio cholog (CM 5) Rsarch o h Dcomposiio of h coomic mpac Facors of Air olluio i Hubi rovic i Chia Luo Jua, a, Aglia N.lchko, b, H Qiga, c Collg of Mahmaics ad Compur cic, Wuha xil Uivrsi, Wuha, 47, Chia chool of Maagm, Fiac ad formaio sms, vaovo a Uivrsi of Chmisr ad cholog, vaovo, 5, Russia Jiaxig Forig Laguag chool, Jiaxig, 4, Chia a mail: luoua88@6.com, b mail: dr.ilchcko@adx.ru, c mail: 66694@qq.com K words: Grossma dcomposiio modl;air polluio;coomis scal, coomic srucur, chical facors Absrac. Wih h coomic growh, owadas viromal problms i our cour ar bcomig mor ad mor srious, spciall air polluio. his papr, w us h Grossma dcomposiio modl o aalsis h rlaioship amog coomis scal, coomic srucur, chical facors, populaio growh ad idusrial missios hrough h idx daa of 996- i Hubi rovic. h rsuls show ha: h scal ffc ad populaio ffc ar posiiv, which idicas ha h coomic xpasio ad populaio growh will icras h idusrial was missios. h idusrial srucur of h impac of chags i waswar discharg ucrai, idicaig ha w should icras h idusrial srucur adusm. Rducio ffc is gaiv, idicaig ha i is usful o improv miigaio chologis. roducio rc ars, h global virom problm is mor ad mor srious, spciall air polluio. Hubi rovic, a impora provic i cr of Chia, has dvlopd rapidl i hs ars, bu h problm of viromal polluio is mor promi a h sam im, such as haz. his papr, w us coomic ad viromal daa (mail air polluio) of Hubi rovic as a xampl o aalz coomic facors impac o h virom, such as coomic scal, coomic srucur, chological progrss, populaio growh. hrough h daa, w ca g som rsul of various coomic growh facors i h rol of virom coordiaio, ad pu forward sciific advic for coomic susaiabl dvlopm i Hubi provic. 5. h auhors - ublishd b Alais rss 775

2 coomric modls of choic 995, Grossma ad Krugr poid ou ha coomic growh ma affc h virom hrough hr chals, aml h scal ffc, srucur ffc ad cholog ffc; h gav h damic quaios of polluio missios dcomposiio as followd. ( )( ), hr is GD. is h polluas discharg of idusr i priod. is h GD (Or valu addd) i priod. is h idusrial polluio isi, rcordd as. is h proporio of GD i idusr o GD, rcordd as. ca b xprssd as W ak h logarihm ad diffriaio o boh sids, ad h dividd b + + h abov rfrs o h shar of h oal missios of polluas i priod. h firs par o h righ sid of h quaio is scal ffc which rflcs h pr capia icom chags impac o viromal, h scod is populaio ffc, which rflcs chag ra of populaio s impac o h virom, h hird is h srucur ffc, which rflcs h ffc of h idusrial srucur rasformaio o polluio missio, ad h fourh is h rducio ffc. m () ad aaoou () i h paprs also iroducd h Grossma dcomposiio modl, h idusr i accordac wih h hr idusrial srucur divisio, w us h followig modl o carr ou aalsis: hr is GD. is h polluas discharg of idusr i priod. (or valu addd) i priod. is h idusrial polluio isi, rcordd as is h proporio of GD i idusr o GD, rcordd as. is h pr is h GD. 776

3 capia icom.h h abov quaio ca b chagd o: W ak h logarihm ad diffriaio o boh sids, h abov rfrs o h shar of h oal missios of polluas i priod. W ol discuss h dcomposiio ffc of polluas ad discharg chag, ad choos viromal quali idx for idusrial missios, idusrial waswar missios ad idusrial solid was producio. ic hs hr kids of viromal polluio idicaors ol ivolvs h idusrial scor, w choos i h abov formula, h h + + +,,, lcio of facor dcomposiio mhod From h prspciv of mhodolog, facor dcomposiio mhod ca b dividd io rucural Dcomposiio Aalsis(DA) ad dx Dcomposiio Aalsis(DA). his papr, w choos h DA mhod, ad h Divisia idx dcomposiio mhod is h aalical framwork of h rg ad viromal issus. i icluds arihmic ma Divisia idx (AMD) ad logarhmic ma Divisia idx(lmd), h rror of h mhod LMD is small ad v zro, so i is a compl dcomposiio mhod. W us mhod LMD o aalz dcomposiio of idusrial was gas W compu h igral o boh sids, ad us ad o idica h iial missios ad curr missios, h d + d + d + d ordr o solv h igral problm, w us h logarihm fucio as h wigh, h logarihm fucio is x x L( x, ) l l x x x h w g h followig four formulas: l l l l l l l l l 4 l l l 777

4 Whr,,, 4 rspcivl ar coomic scal ffc, populaio growh ffc, idusrial srucur ffc ad rducio ffc: Variabl slcio: W choos h idusrial was missios (ui: millio sadard cubic mrs), umbr of populaio (ui: housad), idusrial producio (ui: a hudrd millio ua) i Hubi provic from 996 o.hs daum ar from Chia saisical arbook ad saisical arbook of Hubi provic. dusrial was gas dcomposiio rsuls ad aalsis W pu h daa io h abov formula ad g abl. Ngaiv valus i h abl show ha corrlaio ffc ad pollua missio i h opposi dircio. abl h ffcs dcomposiio of idusrial was missios ra ar h growh ra of dusrial was gas (%) coomic scal ffc (%) opulaio growh ffc (%) dusrial srucur ffc (%) Rducio ffc (%) W ca s ha h quai of dusrial was gas i Hubi has a ovrall phas characrisics, dcrm ad icrm occur alral. coomis of scal has posiiv ffcs for waswar missios, h impac of populaio ad idusrial srucur is ucrai. Rducio ffc is arl gaiv. coomic growh ca ol icras h siz of pollua missios. 778

5 opulaio growh is also h raso for h icras of dusrial was gas, bu has lil impac. ffcs of idusrial srucur hav flucuad. Wh h idusrial shar of GD riss, i will icras h missios. Whil his proporio falls, i will rduc missios. his shows ha idusrial producio is sill high polluig idusris. Rducio ffc dscribd was gas of pr ui GD rducio i favor of rducig h amou of was gas discharg. Coclusio Firs, h scal ffc ad populaio ffc is posiiv, which idicas ha h coomic xpasio ad populaio growh will icras h idusrial was missios. A prs, w d xpad h producio scal o m h ds from h icrasig populaio, ad Chia s famil plaig polic has ak corol of h birh ra, so i is uralisic o rduc pollua missios from populaio siz ad coomis scal. cod, h idusrial srucur of h impac of chags i waswar discharg ucrai, idicaig ha w should icras h idusrial srucur adusm. Rducio ffc is gaiv, idicaig ha i is usful o improv miigaio chologis Rfrcs [] Xia aqig.aquaiaiv Aalsis o Chia s virom ad coomic Growh. hd dissraio, Dogbi Uivrsi of Fiac ad coomics,. [)]Li Guozhu,h Coordiad Dvlopm of coomic Growh ad virom : a coomric Aalsis, Chia coomic ublishig Hous,7. [] Liu Rui-i, ZHANG zhi-hui.dcomposiio of mpac Facors of dusrial Dus missio i Chia. viromal cic&cholog. Vol. 5, No, (). [4] Huag Jig.viromal olluio ad dusrial rucur: A Aalsis Basdo Divisia dx Dcomposiio Mhod, aisical RsarcVol.6, No, 9(). [5] Zhog igshui.opulaio Rsourc virom coomric, [M], ic rss,