Julie Arblaster Bureau of Meteorology! GPO Box 1289! Melbourne 3001! Australia Phone: (AEST)

Transcription

1 Julie Arblaster Bureau of Meteorology! GPO Box 1289! Melbourne 3001! Australia Phone: (AEST) Education PhD, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne (part-time) Supervisors: David Karoly, Ian Simmonds (University of Melbourne), Jerry Meehl (NCAR) Thesis: Drivers of Southern Hemisphere climate change MSc, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, USA Supervisors: Jerry Meehl (NCAR) and Andrew Moore (University of Colorado) Thesis: Interdecadal modulation of Australian climate in the Parallel Climate Model BSc Hons, 1st Class, Atmospheric Science, Macquarie University Supervisors: Bryant McAvaney, BMRC and Ann Henderson-Sellers, Macquarie Uni. Thesis: Investigation of the storm tracks of the mid-latitude regions in an AGCM BTech (Atmospheric Science), Macquarie University, Sydney Work History 2011-present Senior Research Scientist, Australian Bureau of Meteorology University Corporation for Atmospheric Research subcontractor, hosted by Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia Associate Scientist, National Center for Atmospheric Research, USA Res. Asst./Student, National Center for Atmospheric Research, USA 1996/1997 Research Assistant, National Center for Atmospheric Research, USA 1996 Research Assistant, Department of Geography & Oceanography, Australian Defence Force Academy 1995 Research Assistant, Department of Earth Sciences, Macquarie University Research Assistant/Student, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre Research Assistant/Student, Macquarie University Awards and Invited Committees 2014 Anton Hales Medal from the Australian Academy of Science Lead author of 2014 World Meteorological Organization (WMO)/United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion Member of World Climate Research Programme Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate (SPARC) Scientific Steering Group since January 2012 Lead author of 2013 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 5 th Assessment Report Scientific organising committee for SPARC General Assembly, January 2014 Scientific organising committee for Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society Annual Meeting, February 2013 Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists mentoring scholarship, 2008

2 Co-winner of CSIRO 2008 Lookout!!! Award for Climate Change in Australia report 2007 Nobel Peace Prize laureate for work as a contributing author to Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Working Group I 4 th Assessment Report Outstanding Contributing Author award from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Working Group I co-chairs, 2007 Professional Memberships Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, member since 2003 American Meteorology Society, member since 1996 American Geophysical Union, member since 2002 Earth Science Women s Network, member since 2004 Recent and Upcoming Presentations UNSW, Monash University and University of Melbourne seminars on the 2014 ozone assessment, February - April 2015 Victorian branch of Australian Academy of Science symposium, Melbourne, June 2014 Australian Academy of Science, Science at the Shine Dome, Canberra, May 2014 World Meteorological Day, Bureau of Meteorology, March 2014 (invited) Plenary talk at Greenhouse 2013 on Near and Long-term Projections of Climate Change, Adelaide, October 2013 (invited) AMOS event: The IPCC Climate Change Science Report 2013: Insights from Australian scientists, Melbourne, October 2013 (invited) Plenary talk at Mathematics of Planet Earth 2013 on Earth System Models - tools for understanding climate variability and change, July 2013, Melbourne (invited) Asia Oceania Geosciences Society annual meeting, June 2013, Brisbane (invited) Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research seminar, May 2013, Melbourne Australian Academy of Science Frontiers of Science conference plenary talk, December 2012, Sydney (invited) SPARC regional workshop on the Southern Hemisphere and South America, November 2012, Buenos Aires (invited) ETH, Zurich and University of Reading seminars, October 2010 WCRP Polar Predictability workshop, October 2010, Bergen Other Activities Principal Investigator, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research subaward, present Chief Investigator, Australian Climate Change Science Program project, Understanding Southern Hemisphere climate projections using sensitivity experiments with the ACCESS model, Chief Investigator, Australian Climate Change Science Program, Attribution of extreme events: mechanisms and methods, Partner Investigator, Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science since 2014

3 Summary of Skills Scientific research and writing Analysis techniques: spectral & time series analysis, EOFs, SVDs, multivariate regression, statistical tests, trend analysis and detection, data interpolation Software: NCAR Graphics and NCAR Command Language (NCL), GrADS, Ferret, IDL, MatLab, Fortran, UNIX shell scripts, HTML, NetCDF Operators Extensive experience configuring and running large computing codes on various supercomputing platforms Reviewer for Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, Climate Dynamics, Climatic Change, Geophysical Research Letters, International Journal of Climatology, Journal of Climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar- Terrestrial Physics, Nature, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Science, WMO Ozone Assessment, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, NSF and NOAA proposals. Recent Publications [over 50 peer-reviewed publications, > 3000 citations, H-index of 34 (Web of Knowledge)] Kay, J. E., Deser, C., et al., 2015, The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Climate Variability, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., in press Arblaster J.M., E.-P. Lim, H.H. Hendon, B.C. Trewin, M.C. Wheeler, G. Liu, K. Braganza, 2014: Understanding Australia's hottest September on record, [in "Explaining extreme events of 2013 from a climate perspective"], Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 95(9), S37-S41. Hendon H.H., E.P. Lim, J.M. Arblaster, D. Anderson, 2014: Causes and predictability of the record wet east australian spring 2010, Climate Dynamics, 42, 5-6, Tebaldi, C. and J.M. Arblaster, 2014: Pattern scaling: a review of its strengths and limitations, and an update on the latest model simulations, Climatic Change, 122, 3, Chung C.T.Y., S.B. Power, J.M. Arblaster, H.A. Rashid, G.L. Roff, 2014: Nonlinear precipitation response to El Niño and global warming in the Indo-Pacific, Climate Dynamics, 42(7-8), Meehl G.A., A. Hu, J.M. Arblaster, J. Fasullo, K. Trenberth, 2013: Externally forced and internally generated decadal climate variability associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, J. Climate, 26(18), Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster and D.R. Marsh, 2013: Could a future "Grand Solar Minimum" like the Maunder minimum stop global warming? Geophys. Res. Letts., 40, , doi: /grl Meehl G.A., W.M. Washington, J.M. Arblaster, A. Hu, H. Teng, J.E. Kay, A. Gettelman, D.M. Lawrence, B.M. Sanderson, W.G. Strand, 2013: Climate change projections in CESM1(CAM5), J. Climate, doi: /jcli-d Eyring V., J.M. Arblaster, I. Cionni, J. Sedlacek, J. Perlwitz, P.J. Young, S. Bekki, D. Brgmann, P. Cameron-Smith, W.J. Collins, G. Faluvegi, K.-D. Gottschaldt, L.W. Horowitz, D.E. Kinnison, J.-F. Lamarque, D.R. Marsh, D. Saint-Martin, D.T. Shindell, K. Sudo, S. Szopa, S. Watanabe, 2013, Long-term changes in tropospheric and stratospheric ozone and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations, J. Geophys. Res., 18, 5029-

4 5060, doi: /jgrd Santer, B.D., et al. 2013, Identifying Human Influences on Atmospheric Temperature, PNAS, 110(1), Meehl G.A. and J.M. Arblaster, 2012: Relating the strength of the tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO) to the phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L20716, doi: /2012gl Arblaster, J.M. and L.V. Alexander, 2012, The impact of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on maximum temperature extremes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39(20), L20702, doi: /2012gl Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, G. Branstator, 2012: Understanding the U.S. east-west differential of heat extremes in terms of record temperatures and the warming hole, J Climate, 25, Meehl, G.A. A. Hu, C. Tebaldi, J.M. Arblaster, W.M. Washington, H. Teng, B. Sanderson, T. Ault, W.G. Strand and J.B. White III, 2012: Relative outcomes of climate change mitigation related to global temperature versus sea level rise, Nature Climate Change, 2, , doi: /nclimate1529 Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, J.M. Arblaster, A. Hu, H. Teng, C. Tebaldi, B. Sanderson, J- F Lamarque, Andrew Conley, W.G. Strand, and J.B. White III, 2012: Climate system response to external forcings and climate change projections in CCSM4, J. Climate, 25, Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, J. Caron, H. Annamalai, M. Jochum, A. Chakraborty, and R. Murtugudde, 2012: Monsoon regimes and processes in CCSM4. Part 1: The Asian- Australian monsoon. J. Climate,25, Cook, K.H., G.A. Meehl, and J.M. Arblaster, 2012: Monsoon regimes and processes in CCSM4. Part 2: The African and American monsoons. J. Climate, 25, Tebaldi, C., J.M. Arblaster and R. Knutti, 2011: Mapping model agreement on future climate projections, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L23701, doi: /2011gl Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, J.T. Fasullo, A. Hu and K.E. Trenberth, 2011: Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods. Nature Climate Change, doi: /nclimate1229 Arblaster J.M., G.A. Meehl and D.J. Karoly, 2011: Future climate change in the Southern Hemisphere: the competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases, Geophys. Res. Lett., Cai W., T. Cowan, J.M. Arblaster and S. Wijffels, 2010: On potential causes for an underestimated global ocean heat content trend in CMIP3 models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L17709, doi: /2010gl Meehl, G.A., and J. M. Arblaster, 2009: The relationship between the tropospheric biennial oscillation and low frequency signals in the Indo-Pacific region. J. Climate, submitted. Meehl G.A., J.M. Arblaster, K. Matthes, F. Sassi and H. van Loon, 2009: Amplifying the Pacific Climate System Response to a Small 11-Year Solar Cycle Forcing, Science, 325, 1114, DOI: /science Meehl G.A. and J.M. Arblaster, 2009: A lagged warm event-like response to peaks in solar forcing in the Pacific region, J Climate, 22, , DOI: /2009JCLI Alexander L.V. and J.M. Arblaster, 2009: Assessing trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over Australia in relation to future projections, Int. J. Climatol., 29, , doi: /joc.1730 Meehl G.A., J.M. Arblaster, G.W. Branstator and H. van Loon, 2008: A coupled air-sea

5 response mechanism to solar forcing in the Pacific region, J. Climate, 21, Meehl GA, J.M. Arblaster and W.D. Collins 2008: Effects of black carbon aerosols on the Indian monsoon, J Climate, 21, Meehl GA, J.M. Arblaster and C. Tebaldi, 2007: Contributions of natural and anthropogenic forcing to changes in temperature extremes over the United States, Geophys. Res. Letts., 34, L19709, doi: /2007gl Arblaster J.M. and G.A. Meehl, 2006: Contributions of external forcings to Southern Annular Mode changes, J Climate, 19, Tebaldi, C., K. Hayhoe, JM Arblaster, GA Meehl, 2006: Going to the extremes; An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events, Climatic Change, 79, Arblaster J.M. 2006: Seasonal climate summary southern hemisphere (spring 2005): a wet and warm season across much of Australia, Aust. Met. Mag., 55, Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, D.M. Lawrence, A. Seth, E.K. Schneider, B.P. Kirtman and D. Min, 2006: Monsoon regimes in the CCSM3 J. Climate, 19, Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, B.D. Santer, W.D. Collins, J.M. Arblaster, A. Hu, D.M. Lawrence, H. Teng, L.E. Buja and W.G. Strand Jr, 2006: Climate change projections for the 21st century and climate change commitment in the CCSM3. J. Climate, 19, Timbal B., J.M. Arblaster, SB Power, 2006: Attribution of the late 20th century rainfall decline in South-West Australia, J Climate, 19, Timbal B and J.M. Arblaster, 2005: Land cover change as an additional forcing to explain the rainfall decline in the south west of Australia, Geophys. Res. Letts., 33, doi: /2005gl Church J.A., White, N.J. and J.M. Arblaster 2005: Significant decadal-scale impact of volcanoes on sea level and ocean heat content, Nature, 438, Meehl G.A., W.M. Washington, W.D. Collins, JM Arblaster, A Hu, L.E. Buja, W.G. Strand and H Teng, 2005: How much more global warming and sea level rise? Science, 307, Meehl G.A., J.M. Arblaster, C.Tebaldi, 2005: Understanding future patterns of increased precipitation intensity in climate model simulations Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18719, doi: /2005gl Braganza, K., D.J. Karoly and J.M. Arblaster, 2004: Diurnal temperature range as an index of global climate change during the twentieth century Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L13217, doi: /2004gl van Loon H., G.A. Meehl and J.M. Arblaster, 2004: A decadal solar effect in the tropics in July-August. J. Atmos. and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 66, Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, C.M. Ammann, J.M. Arblaster, T.M.L. Wigley and C. Tebaldi, 2004: Combinations of Natural and Anthropogenic Forcings in Twentieth-Century Climate. J. Climate, 17, Santer B.D., M.F. Wehner, T.M.L. Wigley, R. Sausen, G.A. Meehl, K.E. Taylor, C. Ammann, J.M. Arblaster, W.M. Washington, J.S. Boyle and W. Bruggemann, 2004: Response to comments on "Contributions of anthropogenic and natural forcing to recent to recent tropopause height changes. Science, 301, Santer B.D., M.F. Wehner, T.M.L. Wigley, R. Sausen, G.A. Meehl, K.E. Taylor, C. Ammann, J.M. Arblaster, W.M. Washington, J.S. Boyle and W. Bruggemann, 2003: Contributions of anthropogenic and natural forcing to recent to recent tropopause height changes.

6 Science, 301, Meehl, G.A. and J.M. Arblaster, 2003: Mechanisms for projected future changes in south Asian monsoon precipitation. Clim. Dyn., 21, Karoly D.J., K. Braganza, P.A Stott, J.M. Arblaster, G.A. Meehl, A.J. Broccoli, K.W. Dixon, 2003: Detection of a Human Influence on North American Climate. Science, 302, Book Chapters Arblaster, J.M., and N.P Gillett (Lead Authors), N. Calvo, P.M. Forster, L.M. Polvani, S.-W. Son, D.W. Waugh, and P.J. Young, Stratospheric ozone changes and climate, Chapter 4 in Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2014, Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project Report No. 55, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, Collins, M., R. Knutti, J.M. Arblaster, J.-L. Dufresne, T. Fichefet, P. Friedlingstein, X. Gao, W.J. Gutowski, T. Johns, G. Krinner, M. Shongwe, C. Tebaldi, A.J. Weaver and M. Wehner, 2013: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. IPCC, 2007: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. (contributing author) Meehl, G.A., T.F. Stocker, W.D. Collins, P. Friedlingstein, A.T. Gaye, J.M. Gregory, A. Kitoh, R. Knutti, J.M. Murphy, A. Noda, S.C.B. Raper, I.G. Watterson, A.J. Weaver and Z.-C. Zhao, 2007: Global Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. (contributing author) Nicholls, RJ, Wong, PP, Burkett, VR, Codignotto, J, Hay, J, McLean, R, Ragoonaden, S, and Woodroffe, CD, Coastal systems and low-lying areas, in Parry, ML, Canziani, OF, Palutikof, JP, van der Linden, PJ, and Hanson, CE (ed) Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge, UK, Cambridge University Press, 2007, (contributing author) CSIRO (Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation) & BoM (Bureau of Meteorology) 2007, Climate Change in Australia: Technical report 2007, CSIRO, Melbourne. (author)