METHODOLOGIES FOR ANALYZING IMPACT OF URBANIZATION ON IRRIGATION DISTRICTS

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METHODOLOGIES FOR ANALYZING IMPACT OF URBANIZATION ON IRRIGATION DISTRICTS USCID Water Management Conference Irrigated Agriculture Responds to Water Use Challenges Strategies for Success Austin, Texas April 3-6, 2012

Gabriele Bonaiti Extension Associate Guy Fipps Professor and Director Texas AgriLife Extension Service Department of Biological and Agricultural Engineering Texas A&M University, College Station Project based upon work supported by the Cooperative State Research, Education, and Extension Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, under Agreement No. 2005 45048 03208 For program information, see http://riogrande.tamu.edu

AREA OF STUDY

Hidalgo, Willacy, and Cameron Irrigation districts (ID): 29 ID area: 760,000 acres Delivery network: 3,200 miles

Water rights Individual irrigators and irrigation districts hold more than 80% of total water rights along the Texas Rio Grande, when hydroelectric is excluded Irrigation districts hold 70% of agricultural water right

Urban growth Texas is predicted to have the fastest population growth in the USA between 2010 and 2060 The Rio Grande Regional Water Planning Area (Region M), which is one of the 16 Texas Water Planning Regions established by Senate Bill 1 in 1997, is predicted to have the highest growth in Texas, with +182% (Texas Water Development Board, 2012) Within Region M, Hidalgo and Cameron are the most populated counties, with an expected growth of +103 and +164%, respectively between 2010 and 2060 (Rio Grande Regional Water Planning Group, 2010) The main growing sectors are industrial, commercial and retirement community development

Potential impacts on districts Access to network and structures Transfer of water rights from agricultural to other uses Increasing liability for canal breaks and flooding Fragmentation and shrinking of irrigation area

PREVIOUS ANALYSIS

Urban area identification

1996

2006

Urbanization growth in irrigation Irrigation districts districts

Overlap of urban area with water distribution network

Overlap with water distribution network By county

Calculation of a Network Fragmentation Index

Overlap with water distribution network in 1996 and 2006, in the McAllen area

Network Fragmentation Index (NFI) Cell size: 0.2 mi Search radius: 1.5 mi (Search area: 7.1 mi 2 ) 17 fragments Normalization (NFI): 2.4/7.3 = 0.34

NFI and District Fragmentation Index (DFI) in 2006, in the Cameron, Hidalgo, and Willacy Counties

NEW METHODOLOGIES ANALYSIS

ANALYSIS - 1 Urban area identification with automatic procedures The most utilized automatic approaches in literature are Pixel-Oriented (PO) and Object- Oriented (OO) analysis In the last decade, several studies demonstrated that the OO method can give more accurate results We used the ecognition software

Network Fragmentation Index (NFI) using Manual Urbanization maps (MUM) Network Fragmentation Index (NFIa) using Automatic Urbanization maps (AUM)

ANALYSIS - 2 Urban area categorization with the Morphological Segmentation Method The categories that are defined by the procedure are: Core, Edge, Perforation, Bridge, Loop, Branch, Islet We used the GUIDOS 1.3 software (Vogt, 2010)

Categorization map Adding weights to categories Network Fragmentation Index (NFIc) using Categorization maps

Network Fragmentation Index (NFIc) using Categorized Manual Urbanization Maps Network Fragmentation Index (NFI) using Manual Urbanization Maps

ANALYSIS - 3 Calculation of a NFI with a simplified procedure based on a probable number of Network Fragments (NF) We created an Urban Fragments Density Map by calculating the density of urban fragments We created a Network Density Map by calculating the density of canals and pipelines We combined the results to obtain the Network Potential Fragmentation Index and the District Potential Fragmentation Index

Urban Fragments Density Map using MUM Network Density Map Network Potential Fragmentation Index (NPFI)

Network Fragmentation Index (NFI) using Manual Urbanization Maps Network Potential Fragmentation Index (NPFI)

NPFI for different elements of the water distribution network in the year 1996. Circles show examples of differences Open canals and pipelines Only open canals

CONCLUSIONS

The two methodologies proposed for urban areas identification, manual and automatic, accurately identify urbanization. While the manual procedure required weeks of processing, the automatic one took only few days Interpretation of urban fragmentation dynamics was improved by using categories defining the type of urbanization. By assigning weights to such categories, we obtained a Network Fragmentation Index comparable to the one obtained from manual or automatic urbanization maps The set up of a simplified procedure to calculate impact of urbanization showed potential for application, even if analysis was based on probability of fragmentation rather than observations

RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FUTURE WORK Identify correlation between analysis results and observed impact on district operation, especially when applying weights to urbanization categories Identify which elements of the distribution network have more impact on district operation when fragmented (i.e. open canals, pipelines) Further evaluate the advantages in term of computation of automatic analysis Statistically evaluate goodness of predictions on urbanized area and network fragmentation