Atmospheric Moisture during Monsoon 2002 ARMEX Phase I

Similar documents
7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency

Study of Intra Annual and Intra Seasonal Variations of Indian Summer Monsoon during ARMEX Period

Seasonal Climate Outlook for South Asia (June to September) Issued in May 2014

Vertical wind shear in relation to frequency of Monsoon Depressions and Tropical Cyclones of Indian Seas

Evidence for Weakening of Indian Summer Monsoon and SA CORDEX Results from RegCM

INFLUENCE OF LARGE-SCALE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE FLUXES ON THE INTERANNUAL TO MULTIDECADAL RAINFALL VARIABILITY OF THE WEST AFRICAN MONSOON

The Australian Summer Monsoon

Seasonal Climate Watch July to November 2018

Role of Low Level Jetstream in Intense Monsoon Rainfall episodes over the West Coast of India

KUALA LUMPUR MONSOON ACTIVITY CENT

Contribution of Monthly and Regional Rainfall to the Strength of Indian Summer Monsoon

Dynamics of summer monsoon active phases and onset over Pakistan

Moist static energy budget diagnostics for. monsoon research. H. Annamalai

Inter comparison of wave height observations from buoy and altimeter with numerical prediction

The Abnormal Indian Summer Monsoon of 2002: JRA25 Reanalysis

2011 Atlantic Hurricane Activity and Outlooks A Climate/ Historical Perspective

Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE. Applying the Betts Miller Janjic Scheme of Convection in Prediction of the Indian Monsoon

Probabilistic predictions of monsoon rainfall with the ECMWF Monthly and Seasonal Forecast Systems

Short-term modulation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall bywest Asian dust

Kalimantan realistically (Figs. 8.23a-d). Also, the wind speeds of the westerly

JMA s Seasonal Prediction of South Asian Climate for Summer 2018

BMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC

GAMINGRE 8/1/ of 7

Funding provided by NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Project CLIMATE. Basic Climatology Colorado Climate Center

Long Range Forecasts of 2015 SW and NE Monsoons and its Verification D. S. Pai Climate Division, IMD, Pune

The Coupled Earth Reanalysis system [CERA]

What a Hurricane Needs to Develop

The spatio-temporal characteristics of total rainfall during September in South Korea according to the variation of ENSO

Climate of the Philippines and the sea surface temperature effect on summer monsoon rainfall in the Philippines

Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO

1. Introduction. 2. Verification of the 2010 forecasts. Research Brief 2011/ February 2011

New Salinity Product in the Tropical Indian Ocean Estimated from OLR

PYROGEOGRAPHY OF THE IBERIAN PENINSULA

ENSO Outlook by JMA. Hiroyuki Sugimoto. El Niño Monitoring and Prediction Group Climate Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency

Time-Space Characteristics of Seasonal and Interannual Variations of Atmospheric Water Balance over South Asia

The Maritime Continent as a Prediction Barrier

The 2009 Hurricane Season Overview

Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast

Average temperature ( F) World Climate Zones. very cold all year with permanent ice and snow. very cold winters, cold summers, and little rain or snow

Study of Hydrometeorology in a Hard Rock Terrain, Kadirischist Belt Area, Anantapur District, Andhra Pradesh

Warm Episode over Indian Sub-continent March 2010 By Richard Grumm National Weather Service State College Contributions by Lance Bosart SUNY Albany

Primary Factors Contributing to Japan's Extremely Hot Summer of 2010

Advanced Hydrology. (Web course)

Towards a new understanding of monsoon depressions

Operational Monsoon Monitoring at NCEP

Chapter 4 Inter-Annual and Long-Term Variability

EVALUATION OF BROAD SCALE VERTICAL CIRCULATION AND THERMAL INDICES IN RELATION TO THE ONSET OF INDIAN SUMMER MONSOON

Seasonal Climate Watch June to October 2018

Extreme Weather and Climate Week 2. Presented by Ken Sinclair September 29th 2014

A Study of Teleconnection between the South Asian and East Asian Monsoons: Comparison of Summer Monsoon Precipitation of Nepal and South Korea

Analysis of meteorological measurements made over three rainy seasons in Sinazongwe District, Zambia.

Presentation Overview. Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future. Global Energy Balance. What is climate?

Chiang Rai Province CC Threat overview AAS1109 Mekong ARCC

Impacts of precipitation interpolation on hydrologic modeling in data scarce regions

Influences of PBL Parameterizations on Warm-Season Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Simulations

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR

Impact of ATOVS data in a mesoscale assimilationforecast system over the Indian region

Seasonal Persistence and Propagation of Intraseasonal Patterns over the Indian Monsoon Region

Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian Sea

Update on SCOPE-Nowcasting Pilot Project Real Time Ocean Products Suman Goyal Scientist-E

The Arctic Energy Budget

Weather Outlook. 1 July 2016 METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH GROUP. INDIA HEADQUART ERS G 31 Quest Offices DLF Golf Course Road Gurgaon India

Summary and Conclusions

Basic mechanism for abrupt monsoon transitions

Physical Features of Monsoon Asia. 192 Unit 7 Teachers Curriculum Institute 60 N 130 E 140 E 150 E 60 E 50 N 160 E 40 N 30 N 150 E.

Where does precipitation water come from?

CHAPTER 2 DATA AND METHODS. Errors using inadequate data are much less than those using no data at all. Charles Babbage, circa 1850

UPDATE OF REGIONAL WEATHER AND SMOKE HAZE (May 2017)

Mekong River Commission

SAJJAD SAEED¹, MUHAMMAD MUNIR SHEIKH², SYED FAISAL SAEED³

The Indian summer monsoon during peaks in the 11 year sunspot cycle

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION

Modeling Indian Ocean Biogeochemistry Iron Limitation and Dipole-Zonal Mode Impacts

Study of Changes in Climate Parameters at Regional Level: Indian Scenarios

Government of Sultanate of Oman Public Authority of Civil Aviation Directorate General of Meteorology. National Report To

The 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. What is New and What to Expect. Mark Chambers President & CEO ImpactWeather, Inc.

LAB J - WORLD CLIMATE ZONES

ovember 2008 Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION

Stephen W. Bieda III, Steven L. Mullen, Christopher L. Castro University of Arizona Department of Atmospheric Sciences

CURRENT STATUS OF MONSOON Main Meteorological conditions of the last week (27August to 2 September)

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter

WATER VAPOR FLUXES OVER EQUATORIAL CENTRAL AFRICA

Seasonal Climate Watch April to August 2018

University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom. 2 Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Meteorological Office, Exeter, United Kingdom.

Assessing the impact of Arctic sea ice variability on Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass and energy exchange

What is the difference between Weather and Climate?

Climate Variability in South Asia

Massive Storms! 8.10C Identify the role of the oceans in the formation of weather systems such as hurricanes

2016 Meteorology Summary

SEA ICE PREDICTION NETWORK (SIPN) Template for Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Outlook Core Contributions August 2015 Report

Intraseasonal Oscillations and Interannual Variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon

3. HYDROMETEROLOGY. 3.1 Introduction. 3.2 Hydro-meteorological Aspect. 3.3 Rain Gauge Stations

Characteristics of 2014 summer climate over South Korea

Supplementary Figure 1. Summer mesoscale convective systems rainfall climatology and trends. Mesoscale convective system (MCS) (a) mean total

Anticorrelated intensity change of the quasi-biweekly and day oscillations over the South China Sea

Monday 7 October 2013, Class #15

Equatorial Waves and Air Sea Interaction in the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation

WMO technical conference on climate services building on clips legacy

Transcription:

Atmospheric Moisture during Monsoon 2002 ARMEX Phase I Anu Simon, K. Mohankumar, Aype Thomas and C.K. Rajan Department of Atmospheric Sciences Cochin University of Science and Technology Cochin-682 016

16 14 12 10 All India Rainfall (mm) for June to September 2002 (Climatology is plotted) 8 6 4 2 0 03-Oct There was a long dry spell from end June to beginning of August 30-M ay 06-Jun 13-Jun 20-Jun 27-Jun 04-Jul 11-Jul 18-Jul 25-Jul 01-Aug 08-Aug 15-Aug 22-Aug 29-Aug 05-Sep 12-Sep 19-Sep 26-Sep

Evolution Of OLR field NOAA(10 dayaverages) JUNE to AUGUST 2002

In the present study The moisture field of NCMRWF analysis of the 2002 monsoon (ARMEX Phase I) at levels 1000, 850, 700, 600 and 500 hpa is studied and compared with the and ERA reanalysis data sets.

A comparison is also made with the moisture field of monsoon 1998, during which the break monsoon spells were short, using the available and ERA reanalysis data sets.

18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 All India Rainfall (mm) for June to September 1998 (Climatology is plotted)

Average Specific Humidity(g/kg) -NCMWRF for Arabian sea box (10-20N,55-75 E) 01 June to 31 August 2002 18 16 1000hPa 700hPa 14 ALL INDIA DAILY RAINFALL (mm) -JUNE TO SEPTE 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 30-May 06-Jun 13-Jun 20-Jun 27-Jun 04-Jul 11-Jul 18-Jul 25-Jul 01-Aug 08-Aug 15-Aug 22-Aug 29-Aug 05-Sep 600hPa 500hPa

Average Specific Humidity(g/kg) NCMWRF for Bay Of Bengal (10-20N,80-100 E) 01 June to 31 August 2002 1000hPa 700hPa 600hPa 500hPa

Average Specific Humidity(g/kg) for Arabian sea (10-20N,55-75 E) 01 June 31 August 1998 1000hPa 700hPa 600hPa 500hPa

7.5 7 6.5 6 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 Specfic Humdity (g/kg) 600hPa -2002 7.5 7 6.5 6 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 Specfic Humdity (g/kg) 500hPa -2002 1-Jun 8-Jun 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 6-Jul 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 3-Aug 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug 1-Jun 8-Jun 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 6-Jul 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 3-Aug 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug 7.5 7 6.5 6 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 Specfic Humdity (g/kg) 600hPa -1998 7.5 7 6.5 6 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 Specfic Humdity (g/kg) 500hPa -1998 1-Jun 8-Jun 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 6-Jul 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 3-Aug 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug 1-Jun 8-Jun 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 6-Jul 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 3-Aug 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug

Evolution Of OLR field NOAA(10 dayaverages) JUNE to AUGUST 1998

10 day average of Specific Humidity July 2002 1-10 JUL 1000 hpa NCMRWF NCMRW 11-20 JUL1000 hpa NCMRW 21-31 JUL 1000 hpa F F NCMRWF

10 day average of Specific Humidity July 2002 NCMRWF 1-10 JUL 700 hpa 11-20 JUL 700 hpa NCMRWF 21-31 JUL 700 hpa NCMRWF

1-10 JUL 500 hpa 10 day average of Specific Humidity July 2002 NCMRWF 11-20 JUL 500 hpa NCMRWF 21-31 JUL 500 hpa NCMRWF

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 July at 1000hPa NCMWRF

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 July at 700hPa NCMWRF

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 July at 600hPa NCMWRF

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 July at 500hPa NCMWRF

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 August at 1000hPa NCMWRF

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 August at 700hPa NCMWRF

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 August at 600hPa NCMWRF

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 2002 August at 500hPa NCMWRF NCMWRF

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 July at 1000hPa

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 July at 700hPa

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 July at 600hPa

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 July at 500hPa

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 August at 1000hPa

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 August at 700hPa

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 August at 600hPa

Wind in m/s (vectors) and Specific Humidity in g/kg (shaded) for 1998 August at 500hPa

INTEGRATED MOISTURE FLUX (Kgm -1 s -1 ) (1000-500) for July 2002 NCMRWF Integrated Flux = 1 g P t P 0 Vq dp

INTEGRATED MOISTURE FLUX (Kgm -1 s -1 ) (1000-500) for July 1998

DAILY MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS 75 E FROM 10 20N (kg/day) 2002 -NCMRWF 1000-700hPa 700-500hPa

DAILY MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS 75 E FROM 10 20N (kg/day) 1000-700hPa - 2002 1998

DAILY MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS 75 E FROM 10 20N (kg/day) 700-500hPa - 2002 1998

Conclusions During the dry July of 2002 (long break) Arabian Sea had very low moisture at levels above 700hPa Dry air over Arabian sea above 700hPa in July 2002 appears to have come from both the south Indian ocean across the equator and also from the dry continental areas to the north In August, the Arabian sea was more moist with the relatively dry air from the south Indian ocean spreading to south of the Indian peninsula.

The moisture field of Bay of Bengal doesn't show much variation during July unlike that of the Arabian Sea. A comparison with the moisture at 600 and 500 hpa levels of 1998 (year with short breaks) show that moisture at these levels in July was more than that of 2002. It also remained high throughout the season with very little variations The vertically integrated moisture (1000-500hPa) during July 2002 was relatively less than that during 1998

Moisture transport at 700-500 hpa across the west coast of India (10-20N) during July 2002 was very low compared to August 2002 and also of July & August 1998. In general at all levels 1000hPa to 500hPa / has less/more moisture than NCMWRF

Thank You