The aerosol distribution in Europe derived with CMAQ: comparison to near surface in situ and sunphotometer t measurements

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Transcription:

Volker Matthias, GKSS Research Center, Geesthacht, Germany The aerosol distribution in Europe derived with CMAQ: comparison to near surface in situ and sunphotometer t measurements PAGE Page1 1

Outline Introduction Model system Check of meteorological input data Aerosol model results Comparison to near surface in situ measurements Frequency distributions Comparison to sun photometer measurements CMAQ applications at GKSS Conclusions PAGE 2

New model domains 54x54 km 2 grid 30 vertical layers up to 100 hpa 18x18 km 2 grid PAGE 3

MM5 parameterizations The use of MM5 at GKSS: Kain Fritsch 2 convective cloud scheme MRF (Hong and Pan) PBL scheme Reisner 2 microphysics scheme Noah LSM ERA40 6-hourly boundary conditions FDDA grid nudging with ERA40 fields PAGE 4

Checking meteorological fields Comparison to ascents from 88 radiosonde station from the igra data base (Durre et al., 2006) RS data is interpolated to model levels. Mean deviation and correlation are calculated for each profile. PAGE 5

Monthly mean of correlation and bias sorted by station:temperature PAGE 6

Monthly mean of correlation and bias sorted by station: Rel. Humidity Year 2000, mean correlation (Rel. Hum.) PAGE 7

Aerosol representation in CMAQ 3 size classes, 10 species, e.g. Sulfate Nitrate Ammonium Sodium, Chloride Elemental carbon Organics: (prim., sec., anthr., biog.) Other (dust, ) PAGE 8

Annual PM10 Time series of daily means at Neuglobsow/Germany, year 2000 mean bias -7.4 μg/m 3 (measured: 17.3 μg/m 3, modelled 9.9 μg/m 3) corr coeff 0.52 PAGE 9

Annual PM10 Time series of daily means at Neuglobsow/Germany, year 2001 mean bias -5.7 μg/m 3 (measured: 15.6 μg/m 3, modelled 9.9 μg/m 3 ) corr coeff 0.65 PAGE 10

Annual PM10 Time series of daily means at Payerne/Switzerland, 2000 and 2001 2000: mean bias -11.8 μg/m 3 corr coeff 0.36 2001: mean bias -11.2 μg/m 3 corr coeff 0.41 PAGE 11

NH 4 NO 3 sec. inorganic aerosol Melpitz/Germany, 2000 Daily means Bias/µg/m³ Corr NH 4-014 0.14 063 0.63 SO 4 NO 3 0.04 0.67 SO 4-0.08 0.55 PAGE 12

Cl sodium/chloride Melpitz/Germany, 2000 Daily means Bias/µg/m³ Corr Na Cl -0.25 048 0.48 Na -0.19 0.69 PAGE 13

NH 4 NO 3 Sec. inorganic Aerosol Birkenes/Norway, 2000 Daily means Bias/µg/m³ Corr NH 4 004 0.04 067 0.67 SO 4 NO 3-0.56 0.49 SO 4-0.52 0.69 PAGE 14

Cl sodium/chloride Birkenes/Norway, 2000 Daily means Bias/µg/m³ Corr Na Cl 036 0.36 081 0.81 Na 0.19 0.65 PAGE 15

Chemically specified / unspecified aerosol Melpitz Birkenes PAGE 16

Ammonium aerosol at EMEP stations Annual average and correlation coefficient meas. meas. mod. mod. 2000 2001 PAGE 17

Nitrate aerosol at EMEP stations Annual average and correlation coefficient meas. meas. mod. mod. 2000 2001 PAGE 18

Sulfate aerosol at EMEP stations Annual average and correlation coefficient meas. meas. mod. mod. 2000 2001 PAGE 19

Frequency distrbutions of daily mean PM10 Measured and modelled values follow lognormal distributions Payerne Neuglobsow χ 2 test not passed for modelled values KS-test passed χ 2 test and KS-test passed for modelled and meas. values PAGE 20

Aeronet: a global network of sun photometers PAGE 21

Aerosol Optical Depth Relation between aerosol mass and extinction coefficient (Malm et al., JGR (1994)): f(rh) is given in tables PAGE 22

AOD Avignon 2000 and 2001 2000: Measured: 0.17 Modelled 0.05 Correlation coeff. 0.54 2001: Measured: 0.18 Modelled 0.06 Correlation coeff. 0.50 PAGE 23

AOD Lille 2000 and 2001 2000: Measured: 0.21 Modelled 0.13 Correlation coeff. 0.39 2001: Measured: 0.25 Modelled 0.11 Correlation coeff. 0.38 PAGE 24

AOD frequency distribution at Lille Usually AOD follows a log-normal distribution 2 t t i t d f th i Lill χ 2 test is not passed for the meas. in Lille Measurements Model PAGE 25

Application: PAHs PAHs imperil humans and ecosystems highly bioaccumulative (food chain) persistent in various environmental compartments significant adverse effects already at low doses carcinogenic impair immune system impair reproduction B(a)P Object of international reduction conventions (Target values for air concentrations ti - EU: 1 ng/m3 (annual average), UK: 0.25 ng/m3) Emissions i are likely l to increase wood burning, ship traffic PAGE 26

B(a)P concentrations in Europe for lowest layer total annual amount of emitted B(a)P was the same for both model runs (based on 2000 data) PAGE 27

Application: nitrogen wet and dry deposition PAGE 28

Nitrogen input into the North Sea dry wet 30 % of total N comes via the atmosphere atmospheric input is dominated by wet deposition of particle bound nitrogen PAGE 29

Summary and Outlook Simulation of the aerosol distribution in Europe in 2000 and 2001 multidecadal runs Validation of model results by comparison to EMEP measurements missing organic aerosols / natural aerosols (dust) / resuspension?? Lognormal distributions are (mostly) followed by model results and measurements AOD underestimated missing aerosol mass, vertical distribution? CMAQ applications at GKSS: PAHs, nitrogen eutrophication Most of this work is described in V. Matthias: The aerosol distribution in Europe derived with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model: Comparison to near surface in situ and sun photometer measurements, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, submitted 2007 PAGE 30

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