MIDDAY WEATHER SUMMARY Weather Headlines TS Cindy will move inland tonight or early tomorrow morning near the Texas/Louisiana border. The latest GFS model run is cooler late in the 6-10 and early in the 11-15 across the middle of the country versus earlier runs. 6-10 Day Forecast Change 11-15 Day Forecast Change 2-5 Day Forecast (Thu 6/22 to Sun 6/25) Summary PWA: 1.1 Prev*: 1.3 Prev: 1.3 Chng: -0.2 LY: 1.9 5YR: 1.7 YoY: -0.8 Yo5Y: -0.6 *Same Calendar Days Previous Fcst Anomaly Last Year 5 Yr Avg Anomaly Today's Temp Anomalies Today's Precip Forecast Forecast Discussion Tropical Storm Cindy continues to head slowly towards the coast this afternoon, with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. Most areas are seeing wind speeds well below that level, and heavy rainfall continues to be the main threat with Cindy. Showers and storms are increasing some just northwest of the low center, so some heavy rains may be seen across southeastern Texas and western Louisiana into tomorrow morning, but the heaviest rains will continue to fall from eastern Louisiana to the central Florida panhandle. The heavy rains will be shfiting northward into the Tennessee Valley late this week and weekend, and flooding will be a concern for that region as well. The latest GFS model run has trended cooler late in the 6-10 and early in the 11-15 day period across the middle of the country. The new GFS run actually warms temperatures faster during the first half of the 6-10 day period, but then brings in another round of cooler air late in the period. That cooler air then continues into the 11-15 resulting in a cooler 6-10 and 1-15 day period average, particularly across the Midwest. The western US is a little warmer during the 11-15 in the new GFS run, closer to our morning forecast for that region, so no significant changes were made there this update. However, most areas east of the Rockies were nudged a little cooler from late in the 6-10 onward. Intense heat is still ongoing across the West today, with widespread 100s, 110s, and a few 120s once again likely. That heat will be ease a bit late this week into next week, though most of the region will remain above normal. Moisture could increase across the West by later next week, at least for a time, bringing an increased threat for afternoon showers and thunderstorms across portions of the Southwest and Rockies which may help to further suppress temperatures later in the 6-10 and during the 11-15. Even so, most of the West is still projected to remain above normal right on through the 11-15 day period. 6-10 Day Forecast (Mon 6/26 to Fri 6/30) Previous Fcst Previous Fcst Anomaly Last Year Anomaly Last Year Summary PWA: -0.9 Prev*: -1.2 Prev: -1.2 Chng: 0.3 LY: 1.5 5YR: 1.1 YoY: -2.4 Yo5Y: -2.0 *Same Calendar Days 5 Yr Avg Anomaly 11-15 Day Forecast (Sat 7/1 to Wed 7/5) Summary PWA: 0.7 Prev*: 0.8 Prev: 0.8 Chng: -0.1 LY: -1.4 5YR: 0.3 YoY: 2.1 Yo5Y: 0.4 *Same Calendar Days 5 Yr Avg Anomaly
Detailed 1-5 Day Outlook Day -1: Tue 6/20 Yesterday's Temp Anoms Yesterday's Precipitation Day 1: Wed 6/21 New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst Day 2: Thu 6/22 New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst Change from Previous Fcst Day 4: Sat 6/24 Day 3: Fri 6/23 New Forecast Anomalies Day 5: Sun 6/25 New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst
Detailed 6-10 Day Outlook 6-10 Day Trends Day 10: Fri 6/30 Day 9: Thu 6/29 Day 8: Wed 6/28 Day 7: Tue 6/27 Day 6: Mon 6/26 New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst Today's 6-10 Day Tomorrow's 6-10 Day Fri's 6-10 Day Sat's 6-10 Day
Detailed 11-15 Day Outlook 11-15 Day Trends Day 15: Wed 7/5 Day 14: Tue 7/4 Day 13: Mon 7/3 Day 12: Sun 7/2 Day 11: Sat 7/1 New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst New Forecast Anomalies Change from Previous Fcst Today's 11-15 Day Tomorrow's 11-15 Day Fri's 11-15 Day Sat's 11-15 Day
2-5 Day Period 6-10 Day Period 11-15 Day Period Forecast Model Comparison Forecast Model Comparison Overnight 00Z Model Runs ECMWF Ens ECMWF Canad. Ens GFS Ens Updated Model Graphs Yet Midday 12Z Model Runs GFS GFS Ens ECMWF Morning 6Z Runs GFS Ens GFS GFS
Recent Weather and Climate Recent Weather and Climate Conditions Temperature Anomalies for the Last 7 Days Precipitation Totals for the Last 7 Days Current Palmer Drought Index Precip Needed to End Drought Current SST Anomalies ( C) Arctic Oscillation Index North Atlantic Oscillation Index U.S. Daily Population Weighted Temperatures and Anomalies for the Last Year 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 7/1/16 8/1/16 9/1/16 10/1/16 11/1/16 12/1/16 1/1/17 2/1/17 3/1/17 4/1/17 5/1/17 6/1/17 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 6/22/2017 Frost/Freeze Outlook Freeze/Snowfall Forecast 6/23/2017 Frost/Freeze Outlook 6/24/2017 Frost/Freeze Outlook Latest GFS 7 Day Snow Forecast NA NA NA Contours are: Frost, Freeze, Hard Freeze, Killing Freeze
Precipitation Summary Past 90 and 30 Day U.S. Precipitation Trends Past 90 Day Precip Anomalies Past 90 Day Year on Year Change Past 30 Day Precip Anomalies Past 30 Day Year on Year Change Above precip maps do not include observed precipitation during the day yesterday. U.S. Forecast Precipitation Summary 2-5 Day Precip Totals 2-5 Day Precip Anomalies 6-10 Day Precip Totals 6-10 Day Precip Anomalies Major corn areas outlined. Yest Tue 6/20/2017 Major soybean areas outlined. Major wheat areas outlined. Wed 6/21/2017 Thu 6/22/2017 Fri 6/23/2017 Major cotton areas outlined. Sat 6/24/2017 Sun 6/25/2017 Mon 6/26/2017 Tue 6/27/2017 Wed 6/28/2017 Thu 6/29/2017 Next 7 Day Temperature & Precipitation Forecast Data Region Avg Hi/Lo* Hi/Lo Anom Highest** Lowest** Fcst Precip Norm Precip Precip Anom Western Corn Belt Eastern Corn Belt 81 F/59 F 81 F/61 F -4/-4F -3/-2F 99 F 94 F 45 F 51 F 0.47" 0.68" 0.98" 0.92" -0.51" -0.24" Western Soybeans 80 F/59 F -4/-3F 97 F 48 F 0.42" 0.93" -0.51" Eastern Soybeans 82 F/62 F -3/-2F 94 F 53 F 0.81" 0.91" -0.1" Northern Wheat Belt 81 F/53 F -2/-2F 99 F 37 F 0.2" 0.61" -0.41" Southern Wheat Belt 86 F/63 F -4/-3F 99 F 53 F 1.06" 0.8" +0.26" Western SE Cotton 85 F/70 F -6/-1F 90 F 63 F 1.37" 1.01" +0.36" Eastern SE Cotton 89 F/72 F -1/+2F 94 F 64 F 1.12" 1.02" +0.1" Florida Citrus 93 F/75 F +1/+3F 94 F 74 F 0.43" 1.75" -1.32" *Avg Hi/Lo are the average forecast high and low temperatures for the next 7 days averaged over all cities in a region. **Highest and lowest forecast temperature is the absolute highest and lowest forecast temperature out of all cities in a given ag region
International Outlook Europe Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change Forecast Precipitation Trends 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly South America Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends Forecast Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly Major corn areas outlined. Major soybean areas outlined. Major wheat & coffee areas. Major cotton areas.
International Outlook Eastern Asia Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change Forecast Precipitation Trends 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly Major corn areas outlined Major soybean areas outlined Major rice areas outlined Major wheat areas outlined Australia Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change Forecast Precipitation Trends 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly Major cotton areas outlined Major wheat areas outlined
Regional Average Temperatures New England Southwest South-Central C-N Plains Midwest C-S Florida Southeast Mid-Atlantic Northwest C-N Rockies Date Avg High Avg Low Anomaly Avg Prcp Regional Daily Temperature and Precipitation Averages Consult Individual City Forecast Product for City Specific Temperature Forecasts Last 5 Days Next 10 Days 6/16 6/17 6/18 6/19 6/20 6/21 6/22 6/23 6/24 6/25 6/26 6/27 6/28 6/29 6/30 69 75 83 84 83 80 81 84 80 79 74 75 77 81 83 58 60 67 68 65 63 59 65 66 61 58 57 58 61 64-4 0 8 8 6 3 2 5 4 1-3 -4-3 1 3 0.77 0.01 0 0 0.05 0.03 0 0.24 0.13 0.03 0.03 0 0.07 0.03 0.43 Weekday Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Avg High 79 85 88 85 82 83 86 84 83 80 77 77 81 86 86 Avg Low 66 68 72 68 65 65 64 70 68 63 60 58 60 65 68 Anomaly 1 5 8 4 1 2 2 4 2-2 -5-6 -4 1 3 Avg Prcp 0.13 0.01 0.01 0 0 0.02 0.04 0.32 0.14 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.21 Date 6/16 6/17 6/18 6/19 6/20 6/21 6/22 6/23 6/24 6/25 6/26 6/27 6/28 6/29 6/30 Avg High 89 88 89 89 83 84 85 88 89 87 86 86 87 88 90 Avg Low 70 70 72 72 70 71 72 74 73 71 68 67 67 70 71 Anomaly 0 0 2 2-3 -2-1 1 1-1 -3-4 -4-2 0 Avg Prcp 0.28 0 0.09 0 0 0.64 0.47 0.46 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.13 0.04 0.08 0.1 Weekday Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Avg High 87 90 89 87 90 91 93 92 92 92 91 90 89 90 91 Avg Low 71 72 75 75 76 78 77 76 77 76 77 76 75 75 75 Anomaly -3-1 0-1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 1 Avg Prcp 0.36 0 0.46 0 0 0.1 0.1 0 0.04 0.12 0.25 0.36 0.3 0.27 0.18 Date 6/16 6/17 6/18 6/19 6/20 6/21 6/22 6/23 6/24 6/25 6/26 6/27 6/28 6/29 6/30 Avg High 89 87 82 82 85 87 87 81 77 76 78 82 85 86 84 Avg Low 67 68 67 62 60 64 67 66 60 57 56 59 64 67 66 Anomaly 6 5 2-1 0 2 3-1 -6-8 -8-4 0 2 0 Avg Prcp 0.11 0 0 0.01 0.14 0.06 0.17 0.45 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.15 0.24 Weekday Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Avg High 86 80 80 83 89 89 82 74 71 75 83 86 87 86 81 Avg Low 59 58 55 53 57 62 59 53 50 48 52 57 61 59 57 Anomaly 4 1-1 -1 4 6 1-6 -10-9 -4 1 2 1-3 Avg Prcp 0.1 0 0 0.01 0.13 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.14 0.04 0.08 Date 6/16 6/17 6/18 6/19 6/20 6/21 6/22 6/23 6/24 6/25 6/26 6/27 6/28 6/29 6/30 Avg High 96 95 89 91 94 92 90 90 86 84 86 88 90 93 93 Avg Low 73 75 74 69 71 71 72 73 70 67 66 67 69 72 73 Anomaly 4 5 1-1 2 1 0 0-4 -6-6 -5-2 0 1 Avg Prcp 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.27 0.33 0.23 0.16 0.07 0.09 0.01 0.02 0.03 Weekday Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Avg High 101 102 104 106 107 108 106 103 103 102 100 99 97 95 96 Avg Low 68 71 73 76 78 77 78 76 75 75 74 73 71 71 71 Anomaly 5 6 9 11 12 12 11 8 7 7 5 4 2 1 1 Avg Prcp 0 0.3 0.31 0.7 0.31 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.02 0 0.01 0.01 0 Date 6/16 6/17 6/18 6/19 6/20 6/21 6/22 6/23 6/24 6/25 6/26 6/27 6/28 6/29 6/30 Avg High 76 80 89 90 85 85 89 91 94 94 87 81 80 82 83 Avg Low 58 57 61 62 60 57 56 58 59 62 61 57 56 56 57 Anomaly 2 3 10 10 6 5 6 8 10 11 7 2 1 1 2 Avg Prcp 0.01 0.2 0.43 0.4 0.15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0 0 Weekday Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Avg High 82 81 87 94 96 90 87 87 88 91 94 91 89 88 89 Avg Low 57 56 57 62 65 62 57 54 55 56 61 61 59 58 57 Anomaly 3 2 4 11 12 8 3 1 2 4 8 6 4 2 2 Avg Prcp 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.28 0.12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0 0 0
es PWA=Population Weighted Average Temp Anomaly YOY=PWA for this year minus PWA for same period last year YO5Y=PWA for this year minus five year average PWA for same period. Regional Temperature and Precipitation Forecast Boundaries 2017 WDT, Inc. All rights reserved. Any unauthorized reproduction, distribution or disclosure is prohibited and may result in account termination and/or prosecution. Information contained in this report is intended solely for use by the recipient and may not be further distributed without written approval from WDT, Inc. Users of this report agree to the following: THE REPORT is provided by WDT, INC AS IS, and AS AVAILABLE WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND TO USER OR ANY THIRD PARTY, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OF THE REPORT; ACCURACY OF INFORMATIONAL CONTENT; NON-INFRINGEMENT; QUIET ENJOYMENT; AND TITLE. WDT, INC. SHALL NOT BE LIABLE FOR ANY LOSS, INJURY, CLAIM, LIABILITY OR DAMAGE OF ANY KIND RESULTING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS INFORMATION. THE USER FURTHER AGREES THAT WDT, INC. SHALL NOT BE LIABLE TOUSER OR ANY THIRD PARTY FOR ANY LOSS OF PROFITS, LOSS OF USE, INTERRUPTION OF BUSINESS, OR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, EXEMPLARY, INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES OF ANY KIND WHETHER UNDER THIS AGREEMENT OR OTHERWISE, EVEN IF WDT, INC. WAS ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES OR WAS GROSSLY NEGLIGENT. In any event, WDT, INC. shall never be liable for any amount in excess of the fees paid by the USER to WDT, INC. hereby. Additionally, WDT, INC. makes no warranty that the information provided in this report will be free from errors or omissions, or defects, human or mechanical. Contact Info: Phone: 918-252-7791 Email: sstrum@wdtinc.com