UBIMET. Climate Change Adaptation Strategies

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Transcription:

UBIMET Climate Change Adaptatin Strategies

UBIMET INSTITUTE FOR UBIQUITOUS METEOROLOGY Internatinal Meterlgical Institute Funded in 2004 by a meterlgist and a chemist Glbal scpe / headquarters in Vienna, main branches in Melburne, New Yrk & Munich Mre than 400 emplyees frm ver 15 cuntries Supplier f meterlgical alarm and frecast systems fr railways (ÖBB, DB) Member f UIC IRRB (Internatinal Rail Research Bard)

EURNEX RAIL RESEARCH NETWORK (EUROPE & CENTRAL ASIA)

Rail Weather Frecast & Alarm Systems 10 YEARS OF RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT Special weather mdel fr infrastructure peratrs Agile, adaptive and self-learning meterlgical mdel Tpgraphic reslutin f 250m Cnsiders lcal weather phenmena related t surface tpgraphy (e.g. cldair pls in valleys, lcal wind systems) Cntinuus develpment in cperatin with natinal and internatinal netwrk peratrs and rganizatins.

Weather Impact n Rail Transprt WEATHER RELATED COSTS FOR UK NETWORK RAIL > 60 MIO NetwrkRail Climate Change Adaptatin Reprt 2015

Climate Change Study AUSTRIAN FEDERAL RAILWAYS & AUSTRIAN ROAD ADMINISTRATION large scale precipitatin lcal heavy precipitatin heavy snwfall (near 0 C) avalanches lcal strm gusts large scale gales blwing snw high temperatures fldings f larger rivers flash flds wet & heavy snw e.g. n trees snw, wind, changing temperatures thunderstrms e.g. strms in autumn/winter wind & cld temperatures multiple day heat waves

In 2005 the Austrian Federal Railways asked UBIMET t implement a natinwide meterlgical mnitring system

ÖBB infra:wetter GOALS OF THE RAIL WEATHER INFORMATION & WARNING SYSTEM Highly precise weather frecasts alng the railway lines Severe Weather Warnings fr the safety f railway peratin Exact snw frecasts fr the planning f winter services + + + + INCREASE OF SAFETY MORE NETWORK AVALABILITY COST REDUCTIONS & EFFICIENCY RELIABLE WINTER OPERATION 1 st year: rescue f trains befre flding

ÖBB infra:wetter GOALS OF THE RAIL WEATHER INFORMATION & WARNING SYSTEM Highly precise weather frecasts alng the railway lines Severe Weather Warnings fr the safety f railway peratin Exact snw frecasts fr the planning f winter services + + + + INCREASE OF SAFETY MORE NETWORK AVALABILITY COST REDUCTIONS & EFFICIENCY RELIABLE WINTER OPERATION 5% less delays since system intrductin

ÖBB infra:wetter GOALS OF THE RAIL WEATHER INFORMATION & WARNING SYSTEM Highly precise weather frecasts alng the railway lines Severe Weather Warnings fr the safety f railway peratin Exact snw frecasts fr the planning f winter services + + + + INCREASE OF SAFETY MORE NETWORK AVALABILITY COST REDUCTIONS & EFFICIENCY RELIABLE WINTER OPERATION Mre reliability with less wrkfrce

ÖBB infra:wetter GOALS OF THE RAIL WEATHER INFORMATION & WARNING SYSTEM Highly precise weather frecasts alng the railway lines Severe Weather Warnings fr the safety f railway peratin Exact snw frecasts fr the planning f winter services + + + INCREASE OF SAFETY MORE NETWORK AVALABILITY COST REDUCTIONS & EFFICIENCY + RELIABLE WINTER OPERATION Natinal standards & prcedures

IRIS THE UBIMET INFRASTRUCTURE PORTAL The System includes: On demand weather frecasts by special infrastructure weather mdels Reliable weather warning system Real time weather data (statins, radar, lightning) Cmmunicatin channels Reprting systems (lcal reprts) Infrmatin abut measures (e.g. snw remval, service restrictins,...) Gvernmental agencies Open interface fr additinal data flding infrmatin fire risk gvernmental data...

SYSTEM OVERVIEW 24H SURVEILLANCE OF THE WHOLE NETWORK Warnings Alerts fr critical track sectins

Natural hazards - status qu WEATHER WARNING SECTIONS The ÖBB rail weather system is nt nly used fr peratinal planning, but als fr safety issues (natural hazards) At the mment very critical track sectins are declared as WEATHER WARNING SECTIONS If a certain severe weather warning is issued r e.g. sme heavy rain expected, there is an individual special peratin checklist in effect fr every track sectin! An mre autmatic apprach is planned Cmplete natural hazards mapping

The new natural hazards management FOR THE WHOLE NETWORK

The new natural hazards management NETWORK WIDE EVALUTAION OF RISKS AND SECURITY DEFICITES Extreme Security Deficit Cnstructin Measures High Security Deficit Alert Systems 16

Risk mapping f the netwrk BASE FOR THE NEW NATURAL MANAGEMENT PLAN

Crridr infrmatin WEATHER ALERTS FOR NATIONAL & INTERNATIONAL ROUTES

Internatinal apprach TRANS NATIONAL WEATHER ALERT SYSTEM FOR CORRIDORS In cperatin with internatinal rganizatins, we wuld like t prepare an mre trans-natinal apprach fr natural hazards management, rad & rail weather frecasts and alert systems. It is a huge advantage fr crridr managers t prvide cstumers with risk frecasts, e.g. when large meterlgical inducted delays are expected (flding, snwstrm, freezing rain,...) Sme weather related prblems have their rts utside f the wn netwrk

TEM/TER Crridr Weather Alert System UBIMET suggests ne pilt prject fr a trans-natinal rad & rail weather infrmatin system. Gaining experience in implementing trans-natinal nline platfrms Evaluatin f advantages and disadvantages feasibility study Multi-Language settings and standardized interfaces fr the exchange f infrmatin Implementatin f lcal and natinal infrmatin int the internatinal system (e.g. expected clsures due avalanches, flding, strms, blizzards,...)

Research Fcus UBIMET Transprtatin 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Ice n verhead lines Ice/Snw n high-speed trains /carriages Drifting sand Fire risk & heat warnings (maintenance wrks) Risk f fallen trees (snw/wind) Intelligent switch pint heating (energy savings) Blwing snw frecasts Flash fld warnings & remte track mnitring In preparatin In preparatin Feasibility study In peratin In peratin Running prject In peratin In peratin

Real-time surveillance f the netwrk 100% surveillance f critical weather situatins Direct implementatin f sensr data int meterlgical mdels High cycle mdels fr up t date frecasts & nwcasting Implementatin f warning levels fr the infrastructure peratr Online alert screens fr peratin centers & message distributin system WIND SNOW FLOOD MODEL OPERATION CENTER WEATHER INFORMATION SYSTEM

High cycle mdels & analysis DATA ASSIMILATION

Flash fld warnings fr rail & rads Traditinal radar based systems Calculatin f liquid precipitatin rates and sil saturatin Warning levels based n experience and case studies Prblems: Adaptatin f threshlds may be necessary N hydrlgical mdel (wuld be t expensive) Remte areas withut radar cverage

3D lightning detectin Nrmal thunderstrm Severe thunderstrm Lw rate f clud-t-clud strikes High clud-t-clud rate 25

System users & partner part f NATIONAL MET OFFICES

Aviatin AIRPORTS & AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL High technlgy lightning detectin systems Airprt warning systems Risk estimatins & airprt frecasts Aircraft de-icing frecasts

Civil prtectin NATIONAL WARNING CENTRES Live Weather Cckpit On demand weather frecasts fr the peratin area Warnings & infrmatin fr the n-site teams Essential infrmatin fr dispatching

Energy PRODUCERS & NETWORK OPERATORS Energy cnsumptin frecasts fr cities & cuntries Live surveillance f the whle netwrk and critical assets Calculatin f the pwer line temperature and maximum capacity Energy prductin frecasts based n self learning mdels (slar pwer, wind)

Cnclusins Huge develpments in rail weather mdels during the last years Prblems in implementing weather warnings and frecasts int the daily peratinal business Lack f trans-brder infrmatin systems Searching fr test regins fr an trans-natinal infrmatin system Still a lt f research t be dne there is much rm fr imprvements Cmbinatin f climate mdels and lcal risk mdels fr lng-term risk predictins! BE PREPARED FOR CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS

UBIMET Headquarters UBIMET GmbH Dnau City Str. 11 1220 Vienna Austria Yur cntact: Stefan Eisenbach Internatinal Prject Manager Railways +43 1 263 11 22 721 seisenbach@ubimet.cm