Naval Center for Space Technology U.S. Naval Research Laboratory Washington, D.C. USA. International GNSS Service

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IGS Clock Products Working Group Report Ken Senior Naval Center for Space Technology U.S. Naval Research Laboratory Washington, D.C. USA 18 th Meeting of the Consultative Committee for Time and Frequency (CCTF) 4-5 June 2009 International GNSS Service 1

Outline IGS Product Status Ultra-Rapid/Rapid/Final Products New Real-Time Products Analysis of Subdaily GPS Satellite Clock Variations Day Boundary Monitoring & Antenna Installations New IGS Timescale Schedule International GNSS Service 2

IGS High Performance Clocks IGS Site @Labs Time Lab Freq. Std. AMC2 AMC H-Maser BOR1 AOS Cesium BRUS ORB H-Maser IENG IEN H-Maser KGN0 CRL Cesium MDVJ VNIIM H-Maser MIZU NAO Cesium NISU/T NIST H-Maser NPLD NPL H-Maser NRC1/2 NRC H-Maser NRL1 NRL H-Maser OBE2 DLR Rubidium OPMT OP H-Maser PENC SGO crystal PTBB PTB Cesium SFER ROA H-Maser SPT0 SP H-Maser SYDN NMI Cesium TLSE CNES Cesium TWTF TL H-Maser USNO/1 USNO H-Maser WAB2 CH H-Maser masers (63) cesiums (43) time lab stations (22) rubidiums (25) WTZA IFAG Cesium WTZR IFAG H-Maser + GPS space clocks

SUMMARY OF IGS CORE PRODUCTS PRODUCT # CURRENT LATENCY UPDATES SAMPLE QUALITY SUITES ACs ACCURACY INTERVAL ASSESSMENT Ultra-Rapid (predicted) orbits 7 (2)* < 5 cm SV clocks 4 ~5 ns ERPs 7 (2)* < ~1 mas Ultra-Rapid (observed) orbits SV clocks ERPs Rapid orbits SV, stn clocks ERPs Final orbits GLO orbits SV, stn clocks ERPs terr frame 7 (2)* 4 7 (2)* 8 5 8 8 4 6 8 8 ~3 cm ~0.2 ns ~0.1 mas ~2.5 cm ~0.1 ns ~0.06 mas ~2.5 cm < ~10 cm? ~0.1 ns ~0.03 mas 3 (h), 6 (v) mm real time 03, 09, 15, 21 UTC 3-9 hr 03, 09, 15, 21 UTC 17-41 hr daily 13-20 d weekly 15 min marginally robust 15 min 6 hr 15 min 15 min 6 hr 15 min 5 min daily 15 min 15 min 5min min, 30s daily weekly extremely poor very weak fairly robust weak fairly robust robust marginally robust robust robust not robust robust for 5 min robust robust International GNSS Service * indicates AC contributions that are weaker than others 4

IGS Real Time (IGS RT) Pilot Project Pilot began in 2008 Goal: produce near-real time products with very frequent update 1 Hz data from ~60 global IGS real-time tracking stations 5 RT ACs participating in product generation Essentially utilizes IGU orbit predictions Expected update interval for clocks ~few seconds (not yet determined) Not yet available to the public, but soon. Sample orbit+clock results for Week 1534, Day 0 (31 May 2009) Summary Table ------------- AC nsats OrbRMS(mm) nsatclk nused SatRMS(ns) SatSig(ns) comb 30 0.0 8639 8430 0.26 0.15 bkg 30 66.9 8637 8428 0.76 0.15 bkg2 46 130.7 8616 8407 0.96 0.35 dlr esoc 30 73.7 8640 8431 0.81 0.16 30 60.9 8640 8431 0.22 0.19 esoc2 30 63.7 8622 8413 0.23 0.19 nrc 30 46.2 8397 8192 0.27 0.18 gmv 30 64.0 8640 8431 0.86 0.84 International GNSS Service 5

Sub-daily Characteristics of GPS Clocks Modified d Allan Devia ation GPS Clock Instabilities 15 June 5 July 2007 random walk phase IIA cesiums poorest overall stability behave mostly as random walk phase noise MDEV power-law slope -1/2 excess deviations near 13,600 s IIA rubidiums similar to Cs clocks but much more stable flicker phase component for intervals < 100 s also with excess near 13,600 s using IGS Final 30-s clocks flicker phase IIR & IIR-M rubidiums newer generation clocks less stable than IIA Rb up to 1000 s complex high-frequency behavior due to onboard Time Keeping System (TKS) some excess near 13,600 s

12-hr Harmonics Pervasive in GPS Constellation Average of Stacked Periodograms peaks at N x (2.0029 ± 0.0005) cpd using 150 days of contiguous IGS Final (5-min) data for each satellite

Temporal Variation of GPS Spectral Peaks PRN27 (Block IIA), launched 1992 Earth eclipses International GNSS Service 8

Summary of GPS Clock Variations IIA Cs clocks closely follow random walk behavior with poorest stability IIA Rb clocks similar but have much better stability plus highfrequency flicker phase component Newest IIR/IIR-M Rb clocks less stable than IIA Rb over intervals <1000 s but better for longer times GPS clocks show periodics at N x (2.0029 ± 0.0005) cpd or periods of (11.9826 ± 0.0030) / N hr for N = 1,2,3,4 must be related to orbital dynamics but periods differ by 60 ± 11 s Prediction errors >100 ps (IGS accuracy) @ 40-50 s for IIA Cs & IIR Rb Prediction errors >100 ps (IGS accuracy) @ ~200 s for IIA Rb Latency for real-time clock service should be <50 s for errors <~100 ps

Examples of IGS estimated clocks w.r.t. IGST Day-boundary clock discontinuities studied for all IGS H-maser sites Provide estimate of time transfer accuracy Clock bias accuracy is determined by mean code noise per arc For 24-hr arc with code σ = 1 m, clock accuracy should be ~120 ps Actual variances are highly site- dependentd Some sites have seasonal variations Presumably caused by variable local code multipath conditions Long-wavelength (near-field) code multipath most important Performance depends on overall station data quality, esp cables & receivers & antenna installations Best sites have no discontinuities

Day Boundary Discontinuities at BRFT RMS ~ 145 ps updated weekly at https://goby.nrl.navy.mil/igstime/daybdy/

Day Boundary Discontinuities at ONSA RMS ~ 100/120 ps updated weekly at https://goby.nrl.navy.mil/igstime/daybdy/

Day Boundary Discontinuities at BRUS RMS ~ 140/170 ps International GNSS Service 14

Near-field Multipath Hypothesis Hypothesis: (J. Ray, 2005) Near-field standingwave back reflection a likely cause of day- boundary discontinuities at many sites Expect longest-period MP errors when H (phase center to back surface) is smallest [Elósegui et al., 1995] Choke-ring design especially sensitive to L2 reflections from below [Byun et al. 2002] Most IGS RF stations use antenna mount over surface! Antenna installations should follow examples of best timing i labs, such as BRFT, WAB2, ONSA & BRUS

Poor Antenna Mounts International GNSS Service 16

Good Antenna Mounts BRFT ONSA choke-ring rests in a matrix of microwave absorbing material

Other Hardware Choices Also Important PIE1 AOA D/M_ T antenna ASH701945E_ M antenna + new cables AOA firmware 3.2.32.8 3.2.3 2.11 Rogue SNR-8000 receiver Ashtech UZ-12 receiver Ashtech UZ-12 receiver receiver health, h firmware, antenna model, & cables also affect day-boundary clock jumps (J. Ray, EGU 2008)

New Timescale - Tie to UTC Current version relies on GPS Time as sole reference to UTC IGS clocks calibrated to UTC Multiple stations colocated at timing labs will provide a better quality & robust link to UTC; relatively calibrated to UTC using CircularT Stability of the average of these clocks suggests that a steering time constant of about 70 days will be appropriate. International GNSS Service 19

New Timescale Schedule Re-processing effort within the IGS still underway Re-analysis of all GPS data back to 1994 First combined product results expected in late FY09/FY10 New IGS timescale will be used in the reprocessed products, provided enough ACs contribute clocks IGS will eventually transition to new products as the official operational ones Paper on new timescale expected FY09/FY10 International GNSS Service 20

THANK YOU International GNSS Service 21

BACKUPS

New Timescale Model 8 states per clock white noise white noise white noise white noise 1 s integrator x d + 1 + s x f 1 + s drift integrator frequency integrator phase phase w/ white noise x x x x xd a b a b p p f 1 1 2 2 T x p Process noise models: WH phase RW phase RW freq. RW drift x p additional states to model two harmonics (e.g., 6- & 12-hour) International GNSS Service 23

Timescale Constraints Observability problem Only clock (phase) differences are measured. 4 independent excitations per clock implies 4 new constraints necessary to isolate individual clock excitations: Stein, 94 multiple clock weights N () i () i aix p t t x p t i 1 N () i () i bixp t t xp t Solves the observability problem by assuming that each collection of noise inputs are zero on weighted average. Note that t three of the four will suffice to constrain the solution; also, measurement noise & WHPH are not distinguishable., so care must be taken w/ large measurement noise. i1 N i1 N i1 ( ) ( ) 0 ( ) ( ) 0 c x ( t t) x ( t) 0 () i () i i f f d x ( t t) x ( t ) 0 () i () i i d d International GNSS Service 24

New Timescale Results New version shows improved stability from 1 day to ~10 days; however, steering of new scale not completely l implemented Most stable IGS clocks: old vs. new timescales (100 days of 2007 data) 1 day International GNSS Service 25

Multiple Per Clock Weighting New multiple weighting per clock allows a timescale which is optimized over a wide range of intervals: e.g., ~ 1 day, ~ 10 days, & ~ months) a i ~ inverse WH ph level for clock i b i ~ inverse RW ph level for clock i c i ~ inverse RW fr level for clock i d ~ inverse RW dr level for clock i i International GNSS Service lan deviat ion) Inst tability (Al Clock Ensemble Simulation timescale Averaging Interval true estimated more stable 26

4 cpd Peak Neglected Relativistic J 2 Effect GPS clock frequencies aligned approximately to Terrestrial Time (IS-GPS-200), for convenience Users should account for effect of orbit eccentricity using 2 rv /c correction 2 Unmodeled J 2 (oblateness) effect is ~70 ps variation with 6- hr period (+ longer-period effects) J. Kouba (2004) Approximate (~90%) correction can be made using: t 446.4747 10 t ( a ) t 2 rv / c t rel 12 2 per con 0 2 per ae 2 GM 3 2 t J 2 2 2 3 GMasin i sin2u7 1 sin it 2 ac a 2 a semi-major axis u argument of latitude i inclination J 2 1.08310 3

Correlations Between ee Spectral Peaks Neglected J 2 effect not large enough to fully account for observed 6-hr periodic Max average orbit inaccuracy

Correlated Clock & Position Effects: ALGO ALGO day-boundary clock jumps increase in winters every winter ALGO also has large position anomalies IGS deletes outliers >5 σ implies common near field implies common near-field multipath effect is likely (phase & code) J. Ray, EGU 2008