Recent Results from Alysia Marino, University of Colorado at Boulder Neutrino Flux Workshop, University of Pittsburgh, Dec 6 8,2012

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Recent Results from Alysia Marino, University of Colorado at Boulder Neutrino Flux Workshop, University of Pittsburgh, Dec 6 8,2012

Outline T2K Beamline and Detectors Uncertainties from prior measurements Constraints from Near Detector νe Appearance Results 2

T2K Beam 3

T2K: Tokai-to-Kamioka Super-Kamiokande Detector Kamioka Tokai J-PARC Facility (Tokai) Accelerator+Near Detector 295 km Tokyo Main Ring Synchrotron Long-baseline neutrino experiment with detectors at near and far locations Neutrino beam travels 295 km across Japan Super-Kamiokande Near Detector J-PARC 280 m 295 km 1000 m Neutrino Beam 4

J-PARC Accelerator Chain Side View of T2K Beam (not to scale!) protons Graphite Target Magnetic Horns π- π+ π+ Decay Region (Helium) Absorber Muon Monitors μ+ μ+ Sand/Dirt νμ νμ ~100 m 30 GeV protons strike graphite target, producing πs and Ks 3 magnetic horns to focus π + and K + into the desired direction_ Beam is ~95% νμ, 4% νμ, 1% νe 5

Off-Axis Beam Both T2K detectors are 2.5 o off ν beam axis Smaller ν flux, but more low energy flux, and νs are in a very narrow energy range Oscillations depend on L/E so narrow E range is preferable Reduces background from highenergy NC π 0 interactions Flux (Arbitrary Units) ν Flux! Neutrino Beam θ Detector On-Axis 1 2 o o o 3 Off-Axis Off-Axis Off-Axis 0 1 2 3 4! Energy (GeV) 6

T2K Run Periods Run 2 ended by March 2011 earthquake Run 3 began Jan 2012 Total protons on target 3.01x10 20 protons Preliminary νe results here are for Run 1, 2, 3 Run 4 began in Oct 2012 7

T2K Detectors 8

T2K Detectors p Target and Horns ND280 Off-Axis Detector 280 m Hall Super- Kamiokande π+ Decay Volume Beam Axis 280 m 2.5 o 295 km Muon Monitor INGRID On-Axis Detector Not to scale! 9

ND280: Off-Axis Near Detector Inside the 0.2 T UA-1 magnet ~ 10,000 ν interactions per day Tracker Fine-grained scintillator tracker + 3 TPCs Distinguishes particles due to de/dx Uses track curvature to determine momenta Pi-Zero Detector Optimized to measure π 0 production ECAL Catches γ s that have not interacted elsewhere in the detector Side Muon Range Detector Measures momenta of lateral muons Muon trigger for calibration purposes 3.5 m 7m SMRD ν beam Scintillator bars read out by MPPCs inside magnet 10

Super-Kamiokande: Far Detector Began data taking in 1996 Large volume water Cerenkov detector 50 kton of pure H2O (22.5 kton fiducial volume) 11,000 phototubes Outer layer with 1885 phototubes to reject external events Expect a handful of events per day at full beam power. 11

2012 Oscillation Analysis Method Flux prediction (constrained by NA61 and other measurements) Cross Sections NEUT generator + uncertainties from MiniBooNE νμ CCQE and nonqe events in ND280 Fit to ND280 data to constrain flux and cross section uncertainties Predicted flux at SK νe events in SK Oscillation Parameter Fit SK Uncertainties detector and uncorrelated cross section 12

Prior Constraints from External Measurements 13

Cross Section Data Cross sections modeled using Neut (and Genie), neutrino-nucleon scattering with a Fermi-gas nuclear model, and final state interactions Fits are performed to external neutrino scattering data At present only using MiniBooNE Data sets used CCQE, CC π o, CC π +, NC π o K2K, SciBooNE used a cross checks Final state interactions constrained by π + 12 C scattering data 14

Neutrino Flux Constraints Flux predictions and uncertainties for T2K (arxiv:1211.0469) have recently been accepted for publication in Phys Rev D Neutrino flux simulation based on FLUKA2008 for target, and Geant3 outside the target. GCALOR used for hadronic interactions. Hadron production and interactions are re-weighted by external data. 15

External Flux Data Primarily uses NA61 data (See Alexis talk), which used same proton energy and has good acceptance for phase space relevant for T2K. Pions: Phys. Rev. C 84, 034604 (2011). Kaons: Phys.Rev. C 85, 035210 (2012). Data from Eichten and Allaby is used for kaons outside of NA61 phase space T. Eichten et al., Nucl. Phys. B 44 (1972). J. V. Allaby et al., Tech. Rep. 70 12 (CERN,1970). 16

NA61 π Data Phys. Rev. C 84, 034604 (2011) Uncertainties typically ~10% π + data π + uncertainty 17

Flux Uncertainties Uncertainties in hadron production include: data uncertainties momentum scaling uncertainties phase space not covered by data Additional uncertainties on flux include: beam direction alignment horn current and magnetic field uncertainties. 18

Cross-check with INGRID INGRID measures on axis rate, position, and profile of neutrino beam, 280m from target All is in good agreement with flux predictions systematic errors not included 19

Constraints from Near Detector 20

Method ND280 data in 40 bins of muon momentum, and angle for CCQE-like and nonqe-like samples ND280 = π( b)π( d)π( d) i [N p i ( b, x, d)] N d i e N p i ( b,x, d) /Ni d! π( b nom )π(x nom )π( d nom ) i [N i d]n i d e N i d /Ni d! L ratio Binned maximum likelihood fit to maximize ratio given above b s are beam flux parameters x s are cross section parameters d s are uncertainties on detector acceptance, efficiency and reco Ni d and Ni p are the data and predicted events in bin i Prior probability distributions (π s) are given by expressions like π( b)= 1 (2π) k/2 V b 1/2 e 1 2 b(v 1 b ) b T Vb is covariance matrices that describe the uncertainties and correlations on the beam flux parameters 21

Fit Parameters Cross section parameters: Parameters that affect the Q 2 distribution are modified by reweighting by the ratio in a bin of pμ, cosθμ, Eν of the new cross section divided by the nominal one Parameters include model parameters like MA QE, MA Res, Fermi momentum, and normalizations (sometimes E dependent) for processes like CCQE, CC1π, and NC1π 0 For neutrino flux, parameters are true neutrino flux in 22 bins 11 bins for νμ and 7 for νe flux 2 bins each for anti-νμ and anti-νe 22

νμ CC Events in ND280 Selection Vertex in FGD fiducial volume At least one negative muon-like track in the TPC No track in upstream TPC CCQE: only 1 track matched between FGD and TPC, no Michel electrons 23

Example Event Display P0D TPC1 TPC2 TPC3 FGD1 FGD2 24

Fit to Near Detector Data Fit to near detector data used to constrain flux and crosssection uncertainties. Parameter MA QE MA Res CCQE norm (0<E<1.5 Gev) CC1π norm (0<E<2.5 GeV) Prior value Prior error Post-fit value Post-fit error 1.21 0.45 1.33 0.20 1.16 0.11 1.154 0.096 1.0 0.11 0.955 0.085 1.63 0.40 1.605 0.294 25

Flux Uncertainties at SK These uncertainties are then propagated to flux at SK Only the errors constrained by the ND280 fit are shown here 26

Appearance results in T2K νe νμ νe Run 1+2: Phys.Rev.Lett.107:041801,(2011) Run 1, 2, 3: Preliminary results shown at ICHEP, Paper in preparation 27

νe Event Selection 28

νe Event Selection Sample of fully contained e-like events Selection cuts 28

νe Event Selection Sample of fully contained e-like events Selection cuts 1. Coincident with beam time 28

νe Event Selection Sample of fully contained e-like events Selection cuts 1. Coincident with beam time 2.<16 hits in outer detector FV ID OD 28

νe Event Selection Sample of fully contained e-like events Selection cuts 1. Coincident with beam time 2.<16 hits in outer detector 3.vertex>200 cm from inner detector walls FV ID OD 28

νe Event Selection (cont.) 29

νe Event Selection (cont.) Selection cuts (cont.) 29

νe Event Selection (cont.) Selection cuts (cont.) 4. Single ring 29

νe Event Selection (cont.) Selection cuts (cont.) 4. Single ring 5. Ring is electron-like μ-like e-like 29

νe Event Selection (cont.) Selection cuts (cont.) 4. Single ring 5. Ring is electron-like 6. visible energy > 100 MeV 29

νe Event Selection (cont.) Selection cuts (cont.) 4. Single ring 5. Ring is electron-like 6. visible energy > 100 MeV 7. No decay electron observed 29

νe Event Selection (cont.) 30

νe Event Selection (cont.) Selection cuts (cont.) 30

νe Event Selection (cont.) Selection cuts (cont.) 8. Reconstructed invariant mass for π o is < 105 MeV/c 2 30

νe Event Selection (cont.) Selection cuts (cont.) 8. Reconstructed invariant mass for π o is < 105 MeV/c 2 9. Reconstructed ν energy is < 1250 MeV 30

νe Event Selection (cont.) Selection cuts (cont.) 8. Reconstructed invariant mass for π o is < 105 MeV/c 2 9. Reconstructed ν energy is < 1250 MeV 11 events observed Predicted number of events: 3.2 (sin 2 2θ13=0.0) 10.7 (sin 2 2θ13=0.1) 30

Fit for Oscillation Parameters νe p Data is fit to the event rate in bins of electron momentum and angle. θe e Independently checked with fits to energy spectrum, and total number of events only. 31

Allowed Parameters Preliminary results shown at ICHEP 2012 sin 2 2θ13=0.0 is excluded at the 3.2σ level For Δm23 2 fixed at 2.4x10-3 ev 2, best fit (δcp=0) sin 2 2θ13=0.094(normal); =0.116(inverted) Good agreement with best fit from recent reactor results 32

Future Plans for T2K Results on νe appearance and νμ disappearance for full Run 1,2,3 dataset with 3.01x10 20 protons on target are being prepared for publication this fall Many neutrino cross section measurements are being performed in the near detector. Plan to collect ~20 times more data, Linac will be upgraded in 2013 Goals: Total of 8x10 20 protons by end of 2013 Total of 1.2x10 20 protons by end of 2014 Total of 1.8x10 21 protons by end of 2015 Run 4 data taking has just begun. 33