Exploring the role of new technologies in quantifying precipitation levels and urban flooding

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Exploring the role of new technologies in quantifying precipitation levels and urban flooding Jörg Rieckermann Urban Water Management Eawag, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology

Motivation «The Geysir of Hamburg» Hamburgwasser

Urban flooding «The Geysir of Hamburg» www.bild.de

http://www.tagesschau.de/multimedia/bilder/thailand1108_mtb-1_pos-6.html#colsstructure

http://www.tagesschau.de/multimedia/bilder/thailand1108_mtb-1_pos-6.html#colsstructure

Hazard potential http://pmm.nasa.gov Exploring the role of new technologies Rainfall monitoring Flood risk assessment in urban areas Vulnerability potential

Precipitation monitoring Problem Rainfall is highly variable in space and time Existing monitoring networks only provide limited data

benmeadows.com Precipitation monitoring various possibilities Rain gauge Ground rainfall Point measurement

COMET program benmeadows.com, COMET program Precipitation monitoring various possibilities Rain gauges Ground rainfall Point measurement Weather radar and satellite Spatial information Volume measurement Limited resolution

http://pmm.nasa.gov/gpm Satellite GPM (Global Precipitation Monitoring) Follow-up of TRMM Start 2013 60 deg inclination 5x5 km2 3 hourly data NASA, JAXA, CNES, ISRO, NOAA, EUMETSAT

http://pmm.nasa.gov/gpm Satellite GPM (Global Precipitation Monitoring) Follow-up of TRMM Start 2013 60 deg inclination 5x5 km2 3 hourly data NASA, JAXA, CNES, ISRO, NOAA, EUMETSAT Core observatory Precipitation radar (DPR) Passive radiometers Improvements Dual frequency precip. radar light rain, snow and hail

Jensen (2011) Installation and application of a country-wide nework of LAWR X-Band radars in El Salvador Local Area Weather Radar (LAWR) Ship radar Specs X-band, S-band 20-60 km 5 min resolution Cheap, low data quality

Jensen (2011) Installation and application of a country-wide nework of LAWR X-Band radars in El Salvador Local Area Weather Radar (LAWR) Ship radar Specs X-band, S-band 20-60 km 5 min resolution Cheap, low data quality Local operators Urban drainage operators Research

Nielsen (2011) GLUE based uncertainty estimation of urban drainage modeling using weather radar precipitation estimates Local Area Weather Radar (LAWR) Ship radar Specs X-band, S-band 20-60 km 5 min resolution Cheap, low data quality Local operators Urban drainage operators Research

Nielsen (2011) GLUE based uncertainty estimation of urban drainage modeling using weather radar precipitation estimates Local Area Weather Radar (LAWR) Ship radar Specs X-band, S-band 20-60 km 5 min resolution Cheap, low data quality Local operators Urban drainage operators Research

Local Area Weather Radar (LAWR) Ship radar Specs X-band, S-band 20-60 km 5 min resolution Cheap, low data quality Local operators Urban drainage operators Research El Salvador NWS 3 LAWRs, 6 months, $0.45 Mio Jensen (2011)

Local Area Weather Radar (LAWR) Ship radar http://www.snet.gob.sv/googlemaps/radares/radaressv.php

COMET program benmeadows.com, COMET program Precipitation monitoring various possibilities Rain gauge Ground rainfall Point measurement Weather radar and satellite Spatial information Volume measurement Limited resolution

ott.com, thiesclima.com benmeadows.com, COMET program Precipitation monitoring various possibilities Rain gauge Ground rainfall Point measurement Weather radar and satellite Spatial information Volume measurement Limited resolution Disdrometer Rain, snow, Point measurement

benmeadows.com, COMET program Precipitation monitoring various possibilities Rain gauge Ground rainfall Point measurement Weather radar and satellite Spatial information Volume measurement Limited resolution Disdrometer

Microwave links from telecommunication networks Use existing infrastructure for precipitation monitoring!

Microwave links from telecommunication networks Use existing infrastructure for precipitation monitoring!

Electromagnetic wave propagation Raindrops attenuate the transmitted signal from microwave links (MWL) Rain drop

Electromagnetic wave propagation Raindrops attenuate the transmitted signal from microwave links (MWL) Rain drop Hydrometeor scattering and adsorption: Empirical model: A a A 4.343 b R 0 Q t D N D dd R k

Case study Zurich Collaboration with ORANGE and Zurich sewer operator (ERZ)

Case study Zurich Data Pre-processing 1. Baseline separation 2. Calculation of rain rate from differential attenuation

ce [mm] -20-10 0 10 20 cer -0.12-0.08-0.04 0.00 [-] Results (1) Accuracy, comparing MWL to Rain gauge over time Absolute error Relative error Jan Mai Jul Sep Nov Jan Mai Jul Sep Nov Jan

Rainfall MWL [mm] R fitted [mm] 0 20 40 60 80 100 Results (2) Accuracy, comparing MWL to Rain gauge and Radar gauge radar 0 20 40 60 80 100 R measured [mm] Rainfall measured [mm]

Microwave links from telecommunication networks Spatial distribution, Meteoswiss A-Netz vs. ORANGE Network Donnerstag, 25. Juni 2009 29

Microwave links from telecommunication networks Spatial distribution, Israel Zinevich et al. (2008) Estimation of rainfall fields using commercial microwave communication networks of variable density Donnerstag, 25. Juni 2009 30

Microwave links from telecommunication networks Discussion PRO Existing infrastructure Spatial distribution of MWL, dense network in urban areas Near-surface precipitation To do Wet antenna attenuation Comprehensive uncertainty assessment Detection of snow, sleet, hail CON Telecom operators: General data availability (no business case) Antenna manufacturers: hardware, data logging Long-term historical data, mobile internet Donnerstag, 25. Juni 2009 31

Hazard potential http://pmm.nasa.gov Exploring the role of new technologies Rainfall monitoring Flood risk assessment in urban areas Vulnerability potential

Flood risk assessment Example, state-of-the-art www.chiwater.com

Flood risk assessment Requirements Numerical simulation model Complex: Hydrodynamic, 1D/2D Schmid, T. et al. (2009)

Flood risk assessment Requirements Numerical simulation model Complex: Hydrodynamic, 1D/2D (too) Simple: GIS Schmid, T. et al. (2009) Hamburgwasser

http://www.dlr.de/ http://www.eranet.gr/geodata Flood risk assessment Requirements Numerical simulation model Complex: Hydrodynamic, 1D/2D (too) Simple: GIS Digital elevation model LIDAR (laserscanning, ~cm) SAR (radar, ~dm) TanDEM-X (~2m rel)

MOEKAH AG, Henggart, 1997 Flood risk assessment Requirements Numerical simulation model Complex: Hydrodynamic, 1D/2D (too) Simple: GIS Digital elevation model LIDAR (laserscanning, ~cm) SAR (radar, ~dm) TanDEM-X (~2m rel) Urban drainage system «Black hole» No remote sensing technology Discharge data for model calibration

Urban flooding «The Geysir of Hamburg» http://www.tagesschau.de/multimedia/bilder/thailand1108_mtb-1_pos-6.html#colsstructure

Discussion/Conclusions Exploring the role of new technologies Precipitation monitoring in SEE Automated weather stations are mandatory MWL could complement observations Existing infrastructure, spatial distribution, Satellite and LAWR not recommended (for urban hydrology) Flood risk assessment in urban areas Simulation models are available Good terrain data are mandatory (Digital) Information on urban drainage network insufficient Climate change? «Stationarity is dead!»

Discussion/Conclusions Exploring the role of new technologies Precipitation monitoring in SEE Automated weather stations are mandatory MWL could complement observations Existing infrastructure, spatial distribution, Satellite and LAWR not recommended (for urban hydrology) Flood risk assessment in urban areas Simulation models are available Good terrain data are mandatory (Digital) Information on urban drainage network insufficient Climate change? Milly et al. Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management?, Science 1 February 2008: Vol. 319 no. 5863 pp. 573-574 DOI: 10.1126/science.1151915 «Stationarity is dead!»

Thank you! Hamburgwasser