and the Myanmar economy World Water Day, 2018

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and the Myanmar economy World Water Day, 2018 Hannah.baleta@panda.org

Three key messages Myanmar is growing economically and developing socially with a large dependency on natural resources such as the Ayeyarwady River. For sustained future growth and development, it is imperative that a healthy Ayeyarwady River is still able to provide the necessary goods and services to these sectors of the economy and society. Multi-stakeholder perspectives on the possible future development pathways and scenarios for the Ayeyarwady can help us to prepare for what the future may look like.

The Ayeyarwady River Basic is central to the Myanmar economy and society Population: 66% of Myanmar (34 million) Land area: 61% of Myanmar (400000km 2 ) 60% of Myanmar rice production 90% of mining in Myanmar 10% of the yearly discharge drained during the dry season, and 90% during the monsoon season Home to the Irrawaddy Dolphin and many other endemic or rare species yet to be discovered. Navigable for 1,332 km (dry season) to 1,526 km (wet season) High cultural diversity (Kachin, Burman, Karen, Arakan, Shan, Indian, Chinese

There are unprecedented risks facing the river when considered cumulatively Electro-fishing Unplanned infrastructure Illegal sand mining Uncontrolled dredging Overfishing Pollution Mangrove deforestation

The Ayeyarwady River in the Economy Project (Phase 1) Identify development trade-offs, risks and opportunities Co-create development scenarios for the future Workshop Report 2 Phase 1 Phase 2 April/May 2018 Share recommendations with stakeholders identified by the group Ongoing support and advocacy January 2018 June/July 2018 Workshop Report 1 Delta Lower Middle Chindwin Upper

Multi-stakeholder workshops in all Ayeyarwady sub basins Government Business River in the economy Civil Society Academia

The regions of economic growth coincide with many sensitive ecosystems or fragile rivers. How do these world s interact? Special economic zones and growth corridors Protected areas, key biodiversity areas and ecoregions

Illustrations of how the rivers and different sectors of the economy are impacted by the river and impact the river Environment Society Economy

There are many interconnections in the basin The River Economics and society Environment Ecosystem services Sediment Water

Sand mining on the Ayeyarwady

Bank erosion sediment bank erosion Dredging Block routes Block sediment Fill dams

Dams block sediment, creating a sediment deficit downstream, creating more energy for bank erosion Sand mining creates more sediment, creating sand bars and negatively effecting navigation (if not done in alignment with dredging) Without healthy flows of sediment, fisheries and agriculture are left nutrientpoor and unproductive Reduced sediment to the delta due to slower water from dams and sediment removal, causes sinking of the delta and flood risk

What does healthy sediment mean to the economy of Myanmar? 1000s of religious sites are at risk of erosion 8 23 million USD 350 530 million USD capture fisheries 840 million USD minerals and precious stones 80 170 million USD 2.1 GW hydropower *monetary estimates taken from the SOBA valuing ecosystems report

Balanced development How do we reach the environmental, social and economic balance in the Ayeyarwady Basin? What information do we need to make these trade-off decisions?

So: What does the future of the Ayeyarwady River Basin and Myanmar look like?

Three key messages Myanmar is growing economically and developing socially with a large dependency on natural resources such as the Ayeyarwady River. For sustained future growth and development, it is imperative that a healthy Ayeyarwady River is still able to provide the necessary goods and services to these sectors of the economy and society. Multi-stakeholder perspectives on the possible future development pathways and scenarios for the Ayeyarwady can help us to prepare for what the future may look like.